>>> Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • WBTN +45.8%, HITI +11.7%, AIV +9.2%, ORN +6.1%, NVO +2.5%, KLAR +2%, NBHC +2%, CMG +1.9%, TRTX +1.1%, FBK +1%, ARCB +0.9%, LTC +0.9%, AIRE +0.8%, COHR +0.6%, HBNC +0.6%
  • Gapping down:
    • PLAY -17%, ADTN -9.8%, RCAT -4%, OSCR -3.2%, AVPT -3.1%, RKLB -3%, NYXH -1.5%, CTRI -1.4%, NEOG -1.3%, OPAL -1%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 16th of September 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Ashtead Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 6,750 pence
* Autostore Raised to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader
* Big Yellow Group Raised to Buy at Van Lanschot Kempen (+)
* Buzzi SpA PT Raised to 55 euros from 26 euros at Davy (+)
* CoreWeave Raised to Market Outperform at Citizens; PT $180
* Cyfrowy Raised to Buy at Erste Group; PT 17.20 zloty (+)
* Danone Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 84 euros
* Entain PT Raised to 1,400 pence from 1,200 pence at Berenberg
* Ferrari Raised to Outperform at Mediobanca SpA; PT $572.46
* Fresnillo PT Raised to 2,500 pence from 2,100 pence at JPMorgan
* Intea Fastigheter Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 83 kronor
* LondonMetric Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 215 pence
* Novo Raised to Buy at Rothschild & Co Redburn; PT 440 kroner
* Porvair Raised to Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 860 pence (+)
* Safestore Raised to Buy at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 750 pence (+)
* Streamwide Raised to Buy at TP ICAP Midcap; PT 67 euros (+)

>>> Down
* Acciona Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 135 euros
* Banqup Group Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 4.20 euros (+)
* Beiersdorf Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 101 euros
* EasyJet Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 500 pence
* Elisa Cut to Sell at Handelsbanken; PT 43 euros (+)
* Haleon Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 380 pence
* Kering Raised to Buy at CIC; PT 300 euros (+)
* L'Oreal Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 340 euros
* Live Nation Cut to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn; PT $170
* Magyar Telekom Cut to Hold at Erste Group; PT 2,050 forint (+)
* Orange Polska Cut to Accumulate at Erste Group; PT 10.40 zloty (+)
* Telekom Austria Cut to Hold at Erste Group; PT 10.30 euros (+)
* Orsted Cut to Underperform at Grupo Santander; PT 121 kroner
* Revo Insurance Cut to Accumulate at Banca Akros (+)
* Warner Bros Discovery Cut to Hold at TD Cowen; PT $14

>>> Initiation
* Addlife Rated New Buy at ABG; PT 220 kronor
* Adyen Rated New Buy at ING; PT 1,850 euros
* Atoss Software Rated New Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 130 euros (+)
* CoreWeave Rated New Outperform at Raymond James; PT $130
* Ebro EV Motors Rated New Outperform at Renta 4; PT 11.18 euros (+)
* Ferrari Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 484 euros
* Mondi ADRs Rated New Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT $27.70
* Sabadell Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 3.30 euros (+)

>>> Call
* Acciona Downgraded to Sell at Citi After Shares Rally 55% (+)
* Apple and Dell Rated New Outperform at Bernstein on AI Potential
* Danone Double-Upgraded at Jefferies on More Sustainable Growth
* Ferrari a Compelling Long-Term Investment, New Buy at Berenberg
* Kering Upgraded to Buy at CIC as New CEO Is Set to Take Action (+)
* JPMorgan’s Kelly Warns Fed Cuts Risk Hurting Stocks and Bonds
* JPMorgan More Cautious on Short-Haul, EasyJet Cut to Neutral

FT : Switzerland’s US tech ‘whale’

Switzerland’s US tech ‘whale’
Swiss National Bank has more than $42bn invested in Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia and Meta

Switzerland’s conservative central bank has quietly become one of the world’s biggest tech investors, amassing a stock portfolio that is equivalent in value to nearly a fifth of the national economy’s annual output.

The Swiss National Bank has US equity holdings amounting to $167bn, spread across more than 2,300 positions, according to SEC filings from June.

More than $42bn is invested in just five companies — Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft and Nvidia — making it a major Silicon Valley investor. Its stake in Apple alone is worth nearly $10bn and its stake in Nvidia is more than $11bn.

Though not a sovereign wealth fund, the SNB’s $855bn balance sheet of assets, including its tech holdings, put it in a similar league as some of the world’s largest state investment vehicles, including those of Singapore and Qatar.

“Switzerland doesn’t need a sovereign wealth fund when we have the SNB,” said Arturo Bris, professor of finance at IMD Business School. “But they don’t want to take any role in these companies — it is purely a tool to manage the currency.”

The SNB is a conservative institution but it is highly unconventional in how it operates. No other central bank holds such large equity positions as the SNB. The Bank of Japan, which also has a large known equity exposure, has its holdings mostly in domestic stocks via equity index exchange traded funds, according to IMD.


But the SNB’s vast holdings have sparked increasing calls for the portfolio to be managed more actively to drive returns. Its high exposure to US tech stocks comes as others, such as the European Central Bank, have warned of a bubble in the sector.

The Swiss franc is seen globally as a safe haven due to the country’s political and economic stability. During crises — from the global financial meltdown to the Eurozone debt crisis — investors have parked money in Switzerland.

But the franc’s strength poses a persistent challenge. It is the top-performing currency over the past 50, 25, 10 and five years, and has already appreciated more than 13 per cent against the dollar this year amid US President Donald Trump’s tariffs shock. That strength risks causing a deflationary slump, which the SNB would have to react to. It also more broadly affects the country’s export competitiveness.

To counter this, the SNB regularly sells francs and buys foreign currencies, mostly US dollars and euros, to weaken the franc.

This approach is a fundamental departure from how other central banks operate, said Karsten Junius, chief economist at Safra Sarasin, the Swiss private bank.

While the US Federal Reserve and ECB use newly created money to buy their own government bonds — reducing interest rates and weakening their currencies — the SNB cannot do the same, he said. Switzerland’s bond market is too small for its huge balance sheet.

Instead, by buying foreign currency to weaken the franc, then investing that money in overseas bonds and equities, the SNB is conducting what some analysts call “foreign” quantitative easing. Over the past decade, that strategy has led it towards one of the world’s biggest and best-performing asset classes: US tech stocks.

Today, about 87 per cent of the SNB’s balance sheet is held in foreign currency assets, according to its own data. Roughly two-thirds of that is in government bonds, 10 per cent in corporate bonds, and 25 per cent in equities. Its US stock holdings are publicly disclosed through SEC filings.

Unlike most central banks, the SNB is not owned by the national government. About half of its shares are held by Swiss cantons and cantonal banks, while the rest are owned by private individuals. It is also listed on the Swiss stock exchange.

“You can see why the SNB gets compared to a sovereign wealth fund — it owns so much and has such a large balance sheet,” said Stefan Gerlach, chief economist at EFG Bank in Zurich. “But unlike a sovereign fund, which seeks returns through active investment, the SNB has a different mindset.”

The SNB does not exercise its voting rights in the US. Though passive in philosophy, however, it is not a static holder. IMD data from SEC filings show that in 2023, the bank held no Berkshire Hathaway stock. By 2025, it had built a position worth more than $2bn.

It also significantly increased its exposure to Nvidia, multiplying its shareholding more than sixfold over the same period. The value of its stake rose by more than 175 per cent, reflecting both buying and a surge in the chipmaker’s stock price.

It has reduced its positions in Meta and Netflix over the past two years — although those smaller holdings have gained sharply in value. Similarly, even though it now holds fewer shares in Palantir Technologies, the data analytics company’s surging price boosted the value of its stake eightfold.


But the SNB avoids some sectors entirely. One is banking and some financial stocks, said Christel Rendu de Lint, co-chief executive of investment firm Vontobel.

“The SNB does not invest in systemically important banks globally to avoid any conflict of interest it could be seen as favouring them,” she said.

The bank also avoids investments in companies involved in internationally condemned weapons, according to its sustainability report.

There are risks to its investment approach. A sharp downturn in equity and currency markets can quickly erase the SNB’s earnings. In 2022 and 2023, the bank posted billions in losses in part due to falling asset values and currency volatility.

The bank reported a loss of SFr15.3bn in the first half of 2025, as the slumping US dollar hit its foreign currency portfolio.

US tech stocks have also sold off this year as warnings that the hype surrounding artificial intelligence could be overdone.

Such losses have triggered periodic calls by analysts and politicians for the SNB to rethink how it invests its reserves, says Gerlach. Some have proposed outsourcing a portion to external managers to generate higher returns. The SNB’s bank council, whose members include people with business, government and academic backgrounds, oversees the investment strategy.

But for now, there are no plans to change the system, economists say.

The SNB declined to comment. Its website says the “assets in a sovereign wealth fund would be exposed to the same exchange rate risk as the SNB’s currency reserves; even a much higher proportion of ‘real’ investments such as equities would offer no protection against value fluctuations”.

Safra Sarasin’s Junius warned that doing so could undermine the bank’s flexibility.

“Outsourcing would reduce liquidity. The assets wouldn’t be available for monetary policy use as quickly or discreetly,” he said.

For example, after the coronavirus pandemic, the SNB was able to quickly sell foreign currencies and buy back francs to help ease inflationary pressure.

“It simply isn’t a good idea [to change that],” Junius said.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 16th of September 2025

>>> Up
* Ashtead Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 6,750 pence
* Autostore Raised to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader
* CoreWeave Raised to Market Outperform at Citizens; PT $180
* Danone Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 84 euros
* Entain PT Raised to 1,400 pence from 1,200 pence at Berenberg
* Ferrari Raised to Outperform at Mediobanca SpA; PT $572.46
* Fresnillo PT Raised to 2,500 pence from 2,100 pence at JPMorgan
* Intea Fastigheter Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 83 kronor
* LondonMetric Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 215 pence
* Novo Raised to Buy at Rothschild & Co Redburn; PT 440 kroner

>>> Down
* Acciona Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 135 euros
* Beiersdorf Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 101 euros
* EasyJet Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 500 pence
* Haleon Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 380 pence
* L'Oreal Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 340 euros
* Live Nation Cut to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn; PT $170
* Orsted Cut to Underperform at Grupo Santander; PT 121 kroner
* Warner Bros Discovery Cut to Hold at TD Cowen; PT $14

>>> Initiation
* Addlife Rated New Buy at ABG; PT 220 kronor
* Adyen Rated New Buy at ING; PT 1,850 euros
* CoreWeave Rated New Outperform at Raymond James; PT $130,
* Ferrari Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 484 euros
* Mondi ADRs Rated New Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT $27.70

>>> Call
* Apple and Dell Rated New Outperform at Bernstein on AI Potential
* Danone Double-Upgraded at Jefferies on More Sustainable Growth
* Ferrari a Compelling Long-Term Investment, New Buy at Berenberg
* JPMorgan’s Kelly Warns Fed Cuts Risk Hurting Stocks and Bonds
* JPMorgan More Cautious on Short-Haul, EasyJet Cut to Neutral

>>> What to look at today - 16th of September 2025

Asian stocks hit a record high after Wall Street set new peaks, as investors bet on an interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week.
The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index advanced 0.6% in its ninth straight day of gains, set for the longest winning run in nearly five years. Contracts for the S&P 500 edged up 0.1% after the gauge closed at its highest ever. Futures for European stocks also gained by a similar level. Gold rose to a new record while a gauge of the dollar edged lower for a second day. Treasuries steadied as investors awaited Tuesday’s US retail sales data. The yen gained against the dollar, in part due to the entry of Japan’s Agriculture Minister Shinjiro Koizumi into the leadership race of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party. Recent data showing softer labor-market conditions and no major surprises in inflation prints have reinforced expectations for a quarter-point rate cut by the Fed on Wednesday. Traders see the move as virtually certain, though the debate is now shifting to how quickly the central bank might ease policy beyond that, with inflation still running above the Fed’s 2% target. The central bank is trying to be accommodative by “doing what the administration wants it to do, without hurting the credibility of the Fed,” said Gordon Tsui, managing director and head of fixed income at Ping An of China Asset Management (HK), on Bloomberg TV. “I think this is the ultimate goal of the Fed officials.” A quarter-point reduction is seen as a sure thing when the Fed announces its policy decision Wednesday, with a small potential for a half-point move amid signs US job growth is slowing rapidly.  Financial markets broadly are leaning toward concerns around the employment picture taking precedence and the Fed conveying a dovish tone. US policymakers will also release their quarterly update of economic and rate forecasts — known as the dot plot. In June, Fed officials were narrowly in favor of two quarter-point cuts in 2025. In other Fed news, a US appeals court blocked the president from removing Governor Lisa Cook from her post while her lawsuit challenging the dismissal proceeds.  Also, Trump’s economic adviser Stephen Miran is on his way to joining the central bank’s board after the Senate confirmed him to the post. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump said he would speak with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Friday as US and Chinese officials reached a framework deal on keeping the TikTok app running in the US. It would be the first direct engagement between Trump and Xi since June. In Japan, Koizumi said he will run in the ruling party leadership race as the LDP looks for a successor capable of turning around its prospects and leading the nation. The move reduces the split of the LDP’s centrist vote and raises his chances, according to Credit Agricole CIB’s David Forrester. Also, the US is set to end the stacking of previous tariffs on most imports from the country at the same time, according to Japan’s top trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa. US After Hours HITI +13.9% nicely higher on earnings; WBTN +71.1% on signing term sheet with Disney for new digital comics platform; PLAY -14.5% sharply lower on earnings.

Nikkei +0.45% Hang Seng -0.08% CSI -0.46% Shanghai -0.14% Shenzen +0.09%

Eur$ 1.1776 CNH 7.1133 CNY 7.1156 JPY 147.02 GBP 1.3614 CHF 0.7938 RUB 82.8029 TRY 41.3161 WTI$ 63.47 +0.27% Gold 3,683 +0.11% BTC 115,449 +0.04% ETH 4;517 +0.11%

S&P +0.10% Nasdaq +0.16% EuroStoxx +0.13% FTSE +0.04% Dax +0.13% SMI +0.01%

Macro :
- Hedge Funds Bought Tech Stocks in Size Last Week
- Economists See Canada Deficit Hitting C$70 Billion on Trade War
- US Looks to Boost Strategic Uranium Reserve for Nuclear Power
- Investors Cut Dollar Exposure at Record Pace, Deutsche Bank Says
- Trump Bid to Fire Cook Before Fed Rates Meeting Blocked by Court
- China ‘Mini’ Stimulus Likely as Debt Reduces Beijing’s Options
- Japan Reformer Koizumi Joins Leadership Race; Yen Strengthens

Keep an eye on :
- AAL LN : Anglo American’s $50bn Teck deal sparks Canadian unease
- AAL LN : Anglo and Codelco Finalize Pact to Boost Copper Output in Chile
- Anthropic IPO : Anthropic CEO to Push US to Support Chips Measure: Punchbowl
- AYV FP : Ayvens Holder Offering Upsized to 47.6m Shares, Terms Show
- ALCPB FP : Blockchain Group Offers Shares at EU1.55-1.70/Share: Terms
- BNP FP : BNP Paribas Sees CET1 Phased-In Ratio at 12.5% by End-2027
- CABK SM : CaixaBank to Issue $588 Million in Convertible Financial Instruments
- CHRD US : Chord Energy to Buy XTO’s Williston Basin Assets for $550m
- Cityvarasto IPO : Cityvarasto Plans IPO, Listing on Nasdaq First North
- Delage Auto : French Elite Back Luxury Auto Brand Seeking to Take on Bugatti
- ESLT IT : Spain Cancels Order for Israel-Designed Rocket Launchers: AFP
- EXA FP : Exail Technologies 1H Adjusted Ebitda EU44M Vs. EU30M Y/y
- XOM US : Chord Energy to Buy XTO’s Williston Basin Assets for $550m
- BVI FP : Bureau Veritas Holder Wendel Offers ~23.3m Shares, Terms Show
- ChowChow IPO : ChowChow Cloud Prices IPO of 2.6M Shares at $4 Apiece
- EL FP :
- GBT FP : Adjustment of 2025 full-year financial targets
- GOOGL US : Google says to invest £5bn in UK ahead of Trump visit
- 2696 HK : Fosun’s Henlius Is Said in Talks With J&J, Roche on Cancer Drug
- INTEGB SS :OsteoCentric Oncology's Takeover Offer for Integrum Fails
- KEMIRA FH : Kemira to Buy Water Engineering for $150m from Nolan Capital
- KER FP : Gucci Owner Kering Says It Was Hacked, Limited Data Accessed
- MB IM : Mediobanca Holder FinPriv Offers About 14.3m Shares: Terms
- META US : Meta’s struggles to decouple from Chinese supplier of AI smart glasses
- MSFT US : Microsoft Boosts Qtr Div 10% to 91c Per Share
- NSN IT : Next Vision Stabilized Systems Offers Shares via Jefferies
- NOVN SW : In major ruling, patent of Novartis' blockbuster cardiac drug revoked by India
- NVDA US : Dyna Robotics Raises $120 Million in Funding From Nvidia, Amazon
- NYT US : Trump Says He’s Bringing $15b Lawsuit Against New York Times (1)
- NYXH BB : Nyxoah Sues Inspire Over Patent Infringement
- ORCL US : Oracle Could Play Key Role In US-China TikTok Deal: CBS News
- OSCR US : Oscar Said to Offer Up to 2.75% Coupon on $350M Convert
- PKTM AV : Pierer Mobility Names Petra Preining as New CFO
- BPSO IM : Popolare di Sondrio Names Casini, Recchi, Sonnino as New Heads
- RUI FP : Rubis Says it’s in Contact With Various Industrial, Finl Parties
- SU FP : Schneider Electric Offers Convertible Bonds Due 2033
- SCHP SW : Schindler Holder Offers About 600,000 Shares, Terms Show
- SSABA SS : SSAB Says FSA Proceeds With Goodwill Impairment Review Case
- SPSN SW : Swiss Prime Site Names CFO Marcel Kucher CEO From January
- TIETO FH : TietoEVRY Narrows FY Organic Revenue Forecast
- TSLA US : OpenAI Hires Former xAI CFO Mike Liberatore: CNBC
- TSLA US : Musk Plans AI5 Chip Review, Tesla Meetings on AI, Vehicle Output
- TRIP US : Tripadvisor stock jumps 6% on no apparent news, Volume +50%
- UBSG SW : Swiss reject plan to delay parts of UBS capital reform - FT
- UCG IM : Italy Is Drafting Plans to Raise €1.5 Billion More From Banks
- Verisure IPO : Verisure Said to Eye €3 Billion Swedish IPO as Soon as This Week
- VOW GY : Volkswagen Settles With Diesel-Car Drivers in the Netherlands
- VU FP : VusionGroup FY Sales Forecast Beats Estimates
- WBTN US : Webtoon Shares Soar on Disney Investment, Web Comic Venture
- YCA LN : US Looks to Boost Strategic Uranium Reserve for Nuclear Power

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Danone (BSN TH) +1.5%
    • Danone Double-Upgraded at Jefferies on More Sustainable Growth
  • Adyen (1N8 TH) +1.2%
    • Adyen Rated New Buy at ING; PT 1,850 euros
  • Ferrari (2FE TH) +1.1%
    • Ferrari Raised to Outperform at Mediobanca SpA; PT $572.46
  • Nokia (NOA3 TH) +1%
  • Thales (CSF TH) +1%
  • Monte Paschi (MPI0 TH) -1.2%
  • Beiersdorf (BEI TH) -1.2%
  • Randstad (RSH TH) -1.4%
  • L’Oreal (LOR TH) -1.6%
  • EasyJet (EJT1 TH) -1.8%
  • Acciona (AJ3 TH) -2.1%
    • Acciona Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 135 euros

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Beiersdorf (BEI TH) -1.2%
    • Beiersdorf Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 101 euros
MDAX:
  • Puma (PUM TH) +0.8%
  • Stroeer (SAX TH) +0.8%
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) -0.6%
SDAX:
  • Siltronic (WAF TH) +1.1%
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) +0.7%
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) -0.8%
  • Thyssenkrupp Nucera AG & Co KGaa (NCH2 TH) -1%
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) -1.1%