Barrons summary: Positive on NSC; Cautious on JCP, LUK
Cover story: The telecom industry would be better served if regulators allowed consolidation into three major players; instead, there is a "structural imbalance" in which VZ and T benefit from having vastly larger customer bases than smaller rivals S and TMUS. With further deals unlikely, the status quo is likely to continue. T may be the best bet for investors, given its dividend and strong credit rating, which helps it find new ways to benefit from debt.
Features: Positive on EBAY, THC, TER, CDNS, LVLT, LMCA, CHTR, Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority bonds, Japanese stocks: Among picks from investors at Chicago's annual Invest or Kids program, including Bill Ackman of Pershing Square, Steve Kuhn of Pine River, Wally Weitz of Weitz Investments, and Larry Robbins of Glenview; Cautious on JCP: First-half sales boost at struggling retailer appears to be fading; its ability to hit long-term financial goals is questionable, and failing to meet sales growth targets could send shares down 35%; Positive on NSC: Railway has cut its dependence on shipping coal, which is boosting the entire sector, and is handling a broader range of freight; it also has a lower P/E multiple than rivals and provides a better dividend; Cautious on LUK: Financial company once compared to Berkshire Hathaway is among the worst performing in its sector in the S&P 500, but shares seem undervalued and could rise 25%.
Tech Trader: Alexander Eule says the Nasdaq has stabilized since its March 2000 closing high of 5049; Exchange lists about half the number of companies it had then, while the flow of new companies coming in has slowed considerably, since tech startups are increasingly waiting until they mature before going public; Investors are paying more reasonable prices for tech stocks, though shares of GPRO, NFLX, LNKD, and GWRE remain frothy.
Trader: Some market observers worry about a "melt-up" in prices to perhaps 2100 on the S&P 500 by year end; Cautious on K: Stock's valuation has grown, but now seems high given strong headwinds company faces, and its dividend may not be enough to convince investors to buy; Cautious on GNW: Barron's says it was wrong on earlier prediction that shares would reward investors, and now anticipates further writedowns and the possibility an activist investor may step in; it's too late for holders to sell, but investors might want to buy in at current level.
Small Caps: Positive on OMG: Maker of industrial-use magnets, batteries, and specialty chemicals has seen shares drop due to European slowdown, but they still look compelling and could have a lot of upside. Special Report on Health and Wealth: Four panelists-Sharon Oberlander of Merrill Lynch, Kathy Weber of Morgan Stanley, Debra Brede of D.K. Brede Investment Management, and Geri Eisenman Pell of Ameriprise-talk about approaches to planning for the longer retirement periods many people will experience due to better health.
Mutual Funds: Interview with Jeffery Elswick, Portfolio Manager, Frost Total Return Bond Fund (top ten picks: Commercial MBS, U.S. Treasury, Asset-Backed (including CLOs), Agency MBS CMO, AAA Corporate, Agency MBS Pass-Through, Municipal, BBB Corporate, Unrated Corporate, Non-Agency Res MBS).
European Trader: The prospects for European airlines look good, with many raising their earnings outlooks as they benefit from falling oil prices and other trends (Positive on International Consolidated Airlines Group, Ryanair Holdings, Aer Lingus; Cautious on Air France-KLM, Lufthansa).
Asian Trader: Positive on Xiaomi: Privately held smartphone maker is likely worth its recent $40B valuation, given a strong sale trajectory and growth potential in emerging markets.
Emerging Markets: Poland is an example of a country in which the market does not mirror the broader economic performance analysts focus on; among other things, pension reform has been a drag on stocks, many of which are victims of their own stability, priced at hefty premiums to peers.
Commodities: "Nickel prices are likely to climb as investors put aside worries about growing stockpiles of the metal and refocus on a limited supply outlook."
Streetwise: Positive on CHK: Company's prospects have improved after sale of 400K acres in Pennsylvania and West Virginia to SWN, allowing it to focus on getting the most from its best assets.