Closing Market Summary: S&P 500 Reclaims 50-Day Average
The stock market registered its second consecutive advance with the S&P 500 climbing 1.4% to retake its 50-day moving average (2,044). The price-weighted Dow (+1.8%) fared a bit better while the Nasdaq Composite (+1.1%) underperformed.
Equities displayed strength from the get-go after markets in Europe responded positively to a Financial Times report suggesting Greece will soften its negotiating stance; however, Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said there has been no ‘U-turn' in Greece's position while German Chancellor Angela Merkel has set expectations for a drawn out process, saying the ongoing talks will ‘drag on for months.' In addition, a handful of German lawmakers have voiced their displeasure with the position being assumed by Greece. With no resolution in sight, another chapter in the European saga will be written tomorrow when Mr. Varoufakis meets with European Central Bank President Mario Draghi in Frankfurt.
For the time being, the market happily continued retracing its losses from January. The S&P 500 narrowed its quarter-to-date decline to 0.4% with all ten sectors ending in the green.
Once again, the energy sector (+2.8%) held the lead throughout the session with help from crude oil, which soared 7.0% to $53.04/bbl. In all likelihood, a short squeeze contributed to the surge, but so did better than expected earnings from BP (BP 41.10, +1.24). However, it is worth mentioning that the industry giant plans to cut its 2015 capital expenditure budget by 13.0% to $20 billion.
Similar to energy, materials (+2.2%) and consumer discretionary (+2.2%) jumped more than 2.0% while two of the remaining three cyclical groups also finished ahead of the broader market.
The discretionary sector received broad support with Office Depot (ODP 9.27, +1.64) charging higher by 21.5% after The Wall Street Journal reported the company has been in talks with Staples (SPLS 19.01, +1.87) about a potential merger.
Elsewhere, the technology sector (+1.0%) lagged throughout the session, but was able to settle not far behind the broader market. Chipmakers displayed relative strength (PHLX Semiconductor Index +1.8%), but several top-weighted components like Apple (AAPL 118.57, -0.06), Facebook (FB 75.40, +0.41), and Google (GOOGL 533.30, +1.10) struggled to pull away from their flat lines.
Similar to the tech sector, the Nasdaq spent the day behind the broader market. Biotechnology factored into the underperformance with the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 317.79, -1.79) falling 0.6% while the health care sector (+0.7%) settled near the bottom of the leaderboard.
Treasuries spent the day in a steady retreat, sending the 10-yr yield higher by 11 basis points to 1.78%.
Today's participation was well above average with more than 958 million shares changing hands at the NYSE floor.
Economic data was limited to Factory Orders:
* Factory orders declined 3.4% in December after declining a downwardly revised 1.7% (from -0.7%) in November while the Briefing.com consensus expected a drop of 2.0%
* While the headline decline in factory orders was clear miss in terms of expectations, the underlying data should provide a boost to the second estimate to Q4 2014 GDP * Shipments of nondefense capital goods, excluding aircraft, were much stronger than reported in the advance release. Instead of declining 0.2% in December, shipments increased 0.2%. Since shipments factor into GDP calculations, the upward revision will positively contribute to economic growth
Tomorrow, the weekly MBA Mortgage Index will be released at 7:00 ET while the ADP Employment Change for January will cross the wires at 8:15 ET (consensus 230K). The day's data will be topped off with the 10:00 ET release of the ISM Services Index for January (consensus 56.5).
* Nasdaq Composite -0.2% YTD * S&P 500 -0.4% YTD * Russell 2000 -0.6% YTD * Dow Jones Industrial Average -0.9% YTD
2015-02-03 19:25:39.268 GMT
(Adds opinion poll in 12th paragraph.)
By Daniel Cancel and Pablo Gonzalez
(Bloomberg) -- A day after Argentina’s cabinet chief tore
up a newspaper article, ridiculing the story that said deceased
prosecutor Alberto Nisman had considered the arrest of the
president, the investigator into his death confirmed the report.
A draft document calling for the detention of President
Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner and members of her government was
found in Nisman’s apartment after his body was discovered with a
bullet to the head on Jan. 18, prosecutor Viviana Fein said.
“The drafts are there, they’ve been incorporated as part
of my role,” Fein said in a radio interview on Vorterix. “They
have to do with the allegations by doctor Nisman, as was
anticipated by the media, seeking the arrest of the president.”
Cabinet Chief Jorge Capitanich on Feb. 2 tore up a copy of
the article published in Clarin on Sunday that said Nisman, 51,
had sought Fernandez’s arrest for trying to cover up the alleged
involvement of Iranian officials in a 1994 bombing in exchange
for trade benefits. Nisman’s death, a day before he was due to
present evidence to congress, has roiled Argentine politics and
captivated public opinion.
Nisman charged members of Iran and Hezbollah in 2006 with
organizing the bombing that killed 85 people and issued eight
arrest warrants. Seven years later, Fernandez signed a
memorandum of understanding with the Iranians to set up a joint
panel to investigate the case.
According to Nisman, the aim of the accord was for Iranian
officials to be taken off Interpol’s wanted list. In exchange,
Argentina would export grains and meat to Iran and receive oil.
Trash Can
The draft document that included the request for the arrest
of Fernandez, was dated June 2014 and was found in the trash can
of Nisman’s house, Clarin reported.
Fein said a statement published Feb. 2 by the general
prosecutor’s office denying the existence of the draft was an
error. It was not part of the broader dossier of evidence
against Fernandez published on the Internet, he said.
The discovery of Nisman’s body slumped against the door of
his bathroom in a locked house surrounded by security agents
triggered a series of conspiracy theories. Prosecutor Fein said
today his apartment building in the upscale neighborhood of
Puerto Madero had “serious anomalies” that allowed for people
to enter and leave without being detected.
Fernandez’s Reputation
Fernandez has said she is convinced Nisman was killed in
order to dirty the reputation of her government, while others
suspect he was murdered to halt his investigation.
The president has ordered the intelligence agency to be
overhauled after indicating that former spies fed Nisman with
false information to promote his case against her.
With just nine months left in office, Fernandez’s image is
suffering from the scandal. A poll conducted by Management & Fit
published Feb. 1 showed that 84.5 percent of the 1,000 people
surveyed thought the Nisman case will either largely or somewhat
affect her image.
Capitanich, who spoke today at the same time as Fein, said
Clarin’s reporting of the case was another “operation by the
press, looking through the trash.” He didn’t say if the draft
document existed or not.
Secretary General Anibal Fernandez said Fein’s
contradictions were an “embarrassment” and asked whether
someone had given her the document. While questioning the
report’s authenticity, he told La Red radio station that its
discovery in the garbage was proof that Nisman knew his
accusations wouldn’t stand up in court.
“Nisman must have realized what rubbish it was and so he
had to backpedal,” Fernandez said.
For Related News and Information:
Top Argentina news: TOP AR <GO>
Top news from Latin America: TOPL <GO>
--With assistance from Charlie Devereux in Buenos Aires.
To contact the reporters on this story:
Daniel Cancel in Buenos Aires at +54-11-4321-7736 or
dcancel@bloomberg.net;
Pablo Gonzalez in Buenos Aires at +54-11-4321-7731 or
pgonzalez49@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Andre Soliani at +55-61-3329-1605 or
asoliani@bloomberg.net
Philip Sanders
2015-02-03 20:17:32.964 GMT
(For a Real M&A column news alert: {SALT REALMNA <GO>}.)
By Tara Lachapelle
(Bloomberg) -- A merger of Staples Inc. and Office Depot
Inc. may help them weather the competition from online and big-
box retailers in a way that RadioShack Corp. couldn’t.
The three companies were all hit hard in the past decade by
discount-offering giants such as Amazon.com Inc. and Wal-Mart
Stores Inc. Their fates diverged this week. RadioShack is
preparing to file for bankruptcy protection, while the other two
-- in a less dire situation -- are considering combining.
Staples and Office Depot shares are trading Tuesday at
prices they haven’t reached in years as investors show support
for their potential merger, which would consolidate the No. 1
and 2 office-supply chains. Analysts estimate $1 billion to $2
billion of costs could be cut through the deal, which may give
the combined company some room to lower the prices of its
products in hopes of drawing in shoppers.
“From a financial standpoint and from a competition
standpoint it makes sense,” Joseph Feldman, an analyst for
Telsey Advisory Group in New York, said in a phone interview.
“Shareholders on both sides are cheering the deal. It probably
would be a good thing to see happen for the industry and for
both companies.”
Approval Odds
The question is whether the merger would secure approval
from antitrust regulators, though analysts are leaning toward
the idea that it can. Office Depot purchased OfficeMax Inc. in
2013, so a subsequent deal between Office Depot and Staples
would leave just one major office-supply chain.
The companies can argue that the competition is far broader
and now includes Amazon, Costco Wholesale Corp., Wal-Mart and
Target Corp. That’s something the U.S. Federal Trade Commission
-- the same agency that blocked Staples from buying Office Depot
in 1997 -- noted in its approval of the OfficeMax acquisition.
“Our decision highlights that yesterday’s market dynamics
may be very different from the market dynamics of today,” the
FTC said in its closing letter about the Office Depot-OfficeMax
transaction in November 2013.
That analysis “doesn’t leave the commission a lot of
room” to challenge a Staples merger today, said Morris Bloom,
an antitrust lawyer at Axinn, Veltrop, & Harkrider LLP in
Washington.
“The fact this merger is of the remaining two office-
supplies stores should not lead to anticompetitive effects
because consumers have more choices than the super-supply
stores,” said Bloom, a former FTC lawyer.
Activist Push
Starboard Value, which has stakes in both Staples and
Office Depot, has been urging the retailers to combine, which
has helped lift the shares over the past couple of months.
The FTC’s decision to allow Office Depot and OfficeMax to
combine “probably encouraged Starboard to push for the
merger,” said Chris Pultz, a portfolio manager at Kellner
Capital, an event-driven investment firm in New York. “They
will probably get a second request from the FTC, but I find it
hard to believe that they would have a case to block the
transaction.”
Becoming one company isn’t a perfect long-term solution.
Even though their outlook isn’t nearly as grim as RadioShack’s,
office and school supplies are increasingly a commodity business
and it will still be difficult to match competitors’ low prices
without eroding earnings, said Brian Yarbrough, an analyst for
Edward Jones & Co. in St. Louis.
In the most recent back-to-school shopping season, Staples’
school supplies cost 53 percent more than an identical basket of
goods at Wal-Mart and Target, according to a study by Bloomberg
Intelligence in August.
Deal Gains
Shareholders would benefit from a deal because it would
give a pop to Office Depot’s stock price and there would be
synergies for Staples, Yarbrough said.
“But in the longer run, I just don’t see how this combined
company is any better off,” he said. “Starboard cares about
one thing: this deal going through. Five years down the road
they’re not going to be anywhere near this company, they’ll be
long gone.”
And don’t forget what happened after Sears Holdings Corp.
and Kmart merged in 2005. The deal was an attempt to stem
falling sales and fend off Wal-Mart. Since that transaction
closed, Sears has lost three-quarters of its value, continued to
suffer revenue declines, shut stores, eliminated jobs and sold
off assets to raise money as it burns through cash.
“Merging two bad retailers in a tough environment doesn’t
make one good retailer,” Yarbrough said.
For Related News and Information:
Staples Would Get 60% Boost From Office Depot Takeover: Real M&A
Staples, Office Depot Surge on Report of Merger Discussions
RadioShack Said to Discuss Shutdown as Part of Sprint Deal
Real M&A columns: NI REALMNA <GO>
Top deal stories: DTOP <GO>
Merger calculator: MRGC <GO>
--With assistance from David McLaughlin in Washington.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Tara Lachapelle in New York at +1-212-617-8911 or
tlachapelle@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Beth Williams at +1-212-617-2307 or
bewilliams@bloomberg.net
Elizabeth Wollman