(Barcap) European Autos : China softness: How much priced in?

Find attached the full note on the sector & The Peugeot note.

* PSA most exposed to China risk: Today our China auto analyst, Yang Song, has
downgraded her forecasts for China auto demand from 8.5% in both 2015E and 2016E
to 1.7% and 5.2% respectively (China Autos). We have taken the opportunity to revise
down our China assumptions for both BMW (BMW: China risk priced in?) and PSA
(Peugeot SA: Ripe for a correction on China?) but note that we largely believe China
downside risk has already been incorporated at BMW, with the stock down 18% on a 3-
month view. Similarly we believe BMW’s German peers, while at risk of further nearterm
volume and margin declines due to the softening macro environment, have
already borne the brunt of the market’s worries on China. Similarly, EU auto suppliers
are clearly impacted by weaker Chinese volumes, but we believe their increased
penetration with domestic Chinese OEMs should protect them to some degree. In our
view it is PSA, with >50% of our forecast 2015E earnings from China, which we believe
is yet to feel the effects of China woes.

* China volumes downgraded: We see a strong correlation between passenger vehicle
sales in China and power consumption growth (which we view as a reliable indicator of
underlying economic activity in China). Given our concerns for economic recovery (FAI
growth decelerated 2.1ppt for 1H15 versus 1Q15), we have today downgraded our China
auto volume forecasts to 1.7% and 5.2% for FY15 and FY16E respectively. With
production capacity expansions set to outpace volume growth, particularly for foreign JVs,
and to date OEMs not appearing to contemplate any delays to construction or launches,
we worry that there may be further pricing pressure for passenger vehicles post 2015.

* Who is most at risk? With 30% of Auto EBIT exposed to China, BMW is viewed by many
investors as the China-proxy in the sector. However, China downgrades started at the
beginning of the year and we think China-risk is largely priced in. So too for VW. Nearterm,
suppliers like Valeo (OW, €176) and Conti (OW, €217) could feel the pressure but
we expect both companies to highlight strong China order backlogs with their Q2
results. In our view PSA remains the EU auto stock most exposed to further China risk.

* What does it mean for sector valuations? China softness leaves risk of near-term
earnings downgrades for most of our coverage universe in Europe but we wonder
whether this has largely been priced in already given the sector has fallen 9% from its
highs in the last 3 months and yet sector earnings have risen 15% over the same
period. We think summer trading is likely to be choppy given the risk of profit taking on
outperformance YTD and as lower China earnings are incorporated but we think for the
longer term the fundamentals ex-China still look rosy. European volumes have run
ahead of expectations YTD and the economic data (bar any Greek contagion) continues
to look promising. As hedging rolls off in 2016E, FX gains should accelerate, particularly
for US$ importer stocks and for the suppliers, tightening global regulations should
continue to drive increased penetration rates.

>>> What to look at today - 16th of July 2015

Dow-0.02% S&P-0.08% Nasdaq-0.12% Russell-0.69%
US Market closed slightly lower. Ahead of Greek Parliament vote and riots in Athens market was under pressure. Financials lead the move the all day. Pharma & Biotech outperformed also thanks to Celgene (CELG) 7% spike on guidance raise & Receptos acquisition for $232/share. AAPL+0.96%, GOOGL -0.04%. Energy Sector-1.6%, pressured by Crude Oil trading lower -3.1% @ $51.40. Volume were in line with 750mil shares. US After Hours NFLX +10.8%, ONDK +5.3%, INTC +2.7%, CPSS +1.3%, FBRC -0.6% following earnings/guidance...Intel beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q3 revs towards high end of expectations; lowers FY15 rev slightly, above estimates, raises gross margin slightly, lowers cap-ex...Asian indices are volatile after a late US session swoon, with Shanghai Composite trading especially wildly in the morning hours. After trading down over 2% in the opening minutes, Shanghai was up over 1% headed toward its midday break, closely followed by more modest gains in Australia, Japan, and Korea...Asia Development Bank (ADB) cuts its developing Asia 2015 GDP outlook for the region to 6.1% from 6.3% and 2016 to 6.2% from 6.3%. China GDP target was cut to 7.0% from 7.2% in 2015 and 6.8% from 7.0% in 2016, while those of India were affirmed at 7.8% and 8.2% respectively. ADB chief economist noted slower growth in China is having a noticeable effect on the rest of the region through international value chain, adding the PRC's decline is driven by weaker-than-expected external demand, a declining working age population, and rising wages...As expected, Greek Parliament voted in favor of reforms mandated by creditors that would unlock more bailout funds and unfreeze the nation's banking system. 229 out of 300 lawmakers voted YES, 6 (all Syriza members) abstained, and 64 voted NO. Out of 64 NOs, 32 were also Syriza MPs. Ahead of the vote, PM Tsipras delivered an impassioned address that railed against the imposed austerity, but still ended up casting a YES vote. Former Fin Min Varoufakis vote was a more principled NO...Fed's Williams followed Chair Yellen's congressional address with similar rhetoric straddling both sides of the fence - clearly committed to a 2015 liftoff but also cautious in terms of low levels of inflation. Williams also added the Fed will not start shrinking its balance sheet before raising rates.

Nikkei +0.67% Hang Seng -0.05% Shanghai +0.78%

Eur$ 1.0919 JPY 123.90 GBP 1.5612 EURCHF 1.0434 RUB $57.0630 WTI $51.79 (+0.74%)

A&P +0.33% EuroStoxx+0.77% Dax+0.73% SMI -0.04%

Macro :
- Greek Bailout Bill Approved by 229 Lawmakers: Parliament Speaker
- Fed’s Beige Book Could Support Tightening This Yr: TD
- Fed Survey Finds Economic Growth in All Regions of Country
- Citi Raises Its Global 2015 GDP Growth Forecast to 2.7% vs 2.6%

Keep an eye on :
- CA FP : Carrefour 2Q Sales In Line With Ests.
- CO FP : Casino 2Q France Retail Sales Beat Ests.
- EKT SM : Telecable postpones deadline for binding offers to encourage bid from Euskaltel-Expansion
- KVAER NO : Kvaerner 2Q Revenue NOK3.13b; Est. NOK2.67b
- NAS NO : Norwegian Air 2Q Net NOK325m vs Est. NOK343m
- NOVN VX : Novartis Won’t Settle Drug Suit With U.S. Justice Dept., HZ Says
- NOVN VX : Novartis Says Malaria Drug Coartem Gets WHO Prequalification
- NSG NO : Norske Skog 2Q Ebitda Drops Amid Weak Publication Paper Demand
- PC IM : Chemchina Offer for Pirelli May Start in Sept.: Messaggero
- PRC GY : Tele Columbus Agrees to Buy PrimaCom for EU711m
- RIO LN : Rio Cuts 2015 Iron Ore Shipment Forecast; 2Q Output Misses Est. --> +0.35% in Sydney
- SLIGR NA : Sligro 1H Rev. In Line With Ests., Sees Eco. Recovery Continuing
- UHR NO : Swatch 1H Operating Profit Beats Ests., Sees Strong 2H
- ZC FP : Zodiac Aerospace: Five Injured in Explosion at Newport Facility

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 16th of July 2015

>>> Up
*DKSH HOLDING RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*ORANGE RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT BERENBERG
*SAP RAISED TO BUY AT DEUTSCHE BANK
*STATOIL RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT CITI

>>> Down
*ROLLS-ROYCE CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT BERENBERG
*SHIRE REINITIATED BUY AT BERENBERG, PT 6,300P
*STANDARD LIFE CUT TO SELL VS HOLD AT BERENBERG

>>> PT Changes
*PEUGEOT PT CUT TO €16.50 FROM €17 AT BARCAP (Note attached)

>>> Initiation
*LAFARGEHOLCIM RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT UBS; PT CHF77
*TELEFONICA RESUMED OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN, PT EU15

>>> Call
>> Stock
*AEROPORTS DE PARIS EXITS GOLDMAN CONVICTION LIST, STAYS SELL
*AZIMUT EXITS GOLDMAN CONVICTION BUY LIST, STAYS BUY
>> Country
*CITI CUTS GREECE 2015 GDP FORECAST 2.2PP TO -2.4%
*CITI RAISES NETHERLANDS GDP FORECAST 0.2PP TO 2%
*CITI RAISES SPAIN 2015 REAL GDP GROWTH F'CAST BY 0.1PP TO 3.1%
*CITI RAISES GLOBAL 2015 GDP GROWTH FORECAST TO 2.7% VS 2.6%
*CITI CUTS JAPAN 2Q GROWTH EST TO -1.7% VS +0.5% Q/Q
*CITI RAISES U.K. 2015 GDP GROWTH FORECAST TO 2.8% VS 2.6%

>>> ISA may require large multinationals including Google and Apple to list in I

ISA may require large multinationals including Google and Apple to list in Israel
Israel Securities Authority (ISA) may force firms with more than USD 100bn valuation with Israeli business presence, to list shares in Israel, according to a report in Globes. The report noted that ISA published a proposal for legislation regarding non-voluntary listing of international businesses listed on international stock exchanges. As per the proposal, companies will not be required to make disclosures on affairs, and the listing will be without the will of the company itself. Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE) had earlier in 2015 made a proposal for compulsory and involuntary listing of Israeli firms, especially in high-tech industries, listed on stock exchanges overseas as well.

ISA, however, sees problems with the proposal put forward by TASE, and in its alternative offers to adopt the model for large non-Israeli firms with more than USD 100bn valuation. As per ISA's proposal, the shares may be delisted if trading is halted on the company on the overseas exchange, or should the market cap fall to less than USD 90bn. The report suggested that the move, which is aimed at increasing interest in TASE, may have a negative impact on investors, as it may make it harder for them to sue international firms in the event of damages, render arrangements for dual listing unnessary, and put pressure on the market for domestic issues. Apple and Google may be required to list in Israel, should the legislation go through, the report added.

Source Globes

>>> Telecable postpones deadline for binding offers to encourage bid from Euskal

Telecable postpones deadline for binding offers to encourage bid from Euskaltel

Telecable owner Carlyle has postponed the deadline for binding offers to 24 July from (13 July), Expansion reported.

Carlyle seeks to give Euskaltel time to table a binding offer. Euskaltel was unable to carry out due diligence on Telecable as it was occupied with its own IPO, the unsourced Spanish-language paper noted.

Carlyle acquired Telecable in 2011 valuing 100% of the Spanish cable company at EUR 400m. Taking Euskatel's IPO pricing as a reference, Telecable would now be worth up to EUR 670m, Expansion said. Other estimates put Telecable's value at EUR 505m.

Suitors include Euskaltel, CVC - 70% owner of R Cable y Telecomunicaciones Galicia and the private equity firms BC Partners, Providence and Advent, the report added.

Link to original source.

Source Expansion

>>> Asian Update

Asian Mid-session Update: Greece votes YES to bailout conditions; ADB cuts Developing Asia GDP targets

***Economic Data***
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q2 CPI Q/Q: 0.4% V 0.5%E; Y/Y: 0.3% V 0.3%E
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND JUN BUSINESS MANUFACTURING PMI: 55.2 V 52.0 PRIOR; 4-month high
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND JUL ANZ CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX: 113.9 V 119.9 PRIOR; M/M: -5.0% V -3.2% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA JUL CONSUMER INFLATION EXPECTATION: 3.4% V 3.0% PRIOR
- (SG) SINGAPORE JUN ELECTRONIC EXPORTS Y/Y: 7.6% V 2.4%E; NON-OIL DOMESTIC EXPORTS M/M: -2.4% V -1.2%E; Y/Y: 4.7% V 2.0%E

***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +0.5%, S&P/ASX +0.5%, Kospi +0.3%, Shanghai Composite +1.1%, Hang Seng +0.2%, Sept S&P500 +0.2% at 2,109

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Aug gold -0.2% at $1,145/oz, Aug crude oil +0.9% at $51.90/brl, Sept copper +0.1% at $2.52/lb
- (CN) PBoC to inject CNY20B in 7-day reverse repos (7th consecutive injection); Drains net CNY45B this week v neutral position prior
- USD/CNY: PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1173 v 6.1152 prior setting; weakest Yuan setting since July 8th
- (CN) China State Council pledges to stabilize RMB exchange rate at a reasonable level; China's slowing economy has stabilized - financial press
- (JP) Japan investors bought net ¥163.1B in foreign bonds V bought ¥205.2B in prior week; Foreign investors sold net ¥851.2B in Japan stocks v sold ¥185.4B in prior week
- JGB: (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥2.28T in 0.1% coupon 5-year JGB bonds; Avg yield: 0.116% v 0.122% prior; Bid-to-cover: 3.20x v 2.87x prior

***Market Focal Points/FX***
- Asian indices are volatile after a late US session swoon, with Shanghai Composite trading especially wildly in the morning hours. After trading down over 2% in the opening minutes, Shanghai was up over 1% headed toward its midday break, closely followed by more modest gains in Australia, Japan, and Korea.

Asia Development Bank (ADB) cuts its developing Asia 2015 GDP outlook for the region to 6.1% from 6.3% and 2016 to 6.2% from 6.3%. China GDP target was cut to 7.0% from 7.2% in 2015 and 6.8% from 7.0% in 2016, while those of India were affirmed at 7.8% and 8.2% respectively. ADB chief economist noted slower growth in China is having a noticeable effect on the rest of the region through international value chain, adding the PRC's decline is driven by weaker-than-expected external demand, a declining working age population, and rising wages.

As expected, Greek Parliament voted in favor of reforms mandated by creditors that would unlock more bailout funds and unfreeze the nation's banking system. 229 out of 300 lawmakers voted YES, 6 (all Syriza members) abstained, and 64 voted NO. Out of 64 NOs, 32 were also Syriza MPs. Ahead of the vote, PM Tsipras delivered an impassioned address that railed against the imposed austerity, but still ended up casting a YES vote. Former Fin Min Varoufakis vote was a more principled NO.

Rio Tinto and Woodside Petroleum - Australia's top-tier miner and oil producer - put out their quarterly production reports. Rio's iron ore output fell short of consensus at 79.7Mt v 81.9Me, and the miner also cut its outlook for FY15 production to about 340MT from 350M prior guided. WPL Q2 Rev was $898M v $1.7B y/y and at production 20.1mmboe v 23.5mmboe y/y, though it also maintained its FY15 outlook at 86-94mmboe. Shares of WPL initially rose at the open on some vague chatter of potential takeover interest from BHP, but those talks were quickly dismissed, sending WPL lower.

Fed's Williams followed Chair Yellen's congressional address with similar rhetoric straddling both sides of the fence - clearly committed to a 2015 liftoff but also cautious in terms of low levels of inflation. Williams also added the Fed will not start shrinking its balance sheet before raising rates.

In FX, NZD remained particularly heavily sold following another sharp decline in Global Dairy Trade auction prices. Q2 CPI also missed q/q consensus by a decimal, and those two reports contributed to more brokers forecasting additional RBNZ easing. NZD/USD fell to fresh 6-year lows below 0.6520, down another 80pips in the session. In other USD majors, EUR/USD hit 6-week lows below 1.0920, while USD/JPY was contained to a 20pip range below 124.


***Equities***
US equities / ADRs:
- NFLX: Reports Q2 $0.06 v $0.04e, R$1.64B v $1.65Be; +10.0% afterhours
- INTC: Reports Q2 $0.55 v $0.50e, R$13.2B v $13.0Be; Cuts FY15 Rev and capex guidance; +1.4% afterhours
- HCA: Guides Q2 $1.18 (incl items) v $1.32e, R$9.90B v $9.75Be; -1.2% afterhours

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer discretionary: China Eastern Airlines 670.HK +7.5% (H1 guidance); China Foods 506.HK +3.1% (H1 guidance); 361 Degrees International Ltd 1361.HK +1.6% (Q1 SSS); TCL Corp 000100.CN +5.0% (H1 guidance); Luk Fook Holdings 590.HK -0.9% (Q1 result)
- Consumer staples: Yuan Longping High-tech Agriculture Co 000998.CN +5.3% (H1 guidance)
- Financials: GF Securities 000776.CN +4.4% (H1 result); Founder Securities Co 601901.CN +1.6% (H1 guidance); China Overseas Land 688.HK +3.4% (June result); QBE Insurance Group QBE.AU +1.5% (sales of business)
- Industrials: Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport 600004.CN +6.4% (June result)
- Technology: Hundsun Technologies 600570.CN -1.4% (take measures amid probe); Inspur International 596.HK +2.4% (H1 guidance); Toshiba Corporation 6502.JP -2.0% (speculation on accounting scandal charges and sell certain assets)
- Energy: Woodside Petroleum WPL.AU -1.2% (Q2 result); Horizon Oil HZN.AU +6.9% (Seen on takeover radar)
- Materials: Metallurgical Corporation of China 1618.HK +1.5% (YTD new contracts); Iluka Resources ILU.AU -0.5% (Q2 result); Whitehaven Coal WHC.AU -5.2% (Q4 result); Paladin Energy Limited PDN.AU -2.0% (quarterly result); Rio Tinto Ltd RIO.AU -0.2% (Q2 result); Pangang Group Vanadium Titanium & Resources 000629.CN +4.1% (H1 guidance)
-Healthcare: Livzon Pharmaceutical Group 1513.HK +15.2% (proposes unit to be listed)
-Utilities: Huaneng Power International 902.HK +3.0% (H1 result)

(BN) China Crash ‘Way Bigger Than Subprime’ for Billionaire Singer



China Crash ‘Way Bigger Than Subprime’ for Billionaire Singer
2015-07-15 19:20:45.962 GMT


By Beth Jinks and Simone Foxman
(Bloomberg) -- Hedge fund manager Paul Singer said that
China’s debt-fueled stock market crash may have larger
implications than the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, echoing
warnings from fellow billionaire money managers Bill Ackman and
Jeffrey Gundlach.
“This is way bigger than subprime,” Singer, founder of
hedge fund Elliott Management, said at the CNBC Institutional
Investor Delivering Alpha Conference in New York in response to
a question about China’s crash potentially affecting other
markets. Singer said it may not be big enough to cause a global
financial market conflagration.
China’s stock market has dropped from a June 12 peak wiping
out almost $4 trillion in value in less than a month after
investors who borrowed to buy shares had to unwind trades.
Markets tumbled even as President Xi Jinping’s government ramped
up efforts to stem the rout, including preventing share sales of
companies.
The threat to markets from the country is a bigger concern
to Ackman, who runs Pershing Square Capital Management, than
Greece.
“China is a bigger global threat by far,” Ackman said
Wednesday at the conference. “The Chinese stock market is a
fairly remarkable phenomenon and I think kind of a frightening
one.”
Ackman said he’s worried about China’s lack of transparency
and questioned the reliability of its economic statistics, the
same day that China said gross domestic product rose 7 percent
in the last quarter.
“If you look at the Chinese financial system, you look at
shadow banking, you look at the amount of leverage, you look at
how desperately they worked to keep the stock market up. It
looks worse to me than 2007 in the U.S,” Ackman said.

Gundlach Comparison

DoubleLine Capital co-founder Gundlach compared the stock
market there with the Nasdaq in 1999, 2000, when technology
stocks collapsed.
“China is really kind of concerning,” Gundlach said in an
interview with CNBC at the conference. “China is far too
volatile and murky to invest in.”
Mary Erdoes, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Asset
Management, said at the event that China’s equities markets
don’t reflect the economy.
“It’s been 25 years of 7 percent growth,” said Erdoes.
“No other country has displayed that. Not even the U.S. There’s
a lot going on in the economy and it’s completely disassociated
with the stock market.”

For Related News and Information:
Bill Ackman Describes Valeant as Early Stage Berkshire Hathaway
Herbalife Surges After Raising Full-Year Earnings Forecast
Zoetis to Cut Up to 25% of Workforce After Ackman’s Pressure
Allergan, Valeant and Ackman End Fight Over Failed Buyout

To contact the reporters on this story:
Beth Jinks in San Francisco at +1-415-617-7141 or
bjinks1@bloomberg.net;
Simone Foxman in New York at +1-212-617-2052 or
sfoxman4@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Jeffrey McCracken at +1-212-617-8517 or
jmccracken3@bloomberg.net;
Christian Baumgaertel at +1-617-210-4624 or
cbaumgaertel@bloomberg.net
Pierre Paulden, Josh Friedman

(BN) Tsipras Wins Bailout Vote as ECB Weighs Emergency Funding (2)



Tsipras Wins Bailout Vote as ECB Weighs Emergency Funding (2)
2015-07-16 03:06:26.657 GMT


(Updates with government statement under Varoufakis
Opposes subheadline. For more Greece news and data, click here.)

By Eleni Chrepa, Nikos Chrysoloras and Matthew Campbell
(Bloomberg) -- Greek lawmakers passed a bailout agreement
that keeps the country in the euro for now, shifting attention
to the European Central Bank as it weighs whether to pump more
money into the country’s hobbled financial system.
After more than four hours of debate stretching into the
early hours of Thursday, 229 members of the 300-seat parliament
in Athens approved new austerity measures that are a
precondition of as much as 86 billion euros ($94 billion) in
aid. Among those who opposed the bill were 32 members of Prime
Minister Alexis Tsipras’s Coalition of the Radical Left, or
Syriza, a sign the premier may have lost his majority.
The vote puts the onus on the ECB and other euro-region
governments to deploy more emergency funds that would help Greek
banks gradually re-open and repair the country’s battered
coffers. The ECB’s Governing Council meets in Frankfurt later on
Thursday and Germany’s parliament will vote Friday on whether to
start bailout negotiations to help Greece cover its debts and
pay pensions and salaries.
Accepting the agreement with creditors “was a decision
which will be a burden for me for the rest of my life,” Finance
Minister Euclid Tsakalotos told lawmakers at the start of the
debate. “I don’t know if we did the right thing. But I know we
did something to which there was no alternative.”

Bridge Financing

The euro fell 0.14 percent to $1.0935 as of 11:04 a.m. in
Hong Kong. Asian stocks rose.
Finding a way to open banks and allow normal commerce to
resume will be the Greek government’s first priority. In its
Thursday meeting, the ECB will discuss whether to increase the
level of so-called emergency liquidity assistance it provides to
Greek lenders, which have been shut for more than two weeks to
stem withdrawals.
Greece also needs to secure bridge financing to cover
immediate needs that include making a 3.5 billion-euro payment
to the ECB due on July 20. The European Union has proposed a
facility worth 7 billion euros to tide the country over until
implementation of the full bailout begins. Euro-area finance
ministers are due to hold a conference call on Greece on
Thursday morning.
Europe’s most indebted country came closer than ever to
being forced out of the single currency this month after Tsipras
stunned European leaders by calling a snap referendum on
spending cuts and tax rises demanded by creditors. Despite a
clear majority of Greeks voting “no,” he was forced to
capitulate to an even more onerous package that political chiefs
said was the only way for Greece to remain in the euro.

Varoufakis Opposes

Yanis Varoufakis, the former finance minister who clashed
repeatedly with Wolfgang Schaeuble of Germany, was among 38
members of Syriza’s 149-member parliamentary caucus who either
voted “no” or abstained.
The result of today’s vote “constitutes a serious division
of Syriza,” Greek government spokesman Gabriel Sakellaridis
said in a statement. Tspiras’s priority now is to conclude an
agreement with Greece’s creditors, he said.
The level of opposition suggests Tsipras may now be forced
to rule with a minority government, relying on opposition
lawmakers to pass legislation.
“A minority administration will prove unsustainable,
making a national unity government likely,” Eurasia Group
analyst Mujtaba Rahman said in a note to clients. Such a
government, comprising all the major parties, “may prove to be
the only way possible” to secure bailout funds, Rahman said.
As debate began on the bailout bill, police fired tear gas
outside parliament to disperse anti-austerity protesters,
highlighting the challenges Tsipras faces selling further
spending cuts to a country already deep in recession. About
13,000 people gathered to protest in central Athens, police
spokesman Takis Papapetropoulos said, although by about 9:45
p.m. most had been dispersed by riot officers.
Tsipras, who was elected in January pledging to end
austerity and forge a new deal with creditors, didn’t rise to
speak in support of the bailout bill in parliament until the
early hours of Thursday morning.
“I had a choice of a deal I did not agree with, or a
disorderly default, or Schaeuble’s choice of a euro exit,”
Tsipras said. “I’m the last person to beautify an agreement
with which I disagree in many of its points.”

For Related News and Information:
Tsipras Must Rebuild Government After Wave of Bailout Defections
IMF Says Greece Needs Deeper Debt Relief Than Europe Considering
Greek Bailout Rests on Asset Sale Plan That Already Failed
Top Stories:TOP<GO>
Most-read Greek news: MNI GRE 1W <GO>

--With assistance from Antonis Galanopoulos in Athens.

To contact the reporters on this story:
Eleni Chrepa in Athens at +30-210-741-9034 or
echrepa@bloomberg.net;
Nikos Chrysoloras in Athens at +30-210-7419022 or
nchrysoloras@bloomberg.net;
Matthew Campbell in Athens at +44-20-3525-8684 or
mcampbell39@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Alan Crawford at +49-30-70010-6237 or
acrawford6@bloomberg.net;
John Fraher at +44-20-3525-2058 or
jfraher@bloomberg.net
Brendan Scott

>>> Intel béats by0.05


Intel beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q3 revs towards high end of expectations; lowers FY15 rev slightly, above estimates, raises gross margin slightly, lowers cap-ex
Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.55 per share, $0.05 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.50; revenues fell 4.6% year/year to $13.2 bln vs the $13.05 bln consensus.
Gross margin 62.5% vs. 62% +/- couple % guidance
Co issues guidance for Q3, sees Q3 revs of $13.8-14.8 bln vs. $14.07 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
Gross margin percentage: 63 percent, plus or minus a couple of percentage points.
Co issues upside guidance for FY15, lowers FY15 revs to down ~1% (from flat YoY) to ~$55.3 bln vs. $54.7 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
Gross margin percentage raised to 61.5%, plus or minus a couple of percentage points, from 61%; lowers cap-ex to $7.2-8.2 bln from $8.2-9.2 bln.
"We expect the launches of Skylake, Microsoft's Windows 10 and new OEM systems will bring excitement to client computing in the second half of 2015."

>>> US Close Dow-0.02% S&P-0.08% Nasdaq-0.12% Russell-0.69%

Closing Market Summary: Stocks Snap Four-Day Win Streak

The major averages snapped their four-day win streak on Wednesday as the market slipped into the red during afternoon action. It is worth noting that the late slip occurred amid reports of protesters clashing with riot gear-clad police in Syntagma Square in Athens ahead of this evening's parliamentary vote on the debt agreement with the eurozone. The S&P 500 shed 0.1% to narrow its weekly gain to 1.5%.

Equity indices started the day near their flat lines, seeing little reaction to a busy overnight session that featured the release of China's Q2 GDP (+7.0% year-over-year; consensus 6.9%) and news that the Bank of Japan lowered its GDP forecast for the fiscal year to 1.7% from 2.0%.

Stocks climbed out of the gate, but the S&P 500 could not extend too far above its flat line as most sectors displayed early losses; however, relative strength in financials (+0.8%), health care (+0.1%), and technology (+0.1%) kept the market in positive territory into the afternoon.

The financial sector held the lead throughout the session thanks to support from three large components. Specifically, Bank of America (BAC 17.68, +0.55) PNC (PNC 98.32, +0.82), and U.S. Bancorp (USB 45.53, +1.65) gained between 0.8% and 3.8% after reporting earnings. Bank of America and PNC reported better than expected results while U.S. Bancorp's report was in-line with estimates.

Unlike financials, the other two pockets of early strength could not hold gains into the afternoon. The health care sector ended right below its flat line, which masked relative strength in biotechnology. The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 390.76, +2.82) added 0.7% after being up as much as 2.3% in the early going. Still, the industry group finished ahead of the broader market thanks to a 7.0% spike in Celgene (CELG 131.39, +8.54) after the company raised its guidance and announced the acquisition of Receptos (RCPT 230.08, +22.90) for $232/share in cash.

The intraday strength in biotechnology kept the Nasdaq Composite in the lead, but the index slipped behind the S&P 500 during afternoon action. The top-weighted tech sector (+0.1%) held up relatively well thanks to a 1.0% gain in the shares of Apple (AAPL 126.82, +1.21), but high-beta chipmakers struggled with the PHLX Semiconductor Index falling 0.6%. Industry heavyweight—Intel (INTC 29.70, +0.05)—fared better than its counterparts, adding 0.2% ahead of its quarterly report.

Elsewhere, the energy sector (-1.6%) spent the day behind the remaining groups, dropping to lows in late afternoon action. The growth-sensitive group was pressured by crude oil, which fell 3.1% to $51.40/bbl.

In all likelihood, greenback strength was a headwind for oil as the Dollar Index (97.15, +0.50) climbed 0.5%. The index spiked above its overnight high after the release of Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's prepared remarks to the House Financial Services Committee. The testimony was largely uneventful with Ms. Yellen reiterating the Fed's intention to begin raising the fed funds rate in 2015 if economic conditions hold up.

Treasuries set their lows after the release of Chair Yellen's prepared remarks before advancing into the afternoon with the 10-yr yield falling five basis points to 2.35%.

Today's trading volume was ahead of totals observed earlier in the week as more than 750 million shares changed hands at the NYSE floor.

Economic data included PPI, Empire Manufacturing survey, Industrial Production, and the MBA Mortgage Index:
  • Producer prices increased 0.4% in June after increasing 0.5% in May while the Consensus expected an increase of 0.3% 
    • Gasoline prices increased 4.3% in June after a 17.0% gain in May 
    • Food prices rose 0.6% in June, down from a 0.8% increase in May 
    • Excluding food and energy, core PPI increased 0.3% in June after increasing 0.1% in May while the consensus expected an increase of 0.1% 
  • The Empire Manufacturing Survey for July registered a reading of 3.9, which was above the prior month's reading of -2.0 and above the consensus estimate, which was pegged at 3.0 
  • Industrial production increased 0.3% in June after declining 0.2% in May while the consensus expected an increase of 0.2% 
    • That was the first increase since a 0.2% gain in March, and the largest increase since a 1.1% gain in November 2014 
      • The increase in industrial production came from a combination of warmer temperatures and higher energy prices, not a pickup in demand from the manufacturing sector 
  • The weekly MBA Mortgage Index fell 1.9% to follow last week's 4.6% increase 
Tomorrow, weekly Initial Claims (consensus 283K) will be reported at 8:30 ET while the Philadelphia Fed Survey for July (consensus 12.0) and July NAHB Housing Market Index (expected 59) will both be released at 10:00 ET.
  • Nasdaq Composite +7.7% YTD 
  • Russell 2000 +5.1% YTD 
  • S&P 500 +2.4% YTD 
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +1.3% YTD