(BN) Tsipras Wins Bailout Vote as ECB Weighs Emergency Funding (2)



Tsipras Wins Bailout Vote as ECB Weighs Emergency Funding (2)
2015-07-16 03:06:26.657 GMT


(Updates with government statement under Varoufakis
Opposes subheadline. For more Greece news and data, click here.)

By Eleni Chrepa, Nikos Chrysoloras and Matthew Campbell
(Bloomberg) -- Greek lawmakers passed a bailout agreement
that keeps the country in the euro for now, shifting attention
to the European Central Bank as it weighs whether to pump more
money into the country’s hobbled financial system.
After more than four hours of debate stretching into the
early hours of Thursday, 229 members of the 300-seat parliament
in Athens approved new austerity measures that are a
precondition of as much as 86 billion euros ($94 billion) in
aid. Among those who opposed the bill were 32 members of Prime
Minister Alexis Tsipras’s Coalition of the Radical Left, or
Syriza, a sign the premier may have lost his majority.
The vote puts the onus on the ECB and other euro-region
governments to deploy more emergency funds that would help Greek
banks gradually re-open and repair the country’s battered
coffers. The ECB’s Governing Council meets in Frankfurt later on
Thursday and Germany’s parliament will vote Friday on whether to
start bailout negotiations to help Greece cover its debts and
pay pensions and salaries.
Accepting the agreement with creditors “was a decision
which will be a burden for me for the rest of my life,” Finance
Minister Euclid Tsakalotos told lawmakers at the start of the
debate. “I don’t know if we did the right thing. But I know we
did something to which there was no alternative.”

Bridge Financing

The euro fell 0.14 percent to $1.0935 as of 11:04 a.m. in
Hong Kong. Asian stocks rose.
Finding a way to open banks and allow normal commerce to
resume will be the Greek government’s first priority. In its
Thursday meeting, the ECB will discuss whether to increase the
level of so-called emergency liquidity assistance it provides to
Greek lenders, which have been shut for more than two weeks to
stem withdrawals.
Greece also needs to secure bridge financing to cover
immediate needs that include making a 3.5 billion-euro payment
to the ECB due on July 20. The European Union has proposed a
facility worth 7 billion euros to tide the country over until
implementation of the full bailout begins. Euro-area finance
ministers are due to hold a conference call on Greece on
Thursday morning.
Europe’s most indebted country came closer than ever to
being forced out of the single currency this month after Tsipras
stunned European leaders by calling a snap referendum on
spending cuts and tax rises demanded by creditors. Despite a
clear majority of Greeks voting “no,” he was forced to
capitulate to an even more onerous package that political chiefs
said was the only way for Greece to remain in the euro.

Varoufakis Opposes

Yanis Varoufakis, the former finance minister who clashed
repeatedly with Wolfgang Schaeuble of Germany, was among 38
members of Syriza’s 149-member parliamentary caucus who either
voted “no” or abstained.
The result of today’s vote “constitutes a serious division
of Syriza,” Greek government spokesman Gabriel Sakellaridis
said in a statement. Tspiras’s priority now is to conclude an
agreement with Greece’s creditors, he said.
The level of opposition suggests Tsipras may now be forced
to rule with a minority government, relying on opposition
lawmakers to pass legislation.
“A minority administration will prove unsustainable,
making a national unity government likely,” Eurasia Group
analyst Mujtaba Rahman said in a note to clients. Such a
government, comprising all the major parties, “may prove to be
the only way possible” to secure bailout funds, Rahman said.
As debate began on the bailout bill, police fired tear gas
outside parliament to disperse anti-austerity protesters,
highlighting the challenges Tsipras faces selling further
spending cuts to a country already deep in recession. About
13,000 people gathered to protest in central Athens, police
spokesman Takis Papapetropoulos said, although by about 9:45
p.m. most had been dispersed by riot officers.
Tsipras, who was elected in January pledging to end
austerity and forge a new deal with creditors, didn’t rise to
speak in support of the bailout bill in parliament until the
early hours of Thursday morning.
“I had a choice of a deal I did not agree with, or a
disorderly default, or Schaeuble’s choice of a euro exit,”
Tsipras said. “I’m the last person to beautify an agreement
with which I disagree in many of its points.”

For Related News and Information:
Tsipras Must Rebuild Government After Wave of Bailout Defections
IMF Says Greece Needs Deeper Debt Relief Than Europe Considering
Greek Bailout Rests on Asset Sale Plan That Already Failed
Top Stories:TOP<GO>
Most-read Greek news: MNI GRE 1W <GO>

--With assistance from Antonis Galanopoulos in Athens.

To contact the reporters on this story:
Eleni Chrepa in Athens at +30-210-741-9034 or
echrepa@bloomberg.net;
Nikos Chrysoloras in Athens at +30-210-7419022 or
nchrysoloras@bloomberg.net;
Matthew Campbell in Athens at +44-20-3525-8684 or
mcampbell39@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Alan Crawford at +49-30-70010-6237 or
acrawford6@bloomberg.net;
John Fraher at +44-20-3525-2058 or
jfraher@bloomberg.net
Brendan Scott

>>> Intel béats by0.05


Intel beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q3 revs towards high end of expectations; lowers FY15 rev slightly, above estimates, raises gross margin slightly, lowers cap-ex
Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.55 per share, $0.05 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.50; revenues fell 4.6% year/year to $13.2 bln vs the $13.05 bln consensus.
Gross margin 62.5% vs. 62% +/- couple % guidance
Co issues guidance for Q3, sees Q3 revs of $13.8-14.8 bln vs. $14.07 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
Gross margin percentage: 63 percent, plus or minus a couple of percentage points.
Co issues upside guidance for FY15, lowers FY15 revs to down ~1% (from flat YoY) to ~$55.3 bln vs. $54.7 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
Gross margin percentage raised to 61.5%, plus or minus a couple of percentage points, from 61%; lowers cap-ex to $7.2-8.2 bln from $8.2-9.2 bln.
"We expect the launches of Skylake, Microsoft's Windows 10 and new OEM systems will bring excitement to client computing in the second half of 2015."

>>> US Close Dow-0.02% S&P-0.08% Nasdaq-0.12% Russell-0.69%

Closing Market Summary: Stocks Snap Four-Day Win Streak

The major averages snapped their four-day win streak on Wednesday as the market slipped into the red during afternoon action. It is worth noting that the late slip occurred amid reports of protesters clashing with riot gear-clad police in Syntagma Square in Athens ahead of this evening's parliamentary vote on the debt agreement with the eurozone. The S&P 500 shed 0.1% to narrow its weekly gain to 1.5%.

Equity indices started the day near their flat lines, seeing little reaction to a busy overnight session that featured the release of China's Q2 GDP (+7.0% year-over-year; consensus 6.9%) and news that the Bank of Japan lowered its GDP forecast for the fiscal year to 1.7% from 2.0%.

Stocks climbed out of the gate, but the S&P 500 could not extend too far above its flat line as most sectors displayed early losses; however, relative strength in financials (+0.8%), health care (+0.1%), and technology (+0.1%) kept the market in positive territory into the afternoon.

The financial sector held the lead throughout the session thanks to support from three large components. Specifically, Bank of America (BAC 17.68, +0.55) PNC (PNC 98.32, +0.82), and U.S. Bancorp (USB 45.53, +1.65) gained between 0.8% and 3.8% after reporting earnings. Bank of America and PNC reported better than expected results while U.S. Bancorp's report was in-line with estimates.

Unlike financials, the other two pockets of early strength could not hold gains into the afternoon. The health care sector ended right below its flat line, which masked relative strength in biotechnology. The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 390.76, +2.82) added 0.7% after being up as much as 2.3% in the early going. Still, the industry group finished ahead of the broader market thanks to a 7.0% spike in Celgene (CELG 131.39, +8.54) after the company raised its guidance and announced the acquisition of Receptos (RCPT 230.08, +22.90) for $232/share in cash.

The intraday strength in biotechnology kept the Nasdaq Composite in the lead, but the index slipped behind the S&P 500 during afternoon action. The top-weighted tech sector (+0.1%) held up relatively well thanks to a 1.0% gain in the shares of Apple (AAPL 126.82, +1.21), but high-beta chipmakers struggled with the PHLX Semiconductor Index falling 0.6%. Industry heavyweight—Intel (INTC 29.70, +0.05)—fared better than its counterparts, adding 0.2% ahead of its quarterly report.

Elsewhere, the energy sector (-1.6%) spent the day behind the remaining groups, dropping to lows in late afternoon action. The growth-sensitive group was pressured by crude oil, which fell 3.1% to $51.40/bbl.

In all likelihood, greenback strength was a headwind for oil as the Dollar Index (97.15, +0.50) climbed 0.5%. The index spiked above its overnight high after the release of Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's prepared remarks to the House Financial Services Committee. The testimony was largely uneventful with Ms. Yellen reiterating the Fed's intention to begin raising the fed funds rate in 2015 if economic conditions hold up.

Treasuries set their lows after the release of Chair Yellen's prepared remarks before advancing into the afternoon with the 10-yr yield falling five basis points to 2.35%.

Today's trading volume was ahead of totals observed earlier in the week as more than 750 million shares changed hands at the NYSE floor.

Economic data included PPI, Empire Manufacturing survey, Industrial Production, and the MBA Mortgage Index:
  • Producer prices increased 0.4% in June after increasing 0.5% in May while the Consensus expected an increase of 0.3% 
    • Gasoline prices increased 4.3% in June after a 17.0% gain in May 
    • Food prices rose 0.6% in June, down from a 0.8% increase in May 
    • Excluding food and energy, core PPI increased 0.3% in June after increasing 0.1% in May while the consensus expected an increase of 0.1% 
  • The Empire Manufacturing Survey for July registered a reading of 3.9, which was above the prior month's reading of -2.0 and above the consensus estimate, which was pegged at 3.0 
  • Industrial production increased 0.3% in June after declining 0.2% in May while the consensus expected an increase of 0.2% 
    • That was the first increase since a 0.2% gain in March, and the largest increase since a 1.1% gain in November 2014 
      • The increase in industrial production came from a combination of warmer temperatures and higher energy prices, not a pickup in demand from the manufacturing sector 
  • The weekly MBA Mortgage Index fell 1.9% to follow last week's 4.6% increase 
Tomorrow, weekly Initial Claims (consensus 283K) will be reported at 8:30 ET while the Philadelphia Fed Survey for July (consensus 12.0) and July NAHB Housing Market Index (expected 59) will both be released at 10:00 ET.
  • Nasdaq Composite +7.7% YTD 
  • Russell 2000 +5.1% YTD 
  • S&P 500 +2.4% YTD 
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +1.3% YTD

>>> US After Hours Summary: NFLX +10.8%, ONDK +5.3%, INTC +2.7%, CPSS

After Hours Summary: NFLX +10.8%, ONDK +5.3%, INTC +2.7%, CPSS +1.3%, FBRC -0.6% following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: NFLX
+10.8%, ONDK +5.3%, INTC +2.7%, CPSS +1.3%, UMPQ +1.1%, KMI +0.7%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: PVA +3.2% (sold its East Texas assets to an undisclosed buyer for $75 million), BLPH +1.7% (entered into an amendment to the transition services agreement with Ikaria to advance the termination date of the Services Agreement from February 8, 2016 to September 30, 2015), GLW +1.3% (announced $2 bln share repurchase program), PBIP +0.7% (approved a second stock repurchase program, covering up to 850K common shares), KMI +0.7% (to purchase 100% of Shell's Equity Interest in the Elba LNG Liquefaction JV; KMI's expected incremental investment resulting from this transaction is ~$630 mln; co also reported earnings)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: FBRC -0.6%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: ANR -32.8% (WSJ reporting that co is in talks to obtain bankruptcy financing), SYN -12.2% (priced its offering of common stock; details not disclosed), RLGT -5.0% (co and certain shareholders commenced an underwritten public offering; size not disclosed), NAV -1.9% (disclosed a lawsuit filed against to co by the EPA relating to allegations that various heavy-duty diesel engines it introduced did not meet the EPA's emissions standards), BG -0.5% (to close its oil packaging plant in Bradley, Illinois)

>>> Beige Book : FEDERAL RESERVE BEIGE BOOK: ECONOMY CONTINUED EXPANSION, ALL RE

FEDERAL RESERVE BEIGE BOOK: ECONOMY CONTINUED EXPANSION, ALL REGIONS SHOWED EXPANSION 

All twelve Federal Reserve Districts indicated that economic activity expanded from mid-May through June. Activity in New York, Philadelphia, and Kansas City grew at a modest pace, while Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Dallas, and San Francisco saw moderate growth. Compared with the previous report, growth remained steady in Cleveland, and Boston reported conditions were stable or improving. Boston, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Kansas City, and Dallas reported that contacts were optimistic about future growth, while Chicago and San Francisco cited optimism coming from specific sectors.

Improvements in consumer spending varied by District. Some Districts indicated that low energy prices helped boost spending, while some border Districts noted weakness tied to the rising dollar. Automobile sales increased in almost all Districts. Tourism expanded in most regions, except New York where activity slowed.

Nonfinancial services experienced moderate growth since the previous report. Boston, Richmond, St. Louis, Minneapolis, and Dallas noted strength in professional and business services. Boston and Richmond saw growth increase for healthcare services.Transportation activity was mixed across the country. Trucking was weak in Philadelphia but volumes held steady in Dallas. Ports in Richmond cited recordvolumes in freight. Reports on manufacturing activity were uneven across the country, but positive in Boston, Philadelphia, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, and St. Louis.

Reports on residential and commercial real estate markets were positive. Home sales increased for most Districts, although Philadelphia and Dallas reported sales were mixed, and New York reported a decline in sales volume. Most Districts noted home price appreciation. Residential construction activity varied across most of the country. Commercial real estate activity increased at a modest pace for several Districts, while non-residential construction, especially multifamily, was strong in many Districts.Lending activity increased since the last report. Real estate lending was up in half of the Districts. Consumer lending, particularly auto loans, rose in several Districts. Districts that reported on delinquency rates indicated that they were low. Credit quality and credit standards were mostly unchanged since the previous report.

Among Districts reporting on agriculture, rainfall damaged crops in Chicago and St. Louis but helped improve growing conditions in Dallas. Oil and natural gas drilling declined in Cleveland, Minneapolis, Kansas City, and Dallas. Coal production was flat in Cleveland and down in Richmond. Energy related capital expenditures were down in some Districts.

Across Districts, employment levels increased or were steady in most sectors, although there were some reports of layoffs in manufacturing and energy industries. Labor market tightness was reported in Boston, Atlanta, Minneapolis, and Dallas.Most Districts cited only modest wage pressures aside from positions that required specialized skills or were in high-demand. Prices for inputs and finished goods remained steady since the previous report.GROWTH 

* BY DISTRICT:
- Boston: "stable or improving"
- New York: "modest" growth
- Philadelphia: "modest" growth- Cleveland: "steady"
- Richmond: "strengthened moderately"
- Atlanta: "moderate" expansion
- Chicago: "moderate" growth- St. Louis: "moderate" growth
- Minneapolis: "moderate" growth
- Kansas City: "modest" growth
- Dallas: "moderate" growth (improved from slightly slower in last Beige Book)
- San Francisco: "moderate" growth


>>> Hedge fund investors' comments from Delivering Alpha Conference -

HIGHLIGHTS-Hedge fund investors' comments from Delivering Alpha Conference

15-Jul-2015 13:05:28

NEW YORK, July 15 (Reuters) - Prominent names from the hedge fund community are speaking on Wednesday at the CNBC Institutional Investor Delivering Alpha Conference in New York. The following are highlights from their comments.

STARBOARD VALUE CEO JEFFREY SMITH ON MACY'S M.N

Macy's has a real estate value of about $21 billion, Smith said.

"More than that, they have high-valued credit card earnings of $8.5 billion. We think Macy's should be worth more than $125 a share, and buying it is a cheap proposition."

"We are willing to do whatever is necessary to increase value for shareholders. Of course, it's a lot easier to work with the management, especially if you start seeing them make changes in the right direction." (Full Story)

NELSON PELTZ, CEO OF TRIAN FUND MANAGEMENT, ON DUPONT DD.N

Shareholders' rejection of his campaign to land seats on the chemical company's board "has been a significant loss for shareholders." (Full Story)

"My question to you is, that if the election held today, what do you think the results would be?"

"We want management and the board to do a good job. We'd rather be rich than right."

PELTZ ON PEPSICO PEP.N

The beverage maker is positioned to "meet or beat earnings every quarter from here on in."

PELTZ, PERSHING SQUARE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT HEAD BILL ACKMAN ON MCDONALD'S CORP

Ackman, who was a major investor in Burger King BKCBK.UL, said that the company was in a "much worse place" than rival McDonald's Corp MCD.N is in today. Peltz said the "culture and mindset" at McDonald's "has to be turned upside down."

PELTZ, ACKMAN ON CHINA

Peltz said there was a "big consumer opportunity" in China which companies like Mondelez International Inc MDLZ.O were taking advantage of, while Ackman said of the world's second-largest economy: "long-term, I think it's a great story."

LMM CHAIRMAN AND CIO BILL MILLER ON RATES

He said a coming bear market in bonds will be "benign."

DOUBLELINE CAPITAL'S JEFFREY GUNDLACH ON MACRO ISSUES

Reiterates does not think Fed will raise rates in 2015.

Likes U.S. dollar-denominated emerging market debt, high yield bonds in short term.

Homebuilding "will never go back to where it was" but he is not negative on homebuilders.

(Sky)Grocers Face CMA Action After Super-Complaint

http://news.sky.com/story/1519494/grocers-face-cma-action-after-super-complaint

Regulators will say on Thursday that a full market investigation into UK supermarkets is not required, Sky News learns.

Britain's biggest grocery retailers face a tightening of consumer protection laws but will avoid the most draconian sanctions available to regulators after a three-month probe into the industry's promotional tactics.


Sky News has learnt that the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) will on Thursday unveil a series of recommendations aimed at improving the transparency of supermarkets' pricing activities.

The prospect of some form of competition or consumer enforcement action was still being discussed by the regulator on Wednesday, with a final decision about whether to pursue such a move expected shortly.

However, the CMA will disappoint advocates of even tougher measures such as a full market investigation, according to people briefed on the findings.

"There are still some moving parts and the language could yet get a bit tougher [towards the industry]," the person said.

The CMA will be responding to a so-called super-complaint lodged in April by the consumer group Which?.

Its recommendations will include further bolstering the role of trading standards officials; making on-shelf pricing more legible and consistent across product categories; and tweaking rules covering special offers through a tightening of Consumer Protection Regulations.

A source said the CMA's own research had found during its 90-day investigation that hundreds of products were the subject of misleading promotions in UK supermarkets.

Which?'s super-complaint accused retailers of creating the illusion of savings through the use of multi-buys, shrinking products and baffling sales offers with 40% of groceries sold on promotion.

The organisation said that consumers could be collectively losing hundreds of millions of pounds if just a small proportion of offers were misleading, adding that it was virtually impossible for people to know if they were getting a fair deal.

Under the Enterprise Act 2002, designated consumer bodies such as Which can file a super-complaint alleging that "any feature, or combination of features, of a market in the United Kingdom for goods or services is or appears to be significantly harming the interests of consumers".

The CMA has decided that while there are some issues with pricing transparency and special offers, the problem is not sufficiently endemic to justify a full market investigation.

"This is not a report which jumps on the industry's back," said an insider.

The CMA is, however, expected to say that it will continue to monitor the areas of concern raised by Which?

Promotions have become more widely used in the supermarket sector over the last 12 months as major retailers like Asda, Sainsbury's and Tesco have sought to salvage market share lost to discounters such as Aldi and Lidl.

Which? executive director Richard Lloyd said in April: "Despite Which? repeatedly exposing misleading and confusing pricing tactics, and calling for voluntary change by the retailers, these dodgy offers remain on numerous supermarket shelves."

The CMA and Which? declined to comment on Wednesday.

(Washington Post) Europe’s dirty little secret is Greece will never pay back its

Europe’s dirty little secret is Greece will never pay back its debt
A specter is haunting Europe — the specter of Greece's debt.

For a long time, the fact that Greece is basically bankrupt was the truth that dared not speak its name. But now it's become the truth that can speak its name as long as long as it doesn't do anything else. Even German finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble has admitted that Greek "debt sustainability is not feasible without a haircut," before less-than-helpfully concluding that "there cannot be a haircut" because it's against the rules. And that seemed to be that — until Tuesday night.

That's when the International Monetary Fund became maybe the most unlikely revolutionary ever with its demand that Greece get debt relief in any bailout it's a part of. The vague promises Europe has and continues to make in aren't enough. The IMF won't play this game of I-give-you-money-to-give-back-to-me-so-we-can-both-pretend-you-can-pay-me-back anymore. It's already seen how that one ends—with Greece defaulting on it, as it did last week. So the IMF doesn't want to reduce Greece's debt because it feels bad for Greece. It wants to reduce Greece's debt because it wants to be repaid by Greece.

The simple story is that Greece's debt might have been manageable before, but it's not anymore. In the past six months, Greece's government has borrowed more than it was supposed to, and Greece's economy hasn't grown like it was supposed to—it's actually shrunk, and probably a lot more now that its banks have been forced shut—so that Athens not only has more to pay, but is also less able to pay. That's why the IMF now estimates that Greece's debt-to-gross domestic product ratio will spike from 177 percent today to 200 percent in the next two years. And that's with some pretty aggressive assumptions, too. The IMF expects Greece to run budget surpluses, excluding interest interest payments, of 3.5 percent of GDP "for the next several decades," even though it acknowledges that "few countries have managed to do so" in the past. And it thinks Greece will "go from the lowest to among the highest in productivity growth and labor force participation rates in the euro area." In other words, Greece's debt is unsustainable even if you assume it runs surpluses for an almost impossibly long time and its economy grows a lot.

So if Greece can't cut its way out of debt and it can't grow its way out of debt, its only option is to default its way out of debt. There are more and less painful ways of doing this. Least among them is for the two sides to work together, so both can keep getting at least some money from the other. That's a polite default, or a restructuring. And the IMF has suggested three ways that might work. Europe can either give Greece money every year; give Greece a pass on some of what it owes; or give Greece far more time to pay what it owes, with a 30-year grace period at the start. But in any case, Europe is effectively going to have to give—notice how that word keeps popping up—Greece money. It just depends on how they want to do it.

If history is any guide, the answer is in the least transparent way possible. That rules out cutting Greece a check every year or cutting the amount it owes. Instead, today's 20-year bonds that it doesn't need to pay for 10 years could become tomorrow's 60-year bonds that it doesn't need to pay for 30 years. And the interest rate on them might even get reduced from 0.5 to 0.2 percent. Bonds like that would be so negligible that there's a good chance far in the future, if there really is a United States of Europe, that they'd become entirely negligible—that is, forgiven. That, after all, is the process that Europe started in 2012, when it turned a lot of Greece's debt into the make-believe variety by postponing payments, lowering interest payments, and stretching out pay times. The IMF just wants Europe to make it even more make-believe now. And Europe probably will, because the alternatives are so much worse: either having to pay more for a bailout that doesn't include the IMF, or having the bailout fall apart and Greece leave euro.


But it won't be long until Greece is back here again. It's worth pointing out, though, that this isn't because 177 percent of GDP of debt is by itself unsustainable. It's not, or at least it doesn't have to be. Countries with good financial reputations that borrow in a currency they control—like postwar Britain—can and have carried even higher debt loads. No, it's that 177 percent of GDP of debt is unsustainable in the euro zone. Those countries can't offset budget cuts with lower interest rates to spur lending or a cheaper currency to make workers and exports more competitive, so budget cuts that suck money out of the economy can do more harm than any savings that goes toward debt repayment. That is, after all, a pretty good description of what happened in Greece between 2009 and 2014. Its total debt only went up 6 percent during that time—partly due to its write-down in 2012—but its debt burden (or debt-to-GDP ratio) went up 40 percent. Austerity, in other words, has been self-defeating, and that's probably not going to change. So even if Greece does everything right, there's a good chance its debt-to-GDP ratio will keep rising even if its debt doesn't, at which point Europe will tsk-tsk it for needing another restructuring.

2300 (48)
The euro is a triumph of politics over economics, but each one is short-lived. What that means is that having a single central bank set a single interest rate for 18 different countries will inevitably end in tears for some of them. Europe has been able to make up for that, though, by summoning the will to do whatever the least it needs to do at any particular moment for the common currency to stick together. But the problem is that each bailout makes the politics of the next one harder at the same time that the economics don't get much easier. It's enough to keep the euro from breaking apart, but not enough to fix it.

And that's the best way to think about the IMF's plans for Greece's debt. Two of them (a haircut or restructuring) would solve the crisis for now, and the other (annual transfers) would solve it for good. But Europe will probably only be able to bring itself to do the one that will help the least, because voters don't want it to do any more than that. And it's hard to see how that would change. Well, unless bailout fatigue sets in, and people want even less than the least.

Then the workers of Europe, let alone the world, wouldn't unite, and they really might lose their euro chains.