FT : Erdoğan bids to contain fallout from Turkey’s $18bn stock market scandal Pr

Erdoğan bids to contain fallout from Turkey’s $18bn stock market scandal
President says those ‘engaged in manipulative schemes’ will be held to account as deputy chair of governing party resigns

Turkey’s economy is “robust” and whoever was “engaged in manipulative schemes” will be held to account, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan said as his government seeks to contain the fallout from an $18bn stock market scandal.

Speaking late on Monday after a lengthy cabinet meeting, Erdoğan also said that his government was working on how to “prevent a similar issue from recurring”.

The collapse earlier this month of what officials have alleged is a Ponzi scheme has since been linked to at least one high-ranking government official.

On Sunday, Fatma Betül Sayan Kaya, deputy chair of Erdoğan’s governing Justice and Development Party, resigned after an opposition politician alleged that she and her husband made millions of dollars from trading shares in one of the companies caught up in the scandal.

“The necessary investigations are being conducted into those who have engaged in manipulative schemes . . . to secure unfair gains,” Erdoğan said. “Those found to have been involved in market-disrupting activities via these funds will be held to account.”

Kaya, a former families minister, said she had offered Erdoğan her resignation so that her “position [was] not subject to controversy” during the investigation and to protect “the integrity of the [investigation] process”.

The so-called “funds crisis” erupted after funds managed by asset manager Tera Portföy failed to meet redemption requests. Problems subsequently spread to other asset managers, prompting a run on funds and forcing regulators to step in.

The financial implosion has affected the savings of more than 450,000 investors in 131 funds. Analysts said their potentially heavy losses could affect Erdoğan’s standing among voters already weary of years of high inflation and falling real wages.

“There is a growing perception that [Erdoğan] or his close aides knew about the manipulative practices,” said Atilla Yeşilada, an Istanbul-based analyst at the consultancy GlobalSource Partners. “The resignation of party vice-chair . . . adds weight to this perception.”

Prosecutors on Monday also issued an arrest warrant for İskender Balcı, until recently an independent director of a company linked to the scandal. Balcı, who surrendered to authorities later in the day, is the son of a former board member of Turkey’s banking supervisory body BDDK, and the son-in-law of Osman Çelik, a deputy treasury and finance minister.

Balcı said on Monday that his role was as a non-executive independent director, with no authority over daily operations or share trading, and that when he learnt of certain share price movements he “repeatedly expressed” his “deep discomfort” to the board and, ultimately, resigned.

Other prominent figures have also sat on the boards of companies that have been caught up in the affair, including a university rector and a former ambassador.

The government has moved swiftly to limit the financial fallout of the scandal, and authorities have appointed İşbank and state-owned Ziraat Bank to liquidate affected funds and distribute the proceeds to investors, a process that could take up to six months.

On Monday, Turkey benchmark’s BIST-100 index shed 2 per cent, extending an almost 11 per cent drop since the market shake-out accelerated two weeks ago. But currency markets have remained calm, with no obvious flight into dollars by worried Turkish savers.

“There is no problem with our economy,” Turkish vice-president Cevdet Yılmaz told business leaders on Saturday, describing the fund scandal as a “temporary problem in a limited area” from which Turkey’s capital markets would emerge stronger.

FT : OpenAI axes next model citing safety issues AI lab will hold back GPT-6.1 A

OpenAI axes next model citing safety issues
AI lab will hold back GPT-6.1 Astra following mounting pressure over misbehaviour by its agents

OpenAI has pulled the release of its next AI model, saying it performed worse than its predecessor on safety evaluations as the industry grapples with a spate of incidents in which AI agents hacked into other companies and governments.

Saachi Jain, head of safety systems at OpenAI, said the company decided to hold back GPT-6.1 Astra after the model “didn’t quite meet the bar” for staying within the bounds of its instructions.

The announcement comes after OpenAI last week said it had notified dozens of partners, including governments, that its AI agents had breached their systems and that agents had inadvertently leaked more than 50 images shared by users to image-hosting sites.

This marked the latest in a series of disclosures about misbehaviour and hacking by OpenAI’s AI agents — bots that can perform complex tasks autonomously.

The $852bn start-up has acknowledged that in some cases it took months to detect agents that had run amok during internal model training and testing.

Chief executive Sam Altman has joined industry calls to slow the pace of research to ensure AI is developed safely and has said the company has already changed the way it trains models.

Jain said OpenAI faced a “trade-off” between making models persistent enough to complete tasks and ensuring they follow their instructions, a concept known as “alignment”.

“You really do need to find what’s the right line between staying within scope, but also avoiding laziness in terms of how the model actually pursues tasks even when it hits friction,” Jain said in a statement.

She said GPT-6.1 Astra “didn’t quite meet the bar in terms of staying within scope and authorization, and how it communicates back to the user about the type of work it’s done”.

“When we ship [our models] to users, we have an extremely high bar in terms of safety and alignment,” she added.

A person close to the company said GPT-6.1 Astra had scored below GPT-6 Astra, OpenAI’s current most advanced model, on alignment evaluations but the company had other models coming soon that met its safety bar. The Wall Street Journal first reported the OpenAI decision.

OpenAI has been reviewing its models’ behaviour during training and evaluation since an incident that came to light in July, in which agents gained access to the internet during testing and hacked into Hugging Face, the AI model and data repository.

The review has so far unearthed several other incidents, including agents hacking an Australian government health service website. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese on Wednesday called the breach, and OpenAI’s slow response to it, “obviously unacceptable”.

Security breaches at OpenAI and rivals Anthropic and Google have prompted renewed calls for an industry-wide pause or slowdown. Altman joined Anthropic’s Dario Amodei and SpaceX’s Elon Musk in calls to “pace the frontier” of AI development so that safety measures can keep up.

But President Donald Trump has resisted calls to regulate the sector or impose strict guardrails on leading US labs, arguing that American primacy in the technology is vital to staying ahead of China.

FT : Can Kering’s ‘car guy’ CEO make luxury move twice as fast? Luca de Meo is r

Can Kering’s ‘car guy’ CEO make luxury move twice as fast?
Luca de Meo is ruffling feathers by introducing industrial production methods at the owner of Gucci and Saint Laurent

When Kering chief Luca de Meo gathered his executives last September for a three-day deep dive into the roots of the luxury group’s problems, he invited some unexpected guests: its star designers.

Kering’s creatives, who call the tune at brands including Gucci, Saint Laurent and Bottega Veneta, had long occupied “another planet” far removed from the comparatively humdrum operational machine, according to one insider. On top of that, de Meo’s summit coincided with their preparations for Paris Fashion Week, which began just days later.

The former Renault boss’s decision to summon some of the biggest names in fashion provided an early glimpse of an iconoclastic streak that is ruffling feathers at one of the largest and most troubled companies in the gilded luxury industry.

Informed by decades spent in Europe’s car industry, de Meo is working to fuse the operations of Kering’s independently managed brands into a more integrated industrial machine by standardising production and centralising decision-making.

His goal is to create a more efficient company where 70 per cent of production is handled centrally, with the rest handled by brands independently.

The initiative, carried out in de Meo’s trademark direct style, is “putting a lot of tension in the system”, according to one person close to the company.

Bringing elements of a blueprint honed in car plants into the atelier is turning into a closely watched experiment in the luxury industry, which has long professed a commitment to artisanal craftsmanship as a way of justifying the hefty price tags of its products.

A former Kering employee described de Meo’s “penchant for operational optimisation” as a “fairly novel” approach in the luxury industry.

“No one knows if he’s going to pull it off, but everyone is watching,” the person said.

De Meo arrived at Kering a year ago with a mandate to shake things up.

A protracted downturn in luxury spending has shone a harsh light on the group’s problems, particularly at key brand Gucci, where revenues had fallen by over a fifth in a single year due to weak demand in China and mishandled creative transitions.

Under the long-term leadership of the billionaire Pinault family, Kering’s market value soared from around €20bn in 2013 to almost €100bn at its 2021 peak before tumbling back to a low of €20bn last year. But de Meo’s belief was that Kering’s longstanding structure — a holding company that sits above independently managed brands — was inefficient and in need of an overhaul.

De Meo has repurposed his office in Kering’s Paris headquarters as a meeting room dominated by a large black table where he works with a rotating cast of employees and advisers. When asked which executive car he wished to be chauffeured around in, the Italian opted for an electric van on the basis that a larger vehicle would give him and his team more space to work on the road.

In February, de Meo declared that “the level of bullshit has diminished enormously” within the company. “We say things as they are and we attack them one after the other,” he said.

De Meo also forced a new tempo at Renault after arriving at the struggling carmaker from Seat in 2020. He tried to turbocharge its electric car development by forming a new unit squarely focused on the technology. It succeeded in turning out some hit models, though a slated public listing of the division was abandoned.

“Luca moves fast,” said one former Renault colleague, who credits de Meo with re-energising the company after a period of scandal and financial stress. “He set some sort of event or deadline every six months to force the company to move [forward].”

As he toured his way around Kering’s offices and factories, the group’s new hard-charging chief found examples of loose practice and inefficiency that surprised him.

Among the discoveries were that ready-to-wear collections did not arrive in stores for more than six months after appearing on the runway, while Kering’s various houses all packaged shoes in different types of boxes. De Meo, who was schooled in an industry where every last rivet is jointly purchased and production is timed to the minute, watched with concern as inventory piled up.

“I hate stocks . . . so we will have to design a machine that is different,” he declared on an earnings call in July, noting that product lead times at Gucci were shortening. “That requires a re-engineering of the industrial process plus the ecosystem of suppliers.”

De Meo plans to shrink Kering’s supplier base, which numbers around 4,000 for fashion and leather goods alone, and to double the proportion of products produced in the group’s own 37 plants in Italy. 

The luxury industry’s transformation over the past two decades into a €1.4tn goliath has left the maisons of Paris and Milan grappling with how to embrace mass production while retaining the artisanal craftsmanship they made their names on.

De Meo, known for his love of designer watches, believes that jewellery is an ideal product category to marry Renault-style industrial methods with luxury craftsmanship. On a recent visit to a production site for Pomellato, one of Kering’s jewellery brands, he was impressed as he chatted with artisans working by hand, according to one person present.

“What you do is amazing! Now I need you to do it twice as fast,” Kering’s boss joked with a twinkle in his eye.

In another break from luxury’s traditions, de Meo is hiring extensively from outside the industry — particularly from his erstwhile employer. Kering’s newly appointed heads of digital, human resources and investor relations have all arrived from Renault, while the new head of strategy is a former Boston Consulting Group partner who worked with de Meo at the French carmaker.

A person close to Kering said de Meo has also promoted people internally and hired from other luxury companies.

De Meo has also given back to his old employer by signing a deal in May for Gucci to sponsor Renault’s Alpine Formula 1 team, a sport de Meo is personally passionate about.

As new blood arrived, de Meo ordered that Kering’s media buying and planning be centralised, upending decades of working practice which saw campaigns handled by brands independently. Group-wide hubs have been established for industry and client expertise.

Some employees have been unsettled by the changes, which they feel have compromised their autonomy and raised pressure to deliver results at pace, according to people familiar with the matter. 

But others believe that de Meo is stoking a much-needed culture clash at a company that has been controlled by the Pinault family since 2005.

“Luca describes himself as brutal. I see him as direct and decisive,” Saint Laurent chief executive Cédric Charbit said in May. “The luxury industry needs more of that.”

Reviving performance at Gucci, which contributes 41 per cent of Kering’s €14.7bn annual revenue and almost 60 per cent of its €1.6bn operating profit, holds the key to de Meo’s goal of doubling profitability in the medium term.

To help get to grips with a brand that the former employee described as “a kingdom unto itself”, De Meo has set up a second office in its Milan headquarters where he spends around two days a week.

Kering’s deputy chief Francesca Bellettini has been appointed to lead a turnaround of the brand. In China, a key market, the plan is to reduce discounting, revitalise the product range and close stores in peripheral cities.

Nick Anderson at Berenberg wrote that while “there is much low-hanging fruit to harvest through simply professionalising the management of the business . . . the plan’s ultimate success depends on how long the structural headwinds buffeting the Chinese and aspirational consumers . . . persist”.

Internally, de Meo will still need to win over luxury lifers sceptical of methods honed in the car industry. De Meo rankles at doubters who dismiss him as a cost-cutting car guy with a blunt one-size-fits-all approach.

“It’s a form of defence from luxury industry people” who are “underestimating the level of intellectual sophistication that I have when I analyse the situation,” he told reporters in April.

“I know that this is a creative industry,” he added. “But it is also industry.”

FT : Can Italy’s opposition unite against Giorgia Meloni? Leftwing parties remai

Can Italy’s opposition unite against Giorgia Meloni?
Leftwing parties remain divided on Russia and on joint candidate for prime minister ahead of upcoming elections

As the Covid-19 pandemic ravaged Italy in 2020, then-prime minister Giuseppe Conte welcomed a Russian military-humanitarian mission that security experts warned gave Moscow a golden opportunity to gather intelligence.

Alongside doctors and medical equipment flown in on 14 military aircraft, Russia also sent “30 special units, each consisting of two vehicles equipped with data processing modules”, according to an Italian government statement at the time.

Conte is now eyeing a political comeback, jostling to lead a centre-left alliance against Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni in upcoming elections. As part of his pitch is a shift in Rome’s support for Kyiv and a return to a friendlier stance towards Moscow.

“We must change everything — starting with foreign policy,” Conte told cheering supporters of his populist Five Star Movement in Milan this month.

He is not alone in wanting to lead Italy’s next government.

Elly Schlein, leader of the centre-left Democratic Party (PD), sees herself as the rightful head of the opposition’s so-called “wide field”, of which her party is the largest, polling roughly twice the level of the Five Star Movement.

How Conte, Schlein and their supporters reconcile their competing ambitions and divergent views — not least over Ukraine — will help determine the strength of the challenge they can mount to Meloni next year.

“They will come together. Both Schlein and Conte are very, very clear: the only chance they have to beat Meloni is to come together in an alliance,” said Daniele Albertazzi, a political scientist at the University of Surrey. “The question is, is this going to be a credible proposal for the electorate or not?”

Nearly four years after taking office, Meloni’s aura of invincibility is starting to fray. Voters are disgruntled by sluggish growth and a squeeze on real wages. A recent YouTrend poll found 53 per cent believed Italy was going in the wrong direction.

The prime minister is also under attack on her right from Roberto Vannacci, the former general whose new National Future party is drawing support from Meloni’s junior coalition partners, the conservative Forza Italia and the far-right League.

She is also pushing for a controversial electoral system overhaul originally designed to bolster her coalition’s chances of re-election but which could backfire, given Vannacci’s appeal with her base.

While Italy’s next elections must be held by next autumn, analysts say Meloni may be tempted to seek an early vote.

But to exploit the prime minister’s vulnerabilities, opposition parties must overcome a long history of mutual animosity and mistrust and fight together — something they failed to do in the 2022 general election, when their divisions helped Meloni’s rightwing alliance to a comfortable victory.

“It was our inability to unite that gave them the keys to the country,” Lia Quartapelle, a PD lawmaker and vice-president of the parliament’s foreign affairs committee, told the FT.

Meloni’s vote reform — awaiting final parliamentary approval next week — adds another incentive to coalesce by rewarding the largest pre-election alliance with extra seats. To benefit, parties would have to campaign behind a joint PM candidate and a common political platform — requirements that are already roiling the fragmented opposition.

Schlein wants centre-left parties to agree on a common platform before holding primaries to choose a prime ministerial candidate. Conte wants the leader chosen first. Other likely partners include Italia Viva, led by former prime minister Matteo Renzi, who is deeply disliked by Five Star supporters, and the leftist Green-Left Alliance.

With Conte and Schlein already publicly sniping at each other, some suggest the allies should avoid a divisive primary and instead agree on a unifying consensus candidate — an approach backed by Renzi, who sees scope to choose a loyal protégé.

But Conte is set on holding a primary, which polls currently suggest the combative Five Star leader would be well placed to win.

“Conte is much more appreciated by a majority of people in the PD than Schlein is appreciated in the Five Star Movement,” said Gianmauro Dell’Olio, a Five Star lawmaker. “In a potential war against Meloni, Conte has by far more chances.”

Even if PD and Five Star manage to unite behind a single candidate, they would likely struggle to govern together, said Lorenzo Castellani, a political historian at Rome’s Luiss University.

“There is a lot of fog around the programme of the leftwing coalition,” Castellani said, calling the prospective alliance “an electoral cartel, not a real coalition” given their ideological differences. If they actually win, he added, “the risk of instability is high”. 

Among the most divisive issues is support for Ukraine. Conte — like Vannacci — would like to put a stop to Rome’s military aid to Kyiv. The PD is divided: while some members are pacifists, others are convinced that helping Ukraine defend itself is critical to Europe’s security.

PD senator Filippo Sensi has downplayed the Five Star’s opposition to Ukraine aid as posturing, saying their stance would change once in government. 

But Quartapelle said the left’s equivocal stance on such an important matter was hardly appealing to voters and that the PD and Five Stars had to engage in an “orderly process” to find common ground.

“You cannot be a democratic coalition against a nationalist coalition if you don’t have a clear recipe on Europe . . . and the idea of Europe goes through Ukraine,” she said. “We cannot go [together] to an electoral campaign if we don’t clear this up.”  

“Giorgia Meloni is worn out,” she added. “If we do our homework, if we behave, if we concentrate, we can win.” 

Reuters : Anthropic warns AI may pose 'existential risks to humanity' in IPO fil

Anthropic plans to caution potential investors in its IPO that advanced AI could pose "catastrophic or existential risks to humanity," an extraordinary warning by a company seeking to profit from the same technology.

The company's IPO prospectus, ‌reviewed by Reuters, highlights risks associated with its AI models, which it said could exhibit "self-preserving behaviors," including attempts to "resist shutdown," to "conceal or ‌manipulate information" and behavior "resembling blackmail."


"Our development of highly advanced models, platforms, and applications and expansion of use cases could further increase the risk that our models cause harm," Anthropic said in the ​filing.

While public companies routinely outline product risks to investors, few, if any, have issued warnings suggesting their technology could cause potential human extinction. Anthropic emphasized both the transformative potential of AI on par with industrialization and electricity and the irreversible harm it could cause if mishandled.

Anthropic and other AI developers, including OpenAI, have faced scrutiny after incidents where experimental systems defied constraints, including a report of an OpenAI model breaching Australia's health-system database.

Anthropic safety researcher Evan Hubinger estimated a greater than ‌10% probability that AI could kill humans within the ⁠next decade, echoing a sentiment by a former colleague, Jacob Coxon.

RISK-HEAVY DISCLOSURES

The company, which has positioned itself as a safety-first AI lab, devoted roughly 80 pages of the 261-page main body of its prospectus to laying out risk factors, nearly ⁠twice the 48 pages it used to describe its business.

For comparison, SpaceX, which owns xAI, dedicated just around 38 of the 277-page main body of its prospectus to risk factors.

"Potential model awareness of our evaluation efforts creates a significant limitation on our ability to assess model safety," Anthropic said in the prospectus, adding that models sometimes develop unexpected ​capabilities ​during training that may not be discovered until they have been deployed and have ​resulted in significant safety incidents.

AI researchers have also warned that ‌as models grow more capable, they increasingly recognize when they are being watched and adjust their behavior accordingly, which makes it harder to monitor model behavior.

Anthropic declined to comment in response to a request for comment on Monday.

>>> US After Hours Summary: IDT +2.4%, GEN +1.5% higher on earnings; JEF -1.7%,

After Hours Summary: IDT +2.4%, GEN +1.5% higher on earnings; JEF -1.7%, MTN -1.2% lower on earnings

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance:IDT +2.4%, GEN +1.5%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news:SANG +43.2% (Agreed to be acquired by BRC Group for $4.925 cash plus 0.04767 BRC share per share.), SMMT +17.4% (Secured a $2 billion AstraZeneca strategic investment at an $18.36-per-share conversion price and entered a cancer-trial collaboration.), NVTS +13.6% (Selected by the U.S. Army to develop and validate next-generation 10 kV silicon carbide power semiconductors.), PCB +3.2% (Authorized repurchases of up to 700,000 common shares through September 2027.), AIR +3.0% (Agreed to acquire 65% of MRO Holdings at a $4 billion valuation, expecting first-full-year adjusted EPS accretion.), SOC +2.0% (Expects Platform Hondo restart in Q4 2026 and October oil nominations to average 38,000 gross bbl/d.), FMC +1.5% (Submitted rimisoxafen herbicide for Brazilian regulatory review, its second global filing after a July U.S. submission.), RILY +1.5% (BRC Group’s subsidiary agreed to acquire Sangoma in a cash-and-stock deal valued at about $204 million.), SIBN +1.3% (Received FDA 510(k) clearance for the iFuse Granite Onyx spinal fixation system.), NBIX +1.1% (Reappointed Eiry Roberts as chief medical officer effective immediately as Sanjay Keswani departs by mutual agreement.)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance:JEF -1.7%, MTN -1.2%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news:PEBO -1.9% (Received all regulatory approvals for its merger with Citizens National, with Peoples as the surviving company.), SRFM -1.7% (Names Jason Secore CFO effective Sept. 30, succeeding Oliver Reeves, who will remain an advisor.)

>>> Starship Flight 14: cost per tonne already at Falcon 9 level Hi, Starship

Starship Flight 14: cost per tonne already at Falcon 9 level

Starship Flight 14 reached orbit today and deployed 26 Starlink V3 satellites, the first operational payload in the program's history. SpaceX has confirmed contact with all 26.

A quick cost-per-tonne comparison, using estimated internal costs:
  • Starship Flight 14: about $110M per flight for roughly 52 tonnes (26 × ~2 t), or about $2.1M per tonne
  • Falcon 9 (reused booster): about $30M for roughly 15 tonnes, or about $2.0M per tonne

Flying half-loaded and with neither stage recovered, Starship is already in the same cost-per-tonne range as Falcon 9, the most cost-competitive launcher in operation today.

The more important point is what comes next:
  • Full V3 load (100+ tonnes) at the same $110M: about $1.1M per tonne, roughly half the Falcon 9 cost
  • Reusable operations at SpaceX's $10M per-launch target: about $0.1M per tonne, a 20x reduction

Flight 14 did not prove reusability. The mission was cut from 10 hours to about 3, and one upper-stage engine shut down during ascent. What it did prove is that the cost floor is already competitive before any of the reuse gains are included.


Best regards,


Laurent Chekroun