(Exane) Maurel &Tullow Oil : Gabon production positive and negative

* Gabon downtime - limited impact
Maurel indicates that production is being limited while maintenance is performed on the export line
from its Ezanga license onshore Gabon. March production should be impacted by 30%, which
shouldn’t change the FY16 guidance of gross c.28kbo/d from Gabon. Importantly, Maurel has met
its 1 Dec -29 Feb 16 production covenant, which should delay the amortisation of the USD400m
RCF to 2017, thus providing M&P with EUR51m in additional liquidity in 2017/18. Immaterial
impact for Tullow, which also partners M&P in the Ezanga block with a 7.5% stake.

* Pressure limitations to reduce March Gabon production
Total received the final intelligent pigging report, which looked to identify any weaknesses in the
routing lines around the Coucal station, which are used by Maurel for its Ezanga/Gabon oil exports.
As a result, production is being constrained to allow work to be undertaken. Gross Ezanga
production started the month at just over 28kbo/d, before dropping to c.2-3kbo/d for a few days
from around 12 March and is now stabilised around 20kbo/d – production should remain at this
level until the end of the maintenance period, indicated as the end of March. As a result, gross
March production should average c.20kbo/d – down 30% on the year to date run-rate.

* Partners still in negotiation with Shell/Sinopec for alternative route
Maurel is in discussions with Shell/Sinopec for an alternative export South towards the Gamba
field. Should an arrangement be found (potentially by mid-year), c.5kbo/d of Ezanga production
could continue being exported even if there is unplanned downtime on the Total export pipeline.

* Positive that production covenant met
One of the covenants on the Maurel USD400m revolving credit facility required production from the
Gabon assets to exceed 22kbo/d (net) from 1 December 2015 to 29 February 2016. Maurel
announced that they achieved 22.088kbo/d, with strong, stable production since the start of the
year. As a result, Maurel’s RCF amortisation should only begin in Q1 17 at a rate of c.EUR17m per
quarter, rather than from Q2 16. This should provide c.EUR51m in additional liquidity in 2017/18.

NY Post : Facebook betting on VR porn to boost Oculus demand

As Oculus VR finally ships its virtual-reality headsets to the public, it’s heralding the potential of video games and movies — but it’s also quietly giving a wink to porn producers.

The Facebook-owned startup announced Monday that its new “Rift” headset has more than 30 games available as the first units ship this week, with 100 titles expected by the end of 2016.

Meanwhile, insiders say Facebook execs appear to be relying on another kind of content to drive demand for the Rift — namely, VR porn flicks.

To date, VR porn is viewed mainly on smartphone-powered headsets like the Samsung Gear VR and Google Cardboard. VR porn videos already number north of 1,000 from professional studios alone.

At industry conferences and in media interviews, Oculus founder Palmer Luckey has lately emphasized that the company will have an “open platform” for developers — porn producers included — even if Oculus doesn’t sell the smut on its official site.

This January, at the AVN Adult Entertainment Expo in Las Vegas, execs from Oculus discreetly swung by a booth operated by Utherverse, whose VR porn sites include RedLightCenter and HoloGirlsVR.

“They said how impressed they were with what we were doing with VR porn,” said Utherverse Chief Executive Brian Shuster, who has cranked out 60 VR adult “scenes” and “experiences” to date. “They weren’t there to do anything except reconnaissance, but they’re certainly keeping an eye on what’s happening.”

That’s despite the fact that Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg, who scooped up Oculus two years ago for $2 billion, likes to cultivate a squeaky-clean image as a family man and philanthropist.

Oculus reps didn’t respond to requests for comment.

“I joke that Luckey ought to give us a referral fee for every sale of the Rift,” says Todd Glider, CEO of VR porn studio BaDoink, which has already produced more than 50 VR porn videos — a number it expects to double this year.

“Companies like Oculus are not going to say, ‘Yes, we’re going to publicly endorse porn,’ ” Glider adds. “But behind the scenes, they have to be saying this is the driver.”

A nagging question for the Oculus Rift is what users can do with it once they’ve paid the asking price of $599, a tab that has struck many as surprisingly stiff — especially considering that the Rift doesn’t come with the high-end PC needed to run it, typically priced at $900 and up.

Ela Darling — a porn performer who started making VR porn videos in 2014 — thinks she has an answer.

Most VR porn is viewed on smartphones, which have scant memory, she said.

But with the superior processing power of the Oculus, “you can move back and forth, you can walk around, you can see from different angles,” she says. “It gives you a greater sense of presence and immersion.”

(UBS) European Luxury : We cut Richemont FY16 EPS by 7%, Swatch 2016 by 9%

* We cut Richemont FY16 EPS by 7%, Swatch 2016 by 9%
This reflects a weaker start to 2016 than we had expected and the subsequent
operating deleverage on margins given continued pressures from rental costs. For
Richemont we now sit 12% below consensus for FY16 and for Swatch we sit 10%
below. Given the importance of earnings momentum to short term share price
performance, we could see some weakness ahead. Our preference remains for
Richemont given its long term fundamentals including strong pricing power as well as
exposure to the branded jewellery market where there is a significant price mix
opportunity. Within European luxury our preference is for LVMH, Kering, Moncler and
Burberry.

* End consumer demand has seen a slowdown in 2016 to date
Worldwide tourism spending via Global Blue is +0.85% y/y in Q1 to date with Europe -
5%. This is a marked slowdown post +26% in 2015 and Q4 15 +13%. Company
commentary has also been more cautious from Swatch, Tiffany and the soft luxury
names that have recently reported. Rhetoric from the Basel watch fair has been bleak.

* Swiss watch export data for February –2% shows caution from the retailers
Adjusted for FX and an extra trading day we estimate wristwatches –c.12%. Retailers
remain overstocked and Hengdeli announced last week it has 248 days of inventory
which is 25% above target. This is reflected in this data with HK remaining soft at -
25% (Jan -33%) despite materially easier comps and Mainland China -7% (Jan -2%).
By price point, the situation was more mixed; the CHF200-500 segment (where Swatch
is most exposed) was -5.5% y/y (Jan -12%), while the luxury CHF3,000+ segment
(most important for Richemont) saw growth of 1% (Jan -7%) albeit on easier comps.

* How much of a risk is the Apple Watch?
UBS Evidence Lab commissioned a proprietary survey of 6,171 smartphone users across
the US, UK, Germany, mainland China (Tiers 1 and 2) and Japan in September/October
2015. We conclude that the first generation of the Apple Watch has been less of a
challenge for the Swiss watch industry than some had feared. The key risk for Swatch,
in our view, is whether the second-generation Apple Watch can change consumer
perceptions, and we see this as an overhang for the stock in 2016. Our downside
scenario for the Apple Watch suggests a 6-8% risk to Swatch's EBIT.

NYT : Private Equity Executive Accused of Faking Investments

A 39-year-old Wall Street executive, Andrew Caspersen came from a life of privilege and opportunity: Groton, Princeton and then Harvard Law School, where the student center is named after his family because of a generous gift from his father.

But the father had a secret that emerged only after he committed suicide in 2009: Finn M.W. Caspersen, a noted financier and philanthropist, was at the time being investigated by federal authorities, suspected of hiding tens of millions of dollars in a tax shelter.

Now it appears that his son, a former Blackstone Group managing principal, may have had his own secret.

Andrew Caspersen was arrested at La Guardia Airport on Saturday evening. On Monday, federal prosecutors working for Preet Bharara, the United States attorney for Manhattan, charged him in a criminal complaint with securities and wire fraud in what they called a “brazen” scheme to defraud investors — including a foundation affiliated with a major New York hedge fund — of up to $95 million.

The Securities and Exchange Commission filed parallel civil charges.

The authorities contend the executive used a fraudulent investment vehicle and fake emails to dupe the unidentified hedge fund foundation to sink $25 million into the scheme last fall.

Up until last week, Mr. Caspersen was still trying to persuade other institutional investors to give him money.

So persuasive was his pitch that an employee at the hedge fund firm also invested $400,000 with Mr. Caspersen, who lives with his wife in a home they recently bought in Bronxville, N.Y.

But the authorities said that he blew through most of that money “as a result of aggressive options trading” in his personal brokerage account.

Daniel Levy, Mr. Caspersen’s lawyer, declined to comment.

Mr. Caspersen was a partner at the Park Hill Group, which specializes in raising money for private equity firms and hedge funds. The Manhattan firm fired Mr. Caspersen on Monday and promptly removed his profile from its website.

Until last fall, Park Hill was part of the sprawling empire of the private equity giant the Blackstone Group. It is now part of PJT Partners, the advisory firm that was spun out of Blackstone and is run by the investment banker Paul J. Taubman. PJT said in statement that it was “stunned and outraged” to learn of the allegations. The firm added that it was cooperating with the authorities.

The case highlights the broader issue of how much research and checking institutional investors actually do when making an investment, and how much of it comes down to a personal connection and trust.

“This action amply demonstrates that even sophisticated institutional investors are not immune to financial scams,” said Andrew M. Calamari, director of the New York office of the Securities and Exchange Commission, which brought a civil complaint against Mr. Caspersen.

It may also raise questions about the internal controls in place at Park Hill, given that the authorities say Mr. Caspersen’s scheme went on for months before it was detected.

Shares of PJT Partners plunged nearly 11 percent on the news of the charges. Late Monday, Block & Leviton, the securities litigation firm, said it was investigating whether PJT and its officers and directors violated federal securities laws. The firm represents large institutional investors.

PJT said it believed Mr. Caspersen acted on his own. After learning of potential improper behavior, the firm conducted an internal investigation and reported the matter to federal prosecutors in Manhattan.

Mr. Caspersen grew up mainly in an exclusive suburb in western New Jersey before attending the Groton School in Massachusetts, one of the most expensive boarding schools in the country. He was a captain of the football team and he also rowed.

After graduating from Groton in 1995, he went to Princeton University where he met Catherine F. MacRae, who was the daughter of a founding partner of the law firm LeBoeuf, Lamb, Greene & MacRae, which later merged to form Dewey & LeBoeuf. The two dated for several years.

Ms. MacRae, a research analyst at Fred Alger Management, was killed on Sept. 11, 2001, when terrorists crashed two planes into the World Trade Center. She had worked in Fred Alger’s offices on the 93rd floor of the north tower.

Together with Ms. MacRae’s family, Mr. Caspersen created a memorial fund to benefit education programs for children from low-income families.

Mr. Caspersen’s father, Finn M.W. Caspersen, was a prominent philanthropist and the heir to the Beneficial Corporation fortune. The elder Mr. Caspersen was chairman and chief executive of the consumer finance company for nearly two decades before selling the firm in 1998 for $8.6 billion to Household International, which was later acquired by the London-based bank HSBC.

In 2008, Finn Caspersen pledged $30 million to Harvard Law. A year later, he killed himself at age 67 with a single gunshot to the head. About 800 people attended his funeral in Morristown, N.J.

Mr. Caspersen was known to be battling kidney cancer when he killed himself. But soon after it emerged that his name had surfaced in a federal government crackdown on overseas banks that were helping wealthy Americans shelter money to avoid paying taxes.

Finn Caspersen was an active supporter of New Jersey Republicans like former Gov. Tom Kean. Mr. Caspersen was also well known in equestrian circles and was said to have competed with Prince Philip, the husband of Queen Elizabeth, in Windsor, England.

The scheme of the younger Mr. Caspersen, federal authorities say, began last summer and ended only a few weeks ago. It is not clear why the executive, who arguably was successful and wealthy in his own right, may have needed the money.

Still, last summer Mr. Caspersen, who had previously lived on the Upper East Side of Manhattan, set up a shell company called Irving Place III SPV LLC that he soon began seeking to raise money for from institutional investors, the authorities said.

The shell company was similar to the name of a legitimate investment vehicle that Park Hill was raising money for at the time called Irving Place Capital Partners III SPV. Irving Place Capital was originally a private equity fund of Bear Stearns, the Wall Street firm that imploded in 2008.

Mr. Caspersen, who previously worked for Coller Capital, a fund that buys private equity fund assets, never told prospective investors the shell company was controlled completely by him, the authorities said. Mr. Caspersen made up email accounts and invented employees and even went as far as to create a fake domain name to further the scheme, they said.

The scheme began to fall apart this month when the foundation affiliated with the hedge fund asked for its $25 million plus interest to be returned, the authorities said. On March 11, Mr. Caspersen said the funds would be returned by the end of the month. The foundation has not yet received the money, the authorities said.

A few days later, on March 14, Park Hill learned that Mr. Caspersen was raising money for his own investment vehicle when an unidentified firm complained about it. Park Hill then hired lawyers from Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison, including litigation partner Aidan Synnott, to conduct an internal investigation. The law firm notified federal prosecutors of its findings the next day.

By March 18, authorities said the account where the hedge fund’s foundation had wired its $25 million had a balance of roughly $40,000.

Mr. Caspersen was released on Monday after he posted a $5 million bond co-signed by three people and secured by two residences.

>>> Street Pre-Market Indications

CS
BAE Systems M/P UK commits £372m for continued support of Hawk aircraft
Faurecia -1-2% Faces class-actions in US on alleged anti-comp practices
Lindt +1% Expects higher sales of chocolate this Easter
Lundbeck -5-7% FDA limits label disclosure: Brintellix, anti-depression
Miners M/P Copper +0.30%, Brent -0.40%, Iron Ore -3.75%, China -1.10%
Partners Grp M/P Exploring a sale of Strategic Partners, Bloomberg
Peugeot -1-2% Neg read from Faurecia and Les Echos story on CEO's pay
Schoeller +1% Seeks AGM approval for buyback of 10% of shares
Unibail +1% Completes sale of office building for EU270.8m
Volkswagen -1% May suspend dividend, DPA reports

MainFirst Pre Mkt Indications
*VW-May suspend Dividend reports DPA,Est €1.50 Prf & €0.50 Ords........-1%
*PEUGEOT-CEO Tavares has pay contested by Govt says Les Echos..........-0.5%
*LAFARGE-To announce more asset sales,exps grth in emerging mkts.......+0.5%
*LUFTHANSA-Mulls cutting 2,100 aircraft Servicing jobs-Spiegel.........+0.5%
*LINDT & SPRUENGLI-Est's higher sales of Chocolate this Easter.........+0.5%
*ASTRA-Japan approves Tagrisso for patient treatment...................+0.5%
*UBS-To quit Banking Ops in Soth Korea says Yonhap Infomax.............U/C
*PARTNERS GRP-Avista Cap Partners plan to sale of Strategic Partners...+0.5%
*FAURECIA-Faces class actions in US,anti-competitive practices.........-1%
*DEUT POST-Amazon to set up 2 hr delivery sewrvice in Berlin...........-0.25%
*SAFRAN-Hires Banks to review Security Division sale-Les Echos(known)..U/C
*HAPAG LLOYD-Needs acq's or merger to compete(TUI owns 10.6%)..........-0.5%


Investec
* BOLLORE-FY ebitda and dividend in line, net miss.......................-0.5%
* ENI-talks with Exxon over sale of stake in Mozambique gas project(WSJ)...U/C
* FAURECIA-faces class action lawsuit in US over exhausts................-1.5%
* FERRAGAMO-designer Giornetti to leave(WWD)...............................-1%
* JC DECAUX-renews SNCF contract for 8 years...............................+1%
* NEOPOST-results due after close
* PERNOD-told us it sees no material China tax rise impact (-4% Thurs)...+1.5%
* POSTE ITALIANE-Govt considers cutting stake to 35% from 64.7% (Sole).....-2%
* SAFRAN-appoints advisers over security unit sale (Ecchos)...old story....U/C
* SAP-renews CEO,CFO,Sales Chief get contract extensions to 2021(Reuters)..U/C
* VW-may suspend dividend (DPA)............................................-2%

* AG BARR-FY.#'s in line.To play active roll in Sugar levy consultation.....+1%
* AMERISUR-Update. Reserves upgrade(mkt had factored in D/G).............+7-10%
* ASTRA ZENECA-Targisso aprroved in Japan. Sanofi poaches scientist........+1/2%
* CHEMRING-Wins large US DoD umbrella contract(Headline yday)Fcast unch.....+2%
* DARTY-FNAC seeks financing for new DARTY bid (LES ECHOS)..................+1%
* GREENE KING-may sell Loch Fyne restaurant chain for £100m (Times).........+2%
* LSE/DB1.Deutsche Boerse, LSE Mull Using Dutch Legal Entity(Telegraph)....unch
* PREMIER FOODS-Pension issues may be too much for McCormick(MoS)..........unch
* ROYAL DUTCH-Sounding out buyers for North Sea Ops(S.Times)...............+1/2%
* VODAFONE-Demanding £b's from Hutchinson over its t/o of O2(STelegraph)...+1/2%
* WILMINGTON-Acquires Evantage Consulting(£1.4m)...........................unch

***RBC:
ARM/IMG +1% CNBC reports 3.4m pre-orders from China for iPhone SE
BMW/DAI +2% Positive China factory Utilisation, BRILLIANCE +6%, BYD +4%
EDF -1% Journal Dimance saying EDF may have higher HINKLEY cost than HPC
FAROE PET.-2% FY earnings light on YE15 write offs and FY16 expenses.
FAURECIA -2% Faces class actions in suS over exhaust system pricing POLYMETAL +1% FY earnings inline with exp., dividend announced @ 13c VODAFONE +1% S.Tel - demanding £blns from HUTCHINSON to drop takeover oppo.
VW -1% May suspend dividend, DPA cites board members - China +'ve above


*** Shore calls
AG BARR - PBT +7%,Divi +10%,at least 2/3 of portfolio will be no sugar.....UNCH
POLYMETAL- exceeds original production g'dance,capex below,EBITDA -4%.......+1%
ASTRAZENECA - lung cancer drug Tagrisso approved in Jap....................UNCH
AMERISUR - sees increase in reserves at Platanillo..........................+2%
LANCASHIRE-Announces a new $300m 5 year credit facility....................UNCH
MONITISE-Announces appointment of new COO ................................UNCH

>>> Premier Foods CEO defends board’s rejection of takeover bid from McCormick;

Premier Foods CEO defends board’s rejection of takeover bid from McCormick; McCormick may want to keep Premier’s pension deficit off its books

Premier Foods [LON:PFD] Chief Executive Gavin Darby has defended the decision of the UK-based food company’s board to reject a takeover offer from Sparks, Maryland-based counterpart McCormick & Company [NYSE:MKC], The Daily Telegraph reported. Darby rejected suggestions that Premier’s board did not discuss McCormick’s 60p per share offer properly, the article said, noting criticism of the board by some of Premier’s institutional shareholders last week.

Darby said the chairmen of Premier Foods and McCormick had met once within the past six weeks, held four substantial conversations via telephone and had exchanged several letters and emails.

The CEO added that there remains plenty of time for a rival bidder to come forward.

Premier will try to persuade investors this week that it took the correct course, the article said. Darby will present the strategy for accelerated growth the item said. The CEO said the strategy had been a factor in convincing the Premier board that 60p per share was a significant undervaluation, according to the report.

As reported last week, the Japanese food company Nissin acquired a 17% stake in Premier Foods from the buyout group Warburg Pincus a day after Premier rejected McCormick’s offer.

McCormick has indicated that it may be prepared to increase its offer, but only if it gains access to Premier Foods’ books and information about the company’s pension liabilities, the item noted.

The article went on to cite City sources who thought that McCormick might be looking to keep liability for the Premier Foods pension scheme’s GBP 390m (EUR 496m) deficit off its books. However, UK pension law might make such a move impossible, thereby proving an obstacle to a deal, the report said.

Premier Foods’ share price stood at 52p at the close of trading on Thursday, 24 March, giving the company a market capitalisation of GBP 429m.


Daily Telegraph

>>> What to look at today - 29th of March 2016

Dow+0.11% S&P+0.05% Nasdaq-0.14% Russell+0.06%
US Market closed almost flat on a quiet day as Europe was closed for Easter. volume was well below average at 688mil shares. Four sectors ended beneath their flat lines with energy (-0.5%), utilities (-0.4%), technology (-0.3%), and health care (-0.3%) leading to the downside. Meanwhile, consumer discretionary (+0.5%), consumer staples (+0.5%), materials (+0.4%), and financials (+0.3%) outperformed. Lodging names outperformed in the consumer discretionary space following reports that HOT received a revised non-binding offer from the Chinese consortium headed by Anbang Insurance Group. Elsewhere, TWX rallied 3.6% following the release of ‘Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice', which resulted in the third largest global opening for a March release in IMAX theaters. Elsewhere in the Transportation Average, (VA 37.70, +3.53). US After Hours SNX -8%, ICON -4% following earnings MDVN -3.3% following drug pricing pressures, ALXA -49.7% (believes sufficient capital resources until the end of April 2016), CNL: Louisiana Public Service Commission votes to grant a new hearing on proposed Macquarie merger (3-2 vote); +12.8% afterhours. Asian equity markets are mixed, tracking the uncertainty on display in US hours, as investors pause the latest wave of buying to process the recent GDP report and also tune in to Fed Chair Yellen's speech at the Economic Club of New York luncheon on Tuesday. Recall US put out its final Q4 GDP data when the markets were closed on Friday, and even though the data were revised higher, a closer look at the numbers revealed declining profitability of companies along with more leverage in consumption. Monday's US release of personal spending figures were also lukewarm, prompting Atlanta Fed GDPNow model to cut expectations for US Q1 growth to 0.6% from 1.4%. High-profile fixed income manager Gundlach later remarked that after this revision, it would be "inconceivable" for the Fed to hike rates next month. In Asian trading, Australia and Shanghai are leading the key indices to the downside with lower commodity prices and tighter mortgage polices respectively weighing on those markets. Economic data - primarily out of Japan - was similarly mixed. Retail sales underperformed vs expectations while overall household spending grew y/y for the first time in 6 monthsVirgin American (JBLU 20.79, +0.55) spiked after reports indicated that the company put in a bid for JetBlue

Nikkei -0.24% Hang Seng -0.04% Shanghai -1.06%

EUr$ 1.1187 CNH 6.5164 CNY 6.5102 JPY 113.60 GBP 1.4228 CHF 0.9745 RUB$ 68.5442 WTI$39.09(-0.76%)

S&P+0.17% EuroStoxx +0.58% Dax +0.49% SMI +0.50%


Macro :
Central Banks Not Helping With Economic Recovery: Yale’s Roach
AllianceBernstein Hires Golub’s Posner to Bet on Energy Distress
Oil Enthusiasts Stay Out of Rally Led by Shrinking Bearish Bets
Millennium Said to Recruit Credit Suisse’s Jain for Co-CIO Role
Luxor Capital Won’t Return All Investors’ Cash on Exit: Reuters
Resilient Euro Is Headwind for Euro Zone Earnings, JPM says

Keep an eye on :
- MT NA : Brazil Steel Institute: 2016 Brazil steel production seen down 1% to 32.9M tonnes, sales down 4.1% to 17.4M tonnes - Expects about 11K layoffs in the steel industry in 1H 2016
- BCP PL : Banco Comercial Portugues Plans 1-for-193 Reverse Split
- BMW GY : Brilliance +6.59% in HK
- BOTHE BB : Bone Therapeutics 2015 Loss 14.09 Mln vs EU5.81 Mln
- EN FP : Bouygues Calls Board Meeting for Wednesday, Les Echos Says
- DPW GY : Major Kuehne + Nagel shareholder Klaus-Michael Kuehne: Not interested in buying DPW's freight forwarding operations - German press
- EBR US : Eletrobras Hires Credit Suisse to Sell Renewable Assets: Reuters
- ENI IM : Algeria Denies Sonatrach Offers Direct Stakes in Oil Fields: APS
- EO FP : Faurecia Faces Class Actions in the US Over Exhaust Supply
- FNAC FP : Fnac Seeks Financing for New Darty Bid, Les Echos Says
- FL US : Foot Locker to Join S&P 500; DCT Industrial to Join MidCap Index
- GLEN LN : +2% in HK
- NOVOB DC : Novo Nordisk Says New U.S. Plant to Be Fully Operational by 2020
- UG FP : Peugeot Citroen CEO Tavares Pay Contested by Govt.: Les Echos
- SAN FP Sanofi Says Yong-Jun Liu Becomes Head of Research April 1
- SHP LN : Shire Wins Court Ruling to Block Allergan’s Copy of Lialda
- TKA GY : German Metalworking Companies Mull Wage Offer to Unions: FAZ
- UBSN VX : UBS to Quit Banking Operations in S. Korea, Yonhap Infomax Says
- VOW3 GY : Volkswagen May Suspend Dividend Amid Emissions Scandal: dpa-AFX
- YHOO US : Yahoo Said to Set April 11 Deadline for Preliminary Bids: WSJ