(MS) Largest EM Equity Outflows Since Sept. 2015

ETF outflows decelerated from last week's levels as US equity and bond ETFs inflected positive, offsetting weak flows from non-US focused ETFs. LT MF outflows also decelerated w/w, driven by stronger muni inflows coupled with less bad equity MF outflows.

Executive summary: Long-term mutual fund flows decelerated for a fourth consecutive week, according to the latest data from EPFR Global. Domestic equity funds were the primary driver of the LT mutual fund outflows, however
less bad outflows from mid cap and small cap funds caused domestic equity outflows to decelerate w/w. International equity funds inflected positive for the first time in 9 weeks as global DM inflows offset EM outflows. On the fixed income side, domestic taxable funds inflows decelerated w/w but remained strong, driven by strength in intermediate term funds offset high yield and short term funds inflecting negative. International taxable funds generated outflows as both global DM and EM funds saw outflows for a third consecutive week. Muni funds posted their 26th consecutive week of inflows while balanced funds inflected negative for the first time in a month. Money market funds generated positive flows. ETF outflows improved considerably w/w, driven by US bond and equity ETFs inflecting positive, partially offset by worst EM equity ETF outflows since Aug. 2015

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
: CFMS -40%, APDN -15.1%, BIOC -13.6%, VJET -11.6%, JCP -9.7%, DDS -6.8%, ANY -5%, SYMC -3.4%, ARGS -2.7%, HMC -1.8%, TGB -1.1%, BITA -1.1%, WPRT -0.5%

M&A news: BUD -1.3% (Anheuser-Busch InBev and AmBev (ABEV) agree to exchange certain AmBev and SABMiller (SBMRY) businesses in Latin America)

Select oil/gas related names showing early weakness: MRO -2.2%, RDS.A -1.7%, TOT -1.7%, BP -1.2%, WLL -1.2%, CHK -1%

Other news: TTPH -23.9% (receives guidance from the FDA regarding the regulatory path for eravacycline; FDA advises that data from one additional positive phase 3 clinical trial will be required to support an NDA submission), ECC -10.3% (to commence 1.25 mln share public offering of common stock), KORS -2.4% (in sympathy with JWN earnings), ABB -2% (still checking), KSS -1.3% (in sympathy with JCP earnings), NFLX -0.8% (California Public Employees' Retirement System (CalPERS) and the New York City Pension Funds request shareowners vote for non-binding proposal to give shareowners effective access to the director nomination process)

Analyst comments: WDC -3.2% (downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill), MYL -1.6% (removed from Conviction Buy List at Goldman), LMT -1.2% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel), JNJ -0.5% (owngraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG Research)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
: HTGM +34.9%, (also HTG Molecular Diagnostics enters into research collaboration with Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) to evaluate the potential for immuno-oncology molecular profiling in multiple tumor types ), NVDA +7.5%, SHAK +6.5%, KMPH +5.7%, BAM +1.2%

M&A news: WGBS +65.5% (to be acquired by Takara Bio), SPHS +4.2% (engages financial advisors to assist with evaluation of strategic alternatives)

Select Chinese ADRs showing strength following recent weakness this week: MOMO +7.7%, YY +5.2%, DANG +4.7%, QIHU +3%

Select metals/mining stocks trading higher: HMY +5.3%, SBGL +3.4%, PAAS +3.2%, KGC +3.1%, AU +3.1%, GFI +2.7%, ABX +1.8%, GDX +1.4%, GG +1.4%, SSRI +1.4%, NEM +1.3%, IAG +1.1%, BBL +1%


Other news: CLBS +12.9% (confirms it was granted orphan designation by the FDA for its compound for the treatment of type 1 diabetes mellitus with residual beta cell function), SJI +2.9% (upsizes offering by 500K shares and prices 7 mln shares of common stock at $26.25), FEYE +0.8% (incoming President Travis Reese purchases 35k shares in the open market), ADRO +0.6% (Aduro Biotech receives $35 mln milestone payment from Novartis)

Analyst comments: AGN +0.7% (added to Conviction Buy List at Goldman), NOK +0.6% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill)

>>> Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

Gapping up: HTGM +34.9%, CLBS +12.9%, NVDA +8.7%, MOMO +8.4%, KMPH +8%, SHAK +7.1%, YY +6.1%, DANG +4.7%, SPHS +4.2%, PAAS +3.2%, KGC +3.1%, GFI +3.1%, AU +2.7%, QIHU +2.7%, GDX +1.7%, NEM +1.3%, BAM +1.2%, GG +1.1%, BBL +1%, FEYE +0.6%

Gapping down: CFMS -40.3%, TTPH -23.9%, APDN -15.1%, BIOC -13.6%, VJET -11.6%, DDS -7.7%, ECC -6.9%, G -5.2%, ANY -5%, SYMC -3.4%, ARGS -2.7%, JCP -2.1%, ABB -2%, WPRT -2%, JNJ -1.8%, CNHI -1.8%, HMC -1.8%, SAN -1.7%, TOT -1.7%, CHK -1.7%, RDS.A -1.5%, PYPL -1.4%, BUD -1.4%, NFLX -1.2%, TGB -1.1%, BITA -1.1%

>>> J. C. Penney beats by $0.15, misses on revs; reaffirms FY17 EPS, comps, EBIT

J. C. Penney beats by $0.15, misses on revs; reaffirms FY17 EPS, comps, EBITDA; lowers gross margin guidance
  • Reports Q1 (Apr) loss of $0.22 per share, $0.15 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of ($0.37); revenues fell 1.6% year/year to $2.81 bln vs the $2.92 bln Capital IQ Consensus. Co preannounced EBITDA above its expectations on Monday.
  • Comps -0.4% vs. +3.2% estimates.
  • Co reaffirms guidance for FY17, positive EPS vs. $0.08 Capital IQ Consensus; comparable store sales: expected to increase 3 % to 4 %; EBITDA: expected to be $1 billion; Free cash flow: expected to improve versus 2015.
    • Lowers gross margin: to increase 10 to 30 basis points from +40-60 bps, reflecting the rollout of appliances and the rapid growth of our online business. Having said that, we remain confident that our turnaround remains on track, and we are excited about our 2016 sales drivers including new Sephora locations, Center Core enhancements and our nationwide rollout of major appliances announced earlier this week.
  • "The first quarter was clearly challenging from a sales perspective. Although our business was not immune to the issues facing other retailers, I am pleased that we were able to deliver our second consecutive quarter of positive operating profit. In addition, the teams did an excellent job of proactively managing the business throughout the quarter to ensure we remained a fiscally disciplined organization. As a result, we exceeded our profitability expectations, achieving a 63 % increase in EBITDA to $176 million for the quarter."

WSJ : Apple Invests $1 Billion in Didi, Uber’s Rival in China

Apple Invests $1 Billion in Didi, Uber’s Rival in China

Investment in Didi Chuxing comes as tech giant’s global fortunes are flagging

Apple Inc. is betting $1 billion on China’s homegrown competitor to Uber Technologies Inc., marking the technology giant’s largest investment in a critical market at a time when its global fortunes are flagging.

The investment in Didi Chuxing Technology Co., announced late Thursday in California, came on the day that Apple briefly ceded its spot as the world’s most valuable company to Google parent Alphabet Inc., a lingering effect of a quarterly earnings announcement that spooked investors about Apple’s future. Among the worrying signs from its earnings report last month were indications of slowing sales in China where Apple had been posting booming sales.

Didi Chuxing—which investors are valuing at over $25 billion, making it one of China’s most valuable startups—is locked in a fierce battle with UberChina to attract riders and investors in China’s ride-share market.

Apple declined to elaborate on the motivation for the deal. However, the company has been working on building an autonomous electric vehicle with a team of more than 1,000 employees. Other ride-sharing services have shown an interest in autonomous vehicles. Uber has a large team of employees working on autonomous vehicle technology, while General Motors and Lyft are planning to start testing a fleet of self-driving taxis within a year.

The investment in Didi is an unusual one for Apple, which tends to prefer to buy small startups outright and absorb their technology into its product pipeline. This is the largest investment for Apple since it acquired headphones and streaming music service Beats Electronics for $3 billion in 2014, a deal that helped the company launch its Apple Music service. It is also unusual for Apple to participate in a fund-raising round for a startup.

The $1 billion investment barely makes a dent in the company’s cash holdings of $233 billion.

The investment could encourage the adoption of its Apple Pay and other services in China, although the announcement didn’t elaborate on cooperation plans between the two sides.

As its second-largest market for iPhones, China is a key market for Apple. Apple Pay was launched in China in February, and it is vying against China’s leading mobile payment services from Internet giants Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and Tencent Holdings Ltd.

But Apple has come up against some regulatory challenges in China. Apple’s online book and movie services were suspended by Chinese regulators in the country last month, as the country cracks down on online media, according to people familiar with the discussions. There has so far been no resolution.

Apple sales to Greater China, which the company designates to include Taiwan and Hong Kong, rose 84% in the past fiscal year ended September 2015, as sales of its larger-screen iPhone surged. But as the Chinese economy started to slow, Apple’s sales in the country also took a hit. In the quarter ended March, Apple said sales to the region fell 26% from a year earlier.

Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook, who has worked hard to build strong relationships in China with regular trips to the country, last month said he was more optimistic about the country’s economy. China may not provide the huge growth that it once did, Mr. Cook said, but “it’s a lot more stable than what I think is the common view of it.”

Recently, Mr. Cook has also said that Apple won’t be afraid to use its balance sheet to its advantage at a time when asset values are declining, especially among start-ups which are starting to face challenges in fund-raising.

Didi is part of the country’s boom of Internet service apps racing to build scale through subsidies. Its expansion has been fueled mainly by investments from Internet giants and investment firms so far. It is new for a maker of highly profitable hardware to invest in the sector.

“Didi exemplifies the innovation taking place in the iOS developer community in China,” said Mr. Cook in a statement. “We are extremely impressed by the business they’ve built and their excellent leadership team, and we look forward to supporting them as they grow.”

The deal came together quickly. Didi President Jean Liu said she met with Mr. Cook in Cupertino, Calif., on April 20 and hammered out the agreement in the weeks since.

“We are very confident we will benefit each other on product, on technology and on many other levels,” Ms. Liu said on a call with reporters Friday.

She declined to give further details or confirm if Apple Pay or autonomous cars will be areas of collaboration.

For Didi, the deal—which is its single largest investment so far—is a coup that adds Apple to its roster of investors that already include the two largest Internet companies in China: e-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and social-and-gaming company Tencent Holdings Ltd. The two Chinese Internet giants had supported rival taxi-hailing services that merged to form Didi.

In China’s fast-growing market for ride-sharing, both Didi and UberChina are providing huge subsidies to drivers and riders to sign up for their services.

While many global startups including some in Silicon Valley have had difficulty raising money amid a slowdown in the global economy, Didi has been an exception. Its valuation has soared from just $6 billion in February 2015 when it was formed from the combination of two competing taxi-hailing companies. Investors are betting that the company will be able to eventually turn a profit after attracting more Chinese riders to its service.

Didi dominates the country’s taxi-hailing market, and has a larger share than UberChina in the private-car-hailing segment, though the two companies disagree on the exact figures. Didi has expanded its private-car services to compete more directly against Uber, while adding other services such as buses and chauffeurs who drive customers’ own vehicles. As of January, Didi was operating in more than 400 cities in China. UberChina, which operates in more than 45 cities currently in China, aims to expand to 100 cities in China by the end of this year.

FT : Bouygues boosted as subscribers line up for telecoms deals

Bouygues boosted as subscribers line up for telecoms deals

Bouygues was bolstered by an improved commercial performance by its telecoms unit during the first three months of 2016 as the group narrowed current operating losses compared with a year earlier.

The construction, telecoms and broadcasting conglomerate added 240,000 mobile customers and 71,000 fixed-line subscribers, increasing revenues 6 per cent during the quarter compared with the same period last year.
The improvement by Bouygues Telecom came as the company, headed by French industrialist Martin Bouygues, reported that revenue for the period reached €6.53bn. This is 3 per cent lower than a year earlier, but broadly in line with the group-compiled average of analysts’ forecasts.

Current operating losses — excluding non-current charges — narrowed to €140m from €194m a year earlier, although the loss was still 14 per cent more than analysts had expected.

Jerry Dellis, telecoms analyst at Jefferies, said: “Revenue trends were encouraging in telecom and construction.”

Mr Bouygues will probably take particular pleasure in the performance of the telecoms unit, the country’s third-largest mobile operator by subscribers, after it had suffered under an onslaught of fierce competition.

Last month, Mr Bouygues cut off talks with market leader Orange over a proposed €10bn takeover deal that would have transformed the French telecoms sector.

Among other things, an acquisition by Orange would have reduced the number of competitors from four to three, likely ending a three-year price war at a time when operators have to invest billions in rolling out mobile and fibre networks.

Bouygues on Friday said that the rollout of its network-sharing agreement with rival SFR and other costs related to adapting its various units would cost €270m, a charge that would affect group operating profit this year.

However, it stuck by earlier guidance in which it pledged to improve profitability in 2016.

Revenue at the telecoms unit during the quarter was €1.13bn compared with €1.06bn 12 months earlier, with current operating losses narrowing to €33m from €62m a year earlier.

Operating margins at the unit also improved 2.3 percentage points higher than during the first quarter of 2015, in spite of intense promotional activity across all French operators as they battle to win customers.

At the group’s construction business, Bouygues said that the quarter “saw the first signs of stabilisation in the construction market in France” with an order book that stood at €14.1bn at the end of March, almost flat compared with a year earlier.

The order book for the construction business as a whole was €29.9bn by the end of March, 3 per cent higher than at the end of December — and almost flat compared with a year earlier.

Shares in the Paris-based group climbed more than 4 per cent in the first minutes of trading on Friday, hitting €30.08. The stock is down 17.7 per cent since the start of the year.