>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
: SILC +7.8%, PHG +2.8%, S +2.8%, POST +1.8%, RYAAY +1.6%, DHR+0.8%, PETS +0.8%, .

M&A news:
  • TERP +6.2% (Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) enters letter agreement with Appaloosa LP forming a group that holds 34.4% active stake; parties intend to enter into agreement to act as joint bidders for the potential purchase of SunEdison's (SUNEQ) shares of TERP)
  • SCTY +2.1% (SolarCity, Tesla (TSLA) making progress towards signing a definitive merger agreement, according to Reuters)
  • CKEC +2.1% (announces amended merger with AMC Theatres (AMC), stockholders will have the option to elect to receive either $33.06/share in cash or 1.0819 shares of AMC's Class A common stock)
  • PBR +0.9% (signs sale and purchase agreement with the Southern Cross Group for 100% of Petrobras Chile), .
Other news:
  • BLPH +43.8% (announces approval to commence Phase 2 trial for INOpulse to treat pulmonary hypertension in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease)
  • BIND +37.3% (announces there are two bidders in addition to Pfizer's (PFE) initial stalking horse bid of ~$20 mln in auction for its assets)
  • GNVC +33.3% (notified by its collaborator, Novartis (NVS), that the FDA has lifted the clinical hold on the Phase 1/2 clinical trial of CGF166 in patients with severe to profound hearing loss)
  • GLNG +10% (Golar LNG and Schlumberger (SLB) announce creation of OneLNG a joint venture to rapidly develop low cost gas reserves to LNG)
  • CLSN +8.3% (announces data from the immunotherapy study of newly diagnosed ovarian cancer patients)
  • AVXL +6.7% (presents 31-week safety data from Phase 2a Study of ANAVEX 2-73)
  • MU +4.7% (declares dividend of one right for each share of common stock outstanding at the close of business on August 1)
  • MACK +4.5% (Shire and Merrimack confirm positive CHMP opinion for ONIVYDE showing that combined with chemotherapysignificantly increased overall survival)
  • ALDR +2.5% (announces top-line 24-week data demonstrating persistent migraine prevention in a Phase 2b clinical trial evaluating ALD403)
  • ERIC +2.2% (CEO steps down; CFO to assume the CEO position; initiates search for new CEO)
  • CLNT +2% (continued strength)
Analyst comments:
  • OCLR +3.8% (upgraded to Strong Buy from Buy at Needham)
  • PHM +2.1% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank)
  • HPE +2% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup)
  • WFM +1.8% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie)
  • VMW +1.4% (resumed with a Overweight at Morgan Stanley)
  • MDLZ +1.1% (upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna)

Reuters : Buyout funds eye alliances for SABMiller's Pilsner, CEE brands: source

Buyout funds eye alliances for SABMiller's Pilsner, CEE brands: sources



U.S. and European buyout funds are gearing up for SABMiller's (SAB.L) sale of its central and eastern European beer brands with some seeking to join forces to snap up assets worth up to 7 billion euros ($7.69 billion), sources familiar with the matter said.

London-based Advent has been conducting preliminary work for several months and has emerged as one of the most determined suitors, the sources said.

Mid-sized investment firms including Mid Europa Partners and Czech family office R2G are discussing their options with some bigger Western funds including U.S. buyout funds KKR (KKR.N) and Bain Capital and European funds BC Partners and PAI Partners, the sources said.

Japan's Asahi Group Holdings (2502.T) has also signaled interest, they added.

AB InBev, SABMiller, Advent, KKR, BC Partners, PAI and R2G declined to comment while Bain Capital and Mid Europa Partners weren't immediately available for comment.

(Makor) Share Class Weekly

July 25, 2016 

 

MAKOR Share Class Weekly

 

Good morning,

 

Hope you had a nice weekend !

 

Please find attached our weekly share class report #9.

 

This week, our share class book lose 0.05% globally. This loss is caused principally because of bad results of Ryanair which are affected the spread negatively.

 

Last week we

 

-Set up a long FOXA US / FOX US at 97.90%, waiting for a potential share buy back on A shares following the earnings announcement on August 3rd as they have done in the past two years. 

 

-Set up a long RDSA LN / RDSB LN at 98.30% with a 99.50% target. It is not working so far, we would increase position at 97.50%. 

 

-Set up a Short ATCOA SS / ATCOB SS at 110.00% with a 107.00% target. 

 

 

If you want, contact us or your sales representative to receive by Bloomberg Chat the ideas we push live.

 

 

Click Here For Full Report

 

  

  ​     ​     ​

 

Makor Capital

 

11 Menachem Begin St., 26th FL

Ramat Gan 52681
ISRAEL
Tel         +972 3 5453 762

Fax        +972 3 7162 680

 

   

Research Disclaimer

 

This publication has been prepared by Makor Capital Limited (“Makor Capital”) and is intended for professional or qualified investors only. Makor Securities London Ltd (“Makor Securities”)is distributing this material to its clients who are Eligible Counterparties or Professional Clients under FCA Rules. It may also be disseminated to persons who are Investment Professionals within the meaning of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion Order 2005).  In the United States, Makor Capital only distributes this material to major US institutional investors (as that term is defined in Rule 15a-6 of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934) and to SEC-registered broker-dealers or  banks acting in a broker–dealer capacity. This material is not intended for distribution to any other persons and should not be redistributed.  If you do not fall into any of these categories you should disregard it.

 

This material is a marketing communication.  It is not investment research and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. It is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research under U.K. law. This material is not a research report and is not intended to be a research report as defined under U.S. securities laws and regulations.  This material is not intended to provide information reasonably sufficient upon which to base any investment decision.   

 

This material does not take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs of individual clients or other recipients. Before acting on this material, clients and other recipients should consider whether it is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional advice. 

 

This material should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. 

 

In the United States, Makor Capital does not offer securities services to U.S. persons except pursuant to SEC Rule 15a-6 only to major US institutional investors and SEC registered broker-dealers or  banks acting in a broker–dealer capacity. Transactions in the United States must be effected through the U.S. broker-dealer, Oscar Gruss & Son Incorporated. Oscar Gruss & Son has not prepared, reviewed or distributed this material.

 

Some of this material is produced by providers which Makor Securities believes to be reliable, but Makor Securities does not warrant or represent (expressly or impliedly) that it is accurate, complete, not misleading or as to its fitness for the purpose intended and it should not be relied upon as such. 

Opinions expressed will be the current opinions of those producing this material as of the date appearing on this material only. We expect those producing the material in  this publication to update it on a timely basis but can give no undertaking that they will do so and regulatory compliance or other reasons may prevent  them from doing so (or us from disseminating updated material).  

 

Members and employees of Makor Securities London Ltd, employees of Makor Capital, Makor Capital Markets may from time to time have long or short positions in securities, warrants, futures, options, derivatives or other financial instruments referred to in this material. For Makor Securities, this information is set out in our Conflicts of Interest Policy which is available on request.  Policies for the production of research from other research providers are available on request.  Unless otherwise stated, share prices provided within this material are as at the close of business on the day prior to the date of the material.

 

Neither the whole nor any part of this material may be duplicated in any form or by any means. Neither should any of this material be redistributed or disclosed to anyone without prior consent. This material is issued for general information and discussion purposes only. None of  Makor Securities, Makor Capital, Makor Capital Markets accepts  liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of all or any of this material. 

 

The services, securities and investments discussed in this material may not be available to, nor are suitable for all investors. Investors should make their own investment decisions based upon their own financial objectives and financial resources and it should be noted that investment involves risk, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance is no guide to future performance. In relation to securities denominated in foreign currency, movements in exchange rates will have an effect on the value, either favourable or unfavourable.

 

All investors. Investors should make their own investment decisions based upon their own financial objectives and financial resources and it should be noted that investment involves risk, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance is no guide to future performance. In relation to securities denominated in foreign currency, movements in exchange rates will have an effect on the value, either favourable or unfavourable.

 

Entities

 

Makor Securities London Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct

Authority (FCA registration number 625054) 

 

Makor Capital, company number 514456466, is incorporated in Israel and is a 100% held

subsidiary of Makor Holdings Pte Ltd incorporated in Singapore. 

 

Makor Capital Markets SA, company number CH-660.2.999.011-0 is incorporated in Switzerland

and is also a 100% held subsidiary of Makor Holdings Pte Ltd.

 


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(Makor) European Holding Companies - Makor’s bi-weekly monitor

European Holding Companies  - Makor’s bi-weekly monitor

 

Our main takes form the past two weeks:

 

CDI/LVMHspread continued to perform in line with our expectations and narrowed by another ~1%.  The spread is currently at a level of 11%, slightly below its last three years average trading history. We recommend to take profits and exit the trade which has yielded ~7% return since our recommendation at the end of May. See current Stub value and more data in the report attached.

 

Renault/Nissan spreadwas the highest move over the past two weeks with discount narrowing by 4.5%, in line with our expectations (see our report from June 28 in which we recommended to go long Renault/short Nissan + SXAPEX).

 

Exor (EXO: IM) discount was stable and we still recommend our trade from June 29 (Short Exor/Long listed portfolio + SXIPEX).

 

Full report attached!

>>> Street Pre-Market Indications

ML
W. HILL - Potential 3 way merger with RANK & 888. PUSU 21 Aug 2016....+10-12% 
RYANAIR - Relief with broadly inline print and reit of FY16/17 guidance.+7-8% 
ERICSSON - CEO leaving, CFO becoming temp CEO until new candidate found.+3-5% 
HISCOX - Strong, PBT £206m v £153m cons with benefit from FX £87.3m.......+3% 
ABERDEEN - AUM £301bn, 3% ahead of BAML led by equities AUM 6% ahead.....+2% 
ABC - Strong. Group revenue growth at 16% and RabMAb product revs ahead...+2% 
PDL - Sales for FY16 +3% v BAML and +6% v cons. New prodn guidance ahead..+2% 
HAMMERSON - NAV +2.4% (25% discount), LTV 40%, Divi +6.3% & EPS +5.1%...+1-2% 
DUFRY - Small +ve. Renewed an agreement with Zurich Airport until 2028....+1% 
MINERS - Copper +0.28%, Iron Ore +2.7% with BHP OZ -0.5%, RIO OZ -0.4%....u/c 
INDIVIOR - BAML preview note. Litigation and RBP6000 PIII data in focus...u/c 
PHILIPS - Improving execution (margins beat) & Cleveland performed well...u/c 
LVMH - Sales of Donna Karan for an EV of $650m to G-III Apparel Group.-0.5-1% 
CENTRICA - Negative. Head of CMA says supply margins should fall to 1.25%.-1% 
CAIRN ENERGY - We DOWNGRADE to Underperform, taking our PO to GBp 150.....-3% 
RANDGOLD - Prodn impacted at Tongon mine, FY16 guidance -5% at the mine...-3%

CS
888 +3-5% Rank Group, 888 Mulling Possible Joint Offer for Will Hill
Aberdeen -2% AuM £301.4bn vs CS ests £296.7b, however net outflows worse
Cranswick +1% No's slightly better and sold sandwich business
Dufry +1% Renewed an agreement with Zurich Airport until 2028
Ericsson +2-3% Hans Vestberg steps down as CEO
Hammerson +2% NAV Growth 2.4% 727 vs CS at 725, leases signed post BREXIT
Hiscox +1-2% No's beat, guidance inline but Brexit causing volatility
Julius Baer +1-2% 1H adj EPS CHF1.84b vs est CHF1.61b, CET1 15.9% vs tgt 11%
LVMH +0.5% Set to sell Donna Karan International for $650m to G-III
Miners UNCH Copper +0.45%, Brent +0.35%, Iron Ore +3.15%, China +0.34%
Oils UNCH U.S. rig count rose by 14 to 371
Philips UNCH Q2 adj EBITA 5% beat, sales 2% miss, maintains 2016 oultook
Randgold -2% Tongon mine down for 46 days during past quarter
RPC +1% CS initiate with OUTPERFORM (Earnings Growth)
Ryanair +5-7% No warning - Net income 256m vs cons 260m, held guidance
Sartorius +1% Sales slightly better, raise guidance
Weir +1% U.S. rig count rose by 14 to 371
Will Hill +7-10% Rank Group, 888 Mulling Possible Joint Offer for Will Hill

shore
HAMMERSON-H1 sdj pft 112.6m.Divi 10.1p."0 leases signed post referendum.....+1%
HISCOX-H1 ptp 206m.Brexit has caused volatility.Trading conditions tough....-2%
CRANSWICK-Q1 revs +11%.Sandwich biz sold to Greencore.Confident on fy.......+2%
WILLIAM HILL-Confirms highly prelim approach from 888.RANK consort........+15%
RYANAIR-Happpy to keep guidance even with downside risk....................UNCH
CITYFIBRE-Performance in H1 is in line with views..........................UNCH
ABCAM-Says no immediate impact on ops poset brexit vote.Grp revs+16%........+1%
ABERDEEN -Q3 AUM +2.9% q/q asset appreciation offset outflows £8.9bn ......-1%

>>> What to look at today - 25th of July 2016

Asian equity markets are tracking Wall St gains on Friday as negative sentiment from Thursday's selloff fails to take hold. The focus is also turning to the coming week, where a busy earnings calendar will be supplemented by policy decisions from the Fed and the BOJ. Traders have also taken note of proactive remarks out of the G20 Communique over the weekend along with chatter of a potential compromise between EU and UK to minimize economic fallout from Brexit process. Japan posted the only economic data point of the session, with June merchandise trade surplus exceeding expectations. Exports fell for the 9th straight month, but the 7.4% decline was smaller than 11.3% expected and also marked the first month when exports decline slowed in 5 months. In corporate news, Verizon and Yahoo are said to be in late-stage talks, and a deal of core asset acquisition is expected to be announced before Monday open. Nintendo was down sharply after Friday's report that the company does not expect material financial impact from Pokemon.

Nikkei +0.06% Hang Seng -0.24% CSI +0.22% Shanghai +0.10%

Eur$ 1.0976 CNH 6.6865 CNY 6.6780 JPY 106.14 GBP 1.3131 CHF 0.9875 RUB 64.7695 WTI $44.16 (-0.07%)

S&P -0.03% EuroStoxx +0.04% Dax -0.07% SMI -0.05%

Macro :
- G-20 Communique to Urge U.K. Remain Close EU Partner: Balduino
- Odey Hedge Fund’s Post-Brexit Gains Evaporate: Financial News
- Schaeuble: Not Worried About Italian Banking Sector
- Kildare Fund Raises More Than $1.1B to Buy Properties: Telegraph
- IMF’s Lagarde Sees Uncertainty From Brexit, Market Volatility
- U.K. Company Profit Warnings at Highest Since 2008: Sunday Times
- Portuguese Banks Face Potential 3.9b Euro Novo Banco Bill: FT

Keep an eye on :
- AH NA : Delhaize, Ahold Complete Merger Following U.S. Clearance
- AIR FP : Air France Cabin Crews Plan to Maintain 7 Days Strike : Gagey
- ALV GY : Allianz’s Hunt Pledges Tighter Ties Between Allianz, Pimco: FT
- ALO FP : Brazil Politician Said to Have Forgiven Alstom $36m Fine: Folha
- AAPL US : Apple Fourth in China Smartphone Market in June: Counterpoint
- AZN LN : Glaxo, AstraZeneca to Confirm Will Remain in U.K.: Sunday Times
- BINCK NA : BinckBank 2Q Adjusted Profit Falls to EU7.74m From EU8.51m in 1Q
- BMPS IM : Monte Paschi Capital ‘At Risk’ in Stress Tests, Sole Reports
- BT/ LN : BT Talks on Openreach Hampered by Pension Deficit: Sky
- COFB BB : Cofinimmo Invests EU25m in Healthcare Real Estate
- DELB BB : Delhaize, Ahold Complete Merger Following U.S. Clearance
- ENGI FP : Tihange-1 Belgian Reactor Start Delayed to Aug. 8: Engie
- EOAN GY : EON’s Uniper Plans Significant Job Cuts: Rheinische Post
- FWB IM : Fastweb Evaluating Offer for PosteMobile’s Clients: Repubblica
- FCC SM : Spain’s Regulator Says 48.3% of FCC Shares Accepted Carso Offer
- FCA IM : Fiat Chrysler Recalling Almost 410,000 Vehicles: Reuters
- GSK LN : Glaxo, AstraZeneca to Confirm Will Remain in U.K.: Sunday Times
- HSY US : Reportedly Hershey Trust, the controlling shareholder, agrees to governance changes
- JOY US : Joy/Komatsu Deal May Require ’Lengthy’ Antitrust Review: CTFN
- BAER VX : Julius Baer 1H AUM Rise 4% From End 2015; Profit Increases
- LHN VX : LafargeHolcim to Sell Holcim Lanka Stake
- LEON SW : Leonteq CEO Plans to Slow Expansion From 2017: NZZ am Sonntag
- LIGHT NA : Philips 2Q Lighting Separation Costs EU45m
- LNKD US : Salesforce CEO told LinkedIn he would have paid much more than Microsoft - Re/code.net
- OR FP : L’Oreal in Pact to Buy IT Cosmetics for $1.2b
- LSE LN : BDB Group Says Deutsche Boerse/LSE HQ Must Be in Frankfurt: DPA
- LHA GY : Lufthansa Eurowings Chief to Remain in Role Past 2017: Manager
- MC FP : De Beers Puts Snap Lake Diamond Mine Up for Sale: Reuters
- MC FP : G-III to Acquire Donna Karan International from LVMH for $650m
- IAM FP : Maroc Telecom 1H EBITDA MAD8.5b vs MAD8.4b Y/y
- NYR BB : Firefighters Tackle Blaze at Nyrstar Plant in Balen, VRT Says
- P US : Pandora CEO Declines to Comment on Speculation, Liberty Report
- UG FP : Vinci, Peugeot-Led Group Said to Compete for Lyon Airport: Rtrs
- PHIA NA : Philips 2Q Adjusted Ebita Beats Estimates, Keeps 2016 Outlook
- PRS SM : Prisa 1H Net Loss EU10.5m Vs EU10.8m Profit Year Earlier
- RCS IM : RCS creditor banks will not demand early repayment of debt following Cairo Communications takeover - Il Sole 24 Ore
- RYA LN : Ryanair 1Q Net Misses Estimate; FY Forecast Repeated, Sees Risks
- SK FP : Seb Seeks to Lift 2016 Op. Result From Activity More Than 10%
- SAB LN : Activist Sandell Wades Into SABMiller Takeover Dispute
- SRT3 GY : Sartorius 2Q Rises 17%; Raises 2016 Sales, Ebitda Margin Outlook, Sartorius Stedim Raises Forecasts for 2016 on Strong Orders
- SRG IM : Snam CEO Sees Average Net Income Growth of 5%/Year: Corriere
- SDY LN : Speedy Hire Investor Toscafund Seeks General Meeting: S. Times
- SYNN VX : Syngenta Ready to Buy Assets From Possible Bayer/MON Deal: dR
- SYNN VX : Syngenta’s Fyrwald Says Brexit May Aid Faster Breakthroughs: FT
- TKA AV : Telekom Austria 2Q Ebitda Beats Est.; Confirms Rev. Forecast
- TSLA US : Tesla, SolarCity Said to Be Close to Merger Agreement: Reuters - http://bit.ly/2a5xucE
- VED LN : Vedanta, Cairn India Fall After Merger Terms Are Revised
- DG FP : Vinci, Peugeot-Led Group Said to Compete for Lyon Airport: Rtrs
- VIE FP : Veolia to Invest GBP750m in U.K. Over Next 5 Years: FT
- VOD LN : Liberty Global owner John Malone signals weakened pound increases prospects of Vodafone takeover - The Times
- VOW3 GY : Audi Plans Three E-Autos, Developing Self-Driving System: Stimme
- WMH LN : Rank Group, 888 Mulling Possible Joint Offer for William Hill