>>> Starwood Hotels misses Q2 estiamtes after divesting Vistana; guides Q3/Q4 EP

Starwood Hotels misses Q2 estiamtes after divesting Vistana; guides Q3/Q4 EPS in-line; expects deal with Marriot (MAR) to close in the coming weeks
  • Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.71 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.02 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.73; revenues rose 0.4% year/year to $1.25 bln vs the $1.34 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $297 million, which includes operating earnings from the Company's former vacation ownership business of $19 million and $2 million from the hotels transferred to Interval Leisure Group as part of the vacation ownership spin-off transaction, all of which are classified as discontinued operations.
  • Worldwide Systemwide REVPAR for Same-Store Hotels increased 1.4% in constant dollars (increased 0.7% in actual dollars) compared to 2015. Systemwide REVPAR for Same-Store Hotels in North America increased 3.4% in constant dollars (increased 3.1% in actual dollars).
  • While the Company expects the Marriott (MAR) transaction to close in the coming weeks, the following outlook assumes that the Company remains an independent Company through December 31, 2016. Full year owned earnings are negatively impacted by approximately $46 million due to asset sales completed in 2015 and 2016, with additional negative impact of ~$20 million due to lost earnings from the five hotels transferred to ILG in connection with the ILG transaction.
  • Co issues in-line guidance for Q3, sees EPS of $0.71-0.72, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.72 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $270 million to $280 million (based on the assumptions below). REVPAR at Same-Store Systemwide Hotels Worldwide is expected to be up 1% to 3% in constant dollars (~80 basis points lower in actual dollars at current exchange rates). REVPAR at Same-Store Systemwide Hotels in North America is expected to be up 3% to 4% in constant dollars and actual dollars at current exchange rates. REVPAR at Same-Store Owned Hotels Worldwide is expected to be up 4% to 6% in constant dollars (~20 basis points lower in actual dollars at current exchange rates).
  • Co issues in-line guidance for Q4 (Dec), sees EPS of $0.79-0.84, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.83 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be ~$285 million to $295 million (based on the assumptions below). REVPAR at Same-Store Systemwide Hotels Worldwide is expected to be up 1% to 3% in constant dollars and in actual dollars at current exchange rates. REVPAR at Same-Store Systemwide Hotels in North America is expected to be up 3% to 4% in constant dollars and actual dollars at current exchange rates. REVPAR at Same-Store Owned Hotels Worldwide is expected to be down 1% to up 1% in constant dollars (~50 basis points higher in actual dollars at current exchange rates).

>>> Banco Sabadell may have to increase capital; divestitures an option

Banco Sabadell may have to increase capital; divestitures an option - report (translated)
Banco Sabadell's profit warning on 22 July could trigger a capital increase, El Confidencial reported citing a Societe Generale (SocGen) analyst report.

Sources from Sabadell denied any discussions at board level about a possible capital increase for the time being, the Spanish-language report said.

Other sources close to the bank said that rather than dilute the shareholders' stakes, the group could sell an asset such as its unit in the US, the report said.

The SocGen report places Sabadell's value at a record low, indicating that investors are noting its financial results rather than considering the real value of the bank. In analyst Carlos Garcia's opinion, taking into account Sabadell's estimated revenue and annual losses of EUR 100m on treasury shares deals, the book value of Sabadell would be EUR 1.97 per share.

But if the two major risks Sabadell faces are taken into account, the bank's book value would stand at somewhere between EUR 1.13 and EUR 1.51 per share. The variation depends on increasing the coverage of its portfolio of failed real estate assets and the final impact of the so-called floor clauses on mortgages.

For SocGen, Sabadell should increase to 55% from 54.1% the percentage of provisions on non-performing assets to be in line with the rest of the sector. The Catalan bank has EUR.9bn in problem assets, despite the efforts to sell EUR 1.039bn worth of non-performing portfolios between January and June this year.

According to SocGen, on ly increasing the coverage of non-performing loans would lead Sabadell to increase capital by EUR 1.6bn. After adding the cost of covering against Brexit - Sabadell obtains about a third of its revenue in the UK following its acquisition of TSB Lloyds - the analyst puts the value of Sabadell's stock at EUR 0.9, below the current market valuation of EUR 1.18.

El Confidencial

FT : AB InBev ups SABMiller offer to £79bn after sterling drop

AB InBev ups SABMiller offer to £79bn after sterling drop

Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world’s biggest brewer, has raised its takeover offer for rival SABMiller to £79bn after investors raised concerns about the terms of the deal following a steep drop in the value of sterling.
In a statement on Tuesday, AB InBev said each SABMiller shareholder will be entitled to £45 a share in cash — or a mostly stock alternative now worth £51.14 which will not be tradeable for five years.

SABMiller shares rose 0.6 per cent to £44.67 in the opening hour of trading in London, while AB InBev edged up 0.3 per cent.
The new terms represent an increase of £1 a share on the cash offer and an increase of around 88p a share on the stock alternative that were agreed in principle between the two global brewing giants in November last year.
AB InBev declared its revised offer “final”, a critical term in UK takeovers meaning it will not be able to raise its offer again.
SABMiller said in a separate statement on Tuesday that its chairman, Jan du Plessis, spoke with his counterpart at AB InBev, Olivier Goudet, last Friday about the takeover “in light of recent exchange rate volatility and market movements”. However, it said that they did not discuss or agree the terms of the new offer.
SABMiller added that it had brought on Centerview Partners, an advisory firm, to provide additional financial advice. The company said it would consult with shareholders to review the revised offer, and that a further announcement would be made thereafter.
AB InBev’s decision to alter its offer follows weeks of complaints from investors over the original terms of the complex agreement.
Hedge fund managers including Elliott Management, TCI and Davidson Kempner had been arguing that the mostly stock alternative — which will consist of shares in AB InBev’s that will not trade publicly for five years — was designed to appeal to SABMiller’s large shareholders Altria, the US tobacco company, and BevCo, the investment vehicle of the Santo Domingo brewing family.
Altria and BevCo own about 40 per cent of SABMiller, and the share alternative was created to encourage them to support a deal as it would minimise their tax liability from an AB InBev takeover.
Meanwhile, the fall in sterling following the UK’s vote to leave the EU has widened the gap in value between the two choices, with the cash option more than 16 per cent lower in value for shareholders as of Monday.
The Financial Times first reported last week that Elliott had written to the board of SABMiller to raise its concerns.
On Monday, Martin Gilbert, chief executive of one of SABMiller’s shareholders, Aberdeen Asset Management, said his company was “leading the charge” in putting pressure on the brewers to revise the terms of the deal.
On Tuesday, however, Aberdeen said the revised deal “remains unacceptable as it both undervalues the company and continues to favour SABMiller’s two major shareholders”.
AB In Bev’s revised offer comes earlier than many investors had expected.
Last week, Mr du Plessis told SABMiller investors that the South African brewer would review the terms of AB InBev’s bid and “take into consideration all relevant facts and circumstances” — but only after the proposed takeover was cleared by Chinese authorities.
Speaking at the company’s annual shareholder meeting in London, Mr du Plessis said that SABMiller was “still waiting for the precondition in relation to China” and would “look at the transaction as a whole” once those approvals were received.
AB InBev’s takeover of SABMiller has already been given the greenlight in more than 20 jurisdictions, including the EU, which cleared the merger in May but stipulated that AB InBev must sell SABMiller’s entire beer business in Europe.
Last week, US antitrust regulators also approved the deal, after AB InBev agreed to divest SABMiller’s entire US business, including its stake in MillerCoors