WSJ : Cheap Luxury Goods in the U.K. Lure Shoppers

Cheap Luxury Goods in the U.K. Lure Shoppers
Sterling has plunged, but makers of many designer brands haven’t yet raised prices

LONDON—Attention luxury shoppers: Britain is now the cheapest place to buy that coveted Louis Vuitton handbag.

Since Britain voted in June to leave the European Union, sterling has tumbled 17% as of Friday’s close, having set fresh three-decade lows last week. The fall has ratcheted up prices here of imported wine, electronics and even some cars. But most luxury-goods makers—protected by typically fat margins for their products—haven’t yet raised their prices. That has suddenly made the U.K. the least expensive market in the world for a bevy of luxury goods, according to analysts.

The low prices are drawing high-end tourist dollars, as spending in other top luxury-shopping destinations in Europe slump. Spending by foreigners on items for which buyers seek tax refunds—ordinarily big-ticket items—surged more than 36% in August in the U.K., compared with a year ago, according to a UBS analysis of data provided by Global Blue, a tax-refund service.

That compares to a fall of nearly 20% on the year for the same sort of purchases in France, where tourism has been laid low by a raft of terror attacks. In Italy, spending fell more than 11% in the same period.

“It’s definitely cheaper now,” said Dirk Hamann, a Berlin-based businessman emerging from the Valentino store on London’s Old Bond Street. Mr. Hamann and his wife Rika splurged, buying two jackets and a sweater at the store.

Especially price savvy are the throngs of Chinese shoppers who have flocked to Europe in recent years, picking up luxury items in bulk to take advantage of a lower euro and to avoid Chinese import duties. Many of these purchases end up on a vast gray market, where middlemen profit by reselling handbags and watches at a premium to European prices, but at a big discount to prices in Asia.

Chinese tourists have already ratcheted up purchases at Westfield Corp.’s two big London shopping malls, which include stores for British luxury firms like Aquascutum, Aspinal and Burberry, according to Myf Ryan, Westfield’s chief marketing officer for the U.K. and Europe.

“What we have seen is Chinese tourists bulk-buying designer items,” she said. Ms. Ryan said these tourists are buying an average of 10 items, or double the count from last year.

For all stripes of tourists, Britain is suddenly a much more affordable destination after the Brexit vote. Travel bookings for the period between October and December from the U.S. to Britain are up 6% from the year-ago period, according to VisitBritain, the U.K. tourism agency. Bookings from India are up 11%, and bookings from China are up 24%.

“We know that when people budget they budget in their own currency, which means their money goes so much further,” said Patricia Yates, director of strategy for VisitBritain.


For luxury shoppers, the savings can still be substantial, especially for visitors from the U.S. and Asia. According to an analysis of pricing conducted by Deloitte for The Wall Street Journal, a Speedy 30 handbag from Louis Vuitton cost £645 in London, or $802 as of this past Friday. That compares to €760 ($850) in Paris and $970 in New York. In China, the bag costs 7,450 yuan, or $1,115. A spokeswoman from LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE declined to comment.

A men’s cashmere V-neck sweater from Brunello Cucinelli, meanwhile, cost £650 ($808) in London, compared with $940 in Paris, $995 in New York and $1,287 in China. A Brunello Cucinelli spokesman said “prices are defined at the launch of every new collection; as for protocol, garment prices are defined in each currency and realigned keeping them updated, based on their relative exchange-rate fluctuations.”

Jonathan Coen, the commercial director for London’s Heathrow Airport, says there has been a noticeable uptick in luxury sales there.

“Since the Brexit vote, Heathrow’s luxury brands have seen a significant increase in sales,” he said. Sales of jewelry and watches rose 16.6% in July from the year-ago period in Britain, according to Britain’s statistics agency.

Sales from bookings are up 9% on the year at Edwardian Hotels London, a privately owned chain of 11 upscale hotels in London.

“We’re seeing particular strength in our five-star hotels,” said the group’s director of revenue, Linton Wadsworth. “People are taking advantage of great dollar rates.”

At the Arch London, a boutique hotel near London’s fashionable Bond Street, demand has surged.

“We’ve noticed a big increase in overseas guests this quarter,” said the hotel’s finance director, Alon Bejerano.

>>> Street Pre-Market Indications

CS
Bossard M/P Q3 and FY guidance in line with market expectations
Burberry +1-2% Positive read from LVMH numbers
CCH +1-2% Exercising call option to acquire 57% stake in CCBA
Ferragamo +2% Positive read from LVMH numbers
HSBC -1% Stock under pressure in Hong Kong
Kering +1-2% Positive read from LVMH numbers
LVMH +4-5% Q3 LFL sales +6% est +4%, driven by Fashion & Leather Goods
McCarthy +5-10% Reservations stronger, forward order book strong
Miners -1% Copper -0.15%, Brent -0.50%, Iron Ore +0.35%, China +0.25%
N Brown +2-3% H1 revs slightly ahead, comfortable with FY expectations
Qiagen -2-3% US peer Illumina fell 6% after hours post Q3 sales miss
Richemont -0.5% Negative read from LVMH numbers, Watches & Jewellery weak
Swatch -0.5% Negative read from LVMH numbers, Watches & Jewellery weak
Syngenta R ChemChina Likely to Be Approved by EC, Bloomberg
Tecan -1-2% US peer Illumina fell 6% after hours post Q3 sales miss
Ted Baker +1-2% H1 sales £259.5m vs cons 255m, outlook reads fine
Tryg +2-3% Profit before tax 12% ahead, good investment returns
UK Homebuilders +1-2% Positive read from McCarthy & Stone numbers
Unicredit M/P Amundi ready to offer EU4b for Unicredit’s Pioneer

Mainfirst
*LVMH-Q3 ORG 6%(4%),Total Rev Grth 9.14b(8.92),W&J lite,SI 1.25%......+4%
*LHA/AIR BERLIN-Still far apart on 40 jets deal-SZ....................U/C
*BSCH-Plans to sell UniBanco for €900-€100m...........................U/C
*FIAT-To build first plug-in Hybrid in Canada, agree Union deal........+0.25%
*ABB-Chief says tech spawning new bizz models for Power/Energy........-0.5%
*ENEL-To acquire Metroweb total share capital for €714m...............+0.25%
*SYNGENTA/CHEMCHINA-Likely to be approved by EC-Capital Forum.........+0.25%
*TRYG-Net DK732m(659),Combined Ratio 83.7%(84%),PT 923m(837)..........+1%
*BOSSARD-Q3 Sales 169.7m(168.5),Europe lite,US better, FY light........U/C
*SOLARWORLD-German renewables levy to rise 8% to 6.88cent/KWh in '17..+4%
*NORDED-German wind power expansion said to slow in north Germany.......-2%
*BPOST-Told to spend €600m to meet delivery targets...................-1%

Investec
UK
* BP Marathon lawsuit o'night - broker buy note away, Brent lower o'night...unch
* GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES +ve lettings update, seeing continued momentum......+1%
* KELLER £60m contract win in Egypt, minor +ve.............................+0.5%
* MCARTHY&STONE +ve trading update & CFO to leave, stronger reservations.....+2%
* N BROWN H1 numbers ahead of forecasts, autumn/winter started well..........+3%
* PAGE GROUP cautious statement / outlook but maintains FY expectations......-1%
* RWS FY rev to be no less than £122mln & PBT to be no less than £30.5mln....+5%
* SHIRE PHARMA said to line up financing for Radius Health deal............-0.5%
* TED BAKER H1 PTP £21.5m, continues to perform well, confident on FY........+2%
* ULTRA ELECTRONICS BUY note out here and being pushed away..................+2%
* VICTREX improved & in line H2, sees consumer electronics lower in '17......-1%

EUROPE
* BPOST-told to spend €600k by regulator as delivery targets missed..........-1%
* ENEL- (finally) signs agreement for aqn of Metroweb for €714m..............U/C
* LUFTHANSA-Sep Traffic stats due
* LVMH-Q3 organic rev +6% vs est +4%, Fashion & Leather the big o/perform....+3%
* NORDEX-Germany to halve expansion of wind power in North(SZ)...............-3%
* PERNOD-slight cognac miss from LVMH, not too significant, comment follows....-1%
* SYNGENTA-ChemChina deal likely to be approved by EC(Capitol Forum).........+1%
* TRYG-Q3 ptp 10% ahead on investments beat, CR better at 83.7% (est 84%)....+2%

Other
* REAL ESTATE-Office first Immobilien postpones €1bn ipo.
* US co’s reporting : Alcoa

RBC
*AAL/AMS: +1% sale of non-core part of Amandelbult resource for approx. $72M.
*BMW/DAIMLER: +1% positive China SEP car sales, GEELY +5%, GREAT WALL +2.9%.
*BPOST: -1% missed quality targets, forced to spend €600M v EBIT €500M.
*LVMH: +4% strong Q3 numbers, F&LG +5% organic, improvement in Asia.
*PAGE GROUP: +3% Q3 2.5% cons beat, Europe consistent, cost control & cash flow strong.
*SSAB: -1% US plate spot deals close to Jan lows, weak demand.
*TED BAKER: +2% H1 rev +14.4%, confident progress to FY, challenging trade conditions.
*TRYG: +2% Q3 results beat, claims ration down, pre-tax profit up.
*UK INSURERS: +1% Confused.com report says motor ins prices +3.5% in Q2.

Commerzbank
DAX Future -0.35% at 10586

AB1 –1.0% And LHA still far apart on 40 jets lease deal
BOSS +0.5% Limited x-read from strong LVMH Q3
1COV –0.3% CBK raises PT to €57 (50) on increasing volumes
LHA +0.4% and AB1 still far apart on 40 jets lease deal
LO24 -1.6% Boosts 2016 outlook after 3Q revs rose 64.4% to €6.4mn
NDX1 –2.0% German wind power expansion said to slow in north of GER
QIA –2.3% Illumina -26% due to lower sales in Q3; no neg x-read for QIA
SWVK +6.7% GER renewables leva to rise 8% to 6.88 cent/kwh in 2017

(CS) LVMH : 3Q sales sending a positive signal

* LVMH 3Q sales sending a positive signal ■ Nice beat on 3Q sales at LVMH. Headline revenue number of €9,138m came 2% ahead of our and consensus forecasts (source: Bloomberg). The implications for soft luxury and beauty are overall positive while hard luxury continues to be weak. The conference call is tomorrow at 3pm CET. 
* Volumes in soft luxury seem to have held up well in 3Q. Organic sales for the key Fashion & Leather goods division were up +5% in 3Q against market expectations of +2%. Similar to 1H, we reckon the discontinuation of some DKNY lines had a c.2ppt drag on sales. Our pricing analysis of Louis Vuitton monogram handbags across four markets shows no price increases in the last 12 months. This suggests that growth in 3Q has been mainly volume driven. The read-across is particularly positive for Kering (N) reporting on 25 Oct with Gucci sales likely to outperform peers. 
* The beauty assets still support group organic growth. Perfumes & Cosmetics grew organic sales by +10% and Selective Retailing by +8%. This confirms our view that the beauty business is helped by a favourable product mix towards cosmetics and market share gains in beauty retailing for Sephora (see Adding colour to cosmetics published on 07-Sep-16). 
* Hard luxury remains the weak point. Organic sales for the Watches & Jewellery division were up +2%. It does not look bad in the context of the overall industry but it highlights two elements. First, unlike most other Swiss brands, Tag Heuer is back to growth thanks to successful inventory cleanup and price repositioning. Second, jewellery continues to be weak as we reckon Bvlgari sales in 3Q were down despite market share gains. 
* Hennessy volumes remained positive in 3Q. We estimate cognac sales were up +2% in volumes, slowing from +13% in 1H but against much tougher comps. Champagne sales volumes were up +3% in the first nine months, therefore in line with 1H

>>> What to look at today - 11th of October 2016

Dow +0.49% S&P +0.46% Nasdaq +0.69% Russell +1.15% VIX 13.38 (-0.74%) VXX 32.65 (-2.22%)
US Market closed higher helped by rebound on oil & Heavyweight. Q3 Kickoff is also a catalyst. Crude oil extended its recent winning streak after Russian President Vladimir Putin signaled that he supports freezing or even cutting Russian oil production. The commentary comes on the heels of OPEC's recently-proposed output cap. Elsewhere, Saudi Arabia's oil minister also contributed to the positive bias when he suggested that oil prices could reach $60.00/bbl before the end of the year. WTI crude finished the day higher by 3.1% ($51.32/bbl, +$1.56). All 11 sectors finished with a gain. The energy (+1.5%), utilities (+0.8%), and technology (+0.7%) sectors led the advance. The industrials sector (+0.02%) brought up the rear, held back by an earnings warning from Dover (DOV 66.69, -5.55), which followed on the heels of Honeywell's (HON 106.80, -0.14) profit warning on Friday. AAPL outperformed on Samsung Galaxy 7 problems. IBB +1.4%. U.S. bond market was closed in observance of Columbus Day and volume were light on equitues with 667 million shares. US After Hours ILMN slammed 25% on Q3, Q4 guidance warning. Markets mixed with broad dollar strength across the region, Fed's Evans reiterates Dec rate hike could be fine. Markets in the region generally opened higher, before tech names got dragged lower on Samsung Electronics (-7%) after they halted mobile providers from selling or exchanging the Galaxy Note 7 due to continued issues. Goldman Sachs noted China FX outflows may be worse than reported; More capital is leaving in CNY rather than USD, which a report from Chinabond.com said that China govt bond holdings by foreign investors reaches record high. China Premier Li comments the global economic recovery is slow but debt risks are under control. Noted leverage outside of financial sector is high, but is confident of reaching economic goals this year.

Nikkei +0.91% Hang Seng -1.27% CSI +0.13% Shanghai +0.25%

Eur$ 1.1124 CNH 6.7212 CNY 6.7146 JPY 104.05 GBP 1.2317 CHF 0.9841 RUB 62.0977 WTI$ 51.29 (-0.12%)

S&P -0.20% EuroStoxx -0.43% Dax -0.33% FTSE -0.25% SMI -0.42%

Macro :
- Germany Unlikely to Decide EU3.2b Naval Order by Mid-2017: HB
- EU Financial Transaction Decision Expected This Year: Schelling
- U.K. Treasury May Lose Up to GBP66b/Yr on ’Hard Brexit’: Times
- Fed’s Evans to Speak on Economy, Monetary Policy in 5 Min.

Keep an eye on :
- ABIT BB : Coca-Cola exercises call option to acquire Anheuser-Busch InBev's stake in Coca-Cola Beverages Africa,  AB Inbev Doesn’t See Material Finl Impact From Coca-Cola Deal
- ABI BB : NewBelco to start trading today
- AZM IM : Azimut Said to Near Merger of AZ Quest, AZ Legan Units: Reuters
- BPOST BB : Bpost Told to Spend EU0.6m to Meet Belgian Delivery Deadlines
- KO US : Coca-Cola to Buy Anheuser-Busch Stake in Africa Unit
- ENEL IM : Enel Unit to Acquire Metroweb Total Share Capital for EU714m
- ILMN US : Illumina Lowers Prelim 3Q Rev. View; TMO, PACB Fall Post-Mkt -25%
- LHA GY : Lufthansa, Air Berlin Still Far Apart on 40 Jets Lease Deal: SZ
- MC FP : LVMH 3Q Total Organic Sales, Fashion and Leather Beat Estimates
- COX FP : Nicox Posts No Revenue for 3Q; Confident of FDA Nod on Two Drugs
- ROG VX : Roche Says FDA Grants Priority Review to Genentech’s Lucentis
- RR/ LN : BAE, Ultra Top Sector Picks, Rolls-Royce Big FX Winner: JPMorgan
- SYNN VX : Syngenta/ChemChina Likely to Be Approved by EC: Capitol Forum
- TXN US : Texas Instruments Underperforms; Goldman Says Sell on Valuation
- HO FP : Thales to Book EU110m Pretax Profit From Hanwha JV Stake Sale
- TSN US : Tyson Foods Buys 5% Stake in Beyond Meat; No Terms
- TWTR US : Salesforce Still Said Mulling If to Bid for Twitter: Reuters

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades 11th of October 2016

>>> Up
*ANGLO AMERICAN RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT UBS
*ATLANTIA RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*GEOX RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS UNDERPERFORM AT MEDIOBANCA
*PROXIMUS RAISED TO HOLD VS SELL AT BERENBERG
*RAI WAY RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT MEDIOBANCA
*SNAM RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT HSBC

>>> Down
*BHP BILLITON CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT UBS
*ERDEMIR CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT GOLDMAN
*IMA CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OUTPERFORM AT MEDIOBANCA
*JUPITER FUND RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS EQUALWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*LANDI RENZO CUT TO UNDERPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT MEDIOBANCA
*SARAS CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OUTPERFORM AT MEDIOBANCA

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation
*AB INBEV REINSTATED AT NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*AB INBEV REINSTATED AT BUY AT BOFAML; PT EU137
*BP RATED NEW OUTPERFORM AT EXANE
*ENI RATED NEW UNDERPERFORM AT EXANE; PT EU12.5
*GALP RATED NEW OUTPERFORM AT EXANE
*REPSOL RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT EXANE; PT EU12.5
*SHELL RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT EXANE; PT 2,250P/EU25
*STATOIL RATED NEW UNDERPERFORM AT EXANE; PT NOK125
*TENARIS RATED NEW HOLD AT BERENBERG, PT EU12.5
*TOTAL RATED NEW OUTPERFORM AT EXANE
*VALLOUREC RATED NEW SELL AT BERENBERG, PT EU3.6

>>> Call
>> Stock
*SEVERSTAL ADDED TO CEEMEA FOCUS LIST AT GOLDMAN

>>> Asian Update

Asia Mid-Session Market Update: Markets mixed with broad dollar strength across the region, Fed's Evans reiterates Dec rate hike could be fine; RBNZ's McDermott reiterates expects to ease again


***Asia Session Notable Observations, Speakers and Press***
- Markets in the region generally opened higher, before tech names got dragged lower on Samsung Electronics (-7%) after they halted mobile providers from selling or exchanging the Galaxy Note 7 due to continued issues. Residual effects were felt in the Taiex -0.6%, with many of its major firms acting as suppliers to Samsung. There was broad dollar strength against the currencies of the region, most notable AUD/USD (-0.75%) and NZD/USD (-1.0%).
- Fed's Evans (dove, non-voter) speaking in Sydney said even with a "very shallow path" of interest rate increases, inflation won't rise to 2% target until 2020; comfortable with a December rate hike
- Goldman Sachs noted China FX outflows may be worse than reported; More capital is leaving in CNY rather than USD, which a report from Chinabond.com said that China govt bond holdings by foreign investors reaches record high.
- China Premier Li comments the global economic recovery is slow but debt risks are under control. Noted leverage outside of financial sector is high, but is confident of reaching economic goals this year.
- RBNZ Assistant Gov McDermott reiterated policy will continue to be accommodative; current projects indicate further policy easing will be required, NZD/USD fell to 0.7089
- UK press reported that the UK Treasury reportedly may lose £66B/year under a 'Hard Brexit' scenario, GBP/USD tested 1.2302

***US Session Highlights***
- Thin US Columbus Day markets calibrate to developments in US Presidential race
- (US) NBC/Wall Street Journal poll: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 46%-35% margin in 4-way ballot; Mexican Peso surged 3% against the Greenback and continues to be seen as a barometer for the November election.
- TWTR: Reportedly Salesforce still considering making a "lowball" offer for Twitter, despite shareholder opposition - press
- FANG: Reports Q3 production 44.9K boe/d, +22% q/q; Raises FY16 prod outlook
- Oil producers are set to meet in Turkey on Wednesday, and once again there was no shortfall of jawboning by officials arriving ahead of the meetings.
- (GR) Reportedly Eurozone ministers agree to disburse €1.1B to Greece now, delay the remaining €1.7B to a later date

***US Markets on Close: Dow +0.5%, S&P500 +0.5%, Nasdaq +0.7%***
- Best Sector in S&P500: Energy
- Worst Sector in S&P500: Industrials
- Biggest gainers: TSRO +18.8%, HDP +13.4%, MYL +8.2%, CRM +5.9%, AGCO +3.7%
- Biggest losers: TWTR -11.5%, BMY -10.1%, HVT -9.4%, DOV -7.7%, COG -2.5%

***VIX 13.38 (-0.1pts); Treasuries: 2-yr 0.87% (+2bp), 10-yr 1.72% (-1bp), 30-yr 2.45% (-1bp)***

***US Movers Afterhours***
- ILMN: Reports prelim Q3 R$607M v $628Me (prior guidance $625-630M), Guides Q4 Rev flat to slightly up q/q (implies ~$607M v $682Me); -24.3% after hours
- TMO -2.3%; PACB, -6.4% afterhours (on ILMN guidance)
- RDUS Shire said to be close to multi-billion dollar takeover - financial press, +5.8% after hours
- CLDT: Cuts Q3 AFFO $0.70-0.71 v $0.75e, adj EBITDA $37-37.5M (prior $0.72-0.75, $38-39.5M); -4.5% after hours
- EARS: To announce Keyzilen program update and host conference call and webcast October 11th , +4.9% after hours
- LC: Wedbush initiates with Underperform rating and $3.75 price target, -2.2% after hours
- YHOO: Verizon CEO still sees real value in Yahoo, says merger still makes sense - CNBC, +0.5% after hours

***Equity Futures (00:00ET): S&P e-mini -0.2%, Dax -0.2%, FTSE100 -0.4%***

***FX ranges/ Fixed Income/Commodities (00:00ET):***
- EUR 1.1142-1.1119; JPY 103.99-103.610; AUD 0.7609-0.7543, NZD 0.7142-0.7062
- Dec Gold 0.02% at 1,260/oz; Crude Oil -0.2% at $51.78/brl; Copper -0.1% at $2.19/lb
- USD/CNY: (CN) PBOC SETS YUAN MID POINT AT 6.7098 V 6.7008 PRIOR (lowest level since Sept 2010)
- (CN) PBOC to inject CNY20B in 7-day reverse repos and CNY10B in 14-day reverse repos

***Asian Equity Markets (00:00ET)***
- Nikkei +0.9%, Hang Seng -1.1%, Shanghai Composite +0.4%, ASX +0.6%, Kospi -1.2%

***Key Economic Data:***
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND SEPT CARD SPENDING M/M: 1.9% (10-year high) V 0.8%E; TOTAL M/M: +2.0% V -1.1% PRIOR
- (UK) SEPT BRC LFL SALES VALUE Y/Y: +0.4% V -0.3%E
- (JP) JAPAN AUG CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE: ¥2.00T V ¥1.50TE; ADJUSTED CURRENT ACCOUNT: ¥1.98T V ¥1.57TE; TRADE BALANCE: ¥243B V ¥117BE
- (AU) AUSTRALIA SEPT NAB BUSINESS CONFIDENCE: 6 V 6 PRIOR; CONDITIONS: 8 V 7 PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA AUG HOME LOANS M/M: -3.0% V -1.5%E
- (AU) Australia Q3 CBA/HIA Housing Affordability: 81.8 v 81.7 prior

***Asia Movers***
- Consumer discretionary: Skyworth Digital 751.HK -3.5% (Sept result); Intime Department Store Group Co 1833.HK -0.75% (Sept result); Shimachu Co 8184.JP +5.8% (annual result)
- Financials: Evergrande Real Estate Group 3333.HK -2.3% (Sept result); China Merchants Land 978.HK -0.8% (guidance); Sunac China Holdings 1918.HK -3.7% (Sept result); China Vanke Co 000002.CN +3.0% (Sept result)
- Industrials: Geely Automobile Holdings 175.HK +4.7% (Sept result); Great Wall Motor 2333.HK +2.2% (Sept result); Takata Corp.7312.JP -8.0% (chapter 11 filing for TK Holding speculation); WorleyParsons WOR.AU +5.9% (oil trades near 16-month high)
- Technology: Samsung Electronics 005930.KR -6.7% (request to stop sales and exchanges of Note 7)
- Materials: Sinopec Yizheng Chemical Fibre Co 1033.HK -3.6% (guidance); Sakata Seed Corp 1377.JP +6.9% (Q1 result); Hills Ltd HIL.AU +1.7% (agreement with Woolworths ends)
- Energy: Ausdrill ASL.AU +0.2% (guidance); Santos STO.AU +4.1%, Beach Energy BPT.AU +3.1%, Inpex 1605.JP +3.4% (oil trades near 16-month high)
- Healthcare: Sirtex Medical SRX.AU -1.7% (UBS cuts PT)

>>> US After Hours

After Hours Summary: ILMN slammed on Q3, Q4 guidance warning

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: N/A

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: EARS +4.9% (Schedules conference call for tomorrow morning to provide an update on the Keyzilen development program), YHOO +0.5% (Positive comments from Verizon (VZ) CEO Lowell McAdam), AMSC +0.5% (Initiated with a Buy at Roth Capital), LUV +0.4% (Initiated with an Outperform at Bernstein)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: ILMN -24.3% (PACB, TMO, QGEN lower in sympathy), CLDT -4.5%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: LC -2.3% (Hearing was initiated with an Underperform at Wedbush), HRTG -1.8% (Provided an update on its initial loss projections from Hurricane Matthew)

FT : Two-thirds of UK investors say stocks overvalued

Two-thirds of UK investors say stocks overvalued

Negative sentiment towards equities and bonds at four-year high

More UK investment professionals think shares and bonds are overvalued that at any time in the past four years — a shift in sentiment that their industry body attributes partly to the UK’s Brexit vote and US election worries.

In a new poll by the CFA Society, which has more than 11,000 members working across the investment industry, two-thirds of respondents said developed market equities were overpriced, and eight in 10 said that bonds were overvalued.

These were the most pessimistic results since CFA UK first began asking its members about equity and bond valuations in 2012.

Will Goodhart, chief executive of CFA UK, said: “The impact of Brexit and concerns around the US election result may be weighing on the minds of investors, as the proportion of our respondents viewing developed markets equities as overvalued hit record highs.

He also warned: “The broad perception that valuations are now at extreme levels indicates that market values are more than usually vulnerable to rapid and significant change.”

At the start of the year, only 40 per cent of CFA members said that developed market stocks were overvalued. But that has now risen to 67 per cent — despite only a 3.7 per cent rise in the FTSE All-World Developed index in the year to date.

Professional investors who think stocks are still undervalued and offer good value account for only 10 per cent of respondents, down from almost 30 per cent at the start of the year.

Didier Saint-Georges, managing director of French fund house Carmignac, which reduced its equity exposure in September, said: “Both equities and bonds have become vulnerable to external shocks. The US elections present us with a situation of unfavourable risks.”

A portfolio manager at a large Swiss fund company, speaking on condition of anonymity, added: “I can understand the concerns. The S&P is near all term highs, there are $10tn of negative-yielding bonds, and even the FTSE 250 is at or near all time highs. And there has been a flurry of M&A and IPO activity, which can be an indicator of market frothiness.”

More than 80 per cent of investors responding to the CFA’s poll said government bonds were overpriced, an increase of 15 percentage points since the beginning of the year. Similarly, the number of respondents saying corporate bonds were overvalued rose to its highest level in three years.

However, Xavier Baraton, chief investment officer for fixed Income in North America at HSBC Global Asset Management, was more upbeat about the findings. He said: “Corporate bonds look slightly on the expensive side, but we do not expect ‎a significant or prolonged deterioration.”

His views are supported by fund inflow figures from Morningstar, the data provider. Since the start of the year, fixed income funds in Europe have attracted €69bn of assets. By contrast, European investors have pulled more than €71bn from equity funds over the same period.

Morningstar blamed the outflows from equity funds on a “global flight to safety” following the UK’s vote to leave the EU.

Mr Saint-Georges at Carmignac added: “There are many risks, not just Brexit and the US elections, but the Italian referendum in December and German and French elections next year.

“These could be important if populist parties with an anti-Europe agenda make gains. With central banks debating whether to tighten monetary policy at a time of heightening political risk, it is understandable to see why so many investors are nervous.”

>>> Coca-Cola exercises call option to acquire Anheuser-Busch InBev's stake in C

Coca-Cola exercises call option to acquire Anheuser-Busch InBev's stake in Coca-Cola Beverages Africa 
* Coca-Cola Company today announced its intention to acquire Anheuser-Busch InBevs (ABI) stake in Coca-Cola Beverages Africa (CCBA) following the closing of the ABI combination with SABMiller.

* The company has chosen to exercise its right to acquire ABIs stake in CCBA because it intends to implement its long-term strategic plan in these markets with other partners. While the company respects ABIs capabilities, it has a number of existing partners who are highly qualified and interested in these bottling territories.

* During the next few months the company will negotiate the terms of the transaction with ABI according to the contractual parameters, which will later be followed by a regulatory approval process. The Coca-Cola Company also will continue negotiations with potential partners, and plans to refranchise CCBA as soon as practical following regulatory approval. The companys intent is to account for the acquired stake as a discontinued operation for reporting purposes.