Variety : David Ellison Courted Warner Bros. Discovery’s Zaslav Hard Over 12 Wee

David Ellison Courted Warner Bros. Discovery’s Zaslav Hard Over 12 Weeks to Win a Deal. Then WBD’s Chief Stopped Responding to His Texts
All of Paramount's offers to acquire WBD were rebuffed, and the board inked a deal with Netflix

David Ellison fought hard to win Warner Bros. Discovery. But despite his strenuous efforts, he lost out to Netflix — and now Ellison is switching from carrots to sticks: Paramount Skydance is taking its case directly to shareholders in a hostile takeover bid for WBD.

New details disclosed in a Paramount SEC filing reveal the lengths Ellison went to try to clinch a pact with David Zaslav, president and CEO of Warner Bros. Discovery. Ellison courted Zaslav as hard as he could: He hosted Zaslav at a dinner with his father, Larry Ellison. David Ellison met with Zaslav at the latter’s home in Beverly Hills to discuss a potential deal. And Larry Ellison met over a videoconference with Zaslav and John Malone, chairman emeritus of Warner Bros. and a major shareholder, to “discuss Paramount’s interest in a combination with Warner Bros.,” per the filing.

David Ellison and his teams at Paramount Skydance, together with their outside legal and financial advisory firms, worked over Thanksgiving to put together a more compelling offer to buy all of WBD — ultimately extending an all-cash offer of $30/share, with an equity value of $77.9 billion. Ellison even offered offered Zaslav a co-CEO and co-chairman role in a combined Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery.

“It would be the honor of a lifetime to be your partner and to be the owner of these iconic assets,” Ellison had texted Zaslav on Dec. 4, according to Paramount.

But the board of WBD rejected every proposal Ellison put forward, and on Friday, Dec. 5, the company announced a deal with Netflix to sell Warner Bros. studios and HBO Max in a deal with an equity value of $72 billion.

“Paramount made six proposals over 12 weeks to the Warner Bros. Board,” culminating in the all-cash offer of $30 per share on Dec. 4, according to the Paramount Skydance filing outlining the parameters of its WBD takeover efforts and the background to the negotiations. “The final proposal stated Paramount was ready to immediately sign the transaction, accompanied by fully executable agreements with fully committed debt financing and fully committed equity financing from the Ellison family. Despite these facts, the Warner Bros. Board and its advisors chose on that pivotal December 4th to make no effort to even speak with Paramount or its representatives about anything. Instead, the Warner Bros. Board, in possession of a $30 per share cash offer with a clearer and faster path to regulatory approval, committed Warner Bros. and its stockholders to an obviously financially inferior transaction” — the Netflix agreement — “with extraordinary regulatory risk and a longer timeline to a possible closing.”

Ellison, who felt the WBD board hadn’t treated him fairly, wasn’t done fighting to get his hands on the prize. On Monday, Paramount Skydance announced its intention to stage a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery. “We’re taking our offer directly to shareholders because they deserve transparency and the ability to make an informed decision,” Ellison told investors on a call. “Our proposal is superior to Netflix’s in every dimension, higher headline value, increased certainty in that value, greater regulatory certainty and a pro-Hollywood, pro-consumer and pro competition future. We’re confident that once shareholders have the opportunity to choose for themselves, they’ll choose Paramount.”

On Dec. 4, following Paramount’s submission of a $30/share offer to the WBD board, Ellison sent the following text to Zaslav: “Just tried calling you about new bid we have submitted. I heard you on all your concerns and believe we have addressed them in our new proposal. Please give me a call back when you can to discuss in detail.”

At approximately 4 p.m. ET on Dec. 4 — “having heard nothing all day,” per the Paramount filing — Ellison sent the following text to Zaslav: “Daivd [sic], I appreciate you’re underwater today so I wanted to send you a quick text. Please note when you next meet as a board we wanted to offer you a package that addressed all of the issues you discussed we [sic] me. Those were 1 we wanted to offer complete certainty 2 strong cash value 3 speed to close. Please note importantly we did not include ‘best and final’ in our bid. Also please know despite the noise of the last 24 hours I have nothing but respect and admiration for you and the company. It would be the honor of a lifetime to be your partner and to be the owner of these iconic assets. If we have the privilege to work together you will see that my father and I are the people you had dinner with. We are always loyal and honorable to our partners and hope we have the opportunity to prove that to you. Best, David.”

Neither Zaslav nor any representative of WBD responded, according to Paramount. At approximately 11 p.m. ET on Dec. 4, news outlets (including Variety) began reporting that Warner Bros. had entered into an exclusivity agreement with Netflix.

As revealed in Paramount’s SEC filing, Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount spent a lot of time fighting over the terms of a confidentiality agreement that would require “no contact with the Warner Bros. Board or any other person at Warner Bros. other than Mr. Zaslav, a requirement to seek permission before Paramount could engage with any debt or equity financing sources and a broad waiver of claims and challenges against Warner Bros. and its representatives relating to Warner Bros.’ sale process.”

WBD and Paramount also tussled over foreign financing, reflecting Warner Bros. Discovery’s desire to steer the deal away from review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, the U.S. government’s interagency body that reviews foreign investments in U.S. businesses potential national security risks.

According to Paramount’s deal terms to acquire WBD, the three Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds (Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Abu Dhabi) and Jared Kushner’s Affinity Partners are backing the $30/share offer for Warner Bros. Discovery, along with Larry Ellison, RedBird Capital Partners. But the Arab wealth funds and Kushner’s Affinity “have agreed to forgo any governance rights — including board representation — associated with their non-voting equity investments.” As such, the deal would not require CFIUS review, according to Paramount. In addition, Chinese internet company Tencent, which had previously committed $1 billion toward the WBD takeover deal, is no longer a financing partner.

Meanwhile, before the Skydance-Paramount deal was reached in mid-2024, Warner Bros. Discovery and Shari Redstone’s Paramount Global talked about combinations in 2023 and 2024. As Variety has previously reported, Zaslav had met with Paramount’s then-CEO Bob Bakish in December 2023 to explore a possible WBD-Paramount merger. WBD and Paramount execs continued discussions through April of 2024 and the companies engaged in “mutual due diligence” — but Warner Bros. Discovery never submitted a formal bid for Paramount Global. “None of those discussions led to entry into any definitive agreement for a business combination,” the Paramount filing says.

Paramount’s SEC filing provided an extensive chronology of events documenting Ellison’s journey to try to land the WBD deal.

Following the Aug. 7 closing of the Paramount-Skydance merger, Paramount execs and members of the Paramount board “discussed industry dynamics, growth opportunities and the merits of an acquisition of Warner Bros. They determined that the industrial logic of a combination was compelling.” In light of Warner Bros.’ plan to break up the company — splitting into Warner Bros. studios and streaming and Discovery Global, housing CNN, TBS, HGTV and other cable networks — “Paramount concluded that time was of the essence to pursue a transaction,” according to the filing.

Here are key dates in the timeline:

Sept. 11: The Wall Street Journal and other outlets reported that Paramount was preparing an offer for Warner Bros. Discovery, and driving up WBD’s stock price “by nearly 30% from Warner Bros.’ closing stock price of $12.54 on September 10, 2025.”

Sept. 12: The Paramount board met and discussed the merits of a potential acquisition of Warner Bros, including the industrial logic of the combination. Following this discussion, the Paramount board “unanimously approved terms for a proposed offer to Warner Bros.”

Sept. 14: David Ellison met with Zaslav at Mr. Zaslav’s home in Beverly Hills. Ellison told Zaslav that “Paramount was prepared to make an offer to Warner Bros. for each outstanding Share for an implied value of $19.00 per Share, comprised of 60% in cash and 40% in shares of Paramount Class B Common Stock, representing a 52% premium to the Unaffected Warner Bros. Stock Price.” Ellison discussed the potential merits and synergies of a combination, and subsequently “delivered to Mr. Zaslav a letter containing Paramount’s proposal to combine Paramount with Warner Bros. upon such terms (the ‘September 14 Proposal’), which letter outlined the unique benefits of a Paramount–Warner Bros. combination and the significant immediate value that would be delivered to Warner Bros. stockholders.” The proposal stated that it was not subject to any financing condition, had committed debt financing and had a full equity backstop from Paramount’s principal equity holders.

Sept. 16: Larry Ellison, David Ellison’s father and Paramount’s largest stockholder, met virtually with Zaslav and John Malone, chairman emeritus of WBD, to discuss Paramount’s interest in a combination with Warner Bros.

Sept. 22: Without “further engagement between the companies, Mr. Ellison received a letter from Mr. Zaslav, stating that the Warner Bros. Board had unanimously concluded that the September 14 Proposal was inadequate and would not be in the best interests of Warner Bros. and its stockholders, and that the Warner Bros. Board and Warner Bros.’ management were committed to pursuing the Warner Bros. Separation.”

Sept. 27: The Paramount board met to discuss Warner Bros.’ rejection of the Sept. 14 proposal and contemplated how to improve upon the offer. Following this discussion, the Paramount board unanimously approved the terms of a revised proposal, to be shared with Warner Bros. in the coming days.

Sept. 30: Ellison delivered a letter containing Paramount’s improved offer to the Warner Bros. Discovery board to exchange each outstanding Share for an implied value of $22.00 per Share, comprised of 66.7% in cash and 33.3% in shares of Paramount Class B Common Stock, representing a 75% premium to the unaffected Warner Bros. stock price, a $3 increase from the Sept. 14 proposal. The new proposal noted Paramount’s commitment to litigate and take actions to achieve regulatory clearance for the transaction up to a “material adverse effect” standard, and offered a $2 billion regulatory reverse termination fee. Moreover, the letter offered Zaslav the roles of co-CEO and co-chairman of the board of directors of the combined company. The Sept. 30 proposal requested that the Warner Bros. Board provide a response by Oct. 6.

Oct. 7: Paramount board met to discuss the September 30 Improved Proposal, noting that Warner Bros. had not yet provided any feedback on the improved offer.

Oct. 8: Ellison received a letter from Zaslav stating that the Sept. 30 proposal “was inadequate and would not be in the best interests of Warner Bros. and its stockholders, and that the Warner Bros. Board was unanimously of the view that their plan for the Warner Bros. Separation was ‘far superior’ to Paramount’s proposal.”

Oct. 9 and Oct. 13: Members of the Paramount board met to discuss Warner Bros.’ rejection of the Sept. 30 proposal and contemplated how to further improve upon their offer. Following the Paramount board’s discussion at the Oct. 13 meeting, it unanimously approved the terms of a revised proposal. That same day, Ellison delivered a letter containing Paramount’s improved offer to the Warner Bros. board to exchange each outstanding share for an implied value of $23.50 per share, comprised of 80% in cash and 20% in shares of Paramount Class B Common Stock, a $1.50 increase from the Sept. 30 proposal. It maintained the prior regulatory commitments and raised the proposed regulatory reverse termination fee to $2.1 billion. The letter requested that the Warner Bros. board respond to the improved proposal by Oct. 15.

Oct. 21: Without further engagement with Paramount, Warner Bros. Discovery publicly announced that it had initiated a review of strategic alternatives to maximize shareholder value, in light of unsolicited interest it received from “multiple parties” for both the entire company and for Streaming & Studios. That same day, Ellison received a letter from Zaslav stating that the Warner Bros. board had unanimously concluded that Paramount’s Oct. 13 proposal was inadequate. The letter also stated that the Warner Bros. board was determined to explore a number of strategic alternatives through a formal bidding process. Later on Oct. 21, representatives of Allen & Co. and J.P. Morgan (financial advisers to Warner Bros.) spoke with representatives of Centerview Partners (financial adviser to Paramount) and explained that they expected this would be a multi-round bidding process with “a goal of signing a definitive agreement by year end.” That same evening, representatives of Paramount received a draft confidentiality agreement from representatives of Warner Bros. The confidentiality agreement contained, among other provisions, a two-year “standstill,” a provision requiring no contact with the Warner Bros. board or any other person at Warner Bros. other than Zaslav, a requirement to seek permission before Paramount could engage with any debt or equity financing sources and a broad waiver of claims and challenges against Warner Bros. and its representatives relating to Warner Bros.’ sale process.

Oct. 22: Representatives of Paramount sent a preliminary due diligence request list to representatives of Warner Bros., which included Paramount’s high-priority diligence items.

Oct. 24: Representatives of Cravath, Swaine & Moore, legal adviser to Paramount, provided a markup of the proposed confidentiality agreement to representatives of Debevoise & Plimpton and Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz, serving as legal advisers to Warner Bros. Among other changes, Cravath’s markup reduced the “standstill” to six months and provided for termination of such period in the event that, among other things, Warner Bros. abandoned its sale process and announced it would proceed with its previously planned separation, added a “most favored nations” clause with respect to the entry of any less favorable standstill provision with any other potential bidder, removed Warner Bros.’ veto right over engagement with financing sources, limited the scope of restrictions on contact with Warner Bros. personnel and eliminated the prohibition on legal challenges to Warner Bros. sales process and claims against Warner Bros. and its representatives.

Oct. 27: The representatives of Debevoise and Wachtell returned a markup of the confidentiality agreement to representatives of Cravath. Together with representatives of Latham & Watkins (an additional legal adviser) to Paramount, they discussed the confidentiality agreement on a call on Oct. 29. Among other things, the revised draft from Debevoise and Wachtell proposed a standstill period of 18 months with no “most favored nations” provision and no termination in the event of an announcement that Warner Bros. would abandon its sales process in favor of its previously planned separation, largely reinserted restrictions on financing sources and contact with Warner Bros. personnel, and reinserted the broad prohibition on legal challenges. The representatives of Paramount and Warner Bros. continued to exchange drafts of and comments to the confidentiality agreement through Nov. 3.

Nov. 5: A representative of Cravath sent an email to representatives of Allen & Co., Debevoise and Wachtell, summarizing Paramount’s key concerns with Warner Bros.’ proposed confidentiality agreement, including the requirement that Paramount pre-clear all of its financing sources and obtain Warner Bros. consent to such sources, noting that Paramount had been working on its proposals since September and it was difficult to ask Paramount to go backwards, and seeking a “most favored nations” provision to ensure parity on the “standstill” provisions with other parties in the process. That evening there was a conference call among the advisers to further discuss these matters.

Nov. 9: A representative of Cravath requested a further conversation with representatives of Debevoise and Wachtell to seek to finalize the confidentiality agreement.

Nov. 10: Paramount entered into a confidentiality agreement with Warner Bros., providing for, among other things, an 18-month “standstill” provision requiring Paramount to refrain from effecting an acquisition of the businesses of Warner Bros. or a tender offer, merger or other business combination involving Warner Bros., which provision would expire in the event that Warner Bros. entered into a definitive agreement with a third party for a business combination transaction. (This standstill provision terminated on Dec. 5 upon the announcement of the Netflix merger agreement.) Later on Nov. 10, representatives of Warner Bros. delivered to Paramount a process letter soliciting non-binding proposals in connection with the Warner Bros. review of strategic alternatives, which instructed that the proposal consist of an offer letter and a markup of a term sheet to be provided by Warner Bros., and was to be submitted to representatives of Warner Bros. on Nov. 20, 2025. Also on Nov. 10, representatives of Paramount received access from Warner Bros. to a virtual data room for purposes of due diligence.

Nov. 12: Representatives of Warner Bros. shared a term sheet for an acquisition of all of Warner Bros. with representatives of Paramount to be revised and submitted in connection with Paramount’s revised proposal.

Nov. 13: A management presentation by Warner Bros. management was conducted in Century City, California, with executive management teams from both WBD and Paramount in attendance. At the outset, Zaslav “noted that he would have preferred to pursue the Warner Bros. Separation rather than engaging in a sale process,” per the Paramount filing. The same day, representatives of Cravath and Latham met by videoconference with representatives of Covington & Burling, regulatory counsel to Warner Bros., and Fried Frank, Harris, Shriver & Jacobson, additional legal adviser to Warner Bros., to “discuss the procompetitive benefits and the antitrust analysis of the proposed transaction between Paramount and Warner Bros., and the likelihood of regulatory clearance.” Also on Nov. 13, CNBC’s David Faber interviewed John Malone, during which “Dr. John Malone lamented how Paramount ‘interrupted’ the Warner Bros. Separation and discussed the merits of Netflix as a bidder,” according to the Paramount filing. In CNBC’s recap of the interview, CNBC’s Sara Eisen questioned whether Zaslav was favoring a transaction with Netflix over competing bidders, stating that “it sound[ed] that way.”

Nov. 16: The Paramount board met and unanimously approved the formation of a special committee in connection with the equity financing from the Ellison family and RedBird that the board was contemplating in connection with its proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. The special committee later retained Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton to act as its independent legal adviser and Barclays Capital to act as its independent financial adviser, each in connection with the proposed equity financing.

Nov. 17: Ellison had lunch with Zaslav, during which Ellison “discussed the reasons why a combination of Paramount and Warner Bros. would produce a stronger media enterprise and market leader that could better compete with the streaming giants and ‘Big Tech’ to the benefit of producers, creators and talent.” Ellison also discussed “the complementary nature of Paramount’s and Warner Bros.’ businesses and that Paramount was confident that it would receive the required regulatory approval for the proposed transaction, offering a clear path to closing.”

Nov. 16 and 19: The Paramount board met to discuss Warner Bros.’ rejection of the Oct. 13 proposal and contemplated how to further improve upon their offer based on the limited feedback representatives of Paramount and its advisers had received from Warner Bros. to date. Following this discussion, at the Nov. 19 meeting, the Paramount board unanimously approved the terms of a revised proposal.

Nov. 20: Reps of Paramount submitted to Warner Bros. Paramount’s proposal to exchange each outstanding Share for an implied value of $25.50 per share, comprised of 85% in cash and 15% in shares of Paramount Class B Common Stock, a $2/share increase from the Oct. 13 proposal. This proposal stated it was not subject to any financing condition, included signed committed debt financing and promised equity commitments from certain affiliates and partners of Paramount in the amount of $34.5 billion in cash. The Nov. 20 proposal also noted that the Ellison family and RedBird were willing to underwrite the full equity funding requirements for the acquisition. It also provided for a $5 billion regulatory reverse termination fee payable to Warner Bros. and included further detail on Paramount’s “regulatory efforts” commitment to take actions to receive U.S. and non-U.S. antitrust and foreign investment approvals. The Nov. 12 term sheet also reiterated the offer that Zaslav become co-CEO and co-chairman of the combined company as well as a second seat on the combined company’s board of directors for a to-be-determined independent director from the Warner Bros. board.

Nov. 22: Representatives of Allen & Co. and JPM provided Centerview with feedback on Paramount’s Nov. 20 proposal including that the valuation was “not compelling given other proposals,” stating that the stock component was being discounted by the Warner Bros. board, requesting a “collar” or other value protection mechanism with respect to any stock component and stating that while the $5 billion regulatory reverse termination fee “had been very favorably received, the regulatory commitment (particularly the concept of an impact on the anticipated benefits of the transaction) created concern for Warner Bros., and seeking further clarity on the equity financing as well as Warner Bros. flexibility to refinance its own debt,” according to the Paramount filing. The WBD representatives also “noted that the sale process would accelerate from that point forward. The representatives stated that a form of merger agreement would be provided within the hour, with draft disclosure schedules to follow, and that a detailed markup of the merger agreement would be due on Wednesday, November 26, with a revised merger agreement due on Monday, December 1 (which bid also needed to include commitment papers for Paramount’s debt and equity).” The reps for Warner Bros. noted that a formal process letter would be forthcoming and, depending upon what proposals were received, a choice would be made by the Warner Bros. board as to whether the sale process would proceed with one or more than one party.

Nov. 22: Representatives of Warner Bros. sent a draft “clean team” agreement for Paramount’s review. That same day, Warner Bros. shared a draft merger agreement with Paramount through Warner Bros.’ virtual data room and, on Nov. 23, 2025, Warner Bros. similarly made available draft disclosure schedules to the merger agreement to Paramount.

Nov. 23: The Paramount board met to discuss the status of the process with Warner Bros.

Nov. 24: Following markups and a discussion regarding the clean team agreement between representatives of Cravath, Latham and Covington, Paramount and Warner Bros. reached agreement on the terms. That evening Larry Ellison and David Ellison had dinner with Zaslav, during which the three discussed, among other things, the strategic rationale of combining Paramount and Warner Bros. Both Larry Ellison and David Ellison reiterated Paramount’s ability to build a platform that was competitive with the highest performers in the industry, with Paramount’s proposed offer providing a clear path to regulatory approvals. “They also reiterated Paramount’s desire to continue working with Mr. Zaslav following the closing of the proposed transaction, providing context for the roles of co-CEO and co-Chairman offered to Mr. Zaslav in the November 20 Improved Proposal,” per the filing.

Nov. 25: At approximately 1:50 p.m. ET, a formal process letter was delivered by representatives of Warner Bros. to representatives of Paramount. It requested a written, binding proposal from Paramount, including markups of the draft merger agreement and disclosure schedules previously provided by Warner Bros. The process letter required Paramount to submit to Warner Bros. an initial draft markup of the merger agreement the following day, on Nov. 26, and to submit an initial draft markup of the disclosure schedules mid-day on Nov. 28 (the Friday after Thanksgiving). The letter stated that Warner Bros. intended to provide Paramount with feedback on each of such documents, prior to Dec. 1, when the revised markups were required to be submitted to representatives of Warner Bros. Late in the evening on that same day, approximately 1,400 documents were uploaded to the Warner Bros. virtual data room for Paramount’s review, and approximately 840 additional documents were uploaded in the following days leading up to the Dec. 1 deadline to submit the revised proposal. Also on Nov. 25, representatives of Latham, Debevoise and Covington met via videoconference to discuss whether any foreign investment into Paramount in connection with the equity financing for the transaction would require CFIUS regulatory approval.

Nov. 26: The Paramount board met to discuss the proposed terms of Paramount’s initial draft markup of the merger agreement. Following this discussion, the Paramount Board approved the submission of the draft markup to Warner Bros. Later that day, representatives of Paramount submitted an initial draft markup of the merger agreement to representatives of Warner Bros., consistent with Paramount’s markup of the Nov. 12 term sheet previously provided with the Nov. 20 proposal, reflecting certain adjustments responsive to the feedback provided by representatives of Warner Bros., including specifically a definition of “regulatory material adverse effect” that was limited to a materially adverse impact on the business, assets, financial condition or results of operations of Paramount and Warner Bros. taken as a whole, and a commitment to seek to obtain regulatory approvals as promptly as practicable rather than prior to the outside date. Consistent with the November 25 regulatory discussion, the acquisition of Warner Bros. was not conditioned on CFIUS clearance or FCC clearance. Alongside the merger agreement markup, representatives of Paramount also submitted draft equity financing documentation consisting of a form subscription agreement, equity commitment letter and limited guarantee.

Nov. 27: Warner Bros. shared a revised draft of the Warner Bros. disclosure schedules, a markup of which was required to be submitted to representatives of Warner Bros. the following day.

Nov. 28: Representatives submitted Paramount’s markup of the Warner Bros. disclosure schedules to representatives of Warner Bros., noting, among other things, that numerous documents referenced in the disclosure schedules had not been made available to Paramount. Prior to and following this submission, Paramount continued to request additional, customary due diligence materials, including certain high-priority diligence items.

Nov. 29: Representatives of Debevoise and Wachtell met via videoconference with representatives of Cravath and Latham for approximately one hour to provide oral feedback on Paramount’s initial markup of the merger agreement. The representatives of Warner Bros. indicated, among other things, that no markup would be provided by them, but that they were providing thoughts for Paramount to consider. The representatives of Debevoise and Wachtell noted that they were focused on understanding the identity and number of equity financing sources to Paramount and whether such funding sources would require Paramount to seek FCC or CFIUS clearance for the acquisition. Representatives of Cravath noted that neither FCC nor CFIUS were conditions in Paramount’s proposed merger agreement, as discussed on an earlier call with representatives of Warner Bros. and its advisors on November 25, 2025, and that filings would likely be made but approvals would not be conditions to the equity funding. The representatives of Debevoise and Wachtell also noted that rather than a single equity backstop from the Ellison family and RedBird, the equity financing documents contemplated separate but cross-conditioned funding commitments from the equity funding sources. In addition, they noted that it would be preferable for simplicity if the equity subscription agreement contained the provisions from the separate equity commitment letter for fewer documents. They also requested that the “clear skies” provisions relating to not acquiring or taking other actions that could delay approval of the proposed transaction be expanded to cover the Ellison family. Furthermore, they noted that with respect to Warner Bros.’ ability to refinance its debt during the pendency of a transaction, they required “flexibility” but provided no further guidance. They also noted the desire for the regulatory reverse termination fee to be payable upon an alleged breach of the regulatory efforts commitments, and they requested that the definition of “regulatory material adverse effect” use the word “effect” rather than “impact”, that certain changes be made to the no-shop provision and that the equity financing be available to fund a damages claim. With respect to the interim operating covenants applicable to Warner Bros., they stated that Warner Bros. wanted more flexibility in its actions between signing and closing; however, in response to a request from the representatives of Cravath for more specificity (including an offer of a call with principals to better understand Warner Bros.’ needs and wishes), the representatives of Debevoise and Wachtell said that they would not provide more detail on the nature of this flexibility—rather, Paramount and its representatives should simply consider and improve those provisions.

Nov. 30: Representatives of Paramount, Warner Bros., Covington, Fried Frank, Cravath and Latham met via videoconference to discuss the required antitrust approvals for the proposed transaction. Representatives of Paramount and Paramount’s legal advisors discussed the procompetitive benefits and antitrust analysis of the proposed transaction, presenting their view regarding the absence of antitrust and competition law risk for an acquisition of Warner Bros. by Paramount and noting that Paramount believed its offer provided significant regulatory certainty. Later that day, the Paramount board met to discuss Warner Bros.’ feedback on the November 20 Improved Proposal and contemplated how to further improve upon Paramount’s offer going forward. Following this discussion, the Paramount Board unanimously approved the terms of a revised proposal that Paramount would be prepared to enter into immediately.

Dec. 1: Representatives of Paramount submitted to Warner Bros. Paramount’s proposal to acquire each Share for an amount equal to $26.50 per share in an all-cash transaction, a $1 increase from the Nov. 20 proposal. The Dec. 1 proposal “fully responded to the expressed desire of representatives of Warner Bros. that Paramount eliminate the stock component of the bid.” The proposal stated: “Our Board of Directors has approved this Offer and we would be prepared to immediately enter into definitive agreements. We have included as annexes to this letter the Merger Agreement and Disclosure Schedule which we are prepared to execute.” The proposal included a revised markup of the merger agreement, which reflected much of the feedback conveyed orally by Warner Bros.’ representatives, including, among other things, (i) application of the “clear skies” provisions to the Ellison family, (ii) additional flexibility with respect to refinancing of Warner Bros. debt, and (iii) broader triggers for the payment of the $5 billion regulatory reverse termination fee by Paramount, which was fully backstopped by the Ellison family. The Dec. 1 Improved Proposal stated that neither FCC nor CFIUS approvals were conditions to Paramount’s merger agreement. Such proposal again reiterated the absence of any financing condition. It included signed debt commitment letters from the Debt Commitment Parties in the amount of $50 billion. It also included simplified documentation for Paramount’s equity financing and provided an allocation for such equity financing sources, which included an $11.8 billion commitment from the Ellison family, an aggregate $24 billion commitment from the three sovereign wealth funds from the Middle East, a $1 billion commitment from Tencent, and commitments from RedBird Capital Partners and Jared Kushner’s Affinity Partners. The Dec. 1 proposal stated: “All of our partners are prepared to execute subscription agreements containing equity commitments in the forms provided with our bid, concurrently with the signing of definitive agreements for the Merger.” It also said, “It is our sincere intention to embrace a ‘best-of-both’ approach to the combined company’s talent. At the direction of your advisors, we have not addressed in this Offer roles for WBD’s most senior management, including David Zaslav. We believe he is an important part of our future and look forward to addressing this topic before signing a Transaction.”

Dec. 3: Representatives of Paramount and its legal and financial advisors met with representatives of Warner Bros. and its legal and financial advisors, during which the representatives of Warner Bros. discussed Warner Bros.’ cable business, noting that Warner Bros. needed to have flexibility to pursue the debt refinancing between the signing and closing of Paramount’s proposed transaction.

Dec. 3: Zaslav called Ellison to say he was calling all bidders to communicate “specific concerns raised by the Warner Bros. Board and what they needed to do to improve their bids.” Zaslav then reviewed concerns around Paramount’s equity financing structure as well as Warner Bros.’ need for flexibility in debt refinancing. “Mr. Ellison thanked Mr. Zaslav for the call and said Paramount would revert.” That afternoon, in a virtual meeting that lasted 30 minutes, representatives of Debevoise and Wachtell informed representatives of Cravath and Latham that the Warner Bros. board viewed the lack of a full backstop from the Ellison family and RedBird negatively, including “in light of the cross-conditionality of the equity financing, despite the significant capitalization and credibility of the Sovereign Wealth Funds and other equity financing sources, and further that the presence of non-U.S. funding sources with governance rights, to the extent it could trigger CFIUS review of the equity financing, was a point of focus notwithstanding the absence of any financing condition in Paramount’s merger agreement.” They also expressed concern regarding Tencent as another non-U.S. equity financing source. They raised no other comments on Paramount’s equity financing papers. Such representatives also stated that Warner Bros. required more flexibility to refinance its indebtedness in its discretion, but both the financial and legal advisers to Warner Bros. were unwilling to engage in a discussion as to how that flexibility might be provided. The representatives of Wachtell and Debevoise noted that the Warner Bros. Board would be meeting periodically over the course of the next several days but otherwise declined to provide a timetable for next steps nor did they mention a full bid resubmission. The same day, a representative of Centerview called a representative of Allen & Co. to seek guidance as to what matters would be important to Warner Bros. in deciding which bidders would move forward in the sale process; as part of his response, the representative of Allen & Co. reiterated that “cash is king.” At the end of this call, the representative of Centerview informed the representative of Allen & Co. that Paramount would submit a revised proposal by 4 p.m. ET the next day. Later that same evening, Paramount determined of its own accord to submit the revised offer to Warner Bros. earlier than representatives of Centerview had previewed to Allen & Co. As such, representatives of Centerview called representatives of Allen & Co. and informed them that Paramount would instead be submitting a revised offer the following morning. And that same night, representatives of Quinn Emmanuel Urquhart & Sullivan, as counsel to Paramount, delivered to representatives of Warner Bros. including Mr. Zaslav, a letter citing the German newspaper Handelsblatt and a meeting between senior representatives of Warner Bros. and regulatory officials of the European Union seemingly suggesting discussion of concerns about Paramount as an acquirer of Warner Bros. “The Quinn Emmanuel letter raised concerns that the bidding process had been unfairly tilted to Netflix, requesting the letter be distributed to the Warner Bros. Board, and further requesting the formation of a committee of independent directors of the Warner Bros. Board to determine the outcome of the bidding process,” Paramount’s filing said.


Dec. 4: Early in the morning, a representative of Cravath reached out to representatives of Debevoise and Wachtell to ask if there were any other comments or issues that Paramount should be aware of as it finalized its revised offer. A representative of Wachtell responded that the “regulatory material adverse effect” definition should drop the references to business, assets, financial condition and results of operations, which “other bidders had agreed to”, and that the “clear skies” provision should be broadened. Such representative also said that Paramount should “lean in” on the interim operating covenants and other related provisions, despite Warner Bros. not having provided Paramount with any specific feedback on such provisions, let alone an actual markup of the merger agreement. Following this, the Paramount Board met and discussed Warner Bros. summary rejections of each of its proposals to date and how to further improve upon their offer. Following this discussion, the Paramount board unanimously approved the terms of a revised proposal.

Following the meeting of the Paramount board, Ellison sent the following text to Zaslav: “Just tried calling you about new bid we have submitted. I heard you on all your concerns and believe we have addressed them in our new proposal. Please give me a call back when you can to discuss in detail.”

At approximately 11 a.m. ET on Dec. 4, 2025, representatives of Paramount submitted to Warner Bros. Paramount’s proposal to acquire each share for 100% cash, in an amount equal to $30 per share, a $3.50 increase from the December 1 Improved Proposal. The December 4 Improved Proposal stated that Paramount was prepared to enter into the Paramount/Warner Bros. Merger Agreement immediately and included debt commitment papers countersigned by the Debt Commitment Parties and a revised markup of the Warner Bros. disclosure schedules, for which feedback from Warner Bros. had still not been provided.

The Dec. 4 offer “also included the Paramount/Warner Bros. Merger Agreement, which (i) reflected Paramount’s unilateral effort to scale back the representations and warranties of Warner Bros. despite not having received any specific comments from Warner Bros., (ii) offered a footnote to the interim operating covenants inviting any specific feedback or requests from Warner Bros., which had not been offered to date, (iii) further improved the definition of regulatory material adverse effect, exactly as had been requested in the earlier telephone call between Cravath and Wachtell, to be simply a material adverse effect on the combined company, (iv) added further flexibility for Warner Bros. to refinance its debt, and (v) changed the standard in the no-shop for a ‘superior proposal’ to delete references to financial superiority and taking into account likelihood of consummation.”


The Paramount filing continues, “Additionally, the Equity Financing Documents and the December 4 Improved Proposal contained the requested commitment by the Ellison family and RedBird to backstop the full amount of the equity financing, supported by The Lawrence J. Ellison Revocable Trust, u/a/d 1/22/88, as amended (the ‘Ellison Trust’). It also noted that the Sovereign Wealth Funds had agreed with Paramount to make certain changes to the former’s financing arrangements to provide Warner Bros. with the requested assurance regarding CFIUS, and that Tencent would no longer be an equity financing source. In effect, Paramount addressed every single material issue that it received specific feedback on, despite never receiving any written response from representatives of Wachtell or Debevoise on any of the transaction documents submitted.”

Dec. 5: Warner Bros. and Netflix issued a joint press release announcing they had entered into an agreement under which Netflix would acquire Warner Bros. studios, HBO and HBO Max for $27.75 per share, with a total equity value of $72 billion. Later that same day, the Paramount board met to discuss the announcement of the Netflix merger agreement and potential next steps.

“Over the course of December 5 and 6, 2025, various news outlets began reporting that the Warner Bros. Board believed that Paramount had not delivered a bid that offered financing certainty or that could be signed immediately and claiming that Paramount was still seeking to negotiate terms,” the Paramount filing said.

On Sunday, Dec. 7, 2025, members of the Paramount board met to discuss the company’s hostile takeover approach and unanimously approved proceeding with it.

On Dec. 8, 2025, Paramount Skydance commenced its tender offer for Warner Bros. Discovery, “delivering a request to Warner Bros. pursuant to the Exchange Act and issuing a press release regarding the commencement of the Offer.” Later that day, WBD publicly acknowledged receipt of the offer and said it will review the proposal and issue its decision within 10 business days; for now, the company said, the WBD board “is not modifying its recommendation with respect to the agreement with Netflix.”

WSJ : BMW Names New Boss to Guide It Through Industry Upheaval

BMW Names New Boss to Guide It Through Industry Upheaval
New chief of America’s biggest auto exporter is set to face the challenge of keeping a business model built on globalization shielded from trade tensions

  • Milan Nedeljković will become chairman of BMW’s management board, succeeding Oliver Zipse, as the company faces geopolitical tensions.
  • BMW’s U.S. factory exported over half of its approximately 396,000 SUVs last year, making it America’s top auto exporter.
  • BMW’s sales in China fell by 11% in the first nine months of 2025, totaling approximately 465,000 vehicles.

BMW BMW 0.29%increase; green up pointing triangle appointed Milan Nedeljković as its next chief, tapping a company veteran at a rocky time for the global auto industry.

The German company said Tuesday that the Serbian executive will become chairman of BMW’s management board—a role akin to chief executive officer in the U.S. —after its annual general meeting next May, succeeding Oliver Zipse.

Nedeljković will face the task of steering a business that thrived on globalization through a period of mounting geopolitical tensions, particularly between its two largest markets: the U.S. and China.

The growth of BMW’s production center in Spartanburg, S.C., has made it America’s top auto exporter. Last year the factory produced roughly 396,000 sport-utility vehicles, of which more than half were exported to the European Union, China and the U.K., among other markets.

Unlike most peers, it also owns the majority of its Chinese joint venture, BMW Brilliance. Zipse this year called BMW “one of our industry’s few true global players.”

Nedeljković joined BMW as a trainee in 1993 and has served as board member for production since 2019. In that role, he led a project with Nvidia to digitize the company’s factories, and was a key architect of BMW’s next generation of electric vehicles.

BMW production head has typically been a holding role for chiefs in waiting. Nedeljković will become the fourth leader in succession to make the same move.

The automaker’s management system is known for promoting insiders and eschewing drama in a well-oiled machine. BMW is controlled by the billionaire Quandt family, which owns roughly half the company and operates largely behind the scenes.

BMW’s business model, based on shipping goods between regions, came under pressure from President Trump’s tariffs earlier this year. In March, Zipse said the impact of new tariffs on the company’s annual profit could amount to more than $1 billion.

But a July deal between the White House and the EU included pledges to cut auto duties on both sides. The agreement positioned BMW as a relative winner in the trans-Atlantic trade war thanks to its U.S. export base, though the EU hasn’t yet implemented the change.

The highest tariffs BMW now pays are those imposed on the EVs it builds in China for the European market.

More recently, tensions between China and the West have taken the form of shortages of rare earths and Nexperia microchips, posing further challenges for automakers that rely heavily on the smooth operation of global supply chains.

“Being a global company is an advantage because it’s a natural protection,” said Zipse in September.

Nedeljković could spend much of his time focused on defending BMW against new Chinese rivals.

German brands have been steadily losing market share in China itself. In the first nine months of 2025, BMW sold roughly 465,000 vehicles in the country, 11% fewer than in the same period a year earlier. In October, the company cut its annual profit outlook citing weaker-than-expected sales in China, among other reasons.

Chinese EV brands such as BYD are increasingly taking market share in Europe too, though BMW’s European sales have been strong this year.

In September, BMW unveiled its new iX3 sport-utility vehicle, the first in a new generation of EVs that are designed in part to win back the Chinese market. The vehicle will reach the U.S. market next summer with a starting price of roughly $60,000 and an unusually long 400-mile range.

The iX3 has helped to revive hopes that Germany’s car industry can regain its reputation for innovation and pioneering technology after a period in which the U.S. and China have led critical developments in EVs and vehicle autonomy.

BMW’s stock, broadly unchanged Tuesday, is trading close to roughly 18-month highs. Investors are optimistic that the investment burden associated with its new EV generation has already peaked, with the fruits yet to come.

WSJ : Canada Awards Multibillion-Dollar Military Satellite Deal to MDA Space, Te

Canada Awards Multibillion-Dollar Military Satellite Deal to MDA Space, Telesat
Marks one of the first big military procurements under Prime Minister Mark Carney after he pledged to accelerate military outlays

  • MDA Space and Telesat secured a Canadian contract for military satellite communications in the Arctic, which could have a price tag of over 5 billion Canadian dollars.
  • Shares in both MDA and Telesat rose sharply following the announcement of the contract.
  • Canada pledged C$60 billion over five years for defense, aiming to meet NATO’s 2% of GDP spending target this fiscal year.

OTTAWA—MDA Space and Telesat TSAT 11.91%increase; green up pointing triangle have won a potentially lucrative multibillion-dollar contract from Canada to deliver military satellite communications capabilities as part of Ottawa’s renewed effort to ramp up defense spending and deter threats from Russia and China in the Arctic.

Shares in both MDA and Telesat rose sharply on the news, which marks one of the first big military procurements under Prime Minister Mark Carney after he pledged to accelerate military outlays to help protect the continent and placate longstanding concerns from U.S. officials and lawmakers about Canada’s defense capability.

Under the pact, MDA and Telesat will work toward deploying satellite communications in the Arctic—a project that Canadian government documents indicate could have a price tag of over 5 billion Canadian dollars, or the equivalent of $3.6 billion.

“These investments will do more than strengthen our security—they will grow our economy,” said David McGuinty, Canada’s defense minister. “Telesat and MDA Space are anchor Canadian companies, and we’re proud of them.”

McGuinty said the satellites, when deployed, will provide enhanced early-warning detection and allow the country’s armed forces to support surveillance operations and search-and-rescue efforts.

Shares in MDA, based in Brampton, Ontario, rose nearly 6% in trading Tuesday on the Toronto stock market, while shares in Telesat climbed by a bigger 8.5%.

At a press conference, Telesat chief executive Dan Goldberg said this deal marked a big milestone for the company, as well as for MDA. “This is something that has long been identified a long time ago here in Canada as an essential capability, and in all truth it languished until now.”

In the government’s 2025 budget plan, released last month, Canada pledged to spend roughly C$60 billion over the next five years to rearm and rebuild the country’s armed forces. The increase in outlays means Canada will meet this fiscal year its obligation under the North Atlantic Treaty Organization to spend at least 2% of gross domestic product on defense. Canada has also pledged to meet NATO’s new target to spend 5% of GDP on defense by 2035.

Carney and other Canadian officials, however, have said their priority is to ensure defense spending bolsters the country’s economy. To that end, Carney established a new defense investment agency, led by former Goldman Sachs banker Doug Guzman, that aims to consolidate the procurement process and link military procurement to domestic industrial benefits.

Canada’s failure to meet the 2% threshold drew the ire of U.S. officials, among them President Trump, and western allies. Carney’s decision to accelerate defense spending plans coincides with efforts by Ottawa to secure tariff relief from the U.S.

Military analysts have repeatedly warned that the radar and satellite-image capabilities in the Canadian Arctic require an upgrade, given Russia’s development of a new generation of long-range air- and sea-launched cruise missiles, and hypersonic missiles. China is also developing missiles.

FT : Silver surges above $60 for first time on global supply squeeze

Silver surges above $60 for first time on global supply squeeze
Price of metal has more than doubled this year amid booming demand from investors and industrial users

Silver prices have punched through $60 per ounce for the first time amid a historic rally driven by a scarcity of supply and a surge in demand from investors.

The metal has more than doubled in price since January, as years of undersupply, compounded by strong demand from industrial users and investors, led to shortages and a severe supply squeeze in October.

Silver jumped 4 per cent on Tuesday to reach $60.4 per ounce, a fresh record high. Gold also rose 0.7 per cent to reach $4,216 per troy ounce, slightly below the record set in October.

This week expectations of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve, which meets Wednesday, have boosted precious metals.

“In the very near term, the focus is on the Fed rate meeting,” said Suki Cooper, analyst at Standard Chartered.

“Underlying the move is the fact that we have a market that has been undersupplied for the past five years, and we still have regional stocks dislocation,” she added.


Silver is used in jewellery and coins, but demand has also boomed for industrial uses, such as in electronics and solar panels.

Unlike gold, silver is mainly produced as a byproduct of other minerals, so miners have not been able to easily respond to the rising demand in recent years.

In recent months, a huge stockpile of silver has built up in the US, as a result of fears of potential US tariffs on silver, compounding a shortage elsewhere.

Although the stockpile has started to dwindle slightly in recent weeks, silver inventories on the Comex are still about 456mn ounces, three times their historic average.

The US is expected to publish its Section 232 review on critical minerals in coming weeks, which may outline fresh commodity tariffs, including potentially on silver.

This year the US added silver to its list of critical minerals. The country is already a significant silver producer.

“Whilst the market is in deficit, we expect regional tightness to persist,” said Helen Amos, commodity analyst at BMO, pointing out low stocks in China.

Retail investors have also chased silver higher, particularly in North America, where the metal is often referred to as the “poor man’s gold”, Amos added.

TechCrunch : Google’s first AI glasses expected next year

Google’s first AI glasses expected next year

Google will launch its first AI glasses in 2026, according to a company blog post.

At Google’s I/O event in May, the company announced partnerships with Gentle Monster and Warby Parker to create consumer wearables based on Android XR, the operating system that powers Samsung’s Galaxy XR headset.

But you can’t wear a bulky headset while out in the real world, which makes smart glasses appealing as a less obtrusive smart wearable.

“For AI and XR to be truly helpful, the hardware needs to fit seamlessly into your life and match your personal style,” Google writes. “We want to give you the freedom to choose the right balance of weight, style and immersion for your needs.”

Google is working on various types of AI-powered glasses — one model is designed for screen-free assistance, using built-in speakers, microphones, and cameras to allow the user to communicate with Gemini and take photos. The other model has an in-lens display — which is only visible to the person wearing the glasses — that can show turn-by-turn directions or closed captioning.

Google also shared a preview of the wired XR glasses from Xreal called Project Aura. This model situates itself between a bulky headset and an unobtrusive pair of glasses. Beyond just an in-lens display, the Project Aura glasses can function as an extended workplace or entertainment device, allowing the user to use Google’s suite of products or stream video as they would in a more advanced headset.

While Meta has gotten off to an early lead in smart glasses development, Google now joins Apple and Snap among the companies expected to challenge Meta with their own hardware next year.

Meta’s smart glasses have caught on in part thanks to its partnership with Ray-Ban, and it sells these products in retail stores. Google’s partnership with Warby Parker seems like it will follow a similar strategy, committing $75 million thus far to support the eyewear company’s product development and commercialization costs. If Warby Parker meets certain milestones, Google will commit an additional $75 million and take an equity stake in the brand.

FT : Oil market ‘faces super glut’ as supply surge hits prices

Oil market ‘faces super glut’ as supply surge hits prices
Commodities trader Trafigura says burst of new supply coming online will collide with reduced demand growth

The oil market faces a “super glut” next year as a burst of new supply collides with weakness in the global economy, one of the world’s biggest commodity traders has warned.

Saad Rahim, chief economist of Trafigura, said on Tuesday that new drilling projects and slowing demand growth were likely to weigh further on already depressed crude prices next year.

“Whether it’s a glut, or a super glut, it’s hard to get away from that,” Rahim said in remarks alongside the company’s annual results.

Brent crude has fallen 16 per cent this year, on track for its worst year since 2020. Prices are expected to be further damped by major projects coming online next year, including in Brazil and Guyana.

Demand from China, the world’s biggest oil importer, is expected to grow more slowly next year due to its huge fleet of electric vehicles, which have sharply reduced petrol demand. Low prices this year have prompted China to buy more crude to fill its strategic stockpile.

“China needs to keep buying at this rate, for that super glut to not show up even earlier,” Rahim added.

The US government has also been trying to keep oil prices low, and President Donald Trump has pledged to “drill, baby, drill” in a push to increase American production.

Trafigura reported net profits of $2.7bn during the fiscal year that ended in September, down slightly from $2.8bn the previous year — and representing a five-year low after years of bumper profits linked to Russia’s full invasion of Ukraine.

Its non-ferrous metals trading division reported a record year, due in part to the profits made by shipping copper into the US amid the disruptions caused by whipsawing tariff rules, according to people familiar with the matter.

Trafigura chief executive Richard Holtum said “significant headline-driven volatility” had been a major driver for markets this year and that the trend would continue in 2026.

“Trading conditions were not easy last year and our trading team put on a really credible performance across all divisions,” said Holtum.

However, the small drop in profits, combined with rising payouts to Trafigura’s employee-shareholders, meant group equity fell slightly, to $16.2bn, from $16.3bn the previous year — marking the first time this figure has shrunk since 2018.

Payouts to Trafigura’s employees rose to $2.9bn, up from $2bn during the prior year. The company, whose top management is based in Geneva, pays out “dividends” to its employee-shareholders, including by buying back the shares of departing employees over time.

The large number of departures among senior Trafigura staff over the past two years has put pressure on the dividend programme, prompting the board to slow the pace of share repurchases.

Ben Luckock, head of oil trading at Trafigura, said in October that he expected oil prices could fall below $60 a barrel before rallying. “I suspect we’ll go into the $50s at some point across Christmas and the new year,” he said at the time.

FT : In a tough year, private credit bosses are pointing fingers

In a tough year, private credit bosses are pointing fingers
Firms like Apollo find it hard to shake narratives formed by legacy private equity and distressed debt operations

After a difficult 2025, private credit bosses are expressing frustration at losing the narrative over their companies. In September, a top executive at Blue Owl Capital wondered why the shares of the company had fallen by 25 per cent for the year, telling an industry conference: “It just makes no sense to me . . . what am I missing?” 

Marc Rowan, the head of Apollo and the sector’s most influential thought leader, decided in November it was time to blame the media. At a periodic investor meeting held by Apollo’s insurance affiliate Athene, he offered a slide entitled “Does Anybody Know What They Are Talking About?”

The page showed a series of recent headlines (including one from the FT) which he said demonstrated a misunderstanding of the nuances among the differing products and business models within private credit.

Rowan’s remarks were similar to what he has offered at earnings calls and investor conferences for the last several years: assurances that his firm Apollo is not overexposed to the risky and opportunistic leveraged buyout finance side of private credit. Rather, as he has long reiterated, Apollo’s focus in the credit business was 99.6 per cent focused on high-grade debt, offering “safe yield”, in its own language, that matched well with its retirement annuities business run by Athene, itself conservatively capitalised.

On the surface, Rowan is probably correct. Much of Apollo’s lending is highly structured and complex but typically secured with a senior lien against hard collateral. As for the balance sheet, Athene’s credit ratings sit just below AAA. 

However, what is also true for Apollo and several other big private credit managers is that their heritage is in racy private equity and the sometimes vicious world of distressed debt brawls. And those stereotypes will not be so easy to shake just as these firms want to manage trillions of Main Street dollars and position themselves as the heirs to bank-like lending. Trust, record and reputation matter in a complex business which regulators, the public and journalists are still struggling to grasp.  

“We are becoming a bank. It truly sucks,” one longtime Apollo credit investing executive recently told me. This person worried about the loss of efficiency from what he said were new layers of bureaucracy and politics that come from being a large, diversified financial institution.  


Apollo now discloses a figure similar to the “net interest margin” measure of banks that shows the difference between the pay on its deposits and earn on loans. The firm reports a “spread-related earnings” figure which shows that its investments earn just over 1 per cent above what it pays out to annuity policyholders. The Apollo executive also pointed out that, like at a bank, overhead costs suddenly mattered more.

A heavy balance-sheet business with thin spread margins is not necessarily bad when the underlying market opportunity is measured in the trillions of dollars and there is the chance to earn leveraged returns that compound year after year, which Apollo and Athene aspire to do like a modern Berkshire Hathaway.

However, the firm remains in the harder-edged businesses of private equity and distressed debt. Apollo, for example, is in a messy legal fight at Patrick Drahi’s overleveraged Altice USA where the firm is a major creditor. Apollo had also taken a short position in the term loan of the now scandal-torn auto parts maker First Brands, which another Apollo executive said made it trickier for the firm to be seen as an ally to companies. Another person close to Apollo said, however, such short trades were one-off and merely the result of the firm’s intensive research process.

In 1990, Apollo itself was born of an insurance investment calamity. It scavenged on the oversized junk bond portfolio that had soured at the Executive Life Insurance Company, a west coast life insurer. The legal fallout from the distressed purchase of the ELIC junk bond portfolio helped to bring down French bank Credit Lyonnais and at one point California’s attorney-general sued four Apollo executives for being part of an illegal transaction, but the case was dismissed and no enforcement action against Apollo resulted.

That was a long time ago. But after years of aggressive manoeuvring in current private equity and distressed debt operations, Apollo and its brethren should expect wariness when they now want to present themselves as a friendly face in the boardroom.

>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades
    • BCE Inc (BCE) upgraded to Sector Outperform from Neutral at CIBC
    • Colgate-Palmolive (CL) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital, tgt $88
    • Eaton (ETN) upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research, tgt $413
    • Intel (INTC) upgraded to Outperform from Hold at KGI Securities, tgt $52
    • Lyell Immunopharma (LYEL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at H.C. Wainwright, tgt $45
    • Otis Worldwide (OTIS) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at BNP Paribas Exane, tgt $105
    • RELX (RELX) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank
    • RPM International (RPM) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital, tgt $132
    • Synopsys (SNPS) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Rosenblatt, tgt $560
    • Viking Holdings (VIK) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman, tgt $78
    • WAVE Life Sciences (WVE) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital, tgt $27
  • Downgrades
    • Alibaba (BABA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Arete, tgt $172
    • Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Sandler, tgt $21
    • FMC (FMC) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $13
    • JD.com (JD) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Arete, tgt $32
    • Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman, tgt $21
    • PDD Holdings (PDD) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Arete, tgt $130
    • Sanofi (SNY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim
    • SLM Corp. (SLM) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $31
    • Vertiv (VRT) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research
    • Volvo (VLVLY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank
    • Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Seaport Research
  • Others
    • Affirm (AFRM) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Agilent (A) initiated with a Buy at Goldman, tgt $170
    • AerCap (AER) initiated with a Buy at Truist, tgt $159
    • Align Technology (ALGN) initiated with an Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $170
    • Alvotech (ALVO) initiated with an Underweight at Barclays, tgt $5
    • Amneal Pharmaceuticals (AMRX) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $15
    • Amer Sports (AS) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $49
    • Amphastar Pharmaceuticals (AMPH) initiated with an Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $30
    • American Airlines (AAL) initiated with a Market Perform at BMO Capital, tgt $16.75
    • Bausch Health (BHC) initiated with an Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $8
    • Bruker (BRKR) initiated with a Sell at Goldman, tgt $40
    • Cardinal Health (CAH) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $243
    • Cencora (COR) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $400
    • Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $58
    • Danaher (DHR) initiated with a Buy at Goldman, tgt $265
    • Dentsply Sirona (XRAY) initiated with an Underweight at Barclays, tgt $12
    • Delta Air Lines (DAL) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital, tgt $80
    • Doximity (DOCS) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $63
    • Elanco (ELAN) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $30
    • Envista (NVST) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $24
    • Galaxy Digital (GLXY) initiated with an Outperform at Citizens JMP, tgt $60
    • GoodRx (GDRX) initiated with an Underweight at Barclays, tgt $3
    • HealthEquity (HQY) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $118
    • Henry Schein (HSIC) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $86
    • Hims & Hers (HIMS) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $48
    • IDEXX Laboratories (IDXX) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $850
    • LifeStance (LFST) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $8
    • Ligand Pharmaceuticals (LGND) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup, tgt $270
    • McKesson (MCK) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $960
    • Mettler-Toledo (MTD) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman, tgt $1,475
    • Micron (MU) initiated with a Buy at HSBC, tgt $330
    • NRG Energy (NRG) initiated with a Buy at UBS
    • Organon (OGN) initiated with an Underweight at Barclays, tgt $7.50
    • Owlet (OWLT) initiated with an Outperform at William Blair
    • Pacira (PCRX) initiated with an Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $27
    • Penske Automotive (PAG) resumed with a Buy at BofA Securities, tgt $195
    • Phathom Pharmaceuticals (PHAT) initiated with an Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $16
    • Phreesia (PHR) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $26
    • Progyny (PGNY) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $29
    • Reddit (RDDT) initiated with a Buy at China Renaissance; tgt $300
    • Revvity (RVTY) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman, tgt $105
    • Roblox (RBLX) initiated with a Hold at Freedom Capital, tgt $99
    • Sarepta (SRPT) initiated with an Outperform at Wedbush, tgt $32
    • Southwest (LUV) initiated with a Market Perform at BMO Capital, tgt $43
    • Talkspace (TALK) initiated with an Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $3.50
    • Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (TARS) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $100
    • Teladoc (TDOC) initiated with an Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $8.50
    • T1 Energy (TE) initiated with a Buy at Alliance Global Partners, tgt $8.50
    • Teva (TEVA) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $35
    • Thermo Fisher (TMO) initiated with a Buy at Goldman, tgt $685
    • United Airlines (UAL) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital, tgt $125
    • Urban Outfitters (URBN) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman, tgt $83
    • Viatris (VTRS) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $15
    • Vor Biopharma (VOR) initiated with an Overweight at JPMorgan, tgt $43
    • Xeris Biopharma (XERS) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays; tgt $9
    • XOMA (XOMA) initiated with a Buy at Lucid Capital, tgt $76
    • Zoetis (ZTS) initiated with an Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $136

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 9th of December 2025 V3(++)

>>> Up
* Alexandria Group Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 10.50 euros
* Allianz Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 420 euros
* Bank of Ireland Raised to Outperform at Mediobanca SpA (++)
* Colgate-Palmolive Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT $88
* Epiroc Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 240 kronor
* EQT Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 399 kronor
* Generali Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 37 euros
* Gjensidige Raised to Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 330 kroner (++)
* Helios Towers PT Raised to 254 pence from 204 pence at Jefferies
* Legrand Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 155 euros (+)
* Man Group Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 256 pence
* Otis Worldwide Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $105 (+)
* RELX Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 3,700 pence
* Trustpilot Raised to Buy at Goodbody; PT 250 pence
* Wallenius Wilhelmsen Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 120 kroner
* Wolters Kluwer Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 125 euros

>>> Down
* HelloFresh Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 5.50 euros
* Hochtief Cut to Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Iveco Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 20 euros (+)
* Kone Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 60 euros (+)
* Metso Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 15.50 euros (+)
* Norwegian Cruise Cut to Neutral at Goldman (+)
* Picton Property Income Ltd Cut to Hold at Peel Hunt; PT 80 pence
* SKF Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 265 kronor (+)
* Swiss Re Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 137.64 Swiss francs
* Swiss Re Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 140 Swiss francs
* Swiss Re Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 140 Swiss francs (+)
* Traton Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 30 euros (+)
* Volvo Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 275 kronor

>>> Initiation
* Admiral Rated New Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Agilent Reinstated Buy at Goldman; PT $170
* Aviva Rated New Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Banque Cantonale de Geneve Rated New Hold at Octavian
* Burkhalter Rated New Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 140 Swiss francs (++)
* Danaher Reinstated Buy at Goldman; PT $265
* FLSmidth Rated New Neutral at UBS; PT 430 kroner (++)
* Helvetia Baloise Holding Rated New Outperform at Autonomous
* Instone Real Estate Rated New Buy at Bankhaus Metzler (+)
* Lattice Semi Reinstated Buy at William O'Neil
* Legal & General Rated New Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* M&G Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Magnum Ice Cream Rated New Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 14 euros
* Magnum Ice Cream Rated New Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen (+)
* Magnum Ice Cream Fairly Valued After Listing, JPMorgan Says (+)
* Magnum Ice Cream Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane (+)
* Magnum Ice Cream Rated New Buy at UBS; PT 14.30 euros (++)
* Micron Rated New Buy at HSBC; PT $330
* Phoenix Group Rated New Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Prudential Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Rentokil Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Revvity Reinstated Neutral at Goldman; PT $105
* Rosebank Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 440 pence
* St James's Place Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Teva ADRs Rated New Overweight at Barclays; PT $35
* Thermo Fisher Reinstated Buy at Goldman; PT $685

>>> Call
* HelloFresh Cut at Morgan Stanley on ‘Skewed’ Risk/Reward
* JPMorgan Sees ‘Reasons to Be Cheerful’ in Diversified Financials
* Jost Werke Rises as Oddo BHF Says Share Sale Removes Overhang (++
* Maersk Placed on Positive Watch at Citi on Short-Term Ebit Boost
* Magnum Ice Cream Fairly Valued After Listing, JPMorgan Says (+)
* Swiss Re Downgraded at Citi and Berenberg Following Target Reset
* Thyssenkrupp’s Weak FY26 Guidance Overshadows Results Beat: MS (+)
* Watch UK Retailers as BRC Says Sales Cooled on Budget Fears

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 9th of December 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Alexandria Group Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 10.50 euros
* Allianz Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 420 euros
* Colgate-Palmolive Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT $88
* Epiroc Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 240 kronor
* EQT Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 399 kronor
* Generali Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 37 euros
* Helios Towers PT Raised to 254 pence from 204 pence at Jefferies
* Legrand Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 155 euros (+)
* Man Group Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 256 pence
* Otis Worldwide Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $105 (+)
* RELX Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 3,700 pence
* Trustpilot Raised to Buy at Goodbody; PT 250 pence
* Wallenius Wilhelmsen Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 120 kroner
* Wolters Kluwer Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 125 euros

>>> Down
* HelloFresh Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 5.50 euros
* Hochtief Cut to Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Iveco Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 20 euros (+)
* Kone Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 60 euros (+)
* Metso Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 15.50 euros (+)
* Norwegian Cruise Cut to Neutral at Goldman (+)
* Picton Property Income Ltd Cut to Hold at Peel Hunt; PT 80 pence
* SKF Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 265 kronor (+)
* Swiss Re Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 137.64 Swiss francs
* Swiss Re Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 140 Swiss francs
* Swiss Re Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 140 Swiss francs (+)
* Traton Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 30 euros (+)
* Volvo Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 275 kronor

>>> Initiation
* Admiral Rated New Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Agilent Reinstated Buy at Goldman; PT $170
* Aviva Rated New Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Banque Cantonale de Geneve Rated New Hold at Octavian
* Danaher Reinstated Buy at Goldman; PT $265
* Helvetia Baloise Holding Rated New Outperform at Autonomous
* Instone Real Estate Rated New Buy at Bankhaus Metzler (+)
* Lattice Semi Reinstated Buy at William O'Neil
* Legal & General Rated New Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* M&G Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Magnum Ice Cream Rated New Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 14 euros
* Magnum Ice Cream Rated New Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen (+)
* Magnum Ice Cream Fairly Valued After Listing, JPMorgan Says (+)
* Magnum Ice Cream Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane (+)
* Micron Rated New Buy at HSBC; PT $330
* Phoenix Group Rated New Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Prudential Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Rentokil Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Revvity Reinstated Neutral at Goldman; PT $105
* Rosebank Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 440 pence
* St James's Place Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Teva ADRs Rated New Overweight at Barclays; PT $35
* Thermo Fisher Reinstated Buy at Goldman; PT $685

>>> Call
* HelloFresh Cut at Morgan Stanley on ‘Skewed’ Risk/Reward
* JPMorgan Sees ‘Reasons to Be Cheerful’ in Diversified Financials
* Maersk Placed on Positive Watch at Citi on Short-Term Ebit Boost
* Magnum Ice Cream Fairly Valued After Listing, JPMorgan Says (+)
* Swiss Re Downgraded at Citi and Berenberg Following Target Reset
* Thyssenkrupp’s Weak FY26 Guidance Overshadows Results Beat: MS (+)
* Watch UK Retailers as BRC Says Sales Cooled on Budget Fears