>>> What to look at today - 8th of February 2017

Dow +0.19% S&P +0.02% Nasdaq +0.19% Russell -0.41%
US MArket Closed near the flat line again. Countercyclical sectors had a slight advantage during Tuesday's session with four of the five posting gains. On the cyclical side, technology (+0.4%) outpaced the benchmark index on the back of another solid showing from Apple. consumer discretionary sector (-0.1%) couldn't escape the automakers' selling pressure. Financials (-0.2%) and materials (-0.8%) also finished in the red, but none fell farther than energy (-1.4%). The energy space moved lower in tandem with crude oil, which was weighed down by myriad concerns. An uptick in U.S. production, signs of slowing demand growth, and a 0.5% climb in the U.S. Dollar Index (100.30, +0.46) left the energy component 1.6% lower at $52.18/bbl. US After Hours MYGN and COHR +14%, MCHP +10% higher following earnings/guidance, HT / CTB +3% boosted by index change announcements ... TDW -20% on earnings/lender update, GILD -6%, ZG -6% following earnings/guidance. Lack of momentum in US indices continues to be felt in Asia, where indices were once again mixed and volatility contained. Australia is the worst performer with Energy sector under heavy pressure - WTI oil fell below $52/brl in US hours and then fell another 1% in electronic session after API crude inventories report was 5x the expected build and also the 2nd biggest on record. Mainland China markets are taking the 6-year low just below $3T in FX reserves released overnight in stride, with the main index down marginally. Separately, PBoC weakened Yuan slightly more aggressively, with the lowest CNY setting in over 2 weeks. PBoC also skipped reverse repo operations for the 4th straight session.

Nikkei +0.51% Hang Seng +0.68% CSI +0.52% Shanghai +0.44%

Eur$ 1.0659 CNH 6.8533 CNY 6.8829 JPY 112.37 GBP 1.2490 CHF 0.9989 RUB$ 59.5542 WTI$ 51.68 -0.94%

S&P +0.07% EuroStoxx +0.34% FTSE +0.12% Dax +0.12% SMI +0.01%

Macro :
- Italy Govt May Take Short-Term Stakes in Vicenza, Veneto: Sole
- Morgan Stanley Says January M&A Activity Was Very Strong

Keep an eye on :
- ABBN VX : ABB 4Q Results Mixed, Won’t Change Consensus Much: Goldman
- AC FP : Colony Capital Sells Accor Stake, Ending Pact With Eurazeo
- AIR FP : Airbus Says Marwan Lahoud to Leave Company
- AF FP : Air France-KLM Jan. Passengers Rise 7.5% to 6.9 Million
- CARLS DC : Carlsberg 4Q Sales Soft, Shares May Fall After Good Run: Exane
- AM FP : Dassault to Open Office in Bern Ahead of Jet Procurement: AZ
- DB1 GY : LSE/Deutsche Boerse Deal Rests on Treasury Approval: Times
- FSKRS FH : Fiskars 4Q Rev. Beats Est.; Sees Sales, Ebita Increasing in 2017
- GLJ GY : Grenke Full-Year Net Profit Rises 28%, Sees Further Growth
- RMS FP : Hermes 4Q Sales Constant FX In Line With Estimates
- ISP IM : Intesa Sets March 20 Deadline for NPL Portfolio Offers: Sole
- KCR FH : Konecranes 4Q Adj. Profit Tops Ests; Keeps Dividend Unchanged
- LHA GY : Lufthansa to Charge Fee for All Economy Long-Haul Seat Bookings
- MAERSKB DC : Maersk Posts FY Loss on Impairments; Chairman Steps Down
- MAP SM : Mapfre 2016 Net EU775.5m; Est. EU744.6m
- MELE BB : Melexis Sees 2017 Rev. Growth 11%-15%, Ebit Margin Around 25%
- MIC SS : Millicom 4Q Profit Beats Est., Rev. Matches
- MDLZ US : Mondelez 4Q Adj. EPS Misses Est.; Shares Fall
- ORP FP : Orpea FY Revenue Climbs 19%; Targets Growth in 2017 Revenue
- OSR GY : Osram 1Q Solid Against Market Estimates, Morgan Stanley Says
- PAH3 GY : Porsche Holding Labor Reps to Leave Supervisory Board: Welt
- RIO LN : Rio Tinto Full-Year Dividend Beats Estimate; Plans $500m Buyback
- RSA LN : RSA Sells U.K. Legacy Liabilities to Enstar, Deal Is Accretive
- SAN FP : Sanofi 4th-Qtr Business EPS EU1.25 vs EU1.25 Est.
- SAN FP : Sanofi Chief Says Drugmaker ‘Not in a Hurry to Do M&A’
- SCR FP : Scor Renewals Show Strategic Plan on Track, UBS Says
- SHP LN : Shire Says FTC Claims Against ViroPharma ‘Wholly Without Merit’
- SYNN VX : Syngenta Chief Fyrwald Says Making Very Good Progress With EU
- SYNN VX : Syngenta Earnings Beat Est., Sees ChemChina Deal Closing 2Q
- SCMN VX : Swisscom Profit Beasts Estimates, Company to Reduce Workforce
- TOM2 NA : TomTom FY Rev. Misses Estimate, Profit Beats; Sees Lower Revenue
- TLW LN : Tullow Reports Positive Free Cash Flow for 4Q After TEN Startup
- DG FP : Vinci FY Net Jumps 23%; Sees Growth in 2017 Revenue, Earnings
- VOLVB SS : Volvo Cars 2016 Op. Margin Rises to 6.1%, Sees 2017 Sales Record
- YNAP IM : Yoox Net-A-Porter 4Q Net Revenu EU538M; Est. EU559M

>>> US After Hours Summary: MYGN and COHR +14%, MCHP +10% higher

After Hours Summary: MYGN and COHR +14%, MCHP +10% higher following earnings/guidance, HT / CTB +3% boosted by index change announcements ... TDW -20% on earnings/lender update, GILD -6%, ZG -6% following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: MYGN +14.3%, COHR +13.5%, MCHP +9.9%, PSDV +8.4%, JIVE +7.7%, PIR +3.8% (reiterates Q4 guidance), TCS +3%, GNW +2.3%, PNRA +2.2%, CNO +1.9%, CALD +1.6%, IPHI +0.7%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: HT +3.3% (will replace WCI Communities in the S&P SmallCap 600), CTB +2.9% (will replace comScore in the S&P MidCap 400), CRCM +2.8% (continued strength), EIX +1% (California Utilities' settlement agreement)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: USNA -21%, TDW -20.2% (also updates status of discussions with lenders and notehoders), SPSC -14.1%, TCX -13.6%, DRYS -7.5%, WAIR -6.7%, GILD -5.5%, ZG -5.5%, PAA -5.5%, ULTI -4.5%, BWLD -4.2%, AKAM -3.3%, URBN -2.9% (reports prelim Q4 (Jan) sales of $1.03 bln vs. $1.05 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate), AWRE -2.7% (light volume), AI -2.1%, TTWO -1.3%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: GALE -15% (to issue/sell shares of common stock and warrants to purchase shares of common stock; amends Purchase Agreement with Lincoln Park Capital to decrease the value of common stock of the Company that it may sell to Lincoln Park from $55 mln to $15.6 mln), CHRS -6% (commences an underwritten public offering of $125,000,000 of shares of its common stock), PVG -5% (is offering $90,000,000 aggregate principal amount of unsecured convertible senior subordinated notes due 2022 pursuant to private placement), GMLP -4.6% (to offer 4,500,000 common units in an underwritten public offering ), PE -4% (to acquire oil/gas properties in Midland Basin from Double Eagle Energy Permian for approx $2.8 bln, commences private placement of senior notes due 2025; updates Q4 operations revises 2017 capital program and op guidance), AMC -2.9% (commences an underwritten public offering of common stock for the amount of $500.0 million), FXCM -2.9% (Gain Capital enters into definitive agreement to acquire the client base of FXCM's U.S. operations; terms not disclosed), DCIX -2.9% (DRYS sympathy), NE -2.4% (still checking - possibly TDW sympathy)

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 8th of February 2017

>>> Up
*AB Inbev Raised to Buy at Natixis, PT EU110
*Aena Raised to Buy at SocGen, PT EU158
*Air France-KLM Raised to Hold at SocGen, PT EU5.20
*AMS Raised to Buy at AlphaValue
*ASML Raised to Neutral at Exane, PT EU110
*Delta Lloyd Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays, PT EU5.40
*DNB Raised to Reduce at AlphaValue
*EasyJet Raised to Hold at SocGen, PT 900p
*Enel Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley, PT EU4.50
*GEA Group Raised to Outperform at Credit Suisse, PT EU44
*Lufthansa Raised to Buy at SocGen, PT EU14.50
*Neste Raised to Neutral at Credit Suisse, PT EU31
*RBS Raised to Hold at Deutsche Bank
*Sabadell Raised to Outperform at KBW, PT EU1.80 (Sabadell Guidance Strong, Double Upgraded to Outperform at KBW)
*Solocal Group Raised to Add at AlphaValue
*UnipolSai Raised to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux, PT EU1.89


>>> Down
*Adecco Cut to Underperform at Jefferies, PT CHF56
*Axfood Cut to Hold at ABG Sundal, PT SEK150
*Bankia Cut to Underperform at KBW, PT EU0.84
*Daimler Cut to Neutral at Citi
*EDP Renovaveis Cut to Sell at Berenberg, PT EU4.50
*Fraport Cut to Hold at SocGen, PT EU60
*Hannover Re Cut to Neutral at Main First Bank AG, PT EU105
*JM Cut to Hold at DNB Markets, PT SEK300
*Novartis Cut to Add at AlphaValue
*Shaftesbury Cut to Underweight at Barclays, PT 820p
*SPS Commerce Cut to Market Perform at William Blair
*Telenor Cut to Buy at Swedbank, PT NOK151
*TxCell Cut to Sell at SocGen, PT EU1.44
*Zurich Insurance Downgraded After Share Price Gains: Macquarie

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation
*Continental Rated New Sell at Bryan Garnier
*Just Eat Rated New Add at Numis, PT 650p
*Michelin Rated New Neutral at Bryan Garnier
*SPIE Rated New Buy at Berenberg, PT EU28
*Teleperformance Rated New Outperform at Credit Suisse, PT EU120

>>> CAll

>>> Asian Update

Asia Mid-Session Market Update: PBOC skips reverse repos again while weakening Yuan fix; WTI crude falls another 1% after large API build


***US Session Highlights***
- (US) DEC TRADE BALANCE: -$44.3B V -$45.0BE
- (US) Fed's Kashkari (dove, voter): would prefer to err on side of being too loose than too tight; sees no immediate risks to financial stability; inflation expectations remain well anchored
- (US) Atlanta Fed cuts Q1 GDP forecast to 2.7% from 3.4% on 2/1
- GM shares slump despite solid Q4 financial results amid slide in margins and rising inventories

***US markets on close: Dow +0.2%, S&P500 flat, Nasdaq +0.2%***
- Best Sector in S&P500: Consumer Staples
- Worst Sector in S&P500: Energy
- Biggest gainers: TDG +6.5%, CNC +5.3%, NOV +4.9%, EMR +4.5%, CHD +4.0%
- Biggest losers: KORS -10.8%, FMC -6.0%, MSI -5.4%, VMC -4.9%, GM -4.7%
- At the close: VIX 11.3 (-0.1pts); Treasuries: 2-yr 1.17% (+2bps), 10-yr 2.39% (-2bps), 30-yr 3.02% (-3bps)

***US movers afterhours***
- COHR: Reports Q1 $2.57 ex-items (unclear if comp) v $1.79e, R$346.1M v $318M; +13.2% afterhours
- MCHP: Reports Q3 $1.05 v $0.90e, R$881.2M v $850Me; Guides Q4 $1.01-1.11 v $0.93e, R$872-908M v $862Me; +9.9% afterhours
- CTB: Cooper Tire to join MidCap 400; Hersha to replace WCI Communities in SmallCap 600, after the close Feb 10th; +3.3%; HT +5.9% afterhours;
- TIME: Meredith, Bronfman-led investor group said to be advancing in pursuit of Time Inc - press; +2.9% afterhours
- PNRA: Reports Q4 $2.05 v $2.00e, R$727M v $728Me; +2.6% afterhours
- MDLZ: Reports Q4 $0.47 v $0.49e, R$6.77B v $6.87Be; +1.9% afterhours
- DIS: Reports Q1 $1.55 v $1.48e, R$14.8B v $15.3Be; -0.6% afterhours
- TTWO: Reports Q3 -$0.33 (gaap) v $0.37e (unclear if comp), R$476.5 v $715Me (2 est); -1.3% afterhours
- AKAM: Reports Q4 $0.72 v $0.68e, R$616M v $606Me; -3.7% afterhours
- BWLD: Reports Q4 $0.87 v $1.23e, R$494.2M v $515Me; -4.6% afterhours
- GILD: Reports Q4 $2.70 v $2.43e, R$7.22B v $7.17Be; Increases dividend 10% to $0.52/shr from $0.47; -5.3% afterhours
- Z: Reports Q4 $0.14 v $0.13e, R$227.6M v $169.4M y/y; Guides initial FY17 R$1.03-1.05B v $1.07Be; -7.2% afterhours
- USNA: Reports Q4 $0.87 v $0.90e, R$253M v $251Me; Discloses internal investigation of China operations; -20.7% afterhours

***Politics***
- (US) 9th Circuit Court of Appeals said to have indicated a ruling on Pres Trump's travel ban today is unlikely; Ruling to come some time this week - press
- (US) As expected, VP Pence breaks 50-50 deadlock in US Senate, confirming Education Sec nominee Devos

***Asia Key economic data:***
- (CN) CHINA JAN FOREIGN RESERVES: $2.998T V $3.004TE (7th consecutive decline and falls below $3T for first time since Feb 2011) (overnight)
- (JP) JAPAN DEC BOP CURRENT ACCOUNT TOTAL: ¥1.1T V ¥1.2TE; ADJ CURRENT ACCOUNT TOTAL: ¥1.7T V ¥1.7TE; TRADE BALANCE BOP BASIS: ¥807B V ¥739BE
- (TW) TAIWAN JAN CPI Y/Y: 2.3% V 2.0%E; WPI Y/Y: 2.7% V 1.5%E
- (NZ) New Zealand Jan ANZ Truckometer Heavy (heavy traffic) M/M: -0.8% v -0.1% prior; 2nd straight decline

***Asia Session Notable Observations, Speakers and Press***
- Lack of momentum in US indices continues to be felt in Asia, where indices were once again mixed and volatility contained. Australia is the worst performer with Energy sector under heavy pressure - WTI oil fell below $52/brl in US hours and then fell another 1% in electronic session after API crude inventories report was 5x the expected build and also the 2nd biggest on record.
- Mainland China markets are taking the 6-year low just below $3T in FX reserves released overnight in stride, with the main index down marginally. BoCom researcher said reserves of about $2T are appropriate given China's floating exchange rate system. Similarly, overnight China FX regulator SAFE said FX reserves are ample, and fluctuations in forex reserves are normal.
- Separately, PBoC weakened Yuan slightly more aggressively, with the lowest CNY setting in over 2 weeks. PBoC also skipped reverse repo operations for the 4th straight session, though reiterated that banking system liquidity is at high level. Likewise overnight, PBOC research said the OMO are influenced by market forces, and last week's 10bp increase in offer rates should not be interpreted as tightening.
- BOJ's summary of opinion from the latest meeting touched on the familiar themes, affirming commitment to YCC policy despite the rising US rates with an eye on risks from Brexit and Trump policy uncertainties. As reflected in the statement, BOJ was more upbeat on developments in exports, consumption and capex.

China:
- (CN) China Information Daily: PBOC has no conditions for interest rate hike; will focus on flexible monetary policy
- (CN) Bank of Communications (BoCom) researcher Liu Jian: China FX reserves of about $2T are appropriate - Chinese press

Japan:
- (JP) Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga: Japan does make large investments into the US

Australia/New Zealand:
- (NZ) New Zealand Fin Min Joyce: Budget to be presented on May 25th
- (NZ) Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Auction: Dairy Trade price index: +1.3% v +0.6% prior; 2nd straight increase

***Asian Equity Indices/Futures (00:00ET)***
- Nikkei +0.2%, Hang Seng -0.1%, Shanghai Composite -0.3%, ASX200 +0.5%, Kospi -0.5%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 flat; Nasdaq flat; Dax +0.1%; FTSE100 +0.1%

***FX ranges/Commodities/Fixed Income (00:00ET)***
- EUR 1.0665-1.0690; JPY 112.05-112.55; AUD 0.7610-0.7640; NZD 0.7285-0.7315
- Apr Gold -0.1% at $1,235/oz; Mar Crude Oil -1.0% at $51.60/brl; Mar Copper +1.1% at $2.67/lb
- (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories: Crude: +14.2M v +5.8M prior; 5x bigger expected, 3rd straight build; largest build since Feb 2015 and 2nd largest build on record
- SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings rise 8.2 tonnes to 826.9 tonnes; 5th consecutive increase; Highest since Dec 20th
- (CN) PBOC SETS YUAN MID POINT AT 6.8849 V 6.8604 PRIOR; weakest setting since Jan 17th
- (CN) China MoF sells 1-yr bonds at 2.78% v 2.78%e, bid-to-cover 1.8x; 10-yr bonds at 3.4% v 3.46%e, bid-to-cover 4.08x
- (CN) PBOC skips reverse repo operations (4th consecutive day)
- (JP) Japan Finance Ministry MOF: Foreign investors sold ¥119.2B in Japan stocks; bought ¥1.68T in japan bonds in Dec.
- (AU) Australia MoF sells A$800M in 3.25% 2029 bonds; avg yield 2.8922%; bid-to-cover 2.48x

***Asia equities / Notables / movers by sector***
- Consumer discretionary: 1929.HK Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group -1.0%, 178.HK SA SA International Holdings -0.9% (Chinese New Year SSS); 2269.JP Meiji Holdings Co. -0.6% (9-month result)
- Financials: 1918.HK Sunac China Holdings +5.6% (Jan result); 6837.HK Haitong Securities -0.7% (Jan result); SCP.AU Shopping Centres Australasia Property Group -2.2% (JPMorgan cuts rating); GMA.AU Genworth Mortgage Australia -14.7% (FY16 result)
- Industrials: 6504.JP Fuji Electric Holding -2.5%; CIM.AU CIMIC Group +8.0% (H1 result); 7003.JP Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co -8.3% (9-month result)
- Technology: CAR.AU Carsales.com limited +8.1% (H1 result); 9613.JP NTT Data Corp -5.0% (9-month result); 5201.JP Asahi Glass Co +8.5% (FY16 result)
- Materials: 3405.JP Kuraray Co -5.8% (FY16/17 result)
- Energy: 5019.JP Idemitsu Kosan Co -3.7% (9-month result)
- Healthcare: 2784.JP Alfresa Holdings Corp +1.1% (9-month result)
- Utilities: TCL.AU Transurban -2.2% (Morgans Financial cuts rating); 6841.JP Yokogawa Electric Corp -8.0% (9-month result)

>>> US Notable post-earnings movers


Notable post-earnings movers

  • Post-earnings gainers: PSDV +8.4%, MYGN +8.1%, MOBL +7%, COHR +6.3%, CALD +4.5%, PIR +3.8%, TWLO +3%, EMKR +2.6%, JIVE +2.5%, PNRA +2.2%, IPHI +2.2%, YUMC +1.4%, NUAN +1.3%, AKAM +1.2%
  • Post-earnings losers: TCX -13.2%, USNA -12.2%, SPSC -8%, WAIR -6.7%, TCS -5.1%, BWLD -4.5%, GILD -4.2%, URBN -3.8%, ZG -3.7%, PDVW -3%, DRYS -2.9%, DIS -1.9%

FT : Greeks escalate bailout divisions by lashing out at ‘misleading’ IMF report

Greeks escalate bailout divisions by lashing out at ‘misleading’ IMF report

Greece’s finance minister has lashed out at the International Monetary Fund’s “misleading” analysis of the country’s economic health and debt trajectory, intensifying a rift between Athens and the Fund over its involvement in the country’s three-year bailout programme.

Responding to the IMF’s 91-page healthcheck of the Greek economy, Syriza’s Euclid Tsakalotos said the analysis gave an unfair and “insufficient” account of reform efforts undertaken by the left-wing government since the summer of 2015.
Mr Tsakalotos said the “overly pessimistic” account led the Fund to a wrong-headed assessment of the country’s debt dynamics, which the report says could reach “explosive” proportions above 200 per cent of GDP without major debt relief or bolder spending cuts and reforms.
Syriza is resisting passing any further austerity measures through its parliament amid dwindling popular support. The left-wing government has also been able to boast better-than-expected public finances in 2016 – an outperformance Mr Tsakalotos says is evidence that it is able to meet its bailout targets of a 3.5 per cent of GDP budget surplus after 2018.
Greece’s questioning of the IMF’s findings follow similar criticism from the head of the eurozone’s finance ministers, Jeroen Dijsselbloem, who called on the Fund to be “honest” about its demands for the bailout, also dubbing the’Article IV’ report an “outdated” assessment of the Greek economy.
The assessment is likely to entrench differences between the IMF on the one hand and Athens and the EU on the other, ahead of a key decision from the Fund on whether it will provide fresh financing to its largest every debtor country later this month.
Poul Thomsen, the head of the IMF’s European department, defended the projections on Tuesday and warned EU creditor targets risked undermining a fragile economic recovery.
The IMF has long argued that budget targets set by its European partners are too severe and continue for too long. It also has warned Greece’s public debt is likely to continue ballooning and reach 275 per cent of GDP by 2060 unless Athens is given significant debt relief by Germany and other creditors.
Financial markets have also taken a grim view of proceedings, sending Greece’s short-term two-year bond yields rocketing above 10 per cent earlier today.
Should Greece reform efforts stall, weighing on long-term growth, the IMF’s report warned of the possible “rekindling” of a Grexit risk more than six years on from the country’s first financial rescue.
“But even if the authorities’ policy program stays on track, high risks to the baseline remain”, said the IMF.
Current figures from the Greek government suggest Athens will hit a primary budget surplus (which excludes debt repayments) of 2 per cent for 2016, on the back of rising tax collection, while the IMF has pencilled in deficit of -0.5 per cent.
“The argument that Greece cannot sustain high fiscal surpluses that surpass 1.5 percent of GDP is in contradiction to recent developments”, said Mr Tsakalotos in written comments at the end of the report.
“The results of the debt sustainability analysis are doubtful, since they rely neither on the most recent evidence of fiscal performance nor on the most upto-date evidence on the ability of the Greek economy to produce fiscal surpluses”, he said.
In a wide-ranging excoriation of the Fund’s findings, the Oxford-educated former Marxist economist also questioned the IMF’s recommendation the government should cut back on tax credits and highlighted “gaps” in the IMF’s assessment of Greece’s pension reforms.
Mr Tsakalotos also disputed the IMF’s downgrade of Greece’s long-term growth rate from 1.25 per cent to 1 per cent, despite the country’s efforts to revamp its economy through structural reforms. The findings were an “oxymoron”, he said.
“Both recommendations in the report and assumptions in the DSA analysis are not in line with the most recent, evidence-based and pragmatic analysis of the Greek economy”, he said.
His criticism were echoed by Greece’s central bank chief, Yannis Stournaras, who added the IMF economists did not give due account of the progress made in the country’s banking sector, “as well as on future financial developments, including banks’ further needs for recapitalisation”.

>>> Mondelez Int'l misses by $0.02, misses on revs

Mondelez Int'l misses by $0.02, misses on revs (43.93 -0.08)
  • Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.47 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.02 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.49; revenues fell 8.1% year/year to $6.77 bln vs the $6.86 bln Capital IQ Consensus
  • Co said, "We continue to make solid progress toward our near-term margin targets, while investing for long-term growth," said Irene Rosenfeld, Chairman and CEO. "Despite significant economic disruptions, political uncertainties and slower global category growth, we remain confident in and committed to our balanced strategy for both top- and bottom-line growth."
2017 Outlook:
  • Mondelez International provides guidance on a non-GAAP basis, as the company cannot predict some elements that are included in reported GAAP results, including the impact of foreign exchange. Refer to the Outlook section in the discussion of non-GAAP financial measures below for more details. The company expects Organic Net Revenue to increase at least 1% in 2017 and Adjusted Operating Income margin in the mid-16 percent range
  • The co also expects double-digit Adjusted EPS growth on a constant-currency basis
  • The company estimates currency translation would reduce net revenue growth by ~1% and Adjusted EPS by ~$0.033
  • The co remains committed to its 2018 Adjusted Operating Income margin target of 17 to 18

>>> Walt Disney beats by $0.06, misses on revs (109.00 -0.57)

Walt Disney beats by $0.06, misses on revs (109.00 -0.57)
2/7/2017, 4:14:42 PM ET
  • Reports Q1 (Dec) earnings of $1.55 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.06 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $1.49; revenues fell 3.0% year/year to $14.78 bln vs the $15.29 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
    • Cable Networks revenues for the quarter decreased 2% to $4.4 billion and operating income decreased 11% to $0.9 billion. The decrease in operating income was due to a decrease at ESPN. The decrease at ESPN was due to higher programming costs and lower advertising revenue, partially offset by affiliate revenue growth.
    • Broadcasting revenues for the quarter were flat at $1.8 billion and operating income increased 28% to $379 million. The increase in operating income was due to affiliate revenue growth and decreased programming cost write-downs for network programming.
    • Parks and Resorts revenues for the quarter increased 6% to $4.6 billion and segment operating income increased 13% to $1.1 billion. Operating income growth for the quarter was due to increases at our domestic and international operations. The growth in the quarter was unfavorably impacted by Hurricane Matthew at our domestic operations and a shift in the timing of the New Year's holiday relative to our fiscal periods.
    • Studio Entertainment revenues for the quarter decreased 7% to $2.5 billion and segment operating income decreased 17% to $842 million. Lower operating income was due to decreases in home entertainment and theatrical distribution and a lower revenue share from the Consumer Products & Interactive Media segment, partially offset by growth in TV/SVOD distribution.
    • Consumer Products & Interactive Media revenues for the quarter decreased 23% to $1.5 billion and segment operating income decreased 25% to $642 million. Lower operating income was due to decreases at our merchandise licensing, games and retail businesses. Lower results at our merchandise licensing business were due to higher revenue in the prior-year quarter from merchandise based on Star Wars and Frozen and an unfavorable impact from foreign currency translation, partially offset by higher minimum guarantee shortfall recognition.

>>> US Close Dow +0.19% S&P +0.02% Nasdaq +0.19% Russell -0.41%

Closing Market Summary: Averages Eke Out Tuesday Gains

Minimal movement on Monday set the tone for Tuesday's flat finish as the major averages closed the day relatively unchanged in what was a range-bound trading session. The Nasdaq (+0.2%) and the Dow (+0.2%) eked out small gains while the S&P 500 finished right at its flat line.

Countercyclical sectors had a slight advantage during Tuesday's session with four of the five posting gains. Consumer staples (+0.8%) finished atop the day's leaderboard with Church & Dwight (CHD 47.27, +1.82) adding 4.0% after reporting better than expected earnings and raising its dividend.

On the cyclical side, technology (+0.4%) outpaced the benchmark index on the back of another solid showing from Apple (AAPL 131.53, +1.24). Industrials (+0.2%) were the only other cyclical sector to finish the day higher, rallying around the 4.5% jump in shares of Emerson Electric (EMR 62.54, +2.68). The company beat top and bottom line estimates and issued upbeat guidance for 2017.

General Motors (GM 35.10, -1.73) also reported positive quarterly results before Tuesday's opening bell, beating earnings and revenue estimates. However, the earnings beat may have taken a back seat to the company's 3.8% year-over-year decline in January sales considering shares of GM finished the day lower by 4.7%. Fellow automaker Ford Motor (F 12.34, -0.18) also experienced some pressure, closing 1.4% lower.

The consumer discretionary sector (-0.1%) couldn't escape the automakers' selling pressure. Financials (-0.2%) and materials (-0.8%) also finished in the red, but none fell farther than energy (-1.4%). The energy space moved lower in tandem with crude oil, which was weighed down by myriad concerns. An uptick in U.S. production, signs of slowing demand growth, and a 0.5% climb in the U.S. Dollar Index (100.30, +0.46) left the energy component 1.6% lower at $52.18/bbl.

The U.S. dollar's movement was rooted in comments from Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker. On Monday evening, Mr. Harker, who is an FOMC voting member, stated that he would be open to a March rate hike. The news pushed the U.S. Dollar Index (100.25, +0.41) to its highest level of the month (100.66), but a dovish statement during Tuesday's session from Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, who is also an FOMC voting member, facilitated a pullback in the Dollar Index.

However, regardless of the headlines, the market remains confident that there will be no rate hike in March; the fed funds futures market shows an 8.9% implied probability of a March rate hike, which is unchanged from Monday's reading.

Economic data reported on Tuesday included December Trade Balance, December Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, and December Consumer Credit:

  • The December trade balance showed a deficit of $44.3 billion while the consensus expected the deficit to hit $45.0 billion. The previous month's deficit was revised to $45.7 billion from $45.2 billion.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that it could stir the political trade pot since there were trade deficits recorded with China, the European Union, Japan, Germany, and Mexico. That isn't new, yet there's a new administration that isn't too fond of that dynamic.
  • The December Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed that job openings decreased to 5.501 million from a revised 5.505 million (from 5.522 million) in November.
  • The Consumer Credit report for December showed an increase of $14.2 billion while the consensus expected growth of $19.4 billion. The prior month's credit growth was revised to $25.2 billion from $24.5 billion.

Wednesday's lone economic report will be the 7:00 am ET release of the MBA Mortgage Applications Index. 

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