>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance/Same-store-sales
:
  • ESIO +21.5%, STMP +14.9%, CENT +14.5%, SEDG +14.4%, FMSA +12.4%,TTWO +11.8%, BVX +11.6%, HLTH +11.5%, AYX +10.2%, PACB +9.1%, (also announced that NVGN will purchase 10 Sequel Systems, filed mixed securities offering), FORM +9%, FCPT +9%, HCLP +8.9%, NSIT+8.7%, OCLR +8.4%, ECR +7.8%, OSUR +7.7%, AAC +7.3%, TSLA +6.6%,DATA +6.2%, SUPN +5.8%, TGB +5.8%, HIIQ +5.6%, QLYS +5.4%, HIMX+5.1%, FIT +4.9%, BLDP +4.9%, AET +4.7%, CSLT +4.6%, CDW +4.6%,CEVA +4.4%, AXGN +4.3%, HUBS +4.1%, CHK +3.5%, BIVV +3%, WMGI+2.8%, CAVM +2.8%, RP +2.7%, (to acquire substantially all of the assets of On-Site Manager for approximately $250 million in cash), CPE+2.7%, CTSH +2.6%, GOLD +2.6%, ZNGA +2.5%, GPL +2.3%, KGC +2.2%,OAS +2%, BREW +1.8%, AIG +1.7%, CATM +1.6%, CA +1.5%, SRI +1.5%,CINF +1.4%, AGO +1.4%, TDOC +1.3%, ITRI +1.3%, MRO +1.3%, BMRN+1%, (also will expand its development plan for BMN 270 to include an additional Phase 3 study of the 4e13 vg/kg dose based on updated data as of July 28, 2017 from its ongoing open-label Phase 1/2 study of BMN 270), IAC +1%, GDI +1%, MASI +1%
M&A news:
  • SCLN +5% (SciClone Pharma in proxy statement discloses non-binding competing bid for $12.00/share)
  • KTWO +4.2% (acquires the license to a portfolio of 17 issued and pending patents for expandable interbody technology; terms not disclosed)
  • WYN +2.9% (Wyndham Worldwide to spin off the company's hotel business resulting in two separate, publicly traded companies; to explore strategic alternative for the European rental brands)
  • TROX +2.5% (divests Alkali Business for $1.325 bln; issues Q2 guidance)
  • NMRX +1.6% (Numerex Corp. to merge with Sierra Wireless in a stock-for-stock merger transaction; the Transaction is valued at approximately US$107 million ), .
Select OCLR peers trading higher:
  • AAOI +3.3%, FN +2.2%, FNSR +2.1%, NPTN +1.8%, IPHI +1.8%, LITE+1.8%, ACIA +1.5%, COHR +1.4%, INFN +1.3%, .
Other news:
  • ATVI +3.2% (following TTWO/ZNGA earnings and ahead of its own release tomorrow Aug 3)
  • NVTA +2.1% (Baker Bros/15.1% active stake discloses participation in NVTA's 7/31 private placement)
  • AMC +1.6% (modestly rebounding from 27% decline following guidance; moves up Q2 earnings release and conference call to August 4 before the open)
  • CCXI +1.4% (Chief Medical Officer Dr. Petrus Bekker retires for family medical reasons)
  • HZO +1.3% (approves a new 2 mln stock repurchase plan )
  • CHGG +1.1% (increases/prices follow-on offering of 10 mln shares at $13.50 per share)
Analyst comments:
  • LC +2.2% (upgraded to Outperform at Oppenheimer)
  • CAT +0.5% (upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at Atlantic Equities)

WWD : Van Cleef & Arpels’ Nicolas Bos on Navigating Change

Van Cleef & Arpels’ Nicolas Bos on Navigating Change
The chief executive officer has taken on added responsibilities at Compagnie Financière Richemont since joining the board in November.

PARIS — Nicolas Bos is the definition of a gentleman.

Though the temperature in Paris was a withering 35 degrees Celsius, or 95 Fahrenheit, the dapper executive did not flinch at the suggestion of having his portrait taken on the balcony outside his office near the former Paris Stock Exchange.

Nor does he measure his time when discussing Van Cleef & Arpels, the jewelry brand he has run as chief executive officer since 2013, after previously serving as its creative director and head of North America.

A veteran of parent company Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, the 46-year-old was promoted to the group’s board in November in a management shakeup that saw Johann Rupert, Richemont’s executive chairman and shareholder of reference, eliminate the position of ceo in favor of a collective management effort.

Amid an overall revenue decline of 4 percent in the fiscal year ending March 31, jewelry was a high point for Richemont, with sales rising 7 percent at constant exchange, compared with a 15 percent drop for watches. Jewelry sales totaled 4.16 billion euros, representing 39 percent of group revenues.

In a deep, resonant voice that belies his boyish appearance, Bos discussed topics ranging from navigating change to how Van Cleef maintains its sparkle through education initiatives and sponsorship of the arts — an aspect dear to his heart, having started his career at the Cartier Foundation for Contemporary Art.

WWD: What has being a member of the board of Richemont changed for you?

Nicolas Bos: In the new organization, there are two houses that have this status — Cartier and Van Cleef & Arpels — whereas the others have been grouped.

It was a nice recognition of the singularity and the dynamic of the house, and being able to represent it on the board is a great privilege and responsibility.

The regular board meetings provide an opportunity for interesting exchanges in terms of group strategy, with the shareholder [Compagnie Financière Rupert,] with stakes that differ from the daily issues our houses face. We are developing a very collegiate way of working, so it’s a whole. Everyone has very defined sectors, whether it’s brand sectors, like Cartier or Van Cleef, or activity sectors. It’s a very collective management style. We spend a lot of time together, which is just as well, since we get along pretty well.

WWD: This type of management is quite experimental.

N.B.: For the time being, it works quite well. We’ll see what the future holds, but the chairman [Rupert] is very present. I think he will be paying close attention to any dysfunction. He has set pretty clear rules that everyone is happy to play by, his vision is widely shared. We have all been with the group for quite long periods, we know each other quite well and are also complementary in terms of our approaches.

The advantage with Johann Rupert is that there aren’t 15 layers of communication, which means that what he says during the results presentations for Richemont is roughly the same as what he tells us the morning before and the following Monday. So it’s quite transparent, and in a changing environment, he wanted to have access to several points of view and combinations of expertise and experience. Obviously he supervises everything and there is a classic group structure in place, but for the time being it has served him quite well to tackle thorny topics like the evolution of distribution; the integration of technology, namely connected watches, but beyond that even the future of craftsmanship. There are very tangible issues, such as economies of scale or coordination on retail, real estate and regional development. There are things that require a little more collective thinking, and then there is future development, too, namely research and development. It makes sense to address these together. It takes a little time but for the time being, it’s for a good cause.

WWD: How is hard luxury performing so far this year?

N.B.: We have had quite a good start to the year.

We’ve been experiencing cyclical effects of varying intensity depending on the sector, geographical area and brand. Clearly, watchmaking has been more severely hit, especially in Asia, with a sizable impact on revenues, and various measures have been taken by brands to try to remedy that.

On the jewelry side, we felt the downturn 18 to 24 months ago, as did everyone else. Even if revenues did not fall, we were no longer seeing the kind of growth we had in the past. Jewelry was probably less hard-hit than other businesses because we are less exposed to the more systemic effects linked to wholesale distribution.

In recent months, we have seen a slight improvement in sentiment, but we all know that uncertainty and volatility are the new normal, so you can no longer rely on long cycles.

It varies a lot depending on the country. At Van Cleef & Arpels, we are seeing an improvement in the United States after a fairly morose year. Asia is doing a little better. Business in Mainland China is growing at a healthy clip. In Hong Kong and Macau, where business was very severely affected, there seems to be a stabilization or even a slight improvement. Europe is quite complex, because we have seen a lot of swings linked to terrorist attacks, security concerns and exchange rates — things which are not easy to anticipate. Brexit had a very positive impact on consumer spending in the United Kingdom last year, but that is starting to erode. The performance in France and Italy depends very much on how confident and safe international travelers feel, and I have no idea if that is going to improve and how it is going to improve. There is a lot of uncertainty, but globally we appear to be at least in a phase of stabilization.

WWD: Last year was fairly catastrophic for Place Vendôme in general. Are tourists and high-net-worth individuals starting to come back?

N.B.: It has improved slightly, but again, it’s very uneven. There has been a big drop in groups of wealthy tourists.

There are lots of different types of visitors — individual travelers. There are fewer high-spending Asian tourists than two or three years ago. It’s also linked to exchange-rate variations and other factors. Beyond the terrorist attacks, I think the issue of safety has been in the spotlight overseas and understandably so, unfortunately, following several attacks on wealthy tourists.

I know the authorities have taken measures, but it takes a little time and that kind of incident always frightens visitors. We are still in a wait-and-see phase.

I haven’t met anyone who has said, “I will never set foot in Europe again, I will never come to Paris again.” But often, they will say, “We’re going to wait until things settle down a little.” People are postponing their trips, so that is something we have to live with.

WWD: What was the theme of your high-jewelry presentation this season?

N.B.: We just previewed to a select group of guests in Japan a collection inspired by the theme of the secret.

All of the pieces in this collection contain a secret: either a mechanism that allows you to reveal or conceal an element, a hidden functionality, or multiple ways of wearing pieces, which is something we enjoy doing, in the vein of the Zip necklace. Here we pushed the idea quite far with some pieces that you can break up into a bracelet or pendant, with detachable elements. There are hidden messages on the back of the pieces, or when you lift one part, you will find a love declaration or a quote.

It’s all about intimacy, because jewelry is not just about what you can see from the outside. There are things only the wearer can enjoy or share with a few loved ones. We like to give even the most precious and exclusive pieces a playful spin. This collection is full of surprises.

WWD: Why did you show the collection in Japan?

N.B.: We organized an event for clients there to coincide with a retrospective titled “Mastery of an Art: Van Cleef & Arpels — High Jewelry and Japanese Crafts,” organized by the National Museum of Modern Art in Kyoto. It features around 400 pieces from periods drawn from our archives or on loan from private collections. These pieces are shown by themselves or in dialogue with examples of traditional Japanese craftsmanship from the museum’s collections.

WWD: Why was it important for you to have this visibility in Japan?

N.B.: We’ve been operating in Japan for more than 40 years, since 1973. We have quite a large presence and a faithful customer base. The house’s style resonates well in Japan for a number of reasons: its motifs, its interpretation of nature, butterflies, flowers — these are things that dovetail nicely with Japanese culture.

So it’s an important market, and what’s great is that in recent years, Japan has opened up to tourism and become a travel destination for the rest of Asia. It’s become a magnet for customers, tourists or art lovers from the region — Singapore, China, Hong Kong and the rest of Southeast Asia. So it’s a nice place to organize this type of event.

WWD: How important is experience at Van Cleef & Arpels?

N.B.: For us, the experience is above all the experience of the pieces, whether it’s through an exhibition, a presentation or in-store. We are jewelers first and foremost, so the experience revolves around the stones, the know-how, a craftsperson, a visit to the atelier.

The other way we create experiences is by working off the source of inspiration for our collections.

When we did the Seven Seas collection two years ago, we launched it in Monaco at the Oceanographic Museum.

We try to develop this experience beyond the lucky few that are in contact with the world of high jewelry, with the aim of reaching a much wider audience. That’s why we stage events like the presentation in September of our Noah’s Ark-themed collection, designed by Bob Wilson, which was open to the public. It was the first time we presented a high-jewelry collection in a public exhibition, and we prioritized the members of the public over potential buyers, because the pieces remained on permanent display and at no time did we close the exhibition for clients to try on the pieces.

WWD: Is this something you plan to expand?

N.B.: Yes, we have since taken it to Hong Kong. It has been very successful, and once again we are not talking about potential customers but people who are simply curious and keen to discover the collection. It’s a really interesting dialogue. We are going to bring the installation to New York for two or three weeks at the end of the year, again with Bob Wilson.

WWD: What’s in it for you?

N.B.: There’s quite a lot in it for us, beginning with maintaining the relevance of our activity. Of course, we could produce pieces just for a handful of collectors, but at a certain point, if you are invisible to the rest of society — at least, those who are interested in the artistic process — you risk losing your raison d’être.

The jewelry industry ran that risk in the Eighties and Nineties, when it became a little inward-looking, a little less visible, perhaps a little less creative. You saw less of it in museums and in the press, and it established fewer connections with fashion and design. We have tried to open it up to boost the profile of the category and help foster vocations. Twenty years ago, that was a real question: Will we be able to train a new generation of jewelers and gem-cutters?

So it’s a general halo effect, and for the house specifically, investing in education as we do through L’École des Arts Joailliers (the School of Jewelry Arts) positions us as one of the references in this field. It’s important to us, as is our support for the Jewelry Gallery at Les Arts Décoratifs in Paris. It’s important to show that jewelry is not just selling expensive big stones to very wealthy people, it’s thousands of years of history.

WWD: Do you have any plans to stage overseas events with the school?

N.B.: We have taken it to Japan several times, to Hong Kong twice, returning for a third time this fall, and we’ve taken it to New York, where we held sessions at the Cooper Hewitt Smithsonian Design Museum, which hosted a retrospective on Van Cleef & Arpels in 2011.

I think it’s important to spotlight creativity, new techniques and the energy of this industry, as well as present private collections. We plan to do that during an upcoming event hosted by the school in Dubai in October.

WWD: Is it the only school of its kind, to your knowledge?

N.B.: There are professional schools that offer more theoretical classes, but we are the only ones that offer the opportunity to spend two or four hours with a jeweler or a gemologist, touch stones and really get a feel for the profession.

WWD: Will you be sponsoring any further ballet performances?

N.B.: We supported an interesting project with Benjamin Millepied recently. He staged a series of performances at the Chinati Foundation in Marfa, Texas, with his company L.A. Dance Project. There was no audience and it was streamed live on Periscope. We also sponsor the performances program at the Pompidou Center and the Fedora — Van Cleef & Arpels Prize for Ballet, now entering its fourth edition. We also supported the Annual Watermill Center Summer Benefit & Auction organized by Bob Wilson on July 29.

WWD: What is happening with the Paris Biennale, which used to be the world’s biggest showcase for high jewelry?

N.B.: There has been a lot of upheaval in the last year that was not always easy to follow. I think they had some major debates internally on the role and position of jewelers versus antique dealers within the Biennale, and should there be jewelers or not, and how many, and what should be the criteria for selecting them, which did not really come to a successful conclusion.

On top of that, they decided to turn the Biennale into an annual event to keep up with competing events like TEFAF [The European Fine Art Fair], PAD [Paris Art and Design] and Masterpiece, and that changes the nature of the event.

We don’t really want to show a collection in Paris every year at the same date.

We didn’t come to an agreement last year, but we maintain a very good relationship with the organizers and I still think it’s an important event that sheds a positive light on Paris. Last year, we worked with them to bring their guests to our exhibition with Bob Wilson. The School of Jewelry Arts was also on their proposed itinerary. We will very probably remain associates, whether we have a stand at the fair or not.

WWD: There was some talk last year of jewelers splintering off and organizing a separate event.

N.B.: Some people suggested organizing an event dedicated to jewelry but I am absolutely not interested. The whole point of the Biennale is to present jewelry in the wider context of other decorative arts. Without wanting to sound arrogant, we are one of the bigger houses, so we don’t really need a common platform to present our collections.

WWD: What are you doing this September to coincide with the Biennale?

N.B.: We will be presenting an automaton that we unveiled at the Salon International de la Haute Horlogerie in Geneva. We will display it in the heritage gallery at our flagship on Place Vendôme, and we have worked on a book with Editions Xavier Barral recounting the history of automatons from Classical Antiquity to today.

Wired.com : DREAM DADDY, A QUEER DATING SIM, MIGHT BE THE GAMING MIRACLE OF THE

DREAM DADDY, A QUEER DATING SIM, MIGHT BE THE GAMING MIRACLE OF THE YEAR



A MONTH AGO, if most people had tried to predict what kind of videogame would become the game of the summer, very few of them would have guessed "queer dating simulator." Yet, Dream Daddy did just that, with a pair of stunning usurpals: not only did it replace beloved first-person shooter Overwatch as the most-discussed videogame on Tumblr for the first time in more than nine months, but it shot to the top of Steam's global sales chart, unseating battle-royale phenomenon PlayerUnknown’s Battlegrounds. Not bad for a tiny game, created by two people, that upends so many notions about what works in a game—and about gamers themselves.
You don't just date dads in Dream Daddy, though; you are one. The game casts you in the role of a single father who has just moved to a new town with his teenage daughter. Although the two of you have been on your own for a while, the death of your spouse—you can specify if they were male or female—clearly still weighs on your mind. You meet six other dads who just happen to live in the same suburban cul-de-sac, and with a little help from a Facebook analogue called Dadbook, the dating begins.
The result is something as sincere and funny as it is heart-rending, a self-aware, deeply humanistic game whose witty script makes even the most groan-worthy dad puns seem to sparkle. It’s a subversion of dating sims that is not just the best dating sim I’ve ever played, but one of the best games of the year.

At first glance, the game's romantic roster looks like a who’s who of sexy stereotypes: the bad boy, the jock, the sensitive artist, the clean-cut hunk. Spend a little more time with them, however, and these facades dissolve, revealing complicated men whose passions, secrets and struggles cannot be neatly contained in cookie-cutter character types. Yes, the Goth Dad enjoys cloaks and long walks in graveyard, and the Jock Dad loves getting in his reps at the gym—but they both struggle to cope with rebellious children, shattered marriages, and the parts of their lives that they are ashamed to share with the world.
Leighton Gray, a 19-year-old student at the Savannah College of Art and Design who created, co-wrote, and art-directed Dream Daddy, is queer herself; when she and co-writer Vernon Shaw sat down to develop the game, she says, defying stereotypes was on the forefront of their minds: “We wanted to set up expectations and knock them down.”
A Romance Game Actually About Romance
Those complex characterizations not only make the story far more interesting, but they render obsolete the usual rules of dating sims. For all of the genre's seeming emphasis on romance, dating sims often rely on a reductively transactional notion of love and sex, relying on a mechanic that independent game developer Arden once described as “kindness coins”: put enough compliments or gifts into the object of your affection, and receive sex in return. “A lot of times with dating sims it’s a matter of getting a read on the character’s personality, and telling them exactly what they want to hear,” Gray says. “That's a really frustrating way to play a game.”
Dream Daddy, though, encourages players not to think about romance as a game at all. You can try to impress the music nerd or the academic with knowledge you don't have, but chances are your fakery will fall flat. You might think that the best way to win points with a standoffish dad is through sarcasm; once you learn his backstory, however, you find that what he really wants is kindness. The heartaches and emotional wounds of the men you pursue are not obstacles to be overcome en route to sex, but fragments of real humanity that make them even more lovable—and often force you to reexamine your own intentions.
During the resolution of one storyline, you're given an option when comforting one of the dads in a moment of personal crisis: you can tell him what he wants to hear, or tell him what he needs to hear. If you prioritize your desire to “win” sex over the well-being of your vulnerable friend—to treat him like a game, rather than a person—the result is guilt-inducing, even a little tragic.
Dream Daddy is an unabashedly queer game, but not performatively so; it's far more interested in being than announcing. Some of the dads have had relationships with women before, some with men, but there's no agonizing about their sexual orientation, and no more mention of it than there would be in a traditionally heterosexual romance. They simply follow their hearts, and any obstacles they face are a result of emotional and personal complications, not struggles with their identities. “We were determined to not make any of the dads' individual paths about their sexuality or have their sexuality be their defining trait," Gray says. "We can have narratives that are about queer people that are not necessarily about being queer. It’s about these relationships.”
When you create your own character, you also have the option to make him a trans dad if you wish, complete with the ability to choose chest binders. One of the dads, Damien, is transgender as well, though you can easily play through the game without realizing it; there's no neon sign pointing at his gender identity, only subtle hints as you get to know him better. Like the rest of the dads, he is who he is—and he is allowed to be, without controversy. “The most moving [feedback] comes from people who are trans or non-binary people feeling really included in this experience,” says Gray. “Someone actually messaged me today and said that this game encouraged them to come out as non-binary to their parents. The game and the community surrounding the game was so positive and loving that it encouraged them to be themselves.”
If You Build It, They Will Play
Dream Daddy's success belies a long-held assumption of the mainstream gaming world: that making games about LGBT people is an inherently niche endeavor, one that limits your potential audience and sales. While the industry has taken marginal steps towards inclusion, queer characters still tend to crop up as sidekicks and subplots rather than protagonists.
But Gray sees something very different in the passionate response from Dream Daddy fans: an audience that has gone dismally underserved by an industry that has failed to either see it or acknowledge it, and one that is ready to show up in force when offered a full-course meal rather than just scraps. She points to game franchises like Dragon Age and Mass Effect, both which have amassed huge followings in part because of the in-depth (and gender-inclusive) romances they offer in between their battles. “I know so many people who play those games not because they’re interested in the combat, but because they want the romance and the relationships,” she says. “Younger women, women who are queer like me, and younger people in general are interested in more complex narrative experience from a video game.”
Nor does putting queer characters and experiences center stage mean that a general audience can’t embrace them as well. Gray notes that while queer people—along with women and people of color—have long been expected to sympathize with straight, white cis characters, the mainstream games industry remains reluctant to ask the reverse. And yet, this presumed lack of empathy or imagination hasn’t stopped lots of people outside the LGBT community from playing Dream Daddy and helping make it a hit.
“This is a very queer game but it has legs longer than what a lot of people might have considered niche,” says Gray. “I’ve seen so many people who are straight or who never play video games play it.”
The simplest explanation for its broad appeal is the most obvious: it’s just a really good game. But its subject matter—dads—also touches a nerve that resonates with just about everyone. “Dads are such a universal, emotional thing for people whether you have a good or bad relationship with your father, or no father in your life,” says Gray. “I think we all have really complex emotions towards [them].”
She also thinks there’s a particularly appeal for millennials who are accustomed to dating less… responsible suitors. “A daddy isn’t doing to forget their wallet,” says Gray. “You’re not going to be sleeping on a mattress surrounded by empty bottles of Mountain Dew. They’re not going to ghost you. A daddy who has their life together enough to take care of another person is probably more emotionally mature than a 20-something dude might be.”
If Dream Daddy’s hit status suggests any one thing, though, it's that entrenched ideas about what kind of games can be successful and who wants to play them have less to do with reality, and more to do with the self-fulfilling prophecy that the industry has become. “The argument ‘oh, I don’t know if it’s going to sell’ isn’t going to fly anymore," Gray says. "This is what people want, and you’re going to have to get used to it."

FT : Let euro banks stand on their own feet

Let euro banks stand on their own feet

Banking union is no pretext for fiscal union

In Wednesday’s Free Lunch, I revisited the debate on fiscal union in the eurozone with a series of reasons why a system of fiscal transfers between its members is not a necessary condition for the sustainability of the single currency. Today I want to home in on one particular aspect of this debate. This is the question of whether Europe’s banking union — which sets common rules and supervision for large banks — also needs a “thin” fiscal union to function, in the form of common fiscal resources to back up banks under stress.

Part of the blueprint for the finished banking union has long involved two fiscal elements, one explicit and one implicit. The explicit fiscal element is the “common fiscal backstop” — a common fund able to inject capital into failing banks being resolved under the banking union’s new rules. The implicit fiscal element is in the projected but contested common insurance scheme for bank depositors.

Take the latter first. The argument for a common fiscal backstop for banks in trouble is a holdover from the habit of providing a national fiscal backstop — the expectation that governments would bail out “their” banks. That expectation is what brought the eurozone debt crisis to Ireland and Spain, both of whose governments had been models of fiscal probity in the euro’s first decade. The banking union is meant to end this by requiring banks’ investors, including their bondholders, to cover a bank’s losses if necessary to have sufficient equity to operate.

Those who want a common fiscal backstop have not let go of the older conviction that governments must step in to stop banks from being restructured with debt to investors being written down. But by holding on to this old, bad, habit, they are guilty of a contradiction. The requirement to write down creditors of failing banks means that a fiscal backstop is no longer necessary. This is why I wrote in a recent column that banking union is a substitute for fiscal union. Or conversely, one can only argue for a common fiscal backstop to bail out banks if one is unwilling to fully use the new “bail-in” rules to their full potential. That is to say, if one is trying to backtrack on the commitment to banking union and the healthy move to a world where banks can be restructured.

There is a possible retort to this: some bank liabilities have to be kept inviolate, namely the deposits of ordinary savers and small business people. That is because for the sake of basic economic functioning there has to be some way to keep modest savings and transactional capital in safe and liquid form. This is why all modern countries arrange for systems of deposit insurance or deposit guarantees — up to €100,000 in the EU. If these are in any way to be guaranteed across national borders, and ultimately be the responsibility of governments, this will amount to cross-border fiscal commitments, hence an implicit “thin” fiscal union.

Note in passing that an argument for deposit insurance does not work as an argument for a fiscal bailout fund for claims on banks that are not intended to be covered by deposit insurance. Even if there were a strong case for a common deposit insurance scheme and the thin fiscal union it would involve, this does not rescue the case for a common fiscal bailout fund. But even the case for a common deposit insurance scheme is weaker than it is often made out to be.

The point of deposit insurance is to make bank deposits, up the insured amount, available to depositors even during the failure of the bank at which they are held, or during a run where everyone wants to withdraw their deposits at once no matter how healthy the bank. This is, above all, a matter of liquidity — how to honour eligible withdrawals faster than it takes to manage, salvage or liquidate the failing banks’ assets. Are deposit insurance schemes fit for this purpose?

Such guarantees were introduced in the New Deal era of the US in an environment where almost all banks were small “unit banks” with a single branch. In such a world, a modest deposit insurance fund can cover any conceivable amount of withdrawals at any particular bank. But no sensibly sized deposit insurance fund would conceivably be large enough to deal with a run on today’s large banks, or a systemic banking crisis. The failure of the Icelandic deposit insurance scheme in 2008 is a case in point.

Not only is there reason to doubt the ability of deposit insurance to do the job it is meant to do; but a superior alternative exists in the form of central banks. Having unlimited liquidity, central banks can always lend liquid funds in the last resort to redeem insured deposits. To make this safe, banks can be required — instead of taking part in deposit insurance schemes — to always have sufficient assets to back liquidity from the central bank. The central bank, in turn, should precommit to issuing such liquidity on clearly stated terms in advance of any crisis, as Mervyn King has proposed (succinctly summarised in Michael Lewis’s review of King’s book).

There is a parallel with the broader, unpersuasive, case for fiscal union here. Many saw the sovereign debt crisis as demonstrating the need for fiscal transfers when it really demonstrated the need for debt restructuring. Similarly, many see banking union as creating a new need for fiscal resource pooling. In reality, it makes it easier to do without.

>>> Apache misses by $0.20, misses on revs; Co lowers overall 2017 reported prod

Apache misses by $0.20, misses on revs; Co lowers overall 2017 reported production guidance (47.91)
  • Reports Q2 (Jun) loss of $0.21 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.20 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus of ($0.01); revenues rose 0.1% year/year to $1.38 bln vs the $1.41 bln Capital IQ Consensus
  • During the second quarter, Apache operated an average of 35 rigs and drilled and completed 66 gross-operated wells worldwide
  • Delivered second-quarter production of 460,000 barrels of oil equivalent (Boe) per day and adjusted production of 388,000 Boe per day, which excludes Egypt noncontrolling interest and tax barrels
  • Announced the strategic exit from Canada, which streamlines the portfolio, increases leverage to the Permian and positively impacts financial metrics; revised 2017 guidance accordingly
  • Co is demonstrated strong cost discipline despite inflationary pressures; capital and lease operating expenses tracking at or below guidance for the full year
Outlook:
  • To reflect the impact of the company's exit from Canada, Apache has updated its 2017 production guidance to account for divested volumes
  • Co lowers overall reported production guidance for 2017 to 457-471 MBOE/D, down from 485-503 MBOE/D.
  • Guidance for certain expenses, including gathering and transportation costs and G&A expenses, has also been reduced
  • With regards to capital, Apache's $3.1 billion 2017 budget is not impacted by the Canada exit since most of the capital allocated to Canada this year will have been spent by the time all transactions have closed
Looking into 2018...
  • "As we look to 2018, we are well prepared to manage a capital program commensurate with the prevailing price environment without stressing the balance sheet or diluting our shareholders. We are keenly focused on returns and have great confidence in the economics of our long-term investments and opportunity set. We have structured our business to adapt and thrive in a lower-for-longer price environment. Our focus on costs, maintaining a strong balance sheet and streamlining our business have positioned us to deliver returns-focused organic growth for many years to come," s

>>> Cott misses by $0.09, beats on revs (15.40)

Cott misses by $0.09, beats on revs (15.40)
  • Reports Q2 (Jun) adj. earnings of $0.06 per share, $0.09 worse thanthe Capital IQ Consensus of $0.15; revenues rose 32.5% year/year to $1.01 bln vs the $0.98 bln Capital IQ Consensus (35% on a foreign exchange neutral basis) driven primarily by the additions of S&D Coffee and Tea ("S&D") and Eden Springs ("Eden") as well as growth at DS Services, offset in part by the adverse foreign exchange impact and mix shift within the traditional business.
    Assuming that the sale of our traditional manufacturing business closes as expected, we are targeting full year 2019 cash flow provided by operations of approximately $265 to $270 million and capital expenditures of $115 to $120 million, resulting in adjusted free cash flow of approximately $150 million (when excluding acquisition, integration and other cash costs).

>>> US Early premarket gappers


Early premarket gappers

Gapping up:

  • ESIO +24.4%, BVX +18.7%, FMSA +16.1%, AYX +15.4%, CENT +14.5%, STMP +13.7%, SEDG +12.5%, TTWO +11.5%, FORM +10.1%, HCLP +9.5%, PACB +9.1%, FCPT +9%, HLTH +8.2%, CRIS +8.1%, OCLR +7.9%, OSUR +7.7%, NSIT +7.5%, WYN +6.7%, NMRX +6.5%, EEP +6.1%, TSLA +5.8%, SUPN +5.8%, TGB +5.8%, HIIQ +5.6%, AAC +5.6%, ECR +5.5%, OAS +4.8%, CSLT +4.6%, CEVA +4.4%, AXGN +4.3%, HUBS +4.1%, ATVI +4%, AXTA +3.9%, FIT +3.9%, ZNGA +3.9%, AXTA +3.9%, DATA +3.6%, AET +3.4%, HIMX +3.3%, CHK +3.2%, CTSH +3.1%, BIVV +2.9%, WMGI +2.8%, GOLD +2.8%, RP +2.7%, CPE +2.7%, GPL +2.3%, AAOI +2.2%, KGC +2.2%, NVTA +2.1%, FNSR +2.1%, COHR +2.1%, ITRI +1.9%, MASI +1.9%, NPTN +1.8%, IPHI +1.8%, BREW +1.8%, AMC +1.6%, CATM +1.6%, CAVM +1.5%, CA +1.5%, SRI +1.5%, CCXI +1.4%, CINF +1.4%, HZO +1.3%, FN +1.3%, INFN +1.3%, LITE +1.3%, TDOC +1.3%, ACIA +1.2%, AIG +1.1%, BMRN +1%, IAC +1%, GDI +1%

Gapping down:

  • PMTS -28.7%, IPAS -21.7%, AGRX -16.8%, HIVE -15.4%, MCEP -13%, TTMI -12.8%, CENX -11.6%, DDD -11.5%, DDD -11.5%, RGR -11.5%, TSE -11.1%, MOH -10.2%, HABT -7.1%, CAKE -6.2%, AREX -5.8%, CHD -5.7%, CBPO -5%, AOBC -4.4%, HOLX -4.4%, DRRX -4.3%, AWK -4.3%, FBP -4%, TS -4%, HK -3.8%, KCAP -3.7%, SWIR -3.4%, NUS -3.4%, BRSS -3.3%, DWSN -3.3%, ONCE -3.1%, CRUS -3%, BDX -3%, CXO -2.9%, CRHM -2.9%, TCS -2.9%, TTEK -2.8%, INN -2.8%, MTDR -2.7%, COT -2.7%, EXEL -2.4%, MRO -2.4%, PRU -2.3%, ICL -2.3%, PK -2%, CHGG -1.8%, GKOS -1.8%, RICE -1.8%, TNH -1.7%, GLOG -1.7%, EVC -1.6%, CLLS -1.6%, MNK -1.5%, MIC -1.5%, HL -1.5%, PBYI -1.4%, CLVS -1.4%, PE -1.4%, LSI -1.4%, USAK -1.4%, RIG -1.3%, NEFF -1.2%, ATO -1.2%, NBR -1.2%, AGTC -1.1%, CWST -1.1%, ORC -1%, SQ -1%, BLUE -0.9%, PEIX -0.9%, WPX -0.9%, BID -0.9%