WSJ : Cambricon Technologies Warns of Trading Risks After Stock Surges

Cambricon Technologies Warns of Trading Risks After Stock Surges
The chip maker’s share gains come amid a broader market rally in China

  • Cambricon Technologies cautioned about trading risks after its stock price surged, surpassing industry peers and major indexes.
  • The company clarified it has no plans for new products.
  • Analysts are cautious about the frenzy over Cambricon and China’s ambition to produce AI chips at home due to manufacturing hurdles.

Chinese artificial-intelligence chip maker Cambricon Technologies 688256 -9.20%decrease; red down pointing triangle issued a warning about trading risks after a surge in its stock price over the past month.

The company’s stock gains have exceeded that of most of its industry peers and major indexes, the Beijing-based company said in an exchange filing late Thursday.

There is a risk that the stock price may have deviated from current fundamentals, as its current price-to-earnings ratio is over 5000 times, far exceeding the industry level, the company said.

Cambricon’s Shanghai-listed stock fell 5.6% as of midday on Friday after the warning. Despite the decline, its shares have more than doubled over the past month and have overtaken liquor maker Kweichow Moutai as China’s most valuable stock.

Cambricon’s rise comes amid a broader market rally in China, with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index gaining over 6% over the past month and notching a 10-year high earlier this month.

China’s AI push and drive to make chips locally have given the AI chip designer another push as domestic investors shift their focus to AI infrastructure names.

Another catalyst behind the stock’s gains was Goldman Sachs raising its target price on Cambricon by 50% over the weekend to 1,835.00 yuan.

Cambricon also clarified Thursday that it doesn’t have plans to launch new products.

Chinese demand for AI inferencing has been rising after the launch of local foundation models such as DeepSeek, while domestic clients are diversifying their channels for obtaining chips amid tariff uncertainty and data-security concerns.

DeepSeek said last week that its new model uses a new format designed for next-generation homegrown chips, indicating a potential breakthrough in Chinese AI hardware. Markets have speculated that the latest AI chip could come from Cambricon.

Cambricon expects its 2025 revenue to be between 5 billion yuan, equivalent to $701.2 million, and 7 billion yuan, after its first-half revenue grew roughly 44-fold to 2.88 billion yuan.

Some analysts are cautious about the frenzy over Cambricon and China’s ambition to produce AI chips at home.

Cambricon, as a fabless chip maker, can’t turn into TSMC, the world’s largest contract chip maker overnight, said Morningstar analyst Phelix Lee. Meanwhile, SMIC, China’s largest chip maker, still has very low yields in manufacturing advanced chips, Lee added.

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

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    • Ackermans Sees FY Net Income at Least +15%
  • Maersk (DP4B TH) -2%
    • Maersk Cut to Sell at Pekao Investment Banking; PT 10,889 kroner

Barron's : Citadel's Ken Griffin on Markets, the Fed, and Building His Firm for

Citadel's Ken Griffin on Markets, the Fed, and Building His Firm for the Next Century

(Barron's) -- The most successful companies on Wall Street have been built by those with relentless ambition -- and a strong wind at their back.
Decades of deregulation helped growth-minded CEOs turn firms such as Morgan Stanley and Bank of America into behemoths. More recently, financial entrepreneurs have leveraged booming private markets to create the likes of Blackstone in private equity, Bridgewater Associates in hedge funds, and Andreessen Horowitz in venture capital.

Now a somewhat stealthier trend, fueled by the explosive growth of technology in finance, is behind a new wave of digital-first powerhouses such as Interactive Brokers Group, Susquehanna International, Jane Street, and especially Citadel -- a burgeoning Wall Street empire controlled by billionaire Ken Griffin.

Citadel is a two-headed business beast consisting of Citadel LLC, a $68 billion hedge fund operation best known for its top-performing multistrategy flagship Wellington, and Citadel Securities, a sprawling market maker that facilitates and engages in the trading of stocks, derivatives, and increasingly bonds. Citadel -- Griffin chose the name because it "denotes a place of strength and protection," he says -- is defining the prototype of a next-gen, bulge-bracket firm, except that Citadel isn't that bulgy, with just a fraction of the employees and overhead of the traditional Wall Street firm.

As of now, the boss is happy. "It's incredibly satisfying to run one of the world's most successful hedge funds and to witness the transformative impact of Citadel Securities on the capital markets around the world," Griffin says. "Yes, I'm proud of that."

Taken separately, first, Citadel the hedge fund is a huge deal even as a stand-alone. Wellington (not related to Vanguard Wellington Fund or Wellington Management) has been a superstar, producing annual average returns of 19.2%, net of fees, since inception in 1990 -- nearly two times the market. A million dollars invested in the fund back then is worth $452 million today.

Even though Griffin says he spends the majority of his time working on the hedge fund's investment portfolio, arguably the hotter ticket is Citadel Securities. CitSec, as it is known, is a complex, sometimes controversial, ever-evolving endeavor -- which, Pac-Man-like, is on a seemingly inexorable march across capital markets, gobbling up market share in options, equities, Treasuries, and corporate bonds, and now expanding to Europe and Asia. Example: CitSec recently bought Morgan Stanley's U.S. equity-option market-maker business, leaving no major banks in the market-making business.

Citadel Securities says it now trades 25% of all U.S. equities, including 35% of retail flows plus 45 billion options quotes a day, and is a top-three trader in U.S. Treasuries and swaps. In total, it executes $652 billion in notional trades a day. The goal is clear. "Building the capital-markets firm of this generation is a vision that is increasingly becoming a reality," says Citadel Securities CEO Peng (pronounced "pung") Zhao, a Ph.D. in statistics from the University of California, Berkeley. (Griffin serves as nonexecutive chairman of CitSec.)

"This is a very different company than most people understand," says Alfred Lin, a partner at venture-capital firm Sequoia Capital who sits on Citadel Securities' board (and whose brother happens to be the head of global fixed income and macro at Citadel the hedge fund). "Citadel is taking math and their distribution and technology power to price risk using techniques not traditionally used on Wall Street."

While technology has been absolutely critical to Citadel's success, so too has Griffin's strategy. "You don't want to go up against the Wall Street incumbents," he says. "Instead, you want to understand where the market is heading and position yourself there before the incumbents arrive." The incremental rise of electronic trading allowed Citadel to move step-by-step ahead of names like Goldman Sachs Group and Morgan Stanley in a number of trading businesses.

Griffin also makes all kinds of headlines. A Republican who has given hundreds of millions mostly to GOP candidates and causes, Griffin has praised and criticized Trump. Just this past week, Griffin told Barron's: "I hope President Donald Trump appreciates that while he can score political points by attacking Jay Powell, ultimately the independence of the Fed is of the utmost importance to the American and global economy."

Meanwhile, Griffin, 56, has been adding to his personal portfolio at a stunning pace, including buying over a billion dollars worth of real estate (in New York City, the Hamptons, London, St. Tropez, Hawaii, and multiple properties in South Florida, including $400 million in Palm Beach, according to The Wall Street Journal). His art collection, estimated to be worth close to $1 billion, includes works by Picasso, Van Gogh, and Warhol, and he has bought priceless historical American documents, including rare copies of the U.S. Constitution, the Bill of Rights, the Emancipation Proclamation, and the 13th Amendment (signed by Abraham Lincoln). Then there's the $45 million stegosaurus.

Griffin's philanthropy, now directed through an entity called Griffin Catalyst, exceeds $2 billion and includes funding vaccine development during the pandemic and helping create Operation Warp Speed. On the hipper side, he recently donated $2.255 million to Mr. Beast's water philanthropy after the YouTube superstar called him out on the Today show. "It seems very important to Ken that the world knows how wealthy he is," says a business associate. "A lot of other people go to great lengths the other way."

The totality of Griffin's world is dizzying. The billions upon billions of hedge fund investments, market-making activities, and personal assets are markers of a man with great aptitude and perhaps even greater ambition.

Along the way, Griffin and his companies have encountered friction, false starts, falling outs, fines, and failure. The hedge fund dropped 55% -- losing $9 billion of clients' money -- during the global financial crisis, and was at death's door. CitSec tried and failed to get into investment banking. The market maker has had a number of run-ins with regulators. Yet now, after more than 30 years in the business, the tumblers have been falling into place.

A decade ago, Griffin was worth $6.1 billion, according to Bloomberg; today his net worth has ballooned to $48.3 billion, making him the world's 31st-richest person, by dint of hedge fund payouts and an 85% stake in that business, plus his 80% piece of the market maker -- the latter being valued at $22 billion three years ago after Griffin sold a 5% stake to Sequoia. Never mind the real estate and art.

Wealth accumulation by longstanding lieutenants such as Griffin's right-hand man and chief operating officer of the hedge fund, Gerald Beeson, who joined in 1993 as an intern out of DePaul University, and Zhao, who joined in 2006, is likely significant as well. Not that making a career at Citadel is easy. Both the hedge fund and CitSec look to hire what Griffin calls "great athletes," and are known to be workplaces where elbows are sharp and fools aren't suffered gladly -- or really at all.

"I thought we ran hard at Goldman," Pablo Salame, the co-chief investment officer of the hedge fund, who came from Goldman Sachs in 2019, said to a colleague. "And then I showed up here, and I realized there's a whole different gear." (Griffin is co-chief investment officer and CEO of the hedge fund.) "I would tell my team, you're playing for Real Madrid," says a former Citadel executive. "You don't get to keep your spot on the field if you're not producing."

"Ken would call you on a Sunday night at 11 p.m. and he might be screaming and yelling at you, but he was working," says another former employee. "He demanded 150%, and nothing else in your life should matter."

"Ken's not yelling at you, he's yelling with you," a person close to Citadel joked.

"Citadel Securities and hedge fund Citadel are highly performant places to work," says Matt Culek, CitSec's COO, who has worked at the firm for 13 years. "This is a place to come if you have a lot of confidence in your ability and want to challenge yourself." It's true that Citadel hardly has an issue attracting aspiring masters of the universe. "We had over 100,000 applicants for our summer intern program, and our acceptance rate was 0.4%," says Culek. "People are falling over themselves to demonstrate they deserve to be here just for the summer, and then some subset of them get to come back full time."

Griffin was STEM-smart and an achiever from his earliest days, growing up in Boca Raton, Fla., where he was president of his high school's math club. He graduated from Harvard University with an economics degree in three years. Chapters of Griffin's origin story have become the stuff of Wall Street legend, like convincing Harvard to let him install a satellite dish on the roof of his dorm so he could trade convertible bonds.

After Harvard, Griffin moved to Chicago, where Frank Meyer, a pioneering hedge fund investor, mentored him and helped seed Griffin's hedge fund. "The best advice I've ever gotten was from Frank Meyer, who in the early days of my career really pushed me to think big," says Griffin. (Meyer also pressed Griffin to build a multistrategy platform instead of a single-strategy fund.) Griffin stayed in Chicago until three years ago, when he says he became disgruntled with the crime and business environment and relocated his companies to Miami -- a triumphant return of South Florida's most successful financier native son.

As he built his businesses, Griffin leaned heavily into his math and computer science background, applying evolving technology along the way. "The term HFT [high-frequency trading] was coined here," says Zhao, who adds that a physicist working at the firm came up with the name for a strategy he created. Though Citadel Securities used to be known mostly as a high-frequency shop, Zhao says that today HFT is "part of the core competency you need to have as a modern-day market maker, but it's becoming less and less a business model."

After the hedge fund's meltdown during the financial crisis, Griffin rallied the troops, and by 2012 he had led the fund back to its high-water mark.
Performance has been strong. Over the past five years, Wellington has had annualized net returns of 23.6%, according to the Global Investment Report, versus a 14.5% annualized total return for the S&P 500. The hedge fund has returned more than $25 billion to investors over the past eight years -- a mixed blessing for the funds' limited partners, who then have the problem of where to reinvest that money.

As a multistrat hedge fund, Citadel employs a podlike structure, where individuals or groups of money managers pursue their own thesis strategies but with strong central controls. The firm isn't wedded to a single asset class or investment strategy and style, which allows Salame and Griffin and the management committee to shift the emphasis of the fund. Instead of a typical 2%-of-assets management fee, Citadel "passes through" its direct costs, such as employee salaries, which can amount to up to 7%. And it charges 20% of upside as well. Citadel is unique in that it is publicly rated investment grade by S&P Global Ratings, which, as of May 1, rated it BBB-, one notch above junk, and "stable."

"We want to generate returns that are diversifiable and where there is liquidity," says Salame, an Ecuadorean who's an aficionado of Japanese whiskies. "You have to constantly review whether your capital allocation and portfolio shape is optimal today, even though it was optimal a day ago." As a former Goldman colleague says, Salame was "demanding and one of the smartest people I've ever worked with."

The fact that Griffin owns the two Citadels makes for a singular and potentially conflicted structure. Executives on both sides of the house, as they describe it, stress that there is zero communication between the two, and that no trading information from the market-maker business passes over to the hedge fund. The two firms do share office space in some cities, such as New York, where both are slated to move into a proposed 1,600-foot-tall Park Avenue tower, sharing some back office functions and even a logo. Furthermore, Citadel Securities does, in fact, use trading information from its market making business, not in the hedge fund, but in Citadel Securities itself.

Like other market makers (also known as nonbank liquidity providers), such as Jane Street and Virtu Financial, CitSec receives orders from retail and institutional clients. It processes customers' trades by executing them mostly on an exchange or sometimes on an alternative trading system such as a dark pool. Citadel can make money off the spread between the bid and offer, but more important, it can use those securities in myriad strategies including hedging, mitigating risk, or trading for its own account. It's a hideously complex, esoteric business, but a very profitable one. In the first quarter of this year, CitSec had $3.4 billion in net trading revenue, up some 45% from the same period last year, while net income climbed 70% to $1.7 billion, according to Bloomberg.

"Ken tells an amazing story about when he developed conviction on a trade, which he was right on," says Billy Hult, CEO of Tradeweb Markets, a bond trading platform of which Citadel is a customer. "When Ken went to take the trade off, he realized how much money the market maker was making by unwinding his trade, and he said, 'Wow, there are two great businesses to be in -- the business of investing, and the business of market making -- and they're both really lucrative.' "

CitSec's market-making business also entails the somewhat controversial business of payment for order flow, much scrutinized during the GameStop imbroglio in 2021, where Citadel pays retail brokerage firms like Robinhood Markets and Charles Schwab to process their trading orders. In the first quarter of 2025 alone, Citadel paid brokers $388 million -- much of that for options contracts, according to Global Trading -- more than any other market maker. Citadel says it gets the most orders because it has the best execution, and that the money it pays to the brokers is essentially rebating back part of the spread. Those payments allow brokers to offer rock-bottom-priced or even free trading to investors -- which begets more trading, which benefits Citadel.

Trading data, which is nonproprietary, can be fed into Citadel's massive computing stack, where 260 Ph.D.s have access to some 100 petabytes of data -- more than the entire collection of the Library of Congress. Citadel data scientists and traders can use that information to identify inefficiencies between securities and arbitrage opportunities to obviate risk and make trades. Some are longer-term trades, says Zhao, while an HFT strategy, in which time is measured in 500 millionths of a second, makes thousands of small trades. Profiting from the spread on customers' trades, mitigating risk, and trading for its own account are closely intertwined. Revenue from those activities "can't be separated in a rational way," according to Zhao.

Market conditions recently have been ideal for Citadel Securities. Citibank says that year-to-date average daily volumes through July are 17.2 billion shares, a record high and up over 2.5 times from 2017. So far in 2025, stocks below $5 have represented 31.7% of total volumes, reflecting the latest meme-stock craze. And zero-day-to-expiration options are booming as well. All that trading means more volume for Citadel.

"The equity market is robust in pricing, but also reflects that the U.S. government is running a very large fiscal deficit, which is incredibly stimulative for the economy and healthy for corporate profits," Griffin says. "That, combined with a weaker dollar, has created tailwinds. There is one salient issue in the equity market now: How much of the hype of AI will translate into the reality of a more productive, more prosperous future?"

Going forward, Citadel has limitless possibilities, says Sequoia's Lin. "They can invest. They can trade and make a market. They can use math to help trade, absorb, and price risk better or help clients do that. They can provide advanced analytics and technology. They can provide intelligence to banks and to customers."

"We're still in early innings, even for some of our core products," says Jim Esposito, the president of Citadel Securities, who came over from Goldman last year. "In equities, we're skewed to the U.S.; in fixed income, we're just getting started. I'm spending time with Ken and Peng thinking about geographic and product expansion. We're everybody's favorite strategic partner to chat with, from technology platforms like Google to private-equity firms like Apollo [Global Management]."

Espo, as he is known, is amping up client-facing efforts at this tech-first company as it pushes more into bond trading and European operations, which can require high-touch relationships with senior clients and government officials.

"We're seeing higher levels of uncertainty in the world," says CitSec COO Culek. "That's going to increase the need for price discovery, which will lead to more market activity." Culek also points to strength in retail trading, event-based derivatives (trading on elections, economic data, or policy decisions), and crypto. "We're bullish on the growth of that set of opportunities," he says. "We see revenue others are already making that we can capture over time, and we can envision entirely new revenue in the future, some of which we are going to proactively create ourselves."

Griffin continues to be thoroughly engaged. "Some people who have Ken's success at his age start doing things like getting married in Europe," says a top executive at a major financial institution. "But Ken is uniquely still driven. That's a really important factor in why they succeeded and why they'll continue to succeed."

While one generation of Wall Street entrepreneurial titans, including the likes of Bridgewater's Ray Dalio and Blackstone's Steve Schwarzman, is winding down, another, with Griffin at the fore, is still gearing up. "Where we are today represents a phenomenal starting point for where these businesses will go over the next century," says Griffin.

With ambition like that, and a digital wind in his sails, what sounds audacious might just be plausible.

FT : Could Singapore’s GIC actually be the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund

Could Singapore’s GIC actually be the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund?

One of the best things about being filthy rich is the massive passive income it affords you. Ask Singapore. We don’t know exactly how rich they are — that’s a state secret. But we do know how large their passive income is. Can we work out how rich they might be just by looking at this income? We can try.

Around a fifth of government revenues come from the NIRC, or “Net Investment Returns Contribution”. This is the dividend that Singapore’s massive sovereign wealth funds pay into central coffers each year — more than income tax or VAT.


And, as we explored earlier in summer, Singapore appears to have built itself substantial reserves through some combo of budgetary conservatism and successful balance sheet YOLOing. (We omitted the state’s close control of land sales and leases, and multiple readers pointed to this as the third leg of their stool.)

Since 2000, sovereign wealth dividends have meant the difference, on average, between running an annual budget deficit of 2.4 per cent of GDP (before NIRC) and running a surplus.


The formula to arrive at the NIRC is enshrined in Singapore’s constitution. You can read the actual legalese here. And translating into human seems pretty straightforward:

  • Tot up the relevant assets; call this ‘y’.
  • Take the expected long-term real rates of return; call this ‘x’;
  • Multiply x and y.
  • Divide the answer by two. Because why not.

Okay, there’s also a couple of wrinkles around also adding on up to half the net investment income derived from past reserves from remaining assets. We think means other so-called “Fifth Schedule” entities like Jurong Town Corporation, the Housing & Development Board and the Central Provident Fund. Analysts we’ve been in touch with think these are relatively minor.

But going back to our equation, what do these words actually mean?

So what are the ‘relevant assets’?
They include the net assets of Temasek (S$434bn), the Monetary Authority of Singapore (S$58bn), government deposits at the MAS (S$93bn) and of course GIC — the government’s massive asset management arm.

Taking just the nominal sum of these asset pools would lead to a huge number, and incentivise even more central government debt issuance to pump up the numbers. So the constitution says you need to subtract government liabilities, which we understand total S$1,286bn.

But hold on, what are net assets of GIC again? Time to roll out our favourite quote from any Ministry of Finance:

Just as our defence forces do not reveal the full extent of our weaponry and military capabilities, it would be unwise to reveal the full and exact resources at our disposal.

The number seems important. It defines the equation that is used to make Singapore’s fiscal maths add up.

So we got in touch with Rain Yin, lead Singapore sovereign analyst at S&P Global Ratings. She told us that S&P doesn’t actually model GIC assets at all, assuming instead that they will be “at least equivalent to the government’s gross debt stock, as most of the government’s debt is issued to meet the investment needs of CPF monies”.

We can see that in a world where governments can get a AAA rating with sizeable net debt, fussing over the quantum of Singapore’s net assets is probably immaterial to their rating, so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯.

In contrast, GlobalSWF makes a stab at estimating GIC’s net assets, and come to a figure of $936bn, or just a smidgen over S$1.2tn. Diego Lopez, the company’s founder and managing director, says he models it by tracking inflows from the government, outflows through the NIRC, and triangulating the annual performance through longer-term return disclosures published over the past 25 years. It sounds like a pretty sensible framework, though we can’t be sure how close it will ever be to reality.

And so our running total for ‘relevant assets’ look like an unknown number minus S$700bn. Hmm.


ELTRROR?
Is there more clarity over the “expected long-term real rate of return” that we set at X in our formula? Nope.

Apparently there is a “rigorous process in place for determining the ELTRROR of the investment entities”, starting with recommendations from the boards of GIC, MAS and Temasek, then flowing through the Singapore MOF, before hitting the president’s desk. S/he consults a Council of Presidential Advisers, and either agrees or disagrees. If s/he agrees, yay! If s/he disagrees, the whole thing defaults to a 20-year historical average real rate of return.

We’ve seen worse frameworks. And the current president — Tharman Shanmugaratnam — is well-placed to navigate this, having previously served as minster of finance, chairman of the MAS, and deputy chairman of GIC.

Can we see the workings? No. How about whether Singapore has defaulted to historical average rates of return? No. But can we at least see the current expected return? Not a chance.

Can we back-out an estimated size for GIC?
Lian Chuan Yeoh, a partner at law firm Withers KhattarWong, got in touch with us to point out that we could try estimating GIC’s size by backing it out of the NIRC equation — even if both variables are unknown.

Because, given that NIRC = (relevant assets X ELTRROR) ÷ 2, and given that we know that NIRC was S$24bn in 2024, and given that the big unknown quantity in relevant assets is GIC assets (again, leaving aside other Fifth Schedule entities) we can have a look at what mix of GIC assets and ELTRROR values gets us to S$24bn.


We appreciate that the chart looks intimidatingly like the sort of thing you left behind in high school maths. But it’s interesting. It seems to imply that GIC is radically larger than every other estimate we’ve seen.

GIC report its 20 year historic real return as 3.8 per cent per annum. If the ELTRROR was 3.8 per cent GIC assets would need to be around $1.5tn to make the maths work — larger than China’s CIC, and almost as large as China’s SAFE.

If Singapore have been using the long-term real rate of return of around 3 per cent that NBIM — Norway’s massive oil pension fund — thinks reasonable, it would imply that GIC was worth $1.8tn (again, leaving aside income from Fifth Schedule entities).

This year the NIRC is rising to $S27bn, implying either even larger net asset values for GIC (or a higher ELTRROR). And this is in the context of investment returns from Temasek that have reportedly been sufficiently low to prompt an organisational shake-up.

Long term return assumptions that might realistically be being made by the Singaporean president could imply GIC assets that would make it the largest SWF in the world.

It feels like we’re missing something. We wondered whether maybe we’d misread Article 142 of the Constitution, included the wrong set of MAS assets or maybe even included bits of government debt that should be excluded from relevant assets. Maybe the net investment income from remaining assets was bigger than we’d understood? We contacted the Ministry of Finance, shared our workings and asked for help.

Did their response help us unpick the secrets of Singaporean state wealth? Sadly, but perhaps unsurprisingly, the answer is no.

FT : Ciao bello: masters of the universe move to Milan

Ciao bello: masters of the universe move to Milan


Why the wealthy are flocking to Milan

Goldman Sachs vice-chair Richard Gnodde, Egypt’s richest man Nassef Sawiris and CVC Capital co-founder Rolly van Rappard: Milan has assembled quite the collection of mega-rich residents in recent years.

A friendly tax regime and Milan’s dolce vita charm have lured wealthy foreigners to Italy’s second city.

The influx has accelerated over the past 12 months after the UK abolished its “non-dom” tax regime, exposing overseas assets, income and gains to UK taxes.

Italy’s tax scheme allows new foreign residents to pay a flat tax of €200,000 a year on any global income and assets for up to 15 years and avoid inheritance tax on non-Italian assets during that period.

The so-called Bel Paese has also become more attractive for private equity types who don’t adhere to the €200,000 flat tax, by levying a 26 per cent rate on most capital gains. That’s significantly better than in the UK, which recently raised taxes on carried interest — the key source of income for buyout executives — from 28 per cent to 34 per cent.

Those tax considerations have drawn thousands of people to the city, but the flood of wealthy expats has created friction. Regular folks are being pushed out of trendy neighbourhoods as property and rental prices have skyrocketed. 

As of July, home prices in Milan have risen nearly 60 per cent over the past decade to €5,540 per square metre, while in Rome they have remained largely flat at about €3,600, according to data from Immobiliare.it. Rents in Milan have also surged, increasing 50 per cent in the same period from €15 to €22.50 per square metre.

The booming real estate market has brought other troubles: a corruption probe is under way in the city with prosecutors alleging a system of bribes drove some of the redevelopment.

The Milanese elite, meanwhile, have other complaints.

One banker said new arrivals at his company were on London salaries, frustrating locals who earned far less. He criticised a flurry of new members’ clubs, saying they were “not really the Italian way of doing business”. International members club Casa Cipriani launched its Milan branch in 2022 and Soho House is setting up its own outpost in the city.

A second local was rather more frank in his assessment: he dismissed the new clubs as being full of bankers and PE executives who wouldn’t make it into the city’s old-school patrician haunts.

>>> US After Hours Summary: ESTC +18.2%, AMBA +17.9%, AFRM +13.5%, ADSK +10.3%,

After Hours Summary: ESTC +18.2%, AMBA +17.9%, AFRM +13.5%, ADSK +10.3%, S +8.7% higher on earnings; MRVL -9.8%, DELL -6.3%, GAP -5.9% lower on earnings

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: ESTC +18.2%, AMBA +17.9%, WOOF +17.3%, AFRM +13.5%, IREN +13% (also secures NVDA Preferred Partner status and procures B300s), ADSK +10.3%, S +8.7%, ULTA +2.3%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: OPEN +4% (President bought 30000 shares), EMN +2.9% (several insider buys disclosed), DOMO +2.5% (partners with Altis for marketing AI agents), DSGN +1.4% (Point72 Asset Mgmt discloses 5.2% stake), GCL +1.2% (partners with KuCoin to accept crypto payments), CCJ +0.9% (operational update), AIR +0.6% (new defense distribution agreement with AmSafe Bridport), DIS +0.3% (files mixed securities shelf offering), RTX +0.2% (awarded a $1.7 bln modification to Army contract)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: MRVL -9.8%, DELL -6.3%, GAP -5.9%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: CAT -3.5% (updates tariff impact at $500-600 mln for Q3 and $1.5-1.8 bln for 2025), SF -1.9% (July operating data), LRCX -0.4% (increases dividend), URI -0.3% (expands digital platform), RKLB -0.2% (opens Launch Complex 3), SKX -0.1% (receives all regulatory approvals to close acquisition), GNK -0.1% (CEO also named as Chairman)

>>> US Close Dow +0.16% S&P +0.32% Nasdaq +0.53% Russell +0.19%

Closing Market Summary: S&P 500 captures record highs following NVIDIA's earnings
The stock market's advance pushed the S&P 500 (+0.3%) to record intraday (6,508.23) and closing (6,501.90) highs for the second consecutive day, while the Nasdaq Composite (+0.5%) came up just shy of its own closing high, and the DJIA (+0.2%) finished with a more modest gain.

Stocks saw a decent opening push that followed an upbeat Q2 GDP revision and another low initial jobless claims report, but an early 2.5% slide in NVIDIA (NVDA 180.17, -1.43, -0.79%) made for a bumpy morning that seated the major averages in negative territory.

NVIDIA's Q2 results, which were reported yesterday after the close, were a mixed bag. While both earnings and revenue exceeded expectations, the upside relative to consensus estimates was relatively modest. The company's guidance for Q3 matched analysts' forecasts, breaking from its usual pattern of beating and raising targets. Data Center revenue jumped 56% year-over-year to $41.1 billion but fell short of Street estimates due to a $4 billion sequential decline in H20 revenue, which was impacted by export restrictions. No H20 sales to China occurred in Q2, and none are anticipated for Q3.

The stock would ultimately close much improved from its session lows, bolstering an otherwise strong day from chipmakers that saw the PHLX Semiconductor Index finish with a 0.5% gain. The broader information technology sector advanced 0.7% as well.

The communication services sector (+0.9%) finished as the best-performing S&P 500 sector, with strength in its mega-cap components Alphabet (GOOG 212.37, +4.16, +2.00%) and Meta Platforms (META 751.11, +3.73, +0.50%) underpinning the gain.

Mega-cap strength played a key role in today's record-setting advance, as the market-weighted S&P 500 (+0.3%) outperformed the S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index (-0.1%). The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF finished with a 0.6% gain.

Outside of the mega-cap space, the energy sector (+0.7%) rounded out the top three S&P 500 sectors, benefitting from crude oil futures settling today's session $0.48 higher (+0.8%) at $64.62 per barrel.
The consumer discretionary (+0.3%), financials (+0.2%), and industrials (+0.2%) sectors also captured modest gains. The materials sector finished flat.

Losses in declining sectors were relatively modest today. The defensive-oriented utilities (-0.9%), consumer staples (-0.6%), and health care (-0.5%) sectors were the biggest losers, while the real estate sector (-0.3%) also retreated.

Retailer stocks were another point of relative weakness after a slate of household names, such as Best Buy (BBY 72.66, -2.79, -3.70%), Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS 215.08, -10.93, -4.84%), Dollar General (DG 111.71, +0.51, +0.46%), and Five Below (FIVE 150.03, +5.62, +3.89%), reported earnings. The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (-0.9%) improved throughout the session with the broader market, closing 0.4 percentage points above its session lows.

With the market successfully navigating NVIDIA's earnings, attention now turns to tomorrow's PCE report, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. The probability of a 25-basis point rate cut at the September FOMC meeting remained steady at 87.2%, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Speaking of the next FOMC meeting, Bloomberg reported that Fed Governor nominee Stephen Miran's confirmation process may be fast-tracked to appoint him before the gathering. In related news, Fed Governor Lisa Cook filed a suit challenging her dismissal by President Trump, with Bloomberg reporting that Ms. Cook's lawyers suggest a "clerical error" is behind the mortgage issues. An initial hearing is scheduled for tomorrow morning.

U.S. Treasuries of most tenors climbed on Thursday while the 2-year note underperformed after yesterday's show of relative strength. The 2-year note yield settled up two basis points to 3.64%, and the 10-year note yield settled down three basis points to 4.21%.
  • Nasdaq Composite: +12.4% YTD
  • S&P 500: +10.6% YTD
  • DJIA: +7.3% YTD
  • Russell 2000: +6.7% YTD
  • S&P Mid Cap 400: +4.8% YTD

Reviewing today's data:
  • Q2 GDP - Second Estimate 3.3% (consensus 3.0%); Prior 3.0%, Q2 GDP Deflator - Second Estimate 2.0% (consensus 2.0%); Prior 2.0%
    • The key takeaway from the report is that the Q2 strength revolved around the decrease in imports (-29.8%), which is a subtraction in the calculation of GDP. The next exports component contributed 4.95 percentage points to Q2 GDP growth versus 4.99 points with the advance estimate.
  • Weekly Initial Claims 229K (consensus 236K); Prior was revised to 234K from 235K, Weekly Continuing Claims 1.954 mln; Prior was revised to 1.961 mln from 1.972 mln
    • The key takeaway from the report is that initial jobless claims—a leading indicator-- continue to run at low levels, refuting the notion that the labor market is weak. Granted, the labor market has softened a bit, but it is not weak.
  • July Pending Home Sales -0.4% (consensus 0.3%); Prior -0.8%

WWD : Parisian Cashmere Brand Kujten to Open First U.S. Store on Sept. 9

Parisian Cashmere Brand Kujten to Open First U.S. Store on Sept. 9
The Paris-based men's and women's luxury cashmere brand operates more than 50 stores globally.

Kujten, a Paris-based luxury cashmere brand, will open its first U.S. flagship on Madison Avenue this fall.

The company, founded by Carole Benaroya and Stéphanie Eriksson, has inked a deal for a three-level, 4,400-square-foot store at 831 Madison Ave. The space, on 69th Street, had formerly housed Akris. It is expected to open on Sept. 9, right before the kickoff of New York Fashion Week.

Kujten was created in 2012 by Benaroya and Eriksson, who had met in school as teenagers. Benaroya opted for a career in finance and began her career at Goldman Sachs in London while Eriksson studied fashion and joined the British fashion brand Joseph.

The friends reconnected in their 30s and decided to create a high-end brand focused on basic and statement cashmere pieces offered in an array of colors. They named it Kujten after the highest peak in Mongolia, a spot the founders visit several times a year to hand-select the finest raw materials.


It aims to offer timeless, modern, elegant pieces that can be worn every day. As Eriksson said: “I’ve always been a little frustrated that I only had three or four colors to choose from when I was buying cashmere. With Kujten, we have a beautiful color palette so our items can be worn every day.”

Among its key pieces are sweaters, sweatshirts, vests, cardigans, capes, jackets, dresses, pants, shorts and hoodies for women and men as well as accessories and a children’s collection.

Sustainability is also a hallmark of the brand and in 2021, Kujten obtained the Sustainable Fibre Alliance ranking that certifies a company’s respect for the environment and social responsibility. In 2019, the brand launched Kujten Organic, an eco-responsible men’s and women’s line that uses no dyes or chemical components and promotes the manufacture of organic cashmere in Mongolia.

The brand operates more than 50 stores in Europe but this marks the first move into the U.S. market, which makes up a sizable portion of its international sales. The brand created a capsule with the L.A. tattoo artist Dr. Woo last year.

“The search for the ideal location was complex as the vacancy rate on Madison Avenue has been decreasing drastically over the past few years,” said Eric Le Goff, head of luxury for Retail by MONA, the retail leasing and advisory firm that represented Kutjen. “It was a challenge to identify the perfect space for Kutjen that combined the right square footage, premier storefront, and most importantly, the right neighbors for the brand such as Toteme and Khaite.”

Le Goff said if the store is successful, the plan is to continue to open stores around the country.

FT : Trump-Intel deal designed to block sale of chipmaking unit, CFO says

Trump-Intel deal designed to block sale of chipmaking unit, CFO says
US chipmaker has faced pressure to sell lossmaking foundry business struggling to compete with TSMC

The Trump administration’s investment in Intel was structured to deter the chipmaker from selling its manufacturing unit, its chief financial officer said on Thursday, locking it into a lossmaking business it has faced pressure to offload.

The US government last week agreed to take a 10 per cent stake in Intel by converting $8.9bn of federal grants under the 2022 Chips Act into equity, the latest unorthodox intervention by President Donald Trump in corporate America.

The agreement also contains a five-year warrant that allows the government to take an additional 5 per cent of Intel at $20 a share if it ceases to own 51 per cent of its foundry business — which aims to make chips for third-party clients.

“I don’t think there’s a high likelihood that we would take our stake below the 50 per cent, so ultimately I would expect [the warrant] to expire,” CFO David Zinsner told a Deutsche Bank conference on Thursday.

“I think from the government’s perspective, they were aligned with that: they didn’t want to see us take the business and spin it off or sell it to somebody.”

Intel has faced pressure to carve off its foundry business as it haemorrhages cash. It lost $13bn last year as it struggled to compete with rival TSMC and attract outside customers.

Zinsner’s comments highlight how the deal with the Trump administration ties the company’s hands.

Analysts including Citi, as well as former Intel board members, have called for a sale — and Intel has seen takeover interest from the likes of Qualcomm.

Intel’s board ousted chief executive Pat Gelsinger, the architect of its ambitious foundry strategy, in December, which intensified expectations that it could ultimately abandon the business.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters on Thursday the deal was being finalised. “The Intel deal is still being ironed out by the Department of Commerce. The T’s are still being crossed, the I’s are still being dotted . . . it’s very much still under discussion.”

Zinsner said the warrants in the Trump deal could be viewed as “a little bit of friction to keep us from moving in a direction that I think ultimately the government would prefer we not move to”.

He said the direct government stake could also incentivise potential customers to view Intel on a “different level”.

So far, the likes of Nvidia, Apple and Qualcomm have not placed orders with Intel, which has struggled to convince them it has reliable manufacturing processes that could lure them away from TSMC.

As Intel’s new chief executive Lip-Bu Tan seeks to shore up the company’s finances, the government deal also “eliminated the need to access capital markets”, Zinsner explained.

Given the uncertainty over whether Intel would hit the construction milestones required to receive the Chips Act manufacturing grants, converting the government funds to equity “effectively guaranteed that we’d get the cash”.

“This was a great quarter for us in terms of cash raise,” Zinsner added. Intel had also recently sold $1bn of its shares in Mobileye, and was “within a couple of weeks” of closing a deal to sell 51 per cent of its stake in its specialist chips unit Altera to private equity firm Silver Lake, he noted.

SoftBank also made a $2bn investment in Intel last week. Zinsner pushed back against the idea that it had been co-ordinated with the government, as SoftBank chief executive Masayoshi Son pursues an ever-closer relationship with Trump.

“It was coincidence that it fell all in the same week,” Zinsner said.