>>> What to look at today - 4th of April 2018

Asian stocks were mixed as traders awaited China’s response to the latest step in an escalation of trade tensions between the world’s top two economies. The Australian and New Zealand dollars led an advance against the greenback.
Equity benchmarks fluctuated across the region and U.S. equity futures declined. South Korea’s stock benchmark had the biggest decline among major Asian markets. A recovery in U.S. equities from a technology-fueled drubbing on Monday seemed to be largely overshadowed by the Trump administration’s issue of its list of Chinese products proposed for tariffs that came after the close of trading in New York. China condemned the move and said it will respond. The yen and Treasuries were steady after sliding Tuesday as risk appetite returned. US After Hours  CLDR -25%, PLAY -7% following earnings/guidance

Nikkei +0.23% Hang Seng -0.44% CSI +0.50% Shanghai +0.50% Shenzen +0.18%

Eur$ 1.2280 CNH 6.2902 CNY 6.2959 JPY 106.56 GBP 1.4079 CHF 0.9579 RUB 57.5379 WTI$ 63.31 -0.31%

S&P -0.33% EuroStoxx -0.06% Dax +0.02% FTSE -0.20% SMI -0.22%

Macro :
- U.K. Must Apologize to Russia After Admission on Poison: Kremlin
- David Einhorn Lost Money on Long and Short Wagers Last Quarter
- U.S. IBs Seen Outperforming European Peers in 1Q: Morgan Stanley

Keep an eye on :
- ACS SM : ACS, Atlantia Line up Financing for Abertis Deal: Confidencial
- AAL LN : Anglo American Sees Brazil Accident Cutting Output by 1.1m T/Mo
- AMZN US : Amazon May Put Rival Bid for Flipkart Pie Eyed by Walmart: Mint
- MT NA : ArcelorMittal Heads to Court to Battle VTB’s Bid for Essar
- BPOST BB : Bpost Fails to Meet Legal Delivery-Time Target for 2nd Year
- ALCLS FP : Cellectis to Offer Shares Said to Trade On April 5
- COFB BB : Cofinimmo Sees EU26.9m Gain on Egmont I & II Leasehold Sale
- CVR LN : ZQ Capital Is Said to Bid for All of Conviviality: Daily Mail
- DANSKE DC : Danske Is Open to Selling a Stake in Mobilepay, Borsen Says
- DHER GY : Delivery Hero Files to Offer 25 Shares via DBS Group
- DBK GY : Deutsche Bank Calls for Stricter Cryptocurrency Rules: HB
- DTE GY : T-Systems to Make Profit in Most Areas in 2020: Al-Saleh to HB
- DIA SM : DIA Reaches Accord With Suning to Sell Units in China
- JB7 GY : Deutsche Industrie REIT Increase Shr Capital to up EU16.5 Mln
- FACC AV : Austrian Aerospace Group FACC Lifts Order Backlog to $5.9b
- FUTR LN : Future Buys NewBay Media to Expand Into the U.S.
- GLEN LN : RBC Positive on Metals and Bulks; Glencore Listed as Top Pick
- ING FP : Ingenico CEO Says He Doesn’t Plan Any Major Acquisitions: Echos
- LHN SW : LafargeHolcim’s Schmidheiny, Collomb Won’t Stand for Reelection
- MB IM : Mediobanca Hires Bernardi as Head of Telecom and Towers at CIB
- OBEL BB : Nethys Says Belgian Cable Company Voo Is Not for Sale: Belga
- RFRG NA : Refresco Delisting of Shares Will Take Place on April 26
- SNAP US : Blackberry Files Patent Infringement Lawsuit Against Snap
- SOI FP : Soitec to Hire 200 New Staff at Grenoble Facility in 2018
- SN/ LN : Smith & Nephew Is Said to Name Namal Nawana as New Chief: Sky
- SNH GY : Steinhoff:Net Book Value Hemisphere Materially Lower Than EU2.2b
- SREN SW : Swiss Re Currently Doesn’t See SoftBank Taking More Than 10%
- TIT IM : Tel. Italia CEO Sees Takeover by Elliott as Unrealistic: Stampa
- THR BB : ThromboGenics Study Shows Safety of THR-317 in DME
- VWS DC : Vestas Expects Steel Tariffs, Dollar Volatility to Hurt Margins
- VOW3 GY : Volkswagen Names Former Tesla Manager to NA Region-G4 Role
- WHA NA : WorldQuant Lowers Short Position in Wereldhave to 1.29%
- WPP LN : WPP Named Independent Counsel to Investigate Allegations Vs CEO, WPP Is Said to Review Sorrell’s Possible Misuse of Assets: WSJ
- WPP LN : WPP’s Martin Sorrell Says He ‘Rejects Allegation Unreservedly’

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 4th of April 2018

>>> Up
* Aptiv Upgraded to Buy at Berenberg
* BHP Upgraded to Sector Perform at RBC
* Fresnillo Upgraded to Sector Perform at RBC
* Glencore Upgraded to Top Pick at RBC
* Polymetal Upgraded to Outperform at RBC
* Transocean Upgraded to Buy at HSBC
* Varta Upgraded to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 22 Euros

>>> Down
* Ingenico Group Downgraded to Hold at HSBC; PT 70 Euros
* Petra Diamonds Downgraded to Sector Perform at RBC
* Randgold Downgraded to Underperform at RBC

>>> Initiation
* Atea Reinstated at SEB Equities With Hold; PT 131 Kroner
* Bodycote Rated New Neutral at Goldman
* Kaufman & Broad Rated New Outperform at MainFirst; PT 50 Euros
* Renishaw Rated New Buy at Goldman
* Vesuvius Rated New Neutral at Goldman

>>> US After Hours Summary: CLDR -25%, PLAY -7% following earnings/gui


After Hours Summary: CLDR -25%, PLAY -7% following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: HCC +9.4% (declares special cash dividend of $6.53/share ), LBY +7.1% (after closing +17% on the day), SENS +4.3% (initiated with Buy and $6 tgt at Guggenheim), GFI +1.8% (upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at RBC Capital Mkts), NKTR +1% (ticking higher; previously-announced Strategic Collaboration Agreement between Nektar and Bristol-Myers Squibb Company is now effective)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: CLDR -25.4%, PLAY -6.6%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: WPP -4.8% (light volume; to conduct investigation in response to an allegation of personal misconduct against CEO Sir Martin Sorrell), PTCT -4.3% (ticking lower; downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays), INSM -4.2% (light volume - still checking), CLLS -1.9% (launches underwritten public offering of $175 mln of American Depositary Shares), AA -0.7% (signed group annuity contracts to transfer $555 million in obligations, and related assets, of defined benefit pension plans in Canada; will result in $0.68/share after tax Q2 charge), VIAB -0.6% (Viacom / CBS late volatility attributed to reports that CBS submitted its bid)

>>> US Close Dow +1.65% S&P +1.26% Nasdaq +1.04% Russell +1.31%


Closing Market Summary: Wall Street Rebounds On Tuesday

U.S. equities rebounded on Tuesday, reclaiming a little more than half of their Monday losses in a broad-based rally. The S&P 500 advanced 1.3% to 2614.45, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.7% to 24033.36, and the Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.0% to 6941.28. 

The major averages bounced around with modest gains for much of the session, but shot to new highs in the late afternoon following a headline that the White House doesn't have any specific plans for action against Amazon (AMZN 1392.05, +20.06). The news wasn't really new -- Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders made a similar statement last week -- but, nonetheless, it served to temper fears following critical comments from President Trump, who alleges the company is taking advantage of the U.S. Post Office and gets unfair tax treatment.

Amazon jumped following the headline, and the broader market came along with it -- thanks in part to some short-covering activity. AMZN shares, which were down as much as 1.2% on Tuesday, finished higher by 1.5%, while the S&P 500 finished near its session high and about 25 points above its 200-day simple moving average (2590). The benchmark index settled below the key technical level for the first time since June 2016 on Monday.

All 11 S&P sectors finished Tuesday in positive territory, with energy (+2.1%) being the top performer as WTI crude futures rebounded from a two-week low, climbing 0.7% to $63.45 per barrel. The financials (+1.4%), consumer discretionary (+1.2%), industrials (+1.4%), materials (+1.5%), health care (+1.5%), and consumer staples (+1.4%) sectors also finished with solid gains, while the lightly-weighted utilities (+0.4%) and real estate (+0.3%) sectors lagged.

The most influential group -- information technology -- finished higher by 1.0%, but struggled up until the late-afternoon rally, losing as much as 0.7% earlier in the session. The group's turnaround helped boost investor sentiment, which has suffered in recent weeks amid a lack of sector leadership; the technology group has underperformed as of late after pacing last year's rally and a once positive start to 2018. Likewise, the financial sector's upbeat performance was also notable tailwind for investor sentiment.

Investors did not receive any economic data on Tuesday, but automakers did report sales figures for the month of March. General Motors (GM 36.94, +1.18), Ford Motor (F 11.15, +0.29), and Fiat Chrysler (FCAU 21.79, +1.84) advanced 3.3%, 2.7%, and 9.2%, respectively, after all three reported year-over-year increases in sales; Fiat Chrysler's sales increased 14.0%, while GM's and Ford's sales increased 16.0% and 3.4%, respectively. Electric automaker Tesla (TSLA 267.53, +15.05) also climbed, adding 6.0%, after reporting Model 3 production just below its target and reaffirming its production outlook.

In the bond market, U.S. Treasuries tumbled on Tuesday, pushing yields higher across the curve; the yield on the benchmark 10-yr Treasury note climbed five basis points to 2.78%, rebounding from an eight-week low, while the 2-yr yield also advanced five basis points, closing at 2.29%.

Looking ahead, investors will receive several reports on Wednesday, including the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index at 7:00 AM ET, the ADP Employment Change report for March (consensus 203K) at 8:15 AM ET, and both February Factory Orders ( consensus +1.8%) and the ISM Services Index for March (consensus 59.0) at 10:00 AM ET.

  • Nasdaq Composite: +0.6% YTD
  • S&P 500: -2.2% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: -2.8% YTD
  • Russell 2000: -1.5% YTD

>>> Merck “looking hard” in areas of immunology, metabolism, and ophthalmology,

Merck “looking hard” in areas of immunology, metabolism, and ophthalmology, BD head says
03 APR 2018
Merck [NYSE:MRK] is looking hard for potential licensing or acquisition opportunities in the areas of immunology, metabolism and ophthalmology, according to Ben Thorner, who is on the business development leadership team at Merck.

Thorner said Merck, the 7th largest global drug company by 2017 revenue, is also closely looking at areas of Alzheimer’s and neurodegeneration as possible areas for expansion, he said in an interview. Thorner, cautioned, though, that the company is “pretty agnostic” when it comes to sizing up therapeutics areas and that these are just some of the many disease spaces that the company is eyeing to potentially bolster its portfolio.

“Our approach is to try and look across all the areas of scientific endeavor and to try and find the molecules where the mechanism of action is pretty well understood,” he explained.

Thorner is the senior vice president and head of business development and licensing at Merck Research Laboratories.

Kenilworth, New Jersey-based Merck, which had USD 6bn in cash on its balance sheet as of December 2017, needs to expand its portfolio in the face of what analysts say is over-reliance on two of its core products.

One of its primary revenue drivers, the diabetes drug Januvia, faces US and EU patent expiration in 2022. Januvia and Merck’s blockbuster immuno-oncology agent Keytruda together accounted for nearly 30 percent of the drugmaker’s USD 35bn total pharmaceutical sales in 2017.

A number of other drugs in Merck’s currently marketed portfolio also face challenges. Its hepatitis-C drug Zepatier has found a niche in a crowded category, but the patient population for that disease continues to shrink. Research firm GlobalData has estimated that the hepatitis-C market will decline from USD 21.7bn in 2015 to USD 17.5bn by 2025 as new drugs made by Gilead Sciences [NASDAQ:GILD] and AbbVie[NYSE:ABBV] can cure the disease in large numbers of patients, an industry success story.

Three of its other major products, autoimmune drug Remicade, and cholesterol treatments Vytorin and Zetia are all off patent and face competition from biosimilars and generics, respectively. Its shingles vaccine Zostavax will soon face new competition from GlaxoSmithKline’s [NYSE:GSK] Shingrix that was approved by the FDA in October.

“It’s clear that Merck needs to pull the next Keytruda out of its hat,” one investor said, noting that “they’re clearly going to have to do something in the next five-year period and will likely have to do a multitude of things.”

Merck has not been shy about making relatively small tuck in acquisitions. This year, for instance, it purchased Viralytics, a privately held Australian company for USD 394m and struck a strategy oncology collaboration with Eisai worth up to USD 5.76bn.

But while Thornier said Merck “looks broadly at business development”, the company has been relatively reticent about making big deals, such as its USD 8.4bn purchase of Cubist Pharmaceuticals and the USD 3.85bn purchase of Idenix Pharmaceuticals, both in 2014.

Credit Suisse analyst Vamil Divan wrote in an investor note in March that it would “strongly favor” Merck boosting its mid-to-late stage pipeline by bringing in additional growth drivers for the company outside of its Keytruda oncology franchise.

An industry banker, too, acknowledged that it would be prudent for Merck to diversify its portfolio at this time, in particular in oncology with Keytruda. “You’re one bad adverse event from really disrupting that franchise,” the banker said.

To that point, in 2016 Bristol-Myers Squibb [NYSE:BMY] had an early lead in the IO market, securing the first approval in second-line lung cancer with Opdivo and with a read out in the frontline setting coming in August — months ahead of competitor Keytruda. Opdivo was ultimately found to not be effective as a standalone therapy in that pivotal clinical trial, conceding its lead to Merck as a result.

Les Funtleyder, healthcare portfolio manager at E Squared Capital Management, said that Merck “has to make a decision on capital allocation, a lot of assets are very expensive,” he noted, pointing to high valuations in the biotech sector.

As to how Merck should do that, Funtleyder said that “the key for all the larger players is that they have to develop therapeutic areas of scale. Merck could in theory buy a couple USD 100m products, but I don’t think it would justify their time.”

Thorner maintained that the company is looking broadly “to identify the next Keytruda, the next Januvia. They may not be in the cancer or diabetes space,” or in any area currently represented in its portfolio.

Still, he underscored the importance of building the company’s portfolio through business development, saying that more than half of its pipeline comes from external efforts.

“Going forward that is going to be a staple our business,” said Thornier. “It really underlines the importance of partnerships whether they be licensing or option deals or M&A.”

Merck shares have fallen 15.63 per cent since this time last year, underperforming the SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF that fell 2 per cent over the same period.

Merck traded at USD 53.55 per share on Tuesday, giving the company a market cap of USD 146.8 bn.

WSJ : Spotify on Track for Third-Largest Tech IPO Ever

Spotify on Track for Third-Largest Tech IPO Ever
Music-streaming giant opens at $165.90, valuing the company at about $29.55 billion

Spotify Technology SA SPOT +17.55% roared onto the public market Tuesday as the music-streaming giant pulled off an unusual method of going public.

The stock opened at $165.90, giving it an opening value of $29.55 billion. That would make Spotify the third-largest U.S.-listed tech IPO on record, according to Dealogic, trailing only Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. BABA -2.18% , which ended its first day of trading worth $233.89 billion, and Facebook Inc. at $81.74 billion.

The stock, which traded as high as $169 Tuesday, recently declined 4.5% from its opening price to $158.44 in high-volume trading, but it still sits well above earlier price indications and private-market trading.

Because of its nontraditional IPO route, shares of the Swedish company didn’t get an official IPO price—rather, the New York Stock Exchange published a so-called reference price of $132 for them Monday night.

Pretrading indications for the stock, which now trades on the NYSE under the symbol SPOT, quickly blew past that Tuesday, starting at $145 to $155 and then rising several times, to as high as $170. In private market trading, the shares had been on the rise, recently jumping as high as $137.50, according to people familiar with the trades.


To flip itself public, Spotify executed a rare move called a direct listing, eschewing investment-banking underwriters and opting not to raise any money for itself. Listing that way saved Spotify tens of millions of dollars in fees and still gave employees and early investors the chance to cash out. But it also means that investors don’t have the customary protections of a typical IPO and that trading of the company’s stock, especially early on, could be turbulent as the market finds a price.

To compound matters, Spotify made its debut as perhaps the most notable tech IPO in years a day after technology stocks were routed, leading broader markets sharply lower. Investors have been dumping tech stocks as some of the biggest names in the sector face scrutiny from lawmakers and regulators, as well as backlash from consumers.

“Spotify will be lumped in with other tech stocks, which have been battered lately because of Facebook’s data-privacy issues,” said eMarketer analyst Paul Verna. “One could argue that this is unfair to Spotify, but they’re going to have to get used to market volatility and getting dragged down (or pushed up) by other companies in their general space.”

The unusual approach to the IPO also meant Spotify took longer to open on its first day than any other company in recent memory, topping Alibaba, believed to be the previous record-holder. In 2014, Alibaba didn’t begin trading until 11:53 a.m., more than two hours after the opening bell. Spotify opened at 12:43 p.m.

The morning began with a mix-up that the exchange took in stride: A Swiss flag—rather than a Swedish one—was hoisted for a few minutes outside the NYSE underneath a huge Spotify banner. The exchange said in a statement that “it was a momentary ode to our neutrality in the process of price discovery.”

Spotify issued its first guidance to potential investors last week, indicating it expects sharp but slowing growth. Spotify remains the global leader in music streaming, with 157 million active users, including 71 million who pay. Subscriptions have been the most closely watched metric as services like Spotify grow. The company anticipates subscribers—who generate much more revenue than users of the company’s ad-supported free tier—to grow 36% this year.


A monthly subscription is $9.99; a family subscription offers up to six accounts for $14.99; and a student plan, bundled with a Hulu subscription, is $4.99.

Investors also are closely tracking the company’s gross margins, which are forecast to expand to 23% to 25% from 21% last year. Because Spotify’s costs—mostly the royalties it pays to record companies to stream their music—follow its growth, turning a profit is a tough proposition.

While it is unclear when, or if, the service will make it into the black, Spotify has made it clear it is prioritizing growth over profit and is betting that strategy will make its business more valuable in the long run.

Spotify is largely responsible for reversing a tide of declining revenue in the record industry amid rampant piracy and plummeting CD sales. Last year, revenue rose to its highest level in a decade, with paid subscriptions being the largest contributor to growth.

“This is a huge vindication of Spotify’s on-demand model, which has proven more popular than paid downloads ( Apple ’s original model), curated streaming (the Pandora model), and even streaming of live radio stations (the iHeart Music model)," said Mr. Verna.

WSJ : Goldman’s Latest Push: Managing Cash for Big Companies

Goldman’s Latest Push: Managing Cash for Big Companies
Firm hires JPMorgan managing director in bid for corporate deposits

GS is quietly plotting a move into commercial banking, hiring a senior JPMorgan Chase & Co. engineer to build a suite of cash management tools, deposit accounts and other products for big companies, according to people familiar with the plans.

Hari Moorthy is joining as a partner from JPMorgan, where he was a managing director working on commercial-banking technology. He will be designing similar tools that Goldman could offer to corporate clients, as well as use to manage its own finances, according to the people.

It is a somewhat unorthodox move for Goldman, which is better known for its advice on mergers and capital raising. The business of helping companies manage and move their cash is generally the province of big commercial banks like JPMorgan and Citigroup Inc., which use giant balance sheets and global footprints to help companies manage their day-to-day finances.


Goldman’s roots are as an investment bank, trading and underwriting securities and brokering deals. Investment banking is a game of risk-management and idea generation; commercial banking is more a logistics play and favors bigger balance-sheet institutions. (JPMorgan has $2.5 trillion in assets to Goldman’s $917 billion.)

Goldman is branching out in search of growth. Its core trading operation has stumbled in recent years, and its capital-markets and merger business are fairly dominant already, meaning further growth will be hard-won.

In 2016, Goldman launched a consumer bank, taking deposits and making small loans online. Executives believe that retail business could generate $1 billion in annual revenue by 2020.

Adding a commercial-banking business could bring additional revenue and provide a new source of deposits. Goldman has been looking to diversify its funding sources since the 2008 crisis, when its reliance on overnight borrowing nearly proved fatal.

Still, it isn’t clear how Goldman can compete against the entrenched giants. JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America Corp. , Wells Fargo & Co. and others have experience in the business and the infrastructure to zip cash around the world. They have big lending books that build loyalty among corporate treasurers, and armies of commercial bankers that call on them regularly.

About half of JPMorgan’s $1.2 trillion in deposits are from corporate customers, according to regulatory filings. The firm made $4.1 billion in revenue from commercial loans last year and another $3.4 billion from cash management and treasury services.

Goldman’s ambitions are modest for now, say people familiar with the firm’s plans. It is looking to use technology, rather than physical branches, as the cornerstone of its offerings. It is also looking for ways to partner with third parties to provide some services, the people added.

Mr. Moorthy, who previously worked at Goldman from 2007 to 2014, will oversee a group of engineers designing new products, including a cash-management system and a dedicated corporate interest-bearing account, according to people familiar with the plans. He will be co-head of technology for Goldman Sachs Bank USA, alongside Boe Hartman.