After Hours Summary: CLDR -25%, PLAY -7% following earnings/guidanceAfter Hours Gainers:
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: HCC +9.4% (declares special cash dividend of $6.53/share ), LBY +7.1% (after closing +17% on the day), SENS +4.3% (initiated with Buy and $6 tgt at Guggenheim), GFI +1.8% (upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at RBC Capital Mkts), NKTR +1% (ticking higher; previously-announced Strategic Collaboration Agreement between Nektar and Bristol-Myers Squibb Company is now effective)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: CLDR -25.4%, PLAY -6.6%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: WPP -4.8% (light volume; to conduct investigation in response to an allegation of personal misconduct against CEO Sir Martin Sorrell), PTCT -4.3% (ticking lower; downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays), INSM -4.2% (light volume - still checking), CLLS -1.9% (launches underwritten public offering of $175 mln of American Depositary Shares), AA -0.7% (signed group annuity contracts to transfer $555 million in obligations, and related assets, of defined benefit pension plans in Canada; will result in $0.68/share after tax Q2 charge), VIAB -0.6% (Viacom / CBS late volatility attributed to reports that CBS submitted its bid)
Closing Market Summary: Wall Street Rebounds On TuesdayU.S. equities rebounded on Tuesday, reclaiming a little more than half of their Monday losses in a broad-based rally. The S&P 500 advanced 1.3% to 2614.45, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.7% to 24033.36, and the Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.0% to 6941.28.
The major averages bounced around with modest gains for much of the session, but shot to new highs in the late afternoon following a headline that the White House doesn't have any specific plans for action against Amazon (AMZN 1392.05, +20.06). The news wasn't really new -- Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders made a similar statement last week -- but, nonetheless, it served to temper fears following critical comments from President Trump, who alleges the company is taking advantage of the U.S. Post Office and gets unfair tax treatment.
Amazon jumped following the headline, and the broader market came along with it -- thanks in part to some short-covering activity. AMZN shares, which were down as much as 1.2% on Tuesday, finished higher by 1.5%, while the S&P 500 finished near its session high and about 25 points above its 200-day simple moving average (2590). The benchmark index settled below the key technical level for the first time since June 2016 on Monday.
All 11 S&P sectors finished Tuesday in positive territory, with energy (+2.1%) being the top performer as WTI crude futures rebounded from a two-week low, climbing 0.7% to $63.45 per barrel. The financials (+1.4%), consumer discretionary (+1.2%), industrials (+1.4%), materials (+1.5%), health care (+1.5%), and consumer staples (+1.4%) sectors also finished with solid gains, while the lightly-weighted utilities (+0.4%) and real estate (+0.3%) sectors lagged.
The most influential group -- information technology -- finished higher by 1.0%, but struggled up until the late-afternoon rally, losing as much as 0.7% earlier in the session. The group's turnaround helped boost investor sentiment, which has suffered in recent weeks amid a lack of sector leadership; the technology group has underperformed as of late after pacing last year's rally and a once positive start to 2018. Likewise, the financial sector's upbeat performance was also notable tailwind for investor sentiment.
Investors did not receive any economic data on Tuesday, but automakers did report sales figures for the month of March. General Motors (GM 36.94, +1.18), Ford Motor (F 11.15, +0.29), and Fiat Chrysler (FCAU 21.79, +1.84) advanced 3.3%, 2.7%, and 9.2%, respectively, after all three reported year-over-year increases in sales; Fiat Chrysler's sales increased 14.0%, while GM's and Ford's sales increased 16.0% and 3.4%, respectively. Electric automaker Tesla (TSLA 267.53, +15.05) also climbed, adding 6.0%, after reporting Model 3 production just below its target and reaffirming its production outlook.
In the bond market, U.S. Treasuries tumbled on Tuesday, pushing yields higher across the curve; the yield on the benchmark 10-yr Treasury note climbed five basis points to 2.78%, rebounding from an eight-week low, while the 2-yr yield also advanced five basis points, closing at 2.29%.
Looking ahead, investors will receive several reports on Wednesday, including the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index at 7:00 AM ET, the ADP Employment Change report for March (consensus 203K) at 8:15 AM ET, and both February Factory Orders ( consensus +1.8%) and the ISM Services Index for March (consensus 59.0) at 10:00 AM ET.
- Nasdaq Composite: +0.6% YTD
- S&P 500: -2.2% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average: -2.8% YTD
- Russell 2000: -1.5% YTD
Thorner said Merck, the 7th largest global drug company by 2017 revenue, is also closely looking at areas of Alzheimer’s and neurodegeneration as possible areas for expansion, he said in an interview. Thorner, cautioned, though, that the company is “pretty agnostic” when it comes to sizing up therapeutics areas and that these are just some of the many disease spaces that the company is eyeing to potentially bolster its portfolio.
“Our approach is to try and look across all the areas of scientific endeavor and to try and find the molecules where the mechanism of action is pretty well understood,” he explained.
Thorner is the senior vice president and head of business development and licensing at Merck Research Laboratories.
Kenilworth, New Jersey-based Merck, which had USD 6bn in cash on its balance sheet as of December 2017, needs to expand its portfolio in the face of what analysts say is over-reliance on two of its core products.
One of its primary revenue drivers, the diabetes drug Januvia, faces US and EU patent expiration in 2022. Januvia and Merck’s blockbuster immuno-oncology agent Keytruda together accounted for nearly 30 percent of the drugmaker’s USD 35bn total pharmaceutical sales in 2017.
A number of other drugs in Merck’s currently marketed portfolio also face challenges. Its hepatitis-C drug Zepatier has found a niche in a crowded category, but the patient population for that disease continues to shrink. Research firm GlobalData has estimated that the hepatitis-C market will decline from USD 21.7bn in 2015 to USD 17.5bn by 2025 as new drugs made by Gilead Sciences [NASDAQ:GILD] and AbbVie[NYSE:ABBV] can cure the disease in large numbers of patients, an industry success story.
Three of its other major products, autoimmune drug Remicade, and cholesterol treatments Vytorin and Zetia are all off patent and face competition from biosimilars and generics, respectively. Its shingles vaccine Zostavax will soon face new competition from GlaxoSmithKline’s [NYSE:GSK] Shingrix that was approved by the FDA in October.
“It’s clear that Merck needs to pull the next Keytruda out of its hat,” one investor said, noting that “they’re clearly going to have to do something in the next five-year period and will likely have to do a multitude of things.”
Merck has not been shy about making relatively small tuck in acquisitions. This year, for instance, it purchased Viralytics, a privately held Australian company for USD 394m and struck a strategy oncology collaboration with Eisai worth up to USD 5.76bn.
But while Thornier said Merck “looks broadly at business development”, the company has been relatively reticent about making big deals, such as its USD 8.4bn purchase of Cubist Pharmaceuticals and the USD 3.85bn purchase of Idenix Pharmaceuticals, both in 2014.
Credit Suisse analyst Vamil Divan wrote in an investor note in March that it would “strongly favor” Merck boosting its mid-to-late stage pipeline by bringing in additional growth drivers for the company outside of its Keytruda oncology franchise.
An industry banker, too, acknowledged that it would be prudent for Merck to diversify its portfolio at this time, in particular in oncology with Keytruda. “You’re one bad adverse event from really disrupting that franchise,” the banker said.
To that point, in 2016 Bristol-Myers Squibb [NYSE:BMY] had an early lead in the IO market, securing the first approval in second-line lung cancer with Opdivo and with a read out in the frontline setting coming in August — months ahead of competitor Keytruda. Opdivo was ultimately found to not be effective as a standalone therapy in that pivotal clinical trial, conceding its lead to Merck as a result.
Les Funtleyder, healthcare portfolio manager at E Squared Capital Management, said that Merck “has to make a decision on capital allocation, a lot of assets are very expensive,” he noted, pointing to high valuations in the biotech sector.
As to how Merck should do that, Funtleyder said that “the key for all the larger players is that they have to develop therapeutic areas of scale. Merck could in theory buy a couple USD 100m products, but I don’t think it would justify their time.”
Thorner maintained that the company is looking broadly “to identify the next Keytruda, the next Januvia. They may not be in the cancer or diabetes space,” or in any area currently represented in its portfolio.
Still, he underscored the importance of building the company’s portfolio through business development, saying that more than half of its pipeline comes from external efforts.
“Going forward that is going to be a staple our business,” said Thornier. “It really underlines the importance of partnerships whether they be licensing or option deals or M&A.”
Merck shares have fallen 15.63 per cent since this time last year, underperforming the SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF that fell 2 per cent over the same period.
Merck traded at USD 53.55 per share on Tuesday, giving the company a market cap of USD 146.8 bn.