FT : Germany’s new deregulation chief vows to be more subtle than Elon Musk

Germany’s new deregulation chief vows to be more subtle than Elon Musk
State modernisation minister Karsten Wildberger promises to bring about digital age in country clinging to fax machines

Germany’s new deregulation tsar has pledged to be more subtle than his former US counterpart Elon Musk, whose Department of Government Efficiency (Doge) wreaked havoc slashing jobs and shutting down entire state-funded programmes.

“In a professional toolkit there isn’t just one chainsaw or a massive sledgehammer,” said Karsten Wildberger in his temporary office overlooking Berlin’s Tiergarten. “There are different instruments, from a screwdriver to a small hammer.”

The 56-year-old former corporate executive, who heads the newly-created ministry for state modernisation and digitisation, may need all those instruments to bring his country’s bureaucracy — still more reliant on hard copies and fax machines than other nations — into the 21st century.

Chancellor Friedrich Merz has made cutting red tape a cornerstone of his plan to revive the Eurozone’s largest economy. Simplifying the thicket of regulations and digitising public services have featured in almost every one of his speeches and often included Wildberger’s name.

At stake is Germany’s ability to deploy more than €1tn swiftly to rebuild its armed forces and modernise ageing infrastructure after years of neglect. Europe’s competitiveness is also on the line, with former ECB president Mario Draghi warning in a landmark report last year that excessive regulations and overlapping barriers have strangled growth.

Previous governments have repeatedly promised to cut red tape — only to fail against Germany’s multi-layered federal and regional system.

Merz is also hoping to extract budget savings from the effort: €26bn a year by 2029, according to a draft plan seen by the Financial Times. By comparison, his predecessors only aimed for single-digit billions in annual savings from cutting red tape. The blueprint envisages trimming the federal and parliamentary civil service by 8 per cent.

Merz is planning to devote a cabinet meeting this autumn to red-tape reduction. Wildberger has been gathering proposals from each minister and promises something “meaty”.

“Europe over the last 20 years has built more and more complexity, and we in Germany have not just taken it, but actually have gold-plated it in some ways and have even increased it,” Wildberger said. “We make it actually very hard for companies to innovate.”

He said job cuts were inevitable in an ageing society already facing a shortage of skilled labour. “We will need it because we won’t find the people. Plus we must save costs in that process.”

An MBA graduate who left his job as CEO of German electronics retailer Ceconomy to take up the new post in Merz’s government, Wildberger disputed that Germany was stuck in the analogue age — even though surveys show that many companies still use fax machines and Germans still use cash for half of their day to day payments.

Legislation also needs to catch up, as current German rules still classify faxes as official documents, while emails and text messages do not qualify in all cases.

“I have not seen any fax machine here. I don’t know when I last used one,” he said. “The question from a state perspective is: are we as digital as many of our citizens? I think there is a gap.”

Germans would rapidly adopt the digital wallet — the flagship app he is developing to give citizens digital access to public services — he said.

Wildberger traced Germany’s digitisation lag to its industrial tradition.

“Many of those industries are based on optimisation, having a very clear, well-oiled process, Germans are very good at this,” he said. “A big change in the digital world is that you’re never finished. It’s a world of constant change . . . a paradigm shift.”

Wildberger argued that Germany’s strict data protection laws, shaped by memories of the Nazi regime and the Stasi secret police in East Germany, are stifling innovation.

“I do question if the burden we often put on companies, on which data to use, is actually the right one,” he said. “We need values. I take them very seriously, but the approach we take is not good.”

His critique extends to Brussels, where he believes the new regulatory drive on artificial intelligence to be misguided.

“We regulate before the market is there. We need to develop,” he says, adding: “Sometimes it’s better to pause and think again because things have changed.”

On social media, however, Wildberger said he would support restrictions to protect teenagers’ mental health.

In Berlin political circles, scepticism runs deep about Wildberger’s ability to navigate the cut-throat world of coalition politics and overcome resistance in Germany’s 16 federal states — all the while building his own bureaucracy. He insists all his 600-strong staff will be drawn from other ministries and be cost neutral.

Some already bet he will be the first minister to quit. But Wildberger is undeterred.

“I’m not a politician,” he said, “but I have always been a political person. You can only change something when you’re inside the system.”

Four months into the job, he says: “Execution is everything. But at the same time you have to do it in a way that’s compatible with the system.”

FT : AI coding start-ups reap $7.5bn wave of investment

AI coding start-ups reap $7.5bn wave of investment
Sequoia, NEA and Nvidia invest $50mn in Factory in bet software engineering will be critical application for the tech

Start-ups building artificial intelligence-powered coding tools have reaped more than $7.5bn of investment in the past three months, as investors increase their bets that software engineering will be the first “killer application” of the technology.

Venture capitalists Sequoia Capital and NEA, along with Wall Street bank JPMorgan and chipmaker Nvidia, on Thursday invested $50mn into AI coding start-up Factory. The start-up sells AI agents, called “droids”, that handle coding and software development to businesses.

That deal follows massive funding rounds for a trio of San Francisco-based coding start-ups — Cognition AI, Anysphere and Replit — which have raised a combined $1.6bn since June.

More than $5bn in total has flowed to AI software development start-ups via venture capital deals and mergers and acquisitions in the third quarter of the year, according to PitchBook, far exceeding any quarter since the AI boom began in 2022.

In addition to those deals, Google paid about $2.5bn to hire the executive team and licence technology from a fourth coding company, Windsurf, in July.

Investors are banking on these start-ups’ ability to continue their rapid revenue growth, and eventually turn a profit as they are adopted by companies looking to save money and improve their software.

Shaun Maguire, a partner at Sequoia who led the firm’s investment into Factory, said: “This is one of the most competitive technologies that I’ve seen. Over the next 20 years I think [code generation] will be a $10tn-plus market.”

With Big Tech companies and AI labs sinking hundreds of billions of dollars into AI infrastructure, investors are seeking signs that the technology can generate real returns for businesses.


Factory’s customers include auditing firm EY, German pharmaceutical company Bayer, database company MongoDB and Nvidia.

Large, established companies can save money and boost efficiency by tearing up and rewriting messy, outdated codebases, said Madison Faulkner, a partner at NEA who led the firm’s investment in Factory.

“Over time, teams will want to own their own coding agents and view them as an extension of their engineering team,” she said.

Cognition and Anysphere, the AI lab that created code editor Cursor, have a head-start in this market — and are among the fastest-growing start-ups of all time. Cursor’s annual recurring revenues are well over $500mn, with more than $100mn of that coming from enterprise customers, said a person familiar with the company’s finances.

“Everyone has been talking about ‘AI, AI, AI’ since 2022,” said Oskar Schulz, president of Anysphere. “But if you analyse company reports, no one talks about how AI will impact things, with one exception: coding.”

By the end of 2025, Factory expects to have secured contracts with customers worth $20mn to $25mn annually, from a starting point of near-zero at the beginning of the year, said Matan Grinberg, its co-founder and chief executive.

“We’re going from a world where developers write 100 per cent of their code to one where they write 0 per cent,” he said.

The new investment values the two-year-old start-up at $300mn, said a person with knowledge of the matter.

However, this cohort of companies need to prove they can sustain their revenue in an increasingly competitive sector. The start-ups are working to lock customers into longer-term contracts, and lower their own costs from using AI models.

As well as rival coding application companies, they face competition from much larger AI groups such as Anthropic and OpenAI, which are building their own tools.

Maguire of Sequoia said these leading AI groups will probably capture a large share of the market. “I don’t have many questions around how big the market will be, it’s who will win it,” he said. “The question is: is there room for start-ups to play too?”

FT : Brunello Cucinelli shares suspended as short seller makes new Russia claims

Brunello Cucinelli shares suspended as short seller makes new Russia claims
Morpheus Research alleges Cucinelli continues to trade in Russia and misled investors over its operations

Shares in Italian luxury group Brunello Cucinelli were suspended on Thursday after falling sharply in the wake of a short seller report that alleged it had “misled shareholders” over its operations in Russia.

Morpheus Research, a London-based firm “dedicated to exposing fraud and corporate misconduct”, said a three-month investigation had found that Cucinelli “continues to operate several stores in Moscow with a wide offering of items priced at thousands of euros”.

The firm disclosed that it had built a short position in Cucinelli shares, which dropped 5 per cent in afternoon trading on Thursday.

In 2022, the EU imposed a ban on the export of luxury goods valued at more than €300 to Russia, in the wake of its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Last week, Cucinelli chief executive Luca Lisandroni told the Financial Times that the luxury group continued to sell a limited selection of items in Russia as permitted by EU law.

Lisandroni said its stores in Russia remained closed but that the brand continued to offer one-to-one client services in a Moscow showroom, and also continued to work with wholesalers.

Morpheus said its investigation — which involved interviews with former Cucinelli employees and partners, an “extensive analysis” of trade data and visits to Cucinelli’s Russian stores — cast doubt on the company’s claims.

“We found that Cucinelli continues to operate several stores in Moscow with a wide offering of items priced at thousands of euros,” Morpheus wrote.

A spokesperson for Cucinelli was not immediately available for comment. The Italian financial regulator said it was temporarily suspending the stock pending a statement from the company.

>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades
    • Adient (ADNT) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $31
    • Ameresco (AMRC) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies, tgt $39
    • Amentum (AMTM) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Cantor Fitzgerald, tgt $35
    • Arista Networks (ANET) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at BNP Paribas Exane, tgt $172
    • Baidu (BIDU) upgraded to Buy from Hold at DBS Bank, tgt $177
    • Chewy (CHWY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at MoffettNathanson, tgt $48
    • CME Group (CME) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup, tgt $300
    • CrowdStrike (CRWD) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at Scotiabank, tgt $600
    • CSX (CSX) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $40
    • Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Bernstein, tgt $48.50
    • Guardant Health (GH) upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research, tgt $75
    • Intel (INTC) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Seaport Research Partners
    • Kodiak Sciences (KOD) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays, tgt $17
    • Slide Insurance Holdings (SLDE) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $18
    • Ulta Beauty (ULTA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus; tgt $570
    • United Natural Foods (UNFI) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital, tgt $36
    • Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Leerink, tgt $456
  • Downgrades
    • Alibaba (BABA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at US Tiger Securities
    • BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas (LND) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Itau BBA
    • Caterpillar (CAT) downgraded to Negative from Mixed at BWG Global
    • Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Clarksons, tgt $42
    • Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at Scotiabank, tgt $45
    • Lithium Americas (LAC) downgraded to Hold from Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $5
    • Lululemon (LULU) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham
    • Qualcomm (QCOM) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Aletheia Capital
    • TotalEnergies (TTE) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg, tgt $64
    • Uranium Energy (UEC) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital, tgt $14
    • Wendy's (WEN) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Northcoast, tgt $7
  • Others
    • Alpha Metallurgical (AMR) initiated with a Buy at Texas Capital, tgt $183
    • Apogee Therapeutics (APGE) initiated with an Outperform at RBC Capital, tgt $60
    • Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) initiated with a Buy at Texas Capital, tgt $30
    • Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $46
    • Becton Dickinson (BDX) initiated with a Sector Perform at RBC Capital, tgt $211
    • Biogen (BIIB) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies, tgt $190
    • Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL) initiated with a Buy at B. Riley, tgt $32
    • BNY Mellon (BK) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen
    • Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $63
    • Coastal Financial (CCB) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $140
    • Core Natural Resources (CNR) initiated with a Buy at Texas Capital, tgt $105
    • Columbia Banking (COLB) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $28
    • Comerica (CMA) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $75
    • Contineum Therapeutics (CTNM) initiated with an Outperform at Leerink, tgt $20
    • Customers Bancorp (CUBI) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $89
    • Eastern Bankshares (EBC) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $23
    • East West Bancorp (EWBC) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $139
    • Edgewise Therapeutics (EWTX) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman, tgt $20
    • First Hawaiian (FHB) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $27
    • First Horizon (FHN) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $25
    • Flagstar Financial (FLG) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $14
    • Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) initiated with a Neutral at Seaport Research Partners
    • GFL Environmental (GFL) initiated with an Outperform at William Blair
    • Hallador Energy (HNRG) initiated with a Buy at Texas Capital, tgt $23
    • Levi Strauss (LEVI) initiated with a Buy at Needham, tgt $28
    • MVB Financial (MVBF) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $35
    • Navigator Holdings (NVGS) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $24
    • Northern Trust (NTRS) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen
    • Oklo (OKLO) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman, tgt $117
    • Old National Bancorp (ONB) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $25
    • Oracle (ORCL) initiated with a Sell at Rothschild & Co Redburn, tgt $175
    • Peabody Energy (BTU) initiated with a Buy at Texas Capital, tgt $27
    • Pinnacle Financial (PNFP) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $122
    • Prosperity Bancshares (PB) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $79
    • Ramaco Resources (METC) initiated with a Buy at Texas Capital, tgt $42
    • Renasant (RNST) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $45
    • South State (SSB) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $127
    • State Street (STT) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen
    • Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) initiated with a Hold at Texas Capital, tgt $348
    • Tutor Perini (TPC) initiated with a Buy at Texas Capital, tgt $85
    • Warrior Met Coal (HCC) initiated with a Buy at Texas Capital, tgt $75
    • Webull (BULL) initiated with a Buy at Rosenblatt, tgt $19
    • Webster Financial (WBS) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $78
    • Western Alliance (WAL) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $118
    • WSFS Financial (WSFS) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $67
    • Wintrust Financial (WTFC) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $166
    • Valley National (VLY) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $14
    • Zions Bancorp (ZION) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $64

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 25th of September 2025 V3(++)

>>> Up
* Alibaba ADRs PT Raised to $174 from $153 at Baird
* Alibaba ADRs PT Raised to $217 from $187 at Citi
* Alphabet PT Raised to $295 from $230 at MoffettNathanson LLC (++)
* Avanza Raised to Buy at Handelsbanken; PT 396 kronor (+)
* Boeing Raised to Buy at President Capital Management; PT $256
* Boliden PT Raised to 405 kronor from 340 kronor at DNB Carnegie (++)
* Cidara PT Raised to $153 from $66 at Citizens
* Dios Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 74 kronor
* Eurocommercial Raised to Buy at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 30 euros
* Freeport Raised to Outperform at Bernstein; PT $48.50 (++)
* Intel Raised to Neutral at Seaport Global Securities
* Rational Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 780 euros
* Riber Raised to Add at Gilbert Dupont; PT 3.40 euros (++)
* Rockwool Raised to Outperform at On Field; PT 310 kroner (+)
* SKF Raised to Buy at BofA; PT 280 kronor (++)
* Uranium Energy Raised to Buy at Canaccord; PT $17.50

>>> Down
* Antofagasta Cut to Market Perform at Bernstein (++)
* Cool Cut to Neutral at B Riley; PT 96.03 kroner
* Energean PT Cut to 855 pence from 1,000 pence at Berenberg
* FDJ United Cut to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn (+)
* Freeport Cut to Sector Perform at Scotiabank; PT $45
* Harbour Energy PT Cut to 195 pence from 220 pence at Berenberg
* Hexagon Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 125 kronor
* Intesa Sanpaolo Cut to Neutral at Goldman (++)
* Qualcomm Cut to Hold at Aletheia Capital
* Retail Estates Cut to Sell at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 57 euros
* TotalEnergies Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 57 euros
* TotalEnergies ADRs Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT $64
* Trifork Group Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 100 kroner
* Uranium Energy Cut to Market Perform at BMO; PT $14

>>> Initiation
* Anglo American Reinstated Restricted at BMO
* Bachem Rated New Underperform at Jefferies
* Banco BPM Reinstated Buy at Goldman; PT 15.70 euros
* Bankinter Reinstated Neutral at Goldman; PT 13.34 euros
* BCP Reinstated Neutral at Goldman; PT 80 euro cents
* Biogen Reinstated Buy at Jefferies; PT $190
* Mears Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 425 pence (+)
* Norse Atlantic Reinstated Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 16 kroner
* Oklo Rated New Neutral at Goldman; PT $117
* OMV Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT 50 euros
* Oracle Rated New Sell at Rothschild & Co Redburn; PT $175.14
* Peabody Energy Rated New Buy at Texas Capital; PT $27
* Pharos Energy Rated New Corporate at Cavendish; PT 53.70 pence (+)
* PolyPeptide Group Rated New Buy at Jefferies
* QUAL GA Rated New Outperform at Piraeus Securities S.A. (++)
* Syensqo Rated New Buy at Goldman; PT 93 euros
* Swissquote Rated New Hold at Bank Vontobel; PT 540 Swiss francs
* Tyson Rated New Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT $66
* Unicaja Reinstated Sell at Goldman; PT 2.20 euros
* Vistry Group Re-Initiated Hold at Goodbody; PT 704 pence

>>> Call
* Barclays Strategists See Muted US Earnings Risk From AI Setbacks (++)
* Beneteau Falls Most Since May as CIC Says 1H Results Disappoint (++)
* Colruyt Slides as JPMorgan Says Outlook Uninspiring: Street Wrap (++)
* CrowdStrike Upgraded at Scotiabank on Competitive Position
* Freeport-McMoRan Downgraded at Scotiabank on Grasberg Incident (++)
* Goldman Sachs Sets Highest Targets for UniCredit, Santander (++)
* Hexagon Faces Softer Quarter, Downgraded to Hold at Pareto (+)
* PolyPeptide New Buy at Jefferies, Bachem Rated Underperform
* *SIEMENS ENERGY ADDED TO EUROPE 1 LIST AT BOFA, PT TO EU150 (++)
* Sky-High S&P 500 Signals ‘New Normal,’ Not Bubble, BofA Says
* Vontobel Starts Swissquote at Hold, Sees Premium Justified (+)

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • KMX -9%, SFIX -5.5%, FUL -2.2%, WS -1.4%, SNX -0.6%
Other news:
  • RIG -14.8% (prices offering of 125 mln shares at $3.05 per share)
  • OKLO -5.2% (conducted full-scale flow testing of a prototypical fuel assembly at the DOE's Argonne National Laboratory)
  • LEU -4.3% (outlines plans to add at least 300 new jobs in Southern Ohio with multi-billion-dollar investment)
  • LTM -4.3% (announced launch of equity offering by affiliates of Strategic Value Partners; priced secondary offering of 15,503,784 ADSs by certain of the Company's shareholders affiliates of Strategic Value Partners at a price of $43.60 per ADS)
  • RJF -3.5% (reports August operating data)
  • OWLT -3.3% (provided summary notice of proposed settlement of derivative actions)
  • QUBT -3.2% (closes oversubscribed private placement of common stock for proceeds of $500 million)
  • MIR -2.9% (public offering of common stock; also convertible notes offering)
  • SMR -2.5% (tri-party agreement with US DoE and CFPP LLC)
  • HTZ -2.4% (priced $375 million in aggregate principal amount of 5.500% Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2030)
  • VOR -2.2% (stock offering by selling shareholders)
  • COHU -2% (prices offering of of $260.0 mln of 1.50% convertible senior notes due 2031)
  • HIVE -2% (has exceeded 20 Exahash per second of global Bitcoin mining capacity following the continued successful deployment of ASICs at its Phase 3 Valenzuela facility in Paraguay)
  • INV -1.4% (Accelsius unveils two-phase cooling reference design, demonstrating billions in potential energy savings)
  • ACIU -1.1% (Peer-reviewed results from Phase 1b/2a Trial of Anti-pTau Active Immunotherapy from AC Immune Published in eBioMedicine)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • BIRK +4.8% (guidance), ACN +1.2%, SCS +1%
Other news:
  • PEPG +151.1% (prices offering of 31.25 mln shares of common stock at $3.20 per share)
  • EVAX +43.6% (out-licenses vaccine candidate EVX-B3 to MSD (MRK))
  • IMRX +21.9% (results from phase 2a trial of Atebimetinib + mGnP; also public offering and concurrent private placement; prices 18,959,914 shares of common stock at $9.23 per share; concurrently, Sanofi (SNY) agrees to purchase 2,708,559 shares of Immuneering's common stock at $9.23 per share in separate transaction)
  • QURE +10.3% ($200 mln public offering of common shares)
  • CIFR +6.1% (signs 168 mw, 10-year AI Hosting agreement with Fluidstack; announces proposed private offering of $800 million of 0.00% convertible senior notes)
  • DGNX +4.8% (update on acquisition strategy)
  • KALV +3.9% (prices offering of $125.0 mln of 3.250% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031)
  • PSEC +3.1% (disclosure of CEO insider purchase) SMA +2% (to combine with Argus Professional Storage Management)
  • SCLX +1.4% (announces closing of previously announced non-dilutive value enhancing transaction with an institutional investor for the exchange of $200 million of common stock of Semnur Pharmaceuticals (SMNR) held by Scilex Holding Company for $200 million in bitcoin)
  • LSPD +1.3% (announces strategic appointments to its Board to further position the company for profitable growth)