>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 30th of june 2020

>>> Up
* Atlas Copco Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 450 kronor
* Basic-Fit Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* CompuGroup Medical SE & Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 80 euros
* Hella Raised to Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 44 euros
* Lundin Energy Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 260 kronor
* Stroeer Raised to Buy at UBS; PT 71 euros
* Trigano PT Raised to 107 euros from 80 euros at Berenberg
* Wolters Kluwer Raised to Neutral at Exane; PT 65 euros

>>> Down
* Allianz Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Ashmore Cut to Hold at Investec; PT 405 pence
* Axa Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Barry Callebaut Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley
* Kingfisher Cut to Sell at Investec; PT 170 pence
* RELX Cut to Underperform at Exane; PT 1,650 pence
* Scor Raised to Buy at Citi

>>> Initiation
* Befesa Rated New Buy at BofA; PT 41 euros (+)
* BIOCARTIS RESUMED BUY (VS UNDER REVIEW) AT BERENBERG, PT EU6.6
* Morgan Sindall Rated New Buy at HSBC; PT 1,400 pence
* Sinch Resumed Hold at Handelsbanken; PT 800 kronor
* Traton Rated New Hold at MainFirst; PT 20 euros
* Volvo Rated New Buy at MainFirst; PT 186 kronor

>>> Call
* AB InBev 2Q Estimates Raised by Citi; Still Cautious on LatAm
* Barry Callebaut Pain Could Last a Longer Time, MS Prefers Lindt (+)
* Citi Cautious About Insurer Exposure to SMEs; Cuts Axa, Allianz
* CompuGroup Looks Ready For M&A, Berenberg Upgrades to Buy
* LSE Target Refinitiv Has Undervalued Risk Business: Berenberg
* Prosus Results Should Reassure Over Path to Profitability: GS
* Rotork Resilient But Still Faces End-Market Challenges, MS Says
* Saab PT Cut by Citi; Covid-19 Impact Limited Compared With Peers (+)
* U.K. EQUITIES RAISED TO MARKETWEIGHT VS UNDERWEIGHT AT BOFA (+)
* Overweight France, Spain and Italy for Macro Recovery: BofA (+)

NYT : The Long, Unhappy History of Working From Home

The Long, Unhappy History of Working From Home
As the coronavirus keeps spreading, employers are convinced remote work has a bright future. Decades of setbacks suggest otherwise.

Three months after the coronavirus pandemic shut down offices, corporate America has concluded that working from home is working out. Many employees will be tethered to Zoom and Slack for the rest of their careers, their commute accomplished in seconds.

Richard Laermer has some advice for all the companies rushing pell-mell into this remote future: Don’t be an idiot.

A few years ago, Mr. Laermer let the employees of RLM Public Relations work from home on Fridays. This small step toward telecommuting proved a disaster, he said. He often couldn’t find people when he needed them. Projects languished.

“Every weekend became a three-day holiday,” he said. “I found that people work so much better when they’re all in the same physical space.”

IBM came to a similar decision. In 2009, 40 percent of its 386,000 employees in 173 countries worked remotely. But in 2017, with revenue slumping, management called thousands of them back to the office.

Even as Facebook, Shopify, Zillow, Twitter and many other companies are developing plans to let employees work remotely forever, the experiences of Mr. Laermer and IBM are a reminder that the history of telecommuting has been strewn with failure. The companies are barreling forward but run the risk of the same fate.

“Working from home is a strategic move, not just a tactical one that saves money,” said Kate Lister, president of Global Workplace Analytics. “A lot of it comes down to trust. Do you trust your people?”

Companies large and small have been trying for decades to make working from home work. As long ago as 1985, the mainstream media was using phrases like “the growing telecommuting movement.” Peter Drucker, the management guru, declared in 1989 that “commuting to office work is obsolete.”

Telecommuting was a technology-driven innovation that seemed to offer benefits to both employees and executives. The former could eliminate ever-lengthening commutes and work the hours that suited them best. Management would save on high-priced real estate and could hire applicants who lived far from the office, deepening the talent pool.

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And yet many of the ventures were eventually downsized or abandoned. Apart from IBM, companies that publicly pulled back on telecommuting over the past decade include Aetna, Best Buy, Bank of America, Yahoo, AT&T and Reddit. Remote employees often felt marginalized, which made them less loyal. Creativity, innovation and serendipity seemed to suffer.

Marissa Mayer, the chief executive of Yahoo, created a furor when she forced employees back into offices in 2013. “Some of the best decisions and insights come from hallway and cafeteria discussions, meeting new people and impromptu team meetings,” a company memo explained.

Tech companies proceeded to spend billions on ever more lavish campuses that employees need never leave. Facebook announced plans in 2018 for what were essentially dormitories. Amazon redeveloped an entire Seattle neighborhood. When Patrick Pichette, the former chief financial officer at Google, was asked, “How many people telecommute at Google?” he said he liked to answer, “As few as possible.”

That calculus has abruptly changed. Facebook expects up to half its workers to be remote as soon as 2025. The chief executive of Shopify, a Canadian e-commerce company that employs 5,000 people, tweeted in May that most of them “will permanently work remotely. Office centricity is over.” Walmart’s tech chief told his workers that “working virtually will be the new normal.”

Quora, a question-and-answer site, said last week that “all existing employees can immediately relocate to anywhere we can legally employ them.” Those who do not want to go anywhere can still use the Silicon Valley headquarters, which would become a co-working space. Quora declined to say how many employees it has.

Adam D’Angelo, Quora’s chief executive, said that he and the rest of the leadership team would push against the notion that remote workers were second class by working remotely themselves. All meetings would be virtual. The future of work, he wrote, would be a paradise for the rank and file.

Quora said 60 percent of its workers expressed a preference for remote work, in line with national surveys. In a Morning Consult survey in late May on behalf of Prudential, 54 percent said they wanted to work remotely. In a warning sign for managers, the same percentage of remote workers said they felt less connected to their company.

One very public setback for remote work was at Best Buy, the Minneapolis-based electronics retailer. The original program, which drew national attention, began in 2004. It aimed to judge employees by what they accomplished, not the hours a project took or the location where it was done.

Best Buy killed the program in 2013, saying it gave the employees too much freedom. “Anyone who has led a team knows that delegation is not always the most effective leadership style,” the chief executive, Hubert Joly, said at the time.

Jody Thompson, a co-founder of the program who left Best Buy in 2007 to become a consultant, said the company was doing poorly and panicked. “It went back to a philosophy of ‘If I can see people, that means they must be working,’” she said.

The coronavirus shutdown, which means 95 percent of Best Buy’s corporate campus workers are currently remote, might now be prompting another shift in company philosophy. “We expect to continue on a permanent basis some form of flexible work options,” a spokeswoman said.

Flexible work gives employees more freedom with their schedules but does not fundamentally change how they are managed, which was Ms. Thompson’s goal. “This is a moment when working can change for the better,” she said. “We need to create a different kind of work culture, where everyone is 100 percent accountable and 100 percent autonomous. Just manage the work, not the people.”

But it is also a moment, she acknowledged, when working can change for the worse.

“It’s a crazy time,” Ms. Thompson said. “When you’re a manager, there is a temptation to manage someone harder if you can’t see them. There’s an increase in managers looking at spyware.”

Remote workers might be free of commuting costs, but they are traditionally more vulnerable. Jeffrey Gundlach, who runs the Los Angeles investment firm DoubleLine Capital, said in his monthly webcast that he had started seeing his newly remote staff in a new light.

“I kind of learned who was really doing the work and who was not really doing as much work as it looked like on paper that they might have been doing,” he said. With “some of the supervisory, middle-management people,” he added, “I’m starting to wonder if I really need them.”

At the beginning of the year, the unemployment rate was low and workers had some leverage. All that has been lost, at least for the next year or two. Widespread remote work could consolidate that shift.

“When people are in turmoil, you take advantage of them,” said John Sullivan, a professor of management at San Francisco State University.

“The data over the last three months is so powerful,” he said. “People are shocked. No one found a drop in productivity. Most found an increase. People have been going to work for a thousand years, but it’s going to stop and it’s going to change everyone’s life.”

Innovation, Dr. Sullivan added, might even catch up eventually.

“When you hire remotely, you can get the best talent around and not just the best talent that wants to live in California or New York,” he said. “You get true diversity. And it turns out that affects innovation.”

Mr. Laermer, the public relations executive, is more cautious about the implications of the crisis. In March, when he shut down his office, he anticipated disaster — like what happened on Fridays in 2017, but five times worse.

Instead, things have been pretty good. He even hired a few people he had never met, via Zoom, “and they’ve been phenomenal.”

What changed? Well, the technology, including Zoom, is better. Moreover, “we have rules now,” he said. “You have to be available between 9 a.m. and 5:30 p.m. You can’t use this as child care.”

But he said he was not trying to get out of his office lease.

“Companies are saying working from home is working so well we’re going to let people work from home forever,” he said. “It’s good P.R., and very romantic, and very unrealistic. We’ll be back in the office as soon as there’s a vaccine.”

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Wirecard (WDI TH) +34%
    • Wirecard Assessing Ability to Keep Providing Singapore Services
    • Wirecard‘s North American Unit Hires Bank for Potential Sale
    • Wirecard‘s U.K. Subsidiary Gets Approval to Resume Activity
  • Carnival Plc (POH1 TH) +7.4%
  • Fraport (FRA TH) +2.9%
    • Frankfurt Airport: Weekly Traffic Figures for June 22-28
  • Genmab (GE9 TH) +2.1%
    • Genmab Reports Progress in Tisotumab Vedotin Study
  • Peugeot (PEU TH) +1.9%
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +1.8%
  • Novo Nordisk (NOVC TH) +1.3%
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) +1%
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +1
  • BP (BPE5 TH) +1%
  • SocGen (SGE TH) -0.2%
  • BMW (BMW TH) -0.2%
  • Cancom (COK TH) -0.3%
  • Deutsche Telekom (DTE TH) -0.3%
  • Linde (LIN TH) -0.4%
  • ING (INN1 TH) -0.5%
    • ING Belgium CEO Van Den Eynden to Step Down: Tijd
  • Carl Zeiss Meditec (AFX TH) -0.6%
  • Commerzbank (CBK TH) -0.7%
    • Commerzbank Supervisory Board Cancels Strategy Meeting: DPA
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) -0.7%
  • Shell (R6C TH) -1.5%
    • Shell Warns of Poor Quarterly Results as Virus Hits All Units

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market indications

DAX:
  • Wirecard (WDI TH) +34%
    • Wirecard Assessing Ability to Keep Providing Singapore Services
    • Wirecard‘s North American Unit Hires Bank for Potential Sale
    • Wirecard‘s U.K. Subsidiary Gets Approval to Resume Activity
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) +1.3%
  • Deutsche Wohnen (DWNI TH) +1%
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +0.9%
    • Chip Stocks May Gain After Bullish Guidance From Micron, Xilinx
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) +0.9%
    • Reorganized Syngenta Group Wants to Cut Back on Pesticides
  • BMW (BMW TH) +0.1%
  • Allianz (ALV TH) +0.1%
    • Citi Cautious About Insurer Exposure to SMEs; Cuts Axa, Allianz
  • HeidelbergCement (HEI TH) +0.1%
  • BASF (BAS TH) Flat
  • Deutsche Telekom (DTE TH) -0.1%
MDAX:
  • Varta (VAR1 TH) +8.9%
    • Germany to Grant EU300M Subsidy to Varta in Battery Cell Push
  • Fraport (FRA TH) +2.9%
    • Frankfurt Airport: Weekly Traffic Figures for June 22-28
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +1.9%
  • Siltronic (WAF TH) +1.9%
  • Hugo Boss (BOSS TH) +1.4%
    • Frasers Group Increases Its Investment in Hugo Boss
  • Airbus (AIR TH) +0.2%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +0.1%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) Flat
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) -0.1%
    • Brussels Airlines Delays Restart Long-Haul Flights Until August
  • Commerzbank (CBK TH) -0.2%
    • Commerzbank Supervisory Board Cancels Strategy Meeting: DPA
SDAX:
  • Wacker Neuson (WAC TH) +1.7%
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) +1.2%
  • Salzgitter (SZG TH) +1%
  • Ceconomy (MEO TH) +0.9%
  • Deutsche PBB (PBB TH) +0.9%
  • Steinhoff (SNH TH) +0.4%
  • Schaeffler (SHA TH) +0.3%
  • Borussia Dortmund (BVB TH) +0.3%
  • Norma (NOEJ TH) +0.2%
  • 1&1 Drillisch (DRI TH) +0.1%

FT : The 416 quadrillion reasons why Japan’s supercomputer is number 1

The 416 quadrillion reasons why Japan’s supercomputer is number 1
The great processing might of Fugaku will be focused on parsing earthquakes, weather patterns and coughs

For a good part of last week, the unrivalled highlight of Japanese television — looped on news programmes — was a short computer simulation of a salaryman sitting at his desk and coughing. Its primetime primacy is total: this cough is the Killing Eve of animated expectoration.

The imagined office in the video, like tens of thousands of its real-life equivalents around Japan, appears carefully prepared for the great return to work and new normal of life under Covid-19. The desks are separated by decent physical space and sensible plastic partitions cleave the landscape.

But it is all in vain. As the simulation shows in terrifying particulate detail, while most of the army of droplets released from the cougher’s mouth are blocked by the screens, a crack platoon makes it over the partition, delivering its deadly payload into the neighbouring workspace.

The reason this simulation is so compelling — and why Japan is so enchanted with it — is how it was produced: on a $1bn-plus made-in-Japan machine called Fugaku, whose brisk operating speed of 416 quadrillion calculations per second officially makes it the world’s fastest supercomputer. Fugaku, jointly developed between the Riken institute and Fujitsu, has the same energy demand as a small city, but — at a time when analysing such things has never been so important — it allows us to see why, with agonising molecular accuracy, this health crisis is proving such a tough nut.

Fugaku’s processing pace, clocked at 2.8 times that of the US-built Summit machine it has now unseated, also puts a Japanese supercomputer back in the top slot of the world rankings for the first time since 2011. Covid means Japan can’t host the Olympics this year, but this is a fine lockdown consolation prize.

Leaving aside my fascination with supercomputers, it is important to acknowledge the significance of this achievement and why, for subtle reasons, Japan’s incumbency of the top position (however brief it may be) stands apart from its predecessors. For 27 years, since a team of German and US scientists first began to quantify and rank the power of rival machines around the world, the battle for supercomputer supremacy has had the distinct flavour of a space or arms race — a forum for national muscle-flexing that reflects both ambition and the relative economic and industrial powers of the contestants. In this context, the steady rise of China to numerical dominance of the TOP500 list has felt inevitable.

China, the US and many others take this extremely seriously, not least because several of the biggest supercomputers are unabashedly constructed for use by defence industries. And the TOP500, notes Fugaku’s architect-in-chief Satoshi Matsuoka, lists only the publicly disclosed supercomputers — more are lurking secretly in the private sector. But for Japan, the competition has always felt even more personal: a live index, in many ways, of its undulating global prowess and relevance.

The strength of Japan’s feelings on this — and in particular on the country’s nine-year absence from the No 1 position — are well known. In 2009, when the same Riken institute was working on Fugaku’s predecessor, K, the government of the time was on a post-financial crisis cost-saving drive. The political rising star, Renho Murata, chose to make the huge public funding of the supercomputer her target, judging — entirely wrongly — that the public would be on her side. “Isn’t it good enough to be number two?” she notoriously asked, drawing fierce and prolonged condemnation from all quarters.

But, in private, there was an acknowledgment that she had a point. The hype that preceded K, and the patriotic posturing around it, was much more about its intended occupation of the supercomputing rankings top slot than it was about what it would ultimately do. When it did eventually emerge in 2011, it was so loaded towards power over user friendliness that it never achieved its potential.

Nine years later, Riken and Fujitsu have clearly learnt from that: the triumphalism around Fugaku’s launch is now explicitly about the earthquakes, weather patterns and coughs that it will parse with its great processing might. K was explicitly designed to be number one, said Matsuoka, but Fugaku was not. It was designed to be both user friendly and good at the range of applications it will be called upon to run: it just happens that the process created a giant. Corporate Japan, whose instincts are often far more K than Fugaku, would be wise to take note.

FT : Thyssenkrupp backers improve €7.6bn debt terms after lenders balk

Thyssenkrupp backers improve €7.6bn debt terms after lenders balk
Fund managers had complained that proposed protections were the ‘worst ever seen’

The private equity groups behind the acquisition of Thyssenkrupp Elevators, Europe’s biggest leveraged buyout in a decade, have backed down in a stand-off with bond and loan investors, agreeing to tighten terms of the deal in lenders’ favour.

Advent and Cinven, the private equity firms buying the German liftmaker for €17.2bn, sparked an outcry from high-yield bond and leveraged loan fund managers last week over the proposed terms of €7.1bn of debt finance. 

Several analysts and investors branded the deal’s protections for investors, known as covenants, as the “worst ever seen” on an LBO financing package, given the substantial freedom they gave the private equity owners to pile on extra debt and shift assets away from bondholders.

But Goldman Sachs, which is leading the financing, announced sweeping changes to these terms on Monday, detailing more than 25 covenants that would be strengthened or potential loopholes that would be closed.

At the same time, Thyssenkrupp Elevators is increasing the size of the bond and loan package sold to investors to €7.6bn on the back of €20bn of demand, according to one person with knowledge of the matter. That allows the group of banks that underwrote the deal to sell a €500m piece they had previously planned to hold on their balance sheets.

The euro-denominated secured and unsecured bonds are expected to offer a coupon of 4.5 to 4.75 per cent and 6.75 to 7 per cent respectively — lower borrowing costs than indicated last week.

Advent and Cinven declined to comment.

“Between giving way on covenants and price, they picked covenants,” one adviser said. “You can’t just throw in everything including the kitchen sink and not expect there to be a price for that.”

Covenants have become a battleground between private equity firms and investors in junk-rated debt in recent years. Fund managers have complained that protections that were once common have been steadily whittled away, as issuers have grown confident of selling relatively high-yielding debt without them.

Recently, spats have broken out as businesses have faced financial distress in the wake of the coronavirus crisis, with lenders arguing that controlling shareholders are abusing loopholes in debt documents to allow themselves more flexibility.

Thyssenkrupp Elevators’ original covenant package included a term that would have allowed the owners to move assets into a subsidiary out of the reach of bondholders — mirroring a controversial move by the US retailer J Crew, which in 2016 transferred intellectual property to a shell company. This term has now been removed. 

In addition, a proposed method of calculating the amount of money the business’s owners could strip out in dividends has also been changed after investors complained it allowed Advent and Cinven to select which year’s earnings they used for their benefit. 

“Whoever comes around next time and tries to syndicate with these terms will probably think twice,” said Shweta Rao, senior director at credit research firm Reorg. She welcomed the “pretty extensive” changes but added: “It's still not a tight covenant package; it’s just not as aggressive as it was before.”

Financial data company 9Fin, which specialises in analysing high-yield bond information, described the improvements as “material” and said that they removed a “significant number of the unprecedented elements” of the earlier deal.

US law firm Kirkland & Ellis, which is advising Thyssenkrupp Elevators on the debt deal, has made a name for itself by offering private equity sponsors the greatest flexibility possible from their bond and loan documentation. That has drawn the ire of debt investors.

Kirkland did not immediately reply to a request for comment.

FT : Uber in talks to buy food delivery start-up Postmates

Uber in talks to buy food delivery start-up Postmates
Deal would help speed consolidation of heavily lossmaking US market

Uber is preparing an offer to buy food delivery start-up Postmates, weeks after it was beaten in a race to acquire larger rival Grubhub, according to people briefed about the matter. 

The deal, which has been in the works for several days, could be reached as soon as this week, one of the people said. The proposed terms could not immediately be ascertained.

A tie-up between Uber and Postmates would hasten the long-awaited consolidation of the heavily lossmaking US food delivery market. Demand has surged as coronavirus lockdowns have prompted people to turn to online dining and delivery apps.

One person with direct knowledge of the negotiations said Uber was trying to speed up the process because a private equity buyer was also competing to buy Postmates. 

The takeover interest comes as Postmates appears to be accelerating preparations for a potential initial public offering, which some investors in the company previously said they would prefer to an acquisition. 

It is not uncommon for fast growing start-ups to run a so-called dual track process in the run-up to a listing, which includes evaluating an IPO as well an outright sale. JPMorgan was leading the Postmates IPO process, said people briefed on the matter.

Uber’s move on Postmates follows its failure to reach an agreement to buy another on-demand food player, Grubhub, last month. Grubhub was eventually bought by European company Just Eat Takeaway for $7.3bn in stock.

US meal delivery companies have held intermittent talks about merging for the past year as the sector faces pressure to consolidate and stem losses.

San Francisco-based Postmates, which has about 1,000 employees, was valued at $2.4bn in its last funding round in September 2019.

In addition to restaurant meals Postmates couriers also deliver small goods. The company has provided same-day delivery services for a number of retailers including Apple.

An early mover in the delivery space, launching three years before Uber’s Eats business, Postmates fell behind as well-funded competitors emerged. Now Los Angeles is the only big city in which it is dominant, according to data provider Second Measure.

One reason given for the failed talks between Uber and Grubhub was concern that the deal would not pass regulatory scrutiny over competition. A combination would have created the largest meal delivery app in the US.

Postmates has a far smaller share of the US meal delivery market, with 8 per cent of sales in May versus Grubhub’s 23 per cent, according to Second Measure. 

According to a person involved in the talks, Uber’s acquisition of Postmates would face less regulatory opposition following Grubhub’s combination with Just Eat Takeaway. 

Uber and Postmates declined to comment on the talks, which were first reported by The New York Times.

FT : FCA probes H2O over Windhorst bonds

FCA probes H2O over Windhorst bonds
Move follows parliamentary question lodged by former City minister Paul Myners

The UK’s financial regulator is probing H2O Asset Management’s sale of illiquid bonds and stocks back to controversial German financier Lars Windhorst, adding to the heightened scrutiny of transactions in obscure securities at a former star of the European investment industry.

The Financial Conduct Authority last week confirmed that it was “in active discussions” with H2O over the asset sales, in a letter to Paul Myners, the former City minister. The letter, which came in response to a parliamentary question that Lord Myners lodged earlier this month, also said the FCA continued to engage with other EU regulators “where necessary”.

H2O is a subsidiary of French bank Natixis. It struck the deal to dispose of the hard-to-sell assets in late April, after its flagship bond and foreign exchange funds lost more than half of their value in March when the coronavirus outbreak knocked financial markets.

A Financial Times investigation last year revealed that H2O’s open-ended funds held more than €1bn of hard-to-sell bonds linked to Lars Windhorst, a flamboyant financier with a history of legal troubles. These funds, which are open to retail investors, have regulatory caps on the amount of illiquid assets they can hold.

H2O, which managed about €30bn of assets before its recent run of heavy losses, signed the agreement to sell back these illiquid assets to a new investment vehicle set up by Mr Windhorst. While the FT previously reported that H2O will dispose of the bonds and stock at a discount, the terms of the deal have not been made public.

KPMG, which audits most of H2O’s investment vehicles, has over the past nine months flagged multiple breaches of rules governing open-ended funds linked to these illiquid securities. The ‘Big Four’ audit firm also said last month that it was not able to issue its 2019 audit report for one of H2O’s flagship funds “within the regulatory deadlines”, because it received key information “late”.

Lord Myners previously told the FT that he had concerns about whether the transactions delivered fair value for investors and queried whether H2O may have engaged in cross-trades — transactions which move investments from one client portfolio to another.

“I am pleased that the FCA is reviewing these transactions,” Lord Myners said. “I hope this reflects an intention to put more resources into scrutinising related-party transactions and cross trades in the fund management sector.”

Clients withdrew nearly €8bn from H2O’s funds after the FT published its investigation last June, leaving the fund manager scrambling to reduce its funds’ exposure to the illiquid assets.

The Natixis-backed asset manager told clients it had sold €300m of the bonds by the end of June last year, before being forced to significantly write down the value of the remaining securities. The writedowns included a €1.5bn bond backing Mr Windhorst’s principal investment company, Tennor Holdings, which last summer acquired a minority stake in lossmaking German football club Hertha Berlin.

At the time, H2O co-founder Vincent Chailley told clients that the asset manager was planning to set up a new fund specialising in what he called “deep value” securities — assets that are perceived to be underpriced compared to their true value — and considered placing the controversial bonds in it.

Public records show that in July 2019, the firm registered a new fund called “H2O Deep Value” with €300m assets under management. The fund is not listed on H2O’s website, however, and the firm’s public documentation makes no reference to any asset transfers to the investment vehicle. Bloomberg data show that it held €338m in assets this month.

The French markets regulator, which oversees a number of H2O’s open-ended funds, declined to comment. The FCA, H2O and Mr Windhorst all declined to comment.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 30th of june 2020

>>> Up
* Atlas Copco Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 450 kronor
* Basic-Fit Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* CompuGroup Medical SE & Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 80 euros
* Lundin Energy Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 260 kronor
* Stroeer Raised to Buy at UBS; PT 71 euros
* Trigano PT Raised to 107 euros from 80 euros at Berenberg
* Wolters Kluwer Raised to Neutral at Exane; PT 65 euros

>>> Down
* Allianz Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Axa Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Barry Callebaut Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley
* RELX Cut to Underperform at Exane; PT 1,650 pence
* Scor Raised to Buy at Citi

>>> Initiation
* BIOCARTIS RESUMED BUY (VS UNDER REVIEW) AT BERENBERG, PT EU6.6
* Morgan Sindall Rated New Buy at HSBC; PT 1,400 pence
* Sinch Resumed Hold at Handelsbanken; PT 800 kronor
* Traton Rated New Hold at MainFirst; PT 20 euros
* Volvo Rated New Buy at MainFirst; PT 186 kronor

>>> Call
* AB InBev 2Q Estimates Raised by Citi; Still Cautious on LatAm
* Citi Cautious About Insurer Exposure to SMEs; Cuts Axa, Allianz
* CompuGroup Looks Ready For M&A, Berenberg Upgrades to Buy
* LSE Target Refinitiv Has Undervalued Risk Business: Berenberg