FT : French billionaire Xavier Niel takes activist tack at Unibail-Rodamco

French billionaire Xavier Niel takes activist tack at Unibail-Rodamco
Telecoms boss and real estate investment fund team up to push for change at indebted shopping centre owner

Xavier Niel, the French telecoms billionaire, has teamed up with a well-known real estate investor to buy a 4.1 per cent stake in Europe’s biggest shopping centre operator, Unibail-Rodamco, with the aim of scuppering its forthcoming €3.5bn rights issue.

Mr Niel and Aermont Capital’s founder Leon Bressler, who led Unibail himself for 14 years until 2006, sent a four-page letter to the board on Thursday laying out a broad critique of the company’s strategy and calling for changes. They declared they would vote against the “severely dilutive” and “unnecessary” rights issue and urged others to do the same.

The pair argued that Unibail-Rodamco should instead sell its US property portfolio to pay down its €24bn debt load incurred in the 2018 acquisition of Australian mall operator Westfield. They are also seeking three board seats.

The surprise campaign throws doubt over the shareholder vote on the rights issue on November 10. Unibail-Rodamco needs to win over two-thirds of shareholders to move ahead with the share sale.

It is a key part of the €9bn debt reduction plan announced in September, which the company cast as needed to avoid a ratings downgrade and cope with the fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic. 

In an interview, Mr Niel said Unibail-Rodamco’s current management and board of directors were “acting out of fear” and were “prisoners of a failed strategy” that began with the Westfield acquisition.

“We cannot let this company, which is a European champion, self-destruct,” said Mr Niel, who earned his fortune by creating French telecoms group Iliad.

“The governance of the company does not function properly since none of the directors own significant stakes. We want to be a reference shareholder that can help it rebuild to generate more value.” 

Unibail’s woes highlight the broader challenges for owners of commercial property, and particularly landlords of malls, whose rental income has plummeted as a result of coronavirus.

As Europe grapples with a resurgence of infections and the spectre of new restrictions on business and social life, retailers are struggling to stay afloat, with some seeking to renegotiate cheaper leases. The pandemic has also accelerated the shift to ecommerce, which some investors believe will weaken commercial property companies over time. 

Unibail-Rodamco has been one of the most shorted stocks in Europe since the summer. Nearly 30 per cent of the shares in free float are out on loan to investors betting against the company, according to IHS Markit data on Bloomberg. 

Mr Bressler said that Unibail-Rodamco would be able to weather the downturn triggered by the pandemic because of its strong portfolio of high-end malls in Europe. They include Westfield London, the Carrousel du Louvre in Paris and La Maquinista in Barcelona.

“In a post-Covid world, the best malls in attractive locations will be the big winners,” he said. “It is time to re-establish Unibail again as a pure player focused on Europe and to end its ill-fated adventure in the US where it does not have the critical mass to succeed.”

Aermont’s funds have owned a 2 per cent stake in Unibail since roughly mid-2019. Mr Niel has been a longtime investor in Mr Bressler’s funds but only began building a direct stake in Unibail-Rodamco recently via his personal holding company, NJJ Capital. 

Although Mr Niel and Mr Bressler rejected the term, they are acting much as activist investors do when they buy shares in a company and agitate for changes. They said they reserved the right to buy additional shares in Unibail-Rodamco but would not seek to gain control.

“We are not activists but can’t remain passive any longer,” said Mr Bressler.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades -15th of October 2020

>>> Up
* Aggreko Raised to Hold at Berenberg; PT 410 pence
* Atea Raised to Hold at DNB Markets; PT 110 kroner (+)
* Bunzl PT Raised to 2,971 pence at Deutsche Bank
* Commerzbank Raised to Hold at Grupo Santander; PT 5.49 euros
* ElringKlinger Raised to Hold at Commerzbank; PT 6.50 euros (+)
* Handelsbanken Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 90 kronor
* Huhtamaki Raised to Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 51 euros
* Next Raised to Neutral at Citi; PT 6,300 pence
* Norsk Hydro Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 33 kroner
* SEB Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 94 kronor
* Synairgen to Raise up to GBP80M in Placement at 175p/Share
* TalkTalk Raised to Hold at Jefferies; PT 97 pence
* Wacker Chemie Raised to Buy at DZ Bank; PT 106 euros (+)

>>> Down
* Cellectis ADRs Cut to Neutral at Baird; PT $21
* EasyJet Cut to Neutral at BofA
* Pearson Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 520 pence (+)
* Siemens Gamesa Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 20 euros (+)
* Sika Cut to Reduce at Baader Helvea; PT 241 Swiss francs
* Topdanmark Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 329 kroner
* Vestas Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 820 kroner (+)

>>> Initiation
* Amplifon Rated New Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 35 euros
* Campari Reinstated Neutral at BofA (+)
* Carlsberg AS Reinstated Buy at BofA (+)
* Diageo Reinstated Buy at BofA (+)
* Fevertree Drinks Reinstated Underperform at BofA (+)
* *ENTRA RE-INITIATED AT BUY WITH PT NOK150 AT HANDELSBANKEN
* JD Sports Reinstated Overweight at Barclays; PT 900 pence (+)
* Techstep Rated New Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 7.10 kroner
* TI Fluid Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 325 pence
* VERBIO Vereinigte Rated New Buy at MainFirst; PT 28 euros

>>> Call
* Aggreko Upgraded With Overhangs Largely Played Out: Berenberg
* Amplifon Pricing In Recovery, Has Over-The-Counter Risks: MS
* Bunzl PT Hiked on Covid Boost, Ongoing Resilience: Deutsche Bank (+)
* Goldman Says Tech to Lose Out to Beaten-Down Banks and Autos (+)
* Handelsbanken a European Top Pick at Morgan Stanley, PT Raised
* Heineken, Fevertree Most Exposed to New Covid-19 Measures: Citi (+)
* Mondi’s 3Q Broadly In-Line, Shows Resilience, Jefferies Says (+)
* Next Should Be Structural Online Winner, Citi Raises to Neutral
* Norsk Hydro on Road to Recovery, Upgraded at Deutsche Bank (+)
* Roche Shares May Drop After Weak Legacy Sales: Jefferies (+)
* Sika Valuation Has ‘Gone Too Far, Too Fast,’ Baader Cuts Rating

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) +0.7%
  • TeamViewer (TMV TH) +0.6
  • AstraZeneca (ZEG TH) +0.4%
  • Gerresheimer (GXI TH) +0.3%
  • Sartorius Stedim (56S1 TH) +0.3%
  • BP (BPE5 TH) +0.3%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +0.3%
  • Siemens Healthineers (SHL TH) flat
  • Solvay (SOL TH) flat
  • Salmar (JEP TH) flat
    • Salmar: Icelandic Salmon NOK647m Private Placement Completed
  • Carnival Plc (POH1 TH) -2.2%
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) -2.2%
  • Aroundtown (AT1 TH) -2.2%
  • Renault (RNL TH) -2.3%
    • Renault Bolsters Electric Lineup After Squandering Sales Lead
  • AMS (DQW1 TH) -2.6%
  • Vestas (VWS TH) -2.6%
    • Vestas Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 820 kroner
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) -2.6%
  • Prudential (PRU TH) -2.7%
  • NEL (D7G TH) -3.5%
  • Bank of Ireland (BIRG TH) -5.8%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -0.1%
  • Fresenius SE (FRE TH) -0.3%
  • Deutsche Telekom (DTE TH) -0.3%
    • Huawei Besieged on New European Front After U.S. Targets Cloud
  • Munich Re (MUV2 TH) -0.5%
  • Deutsche Wohnen (DWNI TH) -0.6%
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) -1.5%
  • BASF (BAS TH) -1.6%
  • Daimler (DAI TH) -1.6%
    • Mercedes ‘In Striking Distance’ of Hitting EU CO2 Target in 2020
  • Adidas (ADS TH) -2%
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) -2.4%
MDAX:
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) +0.9%
    • HelloFresh and Just Eat Impress Investors: EMEA Consumer Wrap
  • Gerresheimer (GXI TH) +0.6%
  • Shop Apotheke (SAE TH) +0.5%
  • Grenke (GLJ TH) +0.4%
  • Siemens Healthineers (SHL TH) +0.3%
  • Siltronic (WAF TH) -1.8%
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) -1.8%
  • Duerr (DUE TH) -2%
  • Cancom (COK TH) -2.1%
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) -2.6%
SDAX:
  • Draegerwerk (DRW3 TH) +3.8%
    • Draegerwerk Prelim Third Quarter Ebit About EU127 Mln
  • Global Fashion Group (GFG TH) +2.2%
  • ADVA Optical (ADV TH) +0.8%
  • Dermapharm (DMP TH) +0.3%
  • DIC Asset (DIC TH) +0.2%
  • Jenoptik (JEN TH) -1.4%
  • Deutsche PBB (PBB TH) -1.6%
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) -1.7%
    • Wind Turbine Market Shares, October 2020: BNEF Chart
  • Sixt (SIX2 TH) -2.4%
  • Schaeffler (SHA TH) -3.1%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades -15th of October 2020

>>> Up
* Aggreko Raised to Hold at Berenberg; PT 410 pence
* Bunzl PT Raised to 2,971 pence at Deutsche Bank
* Commerzbank Raised to Hold at Grupo Santander; PT 5.49 euros
* Handelsbanken Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 90 kronor
* Next Raised to Neutral at Citi; PT 6,300 pence
* Norsk Hydro Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 33 kroner
* SEB Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 94 kronor
* Synairgen to Raise up to GBP80M in Placement at 175p/Share
* TalkTalk Raised to Hold at Jefferies; PT 97 pence

>>> Down
* Cellectis ADRs Cut to Neutral at Baird; PT $21
* Sika Cut to Reduce at Baader Helvea; PT 241 Swiss francs
* Topdanmark Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 329 kroner

>>> Initiation
* Amplifon Rated New Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 35 euros
* *ENTRA RE-INITIATED AT BUY WITH PT NOK150 AT HANDELSBANKEN
* Techstep Rated New Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 7.10 kroner
* TI Fluid Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 325 pence
* VERBIO Vereinigte Rated New Buy at MainFirst; PT 28 euros

>>> Call
* Aggreko Upgraded With Overhangs Largely Played Out: Berenberg
* Amplifon Pricing In Recovery, Has Over-The-Counter Risks: MS
* Goldman Downgrades Tech to Neutral, Lifts Banks and Autos to OW
* Handelsbanken a European Top Pick at Morgan Stanley, PT Raised
* Next Should Be Structural Online Winner, Citi Raises to Neutral
* Sika Valuation Has ‘Gone Too Far, Too Fast,’ Baader Cuts Rating

>>> What to look at today - 15th of October 2020

Asian stocks, U.S. and European futures dipped Thursday as investors weighed earnings reports from American banks and fading chances of a stimulus deal in Washington before next month’s presidential election. The dollar and Treasuries ticked higher.
Shares in Hong Kong and South Korea saw the biggest losses, while Chinese stocks outperformed. U.S. shares retreated Wednesday with Wells Fargo & Co. and Bank of America Corp. both falling after disappointing investors. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. outperformed after earnings beat expectations.
Australian bond yields and the local dollar dropped, and stocks pushed higher, after the Reserve Bank of Australia governor said the central bank is considering whether buying longer-dated bonds would spur hiring. The pound steadied as investors awaited more news on Brexit negotiations. The baht dipped with stocks in Thailand after a state of emergency was declared in Bangkok to crack down on anti-government protesters.
US After Hours FSLY -26.6% down sharply as it lowered Q3 rev guidance; VRTX -11.4% drops on clinical news; SNBR +9.4% is no-snooze fest, stock up big on robust earnings

Nikkei -0.56% Hang Seng -1.21% CSI +0.07% Shanghai +0.03% Shenzen -0.35%

Eur$ 1.1755 CNH 6.7141 CNY 6.7207 JPY 105.24 GBP 1.3024 CHF 0.9128 RUB 77.7496 WTI$41.01 -0.07%

S&P -0.15% Nasdaq -0.49% EuroStoxx -0.64% FTSE -0.60% Dax -0.55% SMI -0.49%

Macro :
- Watch French Leisure Stocks as Macron Sets Paris Covid-19 Curfew
- Merkel Warns Germany Won’t Be Able to Afford Second Virus Wave
- France to Go Ahead With Digital Tax, Risking U.S. Tariffs
- Germany’s Scholz Eyes Brexit Breakthrough at ‘the Last Moment’
- France to Reimpose State of Health Emergency: AFP
- Macron Announces Curfew in Major French Cities to Stem Covid
- Berkshire Hathaway Forms Partnership for Italian Bad Debt: Sole

Keep an eye on :
- AAL LN : Anglo American Sees Grosvenor Ops Suspended Until 2H 2021 (1)
- ABN NA : ABN Amro Money Laundering Probe Nears Settlement: Telegraaf
- AC FP : Macron Sets Paris Covid-19 Curfew
- AIR FP : ElringKlinger, Airbus in Venture for Fuel Cell Tech for Aviation
- AIR FP : ElringKlinger builds on high power density of its fuel cell technology to target aviation market
- ALFA SS : Alfa Laval Lowers Acceptance Level for Neles to More Than 50%
- ALE PW : Allegro Cuts Debt by 651.7M Zloty After Refinancing
- AMZN US : EU Antitrust Regulator May Narrow Probe Into Amazon: Reuters
- ATRLJB SS : Atrium Ljungberg Nine Month Rental Income SEK1.79 Bln
- ATL IM : Autostrade Stake Could Cost CDP-Led Group EU8b w/Discount: Sole
- BAYN GY : America’s Soy Farmers Paralyzed by Uncertainty Over Weed Killer
- BMW GY : BMWs Will Be Recalled Over Battery-Fire Risk, Handelsblatt Says
- IAG LN : Marshall Wace Reveals 3% Holding in British Airways Owner IAG
- CA FP : Carrefour Sweetens Bio C’ Bon Offer to EU60M, Les Echos Reports
- DRW3 GY : Draegerwerk Prelim Third Quarter Ebit About EU127 Mln
- ENGI FP : Engie Puts Industrial Maintenance Unit Endel Up for Sale: Echos
- FSLY US ; Fastly Plummets After Tension Over ByteDance Curbs Sales
- FDJ FP : FDJ 3Q Stakes Rise 6% to EU4.4b, Sales Stable at EU0.5b
- LONN SW : Lonza Sees 2023 ‘Double-Digit’ Sales Growth, ROIC
- B4B GY : Metro Raises FY Adjusted Ebitda View, FY Sales Down 5.4.%
- MOWI NO : Mowi Prelim Third Quarter Ebit About EU80 Mln
- NELES FH : Alfa Laval Lowers Acceptance Level for Neles to More Than 50%
- PUB FP : Publicis Narrows Revenue Decline in 3Q, Warns of Tougher 4Q
- REC NO : REC Silicon to Offer Up to NOK1b Shrs, REC Silicon Offering Prices 92.6m Shares at NOK10.80/Share
- REC NO : REC Silicon Property Tax Dispute Settled With Grant County, WA
- RNO FP : Renault Bolsters Electric Lineup After Squandering Sales Lead
- ROG SW : Roche Third Quarter Sales Miss Estimates
- SIE GY : Fluence Buys Advanced Microgrid To Expand Battery Business
- TRVX NO : Targovax Offering Prices 10.3m Shares at NOK7.25/Share
- HO FP : European Moon-Lander Project Pits Airbus Against Thales
- URW NA : Niel, Bressler to Block Unibail Plan to Boost Capital: Figaro
- VIV FP ; Amber Capital Says It Hasn’t Sold Any Lagardere Shares
- VOW GY : Traton Sets Deadline for Navistar Offer at Oct. 16, 6pm CET
- ZIL2 GY : ElringKlinger builds on high power density of its fuel cell technology to target aviation market

WSJ : Publicis Revenue Beats Expectations, but Ad Giant Warns of Challenges

Publicis Revenue Beats Expectations, but Ad Giant Warns of Challenges
Covid-19 could make the fourth quarter very difficult, CEO Arthur Sadoun says

Madison Avenue has taken a beating as advertisers have slashed budgets amid the global pandemic, but the third quarter offered some improvement for one of the world’s largest ad holding companies.

At Paris-based Publicis Groupe SA, organic revenue—a key industry measure that strips out currency effects, acquisitions and disposals—fell 5.6% in the quarter compared with the prior year, the company reported. The decline represents an improvement from the 13% drop in the second quarter.

Publicis has captured business from clients shifting budgets to digital media and commerce, Chief Executive Officer Arthur Sadoun said in an interview.

And despite the massive disruption to the global economy this year, revenue from the company’s top 200 clients, which account for about 60% of its total revenue, hasn’t fallen, but increased—nearly 1% year-to-date, he said.

That doesn’t mean the crisis is over for the company, which owns ad agencies including Leo Burnett Worldwide and Saatchi & Saatchi Group Ltd.

“Things are very very uncertain and with the resurgence of the virus, Q4 might be very difficult,” said Mr. Sadoun. In its earnings report, the company warned that results in the final quarter could be worse than in the third.

If there are lockdowns during the holidays, for example, it will be difficult to anticipate the blow to the ad business and its clients, said Mr. Sadoun.

Pockets of strength amid declines
Publicis reported net revenue of €2.3 billion, equivalent to $2.7 billion, down from €2.6 billion in the year-ago period.

Organic revenue in North America declined 3% in the third quarter, compared with the period a year earlier, the company said. Elsewhere it fared worse: organic revenue fell by 9% in Europe, 11% in the Middle East and Africa and 14.8% in Latin America.

The company beat analyst expectations of a decrease in organic revenue of 8.27%, according to FactSet.

Top-spending sectors in the ad business, including travel, fast food, retailers and automotive, have slashed ad budgets in recent months as they have struggled with homebound consumers and manufacturing difficulties.

“It’s a mixed bag of clients with some investing more and some less,” said Mr. Sadoun.

The two categories that have hurt Publicis’s revenue most this year are automotive and financial services, said Mr. Sadoun. Categories offsetting some of those declines include health care and consumer packaged goods, he said.

Earlier this year, many ad businesses began hiring freezes and drastically cut expenses. Publicis withdrew its financial guidance and said it would reduce costs by €500 million this year. Rival Interpublic Group of Cos. also withdrew its full-year financial performance targets.

Publicis is still on track to cut costs by €500 million this year, said Mr. Sadoun.

FT : France and Netherlands join forces to back EU move against tech giants

France and Netherlands join forces to back EU move against tech giants
Joint position paper says breaking up large companies is ‘on the table’

US tech giants are facing the threat of an EU attempt to break them up after France and the Netherlands jointly issued a call for the bloc’s competition authorities to take pre-emptive measures as they prepare sweeping legislation to curb the companies’ market power. 

Cedric O, France’s digital minister, and Mona Keijzer, the Netherlands state secretary for digital affairs, have signed a position paper calling on regulators in Brussels to take swift action against emerging tech giants and existing “gatekeeper” platforms — including options to break them up. 

Proponents of curbing the power of Big Tech argue that structural separation of big platforms would diminish their dominant position and help smaller rivals thrive.

The paper urges regulators to explore measures including forcing the likes of Facebook and Apple to allow their users to take their private data to a competing platform or banning companies such as Google from promoting their own services at the expense of smaller rivals. 

Paris and The Hague have traditionally held divergent views on how to regulate the tech industry, with the French government leading the push for stringent laws against everything from illegal content to strict data protection measures. 

The Netherlands has historically taken a more liberal approach, but has joined a call for tough enforcement of competition rules to prevent tech giants favouring their own services to crowd out rivals and “entrench” their market dominance.

Ms Keijzer said regulators should aim for rules that prevent platforms from becoming “too big” in the first place. But added: “Breaking up big companies can be a possibility.”

“Breaking up [companies] is on the table. But this is the ultimate remedy,” said Mr O. “France and the Netherlands have different cultures and come from different positions. But we have a common interest, from a sovereignty point of view, from a competition point of view to regulate tech players.” 

The push from the capitals comes as Brussels is drawing up landmark new rules on regulating large online platforms, particularly big US companies.

EU regulators are setting criteria that would mean up to 20 companies, including Facebook and Google, would be hit with new and far tougher rules. 

Senior figures inside the European Commission, the executive body of the EU, have also been vocal about the need to restrain Big Tech. France’s EU commissioner Thierry Breton has warned Brussels will consider breaking up large platforms or even force them to sell units in extreme circumstances.

Regulators in Brussels are increasingly ambitious about clamping down on Big Tech. The EU is working on an overhaul of internet rules as part of the Digital Services Act, which will seek to legislate on illegal content, ad transparency and disinformation.

Separately, Brussels is also drafting legislation for the Digital Markets Act, which will include rules against anti-competitive behaviour, removing the need for lengthy antitrust investigations that sometimes take too long and often achieve very little. 

France and the Netherlands have clashed over significant EU policy issues in recent months, including how far to fund the bloc’s upcoming long-term budget and the financing of a €750bn Covid-19 recovery fund. However, they have found agreement in other areas, including a push for tough environmental standards in EU trade deals and joint demands to protect the bloc’s single market from foreign subsidised companies. 

Ms Keijzer said the countries’ alignment on Big Tech was a sign they were willing to meet each other “halfway” in their demands for the Digital Services Act. Mr O said the joint position on technology regulation was a clear indication of both countries’ support for the EU’s efforts to curb the power of Big Tech.