>>> Asian Update

Asia Market Update: Asian indices decline into month-end; Nasdaq FUTs drop amid large-cap tech earnings (Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Facebook); Chinese banks will continue to report earnings (including ICBC and Bank of China); AUD and CNH rise

General Trend:
-Consumer stocks weigh on the markets in Australia; Financial and commodity-related firms rise; AMP rises over 21% after receiving takeover proposal
- Topix Pharma, Securities and Electric Appliances indices decline amid earnings out of Japan; Kyocera drops after its financial results, Fanuc rises over 4%
- Shanghai Composite traded generally flat during the morning session; IT index rises over 1.5%
- Tech firms also rise in Hong Kong, Financials decline ahead of upcoming earnings
- LG Chemical declines, shareholders approved plan to spin-off battery unit
- Offshore Yuan (CNH) trades higher into month-end; AUD rises ahead of next week’s RBA decision (Tuesday, Nov 3rd)
- BoJ might release its Nov bond buying plan after the market close
- Companies expected to report during the NY morning include Chevron, Goodyear, Honeywell, Lear Corp, LyondellBasell, Altria, Newell Brands, Phillips 66, Under Armour, Exxon

Headlines/Economic Data
Australia/New Zealand
-ASX 200 opened +0.2%
- (AU) Australia Sept Private Sector Credit M/M: 0.1% v 0.1%e; Y/Y: 2.0% v 2.0%e
- (AU) Australia Q3 PPI Q/Q: +0.4% v -1.2% prior; Y/Y: -0.4% v -0.4% prior
- (AU) Australia State Queensland to keep borders closed to Sydney and Victoria; To open border to rest of New South Wales on Nov 3rd
- (AU) Australia sells A$2.0B v A$2.0B indicated in 1.50% June 2031 bonds, avg yield 0.8498% v 0.9395% prior, bid to cover 4.7x v 4.9x prior
- (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ): Will seek to purchase NZ$870M v NZ$880M prior in government bonds next week

China/Hong Kong
-Hang Seng opened -0.2%, Shanghai Composite +0.2%
- (CN) China NDRC Official: NDRC will set quantitative indicators for next 5 years based on proposals from leaders, to propose numeric targets for next 5 years; To improve policy adjustments beyond economic cycles
- (CN) China Science Min Wang: Tech Innovation is Vital for China 'Dual Circulation' model
- (CN) China Communist Party Plenary 5-year plan said to stick with strategy of boosting domestic demand; No mention of GDP growth; officials only stress the quality of growth - Chinese press
- (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 6.7232 v 6.7260 prior
- (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY100B in 7-day reverse repos v Injects CNY140B in 7-day reverse repos prior; Net inject CNY30B v Net inject CNY90B prior

Japan
-Nikkei225 opened flat
- *(JP) JAPAN SEPT PRELIMINARY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: 4.0% V +3.0%E; Y/Y: -9.0% V -9.8%E [Japan government said the Sept data was supported by increased production of cars, car parts and production machinery]
- *(JP) JAPAN OCT TOKYO CPI Y/Y: -0.3% V -0.1%E; CPI (ex-fresh food) Y/Y: -0.5% v -0.5%e [Core CPI (ex-fresh food) was +0.1% after taking out effects of subsidized travel program]
- *(JP) JAPAN SEPT JOBLESS RATE: 3.0% V 3.1%E
- (JP) JAPAN SEPT ANNUALIZED HOUSING STARTS: 815K V 823KE; Y/Y: -9.9% V -8.6%E
- (JP) Japan Government Spokesman: Not considering third extra budget 'in detail yet', reiterates will not hesitate to take steps to help the economy

Korea
-Kospi opened -0.3%
- *(KR) SOUTH KOREA SEPT INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: +5.4% V 3.1%E; Y/Y: 8.0% V 1.3%E (Y/Y highest since Feb)
- (KR) Korea National Pension Service (NPS): To increase its holdings in 'FX Havens' in order to reduce risk

North America
- Apple [AAPL]: CFO: confirms not issuing specific Q1 Rev guidance – earnings call
- Apple [AAPL]: Q4 $0.73 v $0.69e, Rev $64.7B v $63.4Be; iPhone Rev $26.4B v $33.4B y/y v $27.9Be
- (US) US said to report > 86,000 new daily coronavirus cases on Thursday [Oct 29th] (record high)

Europe
- *(EU) ECB LEAVES 7-DAY MAIN REFINANCING RATE UNCHANGED AT 0.00%; AS EXPECTED; maintains size and timing of Pandemic Bond Buying Fund program
- (EU) ECB chief Lagarde: did not discuss any policy changes today; reiterates council unanimously agreed on recalibrating instruments at Dec meeting - Q&A

Levels as of 1:20 ET
- Nikkei 225, -1.2%, ASX 200 -0.6% , Hang Seng -0.7%; Shanghai Composite -0.1% ; Kospi -1.5%
- Equity S&P500 Futures: -1.5%; Nasdaq100 -1.9%, Dax -0.9%; FTSE100 -0.6%
- EUR 1.1694-1.1668 ; JPY 104.63-104.36 ; AUD 0.7056-0.7021 ;NZD 0.6644-0.6619
- Gold +0.4% at $1,875/oz; Crude Oil +0.5% at $36.36/brl; Copper +0.5% at $3.0737/lb

Business Of Fashion : Can ‘New Bottega’ Balance Hype, Heritage and Rapid Growth?

Can ‘New Bottega’ Balance Hype, Heritage and Rapid Growth?
Amid surging sales, Bottega Veneta needs to keep up the momentum without losing its discreet charm. CEO Bartolomeo Rongone talks exclusively to BoF about the reinvention of the Italian heritage brand and where it’s headed from here.

PARIS, France — When rappers Kanye West, Stormzy and Skepta roll up to a fashion event, brands are typically hoping their presence will generate a social media frenzy. Not so at Bottega Veneta's latest ready-to-wear presentation in October, where photographers only had a brief glimpse of the stars on their way into a closed-door "salon" at London’s Sadler’s Wells theatre. Posting about the event was strictly banned, at least until the brand shows its collection to the public later in November.

Not that there's been any shortage of posts about Bottega Veneta's clutches, intrecciato cross-body bags and boots in recent weeks: even with the brand opting out of this season's Milan Fashion Week, the popularity of its looks among fashion editors, influencers and "It" girls drove social media publicity valued at $27.2 million on US-based accounts alone during the third quarter, consultancy Tribe Dynamics said.

Bottega Veneta is on a roll after the brand burst back into fashion's spotlight last year thanks to designer Daniel Lee's "Pouch" handbags, square-toed pumps and belted trench-coats. After years of strictly limiting the marketing of its logo-free products, the brand is trying to strike a new balance between pleasing its base of "stealth wealth" shoppers — loyal clients who prefer the understated clout conveyed by items only recognisable to people in the know — and a push to expand brand awareness among younger clients who favour a sharper, social media-friendly image.

Parent company Kering's bet that they can have it both ways is working so far: in the third quarter, sales were up 22 percent year on year, even as the coronavirus had most luxury brands reeling. Even absent a pandemic, the figures would have been highly impressive, both for the previously unknown designer, hired from Phoebe Philo's former studio at LVMH's Céline, and for a staid brand whose growth had mostly stalled since it surpassed €1 billion in annual revenue in 2013.

Speaking the day after Kering released its latest financial results, Chief Executive Bartolomeo "Leo" Rongone, who moved to Bottega last year after serving as chief operating officer of the group's Saint Laurent unit for seven years, attributed its newfound success to the clarity of Daniel's vision and its popularity among influential clients who are "magnifying" the message online.

While accessories remain the core proposition, the brand has recontextualised its signature “intrecciato” (basket-woven) leather goods, situating those bags in a wardrobe complete with shoes, ready-to-wear and jewellery.

"With Daniel's arrival, we moved from a single product to a silhouette, and an attitude," Rongone said. "The financial results are a consequence of that vision."

The brand returned to growth last year, with sales rising 2.2 percent to nearly €1.2 billion, excluding currency shifts. Operating profit declined amid increased investments in marketing as well creating a new design studio in Milan.

In some ways, Bottega Veneta's revamp has run opposite the current of what's supposed to make a brand work today. Luxury clients entering the market these days have been more attracted than ever to logo-driven propositions from the biggest brands, but Bottega Veneta was a rare exception, growing faster this past quarter than behemoths like Kering stable-mate Gucci or LVMH's fashion division, which includes Louis Vuitton and Christian Dior. And, in a handbag market dominated by styles with long straps that free the hands for texting, Lee's breakout item has been "the Pouch," a clutch in pillowy cinched leather without a solitary strap from which to dangle it (the brand did add a golden chain to some models this year).

On the other hand, Bottega Veneta's newfound success is a textbook turnaround for parent company Kering, which has honed a winning playbook for rebooting the luxury brands in its stables. Starting with Saint Laurent, then Gucci and Balenciaga, the Paris-based group's designer-CEO duos like to hit the market loud and fast, and accelerate from there. The labels revamped their runway collections, brand images and commercial products in a rapid burst, before progressively rolling out a corresponding store concept to keep the momentum going.

The group has reshaped the role of designer from "person who designs ready-to-wear collections" to a sort of branding tsar, whose vision infuses everything from social media posts to store decor to commercial products (perhaps most important, as some runway chiefs take little ownership over the bread-and-butter merchandise their brands actually sell).

Despite working for big and established brands, Kering’s creative directors have managed to deliver head-to-toe concepts more in line with what you'd expect from one of fashion's designer-founders. That every product Kering's flagship brand Gucci sells, and every image the house publishes, should ultimately bear the stamp of creative director Alessandro Michele might not sound like a revolution, but it was.

At the old Bottega Veneta, a laser-focus on its suite of logo-free yet recognisable intrecciato bags had driven a roughly 30-fold increase in sales under designer Tomas Maier since Kering, then called PPR, acquired control of the brand along with Gucci in 2001. The brand's emphasis on highly profitable leather goods and limited marketing expenses — discretion being the appeal — pushed its operating margin as high as 32 percent, close to that of much larger French rival Hermès.

But eventually the brand's appeal with new clients waned, and after several years of stagnant sales and slipping margins designer Tomas Maier exited the company in 2018.

If Bottega Veneta wanted to win over the next generation of fashion tastemakers, it needed to credibly branch into other product categories and could no longer rely on top-priced, large intrecciato handbags and $400 wallets (Maier had designed ready-to-wear, but the collections were scarcely commercialised). It also needed to find a way to make its logo-free designs a part of the fashion conversation online — not an easy feat for strips of leather on a six-inch smartphone screen.

Since his runway debut in February 2019, Lee's designs have been eye-catching enough to carry a show, but when taken product-by-product featured no shortage of eminently wearable, saleable items. His vision: sleek yet tactile, minimal but warm, with novelty products that nonetheless maintained a strong connection to the houses' existing codes, gave Bottega the jumpstart it needed.

"His vision is not only bold, it's immediate and pure," Rongone said.

Lee celebrated the house code of intrecciato, but didn't treat it as sacred: where Maier had privileged orderly, thin strips of leather, Lee magnified the pattern into chunky stripes, criss-crossed them like challah bread, or swapped out the leather for puffer-coat quilted nylon.

"He took the discretion and the intrecciato and injected an incredible amount of creativity to this base," Rongone said.

This season, the brand's breakout item hasn't been a bag but rather its "Tire" boot — a thick-soled Chelsea style that seems to land somewhere between a combat boot and wellington. The brand has also ramped up its selection of knitwear, belts and jewellery.

Bottega didn't just diversify its offer — the brand also ramped up its visibility at break-neck speed. From the earliest days of the reboot, starting in summer 2019, scores of the industry’s most popular influencers and fashion editors raced to adopt the look dubbed #NewBottega online, enticed by photogenic products as well as the narrative that Lee had taken up the mantle for intelligent wardrobe dressing from Phoebe Philo.

Some of the fans were also enticed, no doubt, by a PR gifting programme that contrasted sharply with Bottega's conservative past. (The brand declined to comment on whether the gifting was a large-scale initiative.)

Purchased full-price or not, the brand's bags, shoes and chunky jewellery rapidly became wardrobe staples in the new influencer aesthetic, slipping in seamlessly with their belted blazers and trenches, cropped pants and plain T-shirts. That look has increasingly resonated among shoppers who want to look put-together, but not too dressed up, with a chicer, more discreet bent than Gucci's colourful maximalism or the ironic fashion of Vetements.

Bottega's newfound visibility is now driving sales to a younger generation who had previously been unaware of or uninterested by the brand. Clients below 40 years old now make up around 60 percent of sales, versus less than half last year, Kering said in a presentation last week.

Those younger consumers are the key to growth. Last year, sales to millennials and Gen-Z accounted for all of the luxury industry's growth, according to Bain. And, as those consumers are often highly connected online, they can feed a virtuous cycle as interest in the brand trickles from top bloggers to a wider cast of influential consumers who are willing to post for free. On China's Little Red Book social network, a favourite hub for the selfie-prone shoppers known as "Key Opinion Consumers," a brand hashtag that translates as "BVlovecenter" was used 400,000 times.

Even during lockdowns, when stores were shut, sales associates kept getting orders from new clients who had tracked down their contact details through friends, Rongone said.

While he's welcomed the flood of new consumers, Rongone says the brand is also focused on building loyalty. It rebranded the collections typically referred to as "Pre-Fall" and "Pre-Spring" as a series of "Wardrobes," with the intention that clients should be able to build up a Bottega Veneta silhouette by adding new items each cycle. In the brand's stores, bolder statement pieces are still balanced out by plenty of muted, if refreshed, options to cater to the tastes of long-standing clients.

"It's very coherent," Rongone said. "Daniel isn't changing things just to change."

With more frequent aesthetic revamps the norm, "we worry less now about alienating an established base," Linda Fargo, senior vice president and womenswear director at Bergdorf Goodman, said. "Whether the excitement and sales momentum is sustainable is what we all hold our breath and hope for."

So far, she isn't worried. "After just seeing his Spring collection, we are further reassured that this reset isn’t ephemeral," Fargo said.

Social media and search data also indicate that demand for the new look remains robust. In the US, the brand's earned media value is up 166 percent this year, compared with an average 27 percent gain for the top-10 luxury fashion brands, according to Tribe Dynamics. Fashion aggregator Lyst said searches for Bottega bags in 3Q were up 89 percent, versus a 31 percent increase for handbags overall.

But just how far and how fast does Bottega Veneta plan to go? Kering has said it plans to keep growing Bottega mostly by updating rather than adding to its existing fleet of 264 stores. An opening in Miami's Design District last autumn was the first store to be renovated to reflect Lee’s new concept, before coronavirus put such projects largely on hold.

The brand is set to resume the rollout soon, with a store in Omotesando, Tokyo reopening in January, targeting a "more joyous" atmosphere and playing up ties to the Venice region with signatures like palladiana terrazzo flooring.

Other initiatives include moving its e-commerce operations in-house early next year, which will facilitate ramping up omnichannel services and distance sales (leaning into the one-to-one distance service store associates had been doing during the coronavirus lockdowns).

Kering CEO François-Henri Pinault said he was counting on Rongone's "passion and energy to realise the full potential of the new creative force at Bottega Veneta."

Rongone said he was confident in keeping up the momentum, but neither he nor Kering would provide details of the scale or pace of growth they're targeting at Bottega Veneta over the longer term.

One hint could be Rongone's track record at Saint Laurent, however, where sales never exploded as at Gucci, but steadily climbed by double-digits under CEO Francesca Bellettini for as many as 38 consecutive quarters from 2010 to 2019. Another could be Bottega Veneta's long-standing strategy of positioning itself as a sort of Italian Hermès — even if that comparison is one the current team no longer employs.

"Things have changed, but Hermès is probably still in the back of the mind of the management team," Thomas Chauvet, analyst at Citi Bank said. That could imply a more moderate approach to scaling up than parent company Kering has taken at Gucci and Balenciaga. "I don't think they're expecting a Gucci-style renaissance," Chauvet said. "It's going to be a slower evolution."

The pre-Lee stagnation also underscored the need for more aggressive marketing. "Brand awareness was not high enough" for the Bottega Veneta, which hasn't been internationally famous for as long as some rivals, Chauvet said.

Asked whether the surging sales and popularity could undermine the brand's long-standing reputation for discretion, Rongone said, "Our values remain the same whether Bottega Veneta is in the spotlight or not."

"I don’t think there is a risk of brand trivialisation on the horizon — on the contrary," Luca Solca, analyst at Bernstein, said. "Even taking into account the faster competitive tempo in the industry, this should propel Bottega Veneta for quite a few years more.”

WWD : LVMH Seen Driving Tiffany More Upscale

LVMH Seen Driving Tiffany More Upscale
Luxury analysts say the French group is likely to "re-enchant" the brand with renewed stores, products and leadership.

Now that the war of words is over with Tiffany & Co., and the luxury sector’s biggest acquisition is on its way to being rubber-stamped, the real work begins for the jeweler’s soon-to-be new owner, LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton.

That work is likely to involve new leadership, boutique upgrades and plenty more luxury razzmatazz.

So say equity analysts and others polled in the wake of Thursday’s news that LVMH and Tiffany had agreed on new deal terms and ditched their rancorous legal proceedings against each other. The firms jointly announced they had “concluded an agreement modifying certain terms of their initial agreement” and a new purchase price of $131.50 in cash per share, versus an original offer of $135.

The truce paves the way for the French group — which has revved up Dior, Fendi, Loewe, Bulgari and other brands — to try its hand at one of America’s most iconic names, synonymous with diamonds, blue gift boxes, Audrey Hepburn — and breakfast.

“LVMH is a master at selling perceived exclusivity to the masses,” said Luca Solca, senior research analyst, global luxury goods at Bernstein. “This, I expect, will be the most important contribution that LVMH can bring to Tiffany.”

In Solca’s view, Tiffany harbors the same potential it did in November 2019, when LVMH launched its original $16.2 billion takeover bid, but the current leadership “falls short on executing on this mission, and behaved sometimes in the past too much as a mass-market retailer.”

“It would seem natural that LVMH may appoint a new leader for the business down the road,” Solca said, also adding that, “Tiffany probably needs stronger specialist design talent in jewelry.”

Its current chief artistic director, Reed Krakoff, spent most of his career in fashion and leather goods, having been the head of a namesake fashion house, which closed in 2015, and the longtime president and executive creative director for Coach. Krakoff has been productive during his time at Tiffany. In addition to reimagining and expanding on the jeweler’s signature “T” collection, he introduced The Blue Box Cafe, added three distinct high-jewelry collections; introduced Tiffany Paper Flowers, which runs from fine to high jewelry, and launched the brand’s first comprehensive men’s offering.

According to Solca, LVMH is likely to update the design jewelry offer, rejuvenate timepiece collections, rationalize and improve the physical retail network, improve digital execution and update brand communications.

“I believe LVMH has what it needs to potentially enhance Tiffany’s fortunes,” he concluded.

One source familiar with LVMH said it is likely to drive Tiffany more upscale and “re-enchant the brand” by improving product desirability and customer service while revamping stores and sharpening the American company’s messaging.

As for a potential leader from a group that tends to promote from within, the source named only one: Michael Burke, chairman and chief executive officer of Louis Vuitton, LVMH’s flagship and cash-cow brand.

“It takes someone who knows America very well because the organizational structure is way different than in Europe,” the source said.

Long a key protégé of Bernard Arnault, Burke started his career with the French business titan in 1980, working at various of his holdings before joining Dior in the U.S., ultimately becoming president. He was president of Louis Vuitton’s U.S. operations for four years before returning to Paris in 1997 as Dior’s executive vice president.

He has also been the ceo of Fendi, and was briefly the ceo of Bulgari shortly after LVMH snapped up the Roman jeweler in 2011 for 3.7 billion euros.

During his tenure at Vuitton, Burke has put a strong focus on watches and jewelry, recruiting the high-profile designer Francesca Amfitheatrof for the role of artistic director of those categories in 2018. Before that, she headed the jewelry design team at Tiffany.

While HSBC analyst Erwan Rambourg said Tiffany’s current management is strong and has improved the company, he, too, expects changes in leadership.

Tiffany will also have a change in outlook under LVMH, which Rambourg said can develop the brand for “the next generation, not the next quarter.”

“What LVMH will bring is a sense of urgency, a sort of intensity of management and obviously phenomenal financial means,” he said. “The positioning is right at Tiffany, there’s nothing wrong at Tiffany. What’s underdeveloped is this sort of in-your-face presence the brand should be having. It’s sort of neither here nor there, it’s not a small brand, it’s not a megabrand. I think the mission for LVMH is to make it a megabrand.

“Look at Vuitton 10 years ago and look at what it’s become today,” Rambourg said. “It was a big brand, now it’s become completely unavoidable. I think LVMH has the power to make that happen at Tiffany.”

In announcing their truce on Thursday, Tiffany and LVMH assumed a conciliatory tone.

“We are very pleased to have reached an agreement with LVMH at an attractive price and to now be able to proceed with the merger,” Roger Farah, chairman of the board of Tiffany, said in a statement. “The board concluded it was in the best interests of all of our stakeholders to achieve certainty of closing.”

Bernard Arnault, president and ceo of LVMH and one of the industry’s most formidable dealmakers, commented: “This balanced agreement with Tiffany’s board allows LVMH to work on the Tiffany acquisition with confidence and resume discussions with Tiffany’s management on the integration details. We are as convinced as ever of the formidable potential of the Tiffany brand and believe that LVMH is the right home for Tiffany and its employees during this exciting next chapter.”

Tiffany’s current ceo, Alessandro Bogliolo, added: “We continue to believe in the power and value of the Tiffany brand and the compelling long-term strategic and financial benefits of this combination.”

Regulatory hurdles have already been cleared, and the deal is expected to close in early 2021, subject to Tiffany shareholder approval and customary closing conditions.

The denouement puts an end to uncertainties that were seen as harmful to Tiffany as it faces its most critical quarter in the calendar year, and allows LVMH to prevail in the largest acquisition in the luxury sector with a discount of about 420 million euros.

That discounted price doesn’t factor in the 58-cent dividend Tiffany will pay per share next month. (The fact that the jeweler kept to its long-held practice of paying dividends in good times and bad through the pandemic was one of many points that irked LVMH as the legal battle played out.)

Extra caution was taken to make sure there’s little to no wiggle room in the revised deal.

“We wound up with a better prenup than Melania,” said one source close to Tiffany, referring to President Trump’s marriage agreement to First Lady Melania Trump.

The source said Tiffany remained very confident in its legal case and that it was not being pressured by shareholders when LVMH reached back out to start negotiations back up.

A fuller and on-the-record retelling of how the negotiations resumed and proceeded should be revealed as the regulatory paperwork is updated, fleshing out the merger and acquisition case study that is Tiffany vs. LVMH.

What has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission so far shows an effort to put all the wrangling into the past with changes to the termination provisions and a set schedule of how the two parties will stay in touch between now and closing, which can’t happen before Jan. 7.

And if somehow things do go off the rails, the purchase price could conceivably snap back to the original level.

“In the event that registrant [Tiffany] brings any claim, litigation, or other similar proceeding to enforce the terms of the amended merger agreement or for money damages, the ‘per share merger consideration’ will be deemed, for all purposes in such proceeding, including any award of specific performance or damages, to be $135 in cash,” Tiffany said in a regulatory filing.

Morgan Stanley analysts were sanguine if the deal had derailed. “Tiffany offers interesting opportunities for LVMH, but is not a ‘must do transaction’, among other reasons because of LVMH’s strong opportunities with its existing portfolio of 70 brands,” the investment firm said in a recent research report, noting that Tiffany’s enterprise value represents only about 7 percent of LVMH’s market capitalization.

WSJ : H-1B Visa Lottery Could Be Replaced With Salary-Based Selection

H-1B Visa Lottery Could Be Replaced With Salary-Based Selection
The U.S. Department of Homeland Security is proposing replacing the program with one that gives priority to the jobs with the highest wages

The U.S. Department of Homeland Security has proposed to effectively replace H-1B visa lottery. The government awards 85,000 new H-1B visas to foreign workers a year, through a process of random selection, and demand has consistently outnumbered supply. The Trump administration is proposing replacing the selection process with one that gives priority to the jobs with the highest salaries.

KEY TAKEAWAYS
1. Entry-level workers would be less likely to qualify for visas under the proposal.
Visas would be awarded to applicants at the highest wage level of their given occupation within a particular geographic region, under the proposal. The government calculates four wage levels for each occupation in a given region, and employers are required to pay salaries at or above those levels based on their visa worker’s job experience. This would almost guarantee that no applicants ranked at wage level one—roughly entry-level workers—would qualify for visas. DHS offered an alternative that would keep a lottery-like system but give foreign professionals at higher wage levels an increased chance of winning.

2. The administration says the H1-B program artificially depresses wages.
It has long argued that the current program allows employers to hire foreign workers at lower salaries. Administration officials say that awarding visas to foreign professionals who would earn the highest salaries in their fields would create upward pressure on the market overall. “The current use of random selection to allocate H-1B visas makes it harder for businesses to plan their hiring, fails to leverage the H-1B program to truly compete for the world’s best and brightest, and hurts American workers by bringing in relatively lower-paid foreign labor at the expense of the American workforce,” said Acting DHS Deputy Secretary Ken Cuccinelli.

3. Business groups and immigration advocates have criticized the proposal.
“This proposal will significantly disrupt the operations of many businesses by denying them access to the talent they need to grow and create jobs,” said Jon Baselice, executive director of immigration policy at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.

4. The administration has made a series of changes to restrict access to the H1-B program.
In June, the Trump administration tried to block all new H-1B visa holders from coming to the U.S. this fall, when the visas are typically awarded each year, but the temporary ban was lifted by a federal court earlier this month. Additionally, earlier this month, the administration released rules that would significantly raise the salaries employers must pay their visa workers and restrict the sorts of degrees and occupations that qualify applicants for the H-1B. Those rules are being challenged in at least three separate lawsuits by business groups and universities, who say the new rules would stifle economic growth by limiting the pool of talent companies and research institutions can draw from.

5. The proposal comes days before the U.S. presidential election.
A government official involved in enacting the new rule said the Trump administration plans to complete the policy before the end of the president’s first term, so that it will take effect before the next registration period opens in March 2021. If elected, former vice president Joe Biden could choose to reverse the policy, though his views on it aren’t known.

FT : LVMH/Bernard Arnault: toast at Tiffany’s

LVMH/Bernard Arnault: toast at Tiffany’s
In the end, the jeweller’s shareholders get almost the price they bargained for

Bernard Arnault is known as “the wolf in cashmere”. He resembles a lamb in Lycra after his acrimonious renegotiation of LVMH’s takeover of Tiffany. The French luxury conglomerate has cut its purchase price by less than 3 per cent, slightly less than $500m. This smacks of face saving for the tycoon. Other acquirers who hoped to rejig deals in response to coronavirus will think twice now.

LVMH argued in court papers seeking to annul the acquisition that the New York jeweller was a “highly profitable luxury brand [that] no longer exists”. The assertion was incorrect. But nor is Tiffany worth the $16.6bn LVMH agreed to pay a year ago. 

Mr Arnault misread the resolve of the jeweller and the strength of Delaware takeover law. His campaign even dragged in the French government, which wrote a much-ridiculed letter arguing the deal should be delayed. In the end, Tiffany shareholders get almost the price they bargained for. Mr Arnault’s Machiavellian image is diminished accordingly.

On occasion, buyers and sellers agree to walk away from deals or lower the price. Delaware corporate law courts have virtually never allowed a company to argue a so-called “materially adverse effect” should get them off the hook.

Mr Arnault’s hard line was curious. First, LVMH is a huge conglomerate with an enterprise value of more than $250bn. It can easily absorb Tiffany, even at a bloated price.

Second, LVMH chased Tiffany lustily because the jeweller boosts its portfolio in the area of “hard goods”. That remains true even in a pandemic. Tiffany sales have improved sharply since March. Year on year they are only slightly weaker. Strength in China is offsetting the lacklustre US.

It is hard to shake the suspicion that a consummate dealmaker suffered an uncharacteristic attack of buyer’s remorse. His capitulation will delight hedge funds who bought Tiffany stock as low as $114 a share this year, implying a 15 per cent upside. Mr Arnault now has an incentive to integrate Tiffany so profitably that fans will agree he got a bargain.

FT : Ant IPO draws demand equal to UK GDP as investors dash for shares

Ant IPO draws demand equal to UK GDP as investors dash for shares
Analysts say buyers struggling to secure allocations as fundraising expands to almost $37bn

Ant Group’s initial public offering has prompted a rush among investors to secure a piece of the world’s biggest ever stock sale, helping to push the fundraising total to almost $37bn.

The Chinese payments group’s dual IPO across Shanghai and Hong Kong has generated huge demand among institutional funds eager to participate in one of the global market’s hottest deals, as well as retail traders willing to take on huge amounts of leverage.

The Shanghai side of the book-build was completed on Thursday. Banks triggered a so-called greenshoe option to increase the offering after retail bids exceeded the value of the shares on sale by more than 870 times, equivalent to Rmb19.1tn ($2.8tn) — or about equal to the UK’s gross domestic product last year. The expanded deal valued the company at about $316bn.

The Hong Kong institutional book-build was completed on Wednesday, a day earlier than planned due to bumper demand, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. The retail allocation for this leg is expected to wrap up on Friday. A further greenshoe option on this side of the deal could take total funds raised to $39.6bn.

Among the investors struggling to secure its preferred allocation is GIC. The Singaporean sovereign wealth fund believes it will have to settle for only a slice of the $1bn in Ant shares it wants in the IPO, according to two people familiar with the matter.

The deal has set off a frenzy among retail investors. Some in Hong Kong are willing to borrow huge amounts of cash in their bid to secure shares, with brokers happy to oblige.

“We will provide around HK$35-40bn ($4.5-5.8bn) for margin financing, or even up to HK$50bn in the case of popular demand,” said Edmond Hui, chief executive of Bright Smart Securities, a Hong Kong brokerage that is lending punters up to 20 times the amount they put down. Using such high levels of leverage means share investments can be subject to spectacular gains and losses on relatively small movements in the stock price.

A spokeswoman for Bright Smart said it provided HK$25bn in margin financing on the first day of sales on Tuesday. She added that some customers had “asked all their family members to subscribe to it to increase their opportunity”.

“Unless you use leverage or margin financing you might not be able to get” shares, said Kenny Wen, wealth management strategist at Everbright Sun Hung Kai. He added that retail investors might need to put down a minimum of $129,000 to secure a “good amount” of Ant stock.

Some are willing to front significant amounts of cash for Ant shares despite not knowing what the company does. Lee Wing-chun, a retiree in his 70s, wants to borrow HK$90,000 to leverage his HK$10,000 investment. “I don't really know what the Ant Group is doing . . . but you will always win from subscribing to new stocks,” he said. “I’ve almost never lost money.”

Ant has come under scrutiny in mainland China for offering retail investors access to the Shanghai leg of its share sale through an exclusive arrangement with five mutual funds via its own app.

Another explanation for demand outstripping supply is a decision by Alibaba, the Chinese internet group from which Ant was spun off, to subscribe to about 44 per cent of the Shanghai portion of the IPO, via a company unit.

The move, which puts Alibaba’s stake at about a third of Ant, limits the allocation available to other investors. “They don’t want to lose control,” said Richard Harris, chief executive of Hong Kong-based Port Shelter Investment Management.

Capping the number of shares available to outside investors may also help to ensure an impressive first-day pop in Ant’s share price as investors left out of the IPO scramble for shares in the secondary market.

There is “less supply in the public float, and more upward pressure on the price”, said one Hong Kong-based broker.

>>> After Hours Summary: GOOG +5.9%; TWTR -16.9%, AAPL -4.7%, FB -2.1%, AMZN -2%

After Hours Summary: Lots of high profile earnings -- GOOG +5.9%; TWTR -16.9%, AAPL -4.7%, FB -2.1%, AMZN -2%, SBUX -1.4%; TRUP +16.3% up big as AFL takes a stake

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: TRUP +16.3% (also AFL and TRUP announce pet insurance alliance; AFL to take 9% stake in TRUP), MHK +12.6%, FLEX +12.2%, PLT +10.5%, PDM +7.6%, ZEN +7.5%, CVA +7.3% (also launches strategic review; names new CEO), FIVN +7.1%, UHS +7.1%, BL +6.8%, SM +6.4%, ACHC +6.1%, GOOG +5.9%, RMD +5.9%, EVTC +4.4%, SKYW +3.7%, KTOS +3.2%, FWRD +3%, DECK +2.6%, HTGC +2.4%, BEAT +1.9%, OHI +1.6%, BLDR +1.5%, CWST +1.5%, DVA +1.3%, FTNT +1.3%, BIO +1.2%, AUY +1.1%, AX +0.8%, CVNA +0.8%, HIG +0.6%, WW +0.6%, ATUS +0.4%, CXP +0.3%, KN +0.3%, SEM +0.3%, EMN +0.2%, WU +0.2%, AEL +0.1% (also to restart share buyback program), ATR +0.1%, OFC +0.1%, PVG +0.1%, WRE +0.1%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: EQ +19.5% (receives Study May Proceed letter from the FDA for itolizumab in COVID-19 patients), BLDP +8% (signs deal with AUDI AG regarding use of fuel cell stack for vehicle propulsion), RHI +0.7% (authorizes repurchase of up to an additional 10 mln shares), WRTC +0.2% (CEO steps down), BHC +0.2% (receives FDA Orphan Drug Designation for rifaximin for sickle cell disease), AEL +0.1% (enters into strategic partnership with Pretium)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: LOCO -17.6%, TWTR -16.9%, COLM -16.5% (also announces senior leadership changes; COO to retire), FND -6.6%, SKX -5.5%, KNSL -5.1%, MTZ -5.1%, SGEN -5.1%, MGM -5%, AAPL -4.7%, TEAM -4.6%, ATSG -4.5%, SHAK -4.1%, X -4.1%, FTAI -4%, COG -3.8%, LPSN -3.8%, PFPT -3.1%, ETH -2.8%, ADM -2.7%, QDEL -2.5%, RRC -2.2%, FB -2.1%, AMZN -2%, ILMN -2%, BAND -1.9%, CAR -1.9%, WWE -1.6%, SYK -1.5%, VRTX -1.5%, SBUX -1.4%, ATVI -1.3%, SWN -1.1%, CATM -0.8%, MDRX -0.8%, MSI -0.7%, DLR -0.5%, LMAT -0.5%, OLED -0.5%, CAKE -0.3%, INT -0.3%, MTX -0.3%, ACGL -0.2%, OIS -0.2%, RE -0.2%, AJG -0.1%, FHI -0.1% (also announces special dividend), MX -0.1%, PRO -0.1%, SPXC -0.1%, SXI -0.1%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: AXGT -40.5% (to present AXO-Lenti-PD program during virtual Parkinson's Disease R&D Day), OPK -10% (shareholder Sian Capital releases presentation outlining paths to value creation; also reports earnings), FE -6.8% (terminates CEO Charles Jones and two other executives), GLPI -2.1% (stock offering), ECL -1.6% (new CEO), BA -0.9% (awarded $340 mln Air Force contract), FLR -0.6% (awarded US contract), AZN -0.3% (awarded $290 mln Army contract for doses of AZD1222), PKI -0.1% (COVID-19 test kit receives FDA EUA for sample pooling)

>>> Notable earnings/guidance movers: GOOG +7.9%, PLT +15.7%, TRUP +15.2%, MHK +

Notable earnings/guidance movers: GOOG +7.9%, PLT +15.7%, TRUP +15.2%, MHK +12.1%, ZEN +8.8% on upside; TWTR -14.9%, OLED -4.9%, MGM -4.8%, AAPL -4.4%, AMZN -1.1% on downside

  • Earnings/guidance gainers: PLT +15.7%, TRUP +15.2%, MHK +12.1%, ZEN +8.8%, GOOG +7.9%, FLEX +7.7%, PDM +7.6%, FIVN +7.4%, CVA +7.3%, PTCT +7.1%, SM +7.1%, BL +7%, NVST +6.3%, ACHC +6.1%, RMD +4.8%, SEM +4.7%, FWRD +3%, CVNA +2.7%, SKYW +2.4%, UHS +2.4%, BEAT +1.9%, DECK +1.9%, CDNA +1.7%, DVA +1.7%, FTNT +1.7%
  • Earnings/guidance losers: COLM -16.4%, TWTR -14.9%, LPSN -7.2%, ATVI -5.5%, SGEN -5.1%, OLED -4.9%, MGM -4.8%, SKX -4.8%, AAPL -4.4%, TEAM -4.4%, FND -3.9%, X -3.9%, PFPT -3.1%, ADM -2.9%, ETH -2.8%, MDRX -2.6%, NUVA -2.6%, CAR -1.9%, MTZ -1.8%, SYK -1.7%, QDEL -1.5%, ATUS -1.4%, RRC -1.3%, CWST -1.2%, ILMN -1.2%, AMZN -1.1%