After Hours Summary: SMTC +3.2%, AA +1.0% higher on earnings; JBHT -1.8%, PRU -1.3% lower on earnings
After Hours Gainers:
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance:SMTC +3.2%, AA +1.0%
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news:SITC +20.3% (Declared a $3.00-per-share special cash distribution after selling joint-venture interests for approximately $32.4 million.), VRNS +2.8% (Agreed to be acquired by Proofpoint for $49.75 per share in cash, valuing the deal at $6.3 billion.), CBIO +1.8% (Completed ASCEND dose escalation and began enrolling chemotherapy combination expansion cohorts, with initial CR-001 monotherapy data due Q1 2027.)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance:JBHT -1.8%, PRU -1.3%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news:HY -1.5% (Appoints Matthew Cornell chief financial officer, effective Nov. 1.)
Private credit funds target English football clubs with player-backed loans
Lenders plan to take security over receivables from future player sales in novel ‘squad-value financing’ deals
Private credit funds are targeting football’s biggest transfer market with a push to extend loans to English clubs based on the value of their players, as increasingly exotic financing filters into the sport.
Discussions over so-called squad-value financing are picking up among English clubs and their lenders, according to several specialist football advisers. The novel loans are sized according to the value of a club’s playing squad and sometimes involve the lender only taking security over hypothetical receivables from potential player sales, the people said.
London-based sports finance firm 23 Capital, which was wound down during the Covid-19 pandemic, has relaunched with squad-value loans as a core part of its offering, according to people familiar with matter.
“We’re definitely seeing more [interest],” said one leading football finance adviser. “People are getting their heads round it.”
Club takeovers by private capital firms and US investors have opened the door for lenders to pitch more complex financing options, which already routinely include borrowing against receivables due from players who have been sold.
Clubs in Spain, Portugal, Italy, France and Belgium have already borrowed money via squad-value loans, one of the people said. Along with their stadiums, players are typically a football club’s main asset.
The growing financialisation of football comes as the game’s independent regulator warned this week that widening losses and rising debts were putting English football “on the edge of financial disaster”.
Globally, football clubs spent a record €10.8bn on player transfers this summer, according to sports advisory firm Tifosy, with Premier League clubs accounting for 38 per cent of that spending.
Six of the top 10 clubs by squad value are English, according to estimates from Transfermarkt. English clubs outside the top flight spent €453mn this summer, up from €310mn year earlier.
While the exact structure of squad value loans is still being worked out, people close to the talks said that a lender with security over hypothetical receivables would not be able to force a club to sell a player. But at the point the club does sell a player, the lender would have first call over some of the future receivables, two of the people said.
Lenders are comfortable with their position because they believe clubs will be forced to sell players if they run into financial difficulty, the people added.
Tifosy and private capital manager Fasanara have pioneered squad-value financing in Europe over the past few years, extending loans equivalent to about a quarter of the value of clubs’ playing squads, said two of the people.
“Football clubs need capital on a timetable that does not always match when revenues arrive. Our sports receivables and squad-backed financing strategy aims to bridge that gap,” said Fasanara chief executive officer Francesco Filia.
One football executive said a club would be more likely to take out such a loan to finance a player acquisition during the January transfer window and then pay it off using funds received from sales in the summer window.
Second-tier side Burnley, owned by American investment firm ALK Capital, is one of the only English clubs to have used structures in which loan sizes are partially determined by player values. The loans are also backed by a broader pool of assets, according to people familiar with the matter.
23 Capital declined to comment.
Second activist pushes for sale of UK self-storage company Big Yellow
Irenic Capital takes 4% stake in FTSE 250 real estate group and joins Ancora in lobbying for a sale
An activist hedge fund run by an Elliott Management alumnus has taken a significant stake in Big Yellow Group, heaping more pressure on the UK self-storage company to put itself up for sale.
Irenic Capital Management, which has built a roughly 4 per cent holding in Big Yellow, has been engaging with the London-listed group’s board of directors for months, arguing that its shares are undervalued and it should explore a sale, according to people familiar with the matter.
Irenic’s emergence on Big Yellow’s shareholder register comes in the same week that fellow activist investor Ancora Holdings disclosed a 4 per cent stake in the self-storage group.
Shares in the FTSE 250 company have fallen by 25 per cent over the past year amid a sluggish UK property market. The stock jumped 5 per cent on Wednesday after Ancora went public with its stake, giving it a market value of £1.65bn. The activists are now among Big Yellow’s largest shareholders.
Big Yellow received takeover interest in October last year from private capital group Blackstone but the talks eventually collapsed. The company could draw interest from private equity groups as well as strategic buyers in a formal sale process, the people said.
Ancora, which is best known for campaigns at US rail operator Norfolk Southern and US Steel, also called for Big Yellow to explore strategic options including a sale at an investor conference on Tuesday.
In response to Ancora’s demands, Big Yellow reaffirmed in a statement on Thursday that last year’s takeover offer “was not at a level that reflected the full potential of the company”. But the company added that it “continually evaluates all options for maximising shareholder value”.
A wave of consolidation has swept over the UK’s listed real estate market. Warehouse and data centre owner Segro is being acquired by larger US rival Prologis in a £14bn deal, while NHS landlord Assura is combining with rival Primary Health Properties in a £1.8bn deal.
Big Yellow did not immediately respond to a request for comment about Irenic’s stake. Irenic declined to comment.
Since being founded by former Elliott investor Adam Katz and Indaba Capital portfolio manager Andy Dodge in 2021, Irenic has been making a name for itself as one of the most successful nascent activists. It had $2.5bn of assets under management as of the start of this year.
Irenic has been active in the UK, previously successfully pushing for the £506mn sale of Wagamama owner The Restaurant Group to Apollo. It is also currently invested in Upper Crust owner SSP Group, which it has touted for sale to private equity groups, and in UK aerospace manufacturer Melrose Industries.
UK companies across sectors have been targeted in recent years by international buyers, attracted by relatively cheap valuations.
Big Yellow’s shares are trading near a six-year low, despite posting solid annual results earlier this year — with net asset value, an important metric for real estate landlords, rising by 1 per cent to £13.70 a share.
Early premarket gappers
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Gapping up:
- ERIC +12.0%, VISN +5.4%, DXCM +4.1%, VG +3.8%, IBRX +3.1%, AZN +2.4%, SNY +2.2%, WMT +2.2%, TAK +2.1%, MRK +1.9%, ESTA +1.7%, IVR +1.6%, JNJ +1.6%, NVS +1.5%, BIPC +1.4%, NVO +1.4%, SFM +1.3%, MDT +1.2%, PRU +1.2%, ROCK +1.1%, TTE +1.0%
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Gapping down:
- RKLB -9.3%, CRWV -5.8%, DELL -3.5%, HPE -3.4%, GEV -3.3%, DRS -3.0%, ENS -2.0%, TSM -2.0%, BYND -1.8%, INR -1.7%, HOMB -1.7%, VNDA -1.7%, CRNC -1.5%, CEG -1.4%, MSM -1.1%
>>> Up
* ArcelorMittal Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 70 euros
* ArcelorMittal Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 70 euros
* BofA Raised to Outperform at Baird; PT $62
* Bossard PT Raised to 290 Swiss francs at Berenberg
* Catena Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 416 kronor
* Cemex ADRs Raised to Buy at Citi; PT $12
* Crocs Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT $139
* Derwent London Raised to Hold at Jefferies; PT 1,655 pence
* Great Portland Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 351 pence
* JCDecaux Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 30 euros
* Land Sec. Raised to Hold at Jefferies; PT 593 pence
* Lithium Americas Raised to Speculative Buy at Canaccord
* Merlin Properties Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 16 euros
* NKT Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 1,100 kroner
* Pennon Raised to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 350 pence
* Rexel Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 40 euros
* SES GDRs Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 5.80 euros (+)
* Target Healthcare REIT Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 124 pence
* Tecnicas Reunidas Raised to Neutral at BNP Paribas
* Telia Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 50 kronor
* Yara Raised to Buy at SB1 Markets; PT 450 kroner
* Zions Raised to Outperform at Baird; PT $75
>>> Down
* Adecco Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 21.30 Swiss francs
>>> Down
* Adecco Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 21.30 Swiss francs
* Albertsons Cos Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT $13
* Alfa Laval Cut to Hold at Nordea (+)
* CAF Cut to Underperform at BNP Paribas; PT 68 euros
* Getlink Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 19.75 euros
* Icade Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 12 euros
* Kesko Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 23.50 euros
* Konecranes Cut to Accumulate at OP Corporate Bank; PT 33 euros (+)
* Lumo Kodit Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 7 euros
* Medincell Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 31 euros
* Medincell Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 31 euros
* Morgan Stanley PT Cut to $230 from $250 at KBW
* Mycronic Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 360 kronor
* Orthex Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 4.60 euros
* Scandi Standard Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 165 kronor
* Workspace Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 367 pence
* ZTO Express ADRs Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT $22
>>> Initiation
>>> Initiation
* ACS Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 127 euros
* APA Corp Rated New Sector Perform at Scotiabank; PT $44
* Anglogold Reinstated Buy at Goldman; PT $104
* Anglogold Reinstated Buy at Goldman; PT $104
* CMC Markets Reinstated Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 360 pence
* Crispr Therapeutics Rated New Neutral at UBS; PT $52
* Croda Rated New Buy at Investec; PT 3,860 pence
* Devon Rated New Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; PT $61
* DHL AG Rated New Outperform at RBC; PT 67 euros
* DSV Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT 1,250 kroner
* Endeavour Mining Rated New Buy at Goldman; PT C$90
* Energypathways Rated New Speculative Buy at SP Angel (+)
* EOG Resources Rated New Sector Perform at Scotiabank; PT $144
* EQT Corp Rated New Sector Perform at Scotiabank; PT $54
* Gold Fields ADRs Rated New Neutral at Goldman; PT $38
* Gulfport Energy Rated New Sector Outperform at Scotiabank
* Kuehne + Nagel Rated New Sector Perform at RBC
* Magnolia Oil & Gas Rated New Sector Outperform at Scotiabank
* Matador Resources Rated New Sector Perform at Scotiabank; PT $59
* Murphy Oil Rated New Sector Perform at Scotiabank; PT $41
* Northern Oil & Gas Rated New Sector Perform at Scotiabank
* ON Semi Rated New Buy at StoneX; PT $110
* Occidental Rated New Sector Perform at Scotiabank; PT $63
* Permian Resources Rated New Sector Outperform at Scotiabank
* Versant Media Rated New Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $38
* SM Energy Rated New Sector Perform at Scotiabank; PT $39
* Viking Therapeutics Rated New Buy at UBS; PT $94
* Viper Energy Rated New Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; PT $54
* Warner Music Rated New Buy at StoneX
>>> Call
* ACS at Compelling Entry Point, Initiated Overweight at JPMorgan
* ArcelorMittal Raised at JPMorgan, PTs Lifted Across Steel Sector
* DHL New Outperform at RBC, DSV, Kuehne + Nagel Sector Perform
* Europe Real Estate Compelling, Jefferies Makes 9 Rating Changes
* Morgan Stanley Raises Europe Winter Gas Price Outlook to €90/MWh
* Mycronic Cut to Hold at SEB as Stock Trades in Line with Peers (+)
* NKT Raised to Buy From Hold at Berenberg on Capacity Expansion (+)
* Spotify Cut as StoneX Sees Difficult ‘Optics’ and Margin Risks
* Tesla-SpaceX Deal News Possible This Year, Barclays Analyst Says
* Tesla-SpaceX Deal News Possible This Year, Barclays Analyst Says
Anthropic’s Rapid But Slowing Growth Could Weigh on IPO Valuation
The Takeaway
- Anthropic’s third-quarter revenue grew about 45% to $16.8 billion, slower than prior period
- Slowing growth and market headwinds could temper Anthropic’s IPO valuation
- Company estimates 5% to 7% of revenue comes from distillation of its models
Anthropic reported rapid-but-slowing revenue growth in a meeting with potential investors in its planned initial public offering, leaving some attendees expecting the company will need to keep its valuation target in check.
At a private investor meeting Wednesday in San Francisco, the company said revenue hit $16.8 billion in the third quarter, according to people briefed on the numbers. That was a jump of about 45% from the second quarter. The figure was more than 3.6 times the company’s revenue for all of 2025. But it also represents a slower growth rate than Anthropic’s second quarter, when fevered demand for its Claude Code product drove revenue up by more than 140% from the first three months of the year.
Anthropic also said it had an adjusted operating margin of 11% for the year through the latest quarter, one of the people said. While that figure excludes major costs such as stock compensation, it suggests the company is having some success in moving toward profitability.
At the same time, the company acknowledged some challenges, the people said. It estimated 5% to 7% of its revenue comes from distillation—a practice that involves other companies using Anthropic’s AI to glean data on how it works so they can train their own models.
Anthropic has repeatedly accused Chinese AI labs of distilling its models and has said it is working to fight those efforts. The company told investors Wednesday that distillation revenue will decline and continue to weigh on its numbers in the current period, the people said.
Overall, the readout offered a bit of a mixed picture for a company whose record-setting growth rate this year has raised expectations to extraordinary heights. The investor meeting came as economic and market forces already are weighing on Wall Street sentiment toward AI companies.
Such concerns have started to cool once-red hot sentiment about Anthropic’s giant IPO. Anthropic’s private valuation ballooned to $965 billion in May from less than $20 billion two years ago. And while investors still expect the offering to succeed, the revenue figures were met with some disappointment by some potential investors, who thought it should prompt Anthropic’s bankers to lower valuation expectations to perhaps even less than $1.5 trillion in the IPO, rather than the $2 trillion that some bankers have floated privately.
Anthropic’s IPO—expected to take place next month before the Thanksgiving holiday—will be by far the biggest test of investor attitudes toward an AI boom that has powered the U.S. stock market and the economy for several years. Investors have already soured on the prospects and valuation expectations of some other companies connected to that boom.
Borrowing costs have jumped and shares in some publicly listed AI data center operators have fallen recently. Firmus Grid, an AI data center company backed by Nvidia, last week pulled what would have been Australia’s biggest IPO in almost 30 years, citing market volatility, and other AI cloud company’s offerings are also hitting headwinds.
While demand for Anthropic’s Claude Code and Cowork tools for businesses have enabled it to surge past rival OpenAI in revenue this year, competition is intensifying. OpenAI has beefed up its own enterprise AI offerings and undercut Anthropic on price.
OpenAI and rivals including Google and Meta Platforms have come out with new AI models that rival the performance of Anthropic’s models in some categories, and some businesses—increasingly concerned about surging AI costs—have been turning to cheaper options including open source models.
In Wednesday’s meeting, Anthropic notably didn’t provide an update for its annualized revenue, a measure of monthly sales multiplied by 12. That figure, which hit $65 billion in July, has been closely watched as a growth barometer but has also come under scrutiny—in part because of confusion over the number for OpenAI.
Zohran Mamdani’s Moral Obscenity
Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s mayor, set off a firestorm of criticism Wednesday morning with a social media post ostensibly intended to commemorate the Oct. 7, 2023, massacre of Israelis. It devoted a brief paragraph to condemning Hamas and commiserating with its victims. The rest was a much longer denunciation of Israel’s “ongoing genocide in Gaza,” a “world in which occupation and apartheid continue” and a situation in which “our federal government continues its complicity with every arms shipment.”
In response, Ammiel Hirsch, the president of the New York Board of Rabbis, said the statement was “so offensive to so many Jews that it is hard to describe how offensive it is.” In fact, it’s a moral obscenity. Let me count the ways.
It is obscene in the same way it would have been obscene if the mayor had commemorated the 25th anniversary of Sept. 11 last month with a perfunctory nod to the victims of the day, followed by a much longer denunciation of U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East. What happened on both Sept. 11 and Oct. 7 was undiluted evil, each an unprovoked visit of deliberate and maximalist violence on people who had done nothing to invite that violence other than being at the wrong place at the wrong time.
It is obscene because many of the Jews murdered on Oct. 7, living in kibbutzim with conspicuously left-leaning politics, had been at the forefront of the peace movement, volunteering, for example, to drive sick Palestinians for treatment at nearby Israeli hospitals. Hamas wasn’t just killing and terrorizing the innocent; it was eliminating the good.
It is obscene because Hamas didn’t just kill its victims in pursuit of a strategic objective. It tormented and slaughtered them like an army of serial killers who delight in the suffering of their victims. Corpses of Israeli women were described by one coroner as “shot in the crotch, intimate parts, vagina, or were shot in the breast.” Others appeared to have been raped so violently that their pelvises were broken. Parents were killed in front of their children; children were murdered in their beds. A fieldworker was beheaded with a garden hoe. I know this because Hamas filmed itself doing this and I forced myself to watch the film. I know because that same month, I visited the bedrooms where the kids had been murdered, their mattresses still soaked in blood.
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It is obscene because, whatever else you may think of the war in Gaza, on the eve of Oct. 7 the border of Israel and Gaza was governed by a cease-fire. It was Hamas that chose to kick off the violence, just as the Japanese did in 1941 with the attack on Pearl Harbor. Whether in fistfights between people or wars between states, whoever throws the first punch forfeits the right to throw the last.
It is obscene because Mamdani is being misleading when he speaks as if his prime objection to Israel is what it did after Oct. 7. In fact, the mayor has been an anti-Israel zealot at least since his college days, when, as a leader of Students for Justice in Palestine, he broke off collaboration with the left-leaning Jewish group J Street, which advocates a Palestinian state, because it also recognizes the rights of a Jewish state. He’s written a rap professing “love” for five men convicted in a U.S. court of funneling money to Hamas. The day after Oct. 7, he issued a brief statement that said nothing about Hamas but immediately denounced Israel. Put simply, this is a mayor who first condemned Israel as guilty and then went about collecting evidence.
It is obscene because, however much the genocide allegation against Israel is mindlessly repeated by people too lazy or prejudiced to understand the difference between war and genocide, that allegation is as false as it is sinister. False, because genocide is about killing whole classes of people for who they are rather than for what they did — and if Israel wanted to kill Palestinians as Palestinians it never would have bothered mobilizing hundreds of thousands of its own soldiers for the war, and losing hundreds in high-intensity urban warfare. Sinister, because the political purpose of the genocide allegation is to trivialize, if not erase, the attacks of Oct. 7 by making them seem minor in comparison to the Palestinian casualties that tragically, but all but inevitably, followed.
It is obscene because Hamas’s intentions toward Israel really are genocidal. Its leaders have often and publicly vowed to perpetrate future Oct. 7s. Had the group not been stopped by force that day, there’s no reason to think it wouldn’t have kept up its orgy of slaughter on its way to Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities. Yet one searches in vain for anything from the mayor except perfunctory, pro forma condemnations of Hamas.
It is obscene because there’s an even more wretched purpose to the genocide charge against Israel, which long predates the recent war in Gaza. It is a specimen of Holocaust erasure: not the dumb kind, which seeks to deny Nazi Germany’s murder of six million Jews, but a more sophisticated version that accuses living Jews of genocide as a way of ending the historical Jewish claim to a long and ongoing history of persecution and near-annihilation that accounts for its need for a sovereign state capable of defending its people.
Finally, it is obscene because Mamdani is the mayor for about one million Jewish New Yorkers, many with close relatives in Israel, who deserve better on a day of grief than to be offered the equivalent of an “All Lives Matter” homily. This is yet another of the double standards through which modern-day Jew hatred manifests itself: Whenever antisemitism is mentioned in progressive circles, it is inevitably accompanied by nods about Islamophobia or other bigotries.
It would be better to have a mayor who, if only on Oct. 7, can say: Jewish Lives Matter. Israeli Lives Matter. Full stop. The lectures about Gaza can come some other day.