>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

  • DAX:
    • Linde (LIN TH) +3.2%
      • Linde to Buy Back Up to $5b Shares; Boosts Quarter Dividend (1)
    • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) -0.7%
      • Deutsche Bank’s Schuetz Faces Scrutiny of Wirecard Trades (1)
    • Merck KGaA (MRK TH) -1%
    MDAX:
    • Deutsche Lufthansa (LHA TH) -1.2%
    • Cancom (COK TH) -2.2%
    • Puma (PUM TH) -2.9%
      • Puma Downgraded at Baader, Morgan Stanley Ahead of Results
    • Varta (VAR1 TH) -3%
      • Varta Hits 52-Week High at 138.90 Euros
    SDAX:
    • Schaeffler (SHA TH) +2.7%
    • Hensoldt AG (HAG TH) +1.2%
    • Talanx (TLX TH) +1%
    • Adler Group (ADJ TH) -1.7%
    • ADVA Optical (ADV TH) -1.8%
    • Draegerwerk (DRW3 TH) -2.2%

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Nokia (NOA3 TH) +9.6%
    • Nokia’s Solid Progress Offers Buy Opportunity: Handelsbanken
    • Nokia Shares Surge 17% on Target Hike, Reddit Mentions
  • Ryanair (RY4C TH) +3.2%
  • Naturgy (GAN TH) +3%
    • IFM Offers to Buy 23% of Naturgy at in All Cash Deal
  • Linde (LIN TH) +2.9%
    • Linde to Buy Back Up to $5b Shares; Boosts Quarter Dividend (1)
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) +2%
    • Rolls-Royce Trading in December ‘Broadly’ in Line Across Units
  • Evraz (EVZ TH) +2%
  • Ericsson (ERCB TH) +1.4%
  • Vestas (VWS TH) -1.3%
  • NEL (D7G TH) -1.9%
  • Prosus (1TY TH) -2.1%
    • Watch Naspers, Prosus Shares After Tencent’s Slump in Hong Kong
  • CD Projekt (7CD TH) -2.1%
  • BT (BTQ TH) -2.7%
  • Varta (VAR1 TH) -3%
  • Adler Group (ADJ TH) -3%
  • Aegon (AEND TH) -3.1%
  • Puma (PUM TH) -3.6%
    • Puma Downgraded at Baader, Morgan Stanley Ahead of Results
  • AstraZeneca (ZEG TH) -3.8%
    • Fauci Is Worried About Delays to Second Covid Vaccine Dose

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 26th of January 202

>>> Up
* ADP Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 110 euros
* Aker Solutions Raised to Buy at SpareBank; PT 20 kroner
* Compass Raised to Neutral at Exane; PT 1,295 pence
* Credito Emiliano Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 5.90 euros
* Elior Group Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 6.70 euros
* ERG Raised to Neutral at Citi; PT 26 euros
* Essity Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 313 kronor
* Polypipe PT Raised to 639 pence from 601 pence at Jefferies
* Remy Cointreau Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 185 euros
* Watches of Switzerland PT Raised to 800 pence at Jefferies

>>> Down
* Accor Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 28 euros
* Carnival Plc Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 960 pence
* DNO Cut to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 9 kroner
* Equinor Cut to Sell at SpareBank; PT 160 kroner
* Europcar Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 60 euro cents
* FDJ Cut to Neutral at Exane; PT 40 euros
* Genel Cut to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 185 pence
* Hapag-Lloyd Cut to Reduce at Commerzbank; PT 95 euros
* Hochtief Cut to Hold at LBBW; PT 81 euros
* InterContinental Hotels Cut to Underperform at Exane
* Neoen Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 43.90 euros
* Puma Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 81 euros
* Puma Cut to Reduce at Baader Helvea; PT 80 euros
* Siltronic Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 150 euros
* Sparebanken Telemark Cut to Hold at Norne Securities
* Tenaris Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 7 euros
* Tenaris ADRs Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT $14.50
* Trainline Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 382 pence
* TUI Cut to Reduce at HSBC
* Zurich Airport Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 146 Swiss francs

>>> Initiation
* BAT Rated New Buy at Renaissance Capital
* Valbiotis SAS Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 13.50 euros

>>> Call
* Airports Retain Upside as Reopening Trade, ADP to Buy: Berenberg
* Essity May Give Opportunities for Positive Surprises: Berenberg
* Nokia’s Solid Progress Offers Buy Opportunity: Handelsbanken
* Puma Downgraded at Baader, Morgan Stanley Ahead of Results

>>> What to look at today - 26th of January 2021

 Stocks fell along with U.S. futures Tuesday as investors mulled a possible delay in the planned U.S. fiscal-relief package against a backdrop of concern that some markets are overextended. The dollar advanced.
A gauge of Asia-Pacific equities at one point slid the most in about two months, with shares in South Korea and China underperforming. Tencent Holdings Ltd.’s slump led Hong Kong stocks lower after the internet giant’s market value rose to the cusp of $1 trillion for the first time Monday. The People’s Bank of China unexpectedly withdrew funds from the financial system as an advisor discussed the risk of asset bubbles in local media.
S&P 500 futures slipped as Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said an aid package was unlikely before mid-March and a U.S. health official expressed concern about vaccination delays. Nasdaq 100 contracts also pointed lower, with investors awaiting earnings from some of the biggest companies.
Elsewhere, Treasuries held an overnight climb and crude oil fluctuated under $53 a barrel. European equity futures were little changed.
US After Hours Yellen gets confirmed; JJSF -13.9% and BOOT -3.1% fall on earnings; STAA +5.8% gets added to S&P MidCap 400

Nikkei -0.96% Hang Seng -2.34% CSI -1.84% Shanghai -1.40% Shenzen -1.78%

Eur$ 1.2130 CNH 6.4847 CNY 6.4735 JPY 103.70 GBP 1.3647 CHF 0.8886 RUB 75.4172 TRY 7.4181 WTI$ 52.32 -0.85%

S&P -0.66% Nasdaq -0.65% EuroStoxx -0.42% FTSE -0.12% Dax -0.31% SMI -0.27%

Macro :
- EU Turns the Screws on Financiers Clinging to Their London Desks
- China Asset-Bubble Warning Threatens Stock Frenzy in Hong Kong
- Bernstein Quants Say Short Low Volatility Stocks on Inflation
- Italian Premier Conte Will Resign Tuesday to Plot Comeback
- Citadel, Point72 to Invest $2.75 Billion Into Melvin Capital Management

Keep an eye on :
- BAR BB : Barco FY Ebitda Misses Estimates
- BCHN SW : Burckhardt to Buy Remaining 40% of Shenyang Yuanda Compressor
- BOOZT SS : Boozt Holders to Offer Shares
- CSGN SW : Credit Suisse Closer to $690 Million Judgment in 2009 RMBS Case
- DBK GY : Deutsche Bank’s Schuetz Faces Initial Probe on Wirecard Trades
- EQT SS : EQT Agrees to Buy Exeter Property Group for $1.87b
- EQT SS : EQT FY Dividend Per Share Beats Estimates
- FAA GY : Fabasoft Holder to Offer Shares
- FCA IM : *BIDEN: WILL REPLACE FEDERAL GOVT FLEET WITH ELECTRIC VEHICLES
- IMMU SS : Immunicum Granted FDA Orphan Drug Status for Ilixadencel
- INDV LN : Indivior Settles With Reckitt Benckiser Over $1.4B Claim
- ITP FP : Interparfums FY Sales Beat Estimates
- INRN SW : Interroll FY Sales Beat Estimates
- JD/ LN : JD Sports in Talks About GBP400M Share Sale: Sky News
- KOMN SW : Komax Boosts FY Revenue Forecast, Beats Estimates
- LIN GY : Linde In New Share Share Buyback Program Of Up To $5B
- NOVN SW : Novartis 4Q Core EPS Misses Estimates
- PAH3 GY : Porsche Plans EU10 Bln Earnings Improvement Through 2025: HB
- VAC FP : Pierre & Vacances Studying Financial Restructuring: Echos
- PBY GY : Publity Plans to Sell Majority of Preos to Strategic Investor
- RAL FP : Rallye veut racheter une partie de sa dette à prix cassé
- SAB SM : *SABADELL INJECTS EU300M LOAN IN CULMIA: EL CONFIDENCIAL
- SFTR SS : Safeture Offering Prices 4.6m Shares at SEK8.40/Share
- S30 FP : Muddy Waters renouvelle ses accusations contre Solutions 30
- TRYG DC : Tryg 4Q Profit After Tax Beats Estimates
- UBSG SW : UBS’s Hamers Boosts Buyback Plans After Wealth Management Surges
- VIFN SW : Vifor Pharma Treatment Granted Orphan Drug Status by FDA
- VOW GY: VW Loses EU16m Spanish Class-Action Over Diesel: Consumer Group

(ZH) Superstar Robinhood Traders Are Turning To Paid Financial Advice

Superstar Robinhood Traders Are Turning To Paid Financial Advice

It's starting to look like the new ultra-high net worth individuals are formerly twenty-somethings that got their start trading on Robinhood. Some of those who have smashed and grabbed on the platform are now turning to professionals to help protect their winnings. At least that was the takeaway from a Bloomberg report featuring several Robinhood traders who have done well and are now seeking out professional financial advisors to manage their wealth.
The piece featured traders like 31 year old Jeremy Johnson, who, after investing $15,000 per year with Robinhood, has decided to move on to greener pastures. “You can save your money all you want, but if it’s not doing anything, what does it look like long term?” he asked Bloomberg.
Rather than be a bad omen for financial advisors, the pandemic has actually helped the field grow. For Johnson, a financial advisor meant help saving more money, life insurance recommendations and a mix of different types of investments.
And he's not alone: 40% of U.S. based investors said they need more financial advice. 56% of those people said they would be willing to pay for such advice, up 5% from 2019. 82% that pay for the financial advice say it's worth the price. Investors who have an advisor are twice as likely to say they have the best investment strategy compared to those who go it alone, BBG notes.
Investment advisor Aspiriant LLC said it saw a push in demand after stocks plunged back in March of 2020. Additional clients turned up during the year as high profile IPOs hit the market, the firm said. Its client list was up 32% in 2020.
30 year old pharmacist Tia Ware, who was once taken back by the $1200 fee of hiring a financial advisor, has come around to the idea. She said: “At first I was like ‘hell no. But now, yes, when I see my accounts. If I didn’t have a financial adviser, I’d only have shoes and bags to show for it.”
After the pandemic started, she said she engaged with her advisor far more often than in years past.
Brokerages like Schwab say they have created a new pipeline to financial advisors by taking on new accounts as a result of zero trading fees. Schwab's digital advisory assets grew 18% in 2020 to $57.9 billion.
People are "more warm and receptive to paying for and receiving advice" during turmoil, financial advisor Eddie Welch concluded.
He said that while Robinhood makes it easy to get into the market, “it’s a little more difficult to get into the market with a plan. And in most cases I think that’s what people seek from us.”

(ZH) Here Are All Of Melvin Capital's Crushed Put Positions

Here Are All Of Melvin Capital's Crushed Put Positions

Last Friday, in the aftermath of the Gamespot's historic eruption which sent the stock from $40 to the mid-70s (before it doubled again on Monday rising as high as $158), we had a feeling which way the wind was blowing and laid out all the Russell 3000 stocks that had the highest Short Interest (50%> of float).
Also on Friday, we put together an equal weighted basket of the companies listed above which on Monday... well... exploded, in light with our expectations that WallStreetBets/Robinhood traders would go down the list and systematically ramp up each and every one of these most shorted names, sending them in the stratosphere.
That's exactly what happened.
And yet, while the market reaction was as we expected, one thing we did not anticipate was the "fracture point" which as we now know was Gabe Plotkin's Melvin Capital, which effectively blew up today and suffered a multi-billion margin call on its shorts (as reported earlier), and only a $2.75 billion bailout from Citadel and Point72 (both prior investors in the fund) avoided a far greater disaster (had the $12 billion Melvin Capital been forced to start liquidating its longs to pay its margin calls, all bets would have been off).
What is most remarkable, however, is that a quick look at Melvin's put positions - which had attracted the ire of WallStreetBets investors who were long the names that Plotkin was short - shows that most of them were amazingly the same as the most shorted names shown above! One wonders how many idea dinners Plotkin attended to pitch his positions to his hapless peers who followed him right into the Big Short Squeeze abyss, and how many other hedge funds had been caught in the conflagration. Incidentally the reason why the WallStreetBets vendetta was targeted at Plotkin is because unlike traditional shorts, it had to disclose its puts in its quarterly 13F. Ironically, had Melvin merely kept its bearish bets in the form of regular shorts - which hedge funds have no obligation to report - all of this could have been avoided.
And so, without further ado, here are Melvin Capital's puts.
Why do we care? Because as S3 Partners founder Bob Sloan told Bloomberg in a TV interview today, GameStop could rise even further after surging 95% over the past week: “Get prepared for another round of short squeeze. You’re going to see GameStop go way higher.”
The reason: while the negative hit from Plotkin's shorts and/or puts may have been neutralized, especially with the help of the nearly $3 billion in excess funding from Steve Cohen and Ken Griffin, which removes his incentive to cover shorts at all costs, earlier today we learned that as the hobbled hedge fund cralwed through the finish line, suffering massive P&L losses, countless other hedge funds took its place shorting Gamestop et al. In fact, GME's short interest as a percent of float declined from 142% two weeks ago to... 139% today.
Bottom line: brace for even more fireworks as WallStreetbets reignites the squeeze, only this time it won't be Melvin but some other hedge fund that will be crushed under the collective weight of a few thousand Robinhood bulls. Which, incidentally, would be great news for Ken Griffin. Not only does he know which stocks will be ramped by Robinhood before anyone else - after all Citadel is the biggest buyer of RH orderflow - but once the short hedge fund on the other side blows up, Griffen can just pull another Melvin, and swoop in with another "bailout loan-for-revenue" scheme - i.e., an offer that simply can not be refused - and forcibly takes an equity stake in another distressed hedge fund... and another... and another, and so on, all with the help of a few thousand stimmychecked Gen-Zers.

WWD : Fragrance Sales Lift Over Holiday for Inter Parfums

Fragrance Sales Lift Over Holiday for Inter Parfums
The results "exceeded expectations."

Inter Parfums Inc. has reported an increase in holiday perfume sales.

The company, which makes fragrances for Jimmy Choo, Coach, Montblanc and other brands, saw a 3.5 percent lift in sales for the quarter ended Dec. 31, to $184 million.

European sales were up 8.1 percent year-over-year, to $129.6 million for the quarter, while U.S. sales were down 8.8 percent, to $44.4 million in the quarter.

Inter Parfums chairman and chief executive officer Jean Madar said sales “exceeded expectations” and that several brands did particularly well. Montblanc posted a 9.8 percent increase, Jimmy Choo posted a 13.4 percent rise, Coach saw an 18 percent increase and Anna Sui grew sales by 62.3 percent, Madar said.

“Our 2021 new product pipeline is abundant, with new entrants for our European operations that include women’s scents for the Jimmy Choo, Kate Spade, Lanvin and Rochas brands,” Madar said. In the U.S., there will be new fragrance duos from Abercrombie & Fitch and Hollister, as well as women’s scents for Anna Sui, Guess, CMC and Oscar de la Renta.

Early in the coronavirus pandemic, perfume sales were hit hard from stay-at-home orders. But they started to rebound later in 2020, and numbers from the NPD Group showed U.S. prestige sales gaining 1 percent for the third quarter, to $826.2 million.