FTY : IWG chief says ‘worst is behind us’ as office market rebounds

IWG chief says ‘worst is behind us’ as office market rebounds
Occupancy started to pick up in March and April after challenging quarter

The global office market has hit “the bottom of the trough” caused by coronavirus, according to the chief executive of the world’s largest serviced office company.

IWG described the past three months as its “most challenging quarter”, after occupancy of the company’s 3,300 global offices tumbled during the pandemic and it moved to ditch hundreds of underperforming sites.

Revenues slumped 21 per cent from last year’s record high to £528m and occupancy levels were at 66 per cent, down from 75 per cent a year earlier, IWG said in an update on Tuesday.

But the period also marked an “inflection point” in the pandemic, said the company, with occupancy beginning to pick up in March and April.

“It looks like the worst is behind us. We can see improving markets — not across the board, but in a number of areas,” said Mark Dixon, IWG’s longstanding chief executive.

Like rival WeWork, IWG does not own its office buildings, but leases them from landlords, divides the space and lets it out on shorter term, flexible contracts to a variety of companies.

The recovery in office occupation has been uneven across the company’s portfolio. The strongest rebound had been outside of dense city-centre office clusters, said Dixon, a trend he expected to continue even after the effects of the pandemic subsided. 

Offices in London suburbs and the commuter belt, and southern states of the US, including Florida and Texas, have recovered far faster than those in London or New York, said Dixon. 

The pandemic has demonstrated that people do not need to work from a fixed office, freeing them to relocate for cheaper housing, lower tax regimes or more open space, he added.

IWG hopes there will be more hybrid working in the post-coronavirus world, and is one of the leading proponents of the “hub and spoke” model of working, in which companies sign a lease on one main location and use a series of satellite offices closer to where their employees live.

“As we leave the first quarter of 2021, we are well-positioned for a world of work permanently altered by the pandemic,” said IWG.

IWG is aiming to increase revenues as it emerges from the pandemic via franchise agreements with local partners, under which other companies operate the offices while paying a fee to IWG for the use of its brand. IWG said it was close to signing several such deals.

A large franchise deal was likely to boost the company’s share price, which has recovered from 160p in March last year to 357p but remains 24 per cent below pre-pandemic highs, according to Michael Donnelly, an analyst at Investec. 

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:

  • PII -4.1%, CDNS -3.8%, ENTG -3.8%, LLY -3.7%, MASI -3.6%, TNET -3%, MEDP -2.7%, UBS -2.7%, GE -2.3%, TSLA -1.9%, CNC -1.5%, PHM -1.5%, JBT -0.9%, MMM -0.8%, HAS -0.8%

Other news:

  • RNWK -16.4% (stock offering)
  • HYFM -8.2% (stock offering; also guides Q1 revs and EBITDA above consensus; also to acquire HEAVY 16, a line of premium plant nutrients)
  • EFSC -2.3% (EFSC to acquire FCBP in all-stock merger agreement)
  • SNAP -1.8% (announces $1 bln convertible note offering)
  • CSTL -1.8% (to acquire all of the equity of Myriad myPath (Myriad myPath Laboratory) from Myriad Genetics (MYGN) for $32.5 mln)
  • TM -1% (LYFT to sell self-driving car division to Toyota (TM) subsidiary Woven Planet for $550 mln)

Analyst comments:

  • SPLK -2% (downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley)
  • TXRH -1.6% (downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Robert W. Baird)
  • APAM -1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:

  • TBI +12.7%, CROX +8.1%, WIRE +7.7%, UPS +7.1%, AAN +6.3%, EBIX +4.8%, AUDC +4.6%, ADM +4.6%, HSTM +4.5%, BRO +4.4%, SSD +4.1%, OMF +3.6% (also to acquire Trim; also raises dividend and commences new buyback program), CATY +3.5%, HSBC +3.5%, MKSI +3.3%, SSNC +3.2%, PKG +3.2%, HUBB +2.9%, TPB +2.9%, SBAC +2.8%, LU +2.5%, MMC +2%, BP +1.9%, SSTK +1.9%, RRC +1.8%, ROP +1.8%, HEES +1.8%, PPBI +1.7%, MSCI +1.6%, JBLU +1.5%, FISV +1.5%, WM +1.5%, SUI +1.4%, AMKR +1.3%, AGNC +1.3%, ABB +1.3%, RTX +1.3%, SYF +1.1%, NXPI +1%

Other news:

  • ALDX +25.2% (announces "positive" top-line results from the Phase 3 INVIGORATE Clinical Trial of 0.25% reproxalap ophthalmic solution, an investigational new drug, in patients with allergic conjunctivitis)
  • FCBP +21.1% (EFSC to acquire FCBP in all-stock merger agreement)
  • GME +11.5% (completes previously announced at-the-market equity offering program)
  • LOGC +10% (announces strategic collaboration with CANbridge Pharmaceutical and research collaboration with Daiichi Sankyo (DSNKY); provides update on SUNRISE enrollment)
  • LYFT +2.8% (LYFT to sell self-driving car division to Toyota (TM) subsidiary Woven Planet for $550 mln)
  • CGEN +2.6% (announced the publication of a peer-reviewed article in Cancer Immunology, Immunotherapy)
  • AKTS +2.6% (announced the issuance of nine new patents)
  • RETA +2.4% (announces FDA acceptance for filing of NDA for bardoxolone methyl as treatment for CKD)
  • CHDN +2.3% (launches TwinSpires Sports mobile app in three states)
  • RMBS +1.8% (RMBS and LSCC announce partnership on next-generation security solutions)
  • NBIX +1.3% (enters into research collaboration with Sentia Medical)

Analyst comments:

  • GLOP +5.2% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies)
  • SYNA +2.7% (upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen)
  • SCHW +1.9% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

  • Gapping up:
    • FCBP +21.3%, GME +7.7%, WIRE +7.7%, UPS +6.9%, SSD +6%, HSTM +4.5%, BRO +4.4%, OMF +4%, CATY +3.5%, MKSI +3.3%, RRC +3.2%, PKG +3.2%, SSNC +3.1%, ROP +2.9%, AUDC +2.7%, LU +2.6%, SBAC +2.6%, AMKR +2.5%, HSBC +2.5%, CHDN +2.3%, PII +2.1%, RETA +1.9%, TBI +1.9%, LYFT +1.8%, RMBS +1.8%, PPBI +1.7%, ABB +1.5%, CNC +1.5%, SUI +1.4%, NBIX +1.3%, AGNC +1.3%, GILD +1%
  • Gapping down:
    • RNWK -12%, PQG -8.1%, HYFM -8%, CDNS -3.5%, TNET -3%, ENTG -2.8%, UBS -2.6%, TSLA -2.4%, MEDP -2.4%, EFSC -2.3%, MASI -2.3%, AWI -2.3%, SNAP -2.1%, FTI -1%, TM -0.9%, VALE -0.7%

FT : DSV Panalpina to buy Agility’s logistics arm for $4.1bn

DSV Panalpina to buy Agility’s logistics arm for $4.1bn
Deal creates world’s third-largest group among organisers of freight in key market for global supply chain

Denmark’s rapidly expanding DSV Panalpina has agreed to buy Kuwait-based Agility’s logistics business for $4.1bn in an all-share deal to create the world’s third-largest group by revenue among organisers of freight shipments.

Agility will become the second-largest shareholder in the combined company under the terms of the deal with an 8 per cent stake in return for its Global Integrated Logistics business.

Shares in DSV leapt 8 per cent by lunchtime trade in Copenhagen.

It is the latest example of dealmaking heating up in the logistics sector as companies seek greater economies of scale following a boom in ecommerce during the pandemic.

DSV had grown to become the fourth biggest freight forwarder, which involves organising shipments for manufacturers, through more than a dozen acquisitions in an industry that is key to the world’s supply chain.

The latest acquisition comes less than two years after it bought Panalpina for DKr37bn ($6bn).

The combination with Agility’s logistics arm, which last year generated $4bn of revenues and accounted for 30 per cent of the group’s earnings, will take it to number three behind DHL Supply Chain & Global Forwarding and Kuehne+Nagel.

In February, Switzerland’s Kuehne+Nagel bought Asian freight forwarder Apex for an undisclosed amount and China’s SF Holding acquired a 51.8 per cent stake in Hong Kong’s Kerry Logistics Network for $2.3bn in a push to become Asia’s leading logistics provider.

“Deal activity in the forwarding space is a frenzy of activity,” said Daniel Roeska, an analyst at Bernstein.

The deal will be funded through the issue of 19.3m new shares in DSV and it values Agility’s logistics unit at a multiple of 23.3 times earnings before interest and tax in the past 12 months.

The business last year, which employs 17,000 people, earned $129m on revenues of $4bn and the acquisition will help strengthen DSV’s air and sea transport capabilities, particularly in emerging markets.

The additional turnover would add 23 per cent on to DSV Panalpina’s revenues taking them to about $22bn.

“Global Integrated Logistics’ global network, industry competencies and strong market position in Apac and the Middle East complement DSV’s network well and will support our long-term value creation ambitions,” said Jens Bjorn Andersen, chief executive of DSV.

The Hedehusene-based group reported operating profit doubling in the first quarter compared with a year earlier and it upgraded its annual profit forecast on the back of sky-high global freight rates due to strong demand and constricted capacity.

Agility will retain its logistics park business, online freight platform and other subsidiaries such as fuel logistics and commercial real estate arms.

“This deal is one of the largest private M&A deals made in the Gulf Cooperation Council to date. We expect that this transaction will have a positive impact on shareholder’s equity and the company’s market value,” said Tarek Sultan, vice-chair of Agility.

FT : EU to charge Apple with anti-competitive behaviour this week

EU to charge Apple with anti-competitive behaviour this week
Case began two years ago and is among a number against the US tech group

Margrethe Vestager, the EU’s competition chief, will late this week publicly issue charges against Apple over concerns that the rules it sets for developers on its App store break EU law, according to several people with direct knowledge of the announcement.

The case started two years ago after music streaming app Spotify brought a complaint alleging that Apple took a hefty 30 per cent subscription fee in exchange for featuring it on its App Store, but refused to let users know of cheaper ways of accessing it outside the Apple ecosystem.

The case is among a number against Apple and is one of the most high profile antitrust cases in Europe against a US tech group. The people warned that the timing could still slip.

Brussels officially opened the probe in June when Vestager said that Apple seemed to have become a so-called gatekeeper “when it comes to the distribution of apps and content to users of Apple's popular devices”. 

Apple, which has denied any allegations of anti-competitive behaviour, did not immediately reply to a request for comment. However, at the time of the complaint Apple said Spotify was using “its financial motivations in misleading rhetoric”.

Futur

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 26th of April 2021 V2(+)

>>> Up
* ALK-Abello Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 2,900 kroner
* Atoss Software Raised to Buy at M.M. Warburg (+)
* Babcock Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 315 pence
* Equinor Raised to Buy at Norne Securities; PT 190 kroner (+)
* IMI PT Raised to 1,810 pence from 1,465 pence at Barclays (+)
* Informa Raised to Outperform at Exane; PT 720 pence
* JCDecaux Raised to Neutral at Exane; PT 22 euros
* Kraft Bank Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 15 kroner
* Legal & General Raised to Buy at Citi
* Orkla Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 96 kroner
* RTL Raised to Buy at Citi
* SSAB Raised to Add at AlphaValue
* UPS Raised to Hold at Berenberg

>>> Down
* AddNode Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken; PT 290 kronor
* ASR Nederland Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Avon Rubber Cut to Sell at Investec; PT 3,060 pence
* Banca Ifis Cut to Neutral at Banca Akros (ESN) (+)
* Bunzl Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 2,220 pence
* Essity Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 289 kronor (+)
* Kuehne + Nagel Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan
* Leonardo Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 7.10 euros
* Tarkett Cut to Neutral at Exane; PT 20 euros
* Tarkett Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 20 euros

>>> Initiation
* Adevinta Rated New Market Perform at Bernstein; PT 163.60 kroner
* Anima Holding Rated New Buy at SocGen; PT 5 euros
* Franchi Umberto Marmi Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 12.50 euros
* Maersk Guidance a Beat and Further Upside Risk Seen: Jefferies
* Norse Atlantic Rated New Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 30 kroner (+)
* Schroders Rated New Hold at SocGen; PT 3,800 pence
* Vantage Towers Rated New Overweight at Barclays; PT 30 euros
* Vantage Towers Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 33 euros
* Vantage Towers Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 35 euros
* Vantage Towers Rated New Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* Vantage Towers Rated New Buy at Goldman; PT 33 euros

>>> Call
* ABB 1Q a Beat and Outlook Better, Cash Flow Misses: Jefferies (+)
* BioMerieux Likely Weak, Outlook Implies Estimate Cuts: Jefferies (+)
* Bunzl Not Pricing In Slower Growth, Morgan Stanley Downgrades
* DSV 1Q Strong, Agility Deal Will Drive Outperformance: Jefferies (+)
* Evolution’s 1Q ‘Extremely Strong,’ Shares Seen Gaining: MS (+)
* Insurers Supported by Strong Fundamentals, L&G Upgraded: Citi
* Broadcasters Have Streaming Opportunities, RTL Up to Buy: Citi
* Michelin Had ‘Decent’ Start to Year, Guidance Unchanged: DB (+)
* Novartis May be Weaker After Sandoz Weighs on 1Q, Jefferies Says (+)
* Swedbank 1Q Results Better Than Expected, Handelsbanken Says (+)
* Whitbread’s FY21 Pretax Loss is Narrower Than Estimated: MS (+)

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +4.1%
    • Stock gained 6.7% Monday on travel prospects
  • Anglo American (NGLB TH) +2.1%
  • BP (BPE5 TH) +2.1%
    • BP Adjusted Earnings Beat, Starts $500 Million Buyback: TOPLive
  • Siemens Gamesa (GTQ1 TH) +2%
  • Schneider Electric (SND TH) +1.8%
    • Schneider Electric Raises Full-Year Growth Targets
  • Carnival Plc (POH1 TH) +1.7%
  • Maersk (DP4B TH) +1.7%
    • Maersk Guidance a Beat and Further Upside Risk Seen: Jefferies
  • BAT (BMT TH) +1.4%
  • Leonardo (FMNB TH) +1.2%
  • Norsk Hydro (NOH1 TH) -0.4%
    • Norsk Hydro 1Q Underlying Ebitda Beats Estimates
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -0.5%
    • Lockdowns Stir Up Food-Delivery Rivalry, Race to Midterm Profit
  • Shop Apotheke (SAE TH) -0.5%
  • Porsche SE (PAH3 TH) -0.6%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) -0.6%
  • TeamViewer (TMV TH) -0.7%
  • AstraZeneca (ZEG TH) -0.8%
  • Nokia (NOA3 TH) -1.1%
  • Enel (ENL TH) -1.2%
  • Campari (58H TH) -1.3%