>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 28th of April 2021

>>> Up
* ABB Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 27.50 Swiss francs
* Alfa Laval PT Raised to 360 kronor from 350 kronor at Citi
* HSBC Raised to Add at AlphaValue
* Mediaset Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 3 euros
* Swedbank Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 165 kronor

>>> Down
* Grupo Catalana Occidente Cut to Hold at Bestinver
* Evolution Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 1,750 kronor
* Evonik Cut to Reduce at Baader Helvea; PT 31 euros
* Go-Ahead Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 1,340 pence
* Nibe Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken; PT 330 kronor
* Porsche SE Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 100 euros
* Stagecoach Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 90 pence
* Swedbank Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 163 kronor
* Vestas Cut to Sell at AlphaValue
* Wihlborgs Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 200 kronor
* Wihlborgs Cut to Hold at DNB Markets; PT 195 kronor

>>> Initiation


>>> Call
* Arnault Boosting Stake in LVMH While at Record a Positive: RBC
* Beiersdorf CEO Change May Pressure Shares Short-Term: Bernstein
* Evolution PT Raised, Morgan Stanley Sees Further Margin Growth
* Evonik 1Q Strength in Share Price, See Overhang Risk: Baader
* Eutelsat’s OneWeb Investment Has ‘Strong’ Logic, Jefferies Says
* Kion 1Q Revenue and Income Ahead, Asia Trading Strong: Bergos

>>> US After Hours Summary: GOOG +4.5%, AMD +3.8%, TER +3.4% higher on earnings; PINS -9.9%, ENPH -6.8%, FFIV -5%, AMGN -3.6%, MSFT -2.6%, TXN -2.5%, SYK -2.2%, SBUX -1.8% lower on earnings


After Hours Summary: GOOG +4.5%, AMD +3.8%, TER +3.4% higher on earnings; PINS -9.9%, ENPH -6.8%, FFIV -5%, AMGN -3.6%, MSFT -2.6%, TXN -2.5%, SYK -2.2%, SBUX -1.8% lower on earnings

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: NAVI +10.2%, CALX +7.7%, ACCO +6.3%, BYD +5.4%, GOOG +4.5% (also co authorizes repurchase up to an additional $50 bln of Class C shares), NCR +4.4%, MDLZ +3.9%, AMD +3.8%, TER +3.4%, TX +3.4%, JNPR +3.1%, YUMC +2.7%, FTI +2.4%, COF +2.2%, EIX +1.9%, MATX +1.8%, V +1.6%, ILMN +1.1%, PPD +1%, NOV +0.5%, UDR +0.3%, EGP +0.2%, BXP +0.1%, OKE +0.1%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: G +9.8% (to be added to the S&P MidCap 400), UTL +8% (to be added to the S&P SmallCap 600), CYBE +5.7% (receives new order for its SQ3000 Multi-Function systems), GNW +3.5% (moving from the S&P MidCap 400 to the S&P SmallCap 600), HUM +1.3% (HUM to acquire remaining 60% interest in Kindred at Home for $5.7 bln), ETH +0.9% (declares special dividend of $0.75/sh), TAK +0.8% (FDA grants priority review for co's NDA for mobocertinib), MET +0.6% (increases dividend), VCYT +0.2% (announces publication of new study of Percepta Genomic Sequencing Classifier), OII +0.2% (wins contracts in excess of $135 mln for Manufactured Products segment), NGVT +0.1% (announces partnership with and investment in GreenGasUSA), BE +0.1% (announces successful deployment of first fuel cells powered solely by hydrogen)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: PINS -9.9%, ENPH -6.8%, RRD -6.3%, USNA -5.4%, FFIV -5%, AMGN -3.6%, EQR -2.7%, MSFT -2.6%, TXN -2.5%, SYK -2.2%, SBUX -1.8%, FEYE -1.3%, ACGL -1.2%, CHRW -1.1%, CSGP -0.6%, HA -0.6%, RXN -0.5%, APAM -0.2%, CB -0.2%, EHC -0.2%, ATRC -0.1%, CHE -0.1%, FCPT -0.1%, IEX -0.1% (also to acquire Airtech Group, US Valve and related entities from investment funds for $470 mln), LBRT -0.1%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: BIVI -16.3% (to acquire biopharma assets from NeurMedix), DMTK -10% (to collaborate on longitudinal study on hidradenitis suppurativa), CMPS -9.6% (files for 4 mln ADS offering), PRVB -8.4% (took part in FDA meeting in connection with the FDA's ongoing review of the teplizumab BLA), ALDX -4% (stock offering), EGY -2.1% (signs LOI with Omni Offshore Terminals), AMC -1.9% (files shelf registration to permit the issuance and sale of up to 43 mln shares through an "at-the-market" offering program), SAVE -1.5% (convertible notes offering), FOA -0.3% (to acquire certain assets of Parkside Lending for $40 mln), OCUL -0.3% (COO to step down)

WWD : EXCLUSIVE: Thom Browne to Return to New York in September

EXCLUSIVE: Thom Browne to Return to New York in September
The designer has opted to return to the city in support of the Costume Institute's upcoming American fashion exhibition, curated by his partner Andrew Bolton.

Thom Browne is coming back to New York City — at least for one season.

The designer said that in a dramatic show of support for his longtime partner Andrew Bolton’s upcoming show at the Metropolitan Museum of Art, he will hold his fashion show in the city as well. Bolton is head curator of the Metropolitan Museum of Art’s Costume Institute. As reported, the Met is planning a two-pronged, yearlong celebration, the first of which will be held in September and underlined by a fashion exhibition. Called “In America: A Lexicon of Fashion,” the exhibition will serve to celebrate the Costume Institute’s 75th anniversary and will explore the modern vocabulary of American fashion. It will also coincide with New York Fashion Week, which will start on Sept. 8 and run through Sept. 12.

“I decided to return to New York to support Andrew’s upcoming show at the Met,” Browne said. “I think it is so important that all American designers recognize the importance of Andrew’s vision. This celebration of American fashion will be such a great showcase of the true talent that exists here in America.”

Browne said that his plan is to show his men’s and women’s collections together, but beyond that, the specifics have yet to be worked out. His last two shows were film extravaganzas, the first in the L.A. Coliseum for his spring ’21 collection featuring Olympic athletes, and the second one with Lindsey Vonn skiing down Solitude Mountain in Park City, Utah, in a Thom Browne tuxedo for the fall line.

The designer said that he’s not yet sure whether any celebrities will be involved in the September show, but he expects it will be memorable nonetheless. “I am not sure what and how I will be showing in New York, but I am sure that I am going to make it worthy of my return to New York. I will try not to disappoint.”

But don’t get too accustomed to seeing Thom Browne show in New York. He said he’s going back to Paris when it’s safe to do so.

“After this show in New York in September, I plan on returning to Paris where I have been showing my collections for quite some time now,” he said. “But I am still always so proud to be an American designer showing in Paris.”

He continued: “Paris has been so important to me as a designer — and for my evolution and growth as a designer. [The city has] always embraced the provocative ideas in my collections and, also, it has challenged me to live up to the standards of showing in Paris.”

He said that as an American designer in Paris, he feels it’s imperative to always be on top of his game. “It is important that I represent American fashion in the strongest and most important way possible,” he said. “I want American fashion to be proud.”

He will be seeking the same result for his New York return.

“The format of my show in September will most certainly be a combination of what I have been experimenting with in the last year and something physical, which I so love. The short films for the last collections have been a challenge and a lot of fun to create, and this I want to carry on into the future of how I show my collections. But an in-person experience, being able to show the collections, with all of the special details and emotions, in real time, is always important and irreplaceable.”

His last two shows were applauded for their creativity and ability to blend fantasy with drama. And he hopes to be able to re-create that in New York this fall — whatever the format may be.

“I will never stop challenging myself to create fantasy and beauty and provocation in my collections, whether it be live or digital,” he said.

Browne said that showcasing his collection in a film format was a learning experience for him and his team. “The most important thing that we all have learned is how to challenge ourselves to do things differently, but never forgetting about what we have done well in the past — that we focus on what we can do and forget about what we cannot.”

Although the pandemic has dramatically changed how designers show their collections, Browne believes that so long as they remain true to their core values, the shows — in whatever format they appear — will continue to have value.

“The most important thing to me is that every designer should use his or her own individual voice to tell a story in whatever way suits them, to stay true to who you are and truly authentic,” he said. “And the story being told should be important, entertaining, thought-provoking, beautiful and uniquely and personally authentic.”

WSJ : Ant IPO-Approval Process Under Investigation by Beijing

Ant IPO-Approval Process Under Investigation by Beijing
Focus is on how Jack Ma won speedy permission for stock listing last year

Beijing is investigating how Jack Ma won speedy approvals for his Ant Group Co.’s stock listing last year, according to people with knowledge of the matter, signaling that state actors are getting embroiled in the crackdown on the tech billionaire.

The central-government investigation, which started early this year, focuses on regulators who greenlighted the initial public offering, local officials who advocated it and big state firms that stood to gain from it. Mr. Ma’s relationships with these state stalwarts are being examined as part of the scrutiny, according to the people.

The probe means uncertainty continues to loom over the future of Ant and controlling shareholder Mr. Ma. The usually flamboyant entrepreneur has kept a low profile since the IPO was stopped last-minute in November. He won’t be allowed to leave China until Ant completes a business overhaul ordered by regulators and the government’s investigation is over, the people say.

In the eyes of China’s top leadership, Ant’s business model, in which lending is driven by big data, endangers the country’s financial system—in part because the company’s banking partners assume most of the risk. Leaders are also concerned that those who stood to benefit from what would have been the world’s largest IPO include a coterie of well-connected individuals and institutions, some influential political families in China and big state funds.

Mr. Ma managed to push the Ant IPO application through various levels of securities regulators in a relatively short time—even as banking regulators were voicing concerns about the business model and were preparing tougher regulations for companies like Ant. The wait to be listed in China is often many months or longer.

“What happened is deeply embarrassing for regulators because they should have more effectively coordinated before approving the IPO,” says Martin Chorzempa, a research fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics who specializes in China’s financial-technology sector.

“By not doing so,” he added, “they were stuck in a lose-lose situation of either the last-minute pause or, worse, forcing massive losses on IPO investors by changing the regulatory stance post-IPO.”

Since halting Ant’s IPO late last year, President Xi Jinping has presided over one meeting after another in which he stresses that big technology firms must be prevented from using their size, capital and troves of data to engage in anticompetitive practices. He has urged underlings to target the financial sector this year for any impropriety.

Listing standards and procedures set by both the China Securities Regulatory Commission and stock regulators in Shanghai are now under scrutiny.

One focus is Shanghai’s STAR Market, where Mr. Ma had planned to list Ant, along with Hong Kong’s stock exchange. Initially, the STAR board was seen as a savvy choice. It was created at the height of the U.S.-China trade war to help Chinese tech companies raise money and better compete with their American peers, and local officials and securities regulators knew its importance to the top leadership: Mr. Xi himself had announced the decision to launch in late 2018. According to officials with knowledge of the process, one of the few people he had discussed the STAR plan with before the announcement was Shanghai Communist Party chief Li Qiang.

Mr. Li is seen as a rising political star, trusted by Mr. Xi. But as a former governor of Zhejiang province, home to Mr. Ma’s empire, Mr. Li has also been supportive of the entrepreneur and his businesses.

In 2018, the Shanghai government signed a strategic-cooperation agreement with both Ant and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., the e-commerce giant founded by Mr. Ma. In a meeting with Mr. Ma around that time, according to a release by the Shanghai government, Mr. Li and Shanghai’s mayor both pledged to “fully support” Mr. Ma’s business in the city. Inside Ant, the code name for the company’s listing plans was “Project Star.” And Mr. Ma’s plan to list Ant on the new Shanghai board sailed through the regulators.

The local securities watchdog in Zhejiang spent about a week in mid-2020 reviewing and advising on the IPO plan. On Aug. 25, Ant submitted its listing prospectus to the STAR Market and to the stock exchange in Hong Kong. Less than a month later, Shanghai regulators completed their audit of the application, enabling Ant to jump ahead of earlier applicants.

The probe also examines how an array of state funds, including massive sovereign-wealth fund China Investment Corp. and the country’s largest state insurers—among them China Life Insurance Co. —got to invest in Ant, the people familiar with the matter say. The mandate of CIC, for instance, is to invest overseas rather than domestically.

Representatives of the securities regulators, both for the central government and in Shanghai, the Shanghai city government, China Life and CIC didn’t respond to questions. Ant declined to comment.

Mr. Xi has been wary of his government’s financial stewardship since coming to power in late 2012. A stock-market crash in 2015, which reverberated around the world and prompted massive state intervention, deeply embarrassed the leader. More recently, an enormous state firm tasked with cleaning up bad debt, China Huarong Asset Management Co., itself has been mired in hundreds of billions of dollars in debt due to a history of mismanagement.

The way Ant’s IPO application was handled fueled Mr. Xi’s concerns the state’s interests weren’t being adequately protected.

Complaints to regulators about Ant’s IPO-marketing process didn’t markedly slow down the approval process. At issue was the way the company used its popular Alipay payment app to raise nearly $9 billion from individual investors in five mutual funds that planned to subscribe to the IPO. Some banks complained that the arrangement essentially meant the company was underwriting its own IPO.

Ant at the time denied any impropriety, saying the mutual funds operated independently and made their own investment decisions, and that the related details were fully disclosed. Having looked into the matter, the China Securities Regulatory Commission in late October greenlighted the Hong Kong portion of Ant’s listing plan—the last regulatory approval needed for the stock sale.

“The Ant IPO incident shows that certain rules and regulations are still lacking as we develop the financial markets,” says an adviser to the State Council, China’s cabinet. “Financial security must be ensured.”

In a January speech at the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, Mr. Xi singled out the financial sector as an area of focus his year.

“It’s necessary to continue to cement the main responsibilities of financial-management departments, regulatory agencies, local party committees and governments,” he told the country’s top graft busters.

The probe of the Ant approvals started soon after. It isn’t clear whether any individual involved in approving or otherwise facilitating Ant’s IPO will be held accountable, the people familiar with the investigation say.

So far, the probe has led the China Securities Regulatory Commission to tighten the STAR Market’s listing requirements to ensure that only companies whose main business is technology are traded there. After Ant’s IPO plans were scuttled, the five mutual funds that had raised funds to invest in the deal returned more than $3 billion to investors who wanted their money back.

An upshot, say analysts: Ant, which is being revamped as a financial holding company subject to the same kind of regulations as banks, is unlikely to gain approval to list on STAR in the future.

In Shanghai, the mood has shifted. At the city’s Pudong International Airport, a poster by the local government pledges adherence to Mr. Xi’s directives. It features chess pieces, including a white king with the words “strengthening implementation of antitrust laws” running along its base. The king hovers over a black knight with a horse’s head.

Mr. Ma’s last name means horse.

FT : DoorDash shakes up fees in search for profit

DoorDash shakes up fees in search for profit
Leader in US food delivery market hopes restaurants will pay 30% commission

The biggest food delivery app in the US is shaking up the fees it charges restaurants, in the hope that it can push more merchants into paying it as much as 30 per cent of each order.

DoorDash on Tuesday announced restaurants would be able to choose from three new tiers of commission — 15, 25 or 30 per cent — with different levels of service, depending on whether they wanted to focus on “profitability or growth”.

The introduction of a 15 per cent fee comes as DoorDash is facing pressure in several US cities, including San Francisco, Chicago and Portland, where officials are concerned that the app, which became essential for restaurants during coronavirus lockdowns, would start to raise its prices after winning market share.

But while DoorDash hopes to win over regulators with the lower tier, it comes with several caveats, including a tightly restricted delivery radius, less prominence on the app, and additional fees forced on to customers.

Katy Connors, from the Independent Restaurant Alliance of Oregon, said she thought the 15 per cent tier was designed “to avoid permanent regulation”.

Meanwhile, as DoorDash searches for profitability, having recorded a $312m loss on $970m of revenue in the last quarter of last year, it hopes that more restaurants will opt for the 30 per cent tier, which has the widest delivery radius and includes additional marketing and app visibility.

Christopher Payne, DoorDash’s chief operating officer, said he expected most merchants would choose 30 per cent, describing it as the best way to maintain the “status quo”.

He denied that DoorDash had introduced the lowest tier option to ward off scrutiny from legislators, and said: “A blanket, one-size-fits-all policy for pricing is not what these merchants want or need. They want choice to be able to dial up or down various packages.”

He noted, however, that the 15 per cent option could reduce the delivery radius for restaurants to just a few blocks, depending on travel time for couriers. “It’s a choice between balancing profitability and growth,” he said.

DoorDash declined to reveal its typical commission rate prior to the change, saying that it varied greatly between types of merchants and locations.

Payne said the changes would not affect the income of its couriers, known as Dashers. Larger restaurant businesses, with several locations, would still be able to negotiate a different fee outside of the three tiers, Payne said.

The commission on pick-up orders, where a customer fetches the food themselves, has been lowered from 15 to 6 per cent.

In California, there is a bill seeking to force delivery apps to give a full cost breakdown of each transaction. “It will help give restaurants information on whether they want to sign agreements with these companies,” said Lorena Gonzalez, member of the California State Assembly and the bill’s co-author, calling DoorDash’s new pricing a “PR game”.

Payne said DoorDash would resist such efforts. “The concept of exposing the totality of the deal between DoorDash and the merchant, I don’t think is a good idea, because there’s lots of complexity in the deals,” he said.

“You can imagine that a restaurant that does 1,000s of orders [ . . .] might have a different deal than someone that’s doing four or five orders a week.”

FT : UBS: Archegos blow shows dangers in definitional slippage

UBS: Archegos blow shows dangers in definitional slippage
The only consolation is that the Swiss bank could have taken a bigger hit

Archegos is a Greek word denoting leadership. The place where the eponymous family office led UBS, and a growing roll call of investment banks, was into a morass. The Swiss group has revealed a surprise $774m hit to operating profits due to an Archegos “trading loss” at its prime brokerage in the first quarter, with another $87m expected this period.

UBS majors in wealth management, where risks and capital requirements are low. Its shares have been rewarded accordingly. But banking is prone to dangerous category slippage.

Archegos resembled a hedge fund more than a lightly regulated family office. UBS’s investment bank is meanwhile supposed to focus on supporting key clients of other divisions. That mission must be pretty elastic to include servicing a speculator using numerous other prime brokers, who support hedge funds with loans and derivatives deals.

New chief executive Ralph Hamers would like the profit hit to be seen as a one-off. No wonder. A concentrated client portfolio of highly levered single-stock positions eluded the oversight of UBS risk managers.

This trading loss was not so far away from the $911m loss at Morgan Stanley, which is a top-tier prime broker. UBS is not in that league. Two questions follow. Did UBS offer even more leverage to this client to win its favour? Or was it simply too late to react in selling collateral?

A review of risk ordered by Hamers should probe what went wrong. UBS claims it will require greater disclosure of investments by its clients in future. The only consolation is that UBS could have taken a bigger hit. Consider Nomura’s latest estimate of $2.9bn of worst-case losses. That is nearly 50 per cent more than initially feared.

UBS still managed a respectable return on tangible equity for the quarter of 14 per cent. Net interest income jumped more than a fifth. There was enough common equity tier one capital, at 14 per cent, to cover last year’s dividend and resume buyback of shares. Against guidance of a percentage point lower, that should leave UBS nearly $2.9bn to hand back to shareholders.

The bank won credit for speed and skill with which it shrunk its investment bank in the wake of the financial crisis. The onus is now on Hamers to prove that the unit has not exploited better conditions to stretch the boundaries of the business it is permitted to undertake.

WSJ : Mini-American Invasion of British Hotel Sector Is Coming This Summer

Mini-American Invasion of British Hotel Sector Is Coming This Summer
A number of U.S. hotel operators are betting that cultural tourists from abroad and stir-crazy locals eager to travel again will fill rooms in Britain

U.K. hotels are gearing up for more visitors after a terrible 2020. A number of luxury or boutique U.S. hotel operators are ready to check in.

The Mondrian, the NoMad and the Graduate are among the brands that are planning to open new U.K. properties over the summer. They are betting that a mix of cultural tourists from abroad and stir-crazy locals eager to travel again will fill their rooms.

“Luxury travel will always gravitate towards London,” said Chadi Farhat, chief operating officer of the Los Angeles-headquartered SBE Entertainment Group. “London remains buoyant and a global capital of art, culture, architecture, food and drink, and commerce.”

His group is poised to open the 120-room Mondrian Hotel in the east London neighborhood of Shoreditch this summer, with suites costing as much as £1,099 a night, equivalent to $1,500.

Graduate Hotels, the Chicago-based operator of 30 lodging properties in U.S. college towns, said it would soon open its first European outposts in the England university cities of Oxford and Cambridge. Chief Executive Ben Weprin believes that Britons prevented from traveling overseas this summer will opt to staycation instead.

U.K. hotels faced a tougher 2020 than those in the U.S. Hoteliers in Britain endured months of government-mandated full or partial closures.

Lodging data company STR said that British occupancy levels last year ran at 40.4%. That was slightly worse than the 44.1% in the U.S., though a bit better than in Germany, where occupancy fell to just 31.9%. British hotel revenue per available room last year fell harder, too, down about 60% compared with 2019. U.S. hotel revenue fell 47% over that period.

London’s more moderately priced hotels ran small losses in 2020. Many remained in limited use by health and other essential workers, or were pressed into service as quarantine hotels. But the pandemic caused most business travel to dry up and pounded the high-end properties. London’s luxury hotels suffered losses of £35 a room on average per night, according to real-estate agent Knight Frank.

Will Duffey, head of Europe, the Middle East, and Africa hotels and hospitality at JLL, said regional hotels catering to domestic tourists will be the quickest to return to profit. Business hotels and London’s luxury sector, dependent on North American and Middle Eastern travel, will take longer, he added.

But Julian Kemp, a senior director of CBRE, is hopeful the U.K.’s rapid vaccination program could help its tourist trade bounce back before other nations. “The question is, will some of our air corridors open in advance of some European ones,” he said.

He doesn’t believe, however, that international travel will return to a semblance of normality until 2022. When it does, he thinks business travelers are the ones to watch.

Mr. Kemp also has faith in luxury. “All the statistics out there…[show] how much people have saved over the last 12 months,” he said. “They will want to go and have that experience.”

One beneficiary of that trend could be the Sydell Group LLC. The New York-based hotel operator plans to open the 91-bedroom NoMad Hotel in Covent Garden, with room prices ranging from £455 to £2,495.