WSJ : SEC Studying Whether New Rules Are Needed for Apps That Gamify Trading, Ch

SEC Studying Whether New Rules Are Needed for Apps That Gamify Trading, Chairman Says
Gensler is set to testify Thursday before House Financial Services Committee

WASHINGTON—Wall Street’s top regulator is studying whether to impose new restrictions on brokerage apps that would make it easier for investors to trade stocks and other securities, the Securities and Exchange Commission’s chairman is set to tell lawmakers.

In testimony prepared for the House Financial Services Committee, Gary Gensler says applications that “gamify” trading—by using appealing visual graphics to reward a user’s decision to trade—might encourage frequent trading that results in worse outcomes for investors.

Mr. Gensler, who is expected to appear Thursday before lawmakers, also said the SEC would study regulatory changes in response to the March blow-up of Archegos Capital Management, which led to more than $10 billion in losses at top global banks.

In his remarks on gamification, Mr. Gensler suggests that many investor-protection rules were written before trading moved to online platforms that have grown more visually enticing and are sometimes blamed for encouraging investors to trade more. The hearing was scheduled earlier this year after a boom in retail trading drove the prices of several stocks, including those of GameStop Corp. and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc., far above where they traded in December.

“Many of our regulations were largely written before these recent technologies and communication practices became prevalent,” Mr. Gensler is set to say. “I think we need to evaluate our rules, and we may find that we need to freshen up our rule set.”

Mr. Gensler, a former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. banker who led the Commodity Futures Trading Commission during the Obama administration, also is to say that the SEC is examining whether some large broker-dealers known as wholesalers have too much power in handling retail orders. Wholesalers pay retail brokerage firms, such as Robinhood Financial LLC and TD Ameritrade, for the right to trade with those firms’ customer orders.

The system, known as payment for order flow, has long been scrutinized for conflicts of interest, including whether retail brokers are encouraged to maximize their own revenue rather than ensuring their customers get the best price. Wholesalers say the market is competitive and that they don’t set the rates they pay to the retail brokerages. The system also generally yields better share prices for retail traders than they would get on stock exchanges.

Citadel Securities says it accounts for 47% of all retail trading of listed securities, making it the largest stock-market wholesaler. Virtu Financial Inc. says it executes about 25% to 30% of those retail orders.

“Market concentration can also lead to fragility, deter healthy competition, and limit innovation,” Mr. Gensler says in his prepared remarks. “I’ve asked staff to look closely at these issues to determine which policy approaches may be merited.”

Payment for order flow has swelled as more small investors have jumped into the stock market. The 11 biggest U.S. brokerages serving individual investors collected nearly $1.2 billion in payments for order flow during the first three months of 2021, more than double the amount from the same quarter last year, according to an analysis of regulatory filings by Bloomberg Intelligence.

Robinhood alone generated about $331 million for selling its order flow in the first quarter of 2021, more than triple the amount from the year-ago quarter.

In his prepared testimony, Mr. Gensler says he has asked the SEC staff to prepare recommendations to increase public reporting on short-selling as well as the network of stock lending and borrowing that facilitates it. The Wall Street Journal reported in February that the SEC was studying the move. Short selling is the practice of borrowing shares and selling them on the expectation that they could be bought back later at a lower price.

Some of the gyrations in GameStop shares earlier this year were due to a so-called short squeeze, in which rising prices prompt bearish investors to cut their losses and buy back shares they had sold short, pushing the stock higher still.

Some of the investors who had bet against GameStop were hedge funds, and retail traders communicating on platforms like Reddit’s WallStreetBets boasted that their bullish trades were punishing establishment investment managers.

In his comments on Archegos, Mr. Gensler says he has asked SEC staffers to explore more disclosure of total return swaps, a type of derivative contract that played a key role in Archegos’s meltdown. Archegos—the family investment vehicle of hedge-fund veteran Bill Hwang —used such swaps to amass the equivalent of huge equity stakes in companies like ViacomCBS Inc. and Chinese internet giant Baidu Inc. Archegos effectively owned 25% of some companies, the Journal has reported.

By using swaps instead of simply buying shares, Archegos was able to place outsize bets while paying little money upfront and sidestepping SEC disclosure requirements on the stakes that large investors hold in companies. Some financial-reform advocates say expanding the disclosure rules to swaps could have helped prevent the Archegos debacle.

FT : Tesla to lose hundreds of millions of dollars in emission credit sales

Tesla to lose hundreds of millions of dollars in emission credit sales
Fiat owner Stellantis no longer needs to buy credits from Elon Musk’s group to meet CO2 goals

Tesla is set to lose hundreds of millions of dollars this year in payments after carmaker Stellantis ditched plans to buy emission credits from the US group.

In 2019 Fiat Chrysler (FCA) entered a deal to pool with Tesla to pass tough European carbon dioixide rules, agreeing to pay to offset the emissions from its own line-up.

But Stellantis, formed earlier this year by the merger of Fiat Chrysler and PSA, has abandoned the deal as the combination of the two carmakers means they will now comply with the rules, chief executive Carlos Tavares told French magazine Le Point this week.

Richard Palmer, chief financial officer of Stellantis, said on Wednesday that about two-thirds of the €300m allocated by FCA for credit payments went to Tesla in Europe.

That sum “is the type of benefit we will probably get by no longer participating in the pooling agreement with Tesla in Europe”, he told analysts and investors. 

“Clearly, one of the key benefits of the merger for the business is that we are compliant in the extended EU without any need to resort to the use of credits or of pooling arrangements,” he added.

Several regions including China, the US and Europe allow carmakers to meet emissions rules by purchasing “credits” from groups that sell cleaner vehicles.

Selling credits to rivals has been a financial lifeline for Tesla, often accounting for much or all of the group’s profitability, while its core business of selling electric cars struggles to break even.

Tesla made $518m selling credits in the last quarter, while reporting a net profit of $438m. The company made close to $1.6bn selling credits across the world during 2020 alone.

Under European emissions rules, carmakers had to lower the average CO2 output of their fleet to 95 grammes per km by last year, or face heavy fines.

One concession allowed to carmakers is the ability to “pool” with cleaner rivals, allowing laggards to meet the rules by paying more environmentally friendly groups to team up.

Ford last year pooled with Volvo Cars, whose hybrids allowed the group to pass its goals, while Volkswagen pooled with the electric brand MG.

PSA passed its CO2 rules last year due to a higher mix of electric and plug-in hybrid models.

While FCA was far behind PSA in electric models, its European sales were modest compared with its larger North American operations.

Palmer was speaking after Stellantis reported its first quarterly results as a merged group, with revenues up 14 per cent to €37bn, due in part to higher overall volumes and despite a worsening impact from the global microchip shortage.

FT : Archegos prepares for insolvency triggered by bank claims

Archegos prepares for insolvency triggered by bank claims
Family office plans possible wind-down as prime brokers look to recoup part of $10bn losses

Archegos Capital is preparing for insolvency, triggered by banks’ attempts to recoup some of the $10bn they lost on its soured bets in March.

The family office run by Bill Hwang has hired restructuring advisers to assess potential legal claims from banks and to plan for a possible winding down of its operations, according to two people familiar with the matter.

Six banks that acted as prime brokers to Archegos — Credit Suisse, Nomura, Morgan Stanley, UBS, MUFG and Mizuho — lost more than $10bn when they were forced to liquidate the family office’s positions in US-listed companies such as ViacomCBS after it failed to meet margin calls.

A number of them are preparing to issue “letters of demand” to the firm — a request for payment ahead of launching a legal claim — according to three people close to the process. They first want to finish closing out the Archegos positions; last week Credit Suisse said it had sold 97 per cent of the related securities.

Lenders are also investigating whether Hwang’s family office withheld or provided incorrect information about the scale of its borrowing from other prime brokers.

UBS is among the banks examining whether it was “fraudulently induced” to do business with Archegos, according to one person close to the matter.

Archegos, Credit Suisse, Nomura, Morgan Stanley and UBS declined to comment.

The banks had allowed Archegos to make highly levered bets on stocks. When the firm defaulted on margin calls — instructions to add more collateral to its broker accounts — the banks offloaded its large stakes in nine companies at a discount, resulting in some of the worst losses on Wall Street in more than a decade.

The incident has led to recriminations at the banks, which offered as much as $50bn of leverage to Archegos, and prompted investigations about their risk controls from regulators in the US, UK and Switzerland. Senior executives at Credit Suisse and Nomura, which lost a combined $8.3bn, have been fired or suspended.

US lawmakers have also asked banks to explain why they extended such large credit lines to Hwang, whose former hedge fund Tiger Asia Management was charged with insider trading by US and Hong Kong regulators in 2012 and 2014.

A person close to the situation said: “There is a question mark over how much the banks are entitled to claim and whether the fund has any recourse for the way the banks behaved when they dumped the stocks. It will come down to what indemnity was in the loan and swap agreements.”

“They have all lawyered up and threatened lawsuits,” the person added. “The banks are all going to claim as much as they possibly can.”

Archegos has hired restructuring and insolvency advisers, as well as lawyers and public relations advisers since the meltdown in March wiped out the bulk of its $10bn assets under management. Archegos and Hwang are being advised by US law firms King & Spalding, Kellogg Hansen and Gibbons, as well as PR veteran Michael Sitrick.

FT : Croda/chemicals: quiet giant has a winning formula

Croda/chemicals: quiet giant has a winning formula
The UK group will keep up its momentum so long as it stays focused on innovation and fast-growth sectors

Croda is large, low-profile and has always stayed close to its roots. The Yorkshire base of the UK specialty chemicals company is only miles from where it first made lanolin, a rust preventer, from wool nearly a century ago. Croda may now divest its industrial businesses. That would shift its focus further towards the faster-growing consumer and life-sciences sectors.

It would be a natural conclusion to the long run-off of industrial chemicals business as UK stock market investments. That process was initiated with the break-up of ICI from the nineties onwards.

The two units — industrial chemicals and performance technology — made up 37 per cent of revenues last year. Their share of operating profits was less than half that.

The units should command a price tag of about £1bn, assuming a multiple of 13 times 2020 ebitda. That was the valuation of the specialty ingredients business of Switzerland’s Lonza, for which Bain paid $4.7bn in February.

The extra funds would help fuel expansion. Shedding the cyclical businesses should also help the share valuation challenge the heights of rival ingredients companies such as Givaudan. Not that investors have cause for complaint. The stock is up four-fold since the start of 2011 for a market capitalisation of £9.6bn.

Croda has had a low profile. It would have been a worthy contender for inclusion in the Lex column’s “XFT Index” — which shows performance is often inversely correlated to column inches in the newspapers.

A recent row over vaccine nationalism brought Croda to wider attention. The group supplies a vital ingredient — lipids — for the BioNTech/Pfizer coronavirus vaccine, complicating Brussels’ threat to ban exports of the vaccine to the UK.

Investors were giving the group credit for a string of savvy bolt-on deals before that. These takeovers, combined with university partnerships and above-average research spending, has helped it occupy lucrative niches.

Croda will keep up its momentum so long as it stays focused on innovation and fast-growth sectors. Investors should support mooted disposals that would make the company a cleaner proposition.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:

  • ESPR -31.6%, MRCY -18.1%, LL -9.1%, MCFE -5.6%, ALC -4.9%, WRK -4.9%, CYBR -4.7%, UTHR -4.3%, COUR -3.6%, UPWK -3.4% (also introduces work marketplace category; announces rebranding), DCPH -3%, VRSK -3%, KAI -2.8%, NVTA -2.3%, AQUA -2.2%, PFGC -2.1%, SGMO -1.8%, VIAV -1.8%, AFG -1.7%, REYN -1.7%, SYX -1.6%, PEN -1.6%, EPAY -1.5%, DLB -1.5% (also CFO to retire), SKLZ -1.4%, CDLX -1.4%, HLT -1.4%, SPR -1.4%, NEO -1.4%, INSP -1.3%, DHT -1.3%, RYAM -1.3%, NI -1.3%, EAF -1.3%, DK -1.2%, DENN -1.2%, DOOR -1%

Other news:

  • BOOM -5.9% (prices offering of 2.5 mln shares of common stock at $45.00 per share)
  • HIMS -3.8% (to restate earnings due to SEC guidance on warrants)
  • UTZ -1% (to restate earnings due to SEC guidance on warrants)
  • AMT -1% (intends to offer 8,500,000 shares of its common stock in a registered public offering)
  • HFC -0.9% (to acquire Puget Sound Refinery for $350 mln, also suspends dividend for 1 year)

Analyst comments:

  • ISBC -0.6% (downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Stephens)
  • KHC -0.5% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at DZ Bank)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:

  • BGFV +22.3% (also increases dividend by 20%, declares $1/sh special dividend), FDP +12.5%, HAYW +10.9%, RCKY +10.6%, TUP +9.3%, BDC +9.2%, KAR +8.1% (also acquires Auction Frontier), BXC +7.8%, AYX +7.8%, INFN +6.4%, OMI +6.3%, CZR +5.9% (says weekends in Las Vegas are sold out for the foreseeable future), LYFT +5.8%, MTCH +5.6%, ATVI +5.5%, CYRX +5%, HLF +4.7% (also names new COO), SPT +4.7%, ODP +4.7%, AQST +4.4%, INGN +4.3%, MED +4.1%, MGPI +4.1%, JAZZ +3.8%, ARWR +3.7%, NYT +3.7%, PVG +3.6%, GM +3.5%, SBGI +3.5%, DVN +3.4%, AMRC +3.4%, ANET +3.3%, PKI +3.3%, STLA +3.2%, DNOW +3.2%, ACLS +2.9%, SSYS +2.9%, AKAM +2.8%, WTI +2.7%, CLH +2.7%, RNG +2.6%, GSKY +2.6%, BTG +2.6%, SMCI +2.5%, TMUS +2.4%, EXAS +2.3%, SITM +2.3%, CRTO +2.3%, HASI +2.2%, TTEC +2.2%, INMD +2.2%, LPSN +2.1%, ALGT +2%, BWA +2%, LSCC +1.9%, STAG +1.8%, NVO +1.8%, CIM +1.8%, ZG +1.7%, MSGS +1.6%, PAYC +1.3%, SMG +1.3%, PRU +1.2% (also increases buyback authorization), EDIT +1.2%, PXD +1.1%, HZNP +1.1%

Other news:

  • ATNX +34.2% (acquires Kuur Therapeutics for $185 mln)
  • IBIO +29.5% (concludes litigation with Faunhofer USA; enters into license agreement)
  • NVVE +8.7% (announces vehicle-to-grid EV charging hubs and transportation as a service offering)
  • TLSA +4.3% (forms Strategic Initiative with Takanawa Japan)
  • EZPW +3.8% (names new CFO)
  • CLNE +3.8% ( announced new renewable natural gas contracts as fleets across North America increasingly continue to adopt the clean, low-carbon fuel to power heavy- and medium-duty trucks)
  • CLII +3.4% (Climate Change Crisis Real Impact I Acquisition Corporation: EVgo announces 250,000 customer milestone)
  • MGI +2.2% (has satisfied financial obligations under DPA)
  • MNR +1.5% (to be acquired by Equity Commonwealth (EQC) for $19.58 per share)
  • LIN +1.3% (announced it has signed a record 36 new small on-site contracts during 2020, a 20% increase compared with the prior year despite a more challenging economic environment)
  • PHG +1.3% (Connect America.com has signed a definitive agreement to acquire the Aging and Caregiving business from Royal Philips)
  • AMAT +1.1% (announces materials engineering solutions that give its memory customers three new ways to further scale DRAM and accelerate improvements in chip performance, power, area, cost and time to market)
  • WRAP +1% (announces one-yr extension of BolaWrap pilot program with LAPD)

Analyst comments:

  • CYH +6% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies)
  • UAA +4.1% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS; upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays)
  • OII +3.3% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities)
  • WOW +3.2% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Truist)
  • COP +2.4% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities)
  • MTOR +2.4% (upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital Mkts)
  • MPB +1.8% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler)
  • XPO +1.8% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Vertical Research)
  • XOM +1.2% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at DZ Bank)
  • SEE +1.2% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

  • Gapping up:
    • ATNX +40.7%, IBIO +31%, BGFV +23.1%, AYX +8.6%, RCKY +8.2%, KAR +8.1%, MED +7.3%, BXC +6.7%, CZR +6.7%, INFN +6.4%, AMRC +6%, LYFT +5.5%, AQST +5.5%, ATVI +4.8%, MTCH +4.8%, SPT +4.7%, HLF +4.3%, INGN +4.3%, ALGT +4.2%, FDP +4%, DVN +3.8%, ARWR +3.7%, AKAM +3.5%, BTG +3.4%, LSCC +3.4%, JAZZ +3.3%, CYRX +3.2%, TMUS +2.9%, ACLS +2.9%, CLNE +2.8%, STAG +2.8%, NVVE +2.7%, WTI +2.7%, LPSN +2.7%, HASI +2.5%, SMCI +2.5%, STLA +2.4%, SITM +2.3%, TTEC +2.2%, EMR +2.1%, GSKY +2.1%, TLSA +2%, NVO +2%, ZG +1.8%, MGI +1.5%, PAA +1.5%, OMI +1.3%, XLNX +1.2%, ANET +1.2%, GSK +1.1%, LIN +1.1%, RNG +1.1%, PXD +1.1%
  • Gapping down:
    • ESPR -25.9%, MRCY -17.6%, RYAM -10%, BOOM -6.1%, MCFE -5.6%, LL -5.1%, ALC -4.3%, UTHR -4.3%, UPWK -3.4%, EPAY -2.9%, KAI -2.8%, HLT -2.2%, VRSK -2.1%, RDN -1.9%, SGMO -1.8%, VIAV -1.8%, AFG -1.7%, SYX -1.6%, PEN -1.6%, DLB -1.5%, WU -1.4%, CDLX -1.4%, DHT -1.3%, EQC -1.3%, DK -1.2%, UTZ -1%, CTVA -1%, DCPH -1%, DOOR -1%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 5th of May 2021

>>> Up
* BNP Paribas PT Raised to 69 euros from 66 euros at Jefferies
* BNP Paribas Raised to Hold at Berenberg; PT 48 euros
* Dassault Systemes Raised to Reduce at AlphaValue
* Fastighets AB Trianon Raised to Buy at Handelsbanken
* Koenig & Bauer Raised to Buy at LBBW; PT 33 euros
* Solvac Raised to Accumulate at KBC Securities; PT 135 euros
* Strabag Raised to Hold at LBBW; PT 35 euros

>>> Down
* NP3 Fastigheter Cut to Sell at Handelsbanken; PT 145 kronor
* Telenor Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken; PT 158 kroner
* WPP Cut to Underperform at Exane; PT 880 pence

>>> Initiation
* CTP Rated New Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 15 euros

>>> Call
* Merck KGaA Shares May Rally on Guidance Uplift: Morgan Stanley

>>> What to look at today - 5th of May 2021

U.S. equity futures rose Wednesday and Asian stocks were steady after a technology selloff and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s comments on interest rates ruffled markets overnight. The dollar slipped.
S&P 500 contracts advanced following a climb in commodity, financial and industrial sectors that helped the gauge pare losses. Nasdaq 100 futures were in the green after weakness in the likes of Apple Inc., Tesla Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. dragged the index lower. Australian shares rose and Hong Kong fluctuated. Markets in Japan, China and South Korea are shut for holidays.
Yellen said rates will likely rise as government spending ramps up and the economy responds with faster growth, comments that economists regarded as self-evident. In a subsequent interview, the former Federal Reserve Chair said she wasn’t predicting or recommending rate hikes.
Commodities rallied to a near decade-high as the rebound from the pandemic fuels demand. Copper climbed back above $10,000 a ton and oil advanced. New Zealand’s dollar rose against all its Group-of-10 peers on a strong jobs report. Treasury futures were steady, with cash markets closed in Asia.
US After Hours AYX +9.2%, CZR +6.8%, MTCH +6.4%, LYFT +5.8%, ATVI +5.6%, AKAM +2.7% higher on earnings; ESPR -20.3%, MRCY -11.7%, MCFE -5.6%, SYX -5.1%, INSP -4.2% lower on earnings

Nikkei Closed Hang Seng +0.02% CSI closed Shanghai -0.81% Shenzen -0.29%

Eur$ 1.2017 CNH 6.4784 CNY 6.4749 JPY 109.28 GBP 1.3912 CHF 0.9129 RUB 74.7076 TRY 8.3133 WTI$ 66.15 +2.57% Gold 1,779 -0.75% BTC 54,850 +990

S&P +0.29% Nasdaq +0.27% EuroStoxx +0.82% FTSE +0.73% Dax +0.71%

Macro :
- EU and India Will Agree to Revive Stalled Trade Talks: Reuters
- London Emerges From Lockdown Harder Hit Than Much of the U.K.
- Inflation Risk Intensifies With Supply Shortages Multiplying (1)

Keep an eye on :
- AIR FP : UK Prosecutor Ends Probe into Airbus Individuals: Reuters
- AF FP : French Lower House Adopts Law That Limits Domestic Flights
- ALC SW : Alcon 1Q Core EPS Beats Estimates
- ALKB DC : ALK-Abello 1Q Ebitda Beats Estimates; Guidance Raised
- ALV GY : Allianz Keen to Enter Ethiopia After Deal for Kenya’s Jubilee
- ALO FP : Alstom Holder Bombardier Offers 11.5m Shares: Terms
- AGL IM : Autogrill 1Q Ebit Loss EU102.2M
- CS FP : Axa 1Q Revenue Misses Estimates
- CNHI IM : Nikola to Restate Some of Its Historical Financial Statements
- ACA FP : Credit Agricole Is Not Bidding For Orange Bank Stake: CEO
- DAI GY : Daimler Holder Nissan Motor Offers 16.4m Shares: Terms
- DHER GY : Delivery Hero Holders Sell Up to $1.4 Billion Stake in Offering, Delivery Hero Offering by Holders Prices at EU123.1/Share: Terms
- DPW GY : Deutsche Post Boosts FY Ebit Forecast
- DSM NA : DSM 1Q Sales Meet Estimates
- EQC US : Equity Commonwealth Buys Monmouth for $3.4 Billion: M&A Snapshot §§§
- HSBA LN : HSBC Could Pay Cerberus Over EU1B in French Ops Sale: Echos
- INDV LN : Indivior Faces Shareholder Ire Over Bonus for Ex-CEO: FT
- LAND SW : Landis + Gyr FY Revenue Meets Estimates
- MRK GY : Merck KGaA Sees FY Adjusted Ebitda About EU5.4B to EU5.8B
- B4B GY : Metro 1H Revenue EU11.39B
- NESN SW : Nestle Introduces Plant-Based Milk Brand to Rival Oatly, Alpro
- NOL NO : Northern Ocean Says Wintershall Terminated West Mira Contract
- NOEJ GY : Norma 1Q Revenue EU286.4M Vs. EU253.6M Y/y
- OCY NO : Ocean Yield 1Q Ebitda Misses Estimates
- PCELL SS : PowerCell Sweden AB: PowerCell receives order for PowerCell S3 from Bosch at a total value of MSEK 25
- RAA GY : Rational 1Q Sales EU168M Vs. EU181.3M Y/y
- RDSA LN : Shell Sells U.S. Refinery for $350 Million in Latest Divestment
- ENR GY : Siemens Energy Narrows FY Nominal Revenue Forecast
- SOLB BB : Solvay 1Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
- UPONOR FH : Uponor Extends Savings Target to EU25m by End 1H 2022
- VLA FP : Valneva: Offering Price/Shr Between EU10 and EU12
- VOW3 GY : U.K. Car Sales Rose 30-Fold in April From Pandemic Low Point