>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +0.8%
  • BMW (BMW TH) -0.3%
    • BMW Warning on Chip Woes Overshadows Strong Earnings
  • Infineon (IFX TH) -1.5%
    • Infineon Sees 4Q Segment Result Margin About 19%, Est. 18.7%
MDAX:
  • Fraport (FRA TH) +1.9%
    • Fraport Boosts FY Ebitda Forecast
SDAX:
  • Wacker Neuson (WAC TH) +1.9%
  • Deutsche Euroshop (DEQ TH) -0.8%
  • flatexDEGIRO (FTK TH) -0.9%

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Maersk (DP4B TH) +2.1%
    • Maersk Ratchets Up Profit Guidance After Freight Rates Soar (1)
  • BP (BPE5 TH) +0.8%
    • BP Earnings Beat Estimates, Shareholder Returns Boosted: TOPLive
  • ING (INN1 TH) +0.6%
  • Ferrari (2FE TH) -1%
  • Alstria Office (AOX TH) -1.2%
  • Generali (ASG TH) -1.5%
    • Generali 1H Net Rises as Year Earlier Impairments Not Repeated
  • Infineon (IFX TH) -1.8%
    • Infineon Sees 4Q Segment Result Margin About 19%, Est. 18.7%
  • Ubisoft (UEN TH) -1.9%
  • Ashtead (0LC TH) -2.8%
  • Prosus (1TY TH) -5%
    • Naspers and Prosus in Focus Again on China Regulatory Concerns

WSJ : Fed Chairman Powell’s Approach to Regulation Has Drawn Criticism From Some

Fed Chairman Powell’s Approach to Regulation Has Drawn Criticism From Some Democrats
Sens. Warren and Brown are among those who say Fed weakened post-2008 rulebook for banks

As President Biden nears a decision about who should be the next Federal Reserve chairman, the current chief is getting criticized by progressives for his record on bank regulation and the postcrisis rulebook for Wall Street.

During Chairman Jerome Powell’s nearly four years as head of the Fed, the central bank has revamped big-bank stress tests, tailored its rules for U.S. lenders based on their size and simplified key postcrisis regulations such as the Volcker rule prohibition on proprietary trading.

But some progressive Democrats have said Mr. Powell’s Fed hasn’t been tough enough on large financial firms, arguing that the central bank’s tweaks to rules adopted after the 2008-09 financial crisis significantly softened the impact of the 2010 Dodd-Frank law, designed to ward off another financial crisis. Were it not for trillions of dollars in fiscal relief from Congress and an array of Fed backstops to credit markets, the banks might have gotten into trouble during the pandemic last year, the argument goes.

“The overall picture is that the financial regulatory safeguards have been materially eroded over the past four years,” said Gregg Gelzinis of the Center for American Progress, a center-left think tank that isn’t taking a position on whether Mr. Powell should be offered a second term as chairman.

Mr. Powell has said that collectively the moves have clarified or better calibrated the central bank’s rules to reflect the risks posed to the financial system by the firms subject to them. In last year’s pandemic-driven, real-world stress test of the banking system, U.S. lenders emerged in solid financial shape, with stronger capital than before, he has said.

“Strong capital requirements are essential for banks, particularly for the largest banks,” Mr. Powell said last week, after a two-day Fed policy meeting.

At a July hearing, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.) slammed Mr. Powell’s record on easing regulation. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D., Ohio), chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, which holds confirmation hearings on Fed nominees, expressed similar criticism.

Mr. Powell’s four-year term as chairman expires in February, and both Ms. Warren and Mr. Brown have declined to say whether they would support him if he were offered a second term.

Mr. Powell, a Republican, is viewed by some inside and many outside the administration as the front-runner for the job, but isn’t a lock. Fed governor Lael Brainard, a Democrat, has emerged as the most likely candidate to succeed him should Mr. Biden decide he would prefer his own pick rather than the leader chosen by then-President Donald Trump.

Ms. Brainard, an important ally of Mr. Powell on monetary policy, has regularly dissented from his decisions to ease bank regulations enacted after the 2008-09 financial crisis, which is unusual at an institution that historically supervises banks through consensus. Ms. Brainard has said generally that the Fed’s moves to soften regulations have gone too far, weakening core safeguards against vulnerabilities that led to the financial crisis.

A White House official said recently, “The president will engage with his senior economic team in a careful and thoughtful process to appoint a Federal Reserve chair in a timely manner.” The White House declined to comment on specific names that may be under consideration.

White House officials haven’t said publicly how much Mr. Powell’s regulatory record will weigh in deciding whether to offer him a second term as chairman.

After the 2008-09 financial crisis, the credibility of financial firms took a big hit among regulators and lawmakers of both parties, leading to stricter rules for the industry and less influence over Washington’s decisions about how the firms ran their businesses. Mr. Powell, who was first nominated in 2011 by then-President Barack Obama to the Fed’s Board of Governors, supported those restrictions before being tapped by Mr. Trump to become chairman in 2018.

Though Mr. Trump promised to dismantle the Dodd-Frank financial overhaul, he ultimately settled on a less-ambitious objective: legislatively raising the asset threshold at which regional lenders automatically faced stricter rules. Major planks of Dodd-Frank remained unchanged, such as emergency government powers and curbs on derivatives, cementing those provisions for years to come.

While banks won some regulatory victories from the Fed and other regulators during the Trump administration, such as eased margin requirements for certain swap transactions, they struck out on priorities such as a reduction in capital requirements at the biggest firms. Industry-backed efforts to ease a capital surcharge on the largest U.S. banks went nowhere during Mr. Powell’s tenure. Similarly, the Fed declined to support an overhaul of lower-income lending standards favored by another Trump-appointed regulator but opposed by Democrats and consumer advocates.

Under then-Chairwoman Janet Yellen, the Fed put limits on Wells Fargo & Co.’s size as punishment for its 2016 fake-account scandal. Mr. Powell left the cap in place, except for a small period last year, when the Fed temporarily lifted the restrictions so the bank could make loans through two federal small-business lending programs during the coronavirus crisis.

Mr. Powell also moved ahead with a proposal to develop a faster payments system for banks to exchange money, something opposed by big banks that have built a separate network.

And while the bank’s annual stress tests have become less stressful in some ways—through the elimination of what had historically been pass-fail grades, for instance—some changes to the tests were endorsed by former Fed governor Daniel Tarullo, a Democrat who served as the central bank’s point person on regulation from 2009 until 2017. Mr. Tarullo has criticized other changes to the tests, including steps that he says could allow banks to reverse-engineer the model used by the Fed to calculate bank losses.

“The narrative that Chairman Powell oversaw a sweeping rollback of the regulatory regime is hyperbole at best,” said Isaac Boltansky, director of policy research at Compass Point Research & Trading. “There’s progressive unhappiness with the regulatory softening we saw during the Trump administration, but the actions in question were modest, didn’t have a material impact on financial stability, and shouldn’t be the sole determinant for Powell’s prospects.”

Ms. Warren chastised Mr. Powell at the hearing for what she described as repeated steps to ease the Volcker rule trading restrictions and allow banks to submit full versions of orderly wind-down plans known as “living wills” less frequently.

She said Mr. Powell had overseen a long list of regulatory rollbacks. “Reducing capital requirements, easing liquidity requirements, shrinking margin requirements, scaling back on supervision,” she said. “Can you name a change that strengthened the rules and made the actual rules tougher?”

Mr. Powell denied that the Fed weakened capital requirements for the largest banks. “I actively resisted any move in that direction,” he said. A so-called stress capital buffer—a new framework to incorporate banks’ annual “stress test” results into their capital requirements for the ensuing year—had the effect of raising the largest firms’ capital requirements, according to the Fed.

>>> What to look at today - 3rd of August 2021

Most Asian stocks dipped Tuesday and Treasury yields held a retreat amid concerns the economic recovery from the pandemic is losing momentum.
MSCI Inc.’s Asia-Pacific equity index fell, with shares in China and Hong Kong still feeling the effects of Beijing’s clampdown on private industries. Internet giant Tencent Holdings Ltd. slumped on fears the authorities will set their sights on online entertainment next. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 contracts posted modest gains while European futures declined.
The spread of the delta Covid-19 variant and signs of robust but softer U.S. manufacturing growth contributed to an overnight S&P 500 dip. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remained below 1.20% after falling as low as 1.15%. The real yield on 10-year Treasuries -- which strips out the expected impact of inflation -- was close to a record low.
Oil held a plunge as the virus and indications of a slower Chinese economic rebound hurt the outlook for consumption. New Zealand’s dollar jumped on policy tightening bets. Australia’s currency advanced after its central bank kept a plan to taper bond purchases despite a protracted lockdown in Sydney.
US After Hours SEDG +11.3%, ZI +8.9%, HLIT +6%, UIS +5.7%, COLM +5.6% higher on earnings; RMBS -4.3%, REYN -3.9%, TTWO -3.6%, SANM -3.5% lower on earnings; TBIO +75% jumps on Reuters report that SNY made offer

Nikkei -0.79% Hang Seng -0.95% CSI +0.23% Shanghai +0.00% Shenzen +0.18%

Eur$ 1.1876 CNH 6.4661 CNY 6.4657 JPY 109.17 GBP 1.3897 CHF 0.9052 RUB 73.0746 TRY 8.3562 WTI$ 71.20 -0.08% Gold 1,811.75 -0.09% BTC 38,750 -100 ETH 2,550-50

S&P +0.29% Nasdaq +0.24% EuroStoxx -0.10% FTSE -0.11% Dax -0.10% SMI +0.21%

Macro :
- Dalio Says Don’t Let Xi’s Crackdown Scare You Away: China Today
- French Living Abroad Can Travel To EU With EMA Recognized Shots
- Turkey Inflation Likely Rose, Pushing Rate Cut to Last Quarter

Spacs :
- FinAccel to Go Public in a $2.5 Billion SPAC Deal

Keep an eye on :
- ARL GY : Aareal Bank Prelim 2Q Operating Profit EU41M
- ATS AV : AT&S 1Q Ebitda EU46.3M Vs. EU39.5M Y/y
- BMPS IM : Paschi Bondholders Said to Be Shielded in UniCredit Takeover
- BMW GY : BMW Boosts FY Automotive Ebit Margin Forecast
- BMW GY : BMW Warning on Chip Woes Overshadows Strong Earnings
- BP/ LN : BP Returns Under Scrutiny as Big Oil Plies Investors With Cash
- DBV FP : DBV Tech 1H Net Loss $60.1M
- DBK GY : Deutsche Bank Pivots to Virtual Tech Conference as Delta Spreads
- DBK GY : Zurich Said Near Deal for Deutsche Bank’s Italy Promoters Unit
- DIE BB : Belgium July Car Registrations Fall 38%; D’Ieteren Share 26.2%
- DSM NA : DSM 2Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
- ENEL IM : Enel to Buy ERG Hydro at EU1B Enterprise Value: M&A Snapshot
- ERG IM : Enel to Buy ERG Hydro at EU1B Enterprise Value: M&A Snapshot
- ENX FP : Euronext Says Technical Issue on Warrants and Certificates
- FRA GY : Fraport Boosts FY Ebitda Forecast
- GALE SW : Galenica Boosts FY Sales Forecast
- G IM : Generali 1H Net Rises as Year Earlier Impairments Not Repeated
- GSK LN : GSK Files for Licensure of MMR Vaccine in U.S.
- GRE SM : Grenergy Terminates Liquidity Contract With Banco Sabadell
- IFX GY : Infineon Sees 4Q Segment Result Margin About 19%, Est. 18.7%
- INGA NA : ING Eyes 10-25% EPS Upgrades, Dividend Hike, Buybacks: BI Focus
- KRN GY : Krones 2Q Ebitda Misses Estimates
- MAERSKB DC : Maersk Earnings to Gain From Strong Liner Fundamentals: React
- ML FP : Michelin Boosts Prices in North American Market
- MSFT US : Bill Gates, Melinda French Gates Officially Divorced: Insider
- NOVN SW : Novartis Plans New OAV-101 Study After FDA Lifts Partial Hold
- OERL SW : Oerlikon Boosts FY Sales Forecast
- PSH NA : Pershing Square Holdings July Net Performance +1.9%
- PFV GY : Pfeiffer Vacuum 2Q Sales EU199.5M Vs. EU148.5M Y/y
- PRX NA : Naspers and Prosus in Focus Again on China Regulatory Concerns
- PUUILO FH : Puuilo Rated New Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 8.90 euros
- ROG SW : Roche’s Tecentriq Granted Priority Review by FDA
- SAN FP : Sanofi to Buy Translate Bio for $38/Share in Cash: M&A Snapshot --> TBIO +75% in After Hours
- GLE FP : SocGen 2Q Net Income Beats Estimates
- SRS IM : Saras Earnings Beat, Improving 2H Outlook Are Supportive: React
- SMIN LN : Smiths Agrees to Sell Medical Unit in Deal With TA: M&A Snapshot
- STAN LN : Standard Chartered 2Q Adjusted Pretax Profit Beats Estimates
- STLA IM : *STELLANTIS RAISES FY ADJ. OPERATING MARGIN TARGET TO ABOUT 10%
- UCG IM : Paschi Bondholders Said to Be Shielded in UniCredit Takeover
- RIN FP : Vilmorin Sees FY Current Operating Margin 9%, Saw 8.50% to 9%
- ZURN SW : Zurich Said Near Deal for Deutsche Bank’s Italy Promoters Unit

FT : Global race to attract high earners threatens governments’ tax revenues

Global race to attract high earners threatens governments’ tax revenues
Pandemic-driven rise of digital nomads spurs nations to offer relocation incentives

Just as the global race to the bottom in corporate taxation is ending, a new threat to governments’ tax revenues is emerging in the form of countries competing to lure high-earning remote workers.

Governments recently agreed a deal to introduce a minimum rate for the world’s largest corporations but, as officials hammer out the details, the pandemic has turned many well-paid individuals into transient nomads.

Many professionals are already merging work with holidays — joining Zoom calls as they quarantine in foreign villas before taking leave with their families. Others are expats who are working remotely back home to stretch out the time they can spend there.

Petros Kremonas is running campaigns for a Brussels-based NGO from his family home in Corfu, Greece, for a few weeks. The pandemic has made him, and many others in his social circle, “re-evaluate where time is being spent and the priorities in life”, he said. In principle, he would like to work close to his parents for two or three months a year.

The main barrier for him and others is not the nature of his work, but the potential tax implications.

Employers are wary of allowing staff to work from a different jurisdiction for more than a few weeks at most, in case they incur tax or social security liabilities in the other country. Even one employee working remotely could in principle lead aggressive authorities to decide that a company had established a taxable presence there, making its profits subject to corporate levies.

Anyone asking to work cross-border long-term would be likely to face “powerful inertia and fear of tax risk” from their employer, one tax lawyer said, adding that his own firm had recently refused requests from prospective new hires to initially work from their home country.

But tax practitioners have also said that businesses competing for talent are under growing pressure to let employees work from their preferred location.

“This has become so common,” said one practitioner, whose multinational clients started from a “very conservative position” but found that they had to compromise because “the business needs to be able to hire where they want in the current environment”.

Meanwhile, countries that have suffered a brain drain of talented workers are competing to lure their citizens — and those of other countries — back on a permanent basis.

Greece passed a law last December that will allow some new arrivals to halve their income tax for several years. Portugal is advertising hefty tax breaks for new residents with certain skills and Italy stepped up its inducements for workers to relocate last March.

Other European countries have followed some Caribbean nations in offering special visas for “digital nomads”.

Many governments have not yet realised just how big a threat this represents to the stability of their tax systems, according to Rita de la Feria, professor of tax law at Leeds university.

In most countries, personal income tax represents a bigger share of government revenues than corporate income tax. It is also a tax that is disproportionately paid by the high-skilled workers that are most easily able to work remotely.

“With increased mobility comes more significant change to the tax base — as has clearly been seen in [corporate income tax] over the last 40 years,” De la Feria wrote in a paper co-authored with Giorgia Maffini, a tax policy adviser at PwC and research fellow at the Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation, which was published last month.

Countries such as the UK, which relies heavily on taxes paid by a relatively small number of highly paid professionals, are especially vulnerable, they said.

De la Feria and Maffini have estimated that between £6.5bn and £32.5bn of UK revenues from personal income tax and social security contributions could be at risk if a third of higher-rate taxpayers were able to work remotely and 10 to 50 per cent of this group chose to leave. Even at the low end, this would wipe out more than half of the gains expected from the pending increase in corporation tax.

“All the reform efforts have been focused on corporate income tax. This has much wider consequences,” De la Feria said.

An exodus of high-skilled workers would also hit productivity and reduce the take from consumption taxes, she warned. “There are very wide societal and economic ramifications. And no one has even noticed . . . that a much bigger crisis could be brewing.”

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 3rd of August 2021

>>> Up
* d'Amico Intl Shipping Raised to Add at Intesa Sanpaolo
* Playtech Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 420 pence
* Rightmove Raised to Hold at Berenberg; PT 710 pence
* Saint-Gobain Raised to Buy at AlphaValue
* Siemens Healthineers PT Raised to 64 euros at Deutsche Bank
* SpareBank 1 Sorost-Norge Raised to Buy at Norne Securities
* Square PT Raised to $365 from $325 at Truist Secs

>>> Down
* Iliad Cut to Neutral at Citi(Earlier)
* VAT Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 365 Swiss francs

>>> Initiation
* Hutchmed China ADRs Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT $52
* OX2 Rated New Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 71 kronor

>>> Call
* Maersk Guidance a Beat, Reflects Exceptional Rates: Jefferies
* Playtech Upgraded at Morgan Stanley, May Be at Turning Point
* Rightmove Raised at Berenberg on Robust U.K. Housing Market
* SocGen 2Q Looks Strong Pretty Much Across the Board: Jefferies

>>> US After Hours Summary: SEDG +11.3%, ZI +8.9%, HLIT +6%, UIS +5.7%, COLM +5.

After Hours Summary: SEDG +11.3%, ZI +8.9%, HLIT +6%, UIS +5.7%, COLM +5.6% higher on earnings; RMBS -4.3%, REYN -3.9%, TTWO -3.6%, SANM -3.5% lower on earnings; TBIO +75% jumps on Reuters report that SNY made offer

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: SEDG +11.3%, ZI +8.9%, HLIT +6%, UIS +5.7%, COLM +5.6%, BCC +4.2%, OTTR +3.6%, CVI +3.5%, SPG +2.8%, MOS +2.6%, CLR +2.5% (also resumes share repurchase program), FRPT +1.2%, KMT +0.7% (also authorizes $200 mln share repurchase program), FANG +0.6%, PXD +0.4% (also announces inaugural variable dividend of $1.51/sh), O +0.3%, OHI +0.3%, PLOW +0.3%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: TBIO +75% (SNY has offered to buy TBIO, citing sources, according to Reuters), HOLI +21.9% (in process of evaluating offers from consortiums), PLXP +2.5% (3 SKUs of VAZALORE will be available in nearly 8,000 CVS stores later this month), GOCO +0.9% (GOCO announces exclusive Medicare agreement with GDRX), SNY +0.8% (SNY has offered to buy TBIO, citing sources, according to Reuters), ROAD +0.7% (acquries Good Hope Contracting and Daurity Springs Quarry), IVA +0.3% (stock offering), GL +0.1% (acquires Beazley Benefits), FLR +0.1% (JV selected for Phase 2 of Interstate 35E expansion project in Texas), LDOS +0.1% (wins US Army contract)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: ADUS -5.1%, VRNS -4.7%, RMBS -4.3%, REYN -3.9%, TTWO -3.6%, SANM -3.5%, EVER -2.8%, UCTT -2.6%, RIG -2.2%, TREX -1.9%, ANET -1.3%, WMB -1.3%, RARE -1%, VNOM -0.5%, BWXT -0.1%, LEG -0.1%, UNVR -0.1% (also begins construction on facility in British Columbia), VNO -0.1%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: NEWT -6.6% (to acquire National Bank of New York City for $20 mln), RNA -6.5% (stock offering), DRVN -4.1% (stock offering), VSTM -3.3% (files mixed securities shelf offering), LI -2.8% (stock offering), LIVN -1.6% (files mixed securities shelf offering), TLMD -0.5% (stock offering), BSX -0.3% (CMS grants additional reimbursement for EXALT Model D), FLT -0.1% (to acquire ALE Solutions), BHLB -0.1% (ISBC receives approval from FDIC to acqurie certain branches of BHLB), BAX -0.1% (accelerates digital transformation in collaboration with AWS), KNBE -0.1% (provides notice regarding lock-up agreement), TWLO -0.1% (stock offering), TKR -0.1% (files mixed securities shelf offering)

Business Of Fashion : Bulgari Becomes Latest LVMH Brand to Partner With JD.com

Bulgari Becomes Latest LVMH Brand to Partner With JD.com

Bulgari became the latest LVMH-owned brand to partner with JD.com on Monday, marking the first time the jeweller has joined with a third-party e-commerce partner.

The deal means users who search for Bulgari on JD.com will be redirected to a special Bulgari mini-programme operated within the JD.com infrastructure. In essence, Bulgari products with be available in a separate store within JD.com, but not directly on its platform alongside other brands.

“[This] customised and innovative model is a brand new exploration for both of us, and both sides will explore in-depth cooperation in the future to enhance the consumer experience and better meet the personalised needs of consumers while purchasing luxury goods online,” said Kevin Jiang, president of International Fashion and Lifestyle at JD.com.

It’s a similar arrangement to that of Louis Vuitton, which also chose JD.com as its first third-party e-commerce partner in April. In that case, users who search for “LV” on JD.com are redirected to Louis Vuitton’s official WeChat mini-programme where a full range of the brand’s products are available to purchase (WeChat owner Tencent also owns a 17.1 percent stake in JD.com and the two are generally considered allies in China’s highly-competitive tech landscape).

Other LVMH-owned brands to partner with JD.com recently include Berluti and Givenchy Beauty, both brands opened flagship stores on the platform in July. As of April, JD.com said it has over 500 million annual active users on its platform.

The deepening of ties between the world’s largest luxury conglomerate and JD.com comes as Chinese tech companies face intense scrutiny by regulators. In particular, the practice of “er xuan yi”, or “choose one of two”, which essentially forced merchants into exclusive partnerships with one of China’s major platforms has been a major target of the crackdown, which led to a record $2.8 billion fine for e-commerce leader Alibaba earlier this year.

A significant aspect of the agreements struck with LVMH Group brands and JD.com is their flexibility. Brands are joining the platform in a variety of ways and seemingly on their own terms, a significant departure from the previous status quo in China’s hotly contested e-commerce environment.