FT : European carmakers warn industry risks a repeat of chip shortage crisis

European carmakers warn industry risks a repeat of chip shortage crisis
Head of the European auto industry’s association says more semiconductor plants are needed in the region

European carmakers must cut their reliance on Asia for semiconductors or risk a repeat of the crisis that has led to factory shutdowns across the continent, the head of the region’s auto association has warned.

Volkswagen, BMW and Renault are among those forced to idle plants because of fierce competition for chips — relied on by cars for everything from electronic windows to driver assistance systems — from a consumer electronics industry that boomed during the pandemic.

Car sales across Europe fell 23 per cent last month to their lowest level since 1995 as carmakers were unable to meet demand.

Oliver Zipse, who is chair of European carmakers’ lobby group ACEA and also chief executive of BMW, warned the industry is facing “severe and immediate consequences” of its inability to buy parts needed for its vehicles.

Plans are in place to build more European chip factories, especially in Germany and France. Intel has announced it will spend €80bn to expand its semiconductor manufacturing capacity in Europe.

But such new plants will take several years to be ready for production, leaving the continent exposed given much of the production of semiconductors has shifted to countries with cheaper labour costs.

In a letter to the European Commission, seen by the Financial Times, he said a “concerted European initiative” is needed to establish sites in the region to rival the chip manufacturing strongholds in Asia.

“This unprecedented crisis reveals how unexpectedly vulnerable today’s semiconductor supply chain is, and how urgent it is to minimise our dependency on overseas markets, especially Asia, for these vital components,” he wrote.

Plants in Taiwan, China and Japan supply a large number of the industry’s chips. However, these have been hit by interruptions linked to Covid-19, as well as increased demand from smartphone and tablet makers, which traditionally pay more for their chips than hard-bargaining carmakers. Even after paying more, the auto industry is still being hit by factory outages at suppliers, and will take at least until next year to make up the shortfall.

“We are living hand to mouth at the moment,” said one senior executive at a major European manufacturer. “The Asian brands are doing much better at the moment, because they have the relationships with their local suppliers. If there was localised supply in Europe it would really, really help.”

The stakes for Europe’s carmakers are also rising in step with the increasing reliance of modern cars on chips. The total number of semiconductors needed in each vehicle now runs to several hundred.

“I think it’s really clear that we are too dependent on one country, and I think people are willing to pay a little bit more to make sure there is enough supply,” ACEA’s director-general Eric-Mark Huitema told the FT.

Renault last week blamed Covid shutdowns in Malaysia for its worsening chip outlook. Clotilde Delbos, the French carmaker’s chief financial officer, warned carmakers are unable to develop the knowhow themselves.

“When we hear Europe say that they’re going to build factories that can produce these very advanced chips, you need to first have the technology . . . which is something we clearly don’t have in-house,” she said.

Continental, one of the world’s largest car parts makers, last week pointed to “ongoing constraints related to semiconductor components”, as it cut its profit forecasts. Mercedes-Benz, whose sales dropped almost a third in the three months to September when compared with the same period last year, said it would use furlough schemes at its Rastatt plant.

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +2.6%
    • Watch European Miners as Iron Ore Climbs With China in Focus
  • KPN (KPN TH) +2%
    • KPN Sees FY Adj. EBITDA AL About EU2.35B, Est. EU2.41B
  • Kion (KGX TH) +1.5%
    • Kion 3Q Adjusted Ebit Beats Estimates
  • Reckitt (3RB TH) +1.2%
    • *RECKITT RAISES FY LFL NET REV GROWTH FORECAST TO 1%-3%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -0.9%
  • Nokia (NOA3 TH) -1.2%
  • Ubisoft (UEN TH) -1.2%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) -1.8%
    • Evotec SE Prelim 9M Adjusted Ebitda EU68M to EU72M

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Symrise (SY1 TH) +1.2%
    • Symrise Boosts FY Organic Revenue Forecast
MDAX:
  • Kion (KGX TH) +2.1%
    • Kion 3Q Adjusted Ebit Beats Estimates
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) +1%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) -1.9%
    • Evotec SE Prelim 9M Adjusted Ebitda EU68M to EU72M
SDAX:
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) +1.5%
  • VERBIO Vereinigte (VBK TH) +1.3%
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +1.2%

FT : Modern Land becomes latest Chinese developer to miss a bond payment

Modern Land becomes latest Chinese developer to miss a bond payment
Property sector not out of woods yet despite Evergrande narrowly avoiding default

Modern Land has become the latest Chinese developer to miss a payment on a dollar bond in a sign of continuing turmoil in the country’s property sector despite Evergrande, its most indebted group, narrowly avoiding a potential default last week.

Modern Land said payment on the principal and unpaid interest on a bond worth $250m “was not met” by a Monday deadline. Earlier this month the company had asked for a three-month extension to the maturity on the bond, a proposal it later withdrew, saying its liquidity issues had not been resolved.

The company blamed the missed payment on “unexpected liquidity issues arising from the adverse impact of a number of factors including the macroeconomic environment, the real estate industry environment and the Covid-19 pandemic”.

Investors have been alert to potential bond defaults in the sector, with Evergrande making a last-minute payment on an offshore bond last week.

China’s property sector, which has been a crucial engine for growth and rising living standards, has also been hit by signals from Beijing in recent months that the government would prioritise reducing debt over economic growth.

Evergrande originally indicated it might miss bond payments in August and later missed a repayment deadline on an offshore bond, triggering a 30-day grace period before a formal default. The company made a last-minute payment last week but still faces a number of deadlines in the coming weeks.

Fantasia and Sinic, two other Chinese developers, have defaulted on their debt, while fresh data last week showed the overall industry contracted in the third quarter.

On Monday, Xinhua, the country’s official news agency, published an interview with an unnamed “person of authority”, believed by some analysts to be vice-premier Liu He, which called for China to take measures to “reduce the reliance on real estate and debt” and reiterated the government’s intention to stamp out property market speculation.

“At present, a small number of property businesses have exhibited the risk of debt defaults,” the interviewee said. “The reason lies in the poor management of the businesses, which have not yet been able to prudently operate in line with the changes in the market situation.”

On Saturday, the National People’s Congress, China’s rubber-stamp parliament, approved measures to expand trials of a tax on residential and commercial properties in cities.

Analysts said the move could alter China’s economic model away from its heavy dependence on real estate, reshaping government revenue streams and deterring speculation.

The Hang Seng Mainland Property index fell as much 5 per cent on Tuesday morning, adding to losses of more than 26 per cent in the past six months. The Hang Seng Property index, which tracks Hong Kong-listed developers, was down as much as 1.9 per cent.

In a note on Tuesday, Cheng Wee Tan, senior equity analyst at Morningstar, called the new property tax “untimely”, adding that the sector was already facing “heavy policy headwinds”.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 26th of October 2021

>>> Up
* B&M European Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 720 pence
* Coty Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $11

>>> Down
* Aker Carbon Capture Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 29 kroner
* Aker Carbon Capture Cut to Sell at Fearnley; PT 12 kroner
* EYEMAXX Real Cut to Sell at SRC Research; PT 60 euro cents
* KBC Group Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 80 euros
* Xplora Technologies Cut to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 30 kroner

>>> Initiation
* MPC Energy Solutions Rated New Buy at Arctic Securities
* Segro Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 1,500 pence
* Tritax EuroBox Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 130 pence
* Tritax Big Box Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 250 pence
* Urban Logistics REIT Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 200 pence
* Warehouse Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 200 pence

>>> Call
* Berenberg Sees More Upside for Logistics Property Stocks
* Richemont Is ‘Rudderless’ With Future Unclear, Alphavalue Says
* U.K. Homebuilder Stocks Offer Significant Value, Citi Says
* Value Retail Sector Well-Placed, B&M Up to Overweight: JPMorgan

>>> What to look at today - 26th of October 2021

Most Asian stocks rose Tuesday after a record S&P 500 close as corporate earnings and progress on President Joe Biden’s economic agenda helped sentiment even as the debate over inflation risks intensified. 
Equities rose in Japan and fluctuated in China and Hong Kong. Traders digested a video call between China’s Vice Premier Liu He and U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on economic issues. The Chinese side said the call was “pragmatic, candid and constructive.”
U.S. futures advanced, with Nasdaq 100 contracts outperforming. The tech-heavy gauge led U.S. gains overnight amid a Tesla Inc. rally to a $1 trillion market value. Facebook Inc. was higher in late trading on strong user growth and a pledge to buy back as much as $50 billion more in stock. 
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield edged up and the dollar was steady. The debate over price pressures continues, with former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers saying officials are unlikely to deal with “inflation reality” successfully until they fully recognize it.
In China, Modern Land China Co. became the latest builder to miss a payment on a dollar bond, in a further sign of stress in the nation’s real estate sector. Defaults from Chinese borrowers on offshore bonds have jumped to a record.
Meanwhile, U.S. Democrats stepped closer to an agreement on Biden’s multi-trillion dollar economic agenda. That could allow the House this week to pass a $550 billion infrastructure bill.
Crude oil was little changed around $84 a barrel as investors weighed the outlook for U.S. stockpiles and prospects for talks that may eventually help to revive an Iranian nuclear accord, allowing a pickup in crude exports.
Gold held above $1,800 an ounce and Bitcoin traded around $62,800.
US After Hours FB +2% higher on earnings; HSII +6.4%, CR +4.5%, TNET +4.2%, MEDP +4% also higher on earnings; TBI -5.1%, UHS -2.8%, CDNS -2.3% lower on earnings

Nikkei +1.91% Hang Seng -0.49% CSI -0.29% Shanghai -0.29% Shenzen -0.29%

Eur$ 1.1604 CNH 6.3795 CNY 6.3820 JPY 113.95 GBP 1.3761 CHF 0.9206 RUB 69.7196 TRY 9.5964 WTI$ 83.72 -0.06% Gold 1,805.75 -0.10% BTC 62,300 -0.40% ETH 4,200 +0.33%

S&P +0.20% Nasdaq +0.49% EuroStoxx -0.06% FTSE +0.05% Dax +0.17% SMI +0.37%

Macro :
- Bonds Are Set to Reap $5 Billion in Pension-Rebalance Shift
- Advent Is Said to Seek $25 Billion for Its Biggest-Ever Fund
- Base Metals Rally on Fresh Chinese Stimulus and Tight Supply

Keep an eye on :
- AED BB : Aedifica Buys U.K. Care Home for About GBP11.5m at 6.5% Yield
- AFRY SS : AFRY AB 3Q Operating Profit Misses Estimates
- ALFA SS : Alfa Laval 3Q Adjusted Ebita Beats Estimates
- ARBN SW : Arbonia Raises Target for Annual Dividend Hike to 15% From 2022
- ATS AV : AT&S CFO Simone Faath Steps Down for Personal Reasons
- ATMA LN : Atlas Mara Applies for Voluntary Delisting in London
- BESI NA : BE Semiconductor Sees 4Q Gross Margin 59% to 61%, Est. 59.8%
- BETSB SS : Betsson 3Q Operating Profit Beats Estimates
- BRAV SS : Bravida 3Q Net Sales SEK4.85B Vs. SEK4.75B Y/y
- BUCN SW : Bucher 9M Sales CHF2.36B Vs. CHF2.01B Y/y
- CA FP : Uber to Offer 15-Minute Groceries in France With Carrefour
- CEC GY : Ceconomy FY Sales EU21.36B Vs. EU20.83B Y/y
- DPW LN : UPS Margins May Be Constrained by Labor Costs: Preview
- DSV DC : DSV 3Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- ENG SM : Enagas 9M Net Income EU307.3M Vs. EU348.9M Y/y
- EVT GY : Evotec SE Prelim 9M Adjusted Ebitda EU68M to EU72M
- EO FP : Faurecia SE 3Q Revenue Misses Estimates
- GALP PL : Gas Spike Forced Galp to Post $430 Million in Margin Accounts
- IDIA SW : Idorsia 3Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- INWI SS : Inwido 3Q Ebita SEK275M Vs. SEK240.0M Y/y
- ITP FP : Interparfums Boosts FY Sales Forecast, Beats Estimates
- JUN3 GY : Jungheinrich Boosts FY Ebit Forecast
- KEMIRA FH : Kemira 3Q Oper Ebitda Beats Estimates
- KGX GY : Kion 3Q Adjusted Ebit Beats Estimates
- KPN NA : KPN Sees FY Adj. EBITDA AL About EU2.35B, Est. EU2.41B
- LOGN SW : Logitech 2Q Sales Beat Estimates
- LUN DC : Lundbeck Chairman Says Drug Pipeline Results Disappoint: Finans
- MDM FP : Maisons Du Monde 3Q Like-for-like Sales -3.1% Vs. +9.80% Y/y
- ML FP : Michelin 9M Revenue EU17.20B Vs. EU14.89B Y/y
- NEL NO : Nel Gets About $2.6m Contract for PEM Electrolyzer Equipment
- NENTB SS : NENT 3Q Viaplay Subscribers Beats Estimates
- NHY NO : Norsk Hydro 3Q Underlying Ebitda Beats Estimates
- NOVN SW : Novartis 3Q Core EPS Beats Estimates
- ORA FP : Orange 3Q Ebitda After Leases Meets Estimates
- PFV GY : Pfeiffer Vacuum Boosts FY Sales Forecast
- PGHN SW : Partners Group to Buy Minority Stake in Breitling; No Terms
- RESURS SS : Resurs Holding 3Q EPS SEK1.51
- SAMPO FH : Nordea’s Top Holder Sampo Speeds Up Exit With $2.1 Billion Sale
- SIGN SW : SIG Combibloc Maintains FY Adjusted Ebitda Margin 27% to 28%
- SPSN SW : Swiss Prime Site Expects Strong Results for 2021
- SY1 GY : Symrise Boosts FY Organic Revenue Forecast
- HO FP : Thales 3Q Organic Sales -1.4%
- TIETO FH : TietoEVRY 3Q Adjusted Operating Profit Beats Estimates
- UBSG SW : UBS Sees Lower Client Activity Levels in 4Q Compared With 3Q
- UBSG SW : UBS Weighs Changes to Elite Global Family Office in Profit Talks
- VIV FP : Vivendi Seeks Authorization to Buy as Much as 29.9% of Prisa
- WRT1V FH : Wartsila 3Q Ebit Beats Estimates
- XIOR BB : Xior Sees 2022 EPS Growth at Least 10% Y/y

>>> US Close Dow +0.18% S&P +0.47% Nasdaq +0.90% Russell +0.93%

Closing Stock Market Summary

The S&P 500 (+0.5%) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.2%) set intraday and closing record highs on Monday, as the market continued to benefit from positive momentum in front of a big week for earnings. The Nasdaq Composite (+0.9%) and Russell 2000 (+0.9%) outperformed with roughly 1% gains. 

Risk sentiment today was aided by news that Democrats could reach an agreement on their social spending package this week (setting up a vote on the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill), Tesla (TSLA 1024.86, +115.18, +12.7%) reaching a $1 trillion market capitalization on bullish news, and a calmer Treasury market. 

After a shaky start, the S&P 500 ground higher throughout the day, leaving nine of the 11 S&P 500 sectors in positive territory on a closing basis. The consumer discretionary (+2.1%) and energy (+1.5%) led the advance with solid gains, while the financials (-0.1%) and utilities (-0.4%) sectors closed slightly lower. 

Back to Tesla, the stock rose 13% amid the following developments: 1) Hertz Global (HTZZ 27.17, +2.48, +10.0%) announced an agreement to purchase 100,000 Tesla vehicles, 2) reports indicated that the Long Range versions of its Model X and S cars have increased by $5,000, and 3) Morgan Stanley raised its price target on the stock to $1200 from $900.

In other inflation news, Kimberly-Clark (KMB 130.05, -2.99, -2.3%) said it would continue to pass higher costs to customers, and Walt Disney (DIS 172.14, +2.59, +1.5%) is reportedly raising ticket prices for Disneyland. Kimberly-Clark lowered its full-year guidance, which weighed on its stock price. 

WTI crude futures, meanwhile, tagged $85.00 per barrel early in the day before turning around and settling lower by 0.1%, or $0.04, to $83.73/bbl. Natural gas futures jumped 12.0% to $5.88/MMBtu. 

In the Treasury market, shorter-dated Treasury yields paced the decline. The 2-yr yield decreased four basis points to 0.43%, and the 10-yr yield decreased two basis points to 1.64%. The U.S. Dollar Index increased 0.2% to 93.83. 

Separately, PayPal (PYPL 246.88, +6.48, +2.7%) said it's not pursuing an acquisition of Pinterest (PINS 50.68, -7.38, -12.7%) right now. Facebook (FB 328.69, +4.08, +1.3%) increased 1% in front of its earnings report after the close. 

Investors did not receive any economic data on Monday. Looking ahead to Tuesday, investors will receive the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for October, New Home Sales for September, the FHFA Housing Price Index for August, and the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index for August.

  • S&P 500 +21.6% YTD
  • Nasdaq Composite +18.1% YTD
  • Russell 2000 +17.1% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +16.8% YTD

>>> US After Hours Summary: FB +2% higher on earnings; HSII +6.4%, CR +4.5%, TNE

After Hours Summary: FB +2% higher on earnings; HSII +6.4%, CR +4.5%, TNET +4.2%, MEDP +4% also higher on earnings; TBI -5.1%, UHS -2.8%, CDNS -2.3% lower on earnings

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: UFI +12.5%, HSII +6.4%, CR +4.5% (also announces new $300 mln share repurchase authorization), TNET +4.2%, MEDP +4%, ARE +2.5%, PKG +2.5%, FB +2%, IPAR +1.5%, CCK +1%, AMKR +0.9%, AXTA +0.7%, PCH +0.7%, JBSS +0.7%, AGNC +0.5%, HOPE +0.5%, HTLF +0.5%, LXFR +0.4%, OI +0.4%, ACC +0.2%, BDN +0.2%, BRO +0.1%, BXS +0.1%, CADE +0.1%, RNR +0.1%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: OCGN +12.8% (WHO advisory group will meet on Oct 26 to consider Covaxin, according to TribuneIndia.com), CDMO +10% (to join S&P SmallCap 600), ANAB +9.1% (announces agreement with Sagard to monetize portion of JEMPERLI royalties for $250 mln), GERN +8.8% (announces new Innovative Licensing and Access Pathway in the UK for imetelstat), FDMT +6% (reports interim results from 4D-310 Phase 1/2 clinical trial), UNM +3.1% (announces $250 mln share repurchase authorization), AKBA +1.4% (issues statement regarding litigation against Medicare), INDI +0.9% (ADI to sell Symeo Radar Division to INDI), ADI +0.8% (ADI to sell Symeo Radar Division to INDI), JOBY +0.4% (announces simplification of corporate structure), AMZN +0.3% (AWS will host top-secret material for UK spy agencies, according to FT.com), MOD +0.2% (DAN terminates agreement to acquire light-vehicle thermal business from MOD), SIRI +0.2% (increases dividend), HESM +0.1% (increases dividend)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: TBI -5.1%, UHS -2.8%, CDNS -2.3%, CALX -1.1%, LOGI -0.2%, AIN -0.1%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: CLAR -5.5% (stock offering), TWO -3.5% (stock offering), DLR -1.2% (forms joint venture to acquire Medallion Data Centres), MRNA -0.4% (EMA CHMP recommends booster dose for people 18+), AIG -0.1% (names new CFO), DAN -0.1% (DAN terminates agreement to acquire light-vehicle thermal business from MOD), BW -0.1% (announce conclusion of SEC investigation)

FT : US will require foreign travellers to get WHO-authorised vaccines

US will require foreign travellers to get WHO-authorised vaccines
Biden administration outlines requirements as it prepares to ease travel restrictions from November 8

The Biden administration will allow all international travellers to enter the US as long as they have received any vaccine authorised by the World Health Organization, even the relatively untested Chinese-made Sinovac and Sinopharm jabs, from November 8.

Joe Biden, the US president, on Monday signed a presidential proclamation detailing the country’s new international travel rules, which will replace the patchwork of blanket bans that has been in place since the beginning of the pandemic.

The proclamation was accompanied by a set of detailed instructions for airlines, which will be expected to enforce the new vaccine mandates.

Under the rules, which will take effect in two weeks’ time, anyone who has been inoculated with one of the seven vaccines authorised by the WHO will be allowed to enter the US by land or air.

They include the Sinovac and Sinopharm vaccines, which were developed in China, despite the lack of data about their effectiveness against the Delta variant of the coronavirus.

Travelers will also be allowed to have received “mix and match” jabs, using one dose from one vaccine manufacturer and a second from another.

Children under the age of 18, people with allergies to any of the vaccine ingredients and visitors from countries where less than 10 per cent of the population has been vaccinated will all be exempt from the new mandate.

The White House on Monday said 50 countries had vaccination rates falling below the 10 per cent threshold. Data collated by the Financial Times shows these countries are mainly in sub-Saharan Africa.

A senior administration official said the guidelines had been drawn relatively broadly to encourage as much vaccine take-up as possible.

“Preventing people from getting sick, hospitalised and dying of Covid is a top, top priority,” the person said. “Everything we can do to incentivise that process reduces the amount of viruses circulating, reduces the morbidity and mortality for those individuals, and actually reduces the strain on healthcare systems to cope with disease.”

The new vaccine mandate will apply to all non-citizens travelling to the US. Americans and immigrants to the country will not have to be vaccinated to enter, although unvaccinated passengers will have to test negative for Covid one day before flying. Vaccinated passengers only have to test negative within three days of departure.

The new rules will replace the blanket ban which was imposed by Donald Trump, the former president, on any non-Americans who had been in the UK, Ireland, Schengen area, Iran, India, China, South Africa or Brazil in the previous 14 days.