WSJ Luxury Brands Are Counting on Americans to Keep Spending

Luxury Brands Are Counting on Americans to Keep Spending
With parts of China in lockdown, brands need demand in the U.S. to stay high

Luxury brands face a slump in China as major cities battle to bring Covid-19 cases under control. There is only so far America’s big spenders can help.

Shanghai, home to around 15% of mainland China’s luxury stores, is just starting to emerge from a grueling lockdown. Beijing, where a further 13% of the country’s designer boutiques are based, is in “shadow” lockdown, with schools, restaurants and bars closed. Luxury companies such as LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton LVMUY -0.62% and Gucci’s owner Kering say that footfall is lower even in cities that don’t face restrictions due to a drop in domestic tourism. Most listed European brands exited the first quarter with sales in mainland China down 30% to 40%, according to UBS UBS -1.10% estimates.

Sales of personal luxury goods—top-end handbags, watches and the like—have been booming in the U.S. Before the pandemic, the Chinese were the industry’s most important consumers globally, accounting for one-third of all spending on such items in 2019, according to Bain & Company. Americans were next with a little more than one-fifth of the market. To most people’s surprise, this flipped in 2021 when Americans bought 32% of luxury goods by value and the Chinese just 23%. Luxury brands are therefore counting on U.S. shoppers to offset some of the pain caused by the latest shutdowns in Beijing and Shanghai.

Data from the early weeks of the second quarter in the U.S. are mixed. Spending on luxury in April did increase by 8% compared with the same month of 2021, based on credit and debit card transactions tracked by Bank of America. But this is a slowdown from the 16% increase recorded in the first quarter of 2022.
Some of the shoppers that drove last year’s boom are paring back. Purchases by consumers that earn less than $50,000 a year fell 9% in April compared with the same month of 2021. These shoppers gave luxury brands a boost in 2021, doubling their spending on designer goods compared with 2019. Spending by wealthy consumers was up a more modest 30% from prepandemic levels. Government stimulus checks, individual investors’ stock-market gains and excess savings are drying up. Higher food and gasoline prices are forcing less affluent consumers to make cutbacks.

Wealthier shoppers still look flush. Card transactions for luxury goods among consumers earning more than $125,000 a year increased 21% in April compared with a year earlier, only a slight slowdown on the 28% rate recorded in the first quarter. The overall trend suggests that although appetite for luxury goods remains enormous in the U.S., only brands’ core customers can still afford to splurge.

Back in China, major luxury labels are confident that sales will bounce back as restrictions lift. But a weak second quarter could continue to weigh on share prices in the near term. Europe’s largest luxury stocks are already down 32% on average since the beginning of the year, compared with an 18% decline for the MSCI Europe index. Hermès International RMS 2.77% and Kering have been hit particularly hard.

Wealthy Americans still offer some hope to luxury brands, but most U.S. consumers now have more important things to spend their money on than a $1,000 bag.

Business Of Fashion How Luxury Brands Court the 1 Percent

How Luxury Brands Court the 1 Percent
With luxury experiencing a post-Covid boom, brands have put VIP experiences into overdrive, courting wealthy shoppers in the US with sumptuous dinners and exotic trips.
Dinner at a Mytheresa private client event in Palm Beach, Florida on February 28, 2022. (Shane Drummond/BFA.com)

KEY INSIGHTS
  • The game of attracting very important clients, or VICs, has kicked into high gear for fashion brands, with wealthy shoppers hungry for both luxury products and elaborate experiences post-Covid.
  • Brands are finding that big spenders can help fuel a business, with 3 percent of MyTheresa’s top customers making up 30 percent of its business.
  • With the American luxury market experiencing a boom, many brands are keen for wealthy shoppers in the American South, and recruiting younger shoppers with tech or crypto-made fortunes.

Penny Pinar Karabey is used to being treated like royalty by luxury brands.
A resident of New York’s Upper East Side with a house in Southampton, Karabey lives a luxury-fueled lifestyle, constantly shopping for charity galas, board meetings and other events. Brands and retailers like Fendi, Dior and Saks Fifth Avenue work hard to keep her in their circles, inviting her to private parties, cocktail events and fashion shows in Europe.
But lately, even Karabey has been surprised by the attention. Jewellery, perfume and footwear companies — some of which she’s never shopped with — have been aggressively courting her with invites to private trunk shows and intimate cocktail parties.
“They see that I shop a lot, and am an important customer,” Karabey said. “They are finding me … and asking me to come to their party.”

With 125,000 followers on Instagram, Karabey has an audience but isn’t a celebrity. Still, her penchant for big fashion spending earns her the star treatment: brands lend her outfits and will even shut down a boutique so she can shop privately.
The elaborate, competitive and secretive world of courting private clients — where brands allocate enormous budgets for gifting, events and trips — is a decades-old practice and an important marketing tactic in fashion. Big and loyal spenders can fuel as much as 40 percent of sales, said Gary Wassner, chief executive of Hilldun Group, a retail consulting agency. At the luxury e-commerce company Mytheresa, 3 percent of its customers make up 30 percent of its business, chief customer experience officer Isabel May told BoF.
Lately, the game of attracting very important clients, or VICs, has kicked into high gear. Brands are acutely aware that wealthy shoppers are hungry for both luxury products and elaborate experiences post-Covid. Fashion is investing in its top shoppers accordingly — as well as finding new ones. With the American luxury market experiencing a boom, many brands are particularly keen to lure wealthy shoppers in the American South and in markets like Austin and Miami, as well as younger shoppers with tech or crypto-made fortunes.
“For European brands, the US was all about the West Coast, East Coast, but they’ve realised the US is large and there are wealthy customers everywhere,” said Federica Levato, the EMEA leader of fashion and luxury at Bain.
VICs represent enormous potential profits, and managing those relationships is extremely important, said Laurent Thoumine, managing director and retail lead at Accenture. These private experiences, he said, are “absolutely the key to generating revenue long-term.”
How Luxury Finds Its Big Spenders
The VIC strategy is similar to that of casinos treating “whales” to hotel suites and expensive champagne. At Mytheresa, VICs spend in the “high seven figures,” said May, while sources told BoF Dior private clients typically spend $100,000 minimum with the brand annually. (Dior did not respond for comment.)
“Brands don’t want someone going straight for shoes or handbags. They are looking for shoppers who buy into the whole brand… in every category,” said Gab Waller, a fashion stylist and luxury sourcer who works with VICs.

And while some VICs cross into celebrity-influencer territory, many of luxury’s biggest spenders prefer privacy.
“[Brands] keep this world very secretive because these people are extremely, extremely private,” said Nolan Meader, a fashion stylist who works with several VICs. “Their social media is usually private. They aren’t flaunting what they have.”
Sometimes, a VIC relationship begins in store, where the spend amount will catch a retail associate’s eye. Other times, existing VICs will refer family and friends. Nurturing the relatives of wealthy families is a high priority, noted Meader. Fashion brands also look for influence and visibility, seeking VICs who are “professionally active founders, lawyers, board members, and young entrepreneurs,” said May. Increasingly, brands are also eyeing young tech professionals and crypto wealth.
(L-R) Nedas Butkevicius, Aqila Agha and Ozzy Gazali in Milan during fashion week in February 2022. (Imran Amed)
Previously, VICs were predominantly old-school spenders — “the Baby Boomer, the lady who lunches at Bergdorf,” said Levato. Increasingly, younger shoppers are also included. Gucci VIC Nedas Butkevicius, a 22-year-old pilot from Lithuania, believes he caught the brand’s attention because of his interest in its clothes. In February, Gucci flew him out to Milan for its Fall 2022 show and paid for his accommodations. (Gucci declined to comment for this story).
“Of course, Gen-Z is very young, but they are also inheriting the wealth of [their] Baby Boomer parents,” said Levato. “Then there’s a start-up [Millennial] who has tons of money and can spend. These new personas and new sources of wealth are super relevant, worldwide, but specifically in the US.”
Indeed, luxury brands are turning to the US to find their next crop of VICs, just as lockdowns send spending in China, long considered luxury’s top market, down. In shifting their focus to the US, brands hope to turn growth-driving, first-time buyers into repeat customers with lavish experiences. Last month, Givenchy flew some of its top American shoppers to the ritzy Save Venice charity gala masquerade in New York. In March, Alexander McQueen organised a multi-day experience in New York for its American VICs, including a separate runway show. Gucci brought VICs to Coachella, and in December, Brunello Cucinelli opened Casa Cucinelli in New York, a new boutique exclusively for top clients.
“The US is … my fastest-growing client market, not just for the amount of new clients, but also for the level of spend,” said Waller. Originally from Australia, Waller moved to the US to specifically be closer to her VIC clients.
The interiors of Casa Cucinelli, a private client showroom in New York City. (Justin Bridges)
Since the pandemic, brands are also looking to regions beyond New York or Los Angeles for big American spenders. Mytheresa has hosted more private client events throughout Florida and Texas, recently hosting an event in Miami with Domenico Dolce. Saks Fifth Avenue is focusing on Dallas, Aspen, Miami and Naples, Fla., while Neiman Marcus, which has doubled its VIC experiences year over year, has thrown events in Miami and San Francisco. Specific vacation destinations that attract wealthy clientele, like Miami for Art Basel or Aspen during ski season, are also important.

“The brands know that this group of people go to Monaco for the Grand Prix, to St. Moritz in January to ski, to Miami for Art Basel, so the hosting in these places has just exploded,” said Meader. “They’re trying to get closer to the luxury client.”
Changing Experiences
Once they’ve found their VICs, fashion houses and major retailers work to nurture those relationships, and recently, VIC activations have gone into overdrive.
“When the lockdown lifted, every house just went to the walls, crazy, and VIP experiences have doubled or tripled,” said Christine Chiu, a star of the Netflix reality show “Bling Empire” who owns a successful Beverly Hills plastic surgery clinic with her husband. This week, Chiu, a VIC with Alexander McQueen and Balenciaga, among other brands, is attending the Cannes Film Festival with Chopard, where she’ll attend movie premieres, dine in the region’s best restaurants and stay in luxurious accommodations, on the jewellery brand’s dime.
Nearly every VIC receives early access to collections and brand party invites, but trips and seats at fashion shows are the most exciting ways to draw in top shoppers. Saks Fifth Avenue has taken some of its VICs to the Oscars and Wimbledon. Gucci has hosted movie screenings in the Savoy’s Royal Suite in London, as well as dinner parties with Gucci chief executive Marco Bizzarri and parent company Kering’s chief François-Henri Pinault.
A Mytheresa dinner with Dries Van Noten in Antwerp on April 27, 2022. (Virgile Guinard)
“It’s what money can’t buy,” said May of Mytheresa. “These people have … a lot, they travel the world, but we offer special access to a setting, to people, to designers, that they would not have by themselves.”
Brands also treat VICs with small gestures. Aqila Agha, a 54-year-old private client of Gucci in London who is an avid collector of Gucci capes, said she appreciates the brand sending her birthday flowers and extending VIC invites to her two daughters.
“Gucci feels like my family,” Agha said.
Remembering a shopper’s birthday or adding family to a party list are also ways to reward heavy spenders outside of the top tier, and are initiatives that can scale, in comparison to trips that are typically reserved for the highest level of VICs.
But every VIC experience, from flying to a fashion show to attending an intimate dinner, comes with unspoken spending expectations. While VICs are often offered line sheets for pre-ordering collections at fashion shows, or wake up the morning after a dinner party to a text from a sales associate, the ask must be handled delicately.
A Neiman Marcus Prada brunch for private clients in Dallas in May 2022. (Beckley)
“It’s a dance,” said Chiu. “Whoever the brand [is] designating to building these relationships has to be a great communicator. When one particular brand’s sales associate was so frank, it was very off-putting.”
Brands often hire entire teams to look after these relationships, and the job is constantly evolving, as VIC ambassadors move from one social media channel to the next. Presently, companies like Louis Vuitton, Farfetch, Stadium Goods and Dior are all hiring for private client managers.
It’s a heavy effort, but when the job is done right, a VIC experience can unlock major brand loyalty. Once Gucci started giving a shopper like Ozzy Gazali, a 26-year-old Qatar-based financial consultant, its VIC experience some five years ago, Gazali said he stopped buying brands like Dolce & Gabbana and Givenchy and started spending exclusively with Gucci.
“I just really found myself in this brand,” said Gazali. “I love their ideas of gender fluidity and how they express that philosophy in a very contemporary way. It’s become a second home for me.”

WWD : New Teams: Jacquemus and Nike, Vuitton and Kusama, Fendi and Istituto Mara

New Teams: Jacquemus and Nike, Vuitton and Kusama, Fendi and Istituto Marangoni
Jacquemus teased a collaboration this summer with Nike, Louis Vuitton is again working with artist Yayoi Kusama and Fendi is teaming with Istituto Marangoni and artist Sarah Coleman.

RUN HIS WAY: Simon Porte Jacquemus, who spent the weekend hanging out with pal Dua Lipa, has hit the week running by teasing his upcoming collaboration with Nike on Instagram on Monday.

“For this collaboration with Nike, I wanted to create a collection that reinterprets athletic women’s sportswear in a minimal way. I have always been inspired by vintage ACG pieces and Nike campaigns from the 1990s,” the French designer said in a statement.

Porte Jacquemus said he imagined “a world where outdoor pursuits and court sports co-mingle within a new, integrated aesthetic” for this collaboration, which spans apparel and footwear along with “a variety of hallmark Nike designs with unisex footwear and accessories.” The items will drop on his brand’s e-commerce on June 28 and will be rolled out globally across Nike’s retail network throughout the summer.

“Having this imagery in mind, we designed women’s athleticwear with sensuous details and neutral colors, along with my own interpretation of the Humara — my favorite Nike shoe. It was important for the collection to be accessible, for all bodies, and to be a natural blend of Jacquemus style and Nike performance,” he continued.

No further details on the designs have been revealed but Jarrett Reynolds, vice president of catalyst apparel design at Nike, stated the collaboration had involved “[drawing] from vintage ACG inspiration, the interweaving of Nike Dri-Fit fabric, and [considering] footwear like the Humara, to create a nexus of sport and style that could only be done through the shared lens of Nike x Jacquemus.”

The Nike x Jacquemus collection, described as redefining summer ready-to-wear as “comfortable anywhere, anytime,” comes as Whitney Malkiel, vice president and general manager of Nike Global Women’s, told WWD in an interview on the brand’s 50th anniversary that it would continue to experiment with collaborations as consumers continue to look for comfort and versatility in the post-pandemic world.

“Women are still loving the idea of comfort and versatility. What we’re seeing them do is start to mix it up with something more tailored and structured as they head back into the world and back to work. We’re excited to play into that as we move forward,” she said. — LILY TEMPLETON

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>>> Up
* BBGI Global Infrastructure SA Raised to Hold at Stifel (+)
* Bechtle Raised to Buy at Baader Helvea; PT 60 euros
* Delivery Hero Raised to Buy at Bryan Garnier; PT 66 euros
* Diploma Raised to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 2,450 pence
* Greenvolt Raised to Buy at JB Capital Markets; PT 8 euros
* Heineken Raised to Buy at Bryan Garnier; PT 100 euros (+)
* Just Eat Takeaway Raised to Buy at Bryan Garnier; PT 55 euros
* Krones Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 96 euros
* Marimekko Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 14 euros
* Prosus Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 73.40 euros
* Rational Raised to Hold at DZ Bank; PT 550 euros (+)
* Renew Raised to Buy at Numis; PT 900 pence (+)
* Unipol Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 7 euros
* Victorian Plumbing Group Raised to Add at Numis; PT 60 pence (+)

>>> Down
* Acciona Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 185 euros
* B&S Group Cut to Hold at ING; PT 7.25 euros
* Delticom Cut to Hold at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 3.30 euros
* UnipolSai Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 2.98 euros

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* BMW Rated New Outperform at Bernstein; PT 100 euros
* flatexDEGIRO Rated New Underperform at Autonomous Research
* Koenig & Bauer Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 24 euros
* Mercedes Rated New Outperform at Bernstein; PT 85 euros
* Porsche SE Reinstated Underperform at Bernstein; PT 60 euros
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* Vicore Pharma Rated New Buy at Nordea; PT 84 kronor
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* VW Reinstated Market Perform at Bernstein; PT 208 euros


>>> Call
* Avoid Calling Bottom to Crypto Slump, UBS GWM’s Haefele Says (+)
* Bechtle Up to Buy at Baader With Multiple Contraction Overdone
* Bryan Garnier Turns Positive on Food Delivery, Just Eat Raised (+)
* Diploma Upgraded at RBC With Valuation Now Less Stretched
* Goldman Downgrades Global Stocks’ Short-Term Outlook to Neutral
* Japan, UK Stock Valuations Are Becoming Attractive: Berenberg (+)
* Prosus and Naspers Both Raised at JPMorgan After Tencent Upgrade
* Unipol Upgraded to Buy, UnipolSai Cut to Hold at Berenberg
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>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market indications

  • Daimler Truck (DTG TH) +4.1%
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  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +2.9%
    • Bryan Garnier Turns Positive on Food Delivery, Just Eat Raised
  • Prosus (1TY TH) +2.7%
    • Prosus and Naspers Both Raised at JPMorgan After Tencent Upgrade
  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +2.2%
    • Watch European Miners as Base Metals Recover, Iron Ore Falls
  • Just Eat Takeaway (T5W TH) +2.1%
    • Bryan Garnier Turns Positive on Food Delivery, Just Eat Raised
  • Bechtle (BC8 TH) +2%
    • Bechtle Up to Buy at Baader With Multiple Contraction Overdone
  • Kering (PPX TH) +1.6%
  • Vodafone (VODI TH) +1.5%
    • Vodafone Sees 2023 Adjusted Ebitda After Leases EU15B to EU15.5B
    • *VODAFONE 4Q ORGANIC SERVICE REV. +2%, EST. +2.25%
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  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) +1.1%
  • Swedish Match (SWMC TH) -0.9%
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    • Evotec, Sernova Partner for Diabetes Cell Replacement Therapy
  • Unilever (UNVB TH) -1.1%
    • Unilever Double Downgraded at SocGen With Firm’s Hands ‘Tied’

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market indications

DAX:
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    • Daimler Truck Raises Sales Outlook on Higher Prices, FX Gains
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +3.7%
    • Bryan Garnier Turns Positive on Food Delivery, Just Eat Raised
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) +1.4%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +1.2%
  • Siemens (SIE TH) +1.2%
MDAX:
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    • Bechtle Up to Buy at Baader With Multiple Contraction Overdone
  • Commerzbank (CBK TH) +1.7%
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  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) +1.5%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) +1.3%
  • Cancom (COK TH) +1.2%
  • Telefonica Deutschland (O2D TH) -0.7%
SDAX:
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  • Krones (KRN TH) +2.4%
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  • Adler Group (ADJ TH) -8.9%
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