After Hours Summary: DLO +16.9%, AGYS +13.9%, TCS +10.3% higher on earnings; DOCS -16.7% falls on earnings; NCMI +17.9% jump as AMC discloses stakeAfter Hours Gainers:
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: DLO +16.9%, AGYS +13.9%, TCS +10.3%, APPN +1.9% (reaffirms guidance; also Chief Revenue Officer to leave)
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: NCMI +17.9% (AMC discloses 6.8% stake in NCMI), SPNT +9% (Chairman and CEO resigns to pursue other opportunities), AMC +3.1% (AMC discloses 6.8% stake in NCMI), BAH +2% (wins NASA cybersecuirty contract, according to FedScoop), AMR +1.7% (responds to report from activist short-selling firm), AMWL +0.3% (to shorten earnout period with acquisition of SilverCloud Health), MAA +0.2% (increases dividend), CWK +0.2% (acquires Cresa Partners of Los Angeles), RNR +0.2% (files for $1 bln mixed securities shelf offering), GRIN +0.1% (sells medium range product tanker, acquires a supramax bulk carrier), APPS +0.1% (to restate results for JunQ, SepQ and DecQ)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: DOCS -16.7% (also authorizes up to $70 mln for share buybacks), NXGN -2.4%, KEYS -0.5%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: LAB -4.3% (stock offering), ACRE -3.7% (stock offering), CASA -2.1% (stock offering), ROOT -1.5% (launches Root Insurance in Alabama and Florida), LMT -1% (awarded $630 mln Navy contract), DWAC -0.9% (to delay 10-Q filing), HVT -0.1% (increases dividend), RES -0.1% (CEO to transition to Exec Chairman role), FE -0.1% (names new board chair)
Closing Stock Market SummaryThe S&P 500 rose 2.0% on Tuesday, as the market was supported by a contrarian mindset and a reprieve in growth concerns. The Nasdaq Composite (+2.8%) and Russell 2000 (+3.2%) raced ahead the benchmark index with about 3% gains while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.3%
Ten of the 11 S&P 500 sectors closed higher by at least 1.0%, including five sectors with gains over 2.0%. The information technology sector (+2.9%) claimed the top spot, while the consumer staples sector (-1.2%) was the lone holdout amid an 11% drop in Walmart (WMT 131.35, -16.86, -11.4%) following its disappointing earnings results and guidance.
The contrarian mindset today was rooted in a BofA Global Fund Manager Survey that showed cash levels at their highest position (6.1%) since 9/11 and the largest underweight position in equities since May 2020. Growth concerns were alleviated by the following developments:
Home Depot (HD 300.95, +4.93, +1.7%) reported better-than-expected earnings results and guidance, United Airlines (UAL 46.97, +3.43, +7.9%) increased its Q2 unit revenue outlook, total retail sales for April rose 0.9% as expected, retail sales excluding autos rose 0.6% (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%), and industrial production for April jumped 1.1% (Briefing.com consensus 0.9%).
In addition, Shanghai reported no new COVID cases for three straight days outside quarantined zones, further supporting its reopening initiative. On a related note, Hong Kong plans to relax coronavirus restrictions later this week while Japan plans to allow small groups of tourists to enter the country this month.
An improved growth perspective helped tame inflation concerns, which were highlighted by Walmart and Fed Chair Powell at a Wall Street Journal virtual event. Home Depot also mentioned inflation pressures, which contributed to an 8.2% yr/yr decline in customer transactions in the first quarter.
Mr. Powell said the Fed will be more aggressive with rate hikes if inflation doesn't come down in a clear way, but he did preface the comment with an observation that the Fed can be less aggressive if inflation does clearly come down. This was largely consistent with his prior view on monetary policy.
The Treasury market was in sync with rate-hike and inflation expectations, as well as with the general upbeat mood on Wall Street. The 2-yr yield rose nine basis points to 2.67%, and the 10-yr yield rose nine basis points to 2.97%. The U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.8% 103.35. WTI crude futures fell 1.4%, or $1.59, to $112.21/bbl.
Reviewing Tuesday's economic data:
- Total retail sales increased 0.9% month-over-month in April ( consensus 1.1%) following an upwardly revised 1.4% increase (from 0.5%) in March. Excluding autos, retail sales rose 0.6% ( consensus 0.3%) after increasing an upwardly revised 2.1% (from 1.1%) in March.
- The key takeaway from the report, which is not adjusted for inflation, is that higher pricing helped in the sales growth, yet spending increased across most discretionary categories.
- Total industrial production increased 1.1% month-over-month in April ( consensus 0.5%), marking the fourth consecutive month of gains of 0.8% or greater. The capacity utilization rate increased to 79.0% (consensus 78.6%) from a downwardly revised 78.2% (from 78.3%) in March.
- The key takeaway from the report is that it shows ongoing strength in industrial production and exposed the potential for further strength as motor vehicle production is expected to improve with any improvement in supply chains, particularly for semiconductors.
- The NAHB Housing Market Index for May decreased to 69 (consensus 75) from 77 in April.
- Business inventories increased 2.0% m/m in March ( consensus 1.9%) following a revised 1.8% increase (from +1.5%) in February.
Looking ahead, investors will receive Housing Starts and Building Permits for April and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index on Wednesday.
- Dow Jones Industrial Average -10.1% YTD
- S&P 500 -14.2% YTD
- Russell 2000 -18.0% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite -23.4% YTD
In addition to the mauling suffered by the OG of all tech investors, Tiger Global, which we profiled earlier and which saw widespread sales and liquidations in its tech-heavy portfolio, a rundown of the latest 13F data reveals that many other hedge funds also cut their exposure to the stock markets worst performing sectors in the first quarter - primarily tech - while significantly increasing their holdings of surging energy shares, according to a Bloomberg analysis of the data. Overall, the moves have been beneficial to the funds with the sectoral trends continuing into the second quarter, and adverse to those funds - like Tiger and its offspring - which retained an overweight exposure to tech.
The S&P 500 fell 5% in the first three months of the year, but there was a wide variance in sector performance. Energy stocks led the way, soaring by 38%, while the worst performing groups were information technology (-8.6%), consumer discretionary (-9.2%) and communication services (-12%), all of which are especially sensitive to rising interest rates.
According to a summary of the latest trends courtesy of Bloomberg's Justin Zacks, investors decreased technology holdings by 1.4%. Among the largest aggregate sales in the group were Microsoft Corp., which saw its stock price decline 8.3% in the quarter, PayPal Holdings Inc. down 39%, and Shopify, down 51%.
The consumer discretionary sector saw a -0.8% decrease in its weighting by large investors. Home Depot Inc. had several large exits as mortgage rates soared to multiyear highs. Nike Inc. and Starbucks Corp. also saw large drops in aggregate holdings as supply chain issues and worries over demand in China due to Covid-19 lockdowns plagued the companies. Polen Capital Management reduced its stake in Starbucks by 12.3 million shares to 849,854 shares in the first quarter.
Funds decreased their exposure to the communications sector by 0.8%, led by large sales of Meta Platforms Inc., which lost 34% in the quarter. Edgewood Management sold 8.4 million shares of Meta in the first quarter, almost its entire position.
Institutional investors increased their weighting in the energy sector by 1.2% in the first quarter, led the sectors largest company, Exxon Mobil Corp., up 35%, as well as oilfield service companies Schlumberger NV, up 38%, and Baker Hughes, up 51% (as we have been saying since late 2020, these names have much upside). West Texas Intermediate crude rose 33% in the quarter as Russias invasion of Ukraine curtailed supply amid strong reopening demand as a spike in Covid-19 cases waned.
Energy is the top performing S&P 500 sector in the second quarter, up 8%, while consumer discretionary (-21%), information technology (-16%) and communication services (-16%) comprise the bottom three again. This is likely helping hedge fund performance in the second quarter relative to an 11.5% decline in the S&P 500.
The best performing S&P 500 stock in the first quarter, Occidental Petroleum Corp., saw its overall weighting increase due to a 96% rise in its share price. But several large holders used the run-up to take profits. Carl Icahn sold his entire stake of 32.1 million shares, while MFN Partners Management exited its position of 10.9 million shares in the quarter.
Epam Systems Inc., the information technology services company with a significant employee presence in Ukraine, Russia and Belarus, was the worst performing in the S&P 500 index in the first quarter, down 56%. Many institutional investors rotated out of the name, including Morgan Stanley, which sold 3.8 million shares.
13F filings from some of the most prominent investors are moving stocks Monday.
- Carl Icahn also cut his exposure to LNG producer Cheniere Energy Inc. by 40% to 9.72 million shares. A purchase of 644,510 shares of International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. was his only new position.
- Sachem Head Capital Managements largest position, representing 22% of disclosed assets, is International Flavors, which it cut slightlyby 410,850 shares to 6.43 million in the first quarter.
- Sachem Head was a buyer of beaten up tech stocks during the quarter, including 253,100 shares of Salesforce Inc., down 16% in first quarter, 2.84 million shares of Opendoor Technologies Inc., down 41%, and 5.72 million shares of Momentive Global Inc., down 23%.
- Soros Fund Management pared its holdings in transportation and automotive stocks, exiting its 860,002 share position in General Motors Co., its 529,297 share position in Uber Technologies Inc. and its 35,550 share position in Lithia Motors Inc.
- Soros did not sell any shares of its largest holding, Rivian Automotive Inc., which represents 19% of its disclosed assets, despite a 52% drop in shares during the quarter.
- Trian Fund Management sold its entire 20 million share stake in Comcast Corp., which fell 7% in the first quarter amid a subscriber slowdown due to a pandemic pull-forward and increased competition. The telecommunications providers success will likely depend on its high margin broadband business, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Geetha Ranganathan wrote in a research note Monday.
- Trian took a new 450,267 share stake in food company Mondelez International Inc. in the first quarter. Unilever Plc is down 1% Monday after Trian disclosed it did not make any purchases of the consumer goods companys stock in the first quarter despite press reports to the contrary.
- Appaloosas only two new buys in the first quarter were casino stocks, 525,000 shares of Las Vegas Sands Corp. and 225,000 shares of Wynn Resorts Ltd.
- In contrast, the fund, whose founder David Tepper told CNBC on May 10 that he covered his Nasdaq short, exited 12 of its holdings in the first quarter including the sale of a 1.28 share position in T-Mobile US Inc. and a 2.25 million share position in General Motors Co.
- Soroban Capital Partners was a seller of big tech in the first quarter, exiting its 1.58 million share position in Meta Platforms Inc., down 34% in the first quarter, and its 531,135 share position in Netflix Inc., down 38%. Its sole new purchase was a 2.03 million share position in Yum! Brands, Inc.
- Berkshire Hathaway Inc. was a seller of pharmaceutical stocks in the first quarter exiting its 3.03 million share stake in AbbVie and its 5.2 million share stake in Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
- Berkshire, which already holds 1.01 billion shares of Bank of America Corp., a position which was unchanged during the quarter, opened a new 55.2 share position in competitor Citigroup Inc., while exiting its 675,054 share stake in Wells Fargo & Co.
Here are some other moves made by prominent funds tracked by Bloomberg:
APPALOOSA
- Top new buys: LVS, WYNN
- Top exits: TMUS, GM, DHI, PHM, KMX, ALIT, EWY
- Boosted stakes in: UBER, AMZN, MSFT
- Cut stakes in: FB, MU, PCG, M, XLE, GT, GOOG, XOP
BAUPOST GROUP
- Top new buys: GTN, NE
- Top exits: PSTH, NLOK
- Boosted stakes in: EHC, FISV, DBX, GOOG, IS, NUVB, QRVO
- Cut stakes in: FB, INTC, VRNT, MU, DBRG, ATRA, JOBY
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY
- Top new buys: OXY, HPQ, C, PARA, CE, MCK, MKL, ALLY
- Top exits: ABBV, BMY, WFC
- Boosted stakes in: CVX, ATVI, FND, RH, GM, AAPL
- Cut stakes in: VZ, STOR, RPRX, KR
COATUE MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: DOCU, LCID, NVAX, PANW, ENPH, AMD, BYND
- Top exits: BZ, LRCX, PFE, CFLT, SHOP, AMAT, MA
- Boosted stakes in: SQ, PTON, DASH, MRNA, TSLA, UBER, PARA
- Cut stakes in: RIVN, DIS, AMZN, PYPL, BNTX, BEKE
CORVEX MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: CEG, AES, FMX, CRC, SWX, PSTH
- Top exits: PLAN, EXC, CRM, TMUS, DIS, ZNGA, MA, V
- Boosted stakes in: FIVN, AMZN, UBER
- Cut stakes in: MGM, GOOGL, JPM, CCEP, MSFT, EQRX
DUQUESNE FAMILY OFFICE
- Top new buys: TECK, CTRA, PXD, PNC, CVE, ZEN, WDAY
- Top exits: GOOGL, PANW, CVNA, ABNB, SBUX, LYV
- Boosted stakes in: CVX, MSFT, SMAR, TMUS, KBR, PLTR
- Cut stakes in: BKNG, SNAP, FLEX, SE, EXPE, DISH
ELLIOTT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: SU, DO
- Top exits: DELL, HTA, DUK, ARNC
- Cut stakes in: EVRG, VAL, NE
- Boosted stakes in: MPC, ETWO
GREENLIGHT CAPITAL
- Top new buys: SWN, WFRD, INSW, SNX, XLE, FCG, OIH
- Top exits: JACK, SONO, TWTR, CNXC, FREY, SATS
- Boosted stakes in: KD, GLD, CIVI, CC, LIVN, REZI
- Cut stakes in: GRBK, CPRI, BHF, GPRO, VSCO, ME
ICAHN
- Boosted stakes in: IFF
- Top Exits: OXY
- Cut stakes in: LNG, NWL, DK
JANA PARTNERS
- Top exits: M, LPSN
- Boosted stakes in: ZEN
- Cut stakes in: THS, LH, SPY, EHC, MRCY
LONE PINE
- Top new buys: TSM, FB, TEAM, DKS, BILL, TMO, HUBS
- Top exits: BEKE, ADBE, SNOW, NTES, CFLT, PVH
- Boosted stakes in: SQ, MSFT, RH
- Cut stakes in: SHOP, SNAP, MA, UNH, DASH, BBWI
MAVERICK CAPITAL
- Top new buys: SQ, WSC, COUP, COST, FIVE, BURL, LULU
- Top exits: ATVI, ASO, SE, DD, CFLT, PCOR, BHG
- Boosted stakes in: TMUS, OSH, ULTA, DKS, SEAS, UAA
- Cut stakes in: CPNG, NFLX, LRCX, FB, ADBE, V, AMAT
SACHEM HEAD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: ZEN, MNTV
- Top exits: KBR, DEN
- Boosted stakes in: LIVN, CVNA
- Cut stakes in: IFF, UBER, FLEX, USFD
SOROBAN CAPITAL
- Top new buys: YUM
- Top exits: FB, FIS, NFLX, MA
- Boosted stakes in: CVE, X, AA, NTR
- Cut stakes in: LOW, MSFT, ADI, V
SOROS FUND MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: ZNGA, FRSH, TEAM, LCID, TJX, MGM, STRY
- Top exits: ATVI, GM, ALLY, UBER, MQ, OMF, HAIN
- Boosted stakes in: CERN, GOOGL, JPM, NKE, ACN, INTU, CRM
- Cut stakes in: DHI, LBRDK, ARMK, PTRA, ELAN, OPEN
STARBOARD VALUE
- Top new buys: HUM, MRCY, KSS, LPSN, ETAC, IRRX, TGR
- Top exits: SST
- Boosted stakes in: GDDY, CYXT, WTW, ARTE, ACAQ, IQMD
- Cut stakes in: ACIW, CERN, ON, CTVA, CVLT, IWM
THIRD POINT
- Top new buys: CSX, AA, OVV, SU, MOS, IR, CVE, WDC
- Top exits: GOOGL, UPST, ACN, CSGP, BURL, DIS
- Boosted stakes in: S, EQT, ZEN, HTZ, DD, CANO
- Cut stakes in: AMZN, INTU, MSFT, RIVN, DHR
TIGER GLOBAL
- Top new buys: STRY, DAVE
- Top exits: NFLX, ADBE, COUP, RUN, PYPL, ASAN
- Boosted stakes in: CRWD, LI, MNDY, SQ, BZ, S, TOST
- Cut stakes in: ZM, FB, DASH, UBER, AMZN, DOCU
TRIAN FUND MANAGEMENT
- Top exits: CMCSA
- Boosted stakes in: IVZ, MDLZ, GE, JHG, FERG
- Cut stakes in: SYY, PG
VALUEACT
- Top new buys: BLD
- Boosted stakes in: NSIT, KKR
- Cut stakes in: STX, TRN, BHC, SLM