>>> Up
* Aker BP Raised to Hold at Berenberg; PT 390 kroner
* Jadestone Energy Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 140 pence
* JPMorgan European Growth & Income Raised to Buy at Investec
* Orange Raised to Outperform at Bernstein; PT 13 euros
* Rolls-Royce Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 118 pence
* Scandic Raised to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 45 kronor
* Tesla Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT $1,100
* Tritax Big Box Raised to Buy at Numis; PT 285 pence
>>> Down
* Gulf Keystone Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 300 pence
* Kosmos Energy Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 670 pence
* LondonMetric Cut to Hold at Numis; PT 300 pence
* Maisons du Monde Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 12.40 euros
* TAG Immobilien Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 16 euros
>>> Initiation
* Demant Reinstated Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 319 kroner
* GN Store Nord Reinstated Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Helios Underwriting Rated New Hold at Jefferies; PT 154 pence
* Rheinmetall Reinstated Buy at Goldman; PT 298 euros
* Saab Reinstated Sell at Goldman; PT 352 kronor
* Shell Rated New Outperform at Bernstein; PT 3,100 pence
* Thales Reinstated Buy at Goldman; PT 146 euros
>>> Call
* European Oil & Gas Stocks Still Have Room to Run, Berenberg Says
* Rolls-Royce Shares Clearly Mispriced, Morgan Stanley Upgrades
Asian stocks dropped and bond yields surged on Monday following a fresh high in American inflation that heaped pressure on the Federal Reserve to intensify monetary tightening. Equities shed more than 2% across Asian markets. Tech shares in Hong Kong declined 3%, weighing on the broader Hang Seng index. US futures slid, with Nasdaq 100 contracts down 1.8% and those for the S&P 500 1.3% lower. The declines come in the wake of steep losses on Wall Street that contributed to the worst drop in global shares last week since October 2020.
The yen weakened to the key psychological level of 135 per dollar, putting a 24-year low in sight, as Japan’s easy monetary policy increasingly stands at odds with developed-market peers hiking rates. Treasury yields surged across the curve, led by shorter maturities, with the two-year rising 10 basis points to the highest level since late 2007. Yields on 30-year Treasuries are below those on five-year notes, pointing to fears that sharp Fed interest-rate hikes will spark a hard economic landing. New Zealand’s 10-year bond yield topped 4% for the first time since 2014 in the slipstream of the moves in Treasuries. The dollar was stronger on haven demand amid the toxic mix of rising costs and slower growth. Risk sensitive crrencies like the Australian dollar weakened. Oil, one of the commodities stoking price gains, retreated to about $119 a barrel. Markets are also contending with Covid outbreaks in China, where Beijing and Shanghai resumed mass virus testing. The fear is China’s Covid-zero strategy will lead to repeated lockdowns that damage both its economy and global supply chains. The latter are also being affected by the war in Ukraine. The US consumer price index rose 8.6% in May from a year earlier -- a fresh 40-year high -- in a broad-based advance, adding to a slate of troubling inflation data globally. Many investors expect half-point Fed rate hikes this week and again in July and September. Barclays Plc and Jefferies LLC said an even bigger 75-basis-point move is possible at the June meeting.
Nikkei -2,93% Hang Seng -3,24% CSI -1,43% Shanghai -1,19% Shenzen -0,32%
Eur$ 1,0490 CNH 6,7555 CNY 6,7372 JPY 134,81 GBP 1,2278 CHF 0,9890 RUB 58,1346 TRY 17,2477 WTI$ 118,82 -1,45% Gold 1,864,16 -0,45% BTC 25,027 -8,4% ETH 1,316 -10,75%
S&P -1,58% Nasdaq -2,09% EuroStoxx -1,59% FTSE -0,79% Dax -1,61% SMI -1,20%
Macro :
- Bitcoin Drops to One-Month Low as US CPI Report Hurts Sentiment
- Quant Theorists Are Paid to Delude Themselves, Cam Harvey Says
- US Natgas Falls as LNG Terminal Outage Eclipses Hot-Weather Woes
- US Hurricane Season Will Hurt Everyone This Year: Julian Lee
- Swiss Sanctions on Russia Narrow Scope for Commodities Business
- Yen Hits Key 135 Level Amid BOJ’s Increasingly Isolated Policy
Keep an eye on :
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- ADJ GY : Vonovia Open to Selling Adler Stake, CFO Tells Boersen-Zeitung
- ASRNL NA : ASR Nederland Plans to Sell Its Stake in Accell: FD
- ATO FP : Atos to Put IT Services in Separate Legal Entity: BFM Business
- BT/A LN : Billionaire Drahi Soon Gets a Fresh Shot at BT. Will He Take It?
- CPHN SW : CPH Group Raises Profit Forecast for Financial Year 2022
- DWS GY : SEC Investigating Goldman Sachs Over ESG Funds: DJ
- EDF FP : UK, EDF May Agree to Keep Coal Power Station Open for Winter: FT
- EMBRACB SS : Embracer CEO Says Swedish Values ‘Unwavering’ After Saudi Stake
- EBS AV : Cernko May Succeed Spalt as Erste Group CEO, Kurier Says
- ENX FP : Euronext: EDIM Deactivated for Some Equity Derivatives Contracts
- FER SM : New York to Start Construction of $9.5 Billion JFK Terminal
- HSVA LN : HSBC May Unlock $26.5 Billion in Asia Spin-Off: Report
- IBS PL : Ibersol Gets Revised Offer for Burger King Restaurants in Iberia
- Imcheck Therap : France’s ImCheck Therapeutics Secures $103M in Financing Round
- IIA AV : UBS Units Cut Immofinanz Stake Before Call to Scrap Dividend
- META US : Meta Scrutinizing Sheryl Sandberg's Use of Facebook Resources Over Several Years -- WSJ
- NFLX US : Bucket Studio Surges 22% as Netflix Confirms Squid Game Season 2
- ORP FP : Orpea Concludes Conciliation Protocol With Core Banking Pool
- RECSI NO : REC Silicon, Ferroglobe Sign Solar Supply Chain Expansion MOU
- RHM GY : Rheinmetall CEO Sees Revenue Boost on Defense Demand: BamS
- SAN FP : Sanofi-GSK: Covid-19 Booster Delivers Strong Immune Response
- SHEL LN : Workers Extend Strike at Shell’s Prelude LNG Facility By a Week
- GLE FP : SocGen Board Mandates Headhunter to Find Oudea Successor: Echos
- TEF SM : Predica Among Bidders for Telefonica’s Rural Fiber: Expansion
- TTE FP : TotalEnergies Wins Stake in $29 Billion Qatar Gas Project
- TLW LN : Workers Extend Strike at Shell’s Prelude LNG Facility By a Week
- VNA GY : Vonovia Open to Selling Adler Stake, CFO Tells Boersen-Zeitung
Meta Scrutinizing Sheryl Sandberg’s Use of Facebook Resources Over Several Years
Review focuses on the extent to which staffers worked on her personal projects
The lawyers investigating Facebook operating chief Sheryl Sandberg’s use of corporate resources are examining behavior going back several years, said people familiar with the matter, focusing on the extent to which staffers worked on her personal projects.
A number of employees have been interviewed as part of the investigation by Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc., META -4.58%▼ the people said, adding that the review has been under way since at least last fall.
It includes an examination of the work Facebook employees did to support her foundation, Lean In, which advocates for women in the workplace, as well as the writing and promotion of her second book “Option B: Facing Adversity, Building Resilience, and Finding Joy,” which focused on her grieving process following the sudden death of her husband, SurveyMonkey MNTV -7.13%▼ CEO Dave Goldberg, in 2015, the people said.
The Wall Street Journal previously reported that the investigation included a review of Ms. Sandberg’s use of corporate resources to help plan her coming wedding. That is a small piece of the investigation, according to the people familiar with the matter, who said it involves a broader review of Ms. Sandberg’s personal use of Facebook’s resources over many years.
Ms. Sandberg, 52 years old, announced last week she was resigning from her day-to-day role after 14 years, though she said she would continue to serve on the board of directors. Ms. Sandberg has been the longtime lieutenant to Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg, and in that role—and as the author of the leadership book “Lean In”—became one of the most prominent women in business. Ms. Sandberg said she was looking forward to spending more time on her foundation and women’s issues.
Ms. Sandberg has told friends and co-workers that she decided to step down because she was burned-out and weary of continuing her role as a “punching bag” for Meta’s META -4.58%▼ critics. She also sees Mr. Zuckerberg’s pivot to the so-called metaverse as a multiyear project that she wasn’t eager to take on, not least because it doesn’t directly entail the use of her core strengths in building advertising businesses.
People close to Ms. Sandberg say that while the review has irked her in recent months, it played no role in her decision to leave the company later this year.
“Sheryl did not inappropriately use company resources in connection with the planning of her wedding,” a spokeswoman for Ms. Sandberg said last week.
A Meta spokeswoman declined to comment for this article.
It couldn’t be determined what prompted the investigation into her activities that began in the fall. Some people close to the company said these types of concerns involving Ms. Sandberg had circulated for some time. They said that as Ms. Sandberg’s power within the company appeared to erode in recent years, it became less daunting for internal critics to raise concerns about her management.
That Ms. Sandberg, along with Mr. Zuckerberg, use corporate resources for some personal matters is no secret. The company already makes extensive disclosures about her and Mr. Zuckerberg’s use of corporate resources for certain personal matters. Ms. Sandberg also cited a number of Facebook employees in the acknowledgments section of Option B.
Ms. Sandberg could be asked to repay the company for employee time spent on her personal work, some of the people said. Some within Meta close to the investigation worry about potential Securities and Exchange Commission violations if Ms. Sandberg used professional resources for personal matters without adequate disclosures, although it isn’t yet clear what such violations might be, people familiar with the matter said.
David Larcker, a professor at the Stanford Graduate School of Business who focuses on corporate governance, said companies differ in what types of perks they approve for top executives but private jet use and security are often included. Some companies benchmark such benefits with their peers so they can stay competitive with executive compensation practices, whether corporate jet use, financial adviser assistance, country club memberships or otherwise. But using corporate employees who aren’t assistants for personal matters is more rare and likely requires board approval, he added.
Some Meta board members have been frustrated with Ms. Sandberg’s handling of a situation in which she helped press a U.K. tabloid to shelve an article about her former boyfriend, Activision Blizzard Inc. ATVI -0.39%▼ Chief Executive Bobby Kotick, and a 2014 temporary restraining order against him. The matter also became a part of the broader investigation, according to people familiar with the matter.
The Journal previously reported the Kotick issue and a spokeswoman for Meta said at the time: “Sheryl Sandberg never threatened the MailOnline’s business relationship with Facebook in order to influence an editorial decision.” Mr. Kotick has said it was his understanding that the Daily Mail didn’t run the story because it was untrue.
The probe into Ms. Sandberg’s activities follows a renewed effort within Facebook to boost the company’s regulatory compliance, following a $5 billion settlement with the Federal Trade Commission in 2019. Facebook hired its first chief compliance officer last year in order to beef up such checks and balances. Some parts of the investigation into Ms. Sandberg’s actions occurred after more stringent compliance practices were put in place at Meta, some of the people said.
Mr. Zuckerberg and other Facebook executives have sometimes used company resources, including private planes and staff time, to manage their personal affairs as well, according to securities filings, public documents and people familiar with the matter.
The reputation and safety of Mr. Zuckerberg and Ms. Sandberg have been long seen as inextricably linked to the company’s success. Facebook has hired professional pollsters to analyze their personal reputations, according to people familiar with the matter, because they were seen as connected to the image of the company overall.
People close to the executives say many of their activities—and of business executives broadly—aren’t strictly professional or personal but rather a bit of both and enrich them as leaders generally and help the company, including for recruiting.
Mr. Zuckerberg and Ms. Sandberg both use private planes for personal travel as part of their overall security program, according to Facebook’s latest proxy. Both executives also receive personal security at their residences as well as during personal travel, paid for by the company.
In 2021, Facebook paid nearly $9 million for Ms. Sandberg’s security at her homes and during personal travel and $2.3 million for costs related to her personal use of private planes, according to the company’s most recent proxy. Facebook spent $15.2 million on Mr. Zuckerberg’s security and $1.6 million in private plane costs.
Facebook staff assisted Ms. Sandberg during both of her book tours and in the acknowledgments of Option B, she thanked many employees for their assistance in putting the book together. It was also not uncommon for Facebook staffers to help Ms. Sandberg with work involving her foundation and sometimes assist with tasks for her family, according to people close to the matter.
Some people close to Ms. Sandberg said it was often more efficient to work that way.
Facebook employees also worked on Mr. Zuckerberg’s projects, including his 2017 tour of 30 American states, according to public records. One stop in Glacier National Park in Montana, Mr. Zuckerberg was joined by at least three full-time Facebook employees, according to public records.
At the time, he called it a “personal challenge.”
FTC faces staff exodus, anger over Biden-appointed Big Tech foe’s leadership
Progressives thought they had their dream pick to lead the Federal Trade Commission last year when President Biden nominated Lina Khan — but her management style is leading to staff discontent and risks derailing her ambitions, The Post has learned.
Khan, who made a name for herself as a wunderkind legal scholar and critic of Amazon prior to her Elizabeth Warren-backed confirmation as FTC Chair in June 2021, has promised to aggressively fight monopolies in the tech space and elsewhere.
Yet sources close to the agency, which has a mandate to enforce antitrust law and protect consumers, say that academic brilliance doesn’t necessarily translate into management ability — and that its 33-year-old leader’s inexperience has longtime staffers at the 1,100-person agency heading for the exits.
For example, Office of International Affairs director Randy Tritell is expected to leave later this month after 24 years with the agency, two sources close to the FTC said. Tritell had taken issue with Khan’s management style and had seen several members of his team reassigned to work on mergers and acquisitions, the sources said.
FTC spokesperson Peter Kaplan declined to comment on Tritell’s departure but said that the agency has “had to identify creative ways to re-allocate internal resources to help with this intense workload.” Tritell declined to comment.
nsiders worry that internal conflict and brain drain could handicap Khan’s ability to execute her agenda at a time when the FTC is already juggling several high-profile projects, including an antitrust lawsuit seeking to force Meta to sell off Instagram and WhatsApp and a probe of Amazon that includes scrutiny of its recent acquisition of film studio MGM that may lead to an eventual lawsuit.
“They’ve put her in this position of running an important federal agency when she has zero experience doing this kind of thing,” Eileen Harrington, a former executive director of the FTC who spent 27 years at the agency, told The Post. “She’s a rising star who’s been thrown off the deep end.”
‘People were devastated’
Staffers gripe that Khan meets with rank-and-file employees far less frequently than previous FTC chairs — and is perceived as favoring likeminded law professors over experienced litigators and staffers who understand the nitty-gritty details of running a federal agency.
Harrington, a self-described Democrat, said she started receiving distressing calls from friends at the agency shortly after Khan took the reins last year. Khan took far longer to introduce herself to staff than previous chairs and had a dismissive attitude toward career employees, sources close to the agency said.
“People were devastated that all they were getting from the chair’s office was criticism, refusal to engage,” Harrington said, adding that some called Khan “abusive” and a “tyrant.”
“They started quitting,” she said.
Kaplan, the FTC spokesperson, countered that Khan met with leaders of each FTC team in her first two months. Khan has also met with “the full staff of nearly every office in the agency” and given staffers opportunities to ask questions and share suggestions, according to Kaplan.
In addition to Tritell’s previously unreported plan to depart this month, other high-profile figures who have ditched the FTC since Khan joined include the agency’s former top economist Marta Wosinska, ex-privacy and identity protection chief Maneesha Mithal and former Bureau of Consumer Protection deputy director Daniel Kaufman.
“People with 15, 25 years of seniority are leaving,” Kaufman, who left in October after 23 years at the agency, told The Post. “That’s fairly unprecedented in the kind of number that I’m seeing.”
In a flurry of interviews with media outlets published Thursday, Khan vowed to pursue more “big lawsuits” that “focus on what we see as some of the biggest problems.”
Kaufman argues that Khan will have a tough time accomplishing her goals without longtime staff on her side.
“The senior career staff are the people who really understand the agency inside and out and understand how to get things done,” said Kaufman, who has since joined law firm BakerHostelter. “It’s a huge loss for the agency.”
Since October, at least 40 FTC staffers have left the agency for new jobs, including roles at Big Tech firms including Amazon, Apple and Google, MLex reported earlier in June.
“Chair Khan’s aggressive enforcement approach has meant that FTC lawyers are in high demand, especially by tech companies with a history of violating FTC orders,” Kaplan said in response to the staff defections, claiming that the staff attrition rate has been on par with the first 12 months of the agency’s two previous chairs.
Khan’s allies argue that her overhaul is necessary to reinvigorate a stagnant FTC, even if it ruffles some feathers.
“The FTC has been moribund and ineffective for years and the result has been out of control corporate concentration,” said Dan Geldon, a consultant and former senior adviser to Elizabeth Warren. “Lina is acting quickly and boldly to reverse the tide and she should continue doing that regardless of whether it provokes some insider griping.”
The discontent isn’t limited to managers. An internal survey showed that the percentage of staffers across the entire agency who have a “high level of respect” for the the agency’s senior leaders nosedived from 83% in 2020 to 49% in 2021, as first reported by The Information in April.
Following the release of the poll, Khan rolled back a ban on public speaking that had angered employees — and her chief of staff apologized for making “people feel like they do not have our trust and respect,” according to the outlet. Staffers grumbled that the mea culpa came just before the Office of Personnel Management began sending out the 2022 edition of the morale survey.
Asked about the 2021 survey results, Kaplan said Khan has taken “a number of concrete steps to address staff feedback” and that she “shares the passion of the FTC staff for the work they do” and “has enormous respect for their diligence and expertise.”
‘Ever-increasing workload’
In May, Khan asked Congress to up the agency’s budget from $377 million to $490 million so that she can hire more staff and cope with its “ever-increasing workload,” citing a wave of mergers and acquisitions.
Even Khan’s harshest critics concede that the FTC deserves more funding, but they also are concerned that the agency isn’t using its current resources effectively.
For example, some career FTC staffers bristled at a New Yorker profile of Khan published in November that paraphrased Khan as saying “she intends to steer the agency to choose consequential cases, with less emphasis on the outcomes.”
While Khan backers praise this attitude as evidence of her transformative vision, some critics have interpreted it as evidence that the chair plans to send staffers on wild goose chases that will result in headlines but not substantive legal victories.
Harrington went even further: “If the idea is, ‘We’re going to sue you even though we think we can’t win because this is what we think the law should be’ — honestly I think this is an abuse of power.”
In response to Harrington’s criticism, Kaplan said: “As Chair Khan has stated, her concern is that not taking action against illegal deals and practices sends a signal to the market that lawbreaking is acceptable. Given the agency’s limited resources, she is focused on targeting the largest actors that are inflicting the most harm and the root causes of harm to prevent it from recurring.”
Last December, the agency sued to block US chipmaker Nvidia’s $40 billion acquisition of U.K. chip designer Arm, arguing that the deal would let Nivida stifle competition in the computing space. Two months later, the companies called off the deal. American weapons manufacturer Lockheed Martin also ditched plans to buy rocket engine maker Aerodyne for $4.4 billion in February following FTC opposition.
But critics also point to the number of new cases brought by the FTC’s Bureau of Consumer Protection, which fell more than half from 79 in 2020 to 31 in 2021, according to Kaufman.
He said that the agency is on track to exceed last year’s figure this year, but that it’s a remarkably low bar.
“The 2021 numbers were so low that if they didn’t beat that number it would be truly shocking,” he said.
Additional reporting by Lydia Moynihan
The trouble with private jets...
…is that there aren’t enough to go around. We go inside the private aviation “crisis” of 2022
Passive investing has increased US stock volatility, study finds
Analysis raises fresh questions over widespread adoption of index-based investing
The rise of passive investing is distorting price signals and pushing up the volatility of the US stock market, according to academic research.
The analysis raises fresh questions about the widespread adoption of index-based investing, a trend that has allowed investors to save billions of dollars a year in the shape of lower fees — seemingly without hurting returns.
“Markets [have] become less efficient from the rise in passive investing,” said Valentin Haddad, associate professor of finance at UCLA Anderson School of Management.
Haddad and two other US academics examined trades by institutional investors and found that the rise in passive investors’ share of the market over the past 20 years “has led to substantially more inelastic aggregate demand curves for individual stocks, by 15 per cent”.
Passive investors have a “demand elasticity” of zero, that is they do not buy more of a stock if it becomes cheaper or less as it becomes more expensive.
An increase in the share of passive investment thus pushes the market’s aggregate elasticity down.
Market theory suggests this should not really matter — that when a trader is surrounded by less aggressive traders they themselves become more aggressive, cancelling out the effect and maintaining the market’s competitiveness.
But the academics found this “pass-through” was only about 0.6, meaning that almost half of the decline in the proportion of active investors translates into a reduction in overall demand elasticity.
“Passive money is not paying attention to any information. Efficient market hypothesis proponents say it’s not a big deal because others will come in,’ said Haddad, who co-authored the paper, How Competitive is the Stock Market?, with Paul Huebner and Erik Loualiche.
“But not enough people are showing up to trade. You have less information in the market, less aggressive trading, less accurate prices and a more volatile market,” he said.
He contended that even the rise in market turnover caused by the emergence of algorithm-driven high-frequency traders could not compensate for the decline in market efficiency caused by the reduction in more fundamentally driven active investors.
“HFT does offset it to some extent. It makes prices liquid but it doesn’t help on the longer-term horizon. Nobody is there to take a long view,” he said.
Felix Goltz, research director at Scientific Beta, a data provider, said the paper added to the growing body of research that shows the impact that passive investing has on markets is “huge”.
Goltz cited the “price effect” — in essence another phrase for an inelastic demand curve — that occurs when a stock enters an index and passive investors have to buy it.
“Even if the price goes up only marginally because of these investors you can make the case that rational investors should not buy the stock because there are alternatives, there are perfect substitutes, so there can’t be any impact on the price of such a stock. But there is evidence that there is an effect,” he said.
“These effects have been documented with the S&P 500: a stock increases its price when it enters the index and the opposite happens if it is kicked out.”
In the case outlined by Haddad et al, Goltz said investors were buying a stock “even though the price has gone up”, so demand is more inelastic and “you can have additional volatility from shifts in demand”.
He said the rise of passive funds investing on the basis of environmental, social and governance principles could exacerbate the problem.
With ESG, “the preference [to buy stocks in the index] is becoming stronger”, Goltz said. “People think [companies] are doing something harmful to society if they are not in the index so they care more about whether a stock is included.”
As a result, “demand should be more inelastic for stocks included in ESG benchmarks. That should lead to higher prices for these stocks,” Goltz added. Consequently they “would have lower long-term returns. If you don’t care about these [ESG] tastes, you can buy stocks that have higher long-term returns.”
Another academic, who declined to be named, said the findings were “not necessarily surprising”, given the size of the big index managers such as BlackRock, Vanguard and State Street Global Advisors, and how much they have absorbed of the float of public companies.
However, he said that “there is no reliable evidence yet that indexing systematically hampers the price discovery of stocks”.
Indeed, on balance, he said indexing may aid price discovery by increasing the supply of lendable shares and thus enabling short selling.
While accepting that the growth of passive investing has provided benefits to investors, Haddad believed pricing would be more accurate and volatility lower if more active traders were encouraged into the market. “There is still a very healthy [active] financial sector but it’s shrinking and we need some of these guys,” he said.
Investor LGIM airs doubts over £1.4bn tie-up of Capricorn Energy and Tullow Oil
There is ‘no clear strategic rationale’ for deal, says top 10 shareholder
The UK’s biggest asset manager has warned it has “strong reservations” about Capricorn Energy’s proposed £1.4bn tie-up with its London-listed rival Tullow Oil, claiming there is “no clear strategic rationale” for the combination.
Legal and General Investment Management (LGIM) has taken the relatively unusual step of speaking out against the all-share deal, which was announced at the start of June with the unanimous backing of both companies’ boards.
Other institutional investors contacted by the Financial Times also suggested the transaction was stacked in favour of Tullow’s shareholders and raised the prospect that the terms might have to be sweetened to secure the required approval of 75 per cent of Capricorn shareholders.
LGIM, a top 10 investor in Capricorn with a 3.9 per cent stake, said in a statement sent to the FT that “as a responsible investor, we have strong reservations about the proposed transaction”.
“It is our opinion that there is no clear strategic rationale for the combination.”
The asset manager, which also has a 1.74 per cent holding in Tullow, said it was concerned the tie-up would “worsen” Capricorn’s exposure to the transition away from fossil fuels given it is currently a gas producer but Tullow has oil assets. Gas is seen by some as a lesser evil as it has been used by some countries as a transition fuel.
The tie-up would “increase financial leverage, and increase the probability of the combined entity growing oil production over time, potentially in higher cost basins”, LGIM claimed, adding: “We do not believe there are material synergies between the two companies, their strategies or their business models.”
When announcing the deal at the start of June, Capricorn argued it would create a leading London-listed but Africa-focused energy group with assets in countries including Egypt, Ghana, Gabon, Côte d’Ivoire and Kenya that would provide opportunities for future growth. The two companies expect annual savings of $50mn by the second year after completion.
Under the terms of the transaction, Capricorn investors would receive 3.8 new Tullow shares for each of their existing shares. Tullow investors would own 53 per cent of the combined company, with Capricorn’s shareholders taking the remainder.
The deal has also raised eyebrows among other shareholders given it would allow heavily indebted Tullow — whose net debt was $2.1bn at the end of 2021 — access to Capricorn’s cash.
Previously known as Cairn Energy, Capricorn last year settled a long-running $1bn tax dispute with India and committed to return $700mn to shareholders through a $500mn special dividend and $200mn share buyback programme. But it retained the remainder of the settlement for potential acquisitions.
Some shareholders have questioned whether Capricorn could have found better targets.
“It looks a better deal for Tullow than it does for Capricorn,” another top 25 shareholder in Capricorn told the FT, adding that the deal would “fix” Tullow’s “stressed” balance sheet as it was effectively “issuing equity to buy something that is essentially cash with a few [Egyptian] assets on the side”.
Investec analyst Alex Smith said in a note this week that the deal “appears favourable to Tullow shareholders”, given the cash injection.
But another large shareholder noted that buying exposure to the oil price might actually be “appealing” for some Capricorn investors, given Brent crude is trading at more than $120 a barrel.
In a statement, Capricorn said that “We value the views of all our stakeholders and will continue to engage with them over the coming months . . . We believe the combination will provide significant near-term value growth from reduced costs, accelerated growth and a regular dividend distribution policy.”
Tullow declined to comment.