FT : Anglo-US group completes test flight of propeller aircraft powered by hydro

Anglo-US group completes test flight of propeller aircraft powered by hydrogen
Start-up ZeroAvia hails flight as major breakthrough for industry

An Anglo-US start-up has successfully completed a test flight of a propeller aircraft partially powered by hydrogen fuel cells in what it hailed as a major breakthrough for the industry.

The 10-minute flight by ZeroAvia took place in Gloucestershire on Thursday using a modified 19-seat Dornier 228 propeller plane.

It was the largest aircraft powered by a hydrogen-electric engine, according to the start-up.

Val Miftakhov, who founded ZeroAvia in 2017, described the test flight as a “historic day for sustainable aviation”, promising that the technology would be in “commercial use in just a couple of short years”. 

The aerospace industry is working on a number of different technologies, from “sustainable aviation fuels” to electric batteries and hydrogen.

Flying is one of the most difficult industries to decarbonise. Before the pandemic led to the grounding of much of the world’s aircraft, aviation accounted for roughly 2.4 per cent of global emissions.

While differences remain about the speed at which the industry can make hydrogen propeller flight a reality, there is a growing consensus that it will have a role to play in powering short to medium-haul aircraft.

Since it was launched ZeroAvia has pulled in about $150mn in backing from a range of high-profile investors including Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos, and agreed partnerships with the likes of British Airways, United Airlines and Shell, which is supplying it with the hydrogen.

Two-thirds of ZeroAvia’s 150 staff are in the UK, although the business is based in California.

The company plans to install its engines on existing airframes to simplify getting regulatory approval and reduce the time to market.

It has already conducted a number of test flights on smaller propeller planes. It hopes to have a 9-19 seat turboprop ready for commercial flights by 2025, with a 40-80 seat aircraft entering service by 2027.

For the test flight, the company retrofitted the Dornier aircraft with a full-sized prototype hydrogen-electric engine on the left wing.

The tanks storing the hydrogen and fuel cell power generation systems were housed inside the cabin of the aircraft.

Miftakhov said the company had already received 1,500 pre-orders for its engines, including 600-700 for the size tested during Thursday’s flight.

The company will announce its launch operators shortly. It will need to raise additional funds to support full-scale commercialisation of its engines.

Thursday’s flight was partially funded by the UK government’s HyFlyer II project backed by the Aerospace Technology Institute, which allocates state funding for innovation in the sector.

Grant Shapps, UK business secretary, hailed the flight as a “hugely exciting vision of the future — guilt-free flying and a big step forward for zero-emission air travel”.

>>> US Close Dow -0.76% S&P -0.76% Nasdaq -0.96% Russell -0.97%

Closing Stock Market Summary

The stock market retreat continued today, building on Wednesday's sizable losses. Today's negative bias was fueled by lingering growth and rate hike concerns following a slate of economic data this morning. 

Weekly initial claims (actual 190,000; consensus 212,000) decreased to their lowest level since late September, implying no new difficulties in the labor market that could put a quick stop to the Fed's hiking cycle.

At the same time, investors received weak building permits data for December (actual 1.330 mln; consensus 1.370 mln), highlighting the deteriorating economic backdrop and rising risk of a policy mistake triggering a deeper setback. However, that report contained one positive element, as single-family starts grew 11.3% month-over-month.

Piling onto the market's concerns, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said in a CNBC interview this morning "I think there's a lot of underlying inflation, which won't go away so quick," adding that he thinks rates will top 5.0%.

In addition to the aforementioned growth and rate hike worries, there may have been an element of profit taking behind the recent weakness after a big run to start 2023. Including today's losses, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are still up 1.6% and 3.7%, respectively, this year.

The main indices were pinned in negative territory for the entire session, but there was a recovery attempt in the afternoon trade that seemed to coincide with Fed Vice Chair Brainard giving a speech. Ms. Brainard's remarks did not include anything surprising. She said "Even with the recent moderation, inflation remains high, and policy will need to be sufficiently restrictive for some time to make sure inflation returns to 2 percent on a sustained basis."

The recovery attempt didn't last, however, and the main indices faded from session highs ahead of the closing bell.

Most of the S&P 500 sectors traded down with the industrial (-2.1%) sector showing the steepest loss. Other influential laggards included the consumer discretionary (-1.7%), financial (-1.2%), and information technology (-1.1%) sectors. 

The energy sector (+1.1%) led the outperformers amid rising oil prices. WTI crude oil futures rose 1.5% to $80.73/bbl.

Treasury yields made relatively small upside moves today. The 2-yr note yield rose three basis points to 4.12% and the 10-yr note yield rose two basis points to 3.40%.

In an expected development, Treasury Secretary Yellen notified Congress via a letter that the debt ceiling has been reached, prompting the Treasury Department to begin employing extraordinary measures.

  • Russell 2000: +4.3% YTD
  • Nasdaq Composite: +3.7% YTD
  • S&P Midcap 400: +3.6% YTD
  • S&P 500: +1.6% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: -0.3% YTD

Reviewing today's economic data:

  • Initial jobless claims for the week ending January 14 decreased by 15,000 to 190,000 ( consensus 212,000). Continuing jobless claims for the week ending January 7 increased by 17,000 to 1.647 million.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that new claims were at their lowest level since late September, implying no new difficulties in the labor market that could put a quick stop to the Fed's hiking cycle.
  • Total housing starts declined 1.4% month-over-month in December to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.382 million units ( consensus 1.355 million) while total building permits declined 1.6% month-over-month to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 1.330 million ( consensus 1.370 million).
    • The key takeaway from the report is that new single-family starts increased by 11.3% month-over-month even though total starts recorded a month-over-month decrease. This element lends some optimism regarding a sector that has been pressured by rising rates and decreasing affordability. That said, building permits, which have a leading indicator status, decreased for the third consecutive month.
  • The Philadelphia Fed Index fell to -8.9 in January ( consensus -11.0) from -13.8 in December.
  • Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventories showed a draw of 82 bcf versus a build of 11 bcf last week.
  • Weekly Crude Oil Inventories showed a build of 8.41 million barrels after a build of 18.96 million barrels last week.

Economic data tomorrow is limited to the December Existing Home Sales ( consensus 3.96 million; prior 4.09 million) at 10:00 a.m. ET.

Barrons : Starwood, KKR Retail Real Estate Funds Limit Investor Withdrawals

Starwood, KKR Retail Real Estate Funds Limit Investor Withdrawals

Investors increasingly want out of nontraded real estate funds—and the operators of those funds are putting up gates to limit redemptions.

Starwood Real Estate Income Trust and KKR KKR –4.79% Real Estate Select Trust disclosed in filings Wednesday that they have curbed redemptions after elevated investor withdrawal requests.

The Starwood real estate investment trust, known as SREIT, said investors holding 4.2% of the $14.2 billion fund requested redemptions in December, and that the fund honored just 20% of those requests based on a quarterly redemption cap of 5% of its net asset value. The 4.2% figure implies that holders of more than $500 million of the fund wanted their money back in December.

The Starwood REIT is run by Starwood Capital Group, a private real estate investment firm founded and headed by Barry Sternlicht. Sternlicht is chairman of SREIT.

The smaller KKR Real Estate Select Trust, run by alternatives investment manager KKR (ticker: KKR), said that investors sought redemptions for more than its 5% quarterly limit in the past three months and that it honored 62% of those requests.

The redemption percentage, or proration, indicates that investors holding about 8% of the REIT wanted their money back in the latest quarter. The KKR fund has a net asset value of $1.6 billion.

The actions by the KKR and Starwood funds follow the move by Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust, the largest nontraded REIT at about $69 billion, to pay out just 4% of investor requests for withdrawals in December to stay within its 5% quarterly cap.

Investors have stepped up withdrawal requests from nontraded REITs, which limit redemptions to 5% each quarter, after the REITs vastly outperformed public peers in 2022, creating an incentive for redemption. The nontraded REIT market had exploded in size during 2021 and early 2022.

WSJ : New FTX Chief Says Crypto Exchange Could Restart

New FTX Chief Says Crypto Exchange Could Restart
In his first public interview since taking over the failed cryptocurrency exchange, John J. Ray III said that he’s open to the idea of rebooting operations

FTX’s new chief executive, John J. Ray III, said he’s looking into the possibility of reviving the bankrupt crypto exchange as he works to return money to the failed company’s customers and creditors.

In his first interview since taking over FTX in November, Mr. Ray said that he has set up a task force to explore restarting FTX.com, the company’s main international exchange. Although top FTX executives have been accused of criminal misconduct, some customers have praised its technology and suggested that there would be value in rebooting the platform, he said.

“Everything is on the table,” Mr. Ray said. “If there is a path forward on that, then we will not only explore that, we’ll do it.”

FTX’s bankruptcy filing marked the largest of several failures of cryptocurrency platforms last year that froze millions of users’ access to their accounts. FTX, Celsius Network LLC, Voyager Digital Ltd. and BlockFi Inc. have used the chapter 11 process to explore restarting their businesses and selling their platforms to stronger rivals. Another option is to simply close up shop and return crypto holdings to customers as quickly as possible.

Mr. Ray said he would look into whether reviving FTX’s international exchange would recover more value for the company’s customers than his team could get from simply liquidating assets or selling the platform.

“There are stakeholders we’re working with who’ve identified what they see is a viable business,” he said.

Even if a reboot gets traction, the outlook for FTX’s customers remains highly uncertain. On Tuesday, FTX identified “substantial shortfalls” of digital assets at its U.S. and international exchanges relative to how much its customers are owed.

Mr. Ray’s job now is to identify any remaining pockets of value that could help plug that shortfall, the size of which FTX hasn’t disclosed. He is a veteran of restructuring troubled companies, most famously Enron Corp., where he helped return billions of dollars to the troubled energy trader’s creditors. After inheriting the top job at FTX, whose co-founders have been accused of misusing customer funds, Mr. Ray has worked to locate and secure assets belonging to its customers, who have been locked out of their accounts.

When he took over 69 days ago, Mr. Ray said he was given no indication of where FTX staff kept its customers’ cryptocurrency and cash. He and his skeleton staff discovered there was no centralized register that identified where the company stored its funds.

Mr. Ray said initially he got help from FTX co-founder Gary Wang and the former CEO of its affiliated trading firm Alameda Research, Caroline Ellison, in trying to track the companies’ funds. Mr. Wang and Ms. Ellison later pleaded guilty to criminal charges related to FTX.

Mr. Ray has clashed with FTX’s former CEO and co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried, who faces federal fraud and other criminal charges and has pleaded not guilty. Mr. Bankman-Fried has said it was a mistake for FTX to file for chapter 11 and criticized Mr. Ray’s handling of the company.

Mr. Ray said in the interview that Mr. Bankman-Fried’s comments were unhelpful and self-serving.

“We don’t need to be dialoguing with him,” Mr. Ray said. “He hasn’t told us anything that I don’t already know.”

Mr. Bankman-Fried responded in a text message: “This is a shocking and damning comment from someone pretending to care about customers.”

Over the past two months, Mr. Ray radically overhauled FTX’s structure, which had effectively no corporate governance to speak of, and cut dozens of employees, he said. His forensic teams are still combing through more than 30 terabytes of FTX’s data to find any information that could lead them to more money. The firm has discovered new wallets in the past week alone, he said.

FTX disclosed in bankruptcy court last week that it had found $5 billion in liquid assets and a $4.6 billion investment portfolio. Customers viewed that as positive, though it isn’t clear how much of that book value can be realized from the stakes that FTX and Alameda bought in crypto startups and other private ventures.

Mr. Ray has engaged investment bankers to sell some of FTX’s subsidiaries and venture investments. FTX, Alameda and other entities controlled by Mr. Bankman-Fried put more than $5 billion into more than 150 startups, as well as venture firms like Sequoia Capital, The Wall Street Journal has reported.

“They went on a spending spree” unlike any he had seen in his multidecade career cleaning up companies, Mr. Ray said.

Often, Mr. Ray said, there was no record or proof of transaction behind many of the multimillion-dollar deals done by Mr. Bankman-Fried during boom times for the crypto industry, when FTX became one of the world’s top crypto exchanges.

“Sometimes there were no purchase agreements, or the agreements weren’t signed,” he said. Mr. Ray added that the bankers on his team have had to call companies in which FTX invested to discover how much they paid for the stake and what the underlying business is.

Mr. Bankman-Fried, whose bail conditions have kept him largely confined to his parents’ house in California, continues to criticize how FTX is being managed through chapter 11. On Tuesday, he disputed Mr. Ray’s claims of a shortfall on FTX’s U.S. exchange. Writing on a newly created blog, Mr. Bankman-Fried posted purported tables of estimated FTX bank balances that displayed a surplus of several hundreds of millions of dollars to cover U.S. customer claims.

Mr. Ray said that Mr. Bankman-Fried’s calculations appear to include around $250 million of cash that sits at LedgerX, the regulated U.S. crypto derivatives business that FTX purchased in 2021. The problem, Mr. Ray said, was that LedgerX itself was bought with funds that had been improperly diverted from customers on FTX’s international exchange.

Effectively, Mr. Bankman-Fried’s proposed balance sheet would imply covering losses at the U.S. exchange through money that belongs to other customers, Mr. Ray said.

“This is the problem,” Mr. Ray said. “He thinks everything is one big honey pot.”

Mr. Bankman-Fried responded in a text message: “Mr. Ray continues to make false statements based on nonexistent calculations. If Mr. Ray had bothered to think carefully about FTX US, he would likely have realized both that his interpretation is wholly inconsistent with bankruptcy law, and also that even if one were to subtract $250m from my balance sheet, FTX US would *still* have been solvent. Rather, Mr. Ray sees everything as one big honey pot—one he wants to keep.”

Mr. Ray added that Mr. Bankman-Fried’s explanations about what went wrong at FTX under his leadership have often been misleading and confusing to customers.

“That’s unfortunate because people are continuing to be victims right now. They are victims of misinformation,” Mr. Ray said. “It’s harmful.”

Mr. Ray also defended himself against critics who allege he is more motivated by generating fees for himself than salvaging the FTX estate. Court filings show he makes $1,300 an hour. That cost—and the cost of the myriad lawyers, accountants and other experts working on the chapter 11 team—comes out of funds that would otherwise be used to repay FTX customers and creditors.

Mr. Ray said that the high levels of criminal activity surrounding FTX make it difficult to trust some existing employees, leaving him with little option but to retain seasoned professionals with expertise in dealing with criminal corporate activity, who typically come with a steep price tag.

“Crime is very expensive. It does a lot of damage to people,” he said. “And one of the damages is that people like me have to come in and fix it.”

>>> PLNT US : Bear Call Short Call

Planet Fitness (NYSE: PLNT — $7.43 billion) is the leading franchisor of low-cost gyms in the United States. The company’s low price point, as little as $10/month, convenient 2,000+ locations, and branding as a “judgment free zone” have been a hit with consumers. Planet Fitness has also been a hit with investors, shares are up ~350% since the company’s August 2015 IPO propelled by a growing franchise base that’s nearly doubled from 1,066 in 2015 to 2,091 franchised gyms today. At ~40x forward earnings, investors believe the franchise network is healthy and has room to grow. The Bear Cave doesn’t.
Through numerous Freedom of Information Act requests, The Bear Cave has uncovered hundreds of consumer complaints concerning overbilling, fraudulent transactions, excessive fees, and uncancellable memberships. The complaints allege a pattern of misconduct including 1) customers sending multiple cancellation letters that are ignored, 2) cancellation attempts in person that are ignored 3) billing being resumed post-cancelation 4) spurious fees, and 5) Planet Fitness preventing customers from canceling because they owe a back balance, among many other complaints. In addition, The Bear Cave believes Planet Fitness created a fake investor presentation slide to obscure franchisee saturation. After reviewing the evidence, The Bear Cave is left wondering whether Planet Fitness is actually a thriving gym franchise or an illegal billing operation with gyms on the side.
Every year millions of Planet Fitness members attempt to cancel their memberships. Many never go to the gym, some move, and others are off-put by Planet Fitness’s beginner-friendly antics. For example, Planet Fitness gyms have “lunk alarms,” loud alarms that will sound if gymgoers drop weights, grunt loudly, or engage in any intimidating behavior. In addition, Planet Fitness has no squat racks, no barbells, dumbbells that only go up to 75 pounds, and many franchisees host monthly pizza and bagel days. Planet Fitness staff have also turned away guests for having oversized water bottles or oversized builds.
Planet Fitness often boasts these measures ensure a “judgement free environment” for beginners. A skeptic may wonder if these measures are simply designed to discourage frequent gymgoers from joining Planet Fitness.

FT : Number of EU bankers earning above €1mn hits record following Brexit

Number of EU bankers earning above €1mn hits record following Brexit
Ranks of highest earners on continent grew more than 40% in 2021

The number of bankers and investment professionals in the EU earning more than €1mn hit a record in 2021 as investment banking boomed and Brexit pushed more staff to the continent.

The ranks of top earners swelled more than 40 per cent to 1,957 in 2021, according to figures released on Thursday by the European Banking Authority. It is the highest level since the EBA began data collection in 2010.

The surge highlights a consequence of Brexit, where senior bankers have had to relocate from London to EU financial hubs.

“This increase is linked to the overall good performance of institutions, in particular in the area of investment banking and trading and sales, continuing relocations of staff from the UK to the EU and a general increase in salaries,” said the EBA.

Italy, France and Spain took the lion’s share of the increase, with 70 per cent, but Germany remains the member state with the largest population of high-earning bank employees, close to 600.


Investment bankers were the single largest subgroup, with almost 750 earning above €1mn across the EU. The highest-paid banker in the EU, according to the EBA, was one in Spain who earned between €14mn and €15mn in 2021.

“A significant amount of variable remuneration corresponds to one severance payment,” the EBA said. 

The UK has long been concerned that post-EU uncertainty could have an impact on key sectors such as financial services.

In March 2021, the Bank of England demanded that lenders seek approval before relocating UK jobs or operations to the EU, following fears that European regulators were asking more staff to move there than necessary for financial stability purposes after Brexit.

The government has also taken steps in an effort to boost competition.

Former UK chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng announced plans to remove the bankers’ bonus cap in last year’s disastrous “mini” Budget, which his successor Jeremy Hunt confirmed.

Hunt unveiled a broad package of reforms in Edinburgh in December, including relaxing “ringfence” rules intended to separate riskier investment banking from retail operations.

Hunt said many of the more than 30 reforms were only possible because of “freedoms” gained from leaving the EU. However, earlier in January, Harriett Baldwin, the JPMorgan banker turned MP who now heads the Treasury select committee, said the government was being “disingenuous” in describing these changes as a Brexit dividend.

Senior executives are sceptical as to whether the Edinburgh reforms were sufficiently bold to provide a second “big bang” for the City of London. There are also concerns that the lack of an equivalence deal between the UK and the EU to recognise each others’ rules is hampering the UK’s competitiveness.

FT : EY could have stopped Wirecard fraud earlier, says judge

EY could have stopped Wirecard fraud earlier, says judge
Big Four firm should have acted after learning about fake software sales, court hears

The Wirecard trial’s presiding judge criticised EY on Thursday for allegedly failing to act on clear evidence of fraud at the German payments group.

The comments came after the prosecutors’ chief witness Oliver Bellenhaus described how an internal investigation had in 2019 found that a contract for a software sale was fake.

The finding triggered a €12mn writedown and was shared with the group’s auditor EY, according to Bellenhaus, a former Dubai-based manager for Wirecard, who is facing charges of fraud, embezzlement, accounting and market manipulation alongside former chief executive Markus Braun and the former head of accounting Stephan von Erffa.

“So EY at this time knew that Wirecard was forging contracts? What were the consequences?” judge Markus Födisch asked Bellenhaus. After hearing that there were no consequences, Födisch said in apparent disbelief: “I am just puzzled . . . [EY] could have handled it differently, and then the whole issue would have been uncovered more than a year earlier.”

Wirecard collapsed into insolvency in June 2020 after disclosing that €1.9bn in corporate cash and half its revenue were a sham. In the 12 months before the collapse, Wirecard raised more than €1.4bn in fresh debt. EY had been the auditor of the disgraced German payments company and for more than a decade gave its annual accounts a clean bill of health.

EY is still under investigation by Germany’s audit watchdog Apas over its work for Wirecard. The body, which in 2020 filed a criminal complaint against several EY audit partners, flagging potential violations of professional duties.

One year later, an investigation on behalf of the German parliament concluded that the auditor’s work suffered from serious shortcomings over a period of years. The Big Four firm is facing an avalanche of lawsuits by Wirecard investors and creditors who suffered billions of losses in the crash.

Bellenhaus told the court in Munich that he managed to reduce the required writedown to €2mn by fabricating two new contracts, inventing new software sales of €10mn. The €2mn writedown was considered insignificant by EY, according to Bellenhaus.

EY did not immediately respond to a Financial Times request for comment.