FT : UK businessman charged with helping Oleg Deripaska evade sanctions

UK businessman charged with helping Oleg Deripaska evade sanctions
US prosecutors seek to extradite Graham Bonham-Carter, who was arrested in London

A British businessman who worked for Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska has been arrested in London after being charged by US authorities for allegedly assisting his boss in evading sanctions.

The US attorney for the southern district of New York said Graham Bonham-Carter, 62, helped Deripaska service properties in the US and attempted to move valuable artwork from New York to London, even though the tycoon was subject to harsh sanctions imposed by the US Treasury in 2018 after Russia annexed Crimea in 2014.

“Bonham-Carter obscured the origin of funding for upkeep and management of Deripaska’s lavish US assets, in violation of the international sanctions,” Manhattan attorney Damian Williams said in a statement.

Britain’s National Crime Agency said it had secured Bonham-Carter’s arrest following an extradition request from the US. The businessman appeared before Westminster Magistrates Court before being released on bail.

In an indictment unsealed on Tuesday, US authorities alleged that Bonham-Carter worked for Deripaska for almost 20 years, and managed the oligarch’s properties in the UK and Europe, including a house in London’s Belgravia Square.

They said he wired payments totalling over $1mn from bank accounts in Russia to the US, to pay for staff and upkeep at Deripaska’s houses, and attempted to move art purchased by Deripaska from an auction house in New York to London, by disguising its owner.

Deripaska is among a group of Russian oligarchs and government officials who have faced the hardest measures imposed on individuals by the US in response to the invasion of Crimea. He was charged by US prosecutors last month with violating sanctions by allegedly keeping three luxury properties in the country.

His assets include Russian automotive factories and agricultural producers, as well as energy and aluminium companies EN+ and Rusal.

Earlier this year, the National Crime Agency also froze bank accounts in Graham Bonham-Carter’s name, citing “reasonable grounds to suspect the money in the accounts . . . was derived from the laundering of funds belonging to Deripaska”.

The NCA had previously ensured that a mansion in Belgrave Square belonging to Deripaska and a private office in Cleveland Row — estimated to be collectively worth more than £50mn — were frozen under UK sanctions.

“Oligarchs seeking to evade sanctions rely on skilled professionals to help them hide their true ownership of assets and sustain their lifestyles,” said Steve Rodhouse, a director-general at the NCA. “This criminality exploits global financial flows and hubs including the UK, and requires a collaborative international response.”

US prosecutors said they had found evidence that Bonham-Carter was working directly for Deripaska once sanctions were in effect.

In one email obtained by prosecutors from June 2018, three months after the administration of Donald Trump announced measures against Deripaska, Bonham-Carter wrote: “Times a bit tough for my boss as sanctions have hit him from the USA so not an ideal time.”

In another email from October 2021, he wrote: “It[’]s all good apart from banks keep shutting me down because of my affiliation to my boss Oleg Deripaska . . . I have even been advised not to go to the USA where Oleg still has personal sanctions as the authorities will undoubtedly pull me to one side and the questioning could be hours or even days!!”

FT : Westinghouse to be sold for $7.9bn in sign of nuclear power revival

Westinghouse to be sold for $7.9bn in sign of nuclear power revival
War in Ukraine has sparked fresh interest in industry that fell out of favour

Westinghouse Electric, a US nuclear power company, is being bought by a private equity-backed consortium in a $7.9bn deal four years after it emerged from bankruptcy, as the war in Ukraine spurs fresh interest in an industry that had fallen out of investor favour.

Brookfield Renewable Partners, one of the world’s largest clean energy investors, and Cameco, a supplier of uranium fuel, are buying the company in a bet that climate and energy security concerns will revive the nuclear sector’s fortunes.

They will purchase the group, which makes technology used in about half the world’s roughly 440 nuclear reactors, from a separate division of Brookfield Asset Management that runs its private equity investments.

“We’re witnessing some of the best market fundamentals we’ve ever seen in the nuclear energy sector,” said Tim Gitzel, chief executive of Cameco, which is based in Saskatchewan, Canada. “[Nuclear] energy is becoming increasingly important in a world that prioritises electrification, decarbonisation and energy security.”

Cameco also announced a $650mn stock sale to finance the deal. Its New York-listed shares fell by more than 13 per cent in after-hours trading.

Western policymakers had until recently shunned the development of new large-scale nuclear plants because of safety concerns and a series of massive cost and schedule overruns. But the urgency to address climate change has pushed nuclear power back into focus, given that it can provide carbon-free power, 24 hours a day regardless of the weather.

The International Energy Agency has said nuclear generation needs to double by 2050 to hit net zero targets.

Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine has shifted it further into the spotlight, as countries hurry to find reliable replacements for Russian oil and gas.

Brookfield Renewable Partners will purchase 51 per cent of Westinghouse for $2.3bn while Cameco will purchase 49 per cent of the company for $2.2bn. When including $3.4bn in existing debt, which is being kept on Westinghouse’s balance sheet, the buyers are paying an enterprise value of $7.9bn.

After the sale is complete, a chunk of the company will be owned by Brookfield Transition Fund, led by former Bank of England governor Mark Carney. “Every credible net zero pathway relies on significant growth in nuclear power,” Carney said.

The sale of Westinghouse represents a large windfall for Brookfield’s private equity business. It invested $1bn in equity to acquire Westinghouse after Toshiba, its former owner, put it into bankruptcy in 2017 amid large cost overruns at projects in Georgia and South Carolina. It will receive roughly $5.5bn through the sale and dividends.

A push to decouple Europe from reliance on Russian gas imports for power generation has shifted attitudes to the power source. There has been a fierce debate over nuclear phaseout in Germany this year and France has vowed to build 14 new reactors by 2050.

In the short term, Westinghouse could benefit from a push to replace suppliers to the more than 30 western reactors that operate on Russian technology. The company has sought expedited approval to provide replacement fuel for plants in countries including the Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria and Finland.

FT : CVC’s biggest bet yet: the fiercely private buyout firm set to go public

CVC’s biggest bet yet: the fiercely private buyout firm set to go public
Europe’s largest private equity company plans an IPO with implications for the entire sector

When plans for a money-spinning “Super League” of Europe’s top football clubs collapsed in a furious outcry last year, billionaire tycoons were forced into grovelling public apologies. But behind closed doors, Europe’s largest private equity firm had long since walked away.

CVC Capital Partners abandoned the project after early-stage talks about a possible investment. Then, after its collapse, the buyout firm stepped up to buy a stake in La Liga, Spain’s football league, for €2.1bn, giving it a share of broadcasting and commercial revenues for up to half a century.

If those revenues keep growing at present rates, CVC could treble or even quadruple its money in the next decade. Since the league is not on the hook for clubs’ costs, the vast majority of CVC’s revenue is profit.

“It’s the best deal in the history of private equity”, a rival football dealmaker says. “They are not going to lose money here.”

CVC has made tens of billions of euros buying stakes in household-name brands from Debenhams to Formula One to the maker of PG Tips tea, all while remaining largely hidden from public view.

Now, almost three decades since it spun out of Citibank’s London office, the 700-person firm with €133bn in assets is at a crossroads. By the beginning of this year, its top executives had finally decided to take the firm public.

That would bring it into line with its larger rivals, such as Blackstone, KKR, and Carlyle; allow it to stay ahead of European competitors like EQT, which has grown rapidly since listing in 2019; and permit the founders who still oversee the firm to eventually cash in their stakes.

But it would also attract a level of scrutiny that it is not used to, and risks watering down the high-risk, high-reward model that is fundamental to CVC’s culture — reducing its rainmaker executives to a smaller part of a sprawling institution.

Those plans have been on hold since the invasion of Ukraine derailed markets. Now, the conditions that made private equity a significant force in the global economy over the past decade have gone into reverse. But CVC’s stock market listing will be revived, insiders say: the only question is when.

CVC’s listing will test whether one of Europe’s oldest buyout groups, which is run almost entirely by men and has not moved far from its original model, can modernise. As private equity firms have transformed into one of the most powerful forces in finance since the 2008 crash, CVC’s bigger competitors have evolved into publicly traded asset managers where leveraged buyouts are not necessarily the largest part of the business.

This account of the company, at a pivotal moment in the history of both it and the private equity industry, is based on conversations with 20 insiders, advisers, investors, rivals and former staff — many of whom spoke on condition of anonymity — as well as court filings.

A ‘dog eat dog’ culture
Bill Comfort, who in the 1970s ran the business that CVC would spin out of, once joked that he entered the world of venture capital and private equity because he was too dumb to do anything else.

“What you find in this world is, you can be a doctor, [but] you gotta be really smart. If you can’t be a doctor, you go down the chain a little bit and you say, ‘OK fine, I can be an engineer’ . . . Then after you go through all the professions you turn around and say, ‘I tell you what, I’m not smart enough for any of those, I’ll just be a businessman.’ And what you find is, that’s where everybody ends up.”

The punchline is that “the businessman will cross over in intelligence” in the early years of their career, he added, “because they get exposed to so much”.

The Citi venture capital unit that Comfort oversaw from the US was an early pioneer of the investment model in London during the Thatcher years, recalls Jon Moulton, who worked for the company in the early 1980s. “Your returns were unbelievable . . . it was marvellous,” he says. The first meeting of the private equity industry’s UK lobby group took place in the Citi unit’s London office in 1981, he says.

But by the early 1990s a recession was setting in and a leveraged buyout boom was going bust. Staff elsewhere at the bank had long been in “revolt” about the carried interest payouts — a share of profits on successful deals — made by the venture capital business, Moulton says. “It became impossible to operate within Citi.”

The unit was spun off in 1993, overseen by Michael Smith, who chaired CVC until 2013 and who Moulton describes as “incredibly” private.

Since its early days, a defining feature of CVC has been its individualistic pay mechanism that rewards winners and makes losers suffer. Even young executives can make life-changing sums of money if their deals go well, since about a third of CVC’s share of the profits is handed out in low-tax payments to the small group directly involved.


One day in 2006, CVC’s co-founder Donald Mackenzie returned from lunch with Formula One magnate Bernie Ecclestone and declared he wanted the firm to buy into the sport. A junior colleague in his early thirties, Nick Clarry — who today is the force behind the La Liga deal — offered to work on the project.

When the Formula One deal later became the most lucrative in CVC’s history, that quick move would put Clarry in line for a personal payout of millions of pounds in carried interest.

But Clarry had also worked on a deal involving the UK vending machine company Autobar, in which CVC’s fund lost the entire €400mn of equity it had invested. He personally had to cover millions of euros of those losses by sacrificing the carried interest he had made from CVC’s investment in the luggage company Samsonite, and some of his return from the Formula One deal.

This is in stark contrast to CVC’s rivals, which pool risks and rewards so that one rainmaker’s gains offset a colleague’s losses. Some CVC executives are critical of rivals for what they call a “heads I win, tails you lose” model in which wealthy executives almost never lose out. If dealmakers are putting pension funds’ money at risk, they say, they themselves should be on the hook when things go wrong.

Internally, as in much of the finance industry, the money is a conduit for status. Losing money is one thing, insiders explain. But losing money and having to sacrifice your carried interest payouts from your next one or two deals to make up for it, in full view of your colleagues, is something else altogether.

Advocates say the model forces dealmakers to fight to rescue the companies they have bought when times get tough, meaning its deals rarely lose money.

At Samsonite’s lowest ebb, when profits fell more than 60 per cent after the 2008 crisis, CVC wrote off the more than €750mn of equity it had invested in the US-based luggage manufacturer.

But it ultimately made one-and-a-half times its money after restructuring the business and listing it in Hong Kong in 2011. Insiders question whether other buyout firms would have fought so hard to turn things around.

“It’s a tough culture — it’s dog eat dog,” one of its investors says. “But we want the best people investing our money.”

For much of the firm’s history, one of its most powerful figures has been Mackenzie. The 65-year-old Scot is not well-known: a Google search for his name reveals an Inverness used car dealership and a 19th-century fur trader before pointing to the financier.

“They want to keep a low profile because they’re making a lot of money,” says one rival dealmaker who knows CVC executives well. “It’s a cultural thing. The Americans are more outgoing and philanthropic; some of these Europeans try to be more low key.” Nobody at CVC wants to be named on a “rich list”, insiders say.

Three other executives have been lined up for the top jobs when CVC lists in Amsterdam. Rob Lucas is set to be chief executive, with the former Royal Bank of Scotland finance boss Fred Watt as chief financial officer and 62-year-old CVC co-founder Rolly van Rappard, who is Dutch, as chair.

In the public eye
Executives at the buyouts group, which has its headquarters in Luxembourg even though London is its largest base and its historic home, have long championed the benefits for companies of staying in private hands, such as freedom from quarter-to-quarter scrutiny by analysts and the press.

Going public may attract more scrutiny of the firm’s working environment, which one of the few women to have held a senior executive position at CVC said went beyond aggressive dealmaking to harassment and gender discrimination.

In 2016, a managing director at CVC alleged in court filings that six years earlier Chris Stadler, the head of the company’s North American business, had “grabbed and embraced” her and two female colleagues at a Christmas party, “forcing them to dance with him in a physically inappropriate manner and fondling their rear ends.”

CVC denied her claims in its court filings. It reached a confidential agreement to settle her employment and human rights law claim with no admission of wrongdoing by CVC, the firm said in 2016. It said recruiting a “diverse talent pool” was important, and it would “consult with [her] over the coming months regarding matters of diversity and inclusion.”

CVC found “no corroborating evidence from any of the other guests at the party”, the firm’s lawyers told the Financial Times, saying the other women with whom the female executive said he was dancing inappropriately denied that he acted inappropriately.

The manager who filed the complaint left CVC in 2015. In court filings, the firm said her employment was “terminated . . . in connection with a wider restructuring”, that she “had fractured relationships with her co-workers” and that she had sent an email “asserting gender discrimination” after learning her employment was at risk. She said in filings that CVC “fostered an environment that disfavors female employees”, which CVC denied.

Stadler remains in charge of the firm’s North American business, and is co-chair of its committee for ESG, or environmental, social and governance issues.

As a public firm, CVC would also find itself accountable to shareholders over the reputation of companies in its portfolio.

One of the most significant stories CVC became embroiled in last year was a scandal involving Teneo, a US public relations company in which it owned a majority stake. Teneo’s co-founder Declan Kelly resigned after the FT published allegations he had drunkenly touched several women at a party linked to a fundraising concert put on by Global Citizen, a campaign group whose board he sat on.

Stadler, who led the acquisition, was a co-chair of Global Citizen’s board and had attended the same party. Despite a growing media storm over Kelly’s behaviour, CVC stayed silent about the leadership of the company it had invested more than $450mn in.

The company is almost exclusively led by men. Of 34 managing partners and co-founders at CVC, just one is female: Cathrin Petty, who joined from JPMorgan in 2016, shortly after the legal complaint was filed. Its board of directors is made up of 16 men, corporate filings show. Insiders say it has been recruiting more junior women for years, which they expect will in future lead to more diversity at the top.

But change is overdue, says one CVC investor. “You go to their meetings, they talk about unconscious bias and extra HR people, so they’re putting a lot of attention on it,” he says. “But a lot of the same people are still there” from the time when the complaint was raised, he adds.


Planning for the future
Listed private equity groups are pulled in two directions by two different types of investor. Those who buy into their funds expect highly profitable dealmaking. But shareholders are more concerned about how much money they manage than how successfully they invest it. They prize the roughly 2 per cent management fees that private equity groups charge from their fund investors.

Private equity firms that go public often focus less on the profits from individual deals and more on accumulating hundreds of billions of dollars in assets by raising more and bigger funds.


CVC has started the process of accumulating assets. It set up a credit business in 2005 which now has €34bn under management. Last year it bought Glendower Capital, a specialist “secondaries” business that buys stakes in other private equity funds and facilitates deals where buyout groups sell companies to themselves. And it aims to raise a new main buyouts fund worth more than €22bn next year.

But CVC’s dealmakers look askance at how some listed rivals who have gone further down that path pay their staff. At Apollo Global Management, co-presidents Scott Kleinman and Jim Zelter and chief executive Marc Rowan do not even receive carried interest, the antithesis of CVC’s model where deal profits are prized above all.

To the extent that the firm’s dealmakers have got comfortable with the idea of going public, they have done so on the basis that its culture of prizing high performance on deals can be maintained, one insider says, though they acknowledged it was not clear how easily that could be balanced with public shareholders’ expectations.

Listing on a European exchange, as CVC plans to do, brings less onerous disclosure requirements than in the US. Smaller European rivals such as Bridgepoint and EQT have gone public without fully disclosing how much money their chief executives make. That is an attractive proposition for CVC.

Another appeal of going public is it would allow co-founders Mackenzie, van Rappard and Steve Koltes to eventually cash out. So could the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Kuwait Investment Authority, Singapore’s GIC and specialist finance firm Blue Owl, which all own stakes in CVC. Blue Owl’s investment last year valued CVC at about €15bn.

But it is not a good moment to list a company, let alone a private equity firm. Many of the companies that buyout groups own are themselves facing a period of turmoil, as debt costs rise and economies contract. Shares in listed European private equity groups EQT and Bridgepoint have fallen more than 50 per cent since the start of this year.

Goldman Sachs’s Petershill Partners, a London-listed group that owns stakes in private equity firms, highlighted in its earnings this month that the value of those firms — which is based largely on their steady stream of management fees — is falling as interest rates rise.

CVC was planning to give shareholders exposure mostly to those steady fees, keeping its other big income stream — carried interest — largely to itself. Raising the funds that generate those fees is harder now than at any time since the 2008 crisis. A fall in the value of pension funds’ other assets has left many overexposed to private markets and reluctant, or unable, to commit more cash to them.

But CVC may have little choice but to test the market next year.

“I haven’t met anyone who’s ever said, I’m so glad I’m public,” one insider says. But “if you want CVC to grow up and have the tools other private equity firms have . . . it would be nice to know the next generation is going to have that.”

FT : Megathreats by Nouriel Roubini — an avalanche of coming catastrophes

Megathreats by Nouriel Roubini — an avalanche of coming catastrophes
The economist who predicted the 2008 housing crash warns of disturbingly plausible calamities, from currency and climate crises to the mother of all debt disasters

At least there were only four horsemen of the apocalypse. But reflecting today’s rampant inflation, Nouriel Roubini now identifies 10 so-called megathreats, spanning various economic, financial, political, technological and environmental disasters. “Sound policies might partially or fully avert one or more of them, but collectively, calamity seems near certain,” Roubini jauntily concludes. “Expect many dark days, my friends.”

Readers of a nervous disposition may want to file this book in the bin before they turn a page. Those braced for an ice bath of pessimism may profit from its gloomy insights about the state of the world. Roubini’s warnings may be alarmingly scary, but they are also disturbingly plausible. One only prays that policymakers have better solutions than the author unearths.

Roubini certainly has form in predicting calamity and investors have learnt to ignore him at their cost (as he quips, he’s graduated from “being a Cassandra to a sage”). The Turkish-born American economist was labelled Dr Doom for warning of a housing crash ahead of the global financial crisis of 2008. But he cavils at this nickname because, he claims, it fails to recognise that he examines the upside with as much rigour as the downside. “If I could choose my nickname, Dr Realist sounds right.”

Little reassured, the reader confronts an avalanche of coming catastrophes.

On his specialist subject of economics, Roubini warns in Megathreats that the debt crisis of our lifetimes lies ahead. The entire world resembles the financial delinquent that is Argentina that has defaulted on its debt nine times since its independence in 1816. By the end of 2021, global debt, both public and private, exceeded 350 per cent of the planet’s gross domestic product. The Mother of All Debt Crises (Roubini capitalises the phrase to emphasise the point) looks inevitable either this decade, or next.

Every possible remedy to this looming debt disaster brings its own perils: the paradox of thrift, the chaos of defaults, the moral hazard of bailout, the wealth or labour taxes that kill investment or hit the most needy, the inflation that wipes out creditors. “Choose your poison,” he writes. The latest infatuation with modern monetary theory, keeping interest rates low while piling up more debt, will only lead to a different form of reckoning.

As if explicit debts were not enough to worry about, implicit debts are even more alarming. Even the richest societies are not rich enough to deliver on all the promises made to the swelling ranks of pensioners. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development has estimated that unfunded or underfunded government pension liabilities in the top 20 economies amount to a staggering $78tn. “Implicit debt is a major time bomb and a severe megathreat.”

Roubini doubts that our current crop of central bank governors are up to the challenge. Outstanding economists, such as the Federal Reserve’s Ben Bernanke (who has just been awarded the Nobel Prize) and the European Central Bank’s Mario Draghi, have been replaced by the current crop of lawyers and regulators. The strong likelihood is that they will do nothing to stop stagflation — the painful combination of stagnant growth and rising prices — that will make the 1970s look like a warm-up act. That will only lead to a Great Stagflationary Debt Crisis (note those capitals again).

Further currency meltdowns and economic instability will follow. The financial weakness of Greece and Italy may yet trigger a collapse of the European monetary union. Financial turmoil will also lead to more protectionism and the reshoring of industrial production. That will accelerate deglobalisation and the further fragmentation of our interconnected world.

Naturally, Roubini takes a dismal view of the impact of artificial intelligence, which is already leading to dangerous concentrations of corporate power, widening social inequalities and the spread of disinformation that undermines democratic politics. Such is the power of AI that it will destroy swaths of white-collar jobs and lead to mass technological unemployment. “I do not see a happy future where new jobs replace the jobs that automation snatches. This revolution looks terminal,” he writes.

The fight for technological supremacy between the US and China will further aggravate existing geopolitical tensions. That could well trigger a war between the two rival superpowers. Roubini airs the view that Washington’s previous embrace of China might count as the worst strategic blunder by any country in recent times because it accelerated the rise of a deadly, authoritarian rival. “China will become the largest economy in the world, there’s no doubt about that — it’s only a question of when,” he writes.

By this point, you might be able to guess Roubini’s conclusions about the climate emergency. All economic or technological fixes that stand any chance of addressing the scale of the problem (think global carbon taxes or direct air capture) are either politically impossible or prohibitively costly. The one million or so refugees who entered the EU in 2015, causing a massive political backlash, is only the prelude to the vast migrations of peoples to come. And Roubini suggests that with only 17mn people in Siberia, Russia’s far east may well be colonised by the Chinese, fleeing the consequences of climate change.

What, if anything, can be done to counter these megathreats? Not much, Roubini miserably concludes. Only seven pages of his book are devoted to a more Utopian future. While it is hard to dispute much of Roubini’s analysis, it would at least have been worth noting that humanity has experienced, and endured, many terrible times in the past. The world was not a happy place in 1941 but the global scourge of fascism was ultimately defeated. Great crises have often galvanised collective action that was unpredictable at the time.

The one possible Hail Mary pass Roubini sees is technological innovation leading to a surge in economic productivity and environmental improvement. Strong, inclusive, sustainable economic growth of more than 5 per cent a year could check many of these dangerous trends and enable us to afford universal basic income.

This reviewer was glad to see that one of his own articles on the promise of nuclear fusion energy provided some comfort to the author. But even on the most optimistic of assumptions, plentiful, cheap and green fusion energy remains decades away. “For anything resembling a happy ending to happen, computers poised to displace us must come to our rescue,” he writes. Despite the dangers, we had better bet on AI.

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • LVMH (MOH TH) +1.2%
    • LVMH Sales Soar as Dior Owner Boosted by Traveling Americans
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +0.9%
  • Novo Nordisk (NOVC TH) +0.7%
  • Enel (ENL TH) +0.6%
    • EU, UK Utilities’ Path Clarified by Windfall Tax, Yet Risks Loom
  • Veolia (VVD TH) -0.8%
  • Endesa (ENA TH) -1%
  • Puma (PUM TH) -1%
  • Encavis (ECV TH) -1.1%
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) -1.2%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) -1.5%
  • Siemens Healthineers (SHL TH) -1.7%
  • OCI (OIC TH) -3.1%
    • OCI Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 47 euros
  • GEA Group (G1A TH) -3.6%
    • GEA, Smiths Cut, Morgan Advanced Raised by RBC in Industrials
  • Philips (PHI1 TH) -7.2%
    • Philips Cuts Outlook on Worsening Supply-Chain Challenges

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +0.4%
    • Watch Chip Stocks as Intel Is Said to Plan Thousands of Job Cuts
  • Siemens Healthineers (SHL TH) -1.6%
    • Philips Cuts Outlook on Worsening Supply-Chain Challenges
MDAX:
  • Gerresheimer (GXI TH) +2.6%
    • Gerresheimer 3Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
  • GEA Group (G1A TH) -3.3%
    • GEA, Smiths Cut, Morgan Advanced Raised by RBC in Industrials
SDAX:
  • CropEnergies (CE2 TH) +5.6%
    • CropEnergies reports record sales
  • AUTO1 (AG1 TH) +2.1%
    • AUTO1 3Q Units Sold 163,500
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) +1.5%
  • PNE AG (PNE3 TH) -1.2%
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) -1.6%
  • Kloeckner (KCO TH) -7.7%
    • Kloeckner FY Adjusted Ebitda Forecast Misses Estimates

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 12th of October 2022

>>> Up
* Morgan Advanced Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 330 pence
* Orsted Raised to Neutral at Citi; PT 579 kroner
* Sinopec ADRs Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT $51.02

>>> Down
* Avanza Downgraded to Sell at Citi on Weaker Savings Outlook
* Brenntag Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 84 euros
* Covivio Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 50.50 euros
* Fuller Smith & Turner Cut to Sell at Panmure Gordon
* GEA Group Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 28 euros
* ICADE Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 32.50 euros
* Maasoeval Cut to Hold at Fearnley; PT 32 kroner
* OCI Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 47 euros
* Restaurant Group Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 35 pence
* Schibsted Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 185.40 kroner
* Smiths Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 1,600 pence
* Tullow Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 48 pence

>>> Initiation
* Argenx ADRs Rated New Market Perform at Oppenheimer
* DEME Group New Buy at Jefferies on Growth From Energy Transition
* MYNA US Rated New Outperform at Credit Suisse; PT $10
* Porsche AG Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 96.80 euros

>>> Call
* Citi’s Buckland Says Overweight Financials, Tech, Healthcare
* GEA, Smiths Cut, Morgan Advanced Raised by RBC in Industrials
* Porsche New Buy at Berenberg on Brand Power, Electrification
* RBC Cuts S&P 500 Target, Earnings Citing Weak GDP Through 2023
* Restaurant Group Shares Not Cheap, Cut to Hold at Berenberg

>>> What to look at today - 12th of October 2022

The dollar erased an advance and the pound swung to a gain after a report that raised the prospect of the Bank of England extending its emergency bond buying. US stock futures jumped and Asian equity markets pared losses amid a shift in risk sentiment. The Financial Times report indicated the BOE had briefed bankers that its bond buying program to stave off a crisis in UK pensions could persist beyond its Oct. 14 deadline. This ran counter to comments on Tuesday from the central bank’s governor urging investors to prepare for the program to stop this week. The unwinding in market moves on Wednesday pulled back the dollar while shares in Australia and South Korea edged higher. Equities in Hong Kong remained down.  The changes failed to move the yen, which remained around levels that have previously triggered intervention as investors prepare for higher US rates while the Bank of Japan sticks with ultra-easy policy.
   The drop in Chinese stocks came after little support was seen from aggregate financing and new yuan loans data that both beat consensus estimates by a wide margin. The outlook for China’s economy, which is struggling with Beijing’s Covid curbs and headwinds in the technology and property sectors, continues to cast a shadow over markets in Asia. Oil dropped for a third day on escalating concerns about a global slowdown, with US President Joe Biden saying a recession was possible. Russian President Vladimir Putin threatened further missile attacks on Ukraine after hitting Kyiv and other cities in the most intense barrage of strikes since the first days of its invasion.

Nikkei +0.00% Hang Seng -2.26% CSI -1.55% Shanghai -1.35% Shenzen -1.35%

Eur$ 0.9708 CNH 7.1745 CNY 7.1718 JPY 146.27 GBP 65.0548 CHF 0.9967 RUB 65.0548 TRY 18.5824 WTI$ 88.72 -0.71% Gold 1,667.25 +0.05% BTC 19,093 +0.39% ETH 1,291.79 +0.78%

S&P +0.62% Nasdaq +0.78% EuroStoxx +0.15% FTSE +0.08% Dax +0.23% SMI -0.12%

Macro :
- BofA Inflows Suggest Investors Think Stocks Are Nearing a Bottom
- Greenlight’s Einhorn Says Value Investing Might Never Come Back
- Semiconductor Selloff Is Scary and History May Not Help

Keep an eye on :
- ADEN SW : Randstad Outpaces Adecco But Staffers' 15% Gain Could Slow in 3Q
- AAL LN : Quellaveco to Operate as Court Reviews Water Rights: Minister
- AG1 GY : AUTO1 3Q Units Sold 163,500
- BMPS IM : Paschi, Treasury, Banks Still Working on Capital Hike Accord
- BNP FP : BNP Acquires Fintech Kantox to Offer Currency-Management Tool
- BOSN SW : Bossard 9M Sales CHF877.6M Vs. CHF744.3M Y/y
- BP/ LN : Mauritania Signs Gas Agreement With BP, Kosmos Energy
- CYAD BB : Celyad to Discontinue Development of CYAD-101
- EBK GY : EnBW May Get Bids for 49.9% TransnetBW Stake on Wednesday: HB
- EFGN SW : EFG: Positive NNA, Increased Profitability in First 9 Months
- FLTR LN : DraftKings CEO Sees California Sports Betting Approval in 2024
- ETL FP : Eutelsat 1Q Revenue Meets Estimates
- GXI GY : Gerresheimer 3Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
- KCO GY : Kloeckner FY Adjusted Ebitda Forecast Misses Estimates
- LEON SW : Leonteq Issues Statement on Media Article Published Oct. 10
- MC FP : LVMH 3Q Fashion & Leather Organic Sales Beats Estimates (1)
- MC FP : LVMH Rises in NY on Fashion Growth, Asia Trends: Street Wrap
- MTN LN : Elliott In Talks to Back Matalan Founder’s Bid for Company: Sky
- PHIA NA : Philips Sees €1.3B Non-Cash Charge in 3Q
- Prelios IPO : Davidson Kempner Hires Goldman for Sale of Italy’s Prelios: MF
- RAND NA : Randstad Outpaces Adecco But Staffers' 15% Gain Could Slow in 3Q
- ROG SW : Older Diabetes Drugs Linked to Reduced Dementia Risk in Study
- SAN SM : Santander Taps Guggenheim’s Rivero for Investment Banking Role
- SKAB SS : Skanska Gets Order in New York Worth $150m, About SEK1.5b
- SDRL NO : Seadrill Announces Relisting on New York Stock Exchange
- TRN IM : Terna Signs ESG-Linked Credit Line for €100 Million
- TTE FP : TotalEnergies Offers to Meet Non-Striking Unions for Talks
- VCT FP : Vicat Sees FY Ebitda Below 2021 Due to Electricity Price Rises
- VIFN SW : SIX Approves Vifor Delisting Submission, Date Still to Be Set