FT : China’s premier warns against conflict in Asia amid US tensions

China’s premier warns against conflict in Asia amid US tensions
Li Qiang calls for peace one day after Beijing threatens Taiwan over its president’s visit to California

China’s premier Li Qiang has warned against allowing “chaos and conflicts” to erupt in Asia and jeopardise the region’s prosperity amid soaring tensions with Washington.

Speaking at a conference of global political and business leaders, China’s second-highest official vowed that Beijing would continue to reform and open up as it sought to revive an economy stricken by strict Covid-19 controls.

“To achieve greater success in Asia, chaos and conflicts must not happen in Asia, otherwise the future will be lost,” Li told the Boao Forum for Asia, one of China’s biggest annual international conferences.

Li’s comments followed a warning from Beijing on Wednesday that it would retaliate if Taiwanese president Tsai Ing-wen met US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy during an upcoming trip to California.

While Li did not refer specifically to Taiwan, China and the US are increasingly at loggerheads over issues ranging from Washington’s close ties to Taipei to American efforts to control Chinese access to advanced semiconductor technology.

“Peace is the prerequisite for development and the significant success achieved by Asian countries in the past few decades,” Li told the forum, which was attended by Spain’s prime minister Pedro Sánchez, Singapore’s prime minister Lee Hsien Loong, Malaysia’s prime minister Anwar Ibrahim and IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva.

While most speakers at the forum have studiously avoided mention of the war in Ukraine, Sánchez and Lee condemned the Russian invasion in blunt terms on Thursday. The Spanish leader described the conflict as Russia’s “brutal and illegal aggression . . . that is causing a major humanitarian crisis, food insecurity and inflation”.

Spain is set to take over the EU’s rolling presidency in July, and Sánchez is expected to discuss the war during his visit to China. He is scheduled to meet Chinese president Xi Jinping on Friday.

European governments want Xi to use his influence with Russian president Vladimir Putin to help end the war, but there is deep suspicion in the west over Beijing’s close ties to Moscow.

Xi has not called Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy since Russia’s full-scale invasion but has maintained regular contact with Putin and met his Russian counterpart for talks in Moscow last week.

Beijing, which has sought to portray itself as a non-aligned actor, published a position paper on the conflict last month that did not condemn the invasion. State media regularly parrots Russian propaganda, referring to the conflict as a “crisis” rather than a war.

Singapore’s Lee on Thursday said Moscow had violated the UN charter and international law, while calling for Asia to remain open to trade with the west.

China’s Li also said Beijing would continue to expand market access to business, which was largely cut off for three years by pandemic restrictions, and “effectively prevent and diffuse major risks, particularly concerning financial sectors”.

Since becoming China’s premier and head of the cabinet this month, Li has sought to promote a more business-friendly face to the world.

“Beijing intensified its charm offensive as the new cabinet took office in March,” Morgan Stanley wrote in a recent report. It said Beijing had “dusted off its old playbook of opening up, substantiated with actions that announce the return of China — to business”.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades -30th of March 2023 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Anglo American Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Dustin Raised to Buy at Handelsbanken
* Equinor Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank (+)
* Ericsson Raised to Buy at DNB Markets; PT 80 kronor
* Fabege Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 80 kronor
* KGHM Raised to Buy at Erste Group; PT 151.70 zloty (+)
* Klarabo Sverige Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 16 kronor
* Novartis Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 105 Swiss francs
* Philip Morris Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $116
* Platzer Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 90 kronor
* SSAB Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 67 kronor
* SunPower Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT $13
* Tele2 Raised to Outperform at Exane; PT 115 kronor
* Telefonica Raised to Outperform at Exane; PT 4.40 euros
* Wallenstam Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 40 kronor
* Wihlborgs Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 80 kronor
* Xior Raised to Buy at KBC Securities; PT 44 euros (+)

>>> Down
* Atlantic Sapphire ASA Cut to Hold at Arctic Securities
* Boliden Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 335 kronor
* CMC Markets Cut to Hold at Jefferies, May Have Lost Market Share
* KPN Cut to Neutral at Exane; PT 3.50 euros
* Paradox Interactive Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken
* Salzgitter Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 34.60 euros
* Schwab Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $68
* Southern Copper Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $70
* Tele2 Cut to Sell at Handelsbanken
* Telefonica Deutschland Cut to Underperform at Exane

>>> Initiation
* Cadeler Rated New Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 50 kroner
* Everfuel Resumed Buy at Nordea; PT 85 kroner
* Reply Started Buy at Berenberg With Prospects Never Stronger
* SAP ADRs Rated New Buy at President Capital Management; PT $150

>>> Call
* European Mining Sector Risk/Reward Improved on Pullback, MS Says
* BofA’s Subramanian Calls Cash ‘Compelling Alternative’ to Stocks
* Tritax Big Box to Remain Resilient, Berenberg Raises to Buy
* SMA Solar Lifts Guidance, Has Solid Order Backlog: Jefferies (+)
* SSE Lifts Profit Guide; MS Sees Positive Reaction, EPS Upgrades (+)

WSJ : China Is Sending Its Corruption Hunters to a Country Near You

China Is Sending Its Corruption Hunters to a Country Near You
G-20 nations among first destinations in move that risks intensifying alarm over expansion of Beijing’s overseas activities

China is dispatching anticorruption enforcers abroad to chase down fugitives and recover stolen assets, a new extension of Beijing’s international reach aimed at strengthening Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s crackdown on graft.

The Communist Party’s top antigraft body and other government offices tasked with tackling corruption have begun stationing officials in some Chinese embassies, where they would coordinate with foreign authorities on law-enforcement matters, among other duties, according to people familiar with the plan.

These anticorruption inspectors will be based mainly in countries where corrupt Chinese officials are likely to have stashed large amounts of illicit funds, such as members of the Group of 20 nations, said one of the people. The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, the antigraft body, has pledged this year to ramp up cross-border efforts in fighting corruption, particularly across countries that participate in Mr. Xi’s Belt and Road Initiative to build global trade infrastructure—a group that includes G-20 members.

The deployments come as Mr. Xi renews demands to entrench the far-reaching anticorruption crackdown that he has directed since taking power in 2012. Chinese authorities say they have brought back nearly 10,700 suspects from abroad during Mr. Xi’s first two terms as party chief, including more than 60 of China’s 100 most-wanted economic fugitives. But CCDI officials say investigators face a tougher task in trying to solve outstanding cases and deter more sophisticated offenders.

“Currently, quite a number of fugitive cases are old cases that stretch over long time spans and where there are few effective clues,” said a commentary published by the CCDI’s official newspaper in December that called for more international cooperation in fighting graft. Officials must overcome these difficulties by strengthening coordination and coming up with new tactics and techniques, the commentary said.

The presence of anticorruption officials in Chinese embassies risks raising alarm in host countries. In Western capitals, concerns have grown over Chinese security forces trying to conduct law-enforcement duties beyond China’s borders. U.S. officials, for instance, have repeatedly complained about covert Chinese agents chasing fugitives on American soil without authorization.

It couldn’t be determined what specific activities the anticorruption inspectors would engage in abroad. Some are likely to be dispatched as legal attachés, the same title Chinese police officials typically adopt when they are sent abroad as liaison officers to foreign governments, according to one of the people.

Stationing CCDI officials in embassies as law-enforcement liaisons seems to be an attempt to legitimize this agency abroad and its alleged use of extralegal techniques to force fugitives to return to China, according to Laura Harth, campaign director at human-rights group Safeguard Defenders. Such deployments could have “severe effects on the enjoyment of rights and freedoms” of people who are potential targets of the CCDI, Ms. Harth said.

The CCDI didn’t respond to a request for comment.

As the vanguard in Mr. Xi’s withering decadelong crackdown on corruption, the CCDI plays a major role in Beijing’s campaign to pursue economic fugitives who have fled China, block the outflow of ill-gotten money from the country, and recover stolen assets. It does this through two parallel operations, “Fox Hunt” and “Sky Net.”

Fox Hunt focuses on repatriating fugitives accused of committing economic and financial crimes. Sky Net also targets the channels that suspects allegedly use to funnel money abroad, as well as the people and entities who help run these channels. Through Sky Net, China captured more than 7,000 fugitives and recovered some 35.2 billion yuan, or about $5.12 billion, in what authorities describe as ill-gotten assets during the five-year period that ended in late 2022, according to official data.

The CCDI has sought cooperation with foreign law-enforcement agencies for these operations, though Chinese officials have often struggled to get Western counterparts to help detain and repatriate suspects, in part due to lack of extradition agreements with major powers like the U.S., as well as Beijing’s alleged use of extraterritorial tactics in trying to retrieve suspects.

When Chinese security officials traveled to the U.S. in 2017 to press fugitive businessman Guo Wengui to return to China, agents from the Federal Bureau of Investigation told the Chinese officials that they were acting in violation of their transit visas and instructed them to leave the country, The Wall Street Journal reported at the time.

China has signed extradition treaties with about 60 countries, though more than a dozen of these pacts haven’t been fully ratified and brought into effect. Some 10 European Union member states—including France, Spain and Italy—have agreed to extradition pacts with Beijing, though many other Western governments haven’t done so.

At a policy meeting in January, CCDI chief Li Xi committed to bolstering Sky Net efforts this year, saying the agency would strengthen international cooperation in anticorruption work, and build “an integrated mechanism for chasing fugitives, preventing escape, and recovering stolen assets.” He also demanded efforts to improve mechanisms for applying relevant laws beyond China’s borders, without specifying how.

Chinese lawmakers have also discussed writing similar commitments on boosting international cooperation in anticorruption work into a forthcoming law on foreign relations, according to a recent draft.

China has said that many fugitives accused of corruption and financial crimes use countries in North America and Europe as major havens, and called on those governments to repatriate more of these suspects. For instance, Chinese authorities have described how one former state-enterprise employee, No. 3 on a list of 100 most-wanted economic fugitives that Beijing issued in 2015, had hidden himself or placed assets across a number of European countries—including Switzerland, Austria, Hungary, Liechtenstein, Cyprus and Sweden—before he was detained in Stockholm in 2018.

While international law-enforcement actions often involve formal cooperation and requests for assistance between governments, Washington has accused Beijing of applying clandestine methods to hunt fugitives in America. These include allegations that Chinese security agents have entered the U.S. under false pretenses to track down suspects and coerce them into returning to China, and that such agents sometimes used suspects’ family members as intermediaries.

In 2022, the European Court of Human Rights blocked China’s efforts to extradite a Taiwanese man wanted for alleged telecoms fraud, citing the risk of ill-treatment in Chinese detention facilities—a ruling that legal experts and rights activists say would complicate Chinese attempts to recover fugitives from many European countries.

Some foreign diplomats say it would be politically fraught for Beijing to deploy Communist Party inspectors in foreign capitals, as host countries generally treat personnel in foreign diplomatic missions as government officials, rather than operatives from political parties.

CCDI personnel would likely take up their overseas roles in their capacities as government officials from a state agency, rather than as party inspectors, to conform with diplomatic convention, according to the people familiar with the plan.

For instance, CCDI officials taking postings in embassies abroad could go as officials from the National Supervisory Commission, one of the people said. That commission functions as the CCDI’s state equivalent in a practice known as “one set of personnel, two signboards.”

WSJ : Paul Newman Rolex Daytonas, Found in a Desk, Could Sell for Millions

Paul Newman Rolex Daytonas, Found in a Desk, Could Sell for Millions
Sotheby’s revealed its June auction of the late actor’s effects will now feature two Rolex Daytonas found at his estate

Paul Newman’s Rolex reference 16520 ‘Zenith’ Daytona is one of two watches found at his estate that are heading to auction in June.

Years ago, Nell Newman was rooting around for a pencil in the Connecticut home office of her late father, the actor Paul Newman, when she unearthed two horological treasures: a pair of Rolex Daytona watches worn by Newman in his latter years.
“There they were with his driver’s license,” said Ms. Newman. “They were just in a box on his desk.”
Now the pair of chronographs is destined to cause a commotion in the watch world when they’re put up for auction in June at Sotheby’s, part of the sale of more than 300 mementos from the estate of Newman and his wife, actress Joanne Woodward.
Sotheby’s has estimated $500,000 to $1 million per watch, though watch experts say they’re likely to fetch more than a million dollars each.

One of the most coveted provenances in horology is having been strapped to Newman’s wrist.
“We can tie vintage-watch collecting, vintage-Rolex collecting to him,” said Andrew Shear, a watch dealer in New York City. “The Hustler” actor persistently wore Rolexes throughout his lifetime. He is most closely associated with the Daytona model; his late-1960s version with an “exotic” dial sold for nearly $18 million in 2017.
The actor wore Daytona watches—like this white-gold reference 116519 Daytona that’s heading to auction—throughout his lifetime.
PHOTO: COURTESY OF LIME ROCK PARK
Mr. Shear speculated that simply because Newman used these watches to track his lap speed or ensure he wasn’t late for dinner, it adds hundreds of thousands of dollars to their value.
Were he still alive, the Hollywood icon may balk at such princely prices. “He did not put his watches on a pedestal,” said Ms. Newman. For her father, watches were “all about keeping time, being on time and timing race cars.”
She recalled that he had the “quirky habit” of betting houseguests a quarter that his Rolex kept better time than whatever was on their wrist. He’d call a “What time is it?” hotline, hold up the phone to prove his watch was more accurate and collect his reward.
The first timepiece, a 1993 Rolex reference 16520 “Zenith” Daytona with a pearly white dial, was awarded to Newman in 1995 when his racing team won the 24 Hours of Daytona Race in Daytona Beach, Fla. At 70, Newman was the oldest person to win that race, and the watch is reverently inscribed: “Rolex at Daytona 24 Paul Newman Rolex Motorsports Man of the Year 1995”.
The championship ticker has come up for auction before. In 1999, Newman donated it to the “Famous Faces” sale held by Antiquorum and Tourneau. Other marquee benefactors included Elton John, Madonna and Arnold Schwarzenegger. Newman’s steel watch hammered at $39,000, which he directed to his charity “The Hole in the Wall Gang,” a camp for children with cancer and other life-threatening illnesses. (The actor, the founder of Newman’s Own, was also known for his philanthropic ventures.)
The 1993 Rolex reference 16520 ‘Zenith’ Daytona was awarded to the actor in 1995, when he became the oldest person to win the 24 Hours of Daytona Race.
PHOTO: COURTESY OF SOTHEBY’S
While that is a relatively meager sum when stacked up against today’s celebrity-watch sales, Newman’s Rolex notched the highest sales price in the auction.
That ’93 Daytona meant so much to Newman that either he or someone in his life later repurchased the watch. So low-key was Newman about his watches that his daughter wasn’t previously aware of the buyback tale. “That was news to me,” she said, “And I thought, what a delightful story.”
The second Rolex is a later model—a 2006 white-gold reference 116519 Daytona on a black leather strap. The watch, at auction for the first time, is one of three known models given to the blue-eyed actor by Ms. Woodward, and bears the inscription “Drive Very Slowly Joanne” on the caseback.
A variation of that gentle chide is inscribed on all the known Rolexes the actress gave to Newman—a reminder to the auto enthusiast to always keep his eyes on the track.
The 2006 white-gold reference 116519 Daytona was a gift to Paul Newman from his wife, the actress Joanne Woodward.
PHOTO: COURTESY OF SOTHEBY’S
Photos from 2008 show Newman wore the white-gold watch at Lime Rock Park in Connecticut during his final racing laps. He died that year.
Recent hammer prices indicate that the watch world has Newman mania. In 2020, Phillips auction house sold a Rolex reference 6263 watch given to Newman by his wife, with the inscription “Drive slowly, Joanne,” for nearly $5.5 million. The sale of Newman’s Rolex Daytona reference 6239 for $17.8 million three years prior remains the high-water mark for his watches.
The actor received the watch from his wife around the late ’60s, coinciding with the start of his time-consuming side-gig behind the steering wheel. (Newman was said to have become a checkered-flag fiend after starring in 1969’s race-car drama “Winning” alongside Ms. Woodward.) As The Wall Street Journal has previously reported, Ms. Woodward likely purchased it for around $300 at Tiffany’s. On its caseback is—you guessed it—the inscription “Drive Carefully, Me.”
Rolex introduced the model in 1963 and stopped production by the early ’70s, with about 14,000 made in total. Of that, only a couple thousand carried the idiosyncratic black, white and red exotic dial of Newman’s model. But photos of Newman brandishing this hard-to-find watch sent collectors on the hunt—sending prices to the ceiling. Eventually, watch aficionados dubbed this scarce style the “Paul Newman” Daytona.

Today, even exotic-dial Daytonas that never touched Newman’s wrist sell for well into the six figures.

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • H&M (HMSB TH) +3.9%
    • *H&M 1Q OPER PROFIT SEK725M, EST. LOSS SEK1.03B
  • Ericsson (ERCB TH) +3.8%
  • Barclays (BCY TH) +3.8%
  • Vestas (VWSB TH) +1.7%
    • Vestas Wins Biggest Onshore Order With 1.3GW Contract (1)
  • Nel (D7G TH) +1.7%
  • Bawag (0B2 TH) +1.7%
  • Anglo American (NGLB TH) +1.5%
    • European Mining Sector Risk/Reward Improved on Pullback, MS Says
  • Kion (KGX TH) +1.5%
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) +1.4%
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +1.2%
  • Boliden (BWJ1 TH) -1%
  • AMS-Osram (DQW1 TH) -1.1%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -2.6%
  • Telefonica Deutschland (O2D TH) -2.8%
  • JDE Peet’s (JDE TH) -5.6%
    • JDE Peet’s Offering by Mondelez Prices at €26.10/Share: Terms

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +1.4%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.1%
    • PRICED: Siemens Energy EU1.5b Green Debt Offering in 2 Parts
  • Mercedes (MBG TH) +1%
  • Daimler Truck (DTG TH) +1%
  • BASF (BAS TH) +1%
MDAX:
  • United Internet (UTDI TH) +1.7%
    • United Internet Sees 2023 Sales About EU6.2B, Est. EU6.1B
  • Kion (KGX TH) +1.7%
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +1.3%
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) +1.1%
  • Talanx (TLX TH) +1%
  • Telefonica Deutschland (O2D TH) -1.2%
    • Telefonica Deutschland Cut to Underperform at Exane
SDAX:
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) +7.1%
    • SMA Solar Boosts 2023 Ebitda Forecast
  • SAF-Holland SE (SFQ TH) +3.7%
    • SAF-Holland SE Sees 2023 Adjusted Ebit Margin 7.5% to 8.5%
  • MorphoSys (MOR TH) +1.9%
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) +1.8%
  • SUSE (SUSE TH) +1.7%
  • Salzgitter (SZG TH) -2%
    • Salzgitter Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 34.60 euros
  • Cancom (COK TH) -4%
    • Cancom Sees 2023 Revenue EU1.32B to EU1.39B, Est. EU1.39B
  • Eckert & Ziegler (EUZ TH) -7.3%
    • Eckert & Ziegler sees profit decline in 2023 - stable dividend
  • Basler (BSL TH) -7.4%
    • Basler announces cost cutting program and significant drop in sales

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades -30th of March 2023

>>> Up
* Anglo American Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Dustin Raised to Buy at Handelsbanken
* Ericsson Raised to Buy at DNB Markets; PT 80 kronor
* Fabege Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 80 kronor
* Klarabo Sverige Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 16 kronor
* Novartis Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 105 Swiss francs
* Philip Morris Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $116
* Platzer Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 90 kronor
* SSAB Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 67 kronor
* SunPower Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT $13
* Tele2 Raised to Outperform at Exane; PT 115 kronor
* Telefonica Raised to Outperform at Exane; PT 4.40 euros
* Wallenstam Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 40 kronor
* Wihlborgs Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 80 kronor

>>> Down
* Atlantic Sapphire ASA Cut to Hold at Arctic Securities
* Boliden Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 335 kronor
* CMC Markets Cut to Hold at Jefferies, May Have Lost Market Share
* KPN Cut to Neutral at Exane; PT 3.50 euros
* Paradox Interactive Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken
* Salzgitter Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 34.60 euros
* Schwab Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $68
* Southern Copper Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $70
* Tele2 Cut to Sell at Handelsbanken
* Telefonica Deutschland Cut to Underperform at Exane

>>> Initiation
* Cadeler Rated New Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 50 kroner
* Everfuel Resumed Buy at Nordea; PT 85 kroner
* Reply Started Buy at Berenberg With Prospects Never Stronger
* SAP ADRs Rated New Buy at President Capital Management; PT $150

>>> Call
* European Mining Sector Risk/Reward Improved on Pullback, MS Says
* BofA’s Subramanian Calls Cash ‘Compelling Alternative’ to Stocks
* Tritax Big Box to Remain Resilient, Berenberg Raises to Buy