FT : Russia to cut oil output in response to price cap by west

Russia to cut oil output in response to price cap by west
Reduction of 500,000 barrels a day aimed at ‘restoring market relations’, says deputy PM

Russia will cut about 5 per cent of its monthly oil output in March in response to the price cap imposed by western nations, its deputy prime minister said on Friday.

The “voluntary” reduction of 500,000 barrels a day of Russia’s production, the equivalent of 0.5 per cent of the world supply, will help “restore market relations”, a statement from Alexander Novak said.

The announcement comes days after the latest EU sanctions and other western measures took effect against the Russian oil sector.

The EU extended its ban on seaborne imports of Russian crude to cover refined fuels such as diesel and petrol, while the G7 imposed a price cap on the same fuels that buyers must abide by if they are to access western tanker and insurance markets.

“Russia believes the price cap mechanism for selling Russian oil and oil products interferes with market relations,” Novak said. “It continues the destructive energy policy of the countries of the collective west.”

Brent crude, the international benchmark, rose 2.3 per cent to $86.43 a barrel immediately after the announcement.

The move will raise concerns that Russia is moving to weaponise oil supplies after it slashed natural gas exports to Europe last year in response to western backing for Ukraine.

Until Friday Russia had broadly tried to maintain oil exports, which provide more government revenues to Moscow than gas, to international markets. But analysts warned it may be struggling to sell all of its oil as western sanctions have intensified.

Russia has long warned it could respond to the price cap and has said it will not deal with buyers who formally use it. Its main export crude Urals, however, has fallen to a large discount, meaning it already prices below the cap.

“It’s been threatened for a long time in response to the western measures like the price cap,” said Amrita Sen at Energy Aspects.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 10th of February 2023 V2(+)

>>> Up
* British Land Raised to Buy at Goodbody; PT 515 pence
* Equinor Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 360 kroner
* Huhtamaki Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 39 euros
* Innofactor Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 1.35 euros
* Komplett Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 20 kroner
* Mapfre Raised to Buy at Alantra Equities; PT 2.35 euros
* Micron Raised to Buy at Mizuho Securities; PT $72
* Royal Caribbean PT Raised to $60 from $50 at Morgan Stanley
* Swisscom Raised to Hold at Berenberg; PT 500 Swiss francs

>>> Down
* Abrdn plc Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 185 pence
* Assura Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 55 pence (+)
* Banca Generali Cut to Neutral at Banca Akros (+)
* Froey Cut to Hold at Nordea
* Harvia Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 22 euros (+)
* HelloFresh Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 22 euros
* InterContinental Hotels Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 6,000 pence
* INWIT Cut to Accumulate at Banca Akros (+)
* Komax Cut to Neutral at Credit Suisse; PT 308 Swiss francs
* Linc Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 67 kronor
* Lyft Cut to Hold at Loop Capital; PT $10
* MBB SE Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 96 euros
* MTG Cut to Hold at DNB Markets; PT 95 kronor
* PostNL Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 1.40 euros
* Smurfit Kappa Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan
* Shell Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 2,625 pence
* Simcorp Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken
* Sweco Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 145 kronor
* Thule Cut to Sell at Handelsbanken
* Warner Music Cut to Hold at ROE Equity; PT $37
* WastBygg Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 45 kronor (+)

>>> Initiation
* Ionos Rated New Neutral at Redburn

>>> Call
* IHG Cut to Hold at Stifel With Limited Further Upside Seen (+)
* Smurfit Kappa Cut at JPMorgan With Attractions Already Priced In (+)

WWD : Philosophy di Lorenzo Serafini Teams Up With Sebago on Neon-stitched Loafe

Philosophy di Lorenzo Serafini Teams Up With Sebago on Neon-stitched Loafers
Available in two iterations, the style is launching on Friday.
SHOELOSOPHY: Philosophy di Lorenzo Serafini and storied shoemaker Sebago tied up for a capsule collection, but no laces were involved in the footwear style they developed.
The Aeffe-owned brand has added its youthful touch to Sebago’s iconic penny loafers, introducing neon-colored stitching to its classic design. The two iterations available include a black leather style with flashy pink details, and a burgundy version with neon lime stitching. Both options come with the PLS logo engraved in gold on the heel of the shoe.
“Loafers have always been part of my wardrobe,” said the fashion label’s creative director Lorenzo Serafini, explaining that the collaboration “fully reflects my idea of ​​style: essential, timeless but enriched by an unexpected touch of fun.”
Related Galleries

Retailing at 300 euros, the loafers launch on Friday on Philosophy’s e-commerce as well as at the brand’s store in Rome and a selection of retailers worldwide.
A style from the Philosophy di Lorenzo Serafini and Sebago capsule collection.
COURTESY OF PHILOSOPHY DI LORENZO SERAFINI
This is not the first time the Italian brand has released a footwear capsule collection. As reported, it joined forces with Milan-based resort brand Manebí in 2021, following a similar collaboration developed with Superga for the spring 2018 season.
Sebago has also made co-branded capsule lines a key part of its strategy. Throughout the years the brand teamed with names ranging from C.P. Company, Alanui and Sease to Slowear and Milan retailer One Block Down, among others.
Also known for its signature boat shoes, Sebago was founded in 1946 in Maine and is part of the BasicNet stable, joining brands like K-Way, Kappa, Robe di Kappa, Jesus Jeans, Superga, Sabelt and Briko.
At the time of the acquisition in 2017, the Turin-based company paid 14.25 million euros for Sebago, which was formerly owned by American group Wolverine World Wide Inc.
A style from the Philosophy di Lorenzo Serafini and Sebago capsule collection.
COURTESY OF PHILOSOPHY DI LORENZO SERAFINI
Established in 1984, Philosophy is part of Aeffe’s portfolio along with the brands Alberta Ferretti, Moschino and Pollini. Serafini took over the creative helm in 2014, debuting his vision for the label during Milan Fashion Week in February 2015.

WWD : Khaite’s First Retail Store Has a Shady Lady Tree and Naughty Red Light Dr

Khaite’s First Retail Store Has a Shady Lady Tree and Naughty Red Light Dressing Room
Cate Holstein on how her first store was an act of love.

Just steps from the historic artists’ watering hole Fanelli Cafe and contemporary stylish SoHo lifestyle pioneer The Mercer hotel, Khaite designer Cate Holstein has built her own New York City landmark.

Located at 154 Mercer, and opening Feb. 16, her first retail store is a tribute to the city’s creative landscape and the next step in storytelling for the burgeoning fashion brand. Khaite was founded in 2016 and has crossed the $100 million revenue mark, with ambitious plans to scale over the next five years.

The store design was very much an act of love between Holstein and her architect husband Griffin Frazen, who are expecting their first child, Calder James Frazen, on March 10.

“The first rendering he did was Jan. 26 of last year and it was almost identical to this,” said Holstein, who won the CFDA’s Womenswear Designer of the Year award in 2022 and is one of New York Fashion Week’s most buzzy names.

The cavernous, concrete 4,000-square-foot industrial-meets-natural space is defined by curving, abstract steel dividers à la Richard Serra. Bent steel-tube hang bars display the designer’s hand-macrame and crystal-mesh dresses, glossy leather pants, and plush cashmere sweaters like objects in a gallery.

Recessed mirrors in strip lighting reflect a beam onto the floor, drawing the shopper from the door deep into the store and toward the Bucida buceras tree, nicknamed “Shady Lady,” that’s planted in the floor.

There are lots of corners to explore, including a circular “sanctuary” with a James Turrell-like skylight, a shoe alcove with troweled cement bench, and a shelf made from a single piece of twisted steel displaying $12,000 crystal-covered knee-high boots that are like disco balls for the feet.

“We wanted it to feel like it’s breathing, that it becomes a body,” she said of the cinematic vision for the urban retail scape, which even has its own version of a red light district — a red-lit dressing room that’s an invitation for a dalliance with a camera phone.

“I feel like this has brought us so much closer in a way, the emotional intimacy we have received from working on this together and how in sync we are, I feel like we’re really on this path together now. It’s been really rewarding not just for us professionally and creatively, but for our personal relationship,” Holstein said of working with Frazen, who has designed sets and spaces for Grimes, Oneohtrix Point Never and Thom Yorke, but not a retail store until now.

Although she feels like she’s known Frazen since they were kids, they only started dating two years ago.

“He went to NYU and I went to Parsons…We met in passing in the early 2000s, we don’t remember where. We had a lot of mutual friends, but were never close, we were friendly,” she said. “Then during the pandemic, we ran into each other somewhere outside. A couple weeks later, we started seeing each other around, then we were at a dinner party together and we have been together every day since.”

They married in December.

“We had a courthouse wedding,” she said, pulling out her phone to show her screen saver. “The photos are very Memphis 1960s. I’m seven months pregnant, I pulled a sample of a white sequin dress, then we had a nice lunch at The Grill afterward. It was perfect.”

Holstein, who grew up in London, still has a romance with New York, even after 20 years.

If Calvin Klein, Helmut Lang and Donna Karan were the torchbearers of the city’s sensual, minimalist urban style in the ’80s and ’90s, she is here to pick up the legacy.

She loves the grit. (“It wasn’t ‘Miracle on 34th Street’ that made me want to move here, it was ‘Taxi Driver,’ ‘Desperately Seeking Susan,’ ‘After Hours’ and ‘Fatal Attraction,'” she said of her fall 2021 collection shot by director Sean Baker as a short film with a cast of female night crawlers.)

And she appreciates the glamour, from Studio 54 to Bungalow 8. (Shimmering swagged gowns from her spring 2022 collection were inspired by the famed Marie Nichols-designed chain curtains at The Grill, the former Four Seasons space at the Seagram building where she had her wedding lunch.)

She’s equally nostalgic about SoHo and its role in setting the stage for her store.

“When I moved to New York 20 years ago, my first introduction to living here was this block, so to come back here has been a dream come true,” she said. “We wanted to honor the birth of SoHo as an artistic environment, from Andy Warhol on to the minimalist sculpture movement that Donald Judd, Carl Andre and Richard Serra brought. The birth of minimalist sculpture was when they took everything down onto the ground from being elevated, and it was really about the interaction with people, and people becoming sculpture as well.

“They started their careers with a lot of found objects on the street, so that was where we brought in concrete and steel. There’s also this aspect of salt-of-the-earth American industrial materials that we feel are very true to the brand as well. I don’t shy away from being an American brand.”

There’s a link to her own history, too.

“My great-grandfather was actually a coal miner who died of black lung. And my grandfather, Grover Haven, was orphaned in Pennsylvania. Then he moved to San Francisco to live with an aunt, got a swim scholarship to Berkeley, and from there got a scholarship to Harvard Business School. He swept the floors at Filene’s Basement and worked his way up in that company to be executive vice president of Federated. He was a merchandiser. So this feels like a seal, honoring my heritage. It’s really personal to me.”

In addition to clothing and accessories, couture-like runway pieces will be on offer at the store — “things in the $35,000 range” and one-off colorways, she said.

While some fashion followers may balk at the price tags, “We don’t feel price resistance, it’s been a pleasant finding,” Holstein said. “It’s the emotion and materials. We’re not taking a high markup, in fact, we need to get our margins up a bit. But I’m a big believer in good ingredients makes good food. We only use top tanneries and top mills, the majority of product is made in Italy, and if not, it’s made here.

“Michael Kors and Ralph Lauren are expensive. Of course, they have secondary lines. Calvin Klein was expensive. But our denim offers an opening price point and we’re bringing a lot more denim into the ready-to-wear too, so I do think there is something for the aspirational customers, and we will be introducing small leather goods, so we’re going to start with that.”

Holstein is adamantly against having a secondary line. “I think that’s a trend of the past, the industry has shifted away from that and the potential is much more in the luxury sector for growth. When I was at J. Crew [as a design director consultant], Mickey Drexler said, ‘Don’t be afraid of expensive, people love it.’ And I do think if they love something, they will find a way to get it. And there’s The RealReal now, and a lot of other [resellers] that make things more attainable.”

Khaite plans to open 10 retail locations in the next five years, both international and domestic. L.A. will likely be next. “It’s interesting what’s going on at Palisades Village with Saint Laurent and Bottega Veneta opening,” she said of Rick Caruso’s open-air shopping center in the tony West Side enclave.

Although rumors have been flying that the brand has been talking to would-be investors, including LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, or even contemplating a sale, Holstein said there was nothing to report.

“We’re having a lot of exciting conversations, and we’re still partners with Assembled Brands,” she said of the venture capital firm led by chief executive officer Adam Pritzker.

Khaite has experienced triple-digit growth year-over-year. “If somebody told me we’d been here in 2023 when we launched in 2016 revenue-wise, I’d never believe them,” she said, of crossing the $100 million mark.

Wholesale is 65 percent of sales, including global players Net-a-porter, Mytheresa, Matchesfashion and Moda Operandi, and stores Bergdorf Goodman, Bon Marché, Harrods and Saks.

Direct-to-consumer e-commerce is 35 percent of the business. “There was a trend to go after e-com, but with everything going on with tech, the trend has switched to a more aggressive retail strategy, which is much more profitable,” she said. “People are back in stores, they want experiences, they want to interact.”

Since launching in 2019, shoes as a category have gained a large market share, representing 20 percent of the business, with the Dallas and Davis boots the top sellers. “They are so comfortable, and I can attest to this, they mold to the foot. I could walk around in them all day, and they have a little heel that gives you the lift and the spirit,” she said.

Handbag sales have doubled, with the August and Olivia sling bags being newer offerings; cashmere remains key (Holstein’s career started in knitwear at Gap); and leather and other outerwear are now more than 10 percent of sales.

Launching on the runway on Sunday and in stores Monday is the brand’s first eyewear, in collaboration with Oliver Peoples.

“It’s two years in the making,” she said of the three styles — the 1969 in a stylized oval silhouette, the 1971 combining angles and curves, and the 1983 with a shallower angular profile.

The brand will launch several more collaborations this year, she hinted.

As Holstein prepares for her fall 2023 show on Sunday (and maternity leave straight after), she feels more confident than ever.

“I don’t work on collections in terms of concepts or looks; the way we work is very garment-based. And I realize after it’s done what I was thinking about,” she said. “As we’ve been styling this, I realized I have had a lot of shifts this year…I feel like it’s definitely a new chapter for me.

“I think a lot of it is having a baby and becoming a mother. The business is getting much bigger with this new arena of revenue that puts you in a different category. I’m leaving startup world. I feel stronger, I feel powerful in my own life.”

The CFDA honor was another milestone. “It was wild..and I felt like a real buffoon. You look out and see Cher, Lenny Kravitz and Bradley Cooper, and it was like ‘hiiiii!’ I had no speech because I didn’t think I was going to win. I walked out of the house with wet hair, no makeup, threw on a dress 10 minutes before, because I’m used to not winning anything, it’s sad but true,” she laughed.

“When they announced my name, I dropped, I fumbled my words. But the amount of flowers and congratulations, I was so overwhelmed. It was amazing to feel the community that way. Ralph Lauren wrote me a card, that was the biggest wow moment.”

What did he say to the new American brand builder?

“He said, ‘Congrats on your award, your expertise in your craft is celebrated by the industry and beyond,'” she recalled. “I love Ralph. There is no bigger icon in American fashion. I’m such an admirer of what he built probably more than anyone. There’s no better branding person.”

She does have one regret from that night.

“I wish I’d thanked my husband. I got to thank Vanessa [Traina]. It’s really her and I, at least I got that out.”

Holstein calls Traina her muse, and the two have collaborated on Khaite from the start.

“Vanessa brings her eye, it’s so unrivaled and refined, she knows back-of-house how something will look on camera, she sees every detail, she’s very precise. And she’s not unafraid to take risks.”

They met 20 years ago in the orientation line at Parsons. “She was still in high school, dropping her sister Victoria off, and we all became friends. The rest is history.”

Another New York story.

“I didn’t want to come to New York, I wanted to go to a big school and have an American experience, which seemed like such a fantasy growing up in London,” the designer remembered. “Then I moved to San Diego senior year very suddenly, and realized it wasn’t what I wanted at all. Because I got that in high school. I realized New York was the only place I could be in America.

“I am a big believer that the universe has a plan…if you believe in yourself, take risks and work hard,” she said. “However, I’m lucky enough to say that, too. It’s a privileged place.”

WSJ : Chinese Balloon Carried Antennas, Other Equipment to Gather Intelligence,

Chinese Balloon Carried Antennas, Other Equipment to Gather Intelligence, U.S. Says
U.S. preparing to take action against entities tied to Chinese balloon surveillance program, official says

WASHINGTON—The Chinese balloon that crossed the U.S. carried antennas and sensors for collecting intelligence and communications, Biden administration officials said, laying out the most detailed evidence to date about China’s surveillance program.

The new information was described Thursday by a range of officials from the Pentagon, State Department and Federal Bureau of Investigation as the administration prepared to take unspecified action against companies and entities linked to the Chinese balloon program that the U.S. says has spied on more than 40 countries across five continents.

Much of the information came from tracking the balloon over eight days as it traversed the U.S. last week before being shot down off the Atlantic coast Saturday. Images captured by high-altitude U-2 surveillance planes showed that the balloon was equipped with multiple antennas, including an array likely capable of pinpointing the location of communications, a senior State Department official said.

Those U-2 and other reconnaissance flights also found that the balloon carried large solar panels capable of powering an array of intelligence collection sensors. The manufacturer of the balloon has a direct relationship with the Chinese military, the State Department official said.

More information is expected in coming days as personnel from the FBI examine components of the surveillance equipment that are being retrieved from the waters near the coast of South Carolina. Around noon Thursday, the Navy suspended the use of divers in the search due to weather, and the delay, a defense official said, could last into the weekend.

By providing detailed information, the administration is trying to buttress its case that the craft was designed for high-altitude spying, not as China said, for civilian weather research. It is also trying to dispel criticism from Congress about its handling of the balloon.

The House, controlled by a Republican majority whose members have criticized the administration over the balloon, passed a resolution 419-0 Thursday condemning China for its “brazen violation of United States sovereignty” and called on the White House to provide more information.

Much of the congressional focus was on what steps the Pentagon planned to take in the future to prevent further incursions, and why the balloon wasn’t shot down as it passed over the Aleutian Islands on Jan. 28 and then over other parts of Alaska the next day.

Administration officials briefed members of Congress in open hearings and in a rare closed-door briefing for all senators. The closed briefing saw exchanges about the initial response to the balloon, when senior administration were informed of it and funding for U.S. air defenses, congressional aides said.

Afterward, some Republican senators said they better understood the administration’s decisions, though questions remained including about what the U.S. gained from allowing the balloon to pass over the U.S. They particularly praised the military’s performance.

“I’m confident that they did everything they’re supposed to, based on what they knew and what historical information they had,” Sen. Kevin Cramer (R., N.D.) said of the military. “So I’m satisfied with that much.”

Pentagon officials, in testimony to a Senate Appropriations subcommittee on defense, said that the balloon wasn’t deemed to be a threat as it crossed Alaska where it didn’t pass over sensitive sites.

They added that no analysis had been done at that point on where the debris from the Chinese craft might fall. The risk to people on the ground was considerable, they said, given that the balloon was 200 feet tall and carried an equipment array the size of a small airplane.

Shooting down the balloon in the waters off Alaska would likely have made recovering it more difficult due to the depth and frigid ocean temperatures, said Melissa Dalton, a senior Pentagon official with responsibilities for homeland defense.

Lt. Gen. Douglas Sims II, director of operations for the Pentagon’s Joint Staff, cautioned that shooting down an intruding craft not seen as an imminent threat might encourage other nations to act hastily if Western planes approached their borders.

“Once you take a shot, you can’t get it back,” Gen. Sims said. “I think it’s important for us to remember that if we establish that precedent… we may meet the same precedent.”

“We may create something that is to our detriment,” he added.

The U.S. has conducted reconnaissance flights in international airspace close to China’s territorial limits, drawing frequent objections from Beijing. In December, a Chinese J-11 fighter flew within 20 feet of a U.S. RC-135 surveillance plane near South China Sea islands controlled by Beijing.

The Pentagon testimony didn’t assuage some lawmakers, particularly Sen. Lisa Murkowski, a Republican from Alaska. Ms. Murkowski said that the Pentagon appeared to be treating potential threats to her state as a secondary concern.

“At what point do we say a surveillance balloon, a spy balloon coming from China is a threat to our sovereignty?” she said. “ It should be the minute it crosses the line, and that line is Alaska.

Sen. Jon Tester (D., Mont.) said that the Congress expected the Biden administration to propose new spending and initiatives to fill the gaps in its radar coverage and prevent another balloon intrusion.

Pentagon officials described the current program to upgrade the radar capabilities of the North American Aerospace Defense Command, the joint-U.S. Canada organization known as Norad, but didn’t outline new initiatives.

The Chinese Embassy in Washington, asked for comment, referred to comments made earlier Friday in Beijing by the Foreign Ministry. A ministry spokeswoman rejected U.S. allegations that Beijing is operating a fleet of surveillance balloons and criticized the U.S. anew for overreacting to a civilian airship that had gone off course.

“I am not aware of any ‘fleet of balloons’,” ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning told reporters in Beijing, according to an official transcript. “That narrative is probably part of the information and public opinion warfare the U.S. has waged on China.”

The administration has said it was aware of at least four prior incursions over the continental U.S., including three during the Trump administration. Those flights were much shorter in duration and weren’t detected by Norad when they occurred. U.S. intelligence later determined the flights had taken place and told Norad about them, officials have said.

U.S. officials expect to learn more about the balloon’s capabilities from the forensic examination the FBI is conducting of the debris. FBI personnel have so far only examined the balloon canopy, some wiring and a small amount of electronics, senior FBI officials told reporters Thursday.

The agency is still waiting to process the largest part of the equipment slung under the balloon that likely housed most of the electronics, one of the officials said. The agency has started transporting items to the FBI’s lab at Quantico, Va., to remove the saltwater and process them for further study, the officials said.

The craft came outfitted with small explosives to disable the surveillance equipment, an official said, though they weren’t detonated.

The State Department official said that the U.S. was exploring possible action against the government-linked entities involved in China’s balloon and broader surveillance programs. According to two U.S. officials, the Biden administration is looking to add about six Chinese government-backed companies with links to the balloon program to the Commerce Department’s entities list, which imposes barriers to conducting business with the blacklisted firms.

The timing of that action wasn’t immediately clear, the officials said. However, the objective of any retaliatory measures, according to the State Department official, is to expose and address China’s broader surveillance activities.

The balloon’s manufacturer, according to the senior official, has direct links to the Chinese military and is an “approved vendor” of the People’s Liberation Army, as is evidenced by information published in an official procurement portal for the PLA.

“The company also advertises balloon products on its website and hosts videos from past flights, which appear to have overflown at least U.S. airspace and airspace of other countries,” the official said. “These advertised balloon videos seemingly have similar flight patterns as the balloons we have been discussing this week.”

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Admiral (FLN TH) +2.1%
  • Reckitt (3RB TH) +1.7%
  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +1.6%
  • Equinor (DNQ TH) +1.1%
    • Equinor Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 360 kroner
  • BAT (BMT TH) +0.8%
  • Imperial Brands (ITB TH) +0.7%
  • Vodafone (VODI TH) +0.6%
    • Telecom Italia Sum-of-the-Parts Value Sees M&A Scope Ignored
  • Fresenius Medical (FME TH) -1.4%
    • Fresenius Reviews Potential Sale of Stake in Dialysis Unit
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -1.5%
  • Philips (PHI1 TH) -1.7%
  • Ryanair (RY4C TH) -1.8%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) -1.8%
    • After Big Relief Rally, Retailers Are Pricey Again: Taking Stock
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) -1.9%
  • Carl Zeiss Meditec (AFX TH) -2.5%
    • Carl Zeiss Meditec Maintains FY Ebit Margin Forecast
  • Puma (PUM TH) -3.2%
    • Adidas’s ‘Horrible’ Guidance Will Take Time to Fix: Street Wrap
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) -4.2%
    • HelloFresh Cut to UW as JPMorgan Sees Muted Customer Growth
  • Adidas (ADS TH) -12%
    • Adidas’s ‘Horrible’ Guidance Will Take Time to Fix: Street Wrap

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Daimler Truck (DTG TH) -1.2%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) -1.7%
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) -2%
    • Deutsche Bank’s Head of Europe High-Yield Credit Trading Leaves
  • Adidas (ADS TH) -12%
    • Adidas’s ‘Horrible’ Guidance Will Take Time to Fix: Street Wrap
MDAX:
  • RTL (RRTL TH) +0.6%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +0.5%
  • Kion (KGX TH) -1.4%
  • TeamViewer (TMV TH) -1.4%
  • Carl Zeiss Meditec (AFX TH) -2%
    • Carl Zeiss Meditec Maintains FY Ebit Margin Forecast
  • Puma (PUM TH) -3.2%
    • Adidas’s ‘Horrible’ Guidance Will Take Time to Fix: Street Wrap
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) -3.8%
    • HelloFresh Cut to UW as JPMorgan Sees Muted Customer Growth
SDAX:
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +0.8%
  • Varta (VAR1 TH) +0.5%
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) -1%
  • flatexDEGIRO (FTK TH) -1%
  • Schaeffler (SHA TH) -1.1%
  • PNE AG (PNE3 TH) -1.1%
  • Synlab (SYAB TH) -1.8%

>>> What to look at today - 10th of February 2023

 Stocks and equity futures fell, while Treasuries slid as the prospect of higher interest rates continued to mount on the back of the Federal Reserve’s battle against inflation. An Asia equity benchmark was headed for its second straight weekly fall, with some of the biggest losses posted by Chinese tech shares. Futures on US and Europe equity contracts were also in the red. The picture was different in Japan, with stock gains supported by positive earnings from chipmakers. Treasury yields continued their climbs across the curve after investors pushed yields on the two-year Treasury above the 10-year’s by the most since the early 1980s, a sign of flagging confidence in the economy’s ability to withstand additional Fed hikes.  Market pricing for US rates to peak in July inched higher as investors digested the fresh data and the drumbeat of central bankers signposting further tightening ahead. Fed Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin said it’s important to continue hiking to rein in inflation. His comments echoed sentiment from four Fed officials who spoke Wednesday. The dollar surged against all Group-of-10 currencies and was set for a weekly gain, while the offshore yuan was range-bound. Chinese inflation data showed consumer prices rose 2.1% in January from a year earlier, in line with market forecasts. Japan’s government is planning to announce a new Bank of Japan governor on Feb. 14, a move that will be closely watched by markets. The yen has been fluctuating since Nikkei reported early this week that BOJ Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiya might succeed Haruhiko Kuroda at the helm of the central bank. Bitcoin steadied after a Thursday decline that pushed the cryptocurrency down 4.8%, the biggest one-day drop since November, amid speculation about a regulatory crackdown. oil trimmed a weekly gain as investors weighed the threat of a global economic slowdown against a bullish outlook for Chinese demand following the end of Covid Zero. Gold held near the lowest close in more than a month. US After Hours LYFT -30% down sharply on earnings is the top headline; DOCS -7.6%, PYPL -3.1% also lower on earnings; NET +10.9%, YELP +10.5%, AYX +9%, BE +8.5% higher on earnings.

Nikkei +0.31% Hang Seng -1.84% CSI -0.57% Shanghai -0.29% Shenzen -0.45%

Eur$ 1.0733 CNH 6.8086 CNY 6.7996 JPY 131.56 GBP 1.2105 CHF 0.9220 RUB 72.9014 TRY 18.8358 WTI$ 77.73 -0.42% Gold 1,861 -0.04% BTC 21,851 -0.03% ETH 1,545 +0.28%

S&P -0.10% Nasdaq -0.16% EuroStoxx -0.50% FTSE -0.36% Dax -0.65% SMI -0.53%

Macro :
- ECB’s Guindos ‘Relatively Optimistic’ on Inflation Outlook
- UK Treasury in Talks to Speed Up Solvency II Overhaul: FT
- Goldman Raises Iron Ore Target to $150/ton on China Reopening

Keep an eye on :
- ABN NA : Dutch State to Cut ABN Amro Stake to Slightly Below 50%
- ADS GY : Adidas Says It May Report an Operating Loss of €700M in 2023
- AFRY SS : AFRY AB 4Q Net Sales Beats Estimates
- AKRBP NO : Aker BP 4Q Ebitda Misses Estimates
- APAM NA : Aperam 4Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
- AA4 LN : Amedeo Air Four Plus Cut to Positive at Stifel
- BARC LN : UK FCA Probes Barclays Over Anti-Money Laundering Systems: FT
- BATS LN : Philip Morris CEO Says Russia Exit Is Now Extremely Difficult
- BELL SW : Bell FY Revenue Matches Estimates
- BITTI FH : Bittium 4Q Operating Profit EU3.0M
- EN FP : Bouygues Telecom to Appeal Paris Court Ruling on Free Mobile
- BMAX SS : Byggmax CEO Mattias Ankarberg to Resign Effective Aug. 9
- AFX GY : Carl Zeiss Meditec Maintains FY Ebit Margin Forecast
- COIN US : Crypto Exchange Kraken Ends Staking Program in SEC Settlement
- EMSN SW : EMS-Chemie FY Ebitda Misses Estimates
- ENEL IM : Enel FY Revenue Beats Estimates
- ENSU NO : Ensurge Micropower Offers Up to NOK60 million Shares
- ENTRA NO : Entra 4Q Net Operating Income Meets Estimates
- ENX FP : Euronext Sees Equity Raises Coming Back After Tough Year
- EVT GY : Evotec Gets €150M Loan From European Investment Bank
- FRE GY : FDA Issues Warning to Avoid Hospira Drug Over Aluminum Levels
- GSK LN : GlaxoSmithKline Gets FDA OK for Jemperli for Endometrial Cancer
- ILTY IM : Illimity Bank Sees 2023 Net Income EU100M
- IVG IM : Iveco Sees 2023 Consolidated Adjusted Ebit EU550M to EU590M
- KEMIRA FH : Kemira 4Q Oper Ebitda Beats Estimates
- KOG NO : Kongsberg 4Q Ebitda Misses Estimates
- MAN FP : Guichard Family Holds 99.08% of Manutan at End of Offer: AMF
- MOBN SW : Mobimo FY Ebit Beats Estimates
- MOCORP FH : Metso Outotec in Litigation Related to UK Waste-To-Energy Plants
- OBEL BB : Orange Belgium Sees 2023 Ebitda After Leases EU360M to EU375M
- OR FP : L'Oreal's Cash-Churning Portfolio Due Quick Luxe Repair: React
- ROG SW : Roche Phase III Data Show Vabysmo Benefit in New Indication
- ROG SW : Drugmaker Roche Shareholder Seeks to Offload $976 Million Stake
- ROG SW : Roche Foundation Acquires 540,000 Roche Bearer Shares Via ABB
- SAABB SS : Saab 4Q Sales Beats Estimates
- SANOMA FH : Sanoma 2023 Revenue Forecast Misses Estimates
- SAGA LN : Saga in Exclusive Talks to Sell Underwriting Unit to Open: Sky
- SCHA NO : Schibsted 4Q Ebitda Beats Estimates
- STAN LN : Abu Dhabi’s FAB Is Quietly Readying Another Run at StanChart
- THULE SS : Thule 4Q Ebit Misses Estimates
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia Sum-of-the-Parts Value Sees M&A Scope Ignored
- TOKMAN FH : Tokmanni Sees 2023 Comparable Ebit EU85M to EU100M, Est. EU90M
- US IM : UnipolSai FY Consolidated Net Misses Estimates
- UNI IM : Unipol FY Consolidated Net Meets Estimates

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 10th of February 2023

>>> Up
* British Land Raised to Buy at Goodbody; PT 515 pence
* Equinor Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 360 kroner
* Huhtamaki Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 39 euros
* Innofactor Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 1.35 euros
* Komplett Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 20 kroner
* Mapfre Raised to Buy at Alantra Equities; PT 2.35 euros
* Micron Raised to Buy at Mizuho Securities; PT $72
* Royal Caribbean PT Raised to $60 from $50 at Morgan Stanley
* Swisscom Raised to Hold at Berenberg; PT 500 Swiss francs

>>> Down
* Abrdn plc Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 185 pence
* Froey Cut to Hold at Nordea
* HelloFresh Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 22 euros
* InterContinental Hotels Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 6,000 pence
* Komax Cut to Neutral at Credit Suisse; PT 308 Swiss francs
* Linc Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 67 kronor
* Lyft Cut to Hold at Loop Capital; PT $10
* MBB SE Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 96 euros
* MTG Cut to Hold at DNB Markets; PT 95 kronor
* PostNL Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 1.40 euros
* Smurfit Kappa Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan
* Shell Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 2,625 pence
* Simcorp Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken
* Sweco Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 145 kronor
* Thule Cut to Sell at Handelsbanken
* Warner Music Cut to Hold at ROE Equity; PT $37

>>> Initiation


>>> Call

>>> US Close Dow -0,73% S&P -0,88% Nasdaq -1,02% Russell -1,40%

Closing Stock Market Summary

The stock market started today's session with a distinct bullish bias, yet the bulls were soon corralled and the major indices spent nearly the entirety of today's session retracing their opening steps in what became a trend-down day. The selling that took place was broad based, but orderly; nonetheless, it left the S&P 500 below 4,100 at the closing bell.

A favorable response to Walt Disney's (DIS 110.36, -1.42, -1.3%) better-than-expected fiscal Q1 earnings report and restructuring announcement, falling Treasury yields, and another weekly initial jobless claims report that was supportive of the soft landing scenario provided the fuel for the opening bid.

To be fair, Disney wasn't the only source of earnings support for the broader market to begin the day. Wynn Resorts (WYNN 108.59, +4.97, +4.8%), Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR 510.43, +47.43, +10.2%), Sonos (SONO 20.80, +2.94, +16.5%), PepsiCo (PEP 172.78, +1.62, +1.0%), and Tapestry (TPR 44.71, +1.50, +3.5%) were some of the other standouts that had the broader market on solid footing at today's open. Disney itself followed suit with the broader market and relinquished a 5.7% gain to close the day in negative territory.

The market's footing started to slide when Treasury yields began moving up from their overnight lows. Selling in the Treasury market intensified following a weak, $21 billion 30-yr bond auction at 1:00 p.m. ET. The 2-yr note yield, which slipped to 4.40% overnight, settled the day at 4.52%, and the 10-yr note yield, which saw 3.58% overnight, settled the session at 3.69%.

The jump in market rates compounded the selling pressure that had already taken root.

Separately, the early rally effort also fostered some pressing concerns about the market being overextended on a short-term basis and trading at a premium valuation despite declining earnings estimates.

Those concerns triggered renewed selling interest that was fairly unrelenting over the course of today's session.

The S&P 500 communication services sector (-2.8%) was today's biggest loser, pinned down by additional losses in Alphabet (GOOG 95.46, -4.54, -4.5%), but it had plenty of company. All 11 S&P 500 sectors ended the day with a loss. Other key laggards included the financials (-1.2%), industrial (-0.9%), health care (-0.9%), and information technology (-0.5%) sectors. The consumer discretionary sector (-0.2%), supported by strength in Tesla (TSLA 207.32, +6.03, +3.0%) and several sector constituents that reported earnings, like Wynn Resorts, had the slimmest loss in today's trading.

Market breadth deteriorated along with the indices. Declining stocks led advancing stocks by a nearly 3-to-1 margin at the NYSE and by a better than 2-to-1 margin at the Nasdaq.

  • Nasdaq Composite: +12.6% YTD
  • Russell 2000: +8.7% YTD
  • S&P Midcap 400: +8.3% YTD
  • S&P 500: +6.3% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: +1.7% YTD

Reviewing today's economic data:

  • Initial claims for the week ending February 4 increased by 13,000 to 196,000 (consensus 194,000). Continuing jobless claims for the week ending increased by 38,000 to 1.688 million.
    • Notwithstanding the jump in initial claims, the key takeaway is that claims remain below 200,000, which is indicative of a very tight labor market and a reluctance on the part of most companies to cut their workforce.

Ahead of tomorrow's open, Global Payments (GPN) and Newell Brands (NWL) will be featured earnings reporters. The economic calendar will include the February Preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Briefing.com consensus 65.0; Prior 64.9) at 10:00 a.m. ET and the January Treasury Budget (Prior -$85.0B) at 2:00 p.m. ET.