FT : Bill Gates-backed Breakthrough fund targets third $1bn capital raising

Bill Gates-backed Breakthrough fund targets third $1bn capital raising
New investment pool expected to boost portfolio to 140 companies across sectors from energy to agriculture

The Breakthrough Energy Ventures investment company backed by Bill Gates is aiming to raise another $1bn for its third and latest fund to take stakes in companies and technology tackling global warming.

Gates told the FT that Breakthrough was “in the process of raising fund three and that’s going very well”. The number of companies that Breakthrough Energy Ventures invested in would increase by some 40 per cent to about 140 holdings across sectors from energy to agriculture as a result.

“We have a little more than $1bn in funds one and two, and fund three will be about the same size. And then we will do some other funds that are more for follow-on type things,” he said.

The first fund, which closed with about $1bn, drew an array of fellow billionaires, while the second fund closed with $1.25bn in 2021. The group also has a $100bn Europe-focused fund. The Breakthrough board and investors include Mukesh Ambani, Jeff Bezos, Reid Hoffman and Sir Chris Hohn.

While the earlier funds were raised when interest rates were low, the opportunistic third fund comes at a time when venture capital for start-up companies is challenged by rising interest rates and economic uncertainty.

“Some will go away so you can subtract [from that 140],” he said, because some companies “will not succeed or some will not work at all”, though Breakthrough had a low failure rate across the portfolio, he added.

“We closed [about] 15 per cent of the things we’ve invested in. A lot of these [that failed] are companies we’ve founded . . . we have theories where there are no companies, and we’ve created a bunch of companies [to test the theories].”

Breakthrough investments include US green hydrogen electrolyser producer ElectricHydrogen, Arkea Bio, which is working on reducing methane from livestock, green cement maker Solidia, and Fleetzero, which focuses on battery technology for cargo shipping.

While Gates is a well-known and avowed advocate of technology to address climate change, he has also long been sceptical about the use of carbon capture and storage (CCS) as a wider solution to limiting the greenhouse gases produced by the burning of fossil fuels for energy.

The technology is being promoted by the coal, oil and gas industry as a way to continue operating for decades to come.

But CCS was unlikely to be economically viable for mass-scale use in the long term, Gates maintained. “It’s kind of a brute force solution,” he said. “It always costs money.”

“You eventually want to get to the point where you’re willing to tax any emission activity at the marginal cost of capture and then actually spend it on capture. That’s the way you get to zero [emissions],” he said.

“But for most cases, you should use an alternative technique rather than emitting and then paying for capturing,” he said. “For everything you can, you want to solve it by never generating the carbon dioxide.”

Reflecting what he sees as the residual role for carbon removal technologies, however, the Breakthrough funds are investors in direct air capture start-ups.

While oil and gas producing countries such as Saudi Arabia have pushed for the inclusion of the capture of emissions as a factor in global climate change agreements, Gates said: “They are not doing any CCS [at scale], they’re not funding the companies that work on CCS.”

In any case, the world would miss its near-term goals on cutting greenhouse gases by almost half by 2030 to limit global warming to 1.5C since pre-industrial times. It required innovative companies to address the challenges of cutting emissions in difficult sectors from steel to cement, he said.

“Innovation is how you square the circle.”

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +2%
    • Zalando Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 28 euros
  • Hexagon (HXG TH) +1.3%
  • Carl Zeiss Meditec (AFX TH) -0.9%
  • ING (INN1 TH) -0.9%
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) -1%
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) -1%
  • Fresenius Medical (FME TH) -1.1%
  • Intesa Sanpaolo (IES TH) -1.4%
  • Qiagen (QIA TH) -1.5%
  • Orsted (D2G TH) -1.7%
  • Merck KGaA (MRK TH) -3.1%
  • Sartorius (SRT3 TH) -9.5%
    • Sartorius, Sartorius Stedim Issue Profit Warnings: Street Wrap

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +2%
    • Zalando Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 28 euros
  • Qiagen (QIA TH) -1.1%
  • Merck KGaA (MRK TH) -2.4%
  • Sartorius (SRT3 TH) -9.5%
    • Sartorius, Sartorius Stedim Issue Profit Warnings: Street Wrap
MDAX:
  • No major mover
SDAX:
  • MorphoSys (MOR TH) +6.7%
    • MorphoSys Risks Positively Skewed, Upgraded at Morgan Stanley
  • PNE AG (PNE3 TH) -1.1%

>>> What to look at today - 13th of October 2023

Global equities extended losses as Treasury yields surged after US inflation data bolstered bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes. The latest data on continued weakness in China’s economy added to the gloom. MSCI’s All Country World Index fell for a second day, with major Asian benchmark indexes in the red. Hong Kong shares underperformed and mainland Chinese shares slipped after both consumer and producer prices came in below estimates, a sign that the country’s economy still faces drags despite the government rolling out a series of support measures. European equity futures pointed to a lower open.   Swap contracts pushed the odds of another quarter-point Fed hike to about 40% — from closer to 30% Wednesday after US consumer price data. Investors also await JPMorgan Chase & Co., Citigroup Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. results as they kick off the earnings season Friday.  Some of the biggest US banks are poised to write off more bad loans than since the early days of the pandemic as higher-for-longer interest rates and a potential economic downturn put borrowers in a bind. Data from US University of Michigan consumer sentiment is also due later Friday. Asian equities were also hurt as China’s trade data was only slightly better than expectation. The authorities are now also considering forming a state-backed stabilization fund to shore up confidence in the nation’s $9.5 trillion stock market. Treasuries gained in Asia after dropping across the curve in the previous session, with the yield on the 30-year rate surging as much as 19 basis points after a $20 billion auction of the securities drew weak demand.  The dollar edged down after strengthening against all of its Group-of-10 peers Thursday following the increase in Treasury yields. The yen inched closer to the 150 mark. oil headed for a modest weekly gain as fears over the Israel-Hamas conflict were offset by signs of flagging demand. Gold eged higher. US After Hours DG +7.8% as investors cheer decision by struggling retailer to bring back former CEO; SGH -24.6% drops on earnings; BDC -16.2% falls on lowered guidance.

Nikkei -0.69% Hang Seng -2.40% CSI -1.29% Shanghai -0.85% Shenzen -1.04%

Eur$ 1.0543 CNH 7.3073 CNY 7.3054 JPY 149.70 GBP 1.2194 CHF 0.9073 RUB 97.5417 TRY 27.7871 WTI$ 83.67 +0.92% Gold 1,877 +0.43% BTC 26,800 +0.24% ETH 1,539 +0.20%

S&P +0.04% Nasdaq -0.01% EuroStoxx -0.45% FTSE -0.22% Dax -0.39% SMI -0.39%

Macro :
- Big UK Banks Assessing China Risks, Reuters Says
- US Mulls Adding AI Chip Curbs to Chinese Cos. Abroad: Reuters
- China Sept. Consumer Prices +0.2% M/m, Unch Y/y; Est. +0.2% Y/y

Keep an eye on :
- AAF LN : Airtel Uganda Extends IPO Offer Period by Two Weeks
- ALV GY : Generali Reaches Pact to Sell Tua Assicurazioni to Allianz
- ALO FP :
- BATS LN : FDA Orders Marketing Halt of E-Cigarettes; BAT to Challenge
- BYS SW : Bystronic 9M Sales CHF681.2M Vs. CHF712.4M Y/y
- DBHN GY : Deutsche Bahn Nears €1.6B Deal to Sell Arriva to I Squared: FT
- ENX FP : Euronext Top Equity-Trading Venue in Europe as 3Q Volume Drops
- FRA GY : Fraport Sept. Frankfurt Airport Passengers +18.2%
- FREY FP : Frey Buys Polygone Riviera Shopping Center for €272.3m
- G IM : Generali Reaches Pact to Sell Tua Assicurazioni to Allianz
- HFD LN : Halfords Jumps on Betaville ‘Uncooked’ Takeover Speculation
- KESKOB FH : Kesko Sept. Sales From Continuing Operations EU1.02B
- MTRO LN : ‘Everything is possible’: the Colombian billionaire taking on Metro Bank
- STJ LN : St James’s Place Pressured by UK Regulators to Overhaul Fees: FT
- SANN SW : Santhera Gets Positive CHMP Opinion on Vamorolone for DMD
- SBMO NA : SBM Offshore Gets Feed Contracts for Whiptail Project in Guyana
-SRT GY : Sartorius Sees FY Sales About -17% --> *SARTORIUS ADRS DROP 5% IN US TRADING ON FORECAST CUT
- SIE GY : Siemens, Marubeni Lead €108m Funding for Battery Group Skeleton
- TELIA SS : Telia Appoints Patrik Hofbauer as Its New President, CEO
- TOM2 NA : TomTom 3Q Revenue Misses Estimates
- TRYG DC : Tryg 3Q Profit After Tax Beats Estimates
- UCB BB : UCB: Bimekizumab Use in Severe HS Shows Meaningful Improvements

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 13th of October 2023

>>> Up
* Admiral Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 2,560 pence
* Aeroports de Paris SA Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan
* Aroundtown Raised to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 2 euros
* BPER Banca Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 4.30 euros
* British Land Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 370 pence
* Deliveroo Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 142 pence
* Derwent London Raised to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 1,820 pence
* Great Portland Raised to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 400 pence
* Holcim AG Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 57 Swiss francs
* KMC Properties Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 6.50 kroner
* Land Sec. Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 700 pence
* Mister Car Wash Raised to Outperform at Baird; PT $10
* Monte Paschi Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 3.40 euros
* MorphoSys ADRs Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $9.20
* Paradox Interactive Raised to Buy at DNB Markets; PT 290 kronor
* QT Group Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 68 euros
* Remy Cointreau Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 129 euros
* Shurgard Raised to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 40 euros
* Subsea 7 Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 170 kroner
* Talenom Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 6 euros
* Varonis Systems Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT $37
* Zalando Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 28 euros

>>> Down
* Aedifica Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 55 euros
* Campari Cut to Underperform at Oddo BHF; PT 11.20 euros
* Direct Line Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 173 pence
* Humana Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 30 kronor
* JD.com ADRs Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $33
* Klepierre Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 26 euros
* Sartorius Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 363 euros
* TechnipFMC Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $22

>>> Initiation
* Dar Global Rated New Buy at Liberum; PT $5
* Medacta Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 154 Swiss francs
* Smith & Nephew Rated New Hold at Stifel; PT 1,025 pence

>>> Call
* Encavis New Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley, Seen Fairly Priced
* MorphoSys Risks Positively Skewed, Upgraded at Morgan Stanley
* Swiss Re Underperformance Overdone, Raised to Buy at Berenberg

>>> US After Hours Summary: DG +7.8% as investors cheer decision by struggling r

After Hours Summary: DG +7.8% as investors cheer decision by struggling retailer to bring back former CEO; SGH -24.6% drops on earnings; BDC -16.2% falls on lowered guidance
After Hours Gainers:
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: CMTL +16.7% (also to sell power systems product line for $40 mln), LC +5.8% (guides Q3 revs in-line; also announces 14% workforce reduction), NRIX +2.1%
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: RLAY +13.4% (announces initial RLY-4008 data), DG +7.8% (brings back former CEO Todd Vasos to be new CEO; also issues guidance), AVNT +4.5% (increases dividend), SHCR +2.4% (confirms takeover proposal from Claritas Capital for $1.35-1.80/sh), ADC +1.4% (increases dividend), ACI +1.1% (California AG preparing to block KR's deal to acquire ACI according to Bloomberg Law), DAL +0.2% (provides financial commentary in 10-Q filing), LMT +0.1% (awarded $380 mln U.S. Navy order), CI +0.1% (expands Medicare Advantage presence to Nevada for the first time)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: OM -33.5% (downside rev guidance), SGH -24.6%, BDC -16.2% (lowers Q3 guidance), IDT -4.8%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: SAVA -40.8% (co-developer of its Alzheimer's drug cited for misconduct, according to Science.org), VIGL -7.8% (receives response letter from FDA re IND application for VG-3927), KR -1.7% (California AG preparing to block KR's deal to acquire ACI according to Bloomberg Law), DFS -1.2% (reports Sept credit card deliquency data), OUST -0.9% (OUST continues patent case against HSAI), REPX -0.2% (increases dividend), QCOM -0.2% (to lay off 1,258 employees in two California offices, according to CNBC)

FT : Western allies back efforts to tap profits from frozen Russian assets

Western allies back efforts to tap profits from frozen Russian assets
G7 officials agree to explore EU proposals that could provide financial support for Ukraine

G7 officials have backed European efforts to tap billions of euros of profits generated from frozen Russian assets, a day after US Treasury secretary Janet Yellen swung behind the idea.

Finance ministers and central bank governors meeting in Marrakech said on Thursday evening they had agreed to explore how “extraordinary revenues” from frozen Russian central bank reserves could aid Ukraine.

The endorsement follows Yellen’s approval of EU proposals on Wednesday, and is aimed at reviving Brussels’ plans to find a way of tapping into the revenues.

Member states have been struggling to make headway due to opposition from some EU countries over legal concerns, and warnings of financial risks from the European Central Bank.

The proposals would see the EU hand a portion of profits booked on more than €200bn-worth of financial assets owned by the Russian state to Ukraine.

What is under consideration?
In the days that followed Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, more than $300bn in central bank reserves were frozen by Kyiv’s western allies. Of those $300bn, more than €200bn worth of assets are held in Europe.

Most of this is caught in the plumbing of the European financial system, run by the world’s largest clearing house: the Brussels-headquartered Euroclear.

Ever since the assets were frozen, ideas have circulated about how they could be used to aid Ukraine. Many are wary of full confiscation, arguing that this would breach international law.

Rather than seize the assets, some officials have instead advocated imposing a levy on the excess, or windfall, profit made by Euroclear. This levy would be applied on the profits derived from the interest paid on Russia’s assets.

Euroclear declined to comment for this story.

How does it work?
Euroclear fulfils a crucial role in financial markets: ensuring payments get made.

To do its job, Euroclear receives payments, such as a coupon on a bond, and passes these on to the owners of the asset. But, as the assets in question are owned by the Russian central bank — an entity that is under EU sanctions, Euroclear has to hold on to the revenue.

Euroclear usually reinvests large cash balances, earning a fast-increasing amount of interest, owing to the ECB’s rapid succession of rate rises, which have taken benchmark eurozone interest rates from minus 0.5 per cent to 4 per cent.

It is this reinvestment pool that the EU would like to tap, arguing that it constitutes a “windfall profit” that would not exist without its sanctions regime.

In the first half of this year, Euroclear made €1.28bn in profits as a result of Russian sanctions, according to the clearing house’s most recent quarterly results.

EU officials first want to make it mandatory for Euroclear to set these profits aside. Only later will they decide how exactly to make them available to Ukraine.

Why is it controversial?
The ECB warned the European Commission in June that the plans could shake the confidence of global markets and destabilise the euro.

Their concern centres around a view that, should the EU seize profits made on assets held by a foreign state, other central banks will seek to sell their euro-denominated assets.

Central banks hold more than €2.2tn of their wealth in assets denominated in the single currency, according to IMF data. Many of those central banks represent states that have foreign policies at odds with those of the EU and the US.

EU member states have also been divided on the issue. Some countries like Germany have raised questions as to the legal implications of accessing the funds stocked up at Euroclear.

Why are things moving forward?
To minimise the risks, the ECB, several EU countries and the European Commission want the proposals to get the nod from their G7 partners, the most important of which is the US.

A breakthrough occurred on Wednesday when Yellen made clear that she supported “harnessing windfall proceeds from Russian sovereign assets immobilised in particular clearinghouses and using the funds to support Ukraine”. She said this was part of broader efforts to “ensure Russia pays for the damage it has caused”.

The post-meeting statement from G7 central bank governors and finance ministers on Thursday suggested other administrations would also support the Euroclear plan.

The statement said that the allies would “explore how any extraordinary revenues held by private entities stemming directly from immobilised Russian sovereign assets, where those extraordinary revenues are not required to meet obligations towards Russia under applicable laws, could be directed to support Ukraine and its recovery and reconstruction in compliance with applicable laws”.

EU officials said that Yellen’s remarks, plus the G7 statement, could help alleviate European critics’ concerns.

“International co-ordination with like-minded partners is fundamental for advancing the work,” an EU diplomat said. “It’s positive that we are getting some support and reassurance from other partners,” an EU official said.

What is already being done?
Belgium on Wednesday said it would use the corporate tax it already collects on Euroclear’s profits to create a €1.7bn fund dedicated to Ukraine.

Prime minister Alexander De Croo said that the money would be used to buy military equipment and for humanitarian support.

Belgium is taxing the revenues at a regular corporate tax rate of 25 per cent, which yielded some €600mn this year. The taxation revenue is estimated to hit €1.7bn next year, according to a person briefed on the matter.

The EU levy to tap into the windfall profits would be set at a “higher percentage” than the Belgian corporate tax, one bloc official said.

FT : Cost of London-to-Birmingham leg of HS2 jumps by a fifth to £54bn

Cost of London-to-Birmingham leg of HS2 jumps by a fifth to £54bn
Increase comes after UK government axed rest of line to Manchester in bid to save £36bn

The cost of building the London-to-Birmingham stretch of the UK’s HS2 high-speed railway has jumped by a fifth in just four months, underlining the challenges the government still faces in delivering the troubled project.

Last week, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak committed to building the full southern leg of the scheme even as he announced it would no longer run on to Manchester. He claimed the move would save £36bn.

Around the same time, the Department for Transport published figures showing that the upper cost estimate of the London-to-Birmingham leg, in 2019 prices, had risen sharply from £45bn in June to £54bn in October.

In today’s prices, that figure would rise to £68bn, according to calculations by the Financial Times.

This compares with an original budget of just under £33bn for the whole Y-shaped railway, which would have connected London to both Manchester and Leeds via Birmingham, when it was approved in early 2012.

The London-to-Birmingham line, which is still six years away from opening, has been plagued by budget overruns and delays as well as allegations of mismanagement in the decade since work on the railway started.

The state-funded organisation running the project is without a chief executive after Mark Thurston resigned after six years in the job in July. 

Jon Thompson, formerly chief executive of the Financial Reporting Council, has taken over as executive chair for an interim period while a replacement is found.

Professor Stephen Glaister, a transport economist at Imperial College London said: “There is something fundamentally wrong with the governance,” pointing to heavily redacted boardroom minutes and “a persistent lack of transparency”.

The transport department said in a statement that HS2’s “governance [was] being strengthened to further increase the focus on cost control and increase government oversight”.

The i newspaper previously reported the DfT disclosure.

Last week the government stripped HS2’s management of responsibility for rebuilding Euston station, the London terminus of HS2, and one of the most expensive parts of what remains of the project.

There is still no detailed plan for the site, despite the demolition of homes and businesses in preparation for the work.

Sunak said he would bring in private sector developers to build a Canary Wharf-style development around Euston that would subsidise the rebuilding of the station.

Government officials have said the Euston rebuild may not be completed without private investment, but the transport department has insisted that HS2 will run to the station.

Although soaring construction costs have contributed to the budget increases, an internal report last year pointed to wider problems. 

Two of the four consortiums hired to oversee the engineering work did not have “sufficient capacity and capability to manage all the various obligations placed upon them”, it found.

The internal report also criticised the project for its decision to record costs in 2019 prices. This meant none of the figures reflected “what has been or is being paid”.

A top civil servant warned last week that Sunak’s decision to build only the first phase of HS2 and axe the line north of Birmingham had damaged the economic rationale for the project.

In a letter to the House of Commons public accounts committee, Dame Bernadette Kelly, the DfT’s permanent secretary, wrote: “Taking an estimated range for the total costs of phase 1 and assessing them against the estimated total benefits [the project] would represent poor value for money.”