>>> US Research Calls

Research Calls
  • Upgrades:
    • Adobe (ADBE) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $630
    • Alcon (ALC) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt raised to $89.30
    • America Movil SA (AMX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $23.50
    • Coherent (COHR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Rosenblatt; tgt $45
    • Hexcel (HXL) upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research; tgt $83
  • Downgrades:
    • BorgWarner (BWA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura; tgt $44
    • Crestwood Equity Partners (CEQP) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt lowered to $29
    • Crestwood Equity Partners (CEQP) downgraded to Sector Perform from Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt lowered to $27
    • Denbury (DEN) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Markets
    • Invitation Homes (INVH) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG Research
    • JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) downgraded to Underperform from In-line at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $15
    • SL Green Realty (SLG) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital Markets; tgt raised to $35
  • Others:
    • AppFolio (APPF) initiated with an Overweight at JP Morgan; tgt $200
    • BeiGene (BGNE) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies; tgt $287
    • Commvault Systems (CVLT) initiated with a Buy at DA Davidson; tgt $85
    • Cryoport (CYRX) initiated with an Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $16
    • First Business Financial (FBIZ) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $37
    • Cryoport (CYRX) initiated with an Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $16
    • MAC Limited (MTAL) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital Markets; tgt $14

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • BILI +7.6%, AVT +5.3%, STNE +3.7%, DOLE +3.6%, CSCO +2.3%, SPTN +2%, SNPS +1.6% (also names new CEO), WMT +1.2%
Other news:
  • CHK +5.9% (to join S&P MidCap 400)
  • PGEN +4.3% (Director bought 570345 shares)
  • MRCY +3.7% (to move to S&P SmallCap 600 from S&P MidCap 400)
  • BALL +3.7% (Ball Corp confirms plans to divest Aerospace Business for $5.6 bln to BAE Systems)
  • CHGG +3.1% (authorizes new $200 mln share repurchase program)
  • FSR +2.4% (releases additional details on Fisker Alaska Super Sport Pickup Truck)
  • JNPR +2% (in sympathy with CSCO earnings)
  • CAAP +1.7% (July traffic data)
  • WMT +1.2% (CEO of International segment to retire)
Analyst comments:
  • ALC +3.3% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
  • ADBE +1.8% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities)
  • AMX +0.9% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup)

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • WOLF -15.8%, LITE -8.6%, PYCR -5.9%, SQM -3%, AEG -2.2%, NICE -2.1%, SFL -1.8%, MSGS -1.8%
Other news:
  • KULR -27.6% (stock offering)
  • ASUR -12.6% (prices offering of 3333333 newly issued shares being sold by Asure at $12.00 per share)
  • LITE -8.6% (in sympathy with CSCO earnings)
  • ALIT -3.5% (selling shareholders commence 22.5 mln share offering)
  • LOVE -3.3% (says FY23 earnings overstated due to error)
  • QSR -1.9% (prices secondary offering of 7136149 common shares)
Analyst comments:
  • INVH -1.4% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG Research)
  • BWA -0.9% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura)
  • SLG -0.8% (downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital Markets)

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Embracer (TH9 TH) +10%
    • Embracer 1Q Adjusted Ebit Misses Estimates, Net Sales Beat
  • Nibe (NJB TH) +1.3%
    • Nibe 2Q EPS Misses Estimates
  • Vodafone (VODI TH) +0.9%
  • Thule (TU0 TH) +0.7%
  • Wacker Chemie (WCH TH) -1.2%
  • SES (SES TH) -1.3%
  • Telefonica Deutschland (O2D TH) -1.5%
  • Carl Zeiss Meditec (AFX TH) -1.5%
  • Lanxess (LXS TH) -1.7%
    • Lanxess Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 36 euros
  • Kion (KGX TH) -1.8%
  • Leonardo (FMNB TH) -1.8%
  • BAE (BSP TH) -1.9%
    • BAE Systems to Buy Ball Aerospace Business for $5.55B in Cash
  • Nexi (N0XA TH) -2.4%
  • Adyen (1N8 TH) -11%
    • Adyen Profit Margin Misses Estimates as Hiring Wave Weighs

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • E.On (EOAN TH) +0.1%
    • E.On Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 13 euros
  • Merck KGaA (MRK TH) -1%
  • Infineon (IFX TH) -1.1%
  • Fresenius SE (FRE TH) -1.1%
  • Porsche (PAH3 TH) -1.1%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) -1.4%
MDAX:
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) -0.6%
  • Telefonica Deutschland (O2D TH) -1%
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) -1.1%
  • Carl Zeiss Meditec (AFX TH) -1.4%
  • Lanxess (LXS TH) -1.8%
    • Lanxess Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 36 euros
  • Kion (KGX TH) -1.9%
SDAX:
  • Dermapharm (DMP TH) +0.9%
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) -0.6%
  • VERBIO Vereinigte (VBK TH) -0.6%
  • Wacker Neuson (WAC TH) -0.7%
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) -1%
  • PNE AG (PNE3 TH) -1.6%

Electrek : First 100% electric Lamborghini teased ahead of Monterey Car Week deb

First 100% electric Lamborghini teased ahead of Monterey Car Week debut

We will finally get to see the first 100% electric Lamborghini concept model that we’ve all been waiting for at Monterey Car Week on August 18.

Lamborghini teases its first all-electric car
Lamborghini posted a teaser on its social media, getting fans excited for the first all-electric vehicle from the brand.

Although Lamborghini didn’t specify the model, the Sant’Agata Bolognese-based luxury sports car maker announced it would introduce its first 100% electric car at Monterey Car Week, which kicked off last Friday.

Lamborghini has been hesitant to produce an electric car thus far, citing performance. Meanwhile, competitors have plowed ahead, introducing several all-electric hypercars like the 1,914 hp Rimac Nevera that can go 0 to 100 km/h (approximately 0-62 mph) in 1.74 seconds.

In comparison, the Lamborghini Aventador SVJ Roadster achieves 0 to 100 km/h in 2.8 seconds.

The sports car brand says electrification is becoming “increasingly concrete and tangible” after selling out of its last purely gas-powered cars in July.

Lamborghini CEO Stephan Winkelmann explained during an interview with Auto Express last year that its first all-electric model will be more “daily useable.” He added:

This means a 2+2, two-door car with more ground clearance.

Despite the hesitance toward EVs, Winkelmann told Auto Express, “Full EV can be even more emotional than an internal combustion-engined car.”

The brand’s design boss Mitja Borkert says the new EV “will take 1,000% of the design DNA of Lamborghini.” It will be unique from the three other models, including the Aventador, Huracan, and Urus, all due for electrified upgrades.

The first electric Lamborghini will ride on a new platform, “SSP Sport,” with development being led by Porsche.

The brand aims to release the electric model in 2028, perfectly aligning with the 60th anniversary of the Lamborghini Espada, its famed 2+2 grand tourer (GT).

Lamborghini has tossed around the idea of a four-seat sedan with the Estoque concept released in 2008, which is expected to provide inspiration for the first purely electric model.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 17th of August 2023

>>> Up
* Alcon Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 78.60 Swiss francs
* Alcon PT Raised to $89 from $80 at Wells Fargo
* Aumann Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 21 euros
* Demant Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 305 kroner
* America Movil ADRs Raised to Buy at Citi; PT $23.50
* LondonMetric Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 225 pence
* Medartis Raised to Buy at Octavian; PT 110 Swiss francs
* Siili Solutions Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 14.50 euros

>>> Down
* Covestro Cut to Hold at DZ Bank; PT 49 euros
* Lanxess Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 36 euros
* SpareBank 1 Nord Norge Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities
* Sparebank 1 Ostfold Akershus Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities
* SpareBank 1 SMN Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 150 kroner
* Sparebanken Vest Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 120 kroner

>>> Initiation
* C4X Discovery Reinstated Buy at Shore Capital; PT 52 pence
* LBG Media Rated New Buy at Investec; PT 125 pence
* Thyssenkrupp Nucera Rated New Outperform at Oddo BHF

>>> Call

>>> What to look at today - 17th of August 2023

Asian stocks fell along with Treasuries as investors digested further signs of weakness in China and the prospect of higher US interest rates. Shares in Japan, Australia and South Korea all retreated, while Chinese stocks pared early declines. A region-wide equity gauge slipped to levels last seen in March, putting it on pace for its biggest two-day drop since October.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index pared a decline that had propelled it toward a bear market. A gauge of tech shares in the financial hub reversed an early loss, helped by gains in Li Auto Inc and Tencent Holdings Ltd. as investors looked past the latter’s disappointing revenue figures.  Elsewhere, concerns over China persisted. The country’s real estate slump may be worse than official data suggest. One of China’s biggest shadow banks is said to be planning to restructure its debt and has hired KPMG LLP to conduct an audit of its balance sheet. A unit of China Evergrande Group said the Chinese securities regulator has built a case against it relating to suspected information disclosure violations.  China ramped up its efforts to stem losses in the yuan Thursday by offering the most forceful guidance since October through its daily reference rate for the managed currency. The offshore yuan slipped against the greenback. The Bloomberg dollar index firmed as Treasury yields climbed across the curve. The 10-year Treasury yield touched levels last reached in October, extending the selling pressure seen Wednesday, while the rate on policy-sensitive two-year notes approached 5%. The selling erased gains for the year for an index of US government debt.  Japan’s 20-year bond yield surged after an auction of debt with the maturity drew tepid investor demand. The yen traded around its 2023 low — near levels that previously triggered Japan’s intervention in September.  Futures contracts for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 were little changed after Wednesday losses for the underlying benchmarks, as declines for Meta Platforms Inc, Amazon.com Inc. and Tesla Inc weighed on indexes. US After HOurs CSCO +2.4% initially lower following earnings but moves higher during call; AVT +6.6%, STNE +2.8%, SNPS +2.3% higher on earnings; CHK +6% to join S&P MidCap 400; WOLF -12.1%, PYCR -3.8% lower on earnings.

Nikkei -0.69% Hang Seng -1.08% CSI -0.43% Shanghai -0.34% Shenzen +0.08%

Eur$ 1.0863 CNH 7.3436 CNY 7.3168 JPY 146.42 GBP 1.2719 CHF 0.8807 RUB 95.5937 TRY 27.0918 WTI$ 79.14 Gold 1,892 BTC 28,600-1.15% ETH 1,796 -0.53%

S&P -0.14% Nasdaq -0.24% EuroStoxx -0.80% FTSE -0.63% Dax -0.68% SMI -0.37%

Macro :
- Burry’s Bets Against US Stocks Aided by Seasonality, Yields (1)
- Scholz Talks Up German Economy’s Ability to Deal With Challenges
- Spain’s Sanchez Faces Major Test as Lawmakers Vote for Speaker
- Luxury London Home Sellers Cut Asking Prices to Keep Deals Alive
- Daniel Och Says Rithm Deal Substantially Undervalues Sculptor
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Jumps to 5.8%, Adds to Case for Higher Rates
- Goldman Sachs Blames 0DTE Options for Fueling S&P 500 Selloff
- China Is Dragging Smartphone Market to Worst Year in a Decade

Keep an eye on :
- ADP FP : ADP July Passenger Traffic +16.4%
- ADYEN NA : Adyen Profit Margin Misses Estimates as Hiring Wave Weighs
- AGN NA : Aegon 1H Operating Profit EU818M Vs. EU796M Y/y
- AMBEA SS : Ambea 2Q Net Sales Beats Estimates
- MT NA : ArcelorMittal Weighs Possible Bid for US Steel: Reuters
- BA/ LN : BAE Is Said in Talks to Buy Ball’s $4 Billion Aerospace Unit, Deal could be announce as soon as this week.
- BAMNB NA : BAM 1H Adjusted Ebitda EU119.4M
- BORR NO : Borr Drilling 2Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
- CSCO US : Cisco 1Q Adjusted EPS Forecast Beats Estimates: Snapshot
- COLOB DC : Coloplast 3Q Ebitda Misses Estimates
- DNO NO : DNO 2Q Net Loss $18.5M, Est. Loss $22.5M
- EMBRACB SS : Embracer 1Q Adjusted Ebit Misses Estimates
- ERICB SS : Watch Nokia, Ericsson as Cisco Results Point to Resilient Demand
- EXO NA : Agnellis’ Exor Used Goldman to Buy €2.6B Philips Stake: FD
- FAST NA : Fastned 1H Oper Ebitda EU10.6M Vs. EU2.96M Y/y
- FLS DC : FLSmidth Holder Altor Invest 7 Boosts Stake to 14.9%
- GAM SW : NewGAMe Acceptance Period for GAM Offer to Run Sept. 1-28
- GEBN SW : Geberit 1H Ebitda Misses Estimates
- GN DC : GN Store Nord Boosts FY Hearing Organic Revenue Growth View (1)
- HOLMB SS : Holmen 2Q Operating Profit Beats Estimates
- IPN FP : Ipsen’s Therapy for Rare Bone Disease Gains US Approval
- KIN BB : Kinepolis 1H Revenue Beats Estimates
- KOJAMO FH : Kojamo 2Q Net Rental Income Beats Estimates
- KOMN SW : Komax 1H Revenue Beats Estimates
- 992 HK : Lenovo Profit Misses After Global PC Downturn Deepens
- MEKKO FH : Marimekko 2Q Adjusted EPS Beats Estimates
- MBTN SW : Meyer Burger 1H Sales Misses Estimates
- NOKIA FH : Watch Nokia, Ericsson as Cisco Results Point to Resilient Demand
- PHIA NA : Agnellis’ Exor Used Goldman to Buy €2.6B Philips Stake: FD
- RMV LN : Rightmove Is on Top of UK Tumult, But Needs to Clarify Spending
- SAN SM : Santander Hires Giordano as EMEA Strategic Equity Head: FN
- SBBB SS : Sweden’s SBB Gets SEK2.36b on Completion of Share Sale
- SWTQ SW : Schweiter 1H Ebitda CHF42.9M Vs. CHF57.0M Y/y
- SFZN SW : Siegfried Sees FY Core Ebitda Margin Above 20%
- TSLA US : *HERTZ CEO: EV DEMAND GROWING IN LEISURE, CORPORATE FLEETS
- UBSG SW : UBS Likely to Keep Swiss Business of Credit Suisse, Says Citi
- VLA FP : Valneva Extends Existing Loan Agreement for up to $100M
- VEI NO : Veidekke 2Q Pretax Profit Misses Estimates
- VIMIAN SS : Vimian 2Q Adjusted Ebita EU20.3M Vs. EU17.7M Y/y
- ZEAL DC : Zealand Pharma 2Q Operating Loss DKK195.4M, Est. Loss DKK196M

WWD : The Battle of Britain’s Luxury Department Stores

The Battle of Britain’s Luxury Department Stores
The U.K. luxury retail market is a seesaw right now — Harrods is on top with Selfridges and Harvey Nichols trying to balance in.

LONDON — British luxury department stores are having a seesaw summer.

Harrods is up in the clouds with its 2022-23 financial results, recording a 131.3 million pound increase in pre-tax profit, according to records from Companies House for the 52 week period ending January 2023.

Harvey Nichols revenues jumped 58 percent to 191.7 million pounds in the 53 weeks to April 2, 2022, but the flagship’s performance is still far behind its pre-pandemic level. Harvey Nichols and Company Ltd., which reflects the performance of its Knightsbridge flagship, showed that the location’s turnover in the same period increased by 111.6 percent to 57.8 million pounds from 27.3 million pounds.

Compared to a bigger recovery on a group level, the flagship’s performance is still far behind its pre-pandemic level: 81.27 million pounds in fiscal 2019-20.

There’s also turnaround at the business as chief executive officer Manju Malhotra steps down at the end of the year and the business takes a new route. The owner, Sir Dickson Poon’s son, Pearson, will take on the role of vice chairman until a new CEO is found.

And on Oxford Street, Selfridges is facing more than 1.7 billion pounds in debt as a result of rising interest rates, and is planning to cut jobs in its head office.

The business was bought by Thailand’s Central Group and the Austrian property company Signa in 2021 for 4 billion pounds, but Selfridges hasn’t jumped back up to its pre-COVID-19 profits yet.

In October 2022, Selfridges reported revenue rising 28 percent to 653.4 million pounds, significantly lower than the 852.9 million pounds the company generated the year before.

Central and Signa’s combined existing portfolio includes 22 luxury department stores and two stores under construction in Düsseldorf and Vienna. They are the owners of KaDeWe, Oberpollinger and Alsterhaus in Germany, and Globus in Switzerland. Central wholly owns Rinascente in Italy, and Illum in Denmark.

As reported, by 2030 the partners are targeting 9 billion euros in total sales from their overall retail portfolio. Over the past 10 years, they’ve plugged 1 billion euros into their stores, and will invest a similar amount in the next few years.

“Overall, luxury department stores have been competing against brand owned stores and direct-to-consumer. This is something that we’re seeing everywhere in the world, but particularly in strong markets like the U.K. where you don’t need to access products through department stores,” said Fflur Roberts, head of luxury goods at Euromonitor International.

Since the pandemic, luxury brands have reshuffled their distribution and wholesale processes, taking back the power of where and how their products are represented out in the world. And for those who have stayed in the U.K.’s high-end department stores, the terms have changed, and brands are asking for more priority and coverage — digitally and on the shop floor.

Harrods’ Instagram account has 1.9 million followers with approximately nine posts per week promoting the brands it carries with original content shot in-house with a team of creatives and stylists.

These posts include brands such as Malone Souliers, Givenchy, De Beers, Paige, Cartier and Dior.

“We remain focused on driving future growth via the curation of exclusive products and experiences that can only be found in Harrods, further enhancements in 2023 [include] new womenswear and furniture rooms as well as the ongoing development of our dining offerings and expansion of our private shopping services,” said Tim Parker, chief financial officer at Harrods.

Research from City Hall suggests that tourism levels to London could surge and beat the record year of 2019, when the city hosted 21.7 million visitors.

Events such as the coronation of King Charles III; the Wimbledon 2023 Championships and Queen Elizabeth II’s Platinum Jubilee and funeral have driven the demand for tourism.

Roberts said while pop-ups in department stores have their successes, they can’t necessarily compete with a brand’s flagship store. And now, many brands are taking a larger-than-life approach, exemplified by Harrods’ installations with LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton-owned brands.

In November, Harrod’s teamed up with Dior on “The Fabulous World of Dior,” which included covering Harrods with a facade of a Christmas gingerbread house on its Brompton Road entrance featuring white icing and clouds of sugar as well as a mega-star measuring 17 meters. Meanwhile, 44 windows were dedicated to the brand, along with a café and two pop-up shops.

According to industry sources, the takeover generated more than 25 million pounds in sales, and transformed Dior into the number-one bestselling brand at Harrods. The store declined to confirm any figures, but said Dior was a “top performer” throughout the 2022 festive season.

Cashing in on the success of Dior, Louis Vuitton followed suit with its global collaboration with Yayoi Kusama, taking over 27 Harrods windows adorned with giant colored dots and alive with anamorphic displays, all of which had been designed and made in London, as well as a 15-meter robot statue of the artist installed outside on Hans Crescent, where she’s peering into the third floor of the store.

“There’s nothing in the world that can compete with Harrods as a brand — with tourists in particular, everyone wants to go there,” said Roberts, explaining that the experiential arm of the department store has been a force in driving such robust growth.

Harvey Nichols is just around the corner from Harrods — and it’s a crucial moment for Poon’s department store to level with its competition.

“Change is always a good thing, especially if a retailer or company is not doing so well then getting fresh blood in with some new ideas that really understands the U.K. and London market in particular is really going to benefit the brand,” said Roberts about the appointment of the 29-year-old Poon.

Harvey Nichols was a name on everyone’s lips in London from the late ‘80s to the mid-2000s. It was visited by Princess Diana and name dropped every episode on the popular British sitcom “Ab Fab,” following a PR mogul and magazine fashion director played by Jennifer Saunders and Joanna Lumley, respectively.

Compared to Harrods and Selfridges, through, Harvey Nichols’ focus is unclear.

Harrods leans towards a wealthy crowds shopping for the mega brands in one place, meanwhile Selfridges brims with new brands with a location close to Mayfair and Soho. And Harrod’s is having a moment both IRL and on screen — the Qatar Investment Authority-owned business made a cameo during small talk in Netflix’s royal drama “The Crown,” where the last season featured the department store’s previous owner Mohamed Al-Fayed and his son, Dodi’s rise among royalty and Hollywood.