WSJ : DC Advisory Hires Rothschild Mergers and Acquisitions Veteran

DC Advisory Hires Rothschild Mergers and Acquisitions Veteran
The investment bank owned by Japan’s Daiwa Securities Group has made 27 senior hires in the past two years even as the overall M&A market has slowed

DC Advisory has hired the former global co-head of business services investment banking activity at Rothschild & Co., the 27th senior appointment made by the boutique investment bank in just two years, according to a statement seen by The Wall Street Journal.

Dan Skolds joins as a New York-based managing director in DC Advisory’s business & tech-enabled services team, which advises businesses and their private-equity sponsors on capital raising and mergers and acquisitions, the statement said. He joins Managing Directors John Lanza and Jordan Finkler along with a team of 50 bankers globally.

The team has a broad remit, covering 19 subsectors ranging from information technology services to transport and logistics and business process outsourcing, according to the bank’s website. Its clients include midmarket buyout shops Gallant Capital Partners and Mobeus Equity Partners, as well as the private-equity investment arm of Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System, according to the bank’s website.

Skolds has advised on more than $40 billion of M&A transaction volume in his 30-year career, which includes stints at Rothschild, J.P. Morgan, RBC Capital Markets and Credit Suisse, the statement said.

DC Advisory has made growing its U.S. business a strategic priority as part of a goal to become “the premier mid-market investment bank, globally,” according to previous statements from Hiroki Ikeda, deputy head of global investment banking at the bank’s parent company, Daiwa Securities.

Earlier this week, DC Advisory announced the hiring of Stan Holtz, a 30-year veteran from Truist Securities, to lead its U.S. telecom and digital infrastructure services team. In March, the bank brought in Managing Directors Anthony Edwards and Hannah Schofield from investment bank CIBC World Markets and asset manager BlackRock, respectively, to launch a U.S. infrastructure business.

The bank has a presence in Europe and in Japan, the home market of its parent. It ranked seventh in data provider Dealogic’s list of the most active banks in European private equity during 2022, advising on 18 deals with a value of $2.6 billion.

DC Advisory’s aggressive growth comes during a prolonged slump in M&A activity caused by a combination of factors, including macroeconomic uncertainty, higher interest rates and more expensive debt financing. The total value of M&A deals announced globally fell to $3.61 trillion, a 37% decline from 2021’s record high, The Wall Street Journal reported in January, citing data provider Refinitiv.

WSJ : Whose Rail Line Is It Anyway? Freight Carriers Could Be Forced to Share Tr

Whose Rail Line Is It Anyway? Freight Carriers Could Be Forced to Share Tracks With Competitors
New rules aim to increase competition in the business of moving cows, corn, chemicals and other goods

WASHINGTON—Railroads that fail to provide reliable service could be ordered to share tracks with competitors under a proposed rule that backers say will increase competition in the business of moving cows, corn, chemicals and other goods across America.

The rule on so-called reciprocal switching, proposed Thursday by the Surface Transportation Board, is seen as a way to improve efficiency among major freight lines that have struggled to move goods and supplies from farms, factories and ports, especially during the Covid-19 pandemic.

“In my view, it’s likely to lead hopefully to better service, where railroads are going to say, ‘We’d better up our game,’” STB Chairman Martin Oberman, a Democrat, said in an interview.

The board’s goal, he said, is to have the threat of increased competition motivate railroads to boost their on-time performance: “We’d rather you solve it yourself.”

The bipartisan, five-member board voted unanimously in favor of the proposed rule. If adopted, it would require all six of the nation’s Class 1 railroads to maintain uniform data on their on-time performance. When a railroad fails to meet minimum service standards, customers could file complaints and regulators would be empowered to order that it offer competitors the ability to serve the same customers.

A railroad looking to fulfill a farmer’s order, for example, would have to let a competing railroad bid for the farmer’s business—and then let the competitor’s car roll over its tracks to move the shipment.

The move sets up a clash with the railroad industry, which has previously opposed reciprocal switching, arguing that it would undercut the railroads’ business and result in increased congestion.

“Forced switching would not increase real competition but instead is being sought as a backdoor attempt to drive down rates to below-market levels,” Association of American Railroads CEO Ian Jefferies said in 2021, when Oberman and his STB colleagues were considering the policy. “Such government intervention would undermine railroads’ efforts to maximize network efficiency and push more freight to already overburdened and underfinanced highways.”

Oberman said the freight industry had brought the rule on itself, as years of labor reductions aimed at boosting profits—along with furloughs of workers during the Covid-19 lockdown—led to a collapse in its ability to transport goods as mandated under federal law.

The board’s action comes after labor and locomotive shortages led to cascading delays and trip cancellations on the major freight networks, resulting in everything from delays shipping goods from American factories to shortages of feed at dairies and poultry plants.

“We have a job to do,” Oberman said. “Congress gave us the authority and a mandate to try to keep the system efficient, and to keep it fair, and to instill competition. The statute is there for a reason.”

Oberman noted that railroads already include similar switching arrangements in contracts with shippers voluntarily, and said he doubted industry claims that mandatory switching would lead to congestion or other problems.

Hannah Garden-Monheit, a special assistant to President Biden for economic policy, praised the STB’s move as “a strong, bipartisan proposal that would promote competition, improve service, and lower costs for the thousands of businesses who rely on railroad freight shipping to get their products to market.”

The STB considered a reciprocal switching proposal in 2016, but the idea lay dormant for years afterward. Debate about whether the STB should use its powers to compel railroads to share facilities took on new life after the Biden administration issued an executive order in 2021 urging federal agencies to take measures to foster economic competition, specifically calling on STB to revive the switching rule.

The board will take public comments on the proposal and says it wants to move toward a final rule expeditiously.

FT : Germany’s industrial gloom deepens as production falls

Germany’s industrial gloom deepens as production falls
Sharp decline in carmaking drives third consecutive drop, as second-quarter eurozone growth is revised down to 0.1%

A sharp decline in carmaking fuelled a deepening downturn in German industry as production fell for the third consecutive month in July, intensifying pressure on the government to do more to lift the economy out of the doldrums.

The 0.8 per cent month-on-month decline reported by Germany’s statistical office exceeded the 0.5 per cent fall forecast by economists in a Reuters poll. It would have been even bigger without a rebound in energy and construction output in July. Production in Germany’s car-making sector fell 9 per cent.

Europe’s largest economy has shrunk or stagnated for the past three quarters and its recovery from the coronavirus pandemic has been slower than the US or the overall eurozone, with higher energy prices, rising interest rates and a slowdown in trade with China — its second-biggest export market — hitting Europe’s industrial heartland particularly hard.

Ralph Solveen, an economist at German lender Commerzbank, said the continued decline in industrial production had affected “all manufacturing groups”, indicating it was likely to continue “contributing to a contraction of the German economy in the second half of the year”.

Adding to the gloom, the EU’s statistics office cut its official estimate for eurozone growth in the second quarter from 0.3 per cent to 0.1 per cent. The move follows reductions to growth estimates by Italy, Ireland and Austria and means the eurozone is lagging further behind the US, whose gross domestic product grew 0.6 per cent in the quarter.

The euro fell 0.2 per cent to $1.0707 against the US dollar on Thursday, taking it close to a three-month low.


There are rising fears about German industrial groups shifting production abroad. BASF, the country’s leading chemicals company, chose to build a new €10bn petrochemicals plant in China and it is downsizing its sprawling headquarters on the banks of the Rhine in Ludwigshafen.

The German Chamber of Commerce and Industry recently found that 32 per cent of companies surveyed favoured investment abroad over domestic expansion.

“Germany’s industrial production continues its nosedive and even diehard pessimists are getting frightened,” said Carsten Brzeski, an economist at Dutch bank ING, who calculated German industrial production was still 7 per cent below its pre-pandemic levels.

The government has come under intense pressure to tackle the country’s economic woes. This week chancellor Olaf Scholz vowed to boost growth and banish the “mildew of bureaucracy” by speeding up digitalisation for online government services and e-invoices — areas in which Germany lags behind — and making it easier to found and grow start-ups.

Scholz has rejected the idea of a subsidised electricity price for energy-intensive companies or a large stimulus package to boost growth. Last week he unveiled plans for a €7bn package of corporate tax relief, which includes new rules on the depreciation of investment costs for construction, digitisation and green energy. 

“The positive news is that the sense of urgency has finally increased,” said Brzeski. “Let’s now wait for more concrete policy action. Until then, stagnation in industry and the broader economy looks like the new normal.”

Destatis, the federal statistical agency, said the year-on-year decline in industrial production in July was 2.1 per cent. The most energy-intensive industries, such as chemicals, metals and glass, have suffered a bigger year-on-year fall of 11.4 per cent.

German manufacturers are working through their backlogs of orders but these are shrinking. New orders for German industry fell 10.7 per cent in July from the previous month, the biggest decline since the first pandemic lockdown shut many factories in April 2020.

“Though the backlog of unfilled orders is still high, it has been declining steadily so is unlikely to support production much longer,” said Franziska Palmas, an economist at consultants Capital Economics. “We expect production to drop further in the rest of the year and contribute to Germany falling back into recession.”

Another factor holding back many German companies is the shortage of labour. A survey of 9,000 companies in the country by the Ifo Institute last month found 43.1 per cent reported a shortage of qualified workers, an increase from the previous month but down from an all-time high of almost half of all companies last year.

FT : At 89, Giorgio Armani is still running the show

At 89, Giorgio Armani is still running the show
The Italian designer remains the sole shareholder of his group, which he is determined to keep out of French hands

“I don’t know how any of us can think any of this is replicable without me,” says Giorgio Armani, speaking in a small backstage meeting room a few hours before his “One Night Only Venice” catwalk show, held last weekend at the Arsenale di Venezia, an ancient complex of shipyards dating back to the 12th century. 

Armani, whose show dovetailed with this year’s subdued Venice Film Festival, has been determined to do things differently from many of his Italian contemporaries. While Valentino, Gucci and Versace have all been sold to foreign investors, he remains the sole shareholder of the business that bears his name, a decision some analysts say has undervalued the group.

But the 89-year-old designer and chief executive says he has never doubted his choices, and is especially keen to avoid a takeover by one of the French luxury conglomerates. “These French groups want to do everything, I don’t get it . . . it’s a bit ridiculous,” he says. “Why should I be dominated by one of these mega structures that lack personality?”

Although he told American Vogue in 2021 he was open to a “liaison with an important Italian company” — quickly kindling speculation the company was for sale — he says now that he’s not going anywhere: “Everyone tells me I should just retire and enjoy the fruits of what I’ve built, but I say no . . . absolutely not.”

When Armani attended the film festival in Venice for the first time around the late 1970s, he says he felt like an “intruder”, a lesser-known character among a firmament of stars.

“Photographers pictured me with some actor friends and I thought I didn’t deserve it, I knew I had to work hard to deserve it and eventually I did,” Armani recalls.

The show, a revamped version of the harlequin-inspired spring/summer 2023 haute couture collection he showed in Paris in January, underlined how far he’s come. Actors Sophia Loren, Jessica Chastain and Benicio Del Toro were there in spite of the SAG-AFTRA strike that has kept many in Hollywood away. They joined fashion personalities including Santo Versace and Remo Ruffini of Moncler in a five-minute-long standing ovation at the end.

To many of those present, including some of Armani’s senior staff, the two-day event resembled something of a farewell.

Earlier that day, the designer — known for his rigour and formality — had taken a press conference by surprise as he strayed from the details of the show to describe how it was the general public who appreciate him as a person and not the stars that make his efforts worthwhile.

“The other day I [took] a picture with an old lady, who must have been 85 and was probably never able to afford any of my designs in her life, and she cried. It was hard to hold back the tears,” he said, teary once again.

Armani began working in fashion in 1957 after dropping out of medical school. He took a job on the design team as a window dresser at the Milanese luxury department store La Rinascente, going on to design for Nino Cerruti’s Hitman men’s collection before founding his own fashion house in 1975 alongside the late architect Sergio Galeotti. His deconstructed take on men’s jackets was the anthesis of the typical Savile Row structured suits. His breakthrough came five years later when he dressed Richard Gere in the film American Gigolo.

Fashion historians consider Armani, a favourite of Hollywood stars spanning multiple generations, the most influential figure of the 20th century in Italian high fashion alongside the late Gianni Versace and Valentino Garavani.

The group, which includes brands Emporio Armani and Armani Exchange as well as the higher-end Giorgio Armani line, posted €2.35bn in revenues in 2022, up 16.5 per cent on the previous year. Armani is Italy’s second-richest man, after the heir to the Nutella empire Giovanni Ferrero, and his business now also includes restaurants, luxury hotels and a beauty license with L’Oréal.

Armani has been laying plans for the company’s future — admitting, candidly, that he is “afraid to die”.

“I know Giorgio Armani, the company, is identified with me, so it is my responsibility to make sure this will continue and that the company will have a footprint that will resemble il signor Armani,” he says.

In 2016 Armani set up the Giorgio Armani Foundation, designed to fund social projects and shield his group from a future takeover or breakup — a set-up similar to that of Swiss watchmaker Rolex. As part of his succession plan, the foundation will own an undisclosed stake in his fashion empire, with the rest going to his family. Nieces Roberta and Silvana Armani work for the group, while Andrea Camerana, his nephew, is a board member.

Pantaleo Dell’Orco, who heads the men’s style office and has worked with Armani for 46 years, is also taking on an increasingly important role within the company. He sits on the foundation’s board and is also poised to inherit a stake in the company. At a men’s show in 2021, Dell’Orco joined the designer for the customary end-of-show bow, a suggestion that he may one day succeed Armani as menswear designer. Silvana Armani, meanwhile, works with her uncle on the women’s collection.

Armani’s designs have evolved over the decades. The Venetian catwalk shimmered with black headpieces and ruffled harlequin-like collars, sequinned lozenge-patterned dresses, tops and trousers in a variety of unconventional colours.

Armani says he’s changed over time and he has accepted the evolution of fashion, but only to a certain extent. “At one point I knew I could either [stick to] my own style, or [give up as] I would have never adapted to the new trends.”

“Change is happening and I have also changed . . . the thing is that today’s designers draw inspiration from the past and it’s not like they are inventing anything unless they do a mattana,” a colloquial Italian expression to describe an erratic behaviour. 

What bothers Armani, though, is what he defines as a lack of loyalty by the younger generation of fashion consumers. “It’s very hard nowadays, because what young people like today, they won’t like tomorrow . . . and this underworld of [VIPs] set trends, there’s a lack of culture, of substance . . . everything is very, very superficial,” he says.

Armani remains closely involved in the day-to-day of running the business. His aides claim there isn’t a single document Armani doesn’t personally sign off nor a single figure he doesn’t look at in running the company. 

“Detail is essential . . . it is often the minutia that makes the difference, not the great idea as those are rare,” he says.

The night before the show he welcomed his guests, including a small group of journalists, on his yacht for a drinks reception. When they headed off to dinner, also hosted by Armani, he took a water taxi to the show venue instead. He wanted to make sure the lights on the runway were perfect.

>>> US Research Calls

esearch Calls
  • Upgrades:
    • McDonald's (MCD) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt $310
    • Owens Corning (OC) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman; tgt raised to $150
    • TRI Pointe Homes (TPH) upgraded to Outperform from Perform at Oppenheimer; tgt $36
    • Vail Resorts (MTN) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Truist; tgt raised to $290
  • Downgrades:
    • ChargePoint (CHPT) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Fox Advisors
    • Dave & Buster's (PLAY) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James; tgt lowered to $55
    • Dell (DELL) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays; tgt $53
    • Greenbrier (GBX) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt lowered to $40
    • NCR Corp (NCR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Northcoast
    • Pampa Energia S.A. (PAM) downgraded to Reduce from Hold at HSBC Securities; tgt $30
    • Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC (PSNY) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays; tgt lowered to $3
    • Roku (ROKU) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital; tgt $85
    • Seagate Tech (STX) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays; tgt $65
    • Torrid (CURV) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Robert W. Baird; tgt lowered to $2.50
    • Tronox (TROX) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS; tgt lowered to $15
    • Verint Systems (VRNT) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $28
    • Verint Systems (VRNT) downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer
  • Others:
    • American Fincl (AFG) initiated with a Hold at Jefferies; tgt $120
    • Akamai Tech (AKAM) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $145
    • Bank of America (BAC) initiated with a Buy at HSBC Securities; tgt $35
    • Brookfield Asset Mgmt (BAM) initiated with a Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt $40
    • Canada Goose (GOOS) initiated with an Outperform at Raymond James
    • Citigroup (C) initiated with a Hold at HSBC Securities; tgt $43
    • Cloudflare (NET) initiated with an Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt $52
    • CyberArk (CYBR) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim; tgt $200
    • Flex (FLEX) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays; tgt $35
    • Floor & Decor (FND) initiated with a Buy at Stifel; tgt $120
    • Goldman Sachs (GS) initiated with a Buy at HSBC Securities; tgt $403
    • Harmony Biosciences (HRMY) initiated with a Buy at Berenberg; tgt $59
    • Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $59
    • Home Depot (HD) initiated with a Hold at Stifel; tgt $350
    • Jabil (JBL) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays; tgt $134
    • JPMorgan Chase (JPM) initiated with a Hold at HSBC Securities; tgt $159
    • Kenvue (KVUE) initiated with a Buy at Canaccord Genuity; tgt $28
    • Krystal Biotech (KRYS) initiated with a Buy at Berenberg; tgt $154
    • Lowe's (LOW) initiated with a Buy at Stifel; tgt $270
    • LPL Financial (LPLA) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays; tgt $275
    • Markel Group (MKL) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies; tgt $1750
    • Monro Muffler (MNRO) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt $35
    • Micron (MU) placed on 90-day Upside Catalyst Watch; tgt raised to $85
    • Morgan Stanley (MS) initiated with a Buy at HSBC Securities; tgt $99
    • PNC (PNC) initiated with a Reduce at HSBC Securities; tgt $110
    • PlayAGS (AGS) initiated with a Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities; tgt $11
    • Micron (MU) placed on 90-day Upside Catalyst Watch; tgt raised to $85
    • Morgan Stanley (MS) initiated with a Buy at HSBC Securities; tgt $99
    • PNC (PNC) initiated with a Reduce at HSBC Securities; tgt $110
    • RLI Corp (RLI) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies; tgt $155
    • Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) initiated with a Mkt Perform at JMP Securities
    • TeraWulf (WULF) initiated with a Buy at Compass Point; tgt $3
    • Micron (MU) placed on 90-day Upside Catalyst Watch; tgt raised to $85
    • Morgan Stanley (MS) initiated with a Buy at HSBC Securities; tgt $99
    • PNC (PNC) initiated with a Reduce at HSBC Securities; tgt $110
    • Valvoline (VVV) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt $42
    • Wells Fargo (WFC) initiated with a Hold at HSBC Securities; tgt $45

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • GIII +14.5%, CVGW +10.4%, SAIC +5.8%, PATH +4.5% (also authorizes new $500 mln share repurchase program), BASE +4.4%, GME +3% (also continues to evaluate portfolio of assets), KFY +2.3%, AGX +1.9%, DOOO +1.2%
Other news:
  • CBAY +21.1% (Achieves High Statistical Significance for the Primary and Key Secondary Endpoints in the Phase 3 RESPONSE Trial in Primary Biliary Cholangitis)
  • NRIX +13.4% (enters multi-target strategic collaboration agreement with Seagen (SGEN))
  • KOD +8.1% (reports new one-year results for Kodiak's tarcocimab tedromer in the pivotal BEACON trial)
  • WRK +6.7% (WestRock and Smurfit Kappa (SMFKY) in discussions regarding key terms of potential combination)
  • CRVS +4.3% (confirms planned initiation of CPI-818 phase 3 trial)
  • HCI +3.9% (provides update on impact from Hurricane Idalia)
  • BKCC +3.4% (BKCC and TCPC to merge into subsidiary of TCPC)
  • SMR +3.1% (Chubu Electric aiming to invest in SMR according to Bloomberg)
  • FLR +2.3% (settles with SEC will pay $14.5 mln fine)
  • ALNY +1.5% (reports positive topline results from KARDIA-1 Phase 2 dose-ranging study of zilebesiran an investigational RNAi therapeutic in development to treat hypertension in patients at high cardiovascular risk)
  • EQR +1.3% (provides operating update)
  • BTAI +1.1% (FDA has scheduled a Type C meeting for November 8 2023 to discuss the Company's BXCL501 SERENITY III clinical development program)
  • NSTG +1% (discloses patent court update in 10x Genomics (TXG) case)
Analyst comments:
  • MTN +3.3% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Truist)
  • MCD +0.9% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo)

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • SPWH -24%, VRNT -16.3%, CURV -15.9%, YEXT -12.2%, CHPT -10.6%, BB -10.5% (guides AugQ revs below consensus), AI -9.7%, PHR -8.1%, ABM -5%, PLAY -2.4% (also increases share buyback authorization by $100 mln), DBI -0.8%
Other news:
  • LZ -12.5% (prices secondary offering of 14 mln shares of common stock at $10.00 per share)
  • AMKR -12.5% (prices secondary offering of 10 mln shares of common stock at $24.00 per share by the Kim Family)
  • ROL -8% (prices secondary offering of 38724100 shares of its common stock at $35.00 per share)
  • SMTC -6.3% (files Form 12b-25 and will reschedule its Q2 earnings release and conference call)
  • BROS -6.2% (files mixed shelf securities offering; also files $300 mln stock offering)
  • TIGR -5.6% (announces clarification on recent Form 144 Filing regarding proposed sale of securities)
  • CRGY -4.6% (prices offering of 11 mln shares of common stock at $12.25 per share)
  • AEIS -4.5% (announces proposed offering of $500 mln convertible notes)
  • NTRA -4.3% (prices follow-on offering of 4.55 mln shares of common stock at $55.00 per share)
  • GRBK -3.2% (files mixed shelf securities offering; also files for stock offering by selling shareholders)
  • RDW -2.2% (files $400 mln mixed shelf securities offering)
  • PROF -2.1% (to issue and sell from time to time up to $30 mln of common shares in the capital of the Company)
  • PDS -2% (to acquire CWC Energy Services for total consideration of approximately $141 mln)
  • ALGN -1.9% (to acquire privately held direct 3d printing pioneer Cubicure for €79 mln; also introduces new vivera retainer)
  • AAOI -1.2% (CEO bought 5964 shares)
  • VSH -1% (files for $600 mln convertible note offering)
Analyst comments:
  • TROX -2.4% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS)
  • NCR -2.3% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Northcoast)

>>> US Pre Open Update

S&P futures vs fair value: -20.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -125.00.
The S&P 500 futures are down 21 points and are trading 0.4% below fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are down 125 points and are trading 0.7% below fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 45 points and are trading 0.1% below fair value.
The stock market is poised for a lower open after yesterday's retreat. Apple (AAPL) is down another 3.0% in pre-open action, hanging over the broader market, amid reports that China is aiming to broaden its iPhone ban.
Treasury yields are pulling back from yesterday's settlement levels, but the recent runup in yields remains top of mind for market participants. The 2-yr note yield is down four basis points to 5.00% and the 10-yr note yield is down three basis points to 4.27%.
Oil prices are inching lower this morning. WTI crude oil futures are down 0.6% to $87.01/bbl.
Separately, China reported an 8.8% year-over-year decline in exports and a 7.3% year-over-year decline in imports for August, both of which were better than expected.
Today's economic calendar features:
  • 8:30 ET: Weekly Initial Claims (consensus 233,000; prior 228,000), Continuing Claims (prior 1.725 mln), revised Q2 Productivity ( consensus 3.7%; prior 3.7%), and revised Q2 Unit Labor Costs (consensus 1.6%; prior 1.6%)
  • 10:30 ET: Weekly natural gas inventories (prior +32 bcf)
  • 11:00 ET: Weekly crude oil inventories (prior -10.58 mln)
In corporate news:
  • Apple (AAPL 178.06, -4.875, -2.7%): China aiming to broaden Apple (AAPL) iPhone ban to state and federal agencies, according to Bloomberg; expected to increase prices on premium iPhones next week by $100, according to the WSJ
  • McDonald's (MCD 278.20, +2.76, +1.0%): upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo
  • Goldman Sachs (GS 322.00, +0.87, +0.3%): HSBC initiated coverage with a Buy rating
  • C3.ai (AI 28.29, -3.17, -10.1%): beats by $0.08, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs in-line; reaffirms FY24 revs guidance
  • Roku (ROKU 85.23, -0.96, -1.1%): downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital
  • American Eagle (AEO 17.04, -0.16, -0.9%): beats by $0.09, reports revs in-line; guides Q3 revenue above consensus, raises FY24 revenue above consensus
  • Yext (YEXT 7.94, -1.14, -12.6%): reports EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides Q3 EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs in-line
  • Verint Systems (VRNT 25.77, -5.10, -16.5%): misses by $0.09, misses on revs; guides FY24 EPS in-line, revs below consensus
  • UiPath (PATH 16.98, +0.76, +4.7%): beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q3 revs below consensus; guides FY24 revs above consensus; authorizes $500 mln for repurchases
  • ChargePoint (CHPT 6.27, -0.79, -11.2%): reports Q2 (Jul) results, misses on revs; guides Q3 revs below consensus; guides FY24 revs below consensus
  • Dutch Bros (BROS 26.30, -1.78, -6.3%): files mixed shelf securities offering; announces proposed public offering of $300 million Class A common stock
  • BlackBerry (BB 4.92, -0.62, -11.2%): guides Q2 revs below consensus; reiterates FY24 sales outlook for Cybersecurity and Licensing segments
  • Dave & Buster's (PLAY 36.50, -0.90, -2.4%): misses by $0.01, misses on revs, comps fell -6.3%; increases repurchase program by $100 mln
  • WestRock (WRK 34.00, +2.12, +6.7%): and Smurfit Kappa (SMFKY) in discussions regarding key terms of potential combination
  • Calavo Growers (CVGW 34.65, +3.39, +10.8%): beats by $0.10, misses on revs
  • G-III Apparel (GIII 22.14, +2.84, +14.7%): beats by $0.38, beats on revs; guides Q3 EPS above consensus, revs below consensus; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus
Reviewing overnight developments:
  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Thursday on a mostly lower note. Japan's Nikkei: -0.8%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -1.3%, China's Shanghai Composite: -1.1%, India's Sensex: +0.6%, South Korea's Kospi: -0.6%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -1.2%.
    • In economic data:
      • China's August trade surplus $68.36 bln (expected surplus of $73.90 bln; last surplus of $80.60 bln). August Imports -7.3% yr/yr (expected -9.0%; last -12.4%) and Exports -8.8% yr/yr (expected -9.2%; last -14.5%)
      • Japan's July Leading Index -1.2% m/m (last -0.2%) and Coincident Indicator -1.1% m/m (last 0.9%)
      • Australia's July trade surplus AUD8.04 bln (expected surplus of AUD10.0 bln; last surplus of AUD10.3 bln). July Imports 3.0% m/m (last -3.3%) and Exports -2.0% m/m (last -3.1%). July Building Approvals -8.1% m/m, as expected (last -7.9%)
      • New Zealand's Q2 Manufacturing Sales Volume 2.9% qtr/qtr (last -1.8%)
    • In news:
      • Property stocks in Hong Kong rallied at the start of the session, but eventually retreated, ending in the red.
      • South Korea issued its first yen-denominated bond, raising about $500 mln.
      • Australia's Prime Minister Albanese will visit China later in the year.
      • China's largest banks have reportedly confirmed that rates for first-time mortgages will be lowered on September 25.
  • Major European indices trade just above their flat lines. STOXX Europe 600: -0.1%, Germany's DAX: +0.1%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.3%, France's CAC 40: +0.3%, Italy's FTSE MIB: UNCH, Spain's IBEX 35: +0.3%.
    • In economic data:
      • Eurozone's Q2 Employment Change 0.2% qtr/qtr, as expected (last 0.6%); 1.3% yr/yr (expected 1.5%; last 1.6%). Q2 GDP 0.1% qtr/qtr (expected 0.3%; last 0.1%); 0.5% yr/yr (expected 0.6%; last 1.1%)
      • Germany's July Industrial Production -0.8% m/m (expected -0.5%; last -1.4%)
      • U.K.'s August Halifax House Price Index -1.9% m/m (expected -0.3%; last -0.4%); -4.6% yr/yr (expected -3.5%; last -2.5%)
      • France's Q2 nonfarm payrolls 0.1% qtr/qtr (last 0.1%). July trade deficit -EUR8.1 bln (expected deficit of EUR6.8 bln; last deficit of EUR6.8 bln)
      • Italy's July Retail Sales 0.4% m/m (expected 0.2%; last -0.2%); 2.7% yr/yr (last 3.9%)
      • Spain's July Consumer Confidence 94.4 (expected 85.7; last 92.4)
      • Swiss August Unemployment Rate 2.1%, as expected (last 2.1%)
    • In news:
      • The U.K.'s Halifax House Price Index fell 4.6% yr/yr in August, representing the sharpest rate fall since late 2009.
      • Meanwhile, Bank of England Governor Bailey said that many indicators are pointing toward a marked slowdown in inflation.
      • The BoE Decision Maker Panel survey showed a decrease in three-month inflation expectations to 4.9% from 5.2% while the year-ahead outlook was lowered to 4.9% from 5.4%. French Finance Minister Le Maire said that inflation is decelerating, but at a slow pace.