>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • MKC -3.2%
Other news:
  • ENVX -11.4% (announces strategic realignment of Fab1 to improve operational efficiency and enhance technology development)
  • WE -5.8% (withholding interest payments)
  • TNYA -5.6% (publishes preclinical data)
  • BHVN -3.4% (prices offering of 10,227,273 of common shares at $22.00 per share)
  • CIFR -3.1% (September operational update)
  • AURA -3.1% (appoints new CMO)
  • WEST -2% (files $500 mln mixed shelf)
  • TAK -1.8% (updates EXKIVITY)
  • AMPX -1.7% (entered into $100 mln At Market Issuance Sales Agreement pursuant to the Company's shelf registration statement on Form S-3)
  • TPB -1.2% (files $500 mln mixed shelf)
  • DNA -1.2% (subsidiary Zymergen filed voluntary petitions for relief under Chapter 11)
Analyst comments:
  • KLG -4.3% (initiated with a Sell at Goldman)
  • NGVT -3% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • ODD +14% (guidance)
Other news:
  • ALXO +116.8% (reports interim Phase 2 ASPEN-06 clinical trial results of Evorpacept for the treatment of advanced HER2-Positive Gastric Cancer)
  • PNT +84.6% (to be acquired by Eli Lilly (LLY) for $12.50 per share)
  • RNLX +8.7% (announces that Medicare prices kidneyintelX.dkd at $950)
  • ATAI +7.3% (completes Phase 1 study of VLS-01)
  • PDSB +6.8% (announces interim 24-month survival rate of 74% in immune checkpoint inhibitor naïve head and neck cancer patients treated with PDS0101 in combination with KEYTRUDA)
  • SCU +5.5% (Boaz Weinstein raises bid for the company according to Bloomberg)
  • COMM +3.5% (divests Home Networks in exchange for a 25% stake in Vantiva SA)
  • AOUT +3.2% (approves $10 mln for share repurchases)
  • LFMD +3% (LifeMD and Particle Health demonstrate the potential of using comprehensive electronic health record data to triage patients for GLP-1 Weight Management Therapy)
  • HPQ +2.4% (10% owner Warren Buffett sold another 5125638 shares worth more than $132 mln)
  • SAFE +1.9% (credit ratings upgraded)
  • SMLP +1.7% (provides operational update; announces review of strategic alternatives)
  • ASTL +1.4% (extends contract with X)
  • ADEA +1.3% (files lawsuit against Shaw; Samsung enters into long-term agreement)
  • STN +1.2% (to launch 2024 Strategic Plan and host Investor Day on December 5 2023)
Analyst comments:
  • WRBY +3.9% (upgraded to Outperform from In-line at Evercore ISI)
  • FVRR +2.8% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at ROTH MKM)
  • REYN +1.6% (upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman)
  • AB +0.9% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman)

Thhe information : TikTok’s Owner Generated Nearly $7 Billion in Cash From Opera

TikTok’s Owner Generated Nearly $7 Billion in Cash From Operations in First Quarter

The cash machine of TikTok’s owner is getting bigger.

ByteDance’s revenue rose 34% to $24.5 billion in the first quarter of 2023, a slight slowdown from its 38% revenue growth in the 2022 calendar year, according to detailed financial results viewed by The Information. But the company generated $6.8 billion in cash from operations in the period, an improvement from $5.8 billion in cash flows from operations in the same period a year earlier.

THE TAKEAWAY
• ByteDance swung to a profit as revenue rose 34%
• Revenue is nearly on par with Facebook-owner Meta’s
• Cash holdings give it more ammo for shopping expansion

The padded cash holdings give ByteDance plenty of firepower as it expands aggressively into live shopping in the U.S. The company expects TikTok Shop, its online shopping service, to lose more than $500 million in the U.S. this year as it spends on hiring, developing a fulfillment network and providing incentives to merchants, The Information has reported. Growth in social shopping should help offset a slowdown in the growth rate of TikTok’s main business of advertising.

In terms of revenue, ByteDance is getting closer to Facebook owner Meta Platforms, which generated $28.6 billion in the first quarter. It isn’t possible to compare the companies when it comes to free cash flow because ByteDance’s cash flow statement doesn’t disclose what it spent on capital expenditures. Meta generated $7.2 billion in free cash flow in the first quarter.

ByteDance’s cash holdings grew to $30.4 billion as of March 31, up from $22.3 billion at the end of 2022. The company, which owns TikTok but generates most of its revenue from a TikTok-like service in China, generated a $2.7 billion profit in the March quarter, an improvement from a $4.7 billion loss in the first quarter of 2022, but that loss was mainly due to a change in value of its preferred shares, documents showed.

The figures provide a unique glimpse at one of the world’s biggest privately held companies that has been at the center of a political maelstrom in the U.S. and elsewhere, due to TikTok’s growing influence and the Chinese government’s closeness to ByteDance. The new financial data have emerged as The Information reported the company is planning to buy back $300 million worth of shares from employees at an implied valuation of $223.5 billion.

The company’s cash production has grown even as expenses creep higher. In the first quarter, ByteDance’s marketing, research and other expenses rose 10% to $8.1 billion, the documents show. In contrast, such expenses fell 33% last year from 2021.

The Information previously reported in detail about ByteDance’s 2022 financial results, including its slowing growth in China. The Wall Street Journal earlier reported the company's operating profit in the first quarter.

ByteDance has raised $8 billion in financing from firms including Sequoia Capital China, Susquehanna International Group, Coatue Management and Tiger Global Management.

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • ODD +13.2%, ATAI +7.3%, SCU +6.3%, HYZN +3.3%, AOUT +3.2%, LFMD +3%, SAFE +1.9%, ASTL +1.4%, ADEA +1.3%, UMH +0.8%, MDB +0.6%
  • Gapping down:
    • ALXO -13.3%, BHVN -5.9%, CIFR -3.9%, AURA -3.1%, WEST -2%, WE -1.7%, TAK -1.5%, TPB -1.2%, RLGT -0.9%

WWD : Rising Retail Crime Is Not Just an American Problem: UK Businesses Lost $2

Rising Retail Crime Is Not Just an American Problem: UK Businesses Lost $2.13 Billion Last Year
Retail organizations in the U.S. have also been warning about increased shrink.

Rising retail crime isn’t just a problem for American businesses.

On Sunday, leaders from 88 retailers across the U.K. — including top bosses from Clarks, Dr. Martens, Dune Group and JD Sports — have signed a new letter penned by the British Retail Consortium to U.K. Home Secretary Suella Braverman demanding action over rising rates of retail crime.

In the letter, leaders stated that they are seeking support for colleagues who continue to face “unacceptable levels of violence and abuse,” amid a rise in theft, much of it organized crime, and “anti-social behavior” which in many cases are the root cause of violent incidents.

As such, the retailers are making two demands of the government. Firstly, retailers are asking the government to create a new statutory offence of assaulting, threatening, or abusing a retail worker, allowing for tougher sentences for offenders — similar to the 2021 Protection of Workers (Retail and Age-restricted Goods and Services) Act passed in Scotland.

According to the BRC, this move would act as a deterrent and provide a “clear message” that Parliament will not tolerate crime and acts of violence against retail workers. It would also require police forces to record all incidents of retail crime, allowing for better allocation of resources to the issue.

“This standalone offence would send an important signal that our colleagues will receive better protection in law and act as a deterrent to would-be offenders,” the letter stated. “This action should be taken without delay.”

And secondly, retailers are asking the government for greater prioritization of retail crime by police forces across the U.K. “While the police face challenges across numerous competing priorities, 44 percent of BRC members rate the police response as poor or very poor,” the letter stated. “For one major retailer, the police’s own data shows that they failed to respond to 73 percent of serious retail crimes that were reported.”

Helen Dickinson, chief executive of the BRC, said in a statement that these actions are “vital” and should be taken before crime gets any worse. “We are seeing organized gangs threatening staff with weapons and emptying stores,” Dickinson said. “We are seeing a torrent of abuse aimed at hardworking shop staff. It’s simply unacceptable — no one should have to go to work fearing for their safety.”

According to the BRC’s 2023 Crime Survey, violence and abuse against retail workers in the U.K. had almost doubled on pre-pandemic levels to 867 incidents every day in the period of April 1, 2021, to March 31, 2022.

The U.K.’s retail trade organization also put the scale of retail theft in the country at 953 million British pounds ($1.2 billion), despite retailers spending more than 715 million pounds ($867 million) on crime prevention. This means the total cost of retail crime stood at a whopping 1.76 billion pounds ($2.13 billion) for the 12-month period to April, the survey found.

A separate BRC survey of members in 2023 found that levels of shoplifting in 10 major cities had risen by an average of 27 percent. This is not to mention the cascade of recent press stories detailing the wave of theft and violence currently impacting shops across the U.K.

This move by British retailers comes days after the National Retail Federation highlighted just how much retail crime has grown in the past year in the U.S.

In its latest National Retail Security Survey, the NRF found that, when taken as a percentage of total retail sales in 2022, shrink accounted for $112.1 billion in losses, up from $93.9 billion in 2021.

What brings these two countries together are retailers from both sides of the pond calling on their governments to step in and help curb the problem. While the U.K. retailers are asking its government for harsher punishment for retail crime offenders, retailers in the U.S. are hoping for similar legislation.

Retailers across the U.S. are banking on policy reforms such as raising the felony theft threshold — the amount that must be stolen in order to be considered a felony — or removing or eliminating cash bail may have unintended consequences for retail theft.

Another bill still awaiting a vote in Congress that could aid retailers is the Combating Organized Retail Crime Act. The bill would establish the Organized Retail Crime Coordination Center within the Department of Homeland Security to coordinate federal law enforcement activities related to organized retail crime. This center would facilitate information sharing across federal, state, local and tribal agencies and support multi-agency investigations.

This legislation follows the passing of the Integrity, Notification, and Fairness in Online Retail Marketplaces for Consumers (INFORM Consumers) Act, which officially became law in June. The legislation established better rules for the secure and safe e-commerce usage in the United States to protect consumers from fakes and stolen goods sold via online marketplaces.

FT : Singapore floats money laundering checks for luxury cars and handbags

Singapore floats money laundering checks for luxury cars and handbags
Value of assets seized or frozen in investigation spanning the city-state swells to $2bn

Singapore may subject luxury assets, including cars, watches and handbags, to anti-money laundering controls in one of a series of restrictions under consideration as the Asian financial hub reels from a S$2.8bn (US$2bn) money-laundering scandal.

In response to questions in parliament on Tuesday about the probe, Singapore’s government said it would examine extending anti-money laundering requirements, such as tough know-your-customer due diligence checks, to high-value assets including vehicles, handbags and alcohol. Such items are not currently regulated, unlike precious stones or metals.

But the government cautioned against “knee-jerk” reactions to what is now one of the world’s biggest money laundering investigations, saying they could make the city-state a harder place to do business.

The government’s proposal to broaden anti-money laundering regulations comes as the total value of assets seized or frozen as part of the probe has nearly tripled to S$2.8bn.

The scandal burst into the open in August when 10 people were arrested in an operation spanning the city-state, with authorities seizing luxury cars, designer watches, handbags and expensive wine as well as cash and gold bars.

Foreign and local banks, as well as property agents, precious metals dealers and elite golf clubs have been caught up in the case.

Singapore has faced public pressure to crack down on illicit activity as well as questions about how the syndicate — which is believed to have laundered the proceeds of overseas criminal activities as well as forgery — was able to operate for so long despite the city-state’s strict financial regulations.

The suspects, all of whom had Chinese passports and have been tied to illegal gambling operations originating in the mainland, are alleged to have been operating in Singapore since 2017, and the case first attracted government scrutiny in 2021. Several individuals are still at large and wanted for questioning, according to the Singapore Police Force.

An interministerial committee, led by second minister for finance Indranee Rajah, will be formed to consider further measures to strengthen Singapore’s anti-money laundering regime, the government said on Tuesday.

In addition to the possibility of extending due diligence controls to purchases of luxury goods, the government said it would examine tightening the immigration verification process. Singapore has absorbed rapid inflows of wealth and individuals, particularly from China, since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.

Any new measures would require careful moderation, said Josephine Teo, second minister for home affairs. Singapore has said its antitrust and money laundering requirements comply with international standards.

“We need rules . . . but let us be careful about knee-jerk reactions, which could make our business environment unfriendly,” Teo said.

The case has already had repercussions for the hub’s financial community. Wealth managers and other advisers have said that waiting periods to open private banking accounts for clients with foreign passports, including from China, have stretched into four months, up from less than one month previously, while some existing accounts were closed, as authorities tightened due diligence.

Event details and information
What is Sha

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 3rd of October 2023 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Allegro Raised to Neutral at Citi; PT 34.20 zloty
* Brunello Cucinelli Raised to Buy at Intesa Sanpaolo (+)
* Ekopak Raised to Buy at KBC Securities; PT 25 euros
* Hexagon Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 100 kronor
* Kone Raised to Hold at Deutsche Bank
* Nemetschek Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 60 euros
* Nokia Raised to Buy at DNB Markets; PT 4.70 euros
* Technip Energies Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 28 euros

>>> Down
* Airbnb Cut to Sector Weight at KeyBanc
* Aker Carbon Capture Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 13 kroner
* Burberry Cut to Sell at UBS
* CA Immo Cut to Hold at Erste Group; PT 32 euros
* Eramet Cut to Sell at AlphaValue/Baader
* Petrofac Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 90 pence
* Rational Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 630 euros
* Synlab Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane (+)
* Vistry Group Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 999 pence

>>> Initiation
* Emerson Electric Rated New Overweight at KeyBanc; PT $120
* Mandatum Holding Rated New Buy at SEB Equities; PT 4.20 euros

>>> Call
* BofA, Citi Say It’s Time to Buy the Dip in Luxury: Taking Stock (+)
* Burberry Cut to Sell at UBS, Which Sees Turnaround at Risk
* Hexagon, Nemetschek Raised at Barclays on Valuation Support
* Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says Higher Rates Catching Up to Stocks
* Rational’s Strong Prospects Now in Valuation, Berenberg Cuts
* Vistry Cut at Jefferies, Partnership Model Not Without Risks

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Novo Nordisk (NOV TH) +2.1%
    • Novo Nordisk Beats Challenge to Wegovy, Ozempic Obesity Patents
  • Diageo (GUI TH) +1.3%
    • PRICED: Diageo Capital $1.7b Debt Offering in 2 Parts
  • AstraZeneca (ZEG TH) +1.2%
    • AstraZeneca to Pay $425m to Settle Nexium, Prilosec Cases
  • Nemetschek (NEM TH) +0.9%
    • Hexagon, Nemetschek Raised at Barclays on Valuation Support
  • BAT (BMT TH) +0.8%
  • Prudential (PRU TH) +0.8%
  • Nokia (NOA3 TH) +0.7%
  • Infineon (IFX TH) -0.9%
  • VW (VOW3 TH) -0.9%
  • Deutsche Post AG (DPW TH) -0.9%
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) -1%
    • Krupp Foundation Chair Calls for Thyssenkrupp Dividend: RP
  • Continental (CON TH) -1.1%
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) -1.2%
  • Tomra (TMRA TH) -1.4%
  • Hochtief (HOT TH) -1.6%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) -2.5%
    • Boohoo Warns Revenue Will Decline More Than Expected
  • Rational (RAA TH) -3.6%
    • Rational’s Strong Prospects Now in Valuation, Berenberg Cuts

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • SAP (SAP TH) -0.7%
  • Daimler Truck (DTG TH) -0.7%
  • Commerzbank (CBK TH) -0.9%
  • Continental (CON TH) -1.1%
    • Continental’s MSCI ESG Rating Raised to A from BBB
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) -1.7%
    • Boohoo Warns Revenue Will Decline More Than Expected
MDAX:
  • Nemetschek (NEM TH) +1.3%
    • Nemetschek Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 60 euros
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) -0.6%
    • Krupp Foundation Chair Calls for Thyssenkrupp Dividend: RP
  • TAG Immobilien (TEG TH) -0.7%
  • Hochtief (HOT TH) -1.1%
SDAX:
  • Borussia Dortmund (BVB TH) -0.5%
  • flatexDEGIRO (FTK TH) -0.5%
  • MorphoSys (MOR TH) -2.3%