>>> Morgan Stanley beats by $0.06, reports revs in-line (89.70)

Morgan Stanley beats by $0.06, reports revs in-line (89.70)
  • Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $1.13 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.06 better than the FactSet Consensus of $1.07; revenues rose 1.2% year/year to $12.9 bln vs the $12.77 bln FactSet Consensus.
    • Pre-tax income for the fourth quarter excludes $535 million of charges or $0.28 per diluted share1,2: $286 million related to an FDIC special assessment and a $249 million legal charge related to a specific matter.
  • Investment Banking revenues up 5% from a year ago
  • Equity net revenues were essentially unchanged from a year ago. The absence of markdowns on certain strategic investments versus a year ago were offset by increased funding and liquidity costs.
  • Wealth Management net revenues of $6.6 billion in the current quarter were essentially unchanged from a year ago. Pre-tax income of $1.4 billion7 in the current quarter resulted in a pre-tax margin of 21.5%.
  • Provision for credit losses increased from a year ago primarily driven by deteriorating conditions in the commercial real estate sector, including provisions for specific commercial real estate loans.

>>> Goldman Sachs beats by $1.86, beats on revs (377.75)

Goldman Sachs beats by $1.86, beats on revs (377.75)
  • Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $5.48 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $1.86 better than the FactSet Consensus of $3.62; revenues rose 6.9% year/year to $11.32 bln vs the $10.8 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • Return on average common shareholders' equity (ROE) was 7.5% for 2023 and annualized ROE was 7.1% for the fourth quarter of 2023. Return on average tangible common shareholders' equity (ROTE)1 was 8.1% for 2023 and annualized ROTE was 7.6% for the fourth quarter of 2023.
  • Global Banking & Markets generated net revenues of $30.00 billion, driven by strong performances in both Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities (FICC), which included the second highest net revenues in FICC financing, and Equities, which included record net revenues in Equities financing. Provision for credit losses was $577 million for the fourth quarter of 2023, compared with $972 million for the fourth quarter of 2022 and $7 million for the third quarter of 2023.
  • Provisions for the fourth quarter of 2023 reflected net provisions related to both the credit card portfolio (primarily driven by net charge-offs and seasonal portfolio growth, partially offset by a reserve reduction of $160 million related to the transfer of the General Motors card portfolio to held for sale) and wholesale loans (driven by impairments).

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • HMST +11.3%, TALO +8.4%, EFXT +4.8%, ARQT +3.6%, TTI +2.7%, UEC +2.1%, WPRT +0.8%, LMT +0.7%
  • Gapping down:
    • EGO -5.2%, TBPH -5%, KEN -4.6%, BIDU -4.4%, BETS -2.8%, SATS -2.5%, BA -2.5%, TTE -2.4%, ALV -1.4%, VERX -1%, TPIC -0.9%, AVGO -0.9%, RIO -0.9%, TECK -0.8%

FT : More Heathrow shareholders plan to sell stakes

More Heathrow shareholders plan to sell stakes
Investors owning 35% of UK’s biggest airport push to exit as £2.4bn deal with Saudis and private equity under threat

Several shareholders in Heathrow that between them own 35 per cent of the London airport have said they want to sell out alongside majority owner Ferrovial, according to the infrastructure group, as part of £2.4bn deal agreed last year.

Ferrovial agreed to sell its 25 per cent stake in the UK’s biggest airport in November for £2.4bn to French private equity company Ardian and the Saudi Public Investment Fund, ending 17 years of ownership.

As part of that deal, the airport’s other shareholders were given the option to sell their own stakes at the same valuation, with the Saudis and Ardian offered first refusal. Ardian originally agreed to buy 15 per cent, and the Saudis 10 per cent.

On Tuesday, Ferrovial said that several other shareholders had decided to exercise their “tag-along” rights, throwing a potential roadblock in the way of the transaction. With 60 per cent of the airport now involved in the sale process, the £2.4bn deal could collapse if all the shareholders cannot find buyers.

Ferrovial added it was a “condition” of the transaction that the “tagged shares” were also sold.

Neither Ardian or the Saudis are compelled to buy the new shares on offer. The Saudis plan to stick with their original plan to buy 10 per cent and do not want to increase their stake in the airport beyond this, according to a person familiar with the deal. Ardian is considering raising its offer, the person said. 

Another option being considered is for the Saudis and Ardian to find a third investor to come on board to take the fresh stakes.

Ferrovial did not name the other shareholders who intended to sell. Heathrow’s other owners are Canadian pension fund Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (CDPQ), Singapore sovereign wealth fund GIC, the UK’s Universities Superannuation Scheme, Qatar Investment Authority, the Australian Retirement Trust and China Investment Corporation. 

The change in ownership would represent one of the biggest shake-ups in Heathrow’s boardroom since it was privatised under the Thatcher government in the 1980s.

Any new investors will buy into an asset that has been lossmaking for three years because of the pandemic and travel restrictions, but with a history of generating strong returns for shareholders.

Still, plans to build a third runway to generate significant new growth have stalled amid high inflation and rising interest rates.

Heathrow’s management has instead been exploring less radical options to increase passenger numbers, such as upgrading terminals and its road links, the Financial Times reported last month. 

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 16th of January 2024 V3(++)

>>> Up
* Addnode Group AB Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 100 kronor
* Adyen Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 1,450 euros
* Aegon Ltd Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 5.84 euros
* Allianz Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 272.80 euros
* Arkema Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 134 euros
* Boston Beer Raised to Market Perform at Bernstein (+)
* Componenta Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 3 euros
* Dassault Systemes Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank (+)
* DiaSorin SpA Raised to Outperform at Intermonte; PT 109 euros
* Direct Line Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 195 pence
* Dont Nod Entertainment Raised to Buy at Gilbert Dupont (+)
* Elisa Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 49 euros
* Epiroc Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 210 kronor (++)
* Galp Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 16.50 euros
* Generali Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 21.97 euros
* Marks & Spencer Raised to Add at AlphaValue/Baader
* NXP Semi Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT $260
* Oxford Nanopore Raised to Reduce at Peel Hunt; PT 155 pence
* Publicis Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 106.10 euros
* SoftwareONE Raised to Buy at Baader Helvea; PT 18 Swiss francs
* Stroeer Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 62.20 euros
* UBS Raised to Buy at DZ Bank (+)
* WDP Raised to Hold at SocGen; PT 28.80 euros
* Western Digital Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $65

>>> Down
* AB InBev Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 64 euros
* ABN Amro GDRs Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 13.60 euros
* Also Cut to Add at Baader Helvea; PT 289 Swiss francs
* Aroundtown Cut to Sell at SocGen; PT 2.25 euros
* Banco BPM Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 4.50 euros
* Bankinter Cut to Neutral at Alantra Equities; PT 7.40 euros (++)
* Believe Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 11.50 euros
* Boeing Cut to Equal-Weight at Wells Fargo
* Bufab Cut to Hold at DNB Markets
* Crest Nicholson Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 234 pence
* DNB Bank Cut to Hold at Nordea
* Drax Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 437 pence
* Fortinet Cut to Equal-Weight at Wells Fargo; PT $65
* Grand City Properties Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 10.50 euros
* Hannover Re Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 243.70 euros
* Harpoon Therapeutics Cut to Market Perform at Cowen
* HelloFresh Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 12.20 euros
* Hyatt Cut to Neutral at Redburn; PT $120 (+)
* Inmobiliaria Colonial Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 6.70 euros
* IntegraFin Cut to Add at Numis (++)
* ITV Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 60 pence
* Marel HF Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT ISK462.69
* Moneysupermarket Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 265 pence
* Munich Re Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 419.50 euros
* NX Filtration Cut to Reduce at KBC Securities; PT 4.50 euros (+)
* Novartis Assumed Buy at UBS (++)
* OKEA Cut to Hold at DNB Markets; PT 28 kroner
* Partners Group Cut to Sell at SocGen; PT 920 Swiss francs
* Persimmon Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 1,706 pence
* Recordati Cut to Neutral at Intermonte; PT 57 euros
* Richemont Cut to Hold at Investec; PT 121 Swiss francs
* Rightmove Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 493 pence
* Roche Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 260 Swiss francs
* Rolls-Royce Cut to Sell at Berenberg; PT 240 pence
* Sabadell Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 1.20 euros
* Sampo Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 44 euros
* Schibsted Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 332 kroner
* Stadler Rail Cut to Sell at UBS (++)
* Taylor Wimpey Cut to Hold at Peel Hunt; PT 145 pence
* Wartsila Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 14 euros
* Wise Cut to Hold at Numis; PT 950 pence (++)
* Worldline Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 15 euros

>>> Initiation
* AstraZeneca Assumed Sell at UBS (++)
* Better Collective Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 350 kronor (++)
* BLUENORD ASA Rated New Buy at DNB Markets; PT 660 kroner
* Craneware Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 2,300 pence (++)
* Elekta Reinstated Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 110 kronor (++)
* Eurocommercial Rated New Hold at SocGen; PT 24 euros
* Fission Uranium Rated New Buy at Paradigm Capital; PT C$2
* Fortnox Rated New Underweight at Cantor; PT 34 kronor (++)
* GSK Assumed Buy at UBS (++)
* IP Group Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 73 pence (++)
* Keywords Studios Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 2,450 pence (+)
* Kinnevik Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 157 kronor
* Mercialys Rated New Buy at SocGen; PT 11.50 euros
* Molten Ventures Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 315 pence (+)
* Murapol Rated New Buy at Erste Group; PT 49.80 zloty (+)
* Novartis Assumed Buy at UBS (++)
* Novo Assumed Neutral at UBS (++)
* QT Group Rated New Underweight at Cantor; PT 48 euros (++)
* Sanofi Assumed Buy at UBS (++)
* Seco Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 5 euros (++)
* SmartCraft Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 32 kroner
* Stillfront Rated New Neutral at Cantor; PT 13.50 kronor
* Syensqo Rated New Underweight at Barclays; PT 101 euros
* Team17 Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 270 pence
* Truecaller Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 43 kronor (++)
* Ubisoft Rated New Neutral at Cantor; PT 25 euros (+)

>>> Call
* BofA Strategists See Lower-than-Average 4Q EPS Beats in Europe
* Dassault Systemes Rises After Upgrade by Deutsche Bank (++)
* Europe Banks Decline as JPMorgan Sees Start of Downgrade Cycle (++)
* HelloFresh, ITV Cut as Publicis Raised by Goldman Sachs (+)
* Hugo Boss Narrows Outlook; Ebit Miss Could Weigh, Jefferies Says (+)
* Hyatt Cut to Neutral at Redburn Atlantic as Valuation Gap Closed (++)
* Lindt’s Good Momentum to Continue After Sales Beat: Vontobel (+)
* Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says Rates to Keep Driving US Equities
* Moneysupermarket Drops After Jefferies, Investec Both Downgrade (++)
* Persimmon Gains as Jefferies Rejigs Ratings on UK Housebuilders (++)
* Rightmove Drops as JPMorgan Cuts on Underestimated CoStar Threat (++)
* Rolls-Royce Slips After Rare Sell Rating From Berenberg (++)
* Stadler Rail Falls as UBS Cuts, Sees Strong FX Hitting Profit (++)