>>> US After Hours Summary: ALSN +19.8%, LYFT +18.7%, HOOD +9.3%, ZG +6.9% highe

After Hours Summary: ALSN +19.8%, LYFT +18.7%, HOOD +9.3%, ZG +6.9% higher on earnings; QDEL -32%, UPST -19.2%, CART -5%, ABNB -4.7%, MGM -4% lower on earnings

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: ALSN +19.8%, LYFT +18.7%, MCY +9.5%, HOOD +9.3%, REZI +8.3%, KTOS +7.9% (also announces $579 mln contract win for Space Force SATCOM C2 System), ZG +6.9%, WIRE +5.4%, DVA +5.2%, MRC +4.8%, IAC +4.7%, ENTG +4%, MIR +3.6%, VGR +3.1%, ES +3.1% (also to sell offshore wind investments; exploring sale of water distribution business), ADC +2.9%, INVH +2.3%, SSNC +2.2%, RUSHA +1.9%, ANGI +1.6%, WELL +0.8% (also to acquire $1 bln Affinity portfolio and formation of partnership; also issues business update), LOPE +0.6%, AKR +0.2%, BFAM +0.1%, REVG +0.1% (also 12 mln share offering by selling shareholders)

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: LRMR +15.6% (commences stock offering), MRCY +3% (JANA increases active stake), UBER +2.2% (in sympathy with LYFT earnings), DASH +2% (in sympathy with CART earnings), SOVO +1.8% (SOVO and CPB certify substantial compliance with Second Request from FTC), HL +1.2% (reports exploration results and reserves), SANA +1.1% (Cell Stem Cell publishes article), IMUX +0.9% (stock offering by selling shareholders), CPB +0.5% (SOVO and CPB certify substantial compliance with Second Request from FTC), CDXS +0.2% (enters into loan facility agreement), AMZN +0.2% (Bezos discloses $2.08 bln sale of shares), GVA +0.1% (awarded $112 mln final construction option in Denali National Park), GOOG +0.1% (Waymo voluntarily files recall report with NHTSA)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: QDEL -32%, UPST -19.2%, CRSR -8.4%, BL -7.4%, CART -5% (also COO to step down; announces restructuring plan, includes 7% workforce reduction; also authorizes additional $500 mln for share repurchases), ABNB -4.7% (also authorizes a new repurchase program of up to $6.0 bln), MODG -4.4%, MGM -4%, AKAM -3.2%, CRK -2.7%, EQT -2.5%, SITM -1.3%, AIG -0.8%, GDDY -0.5%, HE -0.3% (also provides liquidity update on the call), GXO -0.1%, STAG -0.1%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: CC -9.9% (reschedules earnings release), FLYX -3.1% (Third Point (Daniel Loeb) discloses 7.9% active stake), BKNG -1.3% (in sympathy with ABNB earnings), VTGN -1% (files $350 mln mixed shelf securities offering), IMNM -0.9% ($200 mln stock offering; also files mixed shelf securities offering), MACK -0.1% (FDA approves Ipsen's Onivyde regimen, which triggers milestone payment to MACK), MAR -0.1% (files mixed shelf securities offering), AGI -0.1% (intersects additional high-grade mineralization)

>>> US Close Dow -1.35% S&P -1.37% Nasdaq -1.80% Russell -3.96%

Closing Stock Market Summary
The stock market experienced a broad retreat today as participants reacted to the latest inflation data. A hotter than expected CPI (actual 0.3%; consensus 0.2%) and core CPI (actual 0.4%; consensus 0.3%) for January fueled selling interest in both the stock and bond markets.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite saw some mid-day improvement, climbing off early session lows in a move that coincided with NVIDIA (NVDA 721.28, -1.20, -0.2%) trading up as much as 1.7%.

The major indices then spent most of the afternoon trade in a steady drift before a sharp move higher with 30 minutes left in the session drove the S&P 500 from 4920.31 to close at 4953.17.

Ultimately, the S&P 500 fell 1.4% and the Nasdaq Composite registered a 1.8% loss while the Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 500 points.

The Russell 2000 lagged relative to other major indices, dropping 4.0%, due to weakness in regional bank shares that fell under renewed selling pressure today after recent rebound action. This weakness also left the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) with a 4.2% loss.

Small cap underperformance was also related to worries about growth in a high interest rate environment. The 10-yr note yield, which sat at 4.14% just before the CPI data, settled 14 basis points higher than yesterday at 4.32%. The 2-yr note yield, at 4.44% just before 8:30 ET, jumped 20 basis points today to 4.67%.

Today's robust selling activity left ten of the 11 S&P 500 sectors down at least 1.0%. The rate-sensitive real estate (-1.8%) and utilities (-1.7%) sectors saw some of the largest declines, along with the consumer discretionary sector (-2.0%), which fell under sizable declines in Amazon.com (AMZN 168.64, -3.70, -2.2%) and Tesla (TSLA 184.02, -4.11, -2.2%).

The jump in rates and the hot inflation data created an excuse for profit-taking activity in a market that some participants believe is due for a period of consolidation after a big run that had the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average set fresh all-time highs.
  • Nasdaq Composite: +4.3% YTD
  • S&P 500: +3.8% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: +1.6% YTD
  • S&P Midcap 400: -0.6% YTD
  • Russell 2000: -3.1% YTD

Reviewing today's economic data:
  • January NFIB Small Business Optimism 89.9; Prior 91.9
  • January CPI 0.3% (consensus 0.2%); Prior 0.2%; January Core CPI 0.4% (consensus 0.3%); Prior 0.3%
    • The key takeaway from the report is that it gives Fed officials an argument to maintain their hawkish rhetoric and delay the discussion about the initial rate cut.

Wednesday's economic calendar features:
  • 7:00 ET: Weekly MBA Mortgage Index (prior 3.7%)
  • 10:30 ET: Weekly crude oil inventories (prior +5.52 mln)

>>> Baupost Group (Seth Klarman) discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F f

Baupost Group (Seth Klarman) discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing: Exited EDU, QRVO; Adds to J, JAZZ, CLVT
New positions Highlights from Q4 2023 filing as compared to Q3 2023 (all amounts are approximate):
  • Increased positions in: CLVT (to 25.5 mln shares from 22.5 mln shares), J (to 0.73 mln from 0.49 mln), JAZZ (to 0.83 mln from 0.67 mln)
  • Maintained positions in: LBTYK (42.31 mln shares), WBD (25.24 mln shares), VSAT (16.17 mln shares), LSXMK (14.85 mln shares), LSXMA (8.18 mln shares), TBPH (7.42 mln shares), LBTYA (7.19 mln shares), CRH (3.35 mln shares), WTW (1.56 mln shares)
  • Closed positions in: ATRA (from 9.77 mln shares), ADV (from 6.15 mln), VRTV (from 3.32 mln), TMQ (from 2.33 mln), EDU (from 1.02 mln), QRVO (from 0.94 mln), DG (from 0.93 mln), STX (from 0.6 mln)
  • Decreased positions in: GTX (to 2.99 mln shares from 5.99 mln shares), SSNC (to 1.03 mln from 2.3 mln), LLYVK (to 0.72 mln from 1.9 mln), GOOG (to 2.95 mln from 3.83 mln), FIS (to 6.36 mln from 6.96 mln), TSEM (to 2.71 mln from 2.85 mln), LLYVA (to 1.9 mln from 1.98 mln)

WSJ : Walmart in Talks to Buy TV Maker Vizio

Walmart in Talks to Buy TV Maker Vizio
Retail giant discussing a more than $2 billion deal that would boost its advertising business in battle with Amazon

Walmart WMT -1.04%decrease; red down pointing triangle is shopping in the TV aisle to help grow its advertising business.

The retail giant is in talks to buy smart television-manufacturer Vizio VZIO 26.34%increase; green up pointing triangle for more than $2 billion, according to people familiar with the situation. The move would give Walmart more places where it can sell ads and pitch shoppers on goods.

Walmart, including its Sam’s Club chain, has historically been Vizio’s largest customer. Vizio is historically the largest television brand sold at Walmart by sales.

The deal talks demonstrate the importance of consumer data and ad space for major retailers as they build out their ad businesses and compete with Amazon AMZN -2.45%decrease; red down pointing triangle. In addition to being an e-commerce behemoth, Amazon is among the biggest ad players in the U.S. behind Google parent Alphabet and Facebook owner Meta Platforms. Amazon has also been building its own smart TV business.

The discussions between Walmart and Vizio are ongoing, and a deal may not happen.

There is also more competition among retailers hunting for ad dollars with companies including Best Buy, Kroger and Instacart jumping into the business. Advertisers continue to shift dollars into the retail media space, which is expected to hit $59.6 billion in U.S. ad revenue this year, up almost 30% from last year, according to Insider Intelligence.

Walmart gets most of its U.S. revenue from its grocery business, which typically has low profit margins. Executives see the Walmart Connect ad unit as a path to heftier profits and a way to generate cash beyond the company’s longtime engine of selling goods through stores.

That would give Walmart more money to spend on offering faster shipping and other services to compete with Amazon. Seattle-based Amazon leans on profits from its advertising and cloud-computing businesses in a similar manner.

Early last year Walmart said it earned around $2.7 billion in global advertising revenue for the previous 12 months. The company reports full-year earnings next week. Walmart is already testing selling ads through connected TVs. A potential Vizio purchase could make the prospect easier and more appealing to potential advertisers.

Vizio was founded in 2002 by its Chief Executive William Wang, a serial entrepreneur who survived a catastrophic plane crash that killed around half of its passengers. Vizio priced its initial public offering in 2021 at $21 and shares opened trading at $17.50. Vizio’s stock closed Monday trading at less than $8 a share. Vizio is set to report fourth-quarter earnings on Feb. 27.

Vizio is best known for selling low-price TVs, but it has tried in recent years to expand into advertising and streaming. It sells ads that users see when they turn on its sets and inside some free video services.

For Walmart the logic of a potential deal is about growing advertising revenue, not selling more low-price TVs.

Data on TV ad sales and viewership is controlled by whichever company owns a TV’s operating system. Walmart already has a large private-label electronics business through its Onn brand, which offers phone chargers, speakers and televisions. The Onn TVs run on operating systems from Roku or Google TV.

Amazon makes up 17% of the operating systems in connected TVs, compared with Vizio’s operating system, which makes up 8%, according to Parks Associates. Roku has 25% market share.

Buying Vizio would give Walmart access to a TV operating system and more ad inventory and ad viewership data. For example, an advertiser such as Procter & Gamble that sells goods inside Walmart stores could run an ad through Walmart’s advertising unit, then those ads could be shown to viewers on Vizio TVs. Finally, Walmart could potentially track those ads back to the purchase of goods.

The mounds of data that retailers have has made them even more attractive to brands in the wake of Apple’s policy changes in 2021 that required apps to ask users if they want to be tracked. Apple’s move has dented some tech platforms’ ability to prove the effectiveness of their ads. Retailers have stepped in with their data that can help brands target ads and measure the outcome of the pitches.

A potential deal “gives Walmart control over a massive amount of proprietary data—particularly viewing data, which along with its data on what people are buying—is massively important,” said Dave Morgan, CEO of Simulmedia, an ad tech company.

The Information : Private Equity Pushes to Hire the 1 Percenters’ Money Managers

Private Equity Pushes to Hire the 1 Percenters’ Money Managers

Private equity firms are on the hunt for a red-hot skill set: wealth managers who can convince the richest 1% to invest in PE funds.

As the flow of capital from pension funds and endowments has slowed, buyout firms are adding to their ranks of rich individual investors to boost assets under management for potential use in buyouts or other investments. That means hiring money managers who have experience with those types of investors.

The Takeaway
• PE firms have been hiring key wealth personnel from the upper echelons of banks
• Apollo, Blackstone, Ares, Brookfield, KKR, Carlyle among those poaching
• Apollo partnership with Patrick Cantlay is part of firm’s strategy to tout its high net worth individuals among other investors

PE firms have been hiring key personnel from the upper echelons of banks, according to a confidential third-party analysis of the industry reviewed by The Information. They poached at least seven of Goldman Sachs’ top wealth management workers over the past three years, with the number of defections speeding up last year, according to the document. JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock and HSBC each lost six key wealth employees to PE during the same period.

Among the firms doing the poaching in the U.S. are Apollo Global Management, Blackstone, Ares Management, Brookfield, KKR, Carlyle, Coller Capital and Pantheon Ventures, according to the analysis. In Europe, Sweden’s EQT, Switzerland’s Partners Group and France’s Tikehau Capital have made key wealth management hires.

Wealthy investors currently have more than $4 trillion parked in private investment strategies like PE, private credit and hedge funds. Consulting firm Bain & Co. expects that amount to more than double to around $9 trillion over the next decade.

Meanwhile, many of the pension funds, universities and other large PE investors that readily plowed billions into PE over the past decade have hit their thresholds for how much they’re willing to commit to the asset class. They’re waiting for the industry to deploy the more than $2.5 trillion in unused capital it’s sitting on, and they have to see that capital bring in returns before they can commit more.

Since a blockbuster 2021, PE dealmaking has been in a two-year spiral, weighed down by higher interest rates and economic and geopolitical uncertainty. The volume of PE transactions fell nearly 29% between 2022 and 2023, according to a report by KPMG. Still, there were some bright spots last year in tech, including Silver Lake and CCP Investments’ $12.5 billion deal for software developer Qualtrics and GTCR’s $11.7 billion buyout of payments provider Worldpay.

“We’re adding headcount and resources as we continue to see strong demand from private investors to increase allocation to private equity,” EQT’s chief commercial officer, Suzanne Donohue, said in an interview.

Max Heppleston, a managing director at staffing group Fredriks, which works with PE firms, hedge funds and other private markets firms, said hiring staffers who are accustomed to working with the world’s wealthiest investors will be “one of the top priorities for these firms in 2024.” He expects to see “a lot of poaching this year.”

The industry is sparing little expense to court a new base of high net worth backers. In January, Apollo struck its first-ever brand partnership with PGA Tour golfer Patrick Cantlay. People familiar with Apollo’s thinking said the move is part of a broader strategy to tout its high net worth individuals among other investors. Apollo raised over $8 billion from its private wealth funds in 2023, and has a goal of raising $50 billion in capital from wealthy investors through 2026, according to its latest earnings report.


Patrick Cantlay sporting an Apollo logo. Photo by Orlando Ramirez via Getty Images.
KKR has set a similarly lofty goal, expecting to raise 30% to 50% of its new capital over the next few years from its private retail funds, according to a KKR spokesperson.

The firm is looking to expand its private wealth team across Europe, according to a person familiar with the matter, including in Zurich, where it opened an office in December after installing HSBC’s Tomislav Culic to lead its Swiss wealth solutions team.

Blackstone, meanwhile, has said it wants half of new client assets to come from individuals.

There are a few key reasons why wealthy investors are looking to invest more in PE, said Michael Bell, CEO of Meketa Capital, a so-called alternative investment fund focused on raising capital from individual investors rather than institutions. Chief among them is the potential for big returns. “There’s a much higher return potential…not a return guarantee, but it’s a higher return potential,” said Bell. Those investors also may want to diversify their portfolios and try to insulate them from big market swings.

For comparison’s sake, an index from Cambridge Associates that tracks broad PE performance fell 4.3% in 2023, compared with a 24% increase in the S&P 500. The consulting firm’s U.S. private equity index, which tracks 1,496 funds, has returned an average of 15.3% over the past 20 years, compared to the S&P 500’s 20-year average return of 9%. Of course, whether PE returns outpace the broader market can depend on the window of time you’re looking at.

For many PE firms, wealthy individuals “are often the holy grail of investors,” said Randi Mason, a partner at law firm Morrison Cohen, which advises on PE transactions. “They are able to write sizable checks, and they are often much easier to deal with than institutional investors.

“They tend to be less aggressive in negotiations, are subject to minimal regulatory obligations, often have fewer tax constraints and can tolerate much longer hold periods,” she said.

The finance industry generally lumps individual investors into four categories: ultrahigh net worth (who have more than $30 million in investable assets), very high net worth (more than $5 million), and high net worth ($1 million to $5 million). Then there’s the mass affluent segment: individuals with meaningful portfolios but investable assets of less than $1 million.

The bottom two tiers have historically been hard to crack for private markets funds. That’s because regulators require most funds to only accept money from those defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission as “qualified purchasers”—someone who owns more than $5 million in investments. But new developments over the past several years have increased access to these asset classes for investors lower down on the wealth totem pole.

A pivotal moment came in 2020, when the SEC expanded its criteria for qualifying as an accredited investor—an individual allowed to participate in private markets—to include personal financial knowledge, not just personal wealth.

PE firms have responded to the ease in regulation by rolling out new fund structures that pool together investor capital, allowing investors with $100,000 or so to spare, rather than $5 million, an opportunity to get involved.

The result has been an explosion in popularity of these retail PE funds. “I’d say 75 to 80% of my clients in some way or form are inquiring about this type of strategy,” said Matthew Rubin, chief investment officer of wealth management firm Cary Street Partners.

For the world’s biggest PE players, the wealth frenzy has just begun.

“We are in the earliest early days of this,” Apollo CEO Marc Rowan noted on a call to investors last week. “This is a $65 trillion market that ultimately has the potential for private markets investors such as ourselves and our peer group to be as large [as], if not larger than, our institutional market.”

TechCrunch : ChatGPT will now remember — and forget — things you tell it to

ChatGPT will now remember — and forget — things you tell it to

You’ll soon be able to tell ChatGPT to forget things — or remember specific things in future conversations.

Today, as part of a test, OpenAI began rolling out new “memory” controls for a small portion of ChatGPT free and paid users, with a broader rollout to follow at some unspecified future point. The controls let you tell ChatGPT explicitly to remember something, see what it remembers or turn off its memory altogether.

OpenAI explains in a blog post:

“ChatGPT can now carry what it learns between chats, allowing it to provide more relevant responses … As you chat with ChatGPT, you can ask it to remember something specific or let it pick up details itself. ChatGPT’s memory will get better the more you use it and you’ll start to notice the improvements over time.”

It’s not hard to picture scenarios where a ChatGPT with memory could come in handy.

If, say, you wanted ChatGPT to recall you live in the suburbs and so prefer driving versus public transit directions, you can simply tell it that fact (e.g. “Remember that I live in the suburbs and mostly drive.”). Or if you wanted its advice about child-rearing to pertain to younger kids because you have a kindergartner, you could highlight this for it (e.g. “Remember I have a kindergartner.”).

OpenAI lists several ways in which memory could be useful in a business context, as well, like remembering tone, voice and formatting preferences for blog posts and languages and frameworks for programming.


GPTs — custom chatbots powered by OpenAI’s models, available through the GPT Store — have their own memories. The Books GPT, for instance, can automatically remember which books you’ve already read and which genres you like best. But these memories aren’t ever shared with ChatGPT — or vice versa.

The memory feature for both ChatGPT and GPTs can be disabled at any time from the ChatGPT settings menu, and when it’s turned off, ChatGPT and GPTs won’t create or use memories. From this same menu, you can view and delete specific memories or clear all memories.

Note that deleting a chat from chat history won’t erase ChatGPT’s or a GPT’s memories — you have to delete the memory itself.

Now, one imagines that ChatGPT could, over time, accumulate a lot of sensitive personal details in its memory, especially considering that the memory feature is switched on by default. OpenAI acknowledges the possibility — and also says that it might use memories to improve its models, with a carve-out exception for ChatGPT business customers and users who opt out.

But OpenAI also says that it’s taking steps to steer ChatGPT away from “proactively” remembering sensitive information, like health details, unless a user explicitly asks it to.

“ChatGPT’s memories evolve with your interactions and aren’t linked to specific conversations,” OpenAI writes. “[And] memories, like chats, with GPTs are not shared with GPT builders.”

For a more privacy-preserving experience, OpenAI’s rolling out a new Temporary Chat feature in ChatGPT, initially limited to a small subset of free and subscription users. With Temporary Chat, you can have a dialogue with a blank slate, in essence; ChatGPT won’t be aware of previous conversations or access memories but will follow custom instructions if they’re enabled.