>>> US Research Calls

Research Calls
  • Upgrades :
    • AbbVie (ABBV) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays; tgt raised to $170
    • Acushnet (GOLF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Compass Point; tgt $60
    • Chevron (CVX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $200
    • East West Banc (EWBC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS; tgt raised to $61
    • Eastman Chemical (EMN) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt $90
    • L3Harris (LHX) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Raymond James; tgt $210
    • Methanex (MEOH) upgraded to Sector Outperform from Sector Perform at Scotiabank; tgt raised to $54
    • Morningstar (MORN) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Redburn Atlantic; tgt $320
    • NorthWestern (NWE) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt lowered to $51
    • Saia (SAIA) upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research; tgt $418
  • Downgrades:
    • 2seventy bio (TSVT) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Leerink Partners; tgt $6
    • Aon (AON) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt lowered to $304
    • Cisco (CSCO) downgraded to Underperform from Mkt Perform at Raymond James
    • CubeSmart (CUBE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $38
    • Datadog (DDOG) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird; tgt lowered to $84
    • Extra Space Storage (EXR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $119
    • Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Truist; tgt lowered to $13
    • NatWest Group plc (NWG) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at Jefferies
    • Newell Brands (NWL) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Truist; tgt lowered to $8
    • Newell Brands (NWL) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan; tgt lowered to $7
    • Olin (OLN) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan; tgt lowered to $48
    • Valley National (VLY) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan; tgt lowered to $10
  • Others:
    • Annexon (ANNX) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt $11
    • Arcellx (ACLX) initiated with an Outperform at TD Cowen
    • Berry Global (BERY) placed on 30-day upside catalyst watch at Citigroup
    • Cooper (COO) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $380
    • Dianthus Therapeutics (DNTH) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim; tgt $45
    • FinishMaster, Inc. (FMST) initiated with a Buy at ThinkEquity; tgt $8
    • Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $19
    • NewAmsterdam Pharma (NAMS) initiated with an Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt $25
    • Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX) initiated with an Overweight at CapitalOne; tgt $32
    • Verisk Analytics (VRSK) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt $230

>>> Western Digital beats by $0.15, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS above consensus

Western Digital beats by $0.15, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS above consensus, revs in-line; to separate its HDD and Flash businesses (38.97)
  • Reports Q1 (Sep) loss of $(1.76) per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.15 better than the FactSet Consensus of ($1.91); revenues fell 26.4% year/year to $2.75 bln vs the $2.66 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • Co issues guidance for Q2 (Dec), sees EPS of $(1.35)-(1.05), excluding non-recurring items, vs. ($1.39) FactSet Consensus; sees Q2 revs of $2.85-3.05 bln vs. $2.93 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • "Our Consumer and Client end markets continue to perform well and we now expect our Cloud end market to grow going forward. Our improved cost structure positions Western Digital to capitalize on enhanced earnings power as market conditions continue to improve."
  • To Separate Business Units: Co also approves plan to separate its HDD and Flash businesses. Co says that creating two independent, public companies will better position each franchise to execute innovative technology and product development, capitalize on unique growth opportunities, extend respective leadership positions, and operate more efficiently with distinct capital structures.
    • The separation is intended to be structured in a tax-free manner and is targeted for the second half of calendar year 2024.
    • "Our HDD and Flash businesses are both well positioned to capitalize on the data storage industry's significant market dynamics, and as separate companies, each will have the strategic focus and resources to pursue opportunities in their respective markets. Importantly, separating these franchises will unlock significant value for Western Digital shareholders, allowing them to participate in the upside of two industry leaders with distinct growth and investment profiles," said David Goeckeler, CEO, Western Digital.
    • Co has determined that to realize its full value, spinning off its Flash business is the best, executable alternative at this time.
    • "Moving forward, as we progress through fiscal year 2024, we see an improving market environment in both businesses, and we will remain open to strategic opportunities that unlock further value in both our HDD and Flash investments and assets."

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • RVTY -8.2%, CHKP -2.9%, CNA -1.3%
Other news:
  • MT -3.9% (provides statement regarding tragic accident in Kazakhstan)
  • MAMA -2.9% (files for 5,629,921 share common stock offering by selling shareholders)
  • O -1.6% (Realty Income (O) to acquire Spirit Realty Capital in $9.3 billion transaction)
  • PEAK -1.3% (Healthpeak and Physicians Realty Trust (DOC) to combine in an all-stock merger of equals valued at approximately $21 billion; also reports earning; also reports earnings)
Analyst comments:
  • TSVT -2.8% (downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Leerink Partners)
  • DNUT -1.4% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Truist)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • SOFI +8.4%, JKS +7%, XPO +6.5%, SJW +3.5%, MCD +3%, BGC +2.6%, PSO +2.4%
Other news:
  • MIRO +225% (United Therapeutics (UTHR) to acquire Miromatrix for $3.25 per share and an additional $1.75 per share in cash upon the achievement of a clinical development milestone)
  • MGTX +30.3% (announces $30 million strategic investment from Sanofi (SNY); company pursuing multiple additional strategic opportunities)
  • SRC +12.6% (Realty Income (O) to acquire Spirit Realty Capital in $9.3 billion transaction)
  • MX +7.5% (Introduces 6th-Generation 600V SJ MOSFET Developed with Cutting-Edge Microfabrication Technology)
  • TRML +7.2% (Pfizer discloses 6.26% passive stake in Tourmaline Bio)
  • LITE +3.4% (to acquire Cloud Light Technology Limited for transaction value of approx. $750 mln)
  • MITT +3.1% (ISS Recommends AG Mortgage Investment Trust Stockholders Vote "FOR" the Proposed Merger With Western Asset Mortgage Capital Corporation)
  • COIN +1.9% (positive Barron's article)
  • LLY +1.8% (announces robust weight loss efficacy multiple metabolic benefits and favorable safety profile of higher dose 9 mg mazdutide (IBI362) after 48-week treatment in phase 2 study for obesity)
  • FSM +1.7% (receives positive decision from Mexican Court which reinstates the San Jose Mine environmental impact authorization)
  • STLA +1.6% (Stellantis and UAW reach tentative agreement)
  • DOC +1.6% (Healthpeak and Physicians Realty Trust (DOC) to combine in an all-stock merger of equals valued at approximately $21 billion)
  • AVGO +1.5% (Broadcom and VMware (VMW) provide update on pending transaction)
  • DWAC +1.4% (announced filing of amended annual report marking an important milestone in preparation for the expected S-4 Filing)
  • OMC +1.3% (acquires Flywheel Digital for $835 mln)
  • GSK +1.3% (reports Phase III RUBY trial of Jemperli plus chemotherapy met endpoint of overall survival in patients with primary advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer)
  • VMW +1.3% (Broadcom and VMware (VMW) provide update on pending transaction)
  • NVS +1.2% (reports investigational atrasentan Phase III study demonstrates clinically meaningful and highly statistically significant proteinuria reduction in patients with IgA nephropathy)
Analyst comments:
  • GOLF +2% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Compass Point)
  • NWE +1.3% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo)
  • ABBV +1% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays)

FT : Broadcom-VMware merger held up as China delays $69bn deal

Broadcom-VMware merger held up as China delays $69bn deal
US chipmaker and cloud software companies insist transaction will complete ‘soon’ despite missing Monday’s scheduled close

US chipmaker Broadcom and cloud software company VMware have delayed the completion of their $69bn merger, which had been scheduled to close on Monday, as they await approval from China.

The companies said in a joint statement that they maintained their “expectation that Broadcom’s acquisition of VMware will close soon, but in any event prior to the expiration of their merger agreement”, which set a final deadline of November 26.

The Financial Times reported this month that Chinese regulators were considering holding up the deal, which was first announced in May 2022, after Washington toughened rules to block Chinese access to high-performance semiconductors.

Broadcom and VMware’s statement did not mention China directly but said they expected to “close [the] transaction promptly following satisfaction of [a] remaining condition”. China was not listed among the territories that have approved the deal, which include the EU, Japan, South Korea and the UK.

People close to the situation in China have said geopolitical friction between Washington and Beijing hung over the deal’s approval.

The companies said that there was “no legal impediment to closing under US merger regulations”.

The statement indicates that US antitrust authorities had not lodged objections before the deadline expired for intervention under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Act, which requires large deals to be notified to the US Federal Trade Commission and Department of Justice.

Ahead of Monday’s deadline, both companies had proceeded as if closing was imminent.

Mark Kelly, chief executive of MKP Advisors, an advisory firm, said Monday’s statement was the “first public admission by the companies that they cannot close as planned”, despite the FT’s initial report that a lack of approval from China could delay it.

“Never before has there been such uncertainty over the fate of such a large acquisition so close to a supposed deadline for it to be closing,” Kelly said.

“I’ve never seen anything like this,” said one hedge fund investor who owns VMware shares.    

The delay will leave investors hoping that a thaw in US-China relations could open a path to approval. President Xi Jinping is expected to meet his counterpart Joe Biden in San Francisco next month for the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit. Prior meetings, such as one held in Bali last year, have helped stabilise relations. 

China’s State Administration for Market Regulation did not immediately respond to requests for comment, outside normal business hours.

Moving forward without China’s approval could be highly damaging for Broadcom. The San Jose-headquartered group brings in about a third of its revenue from shipments to China and lawyers say the group could face a large fine for closing without China’s sign-off. 

If Broadcom’s merger with VMware is eventually scuppered by Beijing, it would mark the second time in five years that the technology group has seen its ambitions curtailed by US-China tensions.

In 2018, then-US president Donald Trump blocked Broadcom’s $142bn bid for chipmaker Qualcomm, citing national security concerns about a US semiconductor champion being bought by what was then a Singapore-headquartered company. Broadcom subsequently relocated its headquarters to the US.

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • MIRO +226%, TRML +7.1%, MAMA +2.1%, VMW +2%, COIN +2%, AVGO +1.9%, GSK +1.7%, LLY +1.7%, MITT +1.4%, NVS +1.4%, FSM +1.4%, PSO +1.3%, F +1.2%, STLA +1.1%
  • Gapping down:
    • RVTY -4.5%, MT -4.2%, CHKP -2.2%, CNA -1.3%, XPO -1%, WFC -0.6%, IFF -0.6%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 30th of October 2023 V2(+)

>>> Up
* AbbVie Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT $170
* BFF Bank Raised to Accumulate at Banca Akros (+)
* Bonheur Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 230 kroner (+)
* Coloplast Raised to Hold at HSBC; PT 700 kroner
* Danske Bank Raised to Hold at SocGen; PT 164 kroner
* Dassault Systemes Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 46 euros
* Eastman Chemical Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $90
* Electrolux Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 96 kronor
* Enento Group Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 19 euros
* Enento Group Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 21 euros
* Femsa ADRs Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT $130
* Iberdrola Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 11.80 euros (+)
* Jenoptik Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 30 euros
* Kuehne + Nagel Raised to Outperform at ZKB (+)
* Meta Platforms Raised to Buy at Phillip Secs; PT $375
* Metso Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 10.50 euros
* MTU Aero Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 210 euros
* NatWest Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 150 pence
* Novozymes Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 350 kroner
* Otovo Cut to Hold at Fearnley; PT 3.30 kroner (+)
* Rightmove Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 605 pence
* Siegfried Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 800 Swiss francs
* SKF Raised to Hold at Nordea; PT 160 kronor (+)
* Stockmann Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 2.80 euros
* Stratec Raised to Buy at Hauck & Aufhaeuser; PT 50 euros (+)
* Suominen Raised to Reduce at Inderes; PT 2.60 euros
* Sweco Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 115 kronor
* Vale ADRs Raised to Buy at Citi; PT $16

>>> Down
* AJ Bell Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Bergen Carbon Solutions Cut to Hold at Norne Securities (+)
* BNP Paribas Cut to Hold at DZ Bank; PT 59 euros
* Datadog Cut to Neutral at Baird; PT $84
* Electrolux Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 96 kronor
* Lundin Mining Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT C$9.55 (+)
* Mercedes Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 65 euros
* NatWest Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 190 pence (+)
* Newell Brands Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $7
* Norden Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 420 kroner
* Remy Cointreau Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 115 euros
* Salmones Camanchaca GDRs Cut to Hold at Arctic Securities
* Sanofi Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 95 euros
* Sanofi Cut to Hold at Intron Health; PT 100 euros
* SKF Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank
* Tecnotree Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 42 euro cents
* Xilam Animation Cut to Neutral at Euroland Corporate; PT 8 euros (+)

>>> Initiation
* Abrdn Global Infrastructure Income Fund Rated New Buy at Stifel
* IMI Reinstated Hold at Liberum; PT 1,600 pence
* Mandatum Rated New Outperform at KBW; PT 4.20 euros
* Michelin Rated New Hold at Intesa Sanpaolo; PT 31.80 euros (+)
* Opap Reinstated Overweight at Euroxx Securities; PT 18.80 euros (+)
* Renishaw Rated New Buy at Liberum; PT 3,900 pence
* Rotork Reinstated Hold at Liberum; PT 320 pence
* Smiths Reinstated Buy at Liberum; PT 2,150 pence
* Weir Reinstated Buy at Liberum; PT 2,500 pence

>>> Call
* AJ Bell Downgraded to Neutral at Citi on Increased Margin Risks
* Danske CEO Says ‘Muddy’ Outlook Drove Provisions Higher: Borsen
* Goldman Says Souring US Growth Views May Create Stocks Bargains
* JPMorgan’s Matejka Advises Shorting European Banks After Rally
* Lar Espana RE Socimi Rated New Buy at Mirabaud Securities (+)
* Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Sees Year-End Stock Rally as Unlikely
* NatWest Double-Downgraded at Jefferies on Lower Capital Returns
* Pearson Upgrades Profit Guidance and Launches Buyback Program (+)
* Pessimistic Tone in S&P 500 Earnings Is ‘Striking,’ RBC Says
* Rightmove Competition Concerns Overdone, Berenberg Upgrades
* Sanofi’s Equity Story Now Higher-Risk, Cut to Hold at Intron

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +16%
    • Siemens Energy Chairman Says ‘No Need’ for State Money: WamS
  • Pearson (PES TH) +9%
    • Pearson FY Adjusted Operating Profit Forecast Beats Estimates
  • BAE (BSP TH) +2.4%
    • Strained Markets Face Added Tension as Israel-Hamas War Heats Up
  • National Grid (NNGF TH) +2.1%
  • Stellantis (8TI TH) +1.3%
    • Stellantis Workers in Canada Strike as Contract Talks Fail
  • Teleperformance SE (RCF TH) +1.3%
  • Kongsberg (KOZ TH) +1.3%
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) +1.3%
  • Nordea Bank (04Q TH) +1.1%
    • Nordea Bank Reader Interest Increases
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) -0.8%
    • Aixtron Reader Interest Increases
  • 3i (IGQ5 TH) -0.9%
  • Santander (BSD2 TH) -0.9%
  • Aurubis (NDA TH) -1.3%
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) -1.4%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) -1.6%
  • ArcelorMittal (ARRD TH) -6%
    • At Least 16 Dead in ArcelorMittal Mine Fire in Kazakhstan: AFP

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +18%
    • Siemens Energy Chairman Says ‘No Need’ for State Money: WamS
  • Porsche AG (P911 TH) +1.4%
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) +1.3%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +0.7%
  • VW (VOW3 TH) +0.7%
  • Mercedes (MBG TH) -0.4%
    • Mercedes Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 65 euros
  • Covestro (1COV TH) -0.6%
MDAX:
  • Jenoptik (JEN TH) +2.6%
    • Jenoptik Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 30 euros
  • Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) +1.8%
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) +0.8%
    • Options Traders See More Earnings-Day Moves for AB InBev, GSK
  • Telefonica Deutschland (O2D TH) +0.8%
  • RTL (RRTL TH) +0.7%
  • K+S (SDF TH) -0.6%
  • Aurubis (NDA TH) -0.7%
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) -0.8%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) -1.1%
SDAX:
  • Stratec (SBS TH) +3.5%
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) +2%
  • Secunet Security Networks (YSN TH) +2%
  • Suess MicroTec (SMHN TH) +1.6%
  • W&W (WUW TH) +1.4%
  • PNE AG (PNE3 TH) -1.2%
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) -1.4%
  • Wacker Neuson (WAC TH) -1.5%
  • MorphoSys (MOR TH) -1.7%
  • SFC Energy (F3C TH) -1.9%