>>> Pfizer misses by $0.09, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensu

Pfizer misses by $0.09, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs in-line (30.55)
  • Reports Q3 (Sep) loss of $0.17 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.09 worse than the FactSet Consensus of ($0.08); revenues fell 41.5% year/year to $13.23 bln vs the $13.34 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • Co issues guidance for FY23, sees EPS of $1.45-1.65, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $2.13 FactSet Consensus; sees FY23 revs of $58.0-61.0 bln vs. $60.68 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • Reaffirms Full-Year 2023 Non-COVID Operational Revenue Growth Expectation of 6% to 8% vs. 2022.
    • The midpoint of the guidance range for revenues reflects a 40% operational decrease compared to 2022 revenues. Company revenues are anticipated to be lower in 2023 than in 2022 due to expected revenue declines for Pfizer's COVID-19 products, partially offset by expected operational growth from our non-COVID-19 in-line portfolio, new product and indication launches and recently acquired products.
  • Current guidance does not anticipate any share repurchases in 2023.
  • We launched our cost realignment program, from which we expect to achieve at least $3.5 billion of net cost savings by the end of 2024.

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • BEAM +33.4%, PINS +17.5%, WOLF +14%, LUNG +13.9%, RYI +11.9%, VERV +11.6%, ANET +9.9%, TREX +8.9%, MPWR +5.9%, KMPR +5.4%, OTTR +5%, QGEN +3.9%, BUD +3.8%, ACGL +3.5%, AGNC +3.3%, THC +3%, ARGX +3%, STLA +2.8%, PACB +2.7%, KFRC +2.7%, CWK +2.1%, OGS +2%, SITC +2%, LLY +1.8%, PSA +1.8%, CSWC +1.7%, INST +1.6%, CVI +1.5%, ALLE +1.5%, LOGI +1.2%, IMO +1.2%, EQC +1.2%, SPG +1.1%, TWO +1%
  • Gapping down:
    • PETS -25.3%, LSCC -17.2%, FWRD -11.2%, AMKR -9.9%, HLIT -9%, VFC -7.7%, PLOW -7.4%, KRG -6.7%, CGNX -6.2%, DENN -5.8%, MDXG -5.1%, AESI -5%, WDC -4.7%, CHGG -4.2%, VRNS -4.2%, FMC -4.2%, BP -3.6%, LEG -3.2%, LXP -3.2%, LIAN -2.8%, RWT -2.5%, PSMT -2%, AXNX -2%, HTLF -2%, WK -1.6%, ST -1.6%, ZI -1.5%, ARES -1.4%, STT -1.2%, SWK -1%, BHP -1%, CRK -1%, BCC -1%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 31th of October 2023 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Bakkafrost Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 550 kroner
* Demant Raised to Hold at Jyske Bank; PT 290 kroner (+)
* ERO Copper Raised to Buy at PI Financial; PT C$25
* Eurofins Scientific Raised to Market Perform at Bernstein
* Evonik Raised to Buy at On Field; PT 22 euros (+)
* Fiera Milano Raised to Buy at Equita; PT 3.30 euros (+)
* Rolls-Royce Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 270 pence
* Smith & Nephew Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 1,220 pence
* SR-Bank Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 135 kroner
* THG PLC Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 100 pence
* Viant Raised to Outperform at Raymond James (+)

>>> Down
* Euronav Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan
* First Quantum Minerals Cut to Neutral at Eight Capital; PT C$31
* Galp Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 15 euros
* InterContinental Hotels Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan
* Kering Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 470 euros
* Kerry Group Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 80 euros
* Pepco Group Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 20 zloty
* STMicroelectronics ADRs Cut to Neutral at Baird; PT $35
* WH Smith Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 1,500 pence

>>> Initiation
* Adyen Reinstated Underweight at Wells Fargo; PT 650 euros
* Assura Re-Initiated Buy at Berenberg
* Gym Group Reinstated Buy at Investec; PT 180 pence
* LXI REIT Plc Rated New Hold at Berenberg
* Primary Health Re-Initiated Buy at Berenberg
* Sandoz Group Rated New Hold at Bank Vontobel; PT 30 Swiss francs (+)
* Smartoptics Group Rated New Buy at SEB Equities; PT 24 kroner
* Supermarket Income Re-Initiated Hold at Berenberg
* Tritax Big Box Re-Initiated Buy at Berenberg
* Value & Indexed Property Income Trust Rated New Buy at Berenberg
* Wiit Rated New Outperform at Mediobanca SpA; PT 20 euros

>>> Call
* Eurofins Upgraded at Bernstein With Risks Now Better Represented
* Kerry Downgraded at Morgan Stanley, Volume Growth Not a Given
* WH Smith Cut to Add at Peel Hunt, Short-Term ‘Less Exciting’

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Knorr-Bremse (KBX TH) +4.8%
    • Knorr-Bremse Maintains FY Revenue Forecast
  • TeamViewer SE (TMV TH) +3.9%
    • TeamViewer SE 3Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
  • Qiagen (QIA TH) +2.5%
    • Qiagen’s Reiterated Guidance Seen as Reassuring: Street Wrap
  • BAE (BSP TH) +2.2%
  • Imperial Brands (ITB TH) +2%
  • Vodafone (VODI TH) +1.8%
    • Zegona to Buy Vodafone Spain for €5b
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) +1.8%
    • Rolls-Royce Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 270 pence
  • Equinor (DNQ TH) +1%
  • Credit Agricole (XCA TH) +0.9%
  • ASML (ASME TH) +0.9%
    • Watch European Chip Stocks as Samsung Sees Memory Recovery
  • Shell (R6C0 TH) -0.7%
  • Merck KGaA (MRK TH) -0.8%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) -0.9%
  • BP (BPE5 TH) -1.1%
    • BP Profit Misses as Weak Gas Trading Offsets Strong Oil
  • OMV (OMV TH) -1.5%
    • OMV 3Q Profit Misses Estimates, Lowers Chemicals Outlook
  • Rockwool (R90 TH) -1.7%
  • Kering (PPX TH) -1.8%
    • Kering Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 470 euros
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) -2.7%
    • Siemens Energy Is Said to Weigh Sale of Indian Stake to Siemens
  • DSM-Firmenich (ZX6 TH) -2.7%
    • DSM-Firmenich 3Q Adjusted Ebitda EU409M Vs. EU599M Y/y

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • RWE (RWE TH) +0.9%
  • Porsche (PAH3 TH) +0.8%
  • BASF (BAS TH) +0.8%
    • BASF Sees Sales, Earnings at Low End of Guidance Due to Slump
  • Porsche AG (P911 TH) +0.7%
  • Siemens (SIE TH) +0.7%
    • Siemens Energy Is Said to Weigh Sale of Indian Stake to Siemens
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) -1.8%
    • Siemens Energy Is Said to Weigh Sale of Indian Stake to Siemens
MDAX:
  • Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) +5.9%
    • Redcare Pharmacy NV 9M Revenue EU1.27B Vs. EU877M Y/y
  • Knorr-Bremse (KBX TH) +5.5%
    • Knorr-Bremse Maintains FY Revenue Forecast
  • TeamViewer SE (TMV TH) +4.7%
    • TeamViewer SE 3Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) +0.9%
    • Watch European Chip Stocks as Samsung Sees Memory Recovery
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) +0.9%
  • Telefonica Deutschland (O2D TH) +0.7%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) +0.6%
SDAX:
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) +1.1%
  • Schaeffler (SHA TH) +0.8%
  • VERBIO Vereinigte (VBK TH) +0.7%
    • Energy Lags as Oil Retreats; ArcelorMittal: EMEA Resources Wrap
  • DWS (DWS TH) +0.7%
  • Aroundtown (AT1 TH) +0.6%
  • W&W (WUW TH) -1.1%
  • Dermapharm (DMP TH) -1.8%
  • Kloeckner (KCO TH) -1.9%
    • Kloeckner Cuts FY Adjusted Ebitda Forecast, Cuts Jobs

>>> What to look at today - 31th of October 2023

The yen weakened after the Bank of Japan made only minor changes to its yield-curve-control settings, disappointing some in the market who had hoped for a further winding back of its accommodative monetary policy stance. Japan’s currency slipped as much as 0.7% to 150.10 per dollar, while 10-year bond futures pared losses and stocks rose following the decision that also saw the central bank keeping its cap on long-term yields at 1% and leaving its negative interest rate untouched. The dollar gained. The BOJ will take a more flexible approach to controlling yields on 10-year government debt, according to its statement. That marks a shift from a previous pledge to conduct daily bond buying operations at 1%, a stance that effectively drew a line in the sand at that level. The Nikkei had earlier reported the BOJ would consider letting yields climb above its 1% cap. sian stocks were mostly lower after a gauge of China’s factory activity slid back into contraction in October. Hong Kong and mainland Chinese shares both dropped and the offshore yuan weakened. The dollar strengthened versus all its Group-of-10 peers, extending gains immediately after the BOJ decision. Treasury yields dropped after the statement, before paring their decline. The US Treasury on Monday reduced its estimate for federal borrowing for the current quarter, citing stronger-than-expected revenue. Australian bonds fell, pushing 10-year yields closer to 5%. The benchmark yield hasn’t breached that level since July 2011. Oil edged higher in Asia after sliding Monday due to signs the Israel-Hamas war will remain contained while demand may be softening. Foxconn Industrial Internet Co. rose in Shanghai after reporting a higher-than-expected profit margin as it made more AI server-related products. Bank of China Ltd. also gained following its third-quarter results.  US After Hours PINS +13%, WOLF +11.5%, LUNG +10.3% all up double-digits on earnings; LSCC -16%, VFC -7.5%, CHGG -5.3% falling on earnings; WDC -5.5% down after convertible offering.

Nikkei +0.53% Hang Seng -1.47% CSI -0.26% Shanghai -0.03% Shenzen -0.50%

Eur$ 1.0598 CNH 7.3280 CNY 7.3174 JPY 150.18 GBP 1.2145 CHF 0.9022 RUB 92.6590 TRY 28.2738 WTI$ 82.72 +0.52% Gold 1,994 -0.10% BTC 34,283 -0.43% ETH 1,802+0.07%

S&P -0.23% Nasdaq -0.45% EuroStoxx +0.27% FTSE +0.09% Dax +0.28% SMI -0.15%

Macro :
- JPMorgan’s Kolanovic Says Earnings Estimates Divorced From Risks
- Britons in Most Arrears Since Financial Crisis, Credit Firm Says

Keep an eye on :
- ABI BB : AB InBev 3Q Organic Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
- AED BB : Aedifica Sees FY EPRA EPS at Least EU4.95, Saw EU4.85
- AMS SW : AMS-Osram 4Q Revenue Forecast Misses Estimates
- MT NA : ArcelorMittal Temirtau to Be Transferred to Govt in Nov.: IFX
- ARGX BB : Argenx 3Q Vyvgart Sales Beats Estimates
- CS FP : Threat of Haywire AI Feeds Calls for Development Pause, AXA Says
- BAS GY :
- BSLN SW : Basilea Buys Option to License Tonabacase at Pre-agreed Terms
- BBVA SM : BBVA 3Q Net Income Beats Estimates
- BCP PL : BCP 9M Net Income EU650.7M Vs. EU97.2M Y/y
- EN FP : Bouygues 9M Current Operating Income Beats Estimates
- BP/ LN : BP 3Q Adjusted Ebit Misses Estimates
- BCHN SW : Burckhardt 1H Ebit CHF44.9M Vs. CHF35.5M Y/y
- CARLB DC : Carlsberg Maintains FY Organic Operating Profit Forecast
- CO FP : Casino 3Q Net Sales EU4.56B
- CO FP : Moody’s Withdraws Casino’s Ratings For Own Business Reasons
- DSFIR NA : DSM-Firmenich 3Q Adjusted Ebitda EU409M Vs. EU599M Y/y
- EDF FP : EDF to Submit Offer to Build Reactor in Czech Republic: Echos
- EDP PL : EDP Renovaveis 9M Net Income EU445M Vs. EU416M Y/y
- EMSN SW : EMS-Chemie 9M Net Sales CHF1.70B Vs. CHF1.87B Y/y
- ELE SM : Endesa 9M Net Income EU1.06B Vs. EU1.65B Y/y (1)
- ENGI FP : Engie Acquires 545 MWac of Solar Assets in Brazil for €618M
- FINS LN : Financials Acquisition Corp. Plans to Merge With LIU
- GALP PL : Portugal’s Galp to Defend Rights Regarding Venture Global LNG
- NK FP : Imerys Sees FY Adjusted Ebitda Low End of EU630M to EU650M
- IDR SM : Indra 3Q Net Income Beats Estimates
- IPCO SS : IPC 3Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- ISS DC : ISS’s Danish Unit Wins 6-Year Contract With DFDS
- KCO GY : Kloeckner Cuts FY Adjusted Ebitda Forecast, Cuts Jobs
- KBX GY : Knorr-Bremse Maintains FY Revenue Forecast
- KWS GY : KWS Saat to Divest Chinese Corn Business to JV Partner Kenfeng
- LTMC IM : Lottomatica 9M Adjusted Ebitda EU426.4M Vs. EU371.5M Y/y
- MMT FP : M6 3Q Revenue Meets Estimates
- MITRA BB : Mithra Shareholders Vote to Dismiss Four Independent Directors
- NCCB SS : NCC 3Q Operating Profit Beats Estimates
- NKT DC : NKT Narrows FY Adjusted Revenue Forecast
- OMV AV : OMV Extends CFO Florey’s Mandate Until June 2025
- OMV AV : OMV 3Q Profit Misses Estimates, Lowers Chemicals Outlook (2)
- OKDBV FH : Oriola 3Q Net Sales Misses Estimates
- PRY IM : Prysmian Signs Deal Worth About EU900M for US Energy Project
- QIA GY : Qiagen’s Reiterated Guidance Seen as Reassuring: Street Wrap
- RAND NA : Randstad Targets Dividend Payout of 40%-50% of Net Income
- RDC GY : Redcare Pharmacy NV 9M Revenue EU1.27B Vs. EU877M Y/y
- ENR GY : German Lawmaker, Economist Call on Siemens to Assist Energy Unit
- SKAB SS : Skanska Signs €31M Contract to Build New Apartments in Helsinki
- SNBN SW : SNB Set to Skip Second Payout as Profit Can’t Offset Record Loss
- STLAM IM : Stellantis Gives Opel Facelift With Corsa EV, Techno-Music Spot
- STLAM IM : Stellantis Saw Net Revenue Hit of ~€3B from Work Stoppages
- STMN SW : Straumann 3Q Revenue Meets Estimates
- TMV GY : TeamViewer SE 3Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
- TKO FP : Arnault-Backed Singapore SPAC Said to Near Merger With Kacific
- UNI SM : Unicaja Holder Aivilo Spain Offers Up to 78.4m Shares: Terms
- ULVR LN : Unilever to Freeze its CEO’s Fixed Pay for the Next Two Years
- VOD LN : *ZEGONA TO BUY VODAFONE SPAIN FOR €5B
- VONN SW : Vontobel Wealth Management to Hire More Relationship Managers
- WRT1V FH : Wartsila 3Q Adjusted Ebit Beats Estimates

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 31th of October 2023

>>> Up
* Bakkafrost Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 550 kroner
* ERO Copper Raised to Buy at PI Financial; PT C$25
* Eurofins Scientific Raised to Market Perform at Bernstein
* Rolls-Royce Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 270 pence
* Smith & Nephew Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 1,220 pence
* SR-Bank Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 135 kroner
* THG PLC Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 100 pence

>>> Down
* Euronav Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan
* First Quantum Minerals Cut to Neutral at Eight Capital; PT C$31
* Galp Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 15 euros
* InterContinental Hotels Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan
* Kering Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 470 euros
* Kerry Group Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 80 euros
* Pepco Group Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 20 zloty
* STMicroelectronics ADRs Cut to Neutral at Baird; PT $35
* WH Smith Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 1,500 pence

>>> Initiation
* Adyen Reinstated Underweight at Wells Fargo; PT 650 euros
* Assura Re-Initiated Buy at Berenberg
* Gym Group Reinstated Buy at Investec; PT 180 pence
* LXI REIT Plc Rated New Hold at Berenberg
* Primary Health Re-Initiated Buy at Berenberg
* Smartoptics Group Rated New Buy at SEB Equities; PT 24 kroner
* Supermarket Income Re-Initiated Hold at Berenberg
* Tritax Big Box Re-Initiated Buy at Berenberg
* Value & Indexed Property Income Trust Rated New Buy at Berenberg
* Wiit Rated New Outperform at Mediobanca SpA; PT 20 euros

>>> Call
* Eurofins Upgraded at Bernstein With Risks Now Better Represented
* Kerry Downgraded at Morgan Stanley, Volume Growth Not a Given
* WH Smith Cut to Add at Peel Hunt, Short-Term ‘Less Exciting’

WSJ : Californian Vineyard Founded by Lebanese Migrants Sells for Up to $1 Billi

Californian Vineyard Founded by Lebanese Migrants Sells for Up to $1 Billion
Winemaker DAOU was set up by two brothers who fled Lebanon during civil war in the 1970s

SYDNEY—A Californian vineyard set up by two Lebanese migrants who got their first break making wines in a garage in rural San Diego has been acquired by Australia’s Treasury Wine Estates, one of the world’s largest vintners.

DAOU Vineyards, owned by Georges and Daniel Daou, has agreed to be bought by Treasury Wine Estates for up to $1 billion in a move the Australian company said provides it with scale to potentially launch a luxury wine division covering the Americas. Treasury is among major producers seeking to generate more revenue from premium wines, which can sell for hundreds of dollars per bottle, as data suggest consumers are buying less bulk wine.

DAOU was set up by the two brothers who fled Lebanon with their family during the country’s civil war, which began in the 1970s. According to the company’s history, a missile struck the sidewalk in front of the Daou’s home in 1973, sending shrapnel tearing through the house.

The family first settled in France where Georges and Daniel Daou developed an interest in wine that they then pursued in earnest around a decade after moving to California in the early 1980s. Daniel Daou had experimented for years with winemaking in his garage in San Diego, tending to a one-acre vineyard of Cabernet Sauvignon.

Now, the company sells wines under the DAOU brand, including the Malbec, Semillon and Cabernet Sauvignon varietals, from its vineyard at Paso Robles at prices up to $275 a bottle.

Treasury Wine, which has a market value of $5.56 billion, on Tuesday said the acquisition of DAOU would accelerate its so-called premiumization strategy amid a crowded market for bulk wine. “We continue to see strong long-term growth trends for luxury wine in Treasury Wine’s key global markets, with a significant value-creation opportunity,” Chief Executive Tim Ford said.

Treasury said it has agreed to pay $900 million upfront for what it called the fastest-growing luxury wine brand in U.S. trade over the 12 months through Oct. 8. It could pay up to $100 million in additional earn-outs linked to growth targets over the three years through 2027.

Treasury, which is staggering shipments of its fiscal 2024 premium wines with the aim of having sufficient supply for China if that country scraps longstanding tariffs on Australian imports, will fund the acquisition with a fully underwritten entitlement offer of 825 million Australian dollars, equivalent to $525.9 million.

It will place shares worth 157 million Australian dollars with Georges and Daniel Daou, who will remain involved with the wine business, with some of the stock available to their charitable foundation. Treasury will also use $311 million of debt from a new $350 million facility.


Corrections & Amplifications
Treasury will place shares worth 157 million Australian dollars with Georges and Daniel Daou, with some of the stock available to their charitable foundation. An earlier version of this article incorrectly said all of the stock would be placed with the foundation. (Corrected on Oct. 30)