>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications


  • Grifols (OZTA TH) +19%
    • Stock down 35% yesterday
  • Daimler Truck (DTG TH) +4.8%
    • Daimler Truck 2024 Revenue Forecast Beats Estimates
  • Valeo (VSA2 TH) +4.6%
    • Valeo’s Outlook May Prompt Consensus Upgrades: Street Wrap
  • Zealand Pharma (22Z TH) +2.9%
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) +2.5%
  • Evolution (E3G1 TH) +2.1%
  • BAE (BSP TH) +1.8%
  • Reckitt (3RB TH) +1.5%
  • Orsted (D2G TH) +1.4%
  • Smith & Nephew (NPW1 TH) +1.4%
  • Unilever (UNVB TH) -0.4%
    • Unilever NV: Unilever appoints Heiko Schipper as President, Nutrition - 1 March 2024
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -0.6%
  • NIBE Industrier (NJB TH) -0.6%

FT : Emissions reach record high despite growth in clean energy, IEA says

Emissions reach record high despite growth in clean energy, IEA says
Advanced economies break link between growth and carbon pollution but developing economies remain dependent

The world’s carbon dioxide emissions from energy rose yet again to a new high in 2023 despite fossil fuel use falling in the advanced economies of the EU and US, the latest International Energy Agency report shows.

Emissions reached a record 37.4bn tonnes as droughts and rising energy demand pushed up fossil fuel use, a rise of 1.1 per cent, or 410mn tonnes, compared to the year before.

This runs counter to the need for emissions to be cut by almost 45 per cent by 2030 to limit long-term global warming to no more than 1.5C since the pre-industrial era. Already the rise in temperatures is at least 1.1C, and last year was the hottest on record.

Higher emissions from India and China helped offset reductions in the EU and the US, as the developing economies remained heavily reliant on coal to meet energy demand even as they also develop cleaner energy. 

The IEA painted a more positive picture over the longer-term, saying energy-related emissions were in “a structural slowdown” thanks to the growth of clean energy sources such as wind turbines and solar panels.  


Overall, emissions growth over the past five years would have been about three times higher without the development of cleaner energy technologies, the IEA said. 

Significantly, economies such as the US and the EU managed to cut energy-related emissions despite economic growth, weakening the historic correlation between the two.

“The clean energy transition is continuing apace and reining in emissions,” said Fatih Birol, executive director of the IEA, adding that the sector had shown “resilience” through the pandemic and energy crisis. 

The total level of emissions includes those from burning fossil fuels for energy, as well as industrial processes such as cement-making, and flaring from oil and gas.


The IEA report highlighted the effect of the weather on emissions: droughts, worsened by the El Niño weather pattern that warms the Pacific Ocean, drove a record fall in output from hydropower plants.

Fossil fuel power plants were largely used instead, the IEA said, resulting in about 170mn tonnes of extra carbon dioxide emissions, or about 40 per cent of the total increase last year.

The fall in hydropower output particularly affected India and China, with emissions from burning fossil fuels for energy in China growing by 5.2 per cent.

The country had rapidly developed cleaner energy sources, accounting for about 60 per cent of the new solar and wind energy and electric vehicles developed globally during 2023, the IEA said.  

But that was not enough to cover a 6.1 per cent increase in energy demand in China as its economy grew on the back of sectors including construction.

By contrast, emissions from fossil fuel energy production in the US fell by 4.1 per cent despite its economy growing by 2.5 per cent, as lower gas prices helped it generate more electricity from gas rather than coal. 

At the same time, emissions from energy production in the EU fell by almost 9 per cent despite economic growth of 0.7 per cent, with the IEA attributing the trend to the growth of renewables such as wind power. 

Electricity production from coal and gas in the EU fell by 27 per cent and 15 per cent respectively, the IEA said, noting they were overtaken by wind power for the first time.

“A pandemic, an energy crisis and geopolitical instability all had the potential to derail efforts to build cleaner and more secure energy systems,” said Birol. 

“Instead, we’ve seen the opposite in many economies.” However, he called for greater efforts to help emerging economies invest more in clean energy.

>>> What to look at today - 1st of March 2024

Asian equities gained, led by Japan, on Friday after US stocks hit records on the back of in-line inflation data. The Nikkei benchmark of Japanese stocks rose as much as 1.9% to an all-time high after a two-day losing streak. Chinese, Hong Kong and Australian shares rose. The moves came after the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure on personal consumption expenditures matched forecasts. US stock futures were steady after both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes closed at record levels, helped by Nvidia Corp., which also set its highest closing price on the day. The two benchmarks ended February with their fourth consecutive monthly advance. Treasuries rose ofr a third straight session, helped along by jobless claims data that indicated labor-market softening. Traders also pointed to the possibility that short covering was behind the gains. An index of the dollar was little changed.  The yen weakened against the greenback Friday after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said its price target is not already in sight. His comment may temper speculation the bank’s first rate hike since 2007 could come as early as March.  Markets are closed Friday in South Korea for a holiday. China’s factory activity shrank for the fifth straight month in February, suggesting weak demand remains an obstacle for the economy. A gauge of non-manufacturing activity was in expansion mode, helped by a pickup in travel and tourism during a recent long holiday. The country’s home-sales slump dragged on in February, even as regulators stepped up efforts to salvage the beleaguered property market. The value of new home sales from the 100 biggest real estate companies slid 60% from a year earlier. Meanwhile, the US PCE report failed to dent the broader disinflationary trend underpinning rate-cut forecasts. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly said central bank officials are ready to lower interest rates as needed but emphasized there’s no urgent need to cut given the strength of the economy. Her Atlanta counterpart Raphael Bostic said the central bank could begin cutting this summer.
The Cleveland Fed’s Loretta Mester said inflation data out Thursday showed that policymakers have more work to do to cool price pressures, but said it didn’t change her expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates three times this year. Bitcoin held around $61,000 as demand from exchange-traded funds continues. BlackRock Inc.’s iShares Bitcoin Trust netted a record $612 million inflow on Wednesday. West Texas Intermediate crude was little changed Friday. The US Energy Information Administration said oil demand touched a four-year high in 2023 and would likely hold near that level this year. Elsewhere, gold steadied after rising to a three-week high around $2,045 per ounce. US After Hours DELL +16.6%, SG +14.1%, NTAP +13.9%, ADSK +7.2% higher on earnings; ESTC -12.7%, TTEC -11.1%, HPE -3.9% lower on earnings.

Nikkei +1.90% Hang Seng +0.36% CSI +0.53% Shanghai +0.26% Shenzen +0.88%

Eur$ 1.0812 CNH 7.2100 CNY 7.1967 JPY 150.43 GBP 1.2627 CHF 0.8847 RUB 91.2001 TRY 31.3350 WTI$ 78.47 0.30% Gold 2,044 -0.01% BTC 61,523 +0.15% ETH 3,385 +1%

S&P +0.19%% Nasdaq +0.32% EuroStoxx +0.45%% FTSE +0.63%% Dax +0.38% SMI -0.07%

Macro :
- JPMorgan Strategists Say Europe Earnings Disappoint as US Beats
- Solid EPS, Cash Flows Push Euro Stoxx 50 into Overbought Zone
- BofA’s Merrill, Wells Fargo Offer Bitcoin ETFs to Wealth Clients
- BITCOIN WILL BE MUCH HIGHER A YEAR FROM NOW, NOVOGRATZ
- Swedish Bankruptcies Surge in Worst Month for Three Decades

Keep an eye on :
- AGN NA : Aegon FY Adjusted Operating Capital Generation EU1.28B
- ANA SM : Acciona FY Net Income Beats Estimates
- ANE SM : Acciona Energia FY Net Income Misses Estimates
- ACX SM : Acerinox 4Q Ebitda Misses Estimates
- ACS SM : ACS FY Net Income Beats Estimates
- AMD US : AMD Market Value Tops $300 Billion on Wave of AI-Fueled Rally
- AMS SM : Shift4 Falls as Amadeus Says Not Interested in Transaction
- AMS SW : AMS-Osram Tumbles Most Ever as Key Project Scrapped
- BEKB BB : Bekaert FY Adjusted Ebit Beats Estimates
- BLV FP : EQT Consortium Sees Believe Stake Purchase Completed in 2Q
- BPOST BB : Bpost 4Q Adjusted Ebit Misses Estimates
- BUCN SW : Bucher FY Ebit Misses Estimates
- CLNX SM : Cellnex FY Adjusted Ebitda Meets Estimates, Cellnex Results In-Line, Focus Now Moves to CMD
- CE US : Celanese Plans to Close Belgium Plant, Cut Jobs
- CRBN NA : Corbion FY Adjusted Ebitda Meets Estimates
- DTG GY : Daimler Truck 2024 Revenue Forecast Beats Estimates
- EDF FP : EDF, Morrison to Partner on France EV Charging Investments
- EDP PL : EDP FY Net Income Misses Estimates
- EMBRACB SS : Embracer Group to Sell Saber Subsidiary in $500 Million Deal
- ENX FP : Euronext Warns Netherlands Risks Losing Business Pull: ECM Watch
- EQT SS : Market Needs to Broaden for IPOs to Fully Return, Says EQT’s Liu
- FLUX BB : Fluxys Belgium Reaches Deal With CREG on ‘Fair’ Margin
- GRF SM : Grifols Drops 35% as Management Flags Risk of Zero Cash Flow
- HEIJM NA : Heijmans FY Revenue Beats Estimates
- IMCD NA : IMCD FY Revenue Misses Estimates
- ICOS IM : Intercos FY Revenue EU988.2M Vs. EU835.6M Y/y
- COL SM : Inmobiliaria Colonial FY Recurring Net Income Beats Estimates
- JBH LN : JAB Seeks Up to $2.5 Billion in Keurig Dr Pepper Share Sale
- KNIN SW : Kuehne + Nagel FY Ebit Misses Estimates
- KNIN SW : Kuehne + Nagel to Buy City Zone Express; No Terms
- LDO IM : Leonardo FY Revenue Meets Estimates
- MDM FP : Maisons Du Monde Names Denis Lamoureux as New CFO From March 4
- MDT US : Axonics Says It Intends to Defend Vigorously Against Medtronic
- MEL SM : Melia Hotels 4Q Net Income Beats Estimates
- NHY NO : Hydro CFO Kildemo Leaves to Join Emirates Global Aluminium
- ORSTED DC : Orsted, Equinor Offshore Wind Farms Awarded New York Contracts
- Perplexity : AI startup Perplexity is in talks to raise more money at a significantly higher valuation just months after its last round
- SGO FP : Saint-Gobain FY Operating Income Beats Estimates
- SIX2 GY : Sixt Sees 2024 Pretax Profit EU400M to EU520M, Est. EU484.7M
- SNBN SW : SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan to Step Down at End of September
- STLAM IM : Stellantis to Make EVs in Indonesia This Year, Official Says
- TSLA US : Tesla Offers China Incentives to Boost Sales as EV Growth Slows
- UCG IM : UniCredit Set to Pay €1.795 Dividend Per Share on April 24
- UBSG GY : Swiss Competition Regulator Favors Deeper Probe of UBS: Rtrs
- FR FP : Valeo Sees 2024 Ebitda Margin 12.1% to 13.1%, Est. 12.6%, Valeo’s Outlook May Prompt Consensus Upgrades
- VK FP : Vallourec 4Q Ebitda Meets Estimates
- VWS DC : Vestas' Sales Outlook May Brighten on New York Approval: React
- VIS SM : Viscofan 4Q Ebitda Misses Estimates
- YAR NO : Yara Inks Long-Term Deal for Green Ammonia From Acme Oman Plant

WWD : Saint Laurent to Coproduce, Costume Next Jacques Audiard Movie

Saint Laurent to Coproduce, Costume Next Jacques Audiard Movie
The film stars Karla Sofía Gascón, Zoe Saldaña, Selena Gomez, Edgar Ramírez and Adriana Paz.

CHANGE MAKERS: Anthony Vaccarello, who just unveiled one of the most talked-about collections in Paris for Saint Laurent, will soon be designing more film costumes, too.

Saint Laurent Productions will coproduce French director Jacques Audiard’s next film, “Emilia Perez.”

Described as a “melodrama musical,” it stars Karla Sofía Gascón, an up-and-coming Argentinian trans actor, who portrays a Mexican cartel leader who has a sex change to get away from the law and become the woman he’s always wanted to be, according to Variety, which like WWD is owned by PMC.

Gascón’s costars include Zoe Saldaña, Selena Gomez, Edgar Ramírez and Adriana Paz.

The movie will be coproduced with French production company Why Not Productions/Page 114, together with Pathé and France 2 Cinema, according to Saint Laurent Productions. It will be distributed by Pathé.

Audiard, who won the Palme d’Or at Cannes with “Dheepan” in 2015, is best known for his Oscar-nominated film “A Prophet” in which Tahar Rahim delivered a breakthrough performance.

Describing the film’s narrative as “unconventional,” Saint Laurent Productions said “Emilia Perez” would feature music by Clément Ducol and French singer Camille, and choreography by Damien Jalet.

Taking its penchant for film to a new zenith, Saint Laurent last year established a subsidiary devoted to the full-fledged production of movies and debuted two shorts in Cannes: “Strange Way of Life” by Pedro Almodóvar, and Jean-Luc Godard’s “Trailer of a Film That Will Never Exist: Phony Wars”

The Kering-owned fashion house bills itself as the first to set up a registered subsidiary to produce films, rather than merely funding them — or dressing its stars.

Saint Laurent Productions and Vaccarello have also revealed their involvement in Paolo Sorrentino’s and David Cronenberg’s next movies.

FT : Activist investor Jeff Ubben to join Bayer’s supervisory board

Activist investor Jeff Ubben to join Bayer’s supervisory board
Struggling German chemicals group announces boardroom reshuffle ahead of update on potential break-up


Activist investor Jeff Ubben is set to join Bayer’s supervisory board as the struggling German aspirin-to-glyphosate conglomerate prepares to update investors about a potential break-up early next week.

Ubben disclosed a 0.83 per cent stake in Bayer a year ago, becoming a leading force behind the ousting of then chief executive Werner Baumann, who was replaced by Bill Anderson, a former Roche manager.

Anderson has blasted the German conglomerate’s performance as “not acceptable”, announcing in February the suspension of the dividend for three years to preserve cash and lower its crippling debt burden.

In response to pressure from investors to break itself up, the new CEO last year launched a strategic review and will update investors at its capital markets day next Tuesday when it will also report annual results.

Ubben told the Financial Times on Thursday that he continued to hold his stake and declined to comment further. A co-founder of activist fund ValueAct, Ubben said last year that his three-year-old Inclusive Capital was being wound down. He is also on the board of US oil major ExxonMobil.

Shares in Bayer have fallen 45 cent since Ubben disclosed his stake in January last year, exposing the founder of Inclusive Capital to paper losses. At the time, he said Bayer’s business divisions were performing well, but he blamed management for having been unable to “drive the stock price”.

The company is suffering from a sprawling multibillion litigation over its weedkiller glyphosate in the US, which it acquired in its controversial 2016 acquisition of US rival Monsanto and which former users blame for their cancer. The company also faces the expiration of key patents in its pharma division and last year aborted a late-stage trial of its most hopeful new drugs.

Under Germany’s two-tier governance system, the supervisory board is not involved in day-to-day decisions but oversees and challenges the work of the executive board.

Alongside Ubben, Bayer nominated Nancy Simonian, the former CEO of US biotech company Syros Pharmaceuticals, and Lori Schechter, the former general counsel of US healthcare group McKesson, to join its supervisory board. Shareholders will vote on the nominations at the company’s annual meeting in late April.

Last year, Ubben was already appointed to an independent, external group of experts advising Bayer’s management on sustainability — a body he will leave after he formally joined the supervisory board, according to Bayer.

On Thursday, Bayer also announced the early departure of the head of its consumer health unit, Heiko Schipper, who will be replaced by Julio Triana, a senior manager in the group’s pharma division. Among other options, Bayer has considered a carve-out of the consumer health unit, which specialises in over-the-counter medication, in order to streamline its business and raise much-needed cash.

The company said that Schipper had “asked the supervisory board to bring forward the end date of his contract in order to pursue a career opportunity outside of Bayer”.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 29th of February 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Administer Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 2.80 euros
* Barrick Gold Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT C$28.50
* Coupang Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $21
* EDP Renovaveis Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 16 euros (+)
* Ecit Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 8.50 kroner (+)
* Leroy Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 52 kroner
* Melrose Industries PT Raised to 735 pence from 620 pence at Citi
* MOL Raised to Outperform at Santander Biuro Maklerskie
* Newmont Corp Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT $38
* Repsol Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 17 euros (+)
* Solaria Energia Raised to Buy at JB Capital Markets; PT 18 euros
* St James's Place Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 615 pence
* Vestas Raised to Buy at Jyske Bank; PT 220 kroner
* Vocento Raised to Outperform at Grupo Santander; PT 1 euro

>>> Down
* AMS-Osram Cut to Hold at Bank Vontobel; PT 2 Swiss francs (+)
* AMS-Osram Cut to Underperform at Oddo BHF; PT 1.50 Swiss francs (+)
* Aston Martin Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 180 pence (+)
* Bayer Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 33 euros
* Digital Workforce Services Cut to Reduce at Inderes
* Encavis Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 12 euros
* Eni Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT 11.50 euros (+)
* Novavis Group Cut to Accumulate at Erste Group; PT 3.12 zloty

>>> Initiation
* Banco BPM Rated New Outperform at Oddo BHF
* Smiths News PLC Rated New Buy at Canaccord; PT 85 pence (+)
* Sobi Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 315 kronor
* Warehouses Estates Cut to Hold at KBC Securities; PT 38 euros (+)

>>> Call
* Europe’s ‘Super 7’ May Catch Up to Magnificent 7: Citi Strategy (+)
* Freenet Results Solid, Guidance May Be Conservative, Citi Says
* LSE Group FY Earnings Solid, Valuation Appeals: Morgan Stanley (+)
* Neoen’s Target Updates Are Reassuring, Morgan Stanley Says
* Sobi Started With Buy Rating at Berenberg on Top-Tier Growth

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Reckitt (3RB TH) +2.8%
    • Shares fell 13% on Wednesday
  • NN Group (2NN TH) +1.7%
    • NN Group FY Operating Profit Beats Estimates
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) +1.4%
  • BAT (BMT TH) +1.3%
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) +1.2%
    • MTU Aero 4Q Adjusted Ebit Meets Estimates
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) +1.2%
    • Freenet Results Solid, Guidance May Be Conservative, Citi Says
  • HSBC (HBC1 TH) +1%
  • Leonardo (FMNB TH) +0.8%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +0.5%
  • Hermes (HMI TH) +0.5%
  • BBVA (BOY TH) -0.7%
  • Lanxess (LXS TH) -0.7%
  • Covestro (1COV TH) -0.8%
    • Covestro 4Q Net Loss EU187M, Est. Loss EU98.5M
  • SAP (SAP TH) -1.1%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -1.5%
  • Teleperformance (RCF TH) -1.7%
  • Beiersdorf (BEI TH) -2.3%
    • Beiersdorf FY Adjusted Ebit Misses Estimates
  • Encavis (ECV TH) -2.6%
    • Encavis Faces Perfect Storm, Downgraded to Hold at Berenberg
  • AB InBev (1NBA TH) -3.2%
    • Budweiser Slumps After Net Income Misses Estimates: Street Wrap
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) -9.7%
    • Aixtron Sees 2024 Ebit Margin About 24% to 26%, Est. 27.2%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) +1.6%
    • MTU Aero 4Q Adjusted Ebit Meets Estimates
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +0.6%
  • RWE (RWE TH) +0.5%
  • Beiersdorf (BEI TH) -0.5%
    • Beiersdorf FY Adjusted Ebit Misses Estimates
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) -0.5%
    • Bayer Gets $332 Million Roundup Verdict Slashed by More Than 90%
  • Covestro (1COV TH) -0.8%
    • Covestro 4Q Net Loss EU187M, Est. Loss EU98.5M
  • SAP (SAP TH) -1%
MDAX:
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) +6.4%
    • SMA Solar FY Ebitda EU311M Vs. EU70M Y/y
  • Befesa (BFSA TH) +3%
    • Befesa 4Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) +1.7%
    • Nordex Sees 2024 Ebitda Margin 2% to 4%, Est. 4.05%
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) +1.1%
    • Freenet Results Solid, Guidance May Be Conservative, Citi Says
  • Kion (KGX TH) +0.5%
    • Kion Sees 2024 Adjusted Ebit EU790M to EU940M, Est. EU813.5M
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) -0.5%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) -0.9%
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) -2.2%
  • Encavis (ECV TH) -2.6%
    • Encavis Faces Perfect Storm, Downgraded to Hold at Berenberg
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) -9.1%
    • Aixtron Sees 2024 Ebit Margin About 24% to 26%, Est. 27.2%
SDAX:
  • Suess MicroTec (SMHN TH) +1.7%
    • Suess MicroTec Prelim FY Ebit Beats Estimates
  • Deutsche PBB (PBB TH) +1.1%
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) +0.7%
  • SGL (SGL TH) +0.6%
  • AUTO1 (AG1 TH) +0.5%
  • Kontron (KTN TH) -0.5%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) -0.7%
  • Varta (VAR1 TH) -1%
  • Metro (B4B TH) -2.2%
  • Fielmann (FIE TH) -2.5%
    • Fielmann FY Dividend per Share €1.00 Vs. €0.75 Y/y