FT : Blackstone’s property fund meets redemptions for first time in over a year

Blackstone’s property fund meets redemptions for first time in over a year
Pressure eases on Breit after dash for withdrawals caused the group to put limits on requests

Blackstone Group’s $60bn property fund met all of its investors’ redemption requests in February, marking the first time it did not limit such withdrawals in more than a year.

The property fund said in a letter to investors that it honoured all redemption requests last month, meaning any investor looking to pull their money received all of their requested cash back.

The milestone signals that pressure is falling on the fund, called Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust (Breit), after a dash for redemptions over fears about real estate valuations caused Blackstone to limit withdrawals in late 2022, a manoeuvre that sent the group’s public stock falling.

“We are pleased to report that Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust fulfilled 100% of repurchase requests in February,” Blackstone said in the letter.

Rival funds from Starwood and KKR continued to limit investor withdrawals as of January, according to public filings.

Breit was launched by Blackstone in 2017 as a way to give wealthy individuals access to its private real estate investment platform. By 2022, Breit had drawn tens of billions of dollars in new assets, growing into Blackstone’s single largest source of fee growth.

But interested investors were required to give up some rights to immediately cash out in return for access to the private real estate portfolio. Breit allows for 2 per cent of total assets to be redeemed by clients each month, with a maximum of 5 per cent allowed in a calendar quarter.

The fund received $961mn in redemptions in February, roughly 2 per cent below its monthly limit, Blackstone said.

In the summer of 2022, investors began pulling their money, with a wave of redemptions coming from Asia that then spread to the US and Europe. When withdrawals breached monthly limits in December 2022, it gave the group the right to partially “gate” the fund.

Since then, investors have pulled more than $15bn from the fund, however, those seeking to get their cash back did not get their requests met in full.

To alleviate pressures on the fund’s liquidity as it met redemptions, Blackstone a year ago took a $4.5bn investment from the University of California that came with a high return promise. It also sold billions in property assets, such as hotels, self-storage operators and an interest in the Bellagio, a Las Vegas casino.

The Financial Times reported last month that Blackstone has built a $560mn liability to the US as a result of its return promise after the fund lost value last year.

Though Blackstone is not expecting a quick recovery in property markets and high interest rates continue to pressure many investments, it is returning to the offensive. It is investing heavily to build data centres and has struck deals to purchase a $17bn portfolio of bank loans and privatise a Canadian multifamily real estate business, partially by using Breit.

Blackstone’s president Jonathan Gray has also said he believes property valuations are beginning to bottom. “We really see real estate bottoming from a valuation standpoint,” he told the FT in January. “The declining cost of capital with rates coming down and spreads coming down for real estate borrowing is very helpful.”

FT : Could Altice USA’s change-of-control covenants stop a deal?

Could Altice USA’s change-of-control covenants stop a deal?
Well . . . no, not really, but the deal still doesn’t make a ton of sense

Altice USA has a lot of debt. Like $25bn of net debt, or 6.7 times Ebitda.

This fact, in itself, wouldn’t normally be worth a blog post. But it provides helpful context for this week’s report that Charter Communications has been considering approaching Altice USA about a takeover.

The outlook for a deal warrants scepticism for a few straightforward reasons, argues CreditSights:

1) Regulators may not be eager for a tie-up of two companies with overlapping presences: Optimum Cable, owned by Altice, is a sizeable provider in the New York City area, as is Charter.

2) Any significant savings from a deal would first require “heavy upfront merger and integration costs,” so CreditSights analysts say they “would not be able to immediately bake in a chunky synergy number into our leverage and credit metric analysis” for their post-deal estimates, starting at $500mn.

3) Charter also has a lot of debt — $98bn — and the analysts say it’s “crucial” for the cable operator to keep an investment-grade rating on its $54bn of senior secured bonds.

But there’s another interesting wrinkle here.

The deal would need to be structured to avoid triggering change-of-control covenants on $17bn of Altice’s bonds, as Covenant Review points out in a separate note. (Both Cov Review and CreditSights are owned by Fitch Solutions.)

If all of the assets of the company are sold to people who aren’t “Permitted Holders” — ie billionaire Patrick Drahi and a handful of institutional investors/holdcos — and if a “person or group” ends up with more than 50 per cent of the voting rights, bondholders can redeem at 101.

This would be a hefty cost, to say the least, as Altice’s bonds were trading all over the map before the news (the lowest-rated were trading below 50c on the dollar before the deal).

It’s rare that a change-of-control clause acts as a significant barrier to a deal, but getting around this one could take a bit more effort than normal.

Charter would probably need to pursue a direct merger instead of pursuing the now-standard procedure of creating a subsidiary to buy it, says Covenant Review. That’s because a subsidiary would have more than half of Altice USA’s voting rights, whereas a merger directly into the parent would mean voting rights are distributed among Charter’s many shareholders.

That is doable, of course. But even if Charter jumps through that hoop, it still matters that both it and Altice USA have a lot of debt. (Have we mentioned that? There’s lots.) A tie-up could still easily breach other leverage covenants after completed, meaning it would still require bond redemptions. Covenant Review didn’t get too far into those, as it is also sceptical about the prospect of a deal going forward. This week’s report said it wasn’t clear if Charter had made any formal approach.

But until Charter “formally rules out M&A”, the CreditSights analysts write, “we think there may be a new floor for Altice USA bonds.” Good for them!?

FT : Former Credit Suisse wealth head leaves UBS

Former Credit Suisse wealth head leaves UBS
Exit leaves barely any senior managers from failed Swiss bank remaining at combined group

The former head of Credit Suisse’s wealth management business, Francesco de Ferrari, has become the latest executive of the fallen bank to leave UBS.

Less than a year after UBS’s rescue of Credit Suisse, just a handful of Credit Suisse senior managers remain at the enlarged Swiss bank, including former chief executive Ulrich Körner.

De Ferrari was head of Credit Suisse’s wealth management business, its most important division, and was seen by some internally as a potential future chief executive. But he missed out on an executive position at UBS after it took over its former rival last year.

The 54-year-old — who rejected a job at Goldman Sachs at the age of 20 to work with Mother Teresa in India — left UBS at the end of the year and is serving a period of gardening leave, according to people with knowledge of his position.

De Ferrari had been serving as a senior adviser to Iqbal Khan, the head of UBS’s wealth management business, since last summer. Swiss financial news outlet Tippinpoint was first to report his departure.

Born in the US and with dual Italian and Swiss citizenship, de Ferrari began his career as an auditor, before working at Credit Suisse between 2002 and 2018. He then moved to Australia, where he became chief executive of wealth manager AMP Capital.

De Ferrari had a bruising stint at the top of AMP, which was criticised over its handling of a sexual harassment case, while shareholders were unhappy over the group’s dealmaking record.

He was brought back to Credit Suisse at the start of 2022 to rejuvenate its wealth management division as part of a broad restructure under chair António Horta-Osório and chief executive Thomas Gottstein.

But less than a year later, under a new chair and chief executive, the bank underwent another restructuring.

In addition to Körner, the only other Credit Suisse executive board members still employed by UBS are André Helfenstein, who ran the domestic business; Christine Graeff, the head of people; and Nita Patel, the chief compliance officer.

Their roles will be reassessed when the UBS and Credit Suisse legal entities are merged this year.

Last year brought the departures of former Credit Suisse chief financial officer Dixit Joshi, general counsel Markus Diethelm, head of the Asia-Pacific region Edwin Low, co-head of the investment bank David Miller, co-head of markets Ken Pang, chief technology and operations officer Joanne Hannaford and chief operating officer Francesca McDonagh. 

More than 16,000 staff left the combined group in 2023, with tens of thousands more jobs expected to go in the coming years as the bank focuses on hitting cost-reduction targets.

UBS declined to comment and de Ferrari did not respond by the time of publication.

>>> US Research Calls

Research Calls
  • Upgrades:
    • Annexon (ANNX) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt $11
    • GoodRx (GDRX) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt raised to $10
  • Downgrades:
    • AmBev (ABEV) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan
    • Endava (DAVA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup; tgt lowered to $40
    • Fisker (FSR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup
    • Flywire (FLYW) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt raised to $30
  • Others:
    • Acrivon Therapeutics (ACRV) initiated with a Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities; tgt $14
    • Air Products (APD) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research; tgt $279
    • Albemarle (ALB) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Arcadium Lithium (ALTM) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Ashland (ASH) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research; tgt $108
    • Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Ball Corp (BALL) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Campbell Soup (CPB) initiated with a Buy at DA Davidson; tgt $48
    • CF Industries (CF) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research; tgt $99
    • Church & Dwight (CHD) resumed with a Buy from Neutral at Goldman; tgt $110
    • Clorox (CLX) resumed with a Sell at Goldman; tgt $140
    • Colgate-Palmolive (CL) resumed with a Buy at Goldman; tgt $93
    • Corteva (CTVA) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research; tgt $67
    • Crown (CCK) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research; tgt $102
    • Dow (DOW) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • DuPont (DD) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Ecolab (ECL) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Element Solutions (ESI) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Elevation Oncology (ELEV) initiated with a Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities; tgt $7
    • Entegris (ENTG) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research; tgt $160
    • Estee Lauder (EL) resumed with a Neutral from Buy at Goldman; tgt $145
    • Flowers Foods (FLO) initiated with a Neutral at DA Davidson; tgt $24
    • FMC Corp (FMC) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • SOUN -22.4%, JAKK -14.6%, DNA -14.5%, RILY -14.1% (also review of strategic alternatives; cuts dividend in half; also to delay 10-K filing), ESTC -13.3%, TTEC -12.4%, ZYXI -10.8% (also authorizes new $20 mln share repurchase program), PX -10.5%, PLUG -9.9%, GRBK -8.7%, TGLS -8.2% (also increases dividend), PTCT -7.8%, ORGO -7.3%, ZS -7.3%, HPE -5.6%, VYX -5.5%, PTVE -5.1%, KWR -5% (also authorizes new $150 mln share repurchase program), BHVN -4.9%, VRRM -2.9%, AEG -2.9%, VEEV -2.4%, ARLO -2.3%, QTRX -2%, SATS -2%, EC -0.9%
Other news:
  • SCLX -34.8% ($10 mln bought deal offering)
  • GRTS -28.6% (40% workforce reduction)
  • HUMA -25.1% (prices offering of 13.4 mln shares of common stock at $3.00 per share)
  • NYCB -20.7% (CEO steps down; names new exec chairman/CEO; also completes goodwill impairment assessment; has no impact on capital ratios; identifies material weaknesses in internal controls)
  • TARS -14.9% (prices offering of 2812500 shares of its common stock at $32.00 per share)
  • URGN -6.5% (received a Paragraph IV Certification Notice Letter from Teva Pharmaceuticals)
  • TSLX -4.7% (prices offering of 4.0 mln shares of common stock for gross proceeds of ~$83.4 million)
  • KDP -3.7% (prices secondary offering of 86956522 shares of common stock at $29.10 per share)
  • WCC -3.7% (increases dividend)
  • BANC -2.5% (filed prospectus supplement to the Registration Statement on Form S-3 relating to the resale from time to time by certain selling stockholders of up to 51422763 shares of the voting common stock)
  • LI -2.2% (Feb deliveries)
  • AX -2.1% (files $500 mln mixed shelf securities offering)
  • BLMN -1.6% (entered into an accelerated share repurchase agreement to repurchase approximately $220 million of the Company's common stock)
  • RGNX -1.4% (to host webcast re new interim clinical data from Phase I/II AFFINITY DUCHENNE Trial)
  • SBAC -1.3% (files mixed shelf securities offering)
  • ADTN -1.2% (to delay 10-K filing)
  • MAT -1% (to delay 10-K filing)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • DELL +24.4% (also increases dividend by 20%), YMAB +21%, SG +20.1%, NTAP +17.3% (also files mixed shelf securities offering), AMRX +16.8%, NVTS +15.5%, FUBO +15% (guidance), FIHL +10.3% (also initiates dividend), TDW +8.5% (also authorizes new $48.6 mln share repurchase program), ADSK +8.5%, AMWD +7.7%, COO +6.8%, RPAY +6.7%, CERT +5.3%, MUX +4.6%, AVPT +4.1%, PSO +3.4%, XENE +3.3%, XPOF +3.3%, ETNB +2.6%, VSEC +2% (sees Q4 EPS and revs above consensus; to explore strategic alternatives; announces strategic actions to expand aviation aftermarket and enhance growth) MTZ +2%, DNN +1.1%
Other news:
  • EVBG +25.6% (enters into amended merger agreement; Thoma Bravo has increased the price at which it has agreed to acquire all outstanding shares of Everbridge to $35.00/share in cash)
  • TDCX +14.4% (enters into definitive merger agreement for going-private transaction)
  • CGEM +7.4% (receives FDA Clearance of Investigational New Drug Application for novel MICA/B antibody, CLN-619)
  • CLDX +4.1% (prices offering of 8.52 mln shares of common stock at $47.00 per share)
  • ORI +3.5% (raises annual dividend by 8.2%; authorized a $1.10 bln share repurchase program)
  • INFN +3.4% (delays 10-K, but publishes summary)
  • BITF +3.2% (earns 300 BTC in February 2024; provides update on fleet upgrade)
  • YPF +2.3% (approved the optimization plan of certain groups of Conventional Upstream assets)
  • XPEV +1.8% (Feb deliveries)
  • FDUS +1.5% (increased the maximum amount of Shares to be sold through the ATM Program to $300.0 million from $150.0 million)
  • CNNE +1.2% (commences cash tender offer to purchase up to $200 million in value of stock not greater than $23.75 nor less than $20.75 per share)

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 1st of March 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Aixtron Raised to Buy at M.M. Warburg; PT 34.50 euros (+)
* Arbonia Raised to Buy at Octavian; PT 17 Swiss francs
* Birkenstock PT Raised to $60 from $52 at Jefferies
* EDP Renovaveis Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 17.50 euros
* Genmab Raised to Outperform at BMO; PT 331.28 kroner
* JSW Raised to Outperform at Santander Biuro Maklerskie (+)
* Jupiter Raised to Add at Numis; PT 94 pence (+)
* Valeo Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 13.50 euros
* Viafin Service Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 18 euros
* Wolters Kluwer Raised to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader

>>> Down
* Adevinta Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 115 kroner
* Aegon Cut to Hold at KBC Securities; PT 5.50 euros (+)
* AMS-Osram Cut to Market Perform at Bernstein
* AMS-Osram Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 1.70 Swiss francs
* DuPont de Nemours Rated New Peerperform at Wolfe
* F-Secure Cut to Accumulate at OP Corporate Bank; PT 2.20 euros
* Howden Joinery Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 865 pence
* J. Martins Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 25.50 euros
* Moncler Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 70 euros
* Regional REIT Cut to Hold at Peel Hunt; PT 20 pence
* RELX Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 3,500 pence
* Royal Unibrew Cut to Hold at Jyske Bank; PT 525 kroner (+)
* St James's Place Cut to Hold at Numis; PT 500 pence
* Suedzucker Cut to Add at AlphaValue/Baader
* Trustpilot Cut to Hold at Goodbody; PT 190 pence (+)

>>> Initiation
* Alimak Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 130 kronor
* IMI Rated New Outperform at Davy
* Kalray SADIR Rated New Buy at Marex; PT 27 euros
* Kooth Rated New Buy at Investec; PT 420 pence
* Linde Rated New Peerperform at Wolfe
* Norcros Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 325 pence
* Primary Health Rated New Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 105 pence

>>> Call
* Acerinox Outlook Points Toward Downgrades, Morgan Stanley Says
* Howden Cut at Citi With Continued Outperformance Now Priced In
* ITV Deal to Sell BritBox Stake Makes Strategic Sense, Citi Says (+)
* JPMorgan Strategists Say Europe Earnings Disappoint as US Beats
* Melia Hotels Guidance for 2024 Looks Upbeat, Jefferies Says

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Daimler Truck (DTG TH) +4.5%
    • Daimler Truck 2024 Revenue Forecast Beats Estimates
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +0.9%
    • *BARCLAYS RAISES TARGET FOR RHEINMETALL TO €420 FROM €381 - ‘OVERWEIGHT’ = APA
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +0.9%
  • Porsche SE (PAH3 TH) +0.9%
  • RWE (RWE TH) +0.7%
MDAX:
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) +2.2%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +1.4%
  • Evonik (EVK TH) +0.8%
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +0.8%
  • Sixt (SIX2 TH) -0.4%
    • Sixt Sees 2024 Pretax Profit EU400M to EU520M, Est. EU484.7M
SDAX:
  • Traton (8TRA TH) +2%
    • Daimler Truck 2024 Revenue Forecast Beats Estimates
    • WDH/ANALYSE-FLASH: UBS raises target for Traton to €27- ‘Buy’= APA
  • AUTO1 (AG1 TH) +1.8%
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) +1.5%
  • Borussia Dortmund (BVB TH) +1.3%
  • DWS (DWS TH) +1.2%
  • Suedzucker (SZU TH) -0.5%
    • Suedzucker Cut to Add at AlphaValue/Baader