>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • BMW (BMW TH) +1%
    • BMW Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 110 euros
  • VW (VOW3 TH) -0.9%
MDAX:
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) +0.7%
  • TAG Immobilien (TEG TH) -0.6%
    • German Holdings Round-Up: Infineon, GEA Group, TAG Immobilien
SDAX:
  • Borussia Dortmund (BVB TH) +8.3%
    • Barca, Dortmund, Lazio, Seven Others Qualify For Champions League Round Of 16
  • Siltronic (WAF TH) +2.9%
    • Siltronic Upgraded to Buy at Berenberg, Tide May Be Turning
  • MorphoSys (MOR TH) +1.4%
  • Schaeffler (SHA TH) +0.8%
  • AUTO1 (AG1 TH) -1.1%
  • Aroundtown (AT1 TH) -2.8%
    • Aroundtown Maintains FY FFO I Forecast

WSJ : Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett’s Partner and ‘Abominable No-Man,’ Dies at

Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett’s Partner and ‘Abominable No-Man,’ Dies at 99
As Berkshire Hathaway vice chairman, his sharp wit dazzled generations of investors

No equal business partner has ever played second fiddle better than Charlie Munger.

Warren Buffett’s closest friend and consigliere for six decades, the billionaire vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway died Tuesday at age 99 in a California hospital. A news release from Berkshire confirmed his death.

In public, especially in front of the tens of thousands of attendees at Berkshire’s annual meetings, Munger deferred to Buffett, letting the company’s chairman hog the microphone and the limelight. Munger routinely cracked up the crowd by croaking, “I have nothing to add.”

In private, Buffett, who is 93, often deferred to Munger. In 1971, Munger talked him into buying See’s Candy Shops for a price equivalent to three times the chocolate stores’ net worth—a “fancy price,” Buffett later recalled, far higher than he was accustomed to paying for businesses.

See’s would go on to generate some $2 billion in cumulative earnings for Berkshire over the coming decades.

As Buffett wrote in 2015, “This purchase ended my pursuit of ‘cigar-butt’ investments—mediocre companies at ‘bargain’ prices—and set me in pursuit of splendid businesses selling at [reasonable] prices.” He added, “Charlie had been urging this course for some years, but I was a slow learner.”

Buffett nicknamed Munger the “abominable no-man” for his ferocity in rejecting potential investments, including some that Buffett might otherwise have made. But Munger, who was fascinated by engineering and technology, also pushed the tech-phobic Buffett into big bets on BYD, a Chinese battery and electric vehicle maker, and Iscar, an Israeli machine-tool manufacturer.

Munger was a brilliant investor in his own right. He began managing investment partnerships in 1962. From then through 1969, the S&P 500 gained an average of 5.6% annually. Buffett’s partnerships returned an average of 24.3% annually. Munger’s did even better, averaging annualized gains of 24.4%.

In 1975, shortly before he joined Berkshire as vice chairman, Munger shut down his partnerships. Over their 14-year history, his portfolios gained an average of 19.8% annually; the S&P 500 grew at only a 5.2% rate.

The two men had long invested differently. Buffett, under the influence of his mentor Benjamin Graham, would buy almost any business, even if it was near-dead, so long as it was cheap.

Among such “cigar butts” was Berkshire Hathaway itself, which had been a dilapidated textile manufacturer when Buffett bought it in 1965.

As Buffett turned Berkshire into a holding company for insurance and other firms, he kept looking for mediocre businesses at bargain prices. Munger instead focused on great businesses at acceptable prices, reckoning that their ability to produce cash in the future would more than compensate for paying a premium price up front.

Over years of discussion, Munger persuaded his partner to change.

“I have been shaped tremendously by Charlie,” Buffett said in 1988. “Boy, if I had listened only to Ben [Graham], would I ever be a lot poorer.”

In 2015, Buffett wrote that Munger taught him: “Forget what you know about buying fair businesses at wonderful prices; instead, buy wonderful businesses at fair prices.”

Berkshire “has been built to Charlie’s blueprint,” Buffett added.

Charles Thomas Munger was born in Omaha, Neb., on New Year’s Day, 1924. His father, Alfred, was a lawyer; his mother, Florence, was a homemaker and avid reader.

Munger majored in mathematics at the University of Michigan, then left school to enlist in the U.S. Army Air Corps during World War II. The military first sent Munger to study thermodynamics and meteorology at the University of New Mexico and the California Institute of Technology, then posted him to an air base in Nome, Alaska, where he served as a weather forecaster.

After the war, Munger talked a dean at Harvard Law School into admitting him without a college degree. He graduated magna cum laude.

He considered joining his father’s practice in Omaha before settling in Southern California. He and several partners eventually opened their own law practice in 1962. Today the firm, known as Munger, Tolles & Olson, employs about 200 lawyers.

His first marriage, to Nancy Huggins, ended in divorce. He married his second wife, Nancy Barry Borthwick, in 1956. She died in 2010. They had four children together and two each from their prior marriages.

Munger also confronted tragedy: In 1955, his son Teddy died of leukemia at age 9. Munger later recalled pacing the streets of Pasadena in tears at “losing a child inch by inch.” More than six decades later he would still choke up at the memory of his son’s suffering.

In 1978, a surgeon bungled a cataract surgery, leaving Munger blind in one eye, which later had to be surgically removed. The investor refused to blame the doctor, noting that complications occurred in 5% of such procedures. For him, as always, it was about the numbers.

Munger taught himself Braille, then realized he could still see well enough to read. He ended up driving his own car, often to the consternation of friends and family, until his early 90s.

The two men who would run Berkshire Hathaway met in 1959 when Munger, who had already moved to Los Angeles, went to a dinner in his hometown that Buffett also attended.

They already knew each other’s names: Munger worked in Buffett’s grandfather’s grocery store as a boy. One of the first investors in Buffett’s partnership gave him money because, he said, “You remind me of Charlie Munger.”

Buffett’s first wife, Susan, recalling that dinner, said in 1998: “I think Warren felt that Charlie was the smartest person he’d ever met, and I think Charlie felt Warren was the smartest person he had ever met.”

They instantly hit it off and before long became inseparable, often talking by phone several times a day.

A photo from a trip to Savannah, Ga., in the 1980s captures the two investors looking eerily alike: talking and striding in lockstep, both wearing khakis and open-collared blue dress shirts. Everything from their height to their hairlines, from their eyeglass frames to the wrinkles in their clothes, seems to match.

Munger’s hero was Benjamin Franklin, whom he admired for his curiosity, ingenuity and wit. Munger’s own common sense, biting humor, pathological bluntness and disdain for conventional wisdom made him a celebrity among investors.

During the question-and-answer sessions at Berkshire’s annual meetings, Munger would sit silent as Buffett spoke in elaborate paragraphs. The adoring audience knew Munger was waiting to uncork a zinger.

At Berkshire’s annual meeting in 2000, a shareholder asked how the speculation in Internet stocks would affect the economy. Buffett answered with nearly 550 words. Munger growled, “if you mix raisins with turds, they’re still turds.”

When a shareholder asked at the 2004 meeting how Berkshire sets pay for executives, Buffett spoke for more than five minutes. Munger drawled, “Well, I would rather throw a viper down my shirtfront than hire a compensation consultant.”

In an op-ed for The Wall Street Journal in 2023, published when he was 99, Munger called for the U.S. government to ban bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, writing that crypto is “a gambling contract with a nearly 100% edge for the house.” Earlier, he had described bitcoin as a “scumball activity” and “rat poison.”

Munger’s laconic image was only an act he put on to avoid upstaging Buffett. When he wasn’t sharing the limelight with Berkshire’s chairman, Munger was loquacious. At regular lunches and dinners with friends and family, and at the annual meetings of Daily Journal, a small media company he chaired, he would speak for hours.

As many friends noted, if he paused to take a sip of water and someone else started to talk, Munger would imperiously raise his index finger to prevent the other speaker from cutting in before he could finish swallowing.

His stamina was extraordinary, too. In 2019, when Munger was 95, two Wall Street Journal reporters showed up at his modest house in Los Angeles at 6 p.m. He talked nearly nonstop until almost midnight. Several times after 10 p.m., one or both of the reporters haltingly began to stand up to leave; Munger motioned them to sit back down.

In August 2023, at age 99 and mostly wheelchair-using, Munger insisted on joining his large family, including more than a dozen grandchildren and great-grandchildren, on the annual fishing trip they had been making to Minnesota for decades.

At that time, Munger was “mentally even better than he’s ever been before,” said his friend Peter Kaufman, chairman of Glenair, an aerospace-parts manufacturer.

Content with his public persona as Buffett’s cantankerous sidekick, Munger amassed his own fortune.

He donated to institutions ranging from Stanford University and Los Angeles’s Good Samaritan Hospital to Planned Parenthood. He was also an amateur architect and lived in the house he had designed himself in the 1950s. Late in life, he became obsessed with designing buildings for university and high-school campuses.

Alongside investment gains came a cult following. Munger chaired Wesco Financial, a Berkshire unit whose shares remained publicly traded until its corporate parent absorbed the firm entirely in 2011. Fans flocked from as far away as China and India to hear him speak at Wesco’s annual meetings, and later Daily Journal’s.

An anthology of writings by and about Munger called “Poor Charlie’s Almanack,” edited by Kaufman, became an international bestseller.

Munger never stopped preaching old-fashioned virtues. Two of his favorite words were assiduity and equanimity.

He liked the first, he said in a speech in 2007, because “it means sit down on your ass until you do it.” He often said that the key to investing success was doing nothing for years, even decades, waiting to buy with “aggression” when bargains finally materialized.

He liked the second because it reflected his philosophy of investing and of life. Every investor, Munger said frequently, should be able to react with equanimity to a 50% loss in the stock market every few decades.

Munger retained his sense of humor into his 90s, even though he was nearly blind, could barely walk, and his beloved wife, Nancy, had died years earlier. Around 2016, an acquaintance asked which person, in a long life, he felt most grateful to.

“My second wife’s first husband,” Munger said instantly. “I had the ungrudging love of this magnificent woman for 60 years simply by being a somewhat less awful husband than he was.”

WSJ : Mark Cuban Is Set to Sell Majority Stake in Dallas Mavericks to Adelson Fa

Mark Cuban Is Set to Sell Majority Stake in Dallas Mavericks to Adelson Family
The widow of the late casino mogul plans to sell $2 billion of stock to acquire a stake in the NBA franchise

One week before the NBA touches down in Las Vegas for the final of its inaugural In-Season Tournament, Sin City has forged another link to the hardwood. The family of the late casino mogul Sheldon Adelson has agreed to buy a majority stake in the Dallas Mavericks from entrepreneur Mark Cuban, a source familiar with the deal said Tuesday.

Las Vegas Sands disclosed plans by Miriam Adelson, Sheldon Adelson’s widow, to sell an estimated $2 billion in stock in the company, which a regulatory filing said would be “used to fund the purchase of a majority interest in a professional sports franchise…subject to customary league approvals.” NBA reporter Marc Stein first reported that the franchise in question would be the Mavericks.

Since he purchased the Mavericks in 2000, Cuban has stood out among the NBA’s buttoned-down ownership class. He regularly forgoes a luxury suite to sit near his team’s bench, and he cuts an emotional figure courtside. Cuban pumps his fists and shouts to support the Mavericks; he has racked up fines for berating officials when their whistles don’t go his way. The tab of fines he’s incurred from the NBA over the years goes well into the millions.

There has been a method to what has sometimes seemed like madness. The Mavericks have reached the postseason 18 times during Cuban’s tenure, including two appearances in the NBA Finals, winning a championship in 2011. They have also been the American home of two of basketball’s most iconic European players: the Hall-of-Fame forward Dirk Nowitzki, who was the centerpiece of the title team, and the 24-year-old wunderkind Luka Doncic, one of the top scoring and assist threats in today’s game.

Sheldon Adelson, who died in 2021 at the age of 87, rode his success in the casino industry to a fortune worth more than $30 billion and a standing as one of the country’s most prolific Republican donors. Together, he and Miriam, a physician who founded two research centers for fighting substance abuse, contributed $20 million to Donald Trump’s 2016 campaign. In 2018, President Trump awarded Miriam Adelson the Medal of Freedom.

Las Vegas Sands has lobbied in recent years for legalization of casinos in Texas, an effort that has so far failed.

FT : Japanese bank regulators on alert for SVB-style rate risks

Japanese bank regulators on alert for SVB-style rate risks
Regional and smaller lenders could be exposed as central bank tightens policy

Japan’s regulators are raising pressure on regional banks to pre-empt the kind of risks that took down Silicon Valley Bank as the country prepares for its first interest rate rise in more than a decade.

Even as Japan’s biggest banks churn out record profits and anticipate further gains from domestic rate increases, the country’s central bank warned in its recent Financial Stability Report that regional banks and shinkin financial co-operatives were exposed to interest rate risk after piling into long-term loans and securities.

Rising rates are normally welcomed by commercial banks, which can profit from a wider margin between what they charge for lending and what they pay to borrow. But dangers on the other side include so-called duration risk, which measures the exposure of long-term bonds to unexpected changes in interest rates. The risks can crystallise if banks are forced to sell long-term assets that are losing value as interest rates rise.

Regulators are growing concerned that stress on regional banks could deepen next year if the Bank of Japan finally ends its negative rate policy.

BoJ governor Kazuo Ueda told the Financial Times Global Boardroom conference this month that the country’s banking system was robust enough to withstand some increase in short-term interest rates if it were to begin policy normalisation. But he added: “It’s a matter of degree so . . . we’ll have to monitor the situation carefully.”

As of the end of September, Japan’s 97 regional banks reported unrealised losses on bonds and investment trusts totalling about ¥2.8tn ($19bn), up 70 per cent from the end of June, according to calculations by Nikkei. The amount jumped after 10-year Japanese government bond yields rose when the BoJ loosened its yield curve control policies in July.

“In the worst-case scenario, the banks can hold on to these unrealised losses,” said Toyoki Sameshima, analyst at SBI Securities. “But that means they won’t be able to make new investments to buy higher-yielding bonds when interest rates rise, so there is a risk of stagnation.”


Japan’s Financial Services Agency reacted to the failures of SVB and other US banks in March with scrutiny of smaller regional lenders, particularly those that could be exposed to similar risks. SVB was brought down by a huge portfolio of government bonds — which had no credit risk but massive, unhedged interest rate risk — and its base of uninsured depositors who swiftly ran for the exits.

Unlike Silicon Valley Bank, Japanese banks are home to small, sticky retail deposits, with most insured up to ¥10mn. However, while systemic risks of deposit flight seem low, analysts are on the hunt for outliers.

“One Japanese major bank was able to increase its deposits by over 40 per cent in around six months via a campaign that promised high interest rates,” said Nomura banking analyst Ken Takamiya.

“As this means there are depositors willing to shift their deposits to earn higher interest rates, the FSA is not ruling out the possibility of a flow in the opposite direction if concerns over credit spread,” he added.

While regulators scour the balance sheets of regional banks, shares in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Mizuho Financial Group and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group have risen about 40 per cent this year on the back of hopes for rate increases. The country’s three big banks are less exposed because they have a more diversified business model and have shifted to short-duration assets.


If the BoJ does end its negative interest rate policy by next spring, as is widely expected, it estimates that each percentage point increase in domestic interest rates will give an earnings boost of about ¥3tn to local lenders.

The central bank has come under increasing pressure to dial back its decade-old monetary easing measures in the face of rising inflation and a weakening yen. Its exit could have major ramifications for international bond markets, as Japanese financial institutions own trillions of dollars of overseas debt and are likely to invest more at home when interest rates start to rise.

In October, the BoJ decided to allow yields on the 10-year Japanese government bond to rise above 1 per cent, a step towards ending its seven-year policy of capping long-term interest rates.

The FSA remains sanguine about the overall risks in the Japanese banking system but is wary of the lack of experience bankers have in managing a tightening cycle.

There is also the new unknown of the growth of online banking, which has made it easier for depositors to transfer their money instantly as was the case in the US bank failures.

“It’s been a very long time since interest rates have risen in Japan,” said one FSA official. “Things are very different from last time when there was a rate hike since there wasn’t really online banking . . . we don’t know what will happen this time, and we are preparing ourselves for unexpected circumstances.”

Still, FSA officials have stressed that the risk of a deposit run at Japanese financial institutions remains low and analysts say the boost to net interest income from rate rises will outweigh the short-term paper losses suffered by banks.

Another risk to banks is that interest rate rises might spark more bankruptcies among small and medium-sized companies — particularly among so-called zombie companies that are more than 10 years old and have remained in business, aided by ultra-low rates, despite persistent losses. According to data provider Teikoku Databank, there were 188,000 such zombies as of March 2022.

Sameshima said banks were likely to take a cautious stance in cutting off lending following lessons drawn from the global financial crisis in 2008, when they allowed many small groups to go bankrupt too quickly and blew holes in their own balance sheets.

“The number of bankruptcies will rise, but the nature of the bankruptcies will be different from the ones we saw after the Lehman crisis,” Sameshima said. “The banks will try to think of a business strategy and firmly support the ones that look capable of surviving.”

>>> What to look at today - 29th of November 2023

The dollar fell for a fifth day and Treasuries rallied, as expectations grow that the Federal Reserve is done with policy tightening and may start cutting interest rates next year. A gauge of the US currency is near a four-month low, with the dollar weakening against all its Group-of-10 peers and most emerging-market counterparts in Asia. The kiwi rallied after New Zealand’s central bank signaled an increased risk for it to hike again next year. The Bloomberg Global Aggregate bond index is up 4.9% in November and on course for its best month since December 2008, after recent data indicated slowing inflation and weaker economic activity. Also driving the greenback’s declines is Fed officials’ latest dovish rhetoric and billionaire investor Bill Ackman’s comment that the US central bank could begin cutting rates sooner than predicted. The MSCI All Country World Index of stocks has gained 8.8% so far this month, its most since November 2020.  Stocks in Asia were mixed, with Australia a bright spot after cooling inflation bolstered the case for the local central bank to resume pausing interest rates next week. Hong Kong shares slid to the lowest in about a month, weighed by losses in some tech firms following a growth warning by Chinese food-delivery giant Meituan.  US stock futures edged higher while contracts for European peers were steady.  The kiwi dollar rallied about 1% against the greenback after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s new policy rate forecasts show a slightly higher track 2024, implying a chance of an increase, and no reduction until mid-2025. The central bank kept interest rates unchanged for a fourth straight meeting Wednesday.  Emerging Asian currencies also jumped, led by the Thai baht and Taiwanese dollar. Japanese yen rose to the strongest level in more than two months, partly due to month-end corporate demand.  Fed swaps are anticipating over 100 basis points of rate cuts by the end of 2024 after Governor Christopher Waller said the bank is well positioned to push inflation to a 2% target. 
Two-year Treasury yields dropped another three basis points to 4.70% after shedding 15 basis points Tuesday while a Bloomberg gauge of the dollar is on track for its worst month in a year, as fears of a recession and dovish Fed commentary spurred investors to wager the central bank will have to reverse its most aggressive tightening cycle since the 1980s.  oil held its biggest gain in a week as traders awaited a high-stakes OPEC+ meeting on supply. Gold extended gains to its highest level since May, also buoyed by hopes of a Fed policy shift.  US After Hours NTAP +11%, WDAY +6.7% higher on earnings; JBL -9.5% falls on lowered guidance, brings down some EMS peers; LVS -4.1% commences $2 bln offering by Adelsons.

Nikkei -0.26% Hang Seng -2.31% CSI -0.81% Shanghai -0.50% Shenzen -0.70%

Eur$ 1.10 CNH 7.1248 CNY 7.1233 JPY 147.14 GBP 1.2711 CHF 0.8768 RUB 88.9005 TRY 28.9180 WTI$ 76.55 Gold 2,045 BTC 38,009 ETH 2,054

S&P +0.16% Nasdaq +0.15% EuroStoxx +0.02% FTSE -0.20% Dax +0.11% SMI -0.08%

Macro :
- Small Nuclear Reactors Are Viable Even After NuScale, IAEA Says
- EU Pitches Three Options to Deal With Post-Brexit EV Tariffs
- Fed’s Waller, Bowman Open Door to Another Pause in December
- BILL ACKMAN BETS FED WILL CUT RATES AS SOON AS FIRST QUARTER
- Earnings Growth vs. Disinflation Is Key, Fair Value Model Shows
- JPMorgan’s Matejka Sees Risky Assets Challenged in Early 2024

Keep an eye on :
- ADS GY : Foot Locker Margins May Slip on Nike, Discounts: Preview
- AIR FP : Boeing Gets $2.3b Order for Added US Air Force KC-46A Tankers
- AKZA NA : Akzo Nobel, Kansai Agree Not to Proceed With Africa Transaction
- ARAMI FP : Aramis FY Adjusted Revenue Beats Estimates
- AT1 GY : Aroundtown Maintains FY FFO I Forecast
- AFX GY : Carl Zeiss increases sales to more than ten billion euros - Handelsblatt:
- CA FP : Market Chatter: Carrefour to Reportedly Bid for Casino Group Stores
- C US : Kingdom Holding Buys $450M Stake in Citi From Prince Alwaleed
- ATD CN : Couche-Tard 2Q Adjusted EPS Beats Estimates
- DIS US : Disney's Bob Iger Plays Down Asset Sales, Vows to Build Modern Version of Company-WSJ
- DPEU LN : DP Eurasia Says Board is Considering Jubilant FoodWorks’ Offer
- EDF FP : EDF’s CEO Wants to Build One Nuclear Reactor a Year From 2030s
- FAST NA : Energy From Fast EV Chargers Jumps Threefold in Norway: BNEF
- FTCH US : Farfetch Jumps 23% on Report Founder in Talks to Take It Private, Won’t Report 3Q Results Amid Report of Deal Talks
- FER SM : Ferrovial Sells $3 Billion Heathrow Stake to Ardian, Saudi Fund
- FM CN : *PANAMA TO SHUT DOWN FIRST QUANTUM MINE AFTER RULING: PRESIDENT
- GVOLT PL : Greenvolt 9M Net Income EU5.9M Vs. EU16.8M Y/y
- GRF SM : Grifols in Talks to Sell Part of RAAS Stake to China Merchants
- ITX SM : New Primark, Zara, JD Sports Stores Have Role in Growth Strategy
- KINDSDB SS : Kindred to Exit North America as 3Q Profit Misses Estimates
- KME IM : KME Completes Renewal of Bank Facility for up to €460m Total
- KNIN SW : Kuehne+Nagel Following Road Map With Customs Acquisition: React
- LVS US : Adelson Family to Buy Sports Team With $2 Billion Share Sale, Offering by Holder Prices at $44/Share
- NHY NO : Hydro to Step Up Growth in Aluminum Recycling, Extrusions
- PGHN SW : Buyout Billionaire Sees Rising China Risk, Sanctions Over Taiwan
- PHIA NA : Philips Drops as FDA Says DreamStation 2 Has Safety Issue
- P911 GY : Porsche 911, BEVs Help Ferrari, Tesla Parallel, Yet China a Risk
- PRX NA : Prosus Sees Consolidated E-Commerce Profitable in 2H24; Saw 1H25
- CFR SW : Richemont Says It Has No Plan Lending or Investing Into Farfetch
- RR/ LN : Small Nuclear Reactors Are Viable Even After NuScale, IAEA Says
- SPM IM : Saipem Gets Two Offshore Contracts Worth Approx. $1.9b
- TRI FP : Trigano FY Current Operating Income Beats Estimates
- UBER US : Uber Strikes Deal With London Drivers to Put Black Cabs on App
- VATT SS : Vattenfall May Resubmit UK Wind Farm in Future Auction

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 29th of November 2023

>>> Up
* B&S Group Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 6 euros
* BMW Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 110 euros
* Carlsberg Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 840 kroner
* Direct Line Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 250 pence
* Evolution Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 1,350 kronor
* Gestamp Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 4 euros
* Legal & General Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 295 pence
* M&G Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 250 pence
* Michelin Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 27 euros
* Partners Group price target raised to CHF 1,055 from CHF 978 at JPMorgan
* Prosus price target raised to EUR 48 from EUR 47 at JPMorgan
* Siltronic Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 107 euros
* Vestas Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 205 kroner

>>> Down
* Adevinta Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 115 kroner
* Airbnb Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $140
* Aviva Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 485 pence
* Campari Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 8.30 euros
* Carlyle Group Cut to Inline at Evercore ISI; PT $32
* Clas Ohlson Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 130 kronor
* Diageo Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 3,500 pence
* Equinor Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 270 kroner
* Kering Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 430 euros
* Legrand Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 80 euros
* TotalEnergies Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 65 euros
* VW Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 128 euros

>>> Initiation
* Alphabet Rated New Positive at Vertical Group
* Amazon Rated New Positive at Vertical Group
* Comcast Rated New Neutral at Vertical Group
* Disney Rated New Neutral at Vertical Group
* Fox Corp Rated New Neutral at Vertical Group
* Meta Platforms Rated New Positive at Vertical Group
* Paramount Global Rated New Neutral at Vertical Group
* Roku Rated New Positive at Vertical Group
* Rusta Rated New Buy at DNB Markets; PT 56 kronor
* Snap Rated New Neutral at Vertical Group

>>> Call
* Evolution Upgraded to Buy at Citi on Cash Returns Outlook
* JPMorgan’s Matejka Sees Risky Assets Challenged in Early 2024
* Legal & General, M&G Raised, Aviva Downgraded at Deutsche Bank
* Legrand Downgraded to Underperform at RBC on Upcoming Headwinds
* Siltronic Upgraded to Buy at Berenberg, Tide May Be Turning

FT : EU ports help sell on over 20% of LNG imports from Russia

FT : EU ports help sell on over 20% of LNG imports from Russia
‘Transshipment’ of liquefied natural gas, crucial for Moscow’s Arctic fleet, is banned by UK and Netherlands

More than a fifth of Russia’s liquefied natural gas reaching Europe is reshipped to other parts of the world, a practice that boosts Moscow’s revenues despite the EU’s efforts to curb them in response to the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

While contracts for so-called transshipment of Russian LNG have been banned in the UK and the Netherlands, data from 2023 suggests permitted Russian gas shipments are routinely transferred between tankers in Belgium, France and Spain before being exported to buyers in other continents.

The ship transfers are crucial for Russia as it attempts to make best use of its Arctic fleet. Transshipment usually takes place between Russian “ice class” tankers that are used to run between the Yamal peninsula and north-western Europe and regular LNG tankers that then sail on to other ports, freeing up the ice-class vessels to return north.

Ports in Belgium, Spain and France still receive significant volumes from the Siberian plant Yamal LNG, whose biggest shareholders are Russia’s second-largest natural gas producer Novatek, China National Petroleum Corporation and the French energy company TotalEnergies.

Of the 17.8bn cubic metres of Russian liquefied natural gas flowing to the EU between January and September this year, 21 per cent was transferred to ships destined for non-EU countries including China, Japan and Bangladesh, according to data from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, a think-tank.


Zeebrugge in Belgium and Montoir-de-Bretagne in France received the most Russian LNG of all EU ports in 2023.

Unlike coal and oil, Russian gas has not been placed under sanctions by the EU but the European Commission has said member states should rid themselves of Russian fossil fuels by 2027.

Ana-Maria Jaller-Makarewicz, lead energy analyst at IEEFA, noted that while volumes of LNG transshipments in Europe had fallen since Russia’s full invasion of Ukraine in 2022, they remained significant and potentially had been overlooked. “The EU is not thinking about [it] when they are talking about a ban,” she said. “They don’t count a transshipment.”

Amund Vik, former Norwegian state secretary for energy and adviser to the consultancy Eurasia Group, said EU governments were caught in a bind. Member states would find it “hard to bang the drum [against] exporting [Russian LNG] elsewhere if they are using it themselves”, he said. “You will see them tiptoeing around this topic this winter.”


The EU previously imported 155bn cubic metres of piped gas from Russia, about 40 per cent of its total supply. To replace that gas, the bloc has vastly increased its imports of LNG from countries including the US, Norway and Qatar. But the EU is also set to import record volumes of the super-chilled fuel from Russia this year.

EU policymakers have defended the continuation of imports from Russia as being due to long-term contracts agreed before the war that, if broken, would force European companies to pay compensation to Russia. The Belgian natural gas company Fluxys has, for example, a 20-year contract with Yamal that ends in 2039.

The Belgian energy ministry said it was “determined to tackle this issue” and was “gathering intelligence on effective approaches”. “We recognise the importance of finding a way that does not endanger the security of supply of the European continent,” a spokesperson added.

Fluxys said that because gas was not under sanctions, “no client can therefore legally be denied access” to its LNG terminal. “The ownership of the molecules remains in the hands of the shippers,” it said.

The French energy ministry said it had no plans to prevent the transshipment of Russian LNG at French ports. “France and Europe have significantly reduced their exposure to Russian gas consumption, by diversifying their sources of supply,” the spokesperson added.

But EU officials have repeatedly voiced concern over the levels of Russian LNG entering the bloc. Energy commissioner Kadri Simson said in September: “We can and we must reduce Russian LNG exports to phase them out completely.”

Policymakers are due to agree rules in December that will allow EU member states to prevent access to EU gas infrastructure for Russian and Belarusian operators.

FT : Daniel Křetínský pushes French retailer Casino to offload stores before bai

Daniel Křetínský pushes French retailer Casino to offload stores before bailout
Carrefour and Lidl among those seeking to buy hypermarkets from indebted group built by Jean-Charles Naouri

Daniel Křetínský has pushed Casino’s management to sell the retailer’s largest stores months before his planned bailout, said three people with knowledge of the discussions, an outcome its founder Jean-Charles Naouri had sought to avoid when striking the deal with the Czech billionaire.

When Křetínský won the battle for Casino in July as part of a court-supervised debt restructuring, rival bidders accused the energy billionaire of planning to strip the French retailer of its assets.

Naouri, who spent decades building the group, wanted to keep it intact as he sought to cut high debt. The finance ministry was also wary about the impact on jobs in the country, where Casino employs more than 50,000 people.

In an interview in July, Křetínský vowed to “preserve the maximum possible, rational perimeter” of the group.

But a person close to the tycoon admitted he had expressed concerns about the feasibility of keeping the stores to Naouri months ago. “Now it is obvious to everyone, but [Křetínský] was right about it from the beginning,” the person said.

If completed, the divestments of Casino’s hyper and supermarkets would dramatically reduce the size of the group, capping years of asset sales that Naouri undertook to pay down debt. The group’s remaining assets would mostly comprise inner-city stores such as Monoprix in Paris.

Clément Genelot, analyst at Bryan Garnier, said that while the group will find itself on firmer financial footing once the debt was cut and the cash-burning hypermarkets stripped out, its revenues will shrink to an estimated €7.5bn by 2025, from €33.6bn last year.

“They have sold everything that was worth anything . . . From now on, since they can’t finance the cash burn through asset sales they have to reduce the cash burn by de-consolidating the stores that are losing the most money,” Genelot said.

Bids are expected in the coming days, according to people close to the sale process. French food retailers Intermarché, Système U, Auchan and Carrefour are among the bidders lining up to buy the stores they each want. Germany-based discount chains Lidl and Aldi are also planning to make separate offers, the people said.

The talks are the most advanced with Lidl and Intermarché, whose parent company Groupement Les Mousquetaires already agreed to buy about 60 stores from Casino in May, said one person close to the seller.

Casino, Intermarché, Auchan, Carrefour and Lidl declined to comment. Aldi, Système U did not reply to requests to comment.

That the auction is taking place before the completion of Křetínský’s plan to lead a €1.2bn recapitalisation of Casino shows how rapidly the business has deteriorated since July.

Casino is racing to complete the bankruptcy proceeding by early next year, at which point Křetínský will assume control of the group. It issued a profit warning last week saying its French business would swing to an operating loss this year of as much as €140mn, compared with an operating profit or more than €1.3bn last year.

Křetínský’s holding company said: “These sales would in no way affect our desire to become the controlling shareholder of Casino and to invest in the development of the rest of the group, particularly in the Monoprix and Franprix brands.”

Genelot predicted Casino will also need to close its headquarters in Saint-Etienne, leading to more than 2,000 job cuts.

“Clearly all the promises made to the government and unions [on job preservation] are now untenable,” he said. “But they will be pragmatic: better to lose a few thousands jobs than to see the entire group stripped for parts.”

FT : Wind and solar power face an end-of-life sustainability challenge

Wind and solar power face an end-of-life sustainability challenge
As the world switches to renewables, difficulties in dealing with spent panels and turbines are coming into focus

Cars were a novelty once; so were oil wells, plastic bottles and coal-fired power stations. Novelty wears off, though — and, as the industries concerned acquired global heft, the environmental downsides became ever clearer.

But it is not only the giants of the fossil fuel era that must confront the loss of innocence that comes with scale. The huge increase in renewable energy in recent years — a doubling of capacity since 2013, with COP28 expected to produce a push for a tripling by 2030 — means that the solar and wind power sectors will soon face their own sustainability challenges.

“With average product lifetimes of about 30 years, the young solar industry has not yet faced waste streams that have necessitated the proactive integration of circular economy requirements,” points out Jan Clyncke, a board member at the Global Solar Council, a Washington DC-based industry organisation. That does not mean it will be caught napping, however. “Solar product and component manufacturers are taking the lead and looking at ways to increase the recyclability and end-of-life management of their products,” Clyncke adds.

The situation is similar for the wind industry. The lifespan of turbines also often reaches 25 or 30 years, says Alexander Vandenberghe, sustainability manager at WindEurope, a Brussels-based lobby group, which means there is relatively little end-of-life material today. But this will likewise change as wind turbine production rises massively to meet climate targets.

Preparing for the “huge wave” of solar panels that will need to be recycled in the future is a challenge, but one that industry should be ready to face, says Nicolas Defrenne, director-general of Soren, an organisation approved by the French government to collect used solar panels in France and its overseas territories. “We need to build capacity correctly,” says Defrenne. “[But] given regulation and market trends, there is no excuse not to be ready.”

For context, the production of a 1-terawatt peak photovoltaic system, the EU’s aim by 2030, will require 56mn tonnes of steel, 12.5mn tonnes of aluminium, 42mn tonnes of glass, 29,000 tonnes of silver, 2.3mn tonnes of silicon and 7mn tonnes of copper, Soren estimates.

To ensure that circularity is at the heart of this renewable energy transition will require well defined regulation. In the EU, solar panels are covered by the Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment Directive, which stipulates that EU countries should collect 85 per cent of all electrical and electronic waste generated. However, Defrenne rues the fact that the law does not insist that recycling results in “good quality materials”.

A focus on quantity over quality, he says, also means that “the glass, which makes up the majority of a solar panel, is recycled, but there is less pressure to recycle low-volume, high-value materials like silver or silicon.”

In the wind industry, Vandenberghe says there are “well-established recycling practices for 85-95 per cent of a turbine” — weightier materials such as steel, iron, copper and aluminium. “[But] for the remaining 5-15 per cent, those practices have not been established at a scale that is large enough to be cost competitive.” 

The permanent magnets used in modern turbines, and the rare earth minerals they contain, pose a particular technical challenge, he says — but several research projects are focused on solving the issue. “We are confident there will be a business case, as they are highly valuable”, he adds.

Defrenne wants “specific recovery targets” included in the next iteration of the WEEE directive for such minerals. “This is important for our economy, industrial sovereignty and the environment,” he says.

Indeed, environmental and human rights campaigners are concerned that the rush to expand renewable energy could bring about harms similar to those that have blighted fossil fuel operations over the decades. However, circularity policies can help reduce the need for extractive practices, reducing reliance on rare earth suppliers with poor records on the environment and human health.

“For a truly sustainable future, the green transition cannot come at the expense of the wellbeing of vulnerable communities,” says Marion Lupin, policy officer at the European Coalition for Corporate Justice, a non-profit.

She would like to see more explicit references to indigenous people’s rights in legislation, like the EU’s recently agreed Critical Raw Materials Act. “Abuses against indigenous peoples, common even within EU borders, as seen with the Sámi people, are set to remain unaddressed while policymakers prioritise geopolitical and financial interests,” says Lupin — referencing controversial plans for an iron ore mine on Sámi lands in Sweden.

Factoring the full life cycle of renewable energy facilities into tomorrow’s greener economies will not be easy. But Clyncke and Defrenne say there is a growing awareness globally of the need for action.

China, the world’s largest solar PV and wind energy market, has pledged to establish a “more or less mature full-process recycling system for wind turbines and solar panels by the end of this decade”, says Clyncke. Meanwhile, Defrenne highlights government policies on solar panel recycling in Australia, Japan and South Korea, and says that other nations, such as India and South Africa, “are starting to think about” how to develop the market.

For him, the key is securing the necessary investment to equip all countries with the right infrastructure, so that waste is not exported, and that recycled or recuperated materials can be used domestically.

Overall, Vandenberghe suggests it is mainly “administrative and legal barriers” that are preventing circular economy concepts from being scaled up. He cites EU waste classification rules that are ill-suited to products made from composite materials, such as turbine blades, and make it harder and costlier to export them for recycling.

Engineering knowhow is not the problem. “The technology is ready and will further improve once there is scale,” he says.