WSJ : Occidental Petroleum in Talks to Buy Permian Producer CrownRock

Occidental Petroleum in Talks to Buy Permian Producer CrownRock
Deal could value CrownRock well above $10 billion including debt

Occidental Petroleum OXY 0.45%increase; green up pointing triangle is in talks to buy CrownRock, a major energy producer in the west Texas area of the Permian basin, continuing a frenzy of deal making in the oil patch.

A deal for the closely held company, which could be valued well above $10 billion including debt, could come together soon assuming the talks don’t fall apart or another suitor doesn’t prevail, according to people familiar with the matter.

CrownRock owns more than 80,000 net acres in the northern part of the Midland Basin in Texas, part of the Permian, the largest oil producing region in the U.S. It is led by Texas businessman and billionaire Timothy Dunn, and backed by the private-equity firm Lime Rock Partners.

The company is one of the last remaining sizable private companies in the Permian, alongside Endeavor Energy Resources. Before the shale boom took off, Dunn accumulated leases in the region before trading and swapping land to build the enviable position CrownRock now sits on in a coveted part of the basin.

The company produces about 150,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day, according to Fitch Ratings.

Oil and gas producers have faced pressure to scale up, especially after Exxon Mobil struck a nearly $60 billion deal for Pioneer Natural Resources in October. Days later, Chevron agreed to buy Hess for $53 billion.

Occidental has a market capitalization of around $53 billion. Its last major purchase—the $38 billion acquisition of Anadarko in 2019—saddled the company with debt and attracted activist investor Carl Icahn.

Chief Executive Vicki Hollub spent the ensuing years cutting jobs and slashing spending. Rising oil prices following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine helped the company report banner profits in 2022. Icahn sold his shares and gave up his board seats that same year.

Meanwhile, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway, which had helped Hollub finance the Anadarko deal, boosted its stake and now owns around 26%, according to FactSet. Buffett has lauded Hollub’s leadership.

Under Hollub, the company has developed ambitious plans to suck carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere, an effort the CEO sees as enabling her goal to produce so-called net-zero oil.

Lime Rock, a Houston private-equity firm, first invested in CrownRock in 2007. It later raised a nearly $2 billion fund to buy CrownRock outright in 2018.

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • ASR Nederland (A16 TH) +10%
    • ASR Nederland Settlement Removes Key Overhang: Street Wrap
  • NN Group (2NN TH) +5.6%
  • STMicroelectronics (SGM TH) +2.2%
  • Aegon Ltd (J060 TH) +1.4%
  • NatWest (RYSD TH) +1.4%
  • Prosus (1TY TH) +1.2%
  • Air France-KLM (AFR0 TH) +1.1%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1%
  • BAE (BSP TH) +0.9%
  • Leonardo (FMNB TH) +0.8%
  • Nemetschek (NEM TH) -0.7%
  • Remy Cointreau (RMC TH) -1.7%
    • Remy Cointreau Misses Profit Estimates as US Cognac Sales Plunge
  • K+S (SDF TH) -1.8%
  • ABN Amro (AB2 TH) -1.9%
    • *DUTCH GOVERNMENT TO LOWER STAKE IN ABN AMRO TO ABOUT 40%
  • Nokia (NOA3 TH) -2.5%
  • Demant (WDH1 TH) -2.5%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • No major mover
MDAX:
  • Kion (KGX TH) +1.2%
  • K+S (SDF TH) -1.8%
SDAX:
  • MorphoSys (MOR TH) +4.6%
  • Siltronic (WAF TH) -2.9%
    • Siltronic Sets Mid-Term Targets, Sees Sales Above €2.2B by 2028
  • Kontron (KTN TH) -5.8%
    • Kontron Holder Grosso Tec Offers Up to 1m Shares, Terms Show

>>> What to look at today - 30th of November 2023

Asian shares extended gains, heading for their best month since January, as traders bet the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next year and weak Chinese data boosted hopes for more policy support. A gauge of regional equities has rallied over 7% this month, helped by a retreat in the dollar and US yields as Fed officials signaled they’re probably done with tightening policy. China’s stocks have emerged as an outlier amid the global rally on concerns about the growth outlook, with a report Thursday showing the nation’s manufacturing and services sectors shrank in November.  Meanwhile, a gauge of global stocks was headed for its best month in three years amid wagers for Fed rate cuts. US stock futures edged higher, while the dollar weakened against its Group-of-10 peers. Treasuries saw modest losses in Asian trading following Wednesday’s gains ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later.  Bond bulls latched onto earlier comments from Fed officials, juicing a rally in November that has placed a gauge of global sovereign and corporate debt on track for the best month since 2008.  Hard data provided support for a soft landing for the US economy. Economic activity slowed in recent weeks as consumers pulled back on discretionary spending, the Fed said in its latest “Beige Book”. Gross domestic product rose at the fastest pace in nearly two years, while consumer spending advanced at a less-robust rate and the Fed’s preferred inflation metric — the personal consumption expenditures price index — was revised lower. Meanwhile, Japanese bonds fell after an auction of two-year sovereign debt drew the weakest demand since 2009 on speculation the central bank may soon adjust its monetary policy. Elsewhere, oil extended gains to a third day as traders count down to a key meeting that will see OPEC+ set output policy into the new year. Gold was little changed after a five-day rally. Bitcoin edged closer to the $38,000-mark. In India, Tata Technologies Ltd., the first company from the salt-to-software conglomerate to list since 2004, more than doubled in its trading debut. Shares in Chinese developer Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd. were headed for their worst day since March after the builder defaulted on a dollar bond as it struggles with sluggish sales and worsening liquidity. Later Thursday, inflation and unemployment data for the Eurozone will be released, as will US jobless claims and the PCE deflator.  US After Hours NTNX +7.8%, CRM +7.2%, SNOW +7%, LZB +5.2% making nice moves on earnings; PSTG -12.2%, PVH -4.6% heading lower on earnings.

Nikkei +0.50% Hang Seng +0.38% CSI +0.32% Shanghai +0.29% Shenzen -0.27%

Eur$ 1.0979 CNH 7.1311 CNY 7.1258 JPY 146.96 GBP 1.2707 CHF 0.8724 RUB 88.7318 TRY 28.9475 WTI$ 78.24 +0.49% Gold 2045 BTC 37,872 +0.36% ETH 2,035 +0.30%

S&P +0.16% Nasdaq +0.24% EuroStoxx +0.14% FTSE +0.18% Dax +0.16% SMI +0.06%

Macro :
- Henry Kissinger Dies at Age 100, Kissinger Associates Says
- Beige Book Introduces Debt Cost as a Risk
- JPMorgan’s S&P 500 Outlook for 2024 Is Grimmest on Wall Street

Keep an eye on :
- ABBN SW : ABB Raises Goal for Long-Term Comparable Revenue Growth to 5-7%
- ANTIN FP : Antin Final Close on Inaugural NextGen Fund at €1.2B Target
- ASML NA : ASML Supervisory Board to Name Christophe Fouquet CEO
- ASRNL NA : ASR Settles Unit-Linked Life Insurance Case for EU250m
- BC IM : Cucinelli to Be Added to FTSE MIB, Replacing CNH Industrial
- BMW GY : BMW, Mercedes to Set Up Joint EV Charging Network in China
- BNP FP : BNP Plans At Least a Dozen Hires in Asia Equities Business: Rtrs
- CAI AV : CA Immo Boosts FY FFO I Forecast
- DIS US : Disney’s Iger Is No Longer Considering Sale of TV Networks
- EKTAB SS : Elekta 2Q Operating Profit Beats Estimates (1)
- ENEL IM : Ikea Joins Race for Stake in Enel’s 3Sun Unit: Corriere
- FRO US : Frontline PLC 3Q Net Income Beats Estimates
- HLAG GY : Shipping Line Hapag-Lloyd Adds Panama Surcharge on Containers
- HES US : Hess, Pioneer Natural Extend Drops Amid Call for Deal Reviews
- HUH1V FH : Huhtamaki to Cut €100 Million in Costs Over 3 Years
- IBS PL : Ibersol 9M Net Income EU9.5M Vs. EU7.3M Y/y
- ICP LN : Intermediate Capital to Join FTSE 100
- IIA AV : Immofinanz 9M Net Loss EU105.9M Vs. Profit EU248.6M Y/y
- KTN GY : Kontron Holder Grosso Tec Offers Up to 1m Shares, Terms Show
- MBG GY : BMW, Mercedes to Set Up Joint EV Charging Network in China
- MITRA BB : Mithra Gets FDA Guidance For Donesta Treating Menopause Symptoms
- ORSTED DC : Orsted Gets License for Offshore Wind Project in South Korea
- PSX US : Phillips 66 Has Held Talks With Elliott in Last Several Weeks
- OUT1V FH : Outokumpu Plans to Buy Back UP TO EU50m Shares
- QDT FP : Quadient Sees FY Organic Growth ~2%, Saw ~3%
- RCO FP : Remy Cointreau 1H Current Operating Income Misses Estimates
- SAN FP : Sanofi Spinoff Worth €25-€27 Billion on Ebit, Market-Share View
- WAF GY : Siltronic Sets Mid-Term Targets, Sees Sales Above €2.2B by 2028
- TKA AV : America Movil Increases Telekom Austria Stake to 58% of Shares
- TKA GY : Thyssenkrupp Names Jens Schulte CFO
- VACN SW : VAT Ends Short Time Work for ~650 Production Employees
- DG FP : Vinci, Hungary Apply for EU Approval of Budapest Airport Deal
- WDP BB : WDP Share Sale Likely to Be Priced at €24.76/Share: Terms
- WHA NA : Wereldhave Extends Debt Maturity Profile to Almost Four Years

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 30th of November 2023

>>> Up
* B&M European Raised to Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 700 pence
* Bridgepoint Raised to Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 250 pence
* Buzzi SpA Raised to Add at AlphaValue/Baader
* Estee Lauder PT Raised to $163 from $146 at DA Davidson
* Foot Locker PT Raised to $26 from $17 at Barclays
* Kindred GDRs Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 115 kronor
* Leonardo Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 20 euros
* NatWest Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 280 pence
* NN Group Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 46 euros
* Snap Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT $16
* VAT Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 500 Swiss francs

>>> Down
* 888 Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 97 pence
* Ericsson Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 61 kronor
* Ericsson ADRs Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $5.88
* Farfetch Cut to Neutral at BTIG
* H&M Cut to Sell at Goldman
* Nokia Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 4 euros
* Nokia ADRs Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $4.39
* Thule Cut to Sell at Nordea; PT 250 kronor
* OCI Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 20 euros
* Virgin Money Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 200 pence

>>> Initiation
* Alphawave IP Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 150 pence
* Big Yellow Group Rated New Hold at Berenberg
* Capital & Regional Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 68 pence
* Foresight Solar Reinstated Sector Perform at RBC; PT 110 pence
* Grainger Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 305 pence
* Lattice Semi Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $70
* Life Science REIT Rated New Buy at Berenberg
* Molson Coors Reinstated Hold at HSBC; PT $68
* Nyfosa Rated New Buy at Nordea; PT 84 kronor
* Segro Rated New Hold at Berenberg
* STMicroelectronics Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 52 euros
* Unite Group Rated New Hold at Berenberg; PT 1,052 pence
* Workspace Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 643 pence

>>> Call
* B&M Upgraded at Peel Hunt, New Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley

FT : European luxury property group Signa files for administration

European luxury property group Signa files for administration
Lenders across Europe race to assess their exposure to sprawling empire of Austrian billionaire René Benko

Signa Holding, the central company in the sprawling property group that owns half of New York’s Chrysler Building, almost all of Germany’s biggest department stores and part of Selfridges in London, filed for administration on Wednesday.

The rapid unravelling of the group has left lenders across Europe racing to assess their exposure to the business empire of Austrian billionaire René Benko and work out what claims they might have on Signa’s tangled portfolio of assets. 

“This will be one of the most complex corporate restructurings since the financial crisis,” said one Vienna-based lawyer who is familiar with Signa. “There is debt issued from all over the place and I don’t think anyone, even most insiders, even know who owns what after this.” 

In a statement earlier on Wednesday, the heavily indebted group said Signa Holding had applied for self-administration — a procedure in Austrian corporate law in which a company restructures itself without handing control of the process to an external administrator. 

“Despite considerable efforts in recent weeks, the necessary liquidity for an out-of-court restructuring process could not be sufficiently secured, and so Signa Holding has now applied for reorganisation proceedings,” it said.

Other key elements of the Signa network, a multi-layered ownership structure of more than 1,000 corporate entities and trusts in Europe, the US and offshore, are still operational, however. Those include Signa Prime, which people with knowledge of the details say holds the group’s most valuable assets.

In total, 120 banks are exposed to Signa, according to a person with knowledge of the group’s borrowing. Switzerland’s Julius Baer and Credit Suisse, now part of UBS, as well as Austria’s Raiffeisen, Bank of China, France’s Natixis and Italy’s UniCredit are among the group’s lenders.

Julius Baer has outstanding lending of more than SFr600mn ($690mn) to Signa, and Raiffeisen Bank International more than €750mn, according to people familiar with the details. Both banks declined to comment on specific client relationships but stressed their commercial loan books were well collateralised.

In a note earlier this month, analysts at JPMorgan estimated Signa owed at least €13bn to lenders in total.

Many of the group’s lenders are smaller regional banks that have financed local property projects.

Several German state-owned Landesbanken, including Frankfurt-based Helaba and Munich-based BayernLB, have outstanding loans worth hundreds of millions of euros, according to documents seen by the Financial Times. Helaba and BayernLB declined to comment.

Signa Holding’s administration will send a shockwave across central Europe’s retail sector as it prepares for its most important month of the year. Signa is the majority owner of the region’s biggest department stores, including Germany’s Galeria Kaufhof and KaDeWe, and Switzerland’s Globus.

It is also a shareholder in the Selfridges Group, though Signa’s stake was diluted as its problems began to take hold this month by its co-investor, Thailand’s Central Group, which exercised equity conversion rights attached to a shareholder loan.

Signa and Central jointly acquired Selfridges for £4bn almost two years ago. As well as the department store in London, the Selfridges Group includes retailers De Bijenkorf in the Netherlands, as well as Brown Thomas and Arnotts in Ireland. 

Central insisted that the department stores were unaffected by Signa’s administration. 

“[We] remain steadfast in our commitment to safeguard and support our European luxury stores regardless of our partner’s financial circumstances,” Central said in a statement. “We are in robust financial health and benefit from access to a wide range of funding streams to support the development of this unique portfolio.”

Germany’s biggest department store chain, Galeria Karstadt Kaufhof (GKK), which is owned by Signa and has itself struggled financially for years, said on Wednesday there was no immediate impact from Signa’s insolvency.

GKK announced thousands of job losses this year in an effort to stabilise its balance sheet. It had also been expecting €200mn of support from Signa to finance its turnaround plans, with the first tranche due in February.

“If Signa cannot provide its financial support as promised, Galeria management must be prepared,” said Corinna Gross, head of the national retail group at Verdi, Germany’s biggest union. “The constant bad news at Signa is causing unrest among Galeria employees. They want job security.”

In total, about 40,000 people work in Signa-owned businesses, according to investor presentations prepared by the company in 2022. Signa’s website previously said the group had assets worth €27bn, with a further €25bn of projects in its pipeline.

Benko’s group has been in financial difficulties for more than a year, as its debt-fuelled business model has been hit by rising interest rates.

In 2023 alone, it was due to pay back €1.3bn to lenders, but has struggled to do so, leading to standstill agreements with banks and a search for new capital that involved Benko flying regularly to the Middle East and talks with investors including hedge fund Elliott Management.

Benko’s co-investors have refused to stump up more cash and there was a boardroom rebellion at the beginning of this month.

Shareholders include some of the most prominent names in European business such as France’s Peugeot family, Tetra Pak’s Rausings, Austrian industrialist Hans Peter Haselsteiner and pet food tycoon Torsten Toeller.

At their insistence, Arndt Geiwitz, a German insolvency expert, was brought in this month to take control and attempt a rescue deal to avoid administration.

Signa’s management now has little room for manoeuvre. Although it will lead the process, under Austria’s self-administration regime an external administrator will supervise, with a veto right over any transactions.

Signa has 90 days to present a plan to creditors, which they must accept in order to avoid full administration.

>>> US After Hours Summary: NTNX +7.8%, CRM +7.2%, SNOW +7%, LZB +5.2% making ni

After Hours Summary: NTNX +7.8%, CRM +7.2%, SNOW +7%, LZB +5.2% making nice moves on earnings; PSTG -12.2%, PVH -4.6% heading lower on earnings

After Hours Gainers:
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: NTNX +7.8%, CRM +7.2%, SNOW +7%, LZB +5.2%, SNPS +1.7%, FIVE +1%
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: XENE +0.5% (files $225 mln public offering), ERJ +0.3% (Porter Airlines places firm order valued at $2.1 bln), EBAY +0.2% (commercial agreement in sports trading card company), CMCSA +0.1% (NASCAR extending media rights), ETRN +0.1% (updates pipeline construction progress)

After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: PSTG -12.2%, PVH -4.6%, NCNO -4.1%, ARWR -3%, VSCO -1.4%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: WB -6.4% (files mixed shelf; files $300 mln convertible notes), BWMN -2% (files $100 mln mixed shelf, secondary stock offering), PAX -1.6% (files stock offering), NOAH -0.9% (approves new capital management policy), RTX -0.6% (awarded $702 mln U.S. Army contract mod), DFS -0.3% (exploring sale of Discover Student Loans portfolio), NUS -0.1% (opens new manufacturing facility in China), COST -0.1% (reports November comps)

>>> Dow +0,04% S&P -0,09% Nasdaq -0;16% Russell +0.61%

Closing Stock Market Summary
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed near their lows of the day, registering slim declines due to relative weakness in the mega cap space. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, meanwhile, eked out a 0.04% gain while the Russell 2000 and S&P Mid Cap 400 rose 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively.

There was an underlying positive bias throughout the session, but buyer enthusiasm faded somewhat as the session progressed. Shortly after the open, advancers led decliners by a better than 9-to-2 margin at the NYSE and a better than 3-to-1 margin at the Nasdaq. At the close, advancing issues had a less than 2-to-1 lead at the NYSE and a 3-to-2 lead at the Nasdaq. The equal-weighted S&P 500 logged a 0.4% gain, but had been up as much as 1.1% at its high.

Six of the S&P 500 sectors closed higher while five of them declined. The real estate sector (+0.7%) led the gainers while the communication services sector (-1.1%) saw the biggest decline due to its lagging mega cap constituents.

A drop in Treasury yields provided a measure of support for stocks in this seasonally strong period for the market. The 2-yr note yield settled seven basis points lower than yesterday at 4.66% and the 10-yr note yield declined seven basis points to 4.27%.

Those moves were partially a reaction to some pleasing inflation data out of Germany, Spain, and Australia, and the notion that the Fed could cut rates in the first half of 2024. Notably, however, Richmond Fed President Barkin (2024 FOMC voter) said today at the CNBC CFO Council Summit that he thinks it is premature to talk rate cuts and that he is not taking the possibility of further rate hikes off the table, as he believes inflation is likely to be more stubborn than he would like it to be.

Still, the fed funds futures market is still pricing in a 79.8% probability of a rate cut at the May FOMC meeting versus a 54.7% probability one week ago, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Other factors that helped to drive today's positive bias included an upward revision to Q3 real GDP to 5.2% from 4.9%, General Motors (GM 31.60, +2.71, +9.4%) announcing an accelerated $10 billion share buyback program and 33% increase in its dividend, and the favorable response to earnings results from CrowdStrike (CRWD 234.44, +22.09, +10.4%), NetApp (NTAP 89.54, +11.43, +14.6%), Intuit (INTU 577.23, +12.16, +2.2%), Workday (WDAY 263.49, +26.16, +11.0%), and Foot Locker (FL 27.67, +3.83, +16.1%).

Market participants were also digesting the Fed's November Beige Book, which did not move the stock or bond markets that much. The main point from the release was that, on balance, economic activity slowed since the previous report and demand for labor continued to ease.
  • Nasdaq Composite: +36.2%
  • S&P 500: +18.5%
  • Dow Jones industrial Average: +5.7%
  • S&P Midcap 400: +4.9%
  • Russell 2000: +2.4%

Reviewing today's economic data:
  • Weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index 0.3%; Prior 3.0%
  • Q3 GDP - Second Estimate 5.2% ( consensus 4.9%); Prior 4.9%; Q3 GDP Deflator - Second Estimate 3.6% ( consensus 3.8%); Prior 3.5%
    • The key takeaway from the report is that the U.S. economy was effectively booming in the third quarter despite higher interest rates, aided by a strong labor market and disinflation that fueled healthy consumer spending activity.
  • October Adv. Intl. Trade in Goods -$89.8 bln; Prior was revised to -$86.8 bln from -$85.8 bln
  • October Adv. Retail Inventories 0.0%; Prior was revised to 0.4% from 0.9%
  • October Adv. Wholesale Inventories -0.2%; Prior was revised to 0.1% from 0.0%

Looking ahead, Thursday's economic calendar features:
  • 8:30 ET: Weekly Initial Claims ( consensus 215,000; prior 209,000), Continuing Claims (prior 1.840 mln), October Personal Income ( consensus 0.2%; prior 0.3%), Personal Spending ( consensus 0.2%; prior 0.3%), PCE Prices ( consensus 0.1%; prior 0.4%), and Core PCE Prices ( consensus 0.2%; prior 0.3%)
  • 9:45 ET: November Chicago PMI ( consensus 45.0; prior 44.0)
  • 10:00 ET: October Pending Home Sales (consensus -2.3%; prior 1.1%)
  • 10:30 ET: Weekly natural gas inventories (prior -7 bcf)

>>> Victoria's Secret misses by $0.08, reports revs in-line; guides Q4 EPS in-li

Victoria's Secret misses by $0.08, reports revs in-line; guides Q4 EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides FY24 EPS in-line (23.57 +1.24)
  • Reports Q3 (Oct) loss of $0.86 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.08 worse than the FactSet Consensus of ($0.78) and vs company guidance of ($0.70)-($0.90); revenues fell 4.0% year/year to $1.27 bln vs the $1.27 bln FactSet Consensus.
    • Total comparable sales decreased 7% year-over-year.
    • "Our sales trend in North America continued to improve as planned each month throughout the third quarter with October being our strongest month."
  • "We are excited with early holiday sales trends in November in North America both in our stores and through our digital experiences online. The November sales and margin result was our best monthly performance in nearly two years."
  • Co issues in-line guidance for Q4, sees EPS of $2.20-2.60, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $2.44 FactSet Consensus; sees Q4 revs increasing 2-4%, which translates to ~$2.06-2.10 bln vs. $2.07 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • Co issues in-line guidance for FY24, sees EPS of $1.85-2.25, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $2.17 FactSet Consensus. The Company is forecasting full year 2023 net sales to decrease in the range of 2% to 3% compared to last year.