>>> Up
* AB InBev ADRs Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT $76
* AB InBev Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 70 euros
* Aixtron PT Raised to 55 euros from 52 euros at Jefferies (+)
* AMS-Osram Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays
* Arctic Fish Holding Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities
* ASMI PT Raised to 650 euros from 600 euros at Jefferies (+)
* Babcock Raised to Buy at Numis; PT 530 pence
* Chesapeake Utilities Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT $123
* Compass Group Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 2,400 pence
* DSV Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 1,474 kroner
* Duke Energy Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT $113
* Fiserv Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $156
* Golden Ocean Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 91 kroner
* Greggs Raised to Buy at Liberum; PT 2,800 pence (+)
* Heidelberg Materials Raised to Buy at BofA; PT 105 euros (+)
* Icelandic Salmon Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities
* Intertek Raised to Outperform at RBC
* IWG Raised to Outperform at RBC
* Sartorius Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 370 euros
* Sartorius Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 370 euros
* SKF Raised to Buy at Carnegie; PT 230 kronor (+)
* VAT Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 585 Swiss francs
* Wise Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 1,100 pence
* Zaptec Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 25 kroner (+)
>>> Down
>>> Down
* Adecco Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 43 Swiss francs
* Apple Cut to Neutral at Redburn; PT $200 (+)
* Ashtead Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Bayer Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 42 euros
* BE Semiconductor Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank; PT 110 euros
* Calida Cut to Underperform at ZKB (+)
* Capita Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 23 pence
* DCC Cut to Sector Perform at RBC
* Dow Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT $58
* Dr Martens Cut to Hold at Numis; PT 85 pence (+)
* Fortum Cut to Hold at Carnegie (+)
* Gjensidige Cut to Hold at Arctic Securities; PT 190 kroner
* Holcim Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Juniper Cut to Inline at Evercore ISI; PT $40
* Konecranes Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 37 euros
* LyondellBasell Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT $105
* Maersk Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 15,000 kroner
* Maersk Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 15,000 kroner
* Orange Polska Cut to Hold at Erste Group; PT 8.90 zloty
* Rockwool Cut to Underperform at BofA; PT 1,800 kroner (+)
* Royal Unibrew Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 375 kroner
* Saint-Gobain Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* SGS Cut to Sector Perform at RBC
* Siegfried Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 995 Swiss francs
* Trelleborg Cut to Hold at Carnegie; PT 330 kronor (+)
* Vestas Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 226 kroner
* Worldline Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 15.50 euros
* Zurich Ins. Cut to Hold at Berenberg
>>> Initiation
>>> Initiation
* American Express Reinstated Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $235
* AMS-Osram Reinstated Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux
* AMS-Osram Reinstated Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux
* Arcadis Rated New Overweight at KeyBanc; PT 57 euros
* Entain Resumed Buy at Citi
* Equinor Rated New Market Perform at Cowen; PT 291 kroner
* Equinor ADRs Rated New Market Perform at Cowen; PT $28
* Future PLC Reinstated Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 1,210 pence
* Getinge Reinstated Buy at Nordea; PT 265 kronor
* Lectra Rated New Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 27 euros
* Syensqo Rated New Buy at SocGen; PT 115 euros
* WAG Payment Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 120 pence
* Wise Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 1,140 pence
>>> Call
>>> Call
* Alcon’s Positive Eye Drug Trials Seen Driving EPS Upside: Citi (+)
* DSV Upgraded at Morgan Stanley, Kuehne + Nagel Underweight
* DSV Upgraded at Morgan Stanley, Kuehne + Nagel Underweight
* RBC’s Calvasina Downgrades US Tech Stocks on Lofty Valuations
* Royal Unibrew May Underperform in Near-Term, Cut at Jefferies
* Semis Set for Another Good Year, VAT Group Raised at Jefferies (+)
* Sika Results Hit by Trends in Americas Business: Morgan Stanley
* Vestas Cut to Hold After Outperformance as Jefferies Flags Risks
* WAG Payment Rated New Buy by Berenberg as CRT Industry Winner
* Wise Rated New Buy by Berenberg, Sees ‘Superior Economic Model’ (+)
- NN Group (2NN TH) +6.2%
- Dutch Insurer NN Settles ‘Unfair Costs’ Case for $328 Million
- Grifols (OZTA TH) +3.8%
- DSV (DS81 TH) +1.8%
- DSV Upgraded at Morgan Stanley, Kuehne + Nagel Underweight
- Encavis (ECV TH) +0.9%
- IN BRIEF: Encavis buys six wind farms in “final sprint” to 2023 target
- OMV (OMV TH) +0.8%
- A2A (EAM TH) +0.8%
- Aixtron (AIXA TH) +0.7%
- Aixtron PT Raised to 55 euros from 52 euros at Jefferies
- Bayer (BAYN TH) -1%
- Alstom (AOMD TH) -1%
- Merck KGaA (MRK TH) -1.2%
- Mowi (PND TH) -1.5%
- Rockwool (R90 TH) -1.6%
- Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -1.6%
- Vallourec (VACD TH) -1.6%
- Vestas (VWSB TH) -1.9%
- Vestas Cut to Hold After Outperformance as Jefferies Flags Risks
- BE Semiconductor (BSI TH) -3%
- BE Semiconductor Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank; PT 110 euros
DAX:
- Sartorius (SRT3 TH) +1.1%
- Bayer (BAYN TH) -1.1%
- Bayer Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 42 euros
MDAX:
- Encavis (ECV TH) +1.2%
- *ENCAVIS BUYS SIX MORE WIND FARMS IN 2023
- Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) -1%
- Redcare Pharmacy NV Prelim 4Q Revenue Beats Estimates
SDAX:
- MorphoSys (MOR TH) +2.5%
- SGL (SGL TH) +1.7%
- SFC Energy (F3C TH) +1.5%
- Deutsche Beteiligungs AG (DBAN TH) -1%
>>> Up
* AB InBev ADRs Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT $76
* AB InBev Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 70 euros
* AMS-Osram Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays
* Arctic Fish Holding Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities
* Babcock Raised to Buy at Numis; PT 530 pence
* Chesapeake Utilities Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT $123
* Compass Group Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 2,400 pence
* DSV Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 1,474 kroner
* Duke Energy Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT $113
* Fiserv Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $156
* Golden Ocean Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 91 kroner
* Icelandic Salmon Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities
* Intertek Raised to Outperform at RBC
* IWG Raised to Outperform at RBC
* Sartorius Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 370 euros
* Sartorius Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 370 euros
* VAT Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 585 Swiss francs
* Wise Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 1,100 pence
>>> Down
>>> Down
* Adecco Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 43 Swiss francs
* Bayer Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 42 euros
* BE Semiconductor Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank; PT 110 euros
* Bunge Global Cut to Peerperform at Wolfe
* Capita Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 23 pence
* DCC Cut to Sector Perform at RBC
* Dow Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT $58
* Gjensidige Cut to Hold at Arctic Securities; PT 190 kroner
* Juniper Cut to Inline at Evercore ISI; PT $40
* Konecranes Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 37 euros
* LyondellBasell Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT $105
* Maersk Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 15,000 kroner
* Maersk Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 15,000 kroner
* Orange Polska Cut to Hold at Erste Group; PT 8.90 zloty
* Royal Unibrew Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 375 kroner
* SGS Cut to Sector Perform at RBC
* Siegfried Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 995 Swiss francs
* Vestas Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 226 kroner
* Worldline Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 15.50 euros
* Zurich Ins. Cut to Hold at Berenberg
>>> Initiation
>>> Initiation
* American Express Reinstated Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $235
* AMS-Osram Reinstated Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux
* AMS-Osram Reinstated Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux
* Arcadis Rated New Overweight at KeyBanc; PT 57 euros
* Entain Resumed Buy at Citi
* Equinor Rated New Market Perform at Cowen; PT 291 kroner
* Equinor ADRs Rated New Market Perform at Cowen; PT $28
* Future PLC Reinstated Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 1,210 pence
* Getinge Reinstated Buy at Nordea; PT 265 kronor
* Lectra Rated New Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 27 euros
* Syensqo Rated New Buy at SocGen; PT 115 euros
* WAG Payment Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 120 pence
* Wise Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 1,140 pence
>>> Call
* DSV Upgraded at Morgan Stanley, Kuehne + Nagel Underweight
>>> Call
* DSV Upgraded at Morgan Stanley, Kuehne + Nagel Underweight
* RBC’s Calvasina Downgrades US Tech Stocks on Lofty Valuations
* Royal Unibrew May Underperform in Near-Term, Cut at Jefferies
* Sika Results Hit by Trends in Americas Business: Morgan Stanley
* Vestas Cut to Hold After Outperformance as Jefferies Flags Risks
* WAG Payment Rated New Buy by Berenberg as CRT Industry Winner
Japanese stocks powered ahead toward a fresh three-decade high, bucking declines across Asia, while broader market sentiment remained muted as investors await a key US inflation data. The broad Topix index rose above a September intraday high to touch a 34-year peak as a weaker yen supported exporter stocks. The Nikkei 225 index jumped over 2% after the benchmark hit its highest since 1990 on Tuesday. Their gains helped nudge a gauge of Asian equities higher even as markets including mainland China and Hong Kong traded lower. US equity futures were little changed. The S&P 500 closed Tuesday down 0.2%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 managed an advance by the same magnitude, extending a rebound in tech stocks following heavy selling last week. Bitcoin rose over 1% to trade at around $46,167 after a bout of volatility that was spurred by speculation the US Securities and Exchange Commission had approved spot-Bitcoin exchange traded funds. The SEC said in a statement that it hadn’t yet given the nod for the ETFs, and said a conflicting post minutes earlier on the regulator’s official X account was untrue. Treasury 10-year yields and the dollar were steady in Asia trading. The yen extended its weakness against the dollar as a sharp slowdown in Japanese worker wage growth was seen limiting the Bank of Japan’s ability to exit its ultra-loose policy stance. Investor are looking to the US inflation report for guidance on the timing of the Federal Reserve’s rate cut. The cooling in headline inflation is set to reverse in the December data, according to Bloomberg Economics. A growing mismatch between aggressive pricing for US interest rate cuts and resilient economic fundamentals reducing the need for such easing risks creating a “reverse Goldilocks” scenario for global markets, according to Max Kettner at HSBC Holdings Plc. He sees the Fed starting its easing cycle in June, later than market pricing indicating May or even March. Among other data from Asia, Australia’s inflation moderated, boosting the case for interest rates to be kept unchanged. The Australian dollar rose against the greenback. China’s inflation, trade and credit reports are also due in the following days, and will offer a health check on the world’s no. 2 economy. Geopolitics remained in focus. China’s US envoy said the country had no room to compromise with those advocating for Taiwan independence. Oil rose on signs that US crude stockpiles are continuing to drop, and as more attacks on vessels in the Red Sea raised the risk that Middle East supply could be disrupted. US After Hours ETWO +12.7%, SGH +9.4%, PSMT +9%, WDFC +6.3% up on earnings; AEHR -15.6% tumbling after slashed FY24 guidance; crypto-related stocks falling after Bitcoin ETF approval head fake
Nikkei +2.01% Hang Seng -0.83% CSI -0.26% Shanghai -0.34% Shenzen -0.54%
Eur$ 1.0932 CNH 7.1844 CNY 7.1745 JPY 144.74 GBP 1.2704 CHF 0?8522 RUB 89.72 TRY 29.9701 WTI$ 72.61 Gold 2,029 BTC 45?952 ETH 2,384
S&P -0.11% Nasdaq -0.08% EuroStoxx -0.33% FTSE -0.30% Dax -0.32% SMI -0.42%
Macro :
- EU faces potential €450mn post-Brexit bill on empty London offices
- Convertibles Demand to Keep Growing Despite Rate Cuts: ECM Watch
- Convertibles Demand to Keep Growing Despite Rate Cuts: ECM Watch
- SEC X Account Compromised to Falsely Say Bitcoin ETFs Approved
- DeepMind spin-off aims to halve drug discovery times following Big Pharma deals
- RBC’s Calvasina Downgrades US Tech Stocks on Lofty Valuations
Keep an eye on :
Keep an eye on :
- ANIM IM : Italy Set to Clear Pignataro’s Ion Bid for Asset Manager Prelios
- ALC SW : Alcon Reports Positive Topline Results in Phase 3 Comet Trials
- MT NA : ArcelorMittal May Back Italy Control of Ex-Ilva Plant: Ansa
- BARC LN : Barclays 15% Pay Hike, SocGen, BNP 5-15% FICC Cuts Top 4Q Agenda
- BONAVA SS : Swedish Landlord Bonava Gets Approval to Extend Bonds to 2027
- CPRI US : Bill Gross Rides His Capri M&A Bet Even as Doubts Linger on Deal
- CPR IM : Campari Offering €1.2 Billion Shares, Bonds for Courvoisier Deal
- CGG FP : CGG Prelim FY Segment Revenue About $1.12B, Est. $1.12B
- DBHN GY : Deutsche Bahn Loses Court Bid to Stop Train-Drivers’ Strike
- FER SM : Ferrovial US Move Shows Pressure on Smaller Exchanges: ECM Watch
- GRF SM : Spain Securities Regulator Seeks to ‘Clarify’ Grifols Situation
- GRF SM : Grifols Denies Gotham Claims as Short Seller Triggers 26% Rout
- HLN LN : Haleon Deleverage Over Dividend Choice May Aid Growth vs. Kenvue
- IDIA SW : Idorsia Postpones Results; Cash Reserves to Last to Early April
- IMCD NA : IMCD Buys 70% of Valuetree in India; No Financial Terms
- INPST NA : InPost 4Q Parcel Volume 268.4M Vs. 222M Y/y
- JNPR US : HPE to Buy Juniper Networks for $14 Billion in Networking Bet ( HP Enterprise to Buy Juniper for $40 per Share)
- MBG GY : Neometals Says Primobius Received Order From Mercedes-Benz
- NIO US : Chinese EV-Maker Nio Cut at BofA on Dimmer Sales Outlook
- NN BA : NN Settles Unit-Linked Insurance Products Case for EU300m
- NDX1 GY : Nordex Group Gets Orders for 197 MW From UKA in Germany
- NOVOB DC : Novo Nordisk CEO Expects To Add Significant WEGOVY Volumes In 2024
- PKTM AV : Pierer Mobility Prelim FY Rev. EU2.65B to EU2.67B, Est. EU2.65B
- RDC GY : Redcare Pharmacy NV Prelim 4Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- RNO FP : Renault to End Car-Sharing Service Zity in Paris
- ROG SW : Roche CFO Still Sees 2023 Sales, Profit at Upper End of Guidance
- ROG SW : Roche Hunts for More Deals to Challenge Lilly, Novo on Obesity
- SIKA SW : Sika FY Sales Misses Estimates
- SKAB SS : Skanska Takes Property Related Impairment Charges of SEK2b
- SKAB SS : Skanska May Face More Property Headaches After 4Q Charge
- SW FP : Sodexo Says Pluxee Listing Prospectus Approved, Now on Website
- STAN LN : StanChart funds Rs 700 crore debt for ReNew arm
- TSLA US : Tesla Says Upgraded Model 3 Now Available in North America
- WIZZ LN : Wizz Air CEO Says Manufacturers Need Quality Control
- WIZZ LN : Wizz Air CEO Says Manufacturers Need Quality Control
Frasers Property Owners Could Sell Company as Part of Strategic Review
The review is part of shareholders’ efforts to raise capital to pare debt accumulated in the last few years due to acquisitions
Frasers Property’s majority owners could sell the company or some of its assets as part of a strategic review, people familiar with the situation said.
One of the people said the review is in its initial stages and there is no assurance of any outcome.
The review is part of shareholders’ efforts to raise capital to pare debt accumulated in the last few years due to acquisitions.
Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi, one of Thailand’s wealthiest people, owns an 87.0% stake in the Singapore-listed company through Thai Beverage Y92 -0.93%decrease; red down pointing triangle and unlisted TCC Assets and related entities.
Thai Beverage and Frasers Property declined to comment, while TCC Assets didn’t reply to email seeking comment.
Frasers Property’s total assets were approximately 39.8 billion Singapore dollars (US$29.91 billion) as of end-September.
The company is engaged in hospitality, operates industrial and logistical parks, and has real-estate investment trusts, besides residential, retail and commercial business. It has over 500 properties with operations in over 70 cities, including Australia, Vietnam, China and the U.K.
Charoen has spent billions of dollars to buy various assets through his entities, including Thai Beverage. In 2017, he paid nearly US$5 billion for a 53.6% stake in Vietnam government-owned Saigon Beer Alcohol Beverage or Sabeco. In 2016, he paid nearly US$3.5 billion to buy French retailer Groupe Casino’s nearly 59% stake in Big C Thailand.
Thai Beverage’s total liabilities at end-September stood at 253.03 billion baht (US$7.24 billion), according to the company’s latest annual report. It has THB61.92 billion of interest-bearing debt due within a year, and another THB119.63 billion due within five years.
Charoen has been looking to raise funds through stake disposals. In 2022, the company planned to list its brewery unit in Singapore, but the plan was deferred due to weak market conditions.
Shares of both Frasers Property and Thai Beverage were recently flat at S$0.92 and S$0.54 on the Singapore Exchange.
DeepMind spin-off aims to halve drug discovery times following Big Pharma deals
Chief of Google’s AI unit and Isomorphic Labs spells out targets following $3bn Eli Lilly-Novartis partnerships
The head of Google DeepMind believes its drug discovery spinout will halve the time taken to find new medicines, attracting the attention of the world’s biggest pharmaceutical companies which are looking to artificial intelligence to revolutionise the lengthy process.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Demis Hassabis, who co-founded Google’s AI unit and also leads the drugs offshoot Isomorphic Labs, said the goal was to reduce the discovery stage — when potential drugs are identified before clinical trials — from the average of five years to two. “I think that would be success for us and be very meaningful,” he said.
Hassabis stated the goal days after announcing Isomorphic Lab’s first two pharmaceutical partnerships with Eli Lilly and Novartis, which came to a combined value of up to $3bn, in deals set to transform the finances of the unprofitable group.
Isomorphic Labs uses an AI platform to predict biochemical structures, which aids the creation of new drugs by recommending which potential compounds will have the desired impact in the body.
Including clinical trials, it often takes up to a decade to discover and develop a new drug, costing on average about $2.7bn, according to research by the Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development.
Large drugmakers, under pressure to fill their pipelines with new potential medicines while existing ones face patent cliffs, when they will face far cheaper generic competition, are eager for new ways to shorten the process. As healthcare systems around the world put pressure on drug prices, pharma companies are also looking for ways to cut costs in research and development.
Hassabis said that many drugmakers had also been eager to partner with Isomorphic but the company wanted to focus on collaborations that could improve its technology. “We could probably sign up a dozen partnerships today, if we wanted to, but then it will cause us to fragment too much, to make more bespoke solutions for the individual programmes,” he said.
Instead, Isomorphic chose to sign deals with just two pharmaceutical companies. On Sunday, it announced Lilly would pay $45mn upfront, with another $1.7bn to be paid when the project reached performance milestones, such as drugs reaching trials or approval.
Novartis would pay $37.5mn upfront with an additional $1.2bn in performance-based incentives.
Isomorphic said it planned to build up in-house experimental facilities or “wet labs” at some point in the future, and intended to partner these assets with pharmaceutical companies.
Isomorphic’s deals come as Google faces fierce competition on the development of AI software from the likes of Microsoft-backed OpenAI and smaller start-ups such as Anthropic and Cohere. Last year, the search giant merged its internal AI unit Brain with DeepMind, in an effort to concentrate its efforts and resources in the fast-moving technology.
The partnership deals follow several others in the industry. Oxford-based Exscientia is working with Sanofi and Bristol Myers Squibb, among others, and Insitro has a deal with Bristol Myers, while Owkin is also collaborating with Sanofi.
But even drugs discovered by artificial intelligence can fail in clinical trials, as human biology is hard to predict. Several start-ups specialising in AI for drug discovery have had to abandon drugs after studies showed they were not as effective as hoped.
Isomorphic Labs’ AI platform builds on the scientific breakthroughs achieved by DeepMind’s AlphaFold technology, AI software that can predict the structure of nearly all existing proteins from their DNA sequence.
New generations of the technology use deep learning to predict interactions between proteins and other molecules, including DNA and RNA, and therefore the side effects and efficacy of new chemical structures in the body.
Isomorphic Labs was founded in 2021 as a subsidiary of Alphabet, to advance DeepMind’s initial breakthroughs with an exclusive focus on using AI for drug discovery. The company in 2022 widened its loss to £16.9mn from £2.4mn the year before, according to Companies House filings.
Hassabis said that, although Isomorphic was not “focused on” when it would generate a profit, “the two deals we have done are pretty meaningful from a financial point of view too”.
Interest in using AI in drug discovery is soaring, with companies in the sector raising $4.4bn in 2022, up from $1.8bn in 2018, according to research firm PitchBook.
But Hassabis said Isomorphic was “pretty unique” in trying to build fundamental models of biology and chemistry, rather than using AI for analysis of existing data.
“It’s almost like a generative model that is designing the compounds with the different constraints,” he said. “But those constraints are modelling real biochemistry constraints. So that’s what we’re really good at.”
Why EU efforts to use Russia’s frozen assets are progressing at a snail’s pace
Also in this newsletter: How the EU is trying to soothe concerns of belligerent farmers
Laura explains why Belgium’s newfound responsibilities as the holder of the EU’s rotating presidency could complicate the issue of tapping immobilised Russian assets to help Ukraine. And our environment correspondent puts on her wellies to assess anti-EU feelings on the farm.
Deep freeze
To seize, or not to seize Russia’s frozen assets?
While the G7 group of nations considers how to use some €260bn belonging to Russia’s central bank for the benefit of Ukraine, European countries are taking baby steps towards using the assets’ unforeseen spoils, writes Laura Dubois.
Context: Officials are working on how to transfer to Kyiv the Russian sovereign assets immobilised by western sanctions. But EU countries fear adverse effects, and are instead working on seizing only extraordinary profits that financial institutions are making by holding the assets.
Today, representatives of member states meet to discuss a recent proposal that would pave the way for this latter option, stopping short of touching the actual assets.
Countries like Germany, France and Belgium — where the bulk of the €210bn frozen in Europe is held — have been wary of moving from just ringfencing the profits being made at the financial institutions, to actually confiscating them.
“I hear a lot of prudence on the topic of what you would call the second tranche [of seizing the profits],” Belgian Prime Minister Alexander De Croo told reporters this week.
“Let’s listen to the experts on that topic, in the sense that there is the obligation of repairing the damage [to Ukraine] at some point, but there is of course a need for a legal framework.”
Belgium has just assumed the rotating six-month presidency of the European Council and is leading the talks. Some officials, however, worry that the country, where €191bn belonging to Russia is stuck, might not be the best middleman.
“Belgium has promised to proceed with the work but one can sense they are not eager to do that,” one EU diplomat said.
De Croo suggested Belgium would not veto using the assets if the other countries agreed. “Blocking is really the last resort and I don’t think we need to do that. We can convince others.”
The European Central Bank has warned that touching the profits made by Euroclear, the central securities depository holding the assets in Belgium, could destabilise the financial system. Seizing the assets themselves would be even more risky.
Yet while European countries grapple with technical details around the profits, that is exactly what the G7 — led by the US — is discussing.
“The hope is that this will at some point increase the realisation among the member states that this is only one small piece of the puzzle,” one EU official said.
Importers Face Surging Shipping Costs, Delays as Red Sea Diversions Pile Up
Average costs to ship containers have nearly doubled since late November
Western importers are reporting a steep rise in ocean-shipping rates and weekslong delays as carriers divert ships from the Red Sea to avoid Houthi rebel attacks.
Some companies shipping goods on the crucial trade lane are starting to chafe at the rising prices and extra fees that ocean carriers are imposing for the higher cost of routing containerships on longer voyages around the Horn of Africa following drone and missile attacks by Houthi rebels in Yemen.
Average worldwide costs to ship 40-foot-long containers have nearly doubled since late November, according to London-based Drewry Shipping Consultants.
The increases have also accelerated in the past two weeks on routes that traditionally use the Suez. The spot-market price to move containers between China and Rotterdam in the Netherlands reached $3,577 in the week ending Jan. 4, a 115% increase from the week before.
“What every shipper is trying to figure out is if the current proposals are in line with the carrier’s added costs, and not simply a move to offset softer rates in other lanes or raise rates across the board,” said Colin Yankee, chief supply chain officer at Brentwood, Tenn.-based retailer Tractor Supply.
Houthi rebels, since November, have launched roughly two dozen attacks on commercial ships navigating the Red Sea, which provides access to the Suez and trade routes to Western Europe and the U.S. The Suez is used by about one-third of global container cargo and about 30% of freight bound for U.S. East Coast ports, according to Everstream Analytics, a supply-chain risk management company.
The rebels have said their attacks are a response to the fighting between Israel and Hamas in Gaza. The attacks have grown less frequent in recent days, following warnings from a U.S.-led naval coalition and military responses from the U.S. and other countries. Ship operators including A.P. Moller-Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd have said their vessels would continue avoiding the region.
Shipping executives estimate that the 10 largest boxship operators have shifted around $200 billion in cargo away from the Red Sea since early December.
“We will not put our crews and ships in harm’s way under any circumstances,” said Nils Haupt, a spokesman for Germany’s Hapag-Lloyd.
The new cost increases are renewing tensions between importers and ocean carriers after shipping rates skyrocketed during the pandemic, when freight demand outstripped the supply of ships and helped fuel record profits for carriers. The recent increases still leave prices far below those pandemic-era levels.
“There is a certain element of mistrust given where we have come from,” said Goetz Alebrand, head of ocean freight at DHL Global Forwarding Americas.
The higher costs are hitting even importers that negotiate longer-term contract rates, industry experts say, because operators are imposing surcharges ranging from hundreds of dollars to more than $1,000 per box to cover rising costs as a result of the Red Sea diversions. Some shippers’ woes are being compounded by restrictions at the Panama Canal where a drought is limiting the number of vessels that can transit the waterway.
The shift to longer shipping routes around Africa is raising fuel and insurance costs and reducing containership availability, said Lars Jensen, chief executive of Denmark-based consulting firm Vespucci Maritime. But Jensen said the rate increases are “substantially above” what is needed to cover the extra costs.
“What we have right now from a carrier’s perspective is a blessing in disguise,” said Jensen.
Shipping executives say the higher pricing and surcharges are the results of the higher costs to operate vessels on longer voyages and reduced capacity because ships are out at sea for longer stretches.
Overall Red Sea containership crossings were down by around 20% in December compared with November, according to Singapore and London brokers.
“Services will continue to have to run late and with longer transit times in the short term,” said Jonathan Roach, a container shipping analyst at Braemar, a London-based shipping advisory firm. “As a consequence freight rates on the whole will remain elevated and volatile.”
Nathan Strang, director of ocean freight at San Francisco, Calif.-based freight forwarder Flexport, said one customer who brings cargo into the Port of New Orleans has seen import times double to 60 days after the company’s shipments were rerouted.
“How do you tell your end customer when their stuff is going to arrive and when they can put stuff on shelves?” he said.