>>> FedEx beats by $0.07, reports revs in-line; guides FY25 EPS in-line, revs in

FedEx beats by $0.07, reports revs in-line; guides FY25 EPS in-line, revs in-line
  • Reports Q4 (May) earnings of $5.41 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.07 better than the FactSet Consensus of $5.34; revenues rose 0.8% year/year to $22.11 bln vs the $22.04 bln FactSet Consensus.
    • FedEx Express segment revenue was roughly flat yr/yr at $10.42 bln.
    • FedEx Ground segment revenue rose 2.4% yr/yr to $8.49 bln.
    • FedEx Freight segment revenue rose 1.6% yr/yr to $2.31 bln.
  • Co issues in-line guidance for FY25, sees EPS of $20.00-22.00, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $20.92 FactSet Consensus; sees FY25 revs growing low-to-mid single-digits vs. +3.2% or $90.47 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • "We made significant progress in fiscal 2024 and ended the year strong, delivering four consecutive quarters of expanding operating income and margin in a challenging revenue environment," said Raj Subramaniam, FedEx Corp. president and chief executive officer. "These results are unprecedented in this current environment, reflecting our continued execution of our DRIVE initiatives and our resolve to transform FedEx while we deliver outstanding service to our customers. We expect this momentum to continue in fiscal 2025 as we advance our efforts to create the world's most flexible, efficient, and intelligent network."

>>> US Close Dow -0.76% S&P +0.39% Nasdaq +1.26% Russell +0.31%

Closing Stock Market Summary
The S&P 500 (+0.4%) and Nasdaq Composite (+1.3%) closed near their highs of the day, propelled by gains in mega cap and semiconductor-related names. The overall vibe in the market was negative, though. Declining issues had a roughly 3-to-2 lead over advancing issues at both the NYSE and at the Nasdaq.

Meanwhile, the equal-weighted S&P 500 logged a 0.7% decline, the Dow Jones Industrial Average registered a 0.8% loss, and the Russell 2000 settled 0.4% lower.

The downside moves were relatively modest thanks to support from NVIDIA (NVDA 126.09, +7.98, +6.8%), which rallied after solid losses in recent sessions, and other mega cap names.

Carnival (CCL 17.82, +1.43, +8.7%) was the top performer in the S&P 500 after reporting better than expected earnings and revenue, along with above-consensus guidance.

Other cruise line stocks closed higher in sympathy. Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH 18.29, +0.89, +5.1%) and Royal Caribbean (RCL 160.73, +6.21, +4.0%) were also among the top performing stocks in the S&P 500.

Meanwhile, Pool (POOL 310.74, -27.17, -8.0%) showed the largest decline among S&P 500 stocks after cutting FY24 guidance.

Eight of the S&P 500 sectors logged declines while the heavily-weighted information technology (+1.8%) and communication services (+1.9%) sectors led the outperformers, supported by gains in mega cap components.

The market was also reacting to the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for June, which slipped to 100.4 from 101.3 in May as expectations for future income weakened. Treasuries didn't moved much in response to the data, settling little changed from yesterday. The 2-yr note yield was unchanged from Monday at 4.73% and the 10-yr note yield fell one basis point to 4.24%.

The Treasury market was also digesting today's $69 billion 2-yr note sale, which met solid demand.

  • Nasdaq Composite: +18.0% YTD
  • S&P 500:+14.7% YTD
  • S&P Midcap 400: +5.0% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: +3.8% YTD
  • Russell 2000: -0.2% YTD

Reviewing today's economic data:
  • April FHFA Housing Price Index 0.2%; Prior 0.1%
  • April S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index 7.2% (consensus 6.9%); Prior was revised to 7.5% from 7.4%
  • June Consumer Confidence 100.4 (consensus 100.0); Prior was revised to 101.3 from 102.0
    • The key takeaway from the report is that expectations for future income weakened. If that perception builds and/or is realized, then it is apt to detract from discretionary spending activity.

Looking ahead, market participants will receive the following data on Wednesday:
  • 7:00 ET: Weekly MBA Mortgage Index (prior 0.9%)
  • 10:00 ET: May New Home Sales (consensus 650,000; prior 634,000)
  • 10:30 ET: Weekly crude oil inventories (prior -2.55 mln)

>>> Rivian Automotive and Volkswagen Group (VLKAF) announce plans for joint vent

Rivian Automotive and Volkswagen Group (VLKAF) announce plans for joint venture to create industry-leading vehicle software technology and for strategic investment by Volkswagen
  • Rivian and Volkswagen Group (VLKAF) intend to enter a joint venture to create next generation software-defined vehicle (SDV) platforms to be used in both companies' future electric vehicles.
  • Volkswagen Group to invest an initial $1 billion in Rivian, with up to $4 billion in planned additional investment for a total expected deal size of $5 billion.
  • Joint venture is expected to build on Rivian's industry-leading software and electrical architecture to create best-in-class software-defined vehicle technology platform.

FT : New German citizens must declare Israel’s right to exist

New German citizens must declare Israel’s right to exist
Berlin overhauls nationality criteria to include adherence to the country’s values

A landmark new citizenship law came into force in Germany on Tuesday with an explicit requirement for applicants to declare the state of Israel’s right to exist.

The socially liberal government of Chancellor Olaf Scholz made dual nationality a key campaign pledge when elected in 2021, promising to shorten the waiting time for new citizens to obtain a German passport to five years. The country did not previously allow dual citizenship for first-generation migrants.

But rising antisemitism, an increasingly fractious debate over Israel’s war against Hamas and a surge in popularity for anti-immigrant far-right politics have prompted Berlin to recast its citizenship overhaul as a tougher measure of loyalty to German values.

“Anyone who shares our values and makes an effort can now get a German passport more quickly and no longer has to give up part of their identity by giving up their old nationality,” said interior minister Nancy Faeser on Tuesday.

“But we have also made it just as clear: anyone who does not share our values ​​cannot get a German passport. We have drawn a crystal-clear red line here and made the law much stricter than before.”

German parliamentarians agreed on the legal basis of the new citizenship requirements in January but the specific content of the citizenship test that is at its centre is set by government regulation.

The interior ministry had previously indicated it intended to include questions on Judaism and Jewish life in Germany but stopped short of saying whether it would include a specific declaration regarding the state of Israel.

The interior ministry on Tuesday confirmed it would now be a requirement.

“New test questions have been added on the topics of antisemitism, the right of the state of Israel to exist and Jewish life in Germany,” the interior ministry said.

Declaring a commitment to gender equality, democracy and Germany’s historic responsibility towards Judaism as a result of the crimes of National Socialism will also be part of the test.

Presenting his annual report on Tuesday, Germany’s official government commissioner for fighting antisemitism, Felix Klein, described a “catastrophic” rise in hate crimes against Jewish people in Germany.

Antisemitic incidents logged by his office increased 83 per cent, year on year, in 2023 to 4,782 — the vast majority of which were acts of publicly documented hate speech, but with several hundred occurrences of physical violence to people and property, he said.

The government has declared zero tolerance for antisemitism in Germany but has also sparked anger by appearing to crack down on specific criticism of the Israeli government over its conduct in Gaza, fuelling a debate over free speech in Germany, particularly among artists and academics.

Sabine Döring, Germany’s junior minister for higher education, was forced to resign earlier this month after her ministry started exploring legal options to defund the research of German academics who had signed a public letter criticising a police crackdown on anti-Israeli student protests.

The issue has also become a flashpoint in Germany for young Muslims, who officials warn are becoming increasingly radicalised by what they see as government oppression of their right to express their opinion.

FT : Minimum tax on billionaires will raise up to $250bn a year, says report

Minimum tax on billionaires will raise up to $250bn a year, says report
Co-ordinated levy on total wealth of super-rich is feasible and enforceable, says paper commissioned for G20

A global minimum tax on billionaires raising up to $250bn a year is “technically feasible” and could be successfully enforced even if it was not adopted by every country, according to a report commissioned by the G20.

Gabriel Zucman, an economist and author of the paper, said a co-ordinated minimum tax on the total wealth of the world’s 3,000 billionaires was needed to increase their contributions.

The current effective tax rate of billionaires was equivalent to just 0.3 per cent of their wealth, said the report, which was published on Tuesday. G20 finance ministers meet to discuss the proposals next month.

“Very few individuals agree with the notion that billionaires can have lower tax rates than other social groups,” Zucman, a professor of economics at the Paris School of Economics and at the University of California, Berkeley, told the Financial Times. “The super-rich shouldn’t pay less tax than schoolteachers or fire fighters. That’s just not OK.”

The report recommended individuals with more than $1bn in total wealth, including assets such as real estate, equity stakes and larger corporate shareholdings, pay a minimum amount of tax equal to 2 per cent of their wealth.

This would raise $200bn-$250bn a year, it said. Extending the levy to individuals with a net worth of more than $100mn would raise an additional $100bn-$140bn, it said. Individuals who already pay more than 2 per cent of their wealth in income tax would face no extra tax liability.

Zucman said a level of 2 per cent would help the total tax levy from being seen as regressive for the super-rich. “We’re talking about 2 per cent. That’s not very much. We’re not talking about making it progressive but just making it less regressive.”

The study said developments over the past 15 years, such as the widespread ending of bank secrecy laws and automatic exchange of information between tax agencies, meant authorities were in “a better situation” to successfully implement the proposal.

However, it acknowledged there were “several potential challenges” associated with the idea. These included the difficulties of valuing individuals’ wealth, improving compliance and ensuring effective taxation if some countries refused to implement the levy.

To be effective, the report said countries would need to create new forms of cross-border information exchange on rich individuals. Nations would also need to boost identification of the ultimate beneficial ownership of financial and other assets including properties, companies and other legal vehicles.

If some jurisdictions did not enact the measure, Zucman said countries could employ exit taxes or use a “tax collector of last resort” mechanism similar to that introduced in the global minimum corporate tax, which came into effect this year.

Under the reform, if profit by a multinational is taxed below a minimum 15 per cent effective tax rate in one country, other countries can charge a top-up levy.

“That’s very important because it provides incentives for all countries to join the agreement. Not joining means leaving tax revenue on the table for others to collect,” Zucman said.

Brazil, which holds the G20 presidency, has been championing the idea of increasing taxation on the super-rich. It commissioned the report after inviting Zucman to speak to G20 finance ministers in February.

Ministers from South Africa, Spain, France and Germany have backed the proposal. Zucman said Belgium, Colombia, and the African Union were also supportive of the levy.

US Treasury secretary Janet Yellen seemed to reject the idea last month, but President Joe Biden’s proposed levy on billionaires “shares the same logic”, Zucman said. The G7 advanced economies, which include the US, this month said it “will work to increase our efforts aimed at progressive and fair taxation of individuals”.

“The goal of the report is to start the conversation, not to end it,” Zucman added. “We can make [a global tax on billionaires] work, but now there’s a political decision that needs to be made.”