>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 20th of March 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Aena Raised to Hold at Bestinver; PT 158.10 euros
* BASF Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 58 euros
* Dom Dev Raised to Outperform at Santander Biuro Maklerskie (+)
* Elementis Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 170 pence
* Merck KGaA PT Raised to 210 euros from 196 euros at Citi
* Moncler PT Raised to 76.50 euros from 64 euros at Citi
* Nvidia PT Raised to $1,050 from $850 at Piper Sandler (+)
* Redcare Pharmacy NV Raised to Hold at HSBC; PT 140 euros
* Rockwool Raised to Buy at DNB Markets; PT 2,500 kroner
* Sabre Insurance PT Raised to 220 pence from 200 pence at RBC
* Tencent Music ADRs Raised to Buy at Citi (+)
* VAT PT Raised to 340 Swiss francs from 280 Swiss francs at RBC

>>> Down
* Assura Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 48 pence
* Encavis Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 17.50 euros
* Eni Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 15 euros
* FCC Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 13.50 euros
* Hannover Re Cut to Hold at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 252 euros (+)
* Kardex Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 255 Swiss francs
* Merck KGaA PT Raised to 210 euros from 196 euros at Citi
* Saras Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 1.75 euros
* Telecom Italia Cut to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader
* Vow ASA Cut to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 6 kroner

>>> Initiation
* Alfen Rated New Buy at ING; PT 70 euros
* Athens International Airport Rated New Hold at HSBC
* Autoliv Rated New Hold at Baptista Research; PT $131.50
* Banco BPM Resumed Buy at Citi; PT 6.85 euros
* BASF Rated New Overweight at Guotai Junan Sec
* Cdon Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 195 kronor
* Cranswick Rated New Buy at Redburn; PT 4,900 pence
* Janux Therapeutics Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT $100
* Rational Rated New Hold at Stifel; PT 800 euros
* Schibsted Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 330 kroner (+)
* Terna Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 7.95 euros
* Vossloh Rated New Buy at Baader Helvea; PT 56 euros

>>> Call
* BASF Raised to Buy at Berenberg On Signs of Chemicals Recovery
* Eni Downgraded to Hold at Berenberg on Gas Price Normalization
* Moncler PT to Street-High at Citi, Deserves Premium to Peers
* Terna’s Strategic Plan Beats Expectations, Morgan Stanley Says
* Vossloh Positioned for Structural Growth, New Buy at Baader

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Terna (UEI TH) +1%
    • Terna’s Strategic Plan Beats Expectations, Morgan Stanley Says
  • ASML (ASME TH) +0.8%
    • US Weighs Sanctioning Huawei’s Secretive Chinese Chip Network
  • Leonardo (FMNB TH) +0.8%
  • Reckitt (3RB TH) +0.7%
  • L’Oreal (LOR TH) -0.9%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) -0.9%
  • Fresenius Medical Care (FME TH) -0.9%
  • Puma (PUM TH) -1%
  • Adidas (ADS TH) -1.1%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) -1.6%
    • Defence CEO calls for European version of Israel’s Iron Dome
  • Hugo Boss (BOSS TH) -1.9%
  • Moncler (MOV TH) -2.7%
  • LVMH (MOH TH) -4.1%
  • Kering (PPX TH) -10%
    • Kering Sinks as Gucci Transition Still Elusive: Street Wrap (1)

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • BASF (BAS TH) +0.6%
    • BASF Raised to Buy at Berenberg On Signs of Chemicals Recovery
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) -1.3%
MDAX:
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +1.3%
  • Jungheinrich (JUN3 TH) +0.9%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) +0.7%
  • Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) +0.6%
    • Redcare Pharmacy NV Raised to Hold at HSBC; PT 140 euros
  • Hugo Boss (BOSS TH) -1.4%
SDAX:
  • PVA TePla (TPE TH) +5.3%
  • Adtran Holdings (QH9 TH) +2%
  • Amadeus Fire (AAD TH) +1.7%
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) +1.4%
  • Hamborner REIT (HABA TH) +1.1%
  • Eckert & Ziegler (EUZ TH) -5.6%
    • Eckert & Ziegler Proposes to Cut Dividend to EU0.05/Share

>>> What to look at today - 20th of March 2024

Stocks in Asia were mixed after US equities touched fresh peaks ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision, with eyes on the future pace of rate cuts. The yen extended its decline.  Chinese equities gained as the country’s banks kept their benchmark lending rates unchanged. Focus is on a slew of key earnings including from Tencent Holdings Ltd. Australian shares slipped while Japanese markets were closed for a holiday. European futures fell alongside US contracts, paring Tuesday gains on Wall Street when the “Magnificent Seven” cohort of tech megacaps staged a rebound. Nvidia Corp.’s new chips helped support the rally, while in Asia, reports that the company was looking to buy Samsung Electronics Co.’s memory chips sent the South Korean market higher. Gains for Chinese equities reflected “a base forming,” around the beaten-down market on signs of government support this year, Audrey Goh, head of asset allocation at Standard Chartered Wealth Management, told Bloomberg TV. “We need a bit more in terms of policy support from the government to entice investors back,” she said. Traders have stepped up short Treasury bets ahead of the Fed’s decision due later Wednesday, when the central bank is expected to hold rates steady for a fifth consecutive meeting. Asia trading in Treasuries is closed Wednesday given the holiday in Japan.    The Bloomberg dollar index advanced for the fifth session, extending a nascent rebound that has emerged as traders recalibrate Fed bets. The yen fell against the euro and the dollar on speculation the Bank of Japan will keep its monetary policy accommodative even after it ended the world’s last negative-interest-rate policy on Tuesday.  The summary of the Fed’s economic projections will reveal whether still-robust data are giving officials cause to dial back intentions to cut rates — or if their outlook for three reductions this year remains on track despite inflation remaining above the Fed’s 2% target.  Hawkish commentary from the Fed will add further support to the recent rise in yields and the dollar, according to Win Thin and Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman. “If Jerome Powell can stick to the hawkish script, the message will remain consistent and market reaction will likely be limited. If he veers from the script and delivers a dovish tilt, then market reaction will likely be quite violent.” In addition to hints about upcoming policy moves, the Fed will also begin in-depth discussions about its balance sheet this week, including when and how to slow the pace at which the central bank drains excess cash from the financial system. In other key news, the US is considering blacklisting Chinese semiconductor firms linked to Huawei Technologies Co. after the company’s unexpected chip breakthrough last year, people familiar with the matter said.  China’s property-debt crisis has entered a new stage, as tensions have increasingly shifted to developers’ court battles with creditors over debt restructuring plans. There is “no quick fix” for China’s housing woes and global investors need to see a resolution before they deploy capital in the sector again, according to Kei Chua, a partner of Bain Capital, speaking at Bloomberg’s China Credit Forum in Hong Kong.  Elsewhere, export data in Taiwan and a monetary policy decision in Indonesia are due. Oil steadied after a two-day gain as an industry group flagged a fall in US crude stockpiles, while gold traded in a narrow band ahead of the Fed. Bitcoin fell against the dollar for a third session in a further retreat from its recent highs and traded at around $62,000.

Nikkei +0.66% Hang Seng +0.30% CSI +0.14% Shanghai +0.46% Shenzen +0.47%

Eur$ 1.0867 CNH 7.2129 CNY 7.1993 JPY 151.49 GBP 1.2720 CHF 0.8893 RUB 92.4743 TRY 32.3825 WTI$ 83.21-0.31% Gold 2,158 BTC 61,415 -3.66% ETH 3,097 -5.54%

S&P -0.10% Nasdaq -0.09% EuroStoxx -0.34% FTSE -0.08% Dax -0.06% SMI -0.18%

Macro :
- French Markets Regulator to End ‘Retail Tranche’ IPO Obligation
- EQT CEO Warns Lack of Gas Storage Will Trigger Price Gyrations
- European Media's 20% Gain Outdoes Telecom Value Traps' 7% Fall

Keep an eye on :
- ADP FP : ADP CEO de Romanet’s Mandate Won’t Be Renewed: Les Echos (out yesterday in Le Monde)
- AIR FP : Boeing Needs More Focus on Safety and Quality, FAA Chief Says
- AIR FP : Boeing May Sell Spirit Aero Businesses Supplying Airbus: Rtrs
- ALAB US : Astera Labs, Holders Are Said to Raise $712.8m in Upsized IPO
- ATO FP : France Seeks National Solution to Protect Atos Strategic Assets
- BEN FP : Beneteau FY Ebitda Beats Estimates
- BA/ LN : US State Dept. Approves Possible $2.2b Arms Sales to Bahrain
- BVI FP : Bureau Veritas Sees High Single-Digit Rev. Growth Through 2028
- BVI FP : Bureau Veritas to Buy Three Companies in South Korea, India
- 1CNHI IM : CNH Industrial Class A Raises Dividend 31% to 47 euro cents/Shr
- COPN SW : Cosmo FY Dividend per Share EU2.00 Vs. EU1.05 Y/y
- CTT PL : CTT FY Net Income EU60.5M Vs. EU36.4M Y/y
- ACA FP : Credit Agricole, Worldline Start Payments JV
- DOU GY : Douglas Group Prices IPO at €26 per Share
- EXO NA : Agnellis’ Exor Teams Up to Invest in Teen Fashion Brand Subdued
- GALP PL : Portugal’s ENSE Says Gasoline Consumption Rose 8.2% in February
- GTT FP : GTT Gets New Order From HD KSOE for Tank Design of 3 Vessels
- HPHA GY : Heidelberg Pharma Treatment Granted Orphan Drug Status by FDA
- IDIA SW : Idorsia to Make Tryvio Available to US Patients in 2H
- INH GY : Indus Holding Sees 2024 Ebit EU145M to EU165M
- KER FP : Kering Sinks as Gucci Transition Still Elusive --> ADR -9% in NY
- MMB FP : Lagardere Deputy CEO Pierre Leroy Steps Down
- LONN SW : Lonza to Buy Biologics Site in US From Roche for $1.2b
- MC FP : LVMH-Owned Sephora to Exit South Korea in May After Losses
- MC FP : US Lawmaker Demands Loro Piana Answer for ‘Exploitation’ in Peru
- NVDA US : Nvidia to Buy Chips for AI Processors From Samsung: Nikkei Asia
- PST IM : Poste Italiane Targets EU6.5B In Dividends Over 2024-2028
- RLIA SM : Realia Says FCC, Finver Buy Realia Stakes From Polygon
- ROG SW : Lonza to Buy Biologics Site in US From Roche for $1.2b
- 05930 KS : Nvidia to Buy Chips for AI Processors From Samsung: Nikkei Asia
- SHBA SS : S-Bank Names Wealth Management, Retail Banking Chiefs in Revamp
- SMCI US : Super Micro Computer Offering of 2m Shares Prices at $875/Share
- STLAM IM : Stellantis Agrees to California Clean-Car Rules It Long Opposed
- STLAM IM : Stellantis Invests in Lidar Technology Company SteerLight
- Tendam IPO : Spanish Apparel Firm Tendam Picks Bookrunners for IPO: Cinco
- TRN IM : Terna 2024 Ebitda Forecast Beats Estimates
- TRN IM : Terna Currently Assessing Possible Purchase of Power Assets: CEO
- TIMA GY : ZEAL Network Buys Further Shares in Lotto24, Plans Squeeze-Out
- TRST LN : Trustpilot Holder Vitruvian Partners Offers Up to 12.5m Shares
- VLN FP : Valneva FY Operating Loss EU82.1M, Est. Loss EU78.2M
- VIRP FP : Virbac FY Adjusted Current Operating Income Meets Estimates
- WLN FP : Credit Agricole, Worldline Start Payments JV

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 20th of March 2024

>>> Up
* Aena Raised to Hold at Bestinver; PT 158.10 euros
* BASF Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 58 euros
* Elementis Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 170 pence
* Merck KGaA PT Raised to 210 euros from 196 euros at Citi
* Moncler PT Raised to 76.50 euros from 64 euros at Citi
* Redcare Pharmacy NV Raised to Hold at HSBC; PT 140 euros
* Rockwool Raised to Buy at DNB Markets; PT 2,500 kroner
* Sabre Insurance PT Raised to 220 pence from 200 pence at RBC
* VAT PT Raised to 340 Swiss francs from 280 Swiss francs at RBC

>>> Down
* Assura Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 48 pence
* Encavis Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 17.50 euros
* Eni Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 15 euros
* FCC Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 13.50 euros
* Kardex Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 255 Swiss francs
* Merck KGaA PT Raised to 210 euros from 196 euros at Citi
* Saras Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 1.75 euros
* Telecom Italia Cut to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader
* Vow ASA Cut to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 6 kroner

>>> Initiation
* Alfen Rated New Buy at ING; PT 70 euros
* Athens International Airport Rated New Hold at HSBC
* Autoliv Rated New Hold at Baptista Research; PT $131.50
* Banco BPM Resumed Buy at Citi; PT 6.85 euros
* BASF Rated New Overweight at Guotai Junan Sec
* Cdon Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 195 kronor
* Cranswick Rated New Buy at Redburn; PT 4,900 pence
* Janux Therapeutics Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT $100
* Rational Rated New Hold at Stifel; PT 800 euros
* Terna Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 7.95 euros
* Vossloh Rated New Buy at Baader Helvea; PT 56 euros

>>> Call
* BASF Raised to Buy at Berenberg On Signs of Chemicals Recovery
* Eni Downgraded to Hold at Berenberg on Gas Price Normalization
* Moncler PT to Street-High at Citi, Deserves Premium to Peers
* Terna’s Strategic Plan Beats Expectations, Morgan Stanley Says
* Vossloh Positioned for Structural Growth, New Buy at Baader

TechCrunch : Cowboy launches all-road electric bike to attract riders beyond Eur

Cowboy launches all-road electric bike to attract riders beyond European city centers

Cowboy is better known for its sleek electric bikes that you can see in many major cities across Europe. And if you look at the persons riding those Cowboy bikes, most of the time, you’ll see a young adult heading to an office with a laptop in a backpack.

That’s why the company is launching a brand-new bike called Cowboy Cross. It’s an all-road model that aims for comfort and long-distance trips.

I had the opportunity to see the new Cowboy Cross last week and take it for a test ride for a few minutes. When it comes to design, it definitely looks like a Cowboy bike with its pill-shaped front light, angular design and soft matte colors.

Similarly, Cowboy is betting on a fully integrated design with as little maintenance as possible. There’s no (physical) gear, braking cables are hidden as much as possible and the company uses carbon fiber belts.

What’s new with the Cowboy Cross are the tires. The wheels are slightly smaller (26.5 inches), but the custom-designed tires are much larger.

At the front of the bike, you’ll see front fork suspension. But unlike most road bikes, the front fork is inverted with the suspension near the wheel. In addition to a better design, that’s how Cowboy manages to hide the front brake cable in the frame.

There’s also a seat post suspension for navigating rough terrain. For both the front fork and the seat post, the suspensions can be adjusted with a screwdriver.

And if you’re a small person who just can’t ride a Cowboy bike due to your height, the saddle can go a bit lower on the new bike. The handlebar is a bit larger as well. Again, everything has been designed to make the Cowboy Cross more comfortable than existing Cowboy bikes.
There are two designs for the aluminum frame as the Cowboy Cross is available in step-over and step-through variants. The bike is available in three different colors — light gray, dark gray and green. You’ll also find a rear rack that can support a child seat or various bags.

The battery is a bit larger with a 50% increase in capacity. The company claims that you should be able to ride for 60 to 120 km on (37 to 75 miles) on a single charge.

That’s about it for specifications. However, potential customers expect to keep their new bike for years to come. So it’s going to be important to make sure that the Cowboy Cross can easily be maintained over the long haul. But it’s hard to tell how it will fare on launch day. In addition to this hardware release, Cowboy is also announcing a new “Check My Bike” diagnostic tool.

Preorders start today with an early-bird price of €3,499 (that’s $3,800 at today’s exchange rate). Eventually, Cowboy expects to sell the Cowboy Cross for €3,999 ($4,350).

As a reminder, Cowboy’s “classic” bike models cost €2,699 ($2,940), but there are two software upgrades that cost €199 and €299 each. The €199 Cowboy Connect pack is included with the Cowboy Cross models.

“According to our studies, this will double our total addressable market,” Cowboy co-founder and CEO Adrien Roose told me. “I think it’s a different customer overall. It’s a customer who’s looking for more comfort. So they’re usually a little bit older and have a bit more budget.”
In my test ride, I also played with Cowboy’s mobile app. This app hosts all the smart features of the electric bike. You can turn on the lights, switch between Eco mode and AdaptivePower, get turn-by-turn directions and see historical data. AdaptivePower is the feature that automatically adjusts the power of the motor depending on the current slope and weather conditions — and that was under the spotlight following a patent suit with eBikeLabs.

The company also added some minigames that should encourage you to push harder without distracting you too much. For instance, the app will tell you to push as much as possible during 30 seconds. Or the app might say that you’ve entered a popular segment and tell you if you’re faster than your friends.

These Strava-like features won’t replace Strava just yet — they can even be disabled in case you find them too distracting. But it’s interesting to see the company going down that road and making software a first-class citizen.

Different models for different needs
Cowboy mostly sells its bikes to customers living in Belgium (its home country), Germany, France, the Netherlands and the U.K. Instead of launching in new markets, the company has decided to expand its product range with more form factors.

“We mostly spent the first two years of the company prototyping. During the next five years, we refined our platform. Now we want to offer our product in different form factors to meet different needs,” Roose said. So you can expect other models in the coming months and years.

In July 2023, Cowboy’s main competitor VanMoof filed for bankruptcy. This led to a difficult summer for Cowboy, too, as many potential customers dismissed Cowboy’s products. “There was a big overlap of customers considering both VanMoof and Cowboy bikes,” Roose said.

But he now believes that Cowboy can move forward, as the company is in a different position than VanMoof. “There are about 100 employees at Cowboy. The figure I saw when they closed shop was that 700 people were working for VanMoof,” Roose said.

With a gross margin of 40% on each bike sold directly to consumer, Cowboy expects to become breakeven on an EBITDA basis this year and generate a net profit next year.

WWD : Funding Another Attempt to Take Nordstrom Private Would Be Tricky

Funding Another Attempt to Take Nordstrom Private Would Be Tricky
Nordstrom shares jumped 9.4 percent on a report that the founding family was considering another run at a buyout.

Will the second time be the charm for the Nordstrom family?

Maybe, maybe not.

Shares of Nordstrom Inc. jumped 9.4 percent to $18.66 on Tuesday after Reuters reported the company’s founding family was working with Morgan Stanley and Centerview Partners to find private equity firms interested in taking the retailer private.

The family could not immediately be reached for comment. A spokeswoman for the retailer declined to “comment on rumors or market speculation.” Morgan Stanley also declined to comment and Centerview did not return a call.

This is a movie that fashion has seen before.

The descendants of John W. Nordstrom, who cofounded the company in 1901, tried to take the department store private in 2018, offering to pay $50 a share, or $8.4 billion for the company, with the help of Leonard Green & Partners.

That offer was nixed by a special committee of the board, which said at the time that it could not reach an agreement with the family “on an acceptable price for the company.”

Hindsight is, of course, 20/20.

Even with the bounce on Tuesday, Nordstrom is trading with a market capitalization of $3 billion, less than half the offer that was rejected.

“It wouldn’t surprise me if the family wanted to try to take it private again,” said one retail source familiar with department stores. “They could very well be thinking that the stock is undervalued.…Everyone says their department stores are in trouble and lost their way, and that the Manhattan flagship has been a colossal albatross. But the problem with taking it private is that they would be taking on a lot of debt.”

The Seattle-based Nordstrom has started showing some improvements in its performance lately. In the fourth quarter, the company was lifted by improved top-line growth at the Rack off-price division. The company’s sales for the quarter rose 2.2 percent to $4.3 billion while net earnings totaled $134 million.

And Erik Nordstrom, chief executive officer, told analysts on a conference call this month that traffic did improve sequentially at the Nordstrom banner during 2023, while the Manhattan flagship has been showing “real strong growth.”

The Nordstroms own about 30 percent of the company’s stock, so they would still have to come up with more than $2 billion at the current price.

Given high interest rates and the general reticence private equity has shown toward fashion and retail, that could be a significant ask.

One retail banker called it, “The longest of long putts.”

In part, that’s because private equity investors usually only make investments with a clear exit strategy so they know how they’re going to get their money back, with a hefty profit.

“I don’t think anyone wants to underwrite getting it sold or IPOed down the road in order to monetize,” the banker said, suggesting the Nordstroms need “really long dated capital” like what would come from a sovereign wealth fund or a family office.

Even so, there’s a kind of run on department stores right now.

Arkhouse Management and Brigade Capital Management are trying to buy Macy’s Inc. And Richard Baker’s Hudson’s Bay Co., which already owns Saks Fifth Avenue, is looking to buy longtime competitor Neiman Marcus Group.