FT : Joe Biden vows to stay in fight with Trump as pressure to quit mounts

Joe Biden vows to stay in fight with Trump as pressure to quit mounts
US president’s team says he will take part in September debate despite disastrous Thursday performance

Joe Biden said on Friday that he was pressing on with his re-election bid despite mounting calls by Democrats for him to bow out after a disastrous debate performance against Donald Trump.

The US president told supporters at a campaign rally in Raleigh, North Carolina, that he was there for “one reason, because I intend to win this state in November”. The crowd responded with a chant for “four more years”.

In comments that sought to address his poor performance in Thursday’s debate, Biden said: “I know I’m not a young man, to state the obvious. I don’t walk as easy as I used to . . . I don’t debate as well as I used to.”

He added: “But I know what I do know, I know how to tell the truth . . . I know how to do this job . . . When you get knocked down you get back up.”

The president’s comments came as Democrats reported widening panic in the party on Friday after a “disastrous” debate performance, with supporters concluding Biden would struggle to beat Trump at the ballot box in November.

“The only way it could have been more disastrous was if he had fallen off the stage. Big donors are saying . . . he has to go,” one Democratic operative said. “If Biden stays in, we will have to watch him on a trapeze wire until November.”

Top Democratic lawmakers, donors and party insiders were rattled on Thursday night after the president frequently stumbled over his words in the debate, gave rambling answers and in some instances appeared to lose his train of thought.

The debate, which CNN said was watched by 48mn television viewers and streamed by another 30mn, was considered a crucial opportunity for Biden to turn around his faltering re-election campaign, which has been weighed down by concerns about his age and the cost of living. He trails Trump in most national and swing state opinion polls.

Before Thursday’s debate, predictive polling models saw a close race, with FiveThirtyEight calling it a coin flip. But political betting markets moved dramatically against Biden during and after the debate — and a Real Clear Politics average of betting odds on Friday showed Biden with just a 19 per cent chance of winning the presidency.

The Democratic operative said the easiest path forward for the party would be if Biden’s wife, Jill, or other longtime political advisers in his inner circle convinced him to drop out.

Other Democrats have quietly called for former President Barack Obama or former President Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton, the former Democratic presidential nominee, to persuade Biden to step aside.

But Obama squashed suggestions Biden should step aside on Friday in a statement posted to social media.

“Bad debate nights happen. Trust me, I know. But this election is still a choice between someone who has fought for ordinary folks his entire life and someone who only cares about himself,” Obama said. “Last night didn’t change that.”

Yet behind closed doors, many more remained skeptical.

“There’s lots of gallows humour among Democratic members this morning. The talk about whether Biden continues is fully out in the open,” a Democratic congressman told the Financial Times on Friday morning.

“We need a new nominee,” said another Democratic lawmaker.

A top New York financier said that a small number of influential donors had reached out to Ron Klain and Mike Donilon, two of Biden’s closest longtime advisers, urging the president to do “the right thing for the party and country”. 

“Ultimately it will be Jill [Biden] who makes the decision,” said another top financier. “She’s the voice of reason and I can’t imagine she will want to go through four months of this . . . Joe will listen to her.”

The Biden team sought to project confidence on Friday, saying the president had raised $14mn on Thursday and Friday morning. It said that the hour after the debate was the single best of grassroots, or small-dollar, fundraising since Biden launched his re-election bid.

After his rally in North Carolina on Friday, the president was set to attend several closed-door meetings with deep-pocketed donors, including a campaign event on Friday night in Manhattan and two on Saturday in the Hamptons and New Jersey.

Trump is set to hold his own rally on Friday afternoon in Virginia, a state he lost to Biden by 10 points in 2020 but where the latest opinion polls show the two men in a statistical tie.

>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades:
    • Cincinnati Fincl (CINF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup; tgt raised to $135
    • Digital Realty Trust (DLR) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt raised to $175
    • Equity Residential (EQR) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt raised to $80
    • Guardant Health (GH) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim; tgt $36
    • Int'l Paper (IP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Research Partners; tgt $52
  • Downgrades:
    • Acuity Brands (AYI) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt lowered to $260
    • Alphabet (GOOG/L) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Rosenblatt; tgt $181
    • American Fincl (AFG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup; tgt lowered to $137
    • Chubb (CB) downgraded to Underperform from Mkt Perform at William Blair
    • Hartford Financial (HIG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup; tgt lowered to $114
  • Others:
    • Addus HomeCare (ADUS) initiated with an Outperform at Macquarie; tgt $136
    • Affirm (AFRM) initiated with a Mkt Perform at JMP Securities
    • AGCO Corp (AGCO) initiated with a Mkt Perform at Raymond James
    • Allison Transmission (ALSN) initiated with an Outperform at Raymond James; tgt $85
    • Amcor (AMCR) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt $9.80
    • Array Tech (ARRY) initiated with a Positive at Susquehanna; tgt $14
    • Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) initiated with an Outperform at Macquarie; tgt $7.50
    • Caterpillar (CAT) initiated with a Mkt Perform at Raymond James
    • CG Oncology (CGON) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $65
    • CNH Industrial (CNH) initiated with a Mkt Perform at Raymond James
    • CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) resumed with a Neutral at Guggenheim
    • Cummins (CMI) initiated with a Mkt Perform at Raymond James
    • Deere (DE) initiated with an Outperform at Raymond James; tgt $420
    • Donaldson (DCI) initiated with a Mkt Perform at Raymond James
    • Eaton (ETN) initiated with an Outperform at Raymond James; tgt $375
    • Ensign Group (ENSG) initiated with an Outperform at Macquarie; tgt $134
    • Essential Properties Realty Trust (EPRT) initiated with a Buy at Goldman; tgt $33
    • First Comm Banc (FCBC) initiated with a Market Perform at Hovde Group; tgt $38
    • H&E Equipment (HEES) initiated with a Mkt Perform at Raymond James
    • Intuitive Machines (LUNR) initiated with a Buy at B. Riley Securities; tgt $8
    • Journey Medical (DERM) resumed with a Buy at ROTH MKM; tgt $11
    • Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) initiated with a Neutral at Cantor Fitzgerald

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • ACCD -29.3%, NKE -14.9%, KRUS -10.2%
Other news:
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  • APLS -4.7% (confirms it plans to seek re-examination following negative CHMP opinion for pegcetacoplan for geographic atrophy in the EU)
  • FL -4.5% (in sympathy with weak Nike earnings)
  • SKX -4.1% (in sympathy with weak Nike earnings)
  • CCCS -2.6% (prices secondary offering of 30 mln shares of common stock)
  • UAA -2.6% (in sympathy with weak Nike earnings)
  • ONON -2.5% (in sympathy with weak Nike earnings)
  • DKS -1.8% (in sympathy with weak Nike earnings)
  • GMAB -1.4% (receives Positive CHMP Opinion for Epcoritamab)
  • DECK -1.2% (in sympathy with weak Nike earnings)